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Cross Impact Analysis:!
Finding
Emerging
Opportunities
!

!

!

By Peter Leighton!
Cross Impact Analysis is a model!
that maps consumer behavior!
trends based upon values!
and beliefs.!
How does an ancient cultural tradition such as tattoo, !
eventually become a fashion statement adopted by!
suburban soccer moms?!
Values and beliefs predict!
changes in consumer behavior.!

Adoption!

Repeating patterns over
time (i.e., stock market,
fashion, birth rate).!

Time!

Defined by products. Fads don’t
change behaviors or values.!

Macro:!

Driving forces define by
attitudes & behaviors in cultures
(i.e., tattoos, coffee use).!

Driving forces that bring changes
in values and beliefs (i.e.,
environmentalism, nationalism).!

Adoption!

Cyclical:!

Micro:!
Adoption!

Three types of trends:!

Time!

Defined by behaviors and activities.
!

Time!

Defined by values and beliefs.!
Behavioral changes, supported by!
market dynamics, define emerging!
market opportunities.!
We look for inflection points,!
where these trends intersect!
and offer insight into their!
possible relationship.!

A!
B!

Inflection
Point!

Inflection
Point!

C!
D!
E!
F!

Adoption!

And then we can model!
adoption lifecycles.!
Time!
For example, some current trends:!
TRENDS !

!

!

!

!

!

!

!

OPPORTUNITIES!

Echo Baby!
Boom!
(Millennial)!
Performance!
Driven!

Self Care!
Chronic
disease!
Aging
population!

Time Starved!
Families!

Healthcare
costs!
Desire for
convenience!

Better!
Nutritional!
Information!

Millennials!

Time starved
families!
1950!

Chronic!
Disease!

Fitness!

Nutrition
information!

Aging!
Population!
  Healthcare!
Costs!

Convenience!
“Grab-n-Go”!

1970!

1990!

2010!

2030!

“Alternative”!
Therapies!
Nutritional!
Solutions!
Abunda is an integrated
consulting group,
designed to offer top tier
management and
strategic solutions to
growth-oriented
companies. Our mission
is to drive value through
innovative market
approaches and
increased profitability.
Abunda delivers solutions
for the life sciences,
health & nutrition and
functional foods markets. !

www.abundasolutions.com!

Insightful
enterprises are
looking for more
thoughtful
solutions. !
Looking at the
market in a
different way.
Creating
meaningful
connections with
consumers.!

What kind of
company are you?
!

!

Contact:!

Peter Leighton!
peter@abundasolutions.com!
+001 (801) 550-6962!
SKYPE: advana_science!

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Cross Impact Analysis: Finding Emerging Opportunities

  • 2. Cross Impact Analysis is a model! that maps consumer behavior! trends based upon values! and beliefs.! How does an ancient cultural tradition such as tattoo, ! eventually become a fashion statement adopted by! suburban soccer moms?!
  • 3. Values and beliefs predict! changes in consumer behavior.! Adoption! Repeating patterns over time (i.e., stock market, fashion, birth rate).! Time! Defined by products. Fads don’t change behaviors or values.! Macro:! Driving forces define by attitudes & behaviors in cultures (i.e., tattoos, coffee use).! Driving forces that bring changes in values and beliefs (i.e., environmentalism, nationalism).! Adoption! Cyclical:! Micro:! Adoption! Three types of trends:! Time! Defined by behaviors and activities. ! Time! Defined by values and beliefs.!
  • 4. Behavioral changes, supported by! market dynamics, define emerging! market opportunities.! We look for inflection points,! where these trends intersect! and offer insight into their! possible relationship.! A! B! Inflection Point! Inflection Point! C! D! E! F! Adoption! And then we can model! adoption lifecycles.! Time!
  • 5. For example, some current trends:! TRENDS ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! OPPORTUNITIES! Echo Baby! Boom! (Millennial)! Performance! Driven! Self Care! Chronic disease! Aging population! Time Starved! Families! Healthcare costs! Desire for convenience! Better! Nutritional! Information! Millennials! Time starved families! 1950! Chronic! Disease! Fitness! Nutrition information! Aging! Population!   Healthcare! Costs! Convenience! “Grab-n-Go”! 1970! 1990! 2010! 2030! “Alternative”! Therapies! Nutritional! Solutions!
  • 6. Abunda is an integrated consulting group, designed to offer top tier management and strategic solutions to growth-oriented companies. Our mission is to drive value through innovative market approaches and increased profitability. Abunda delivers solutions for the life sciences, health & nutrition and functional foods markets. ! www.abundasolutions.com! Insightful enterprises are looking for more thoughtful solutions. ! Looking at the market in a different way. Creating meaningful connections with consumers.! What kind of company are you? ! ! Contact:! Peter Leighton! peter@abundasolutions.com! +001 (801) 550-6962! SKYPE: advana_science!