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2. Topics – (2013 Report on Contrib. of
Copyright-based Industries)
Basic Development Problems
Consequences
Opportunities to Raise Growth / Development
Targeted Sectors & Contribution of Creative
Industries
Inhibiting Factors and Main Policy Implications
Summary and Conclusion
3. Basic Development Problems
Exports highly specialised (oil & gas) or low
productivity growth (tourism)
& low foreign income elasticity of demand for
exports
vulnerable to price shocks of commodity cycles
High share of non-traded domestic capital output
(e.g., government-controlled tertiary education)
Unequal distribution of assets by sector
High dependence on industrial imports
& high income elasticity of demand for imports
4. Consequences
Repeated current account deficits and FX shortages
– every 5-10 years since 1959-61 -> 1967-72; 1983-86;
1990-94; 1998-2000; 2008-10; 2014-17
Rising public debt
Repeated need to reduce domestic demand
Reduced growth rate
Capital stock low relative to labour supplies
Significant disguised unemployment of labour,
many employed in government
Associated social turmoil
5. Opportunities to Raise Growth /
Development Rate
■ Reduced demand slows imports
■ Underutilized labour can be redirected to investment to develop
sectors that can export or substitute imports
■ Investment – two choices
– Investment in domestic capital -DC– can be produced; no real
bottlenecks – introduce dynamic gains from trade
– Investment in imported capital – bottlenecks of costs FX and
investment income going abroad
■ Best choice is investment in DC. Effects would be to
– Grow productivity, grow savings and grow investment; diversify
and grow exports; grow/restructure output; and lower
prices/inflation
– Reverse the balance of payments deficit and lower debt
6. Targeted Sectors – the domestic capital
sectors
■ Traditionally tried manufacturing – not globally
competitive
– High dependence on low cost labour & large
minimum efficient scale of imported plant
– High cost of investment income going abroad
– Small scale of underutilized labour & rising labour
costs
■ Share of GDP has stagnated or declined
7. Targeted Sectors – the domestic capital
sectors
■ Best alternatives for restructuring
– Education
– ICT
– Creative industries
■ Music; Performing and visual arts
■ Radio,TV, Film, Photography,Video
■ Advertising, marketing
■ Fashion design
■ Others
8. Targeted Sectors – Creative Industries –
Key Advantages
■ Produce some of the capital needed for investment
■ Use small minimum efficient scale imported capital
■ Low cost of investment income going abroad
■ Environmentally sustainable
■ Innovate to be globally competitive; rapid transfer
of knowledge beyond sector boundaries
■ Not very vulnerable to commodity price shocks
9. Contribution of Creative Industries –
music flagship
■ Use the popular culture and widespread information sharing to
introduce new meaning, intuition, inspiration, innovation, new
exports – create intellectual property
– Can use tourism as an exporting platform
■ Diversify and grow the capital-labour ratio – endowments ratio
■ Grow productivity - Among the most productive industries
– Highest productivity response to growth of capital-labour ratio –
62% (Jamaica data); compare to 46% for manufacturing; 12% for
tourism and related
– increasing returns to investment in imported capital
■ Address inequality and poverty - redistributes assets & income
■ Share of GDP growing
10. Growth of Creative Industries
■ The creative industries are outperforming the GDP
– The real size of the copyright sector grew at an average rate of
■ 11.7% per year between 2000 and 2007
■ 3.2% per year between 2007 and 2011
– The real size of the GDP grew at an average rate of
■ 10.7% per year between 2000 and 2007
■ -1.1% per year between 2007 and 2011
11. Growth of Creative Industries
■ The creative industries outperform other key sectors
– The share of the copyright-based sectors grew
■ 3.9% to 4.2% of GDP between 2000 and 2011
– The share of agriculture declined
■ 1.2% to 0.6% of GDP between 2000 and 2011
– The share of manufacturing declined
■ 16.9% to 9.7% of GDP between 2000 and 2011; now 8.3%
– The share of hotel and guesthouses declined
■ 1.2% to 0.2% of GDP between 2000 and 2011
■ Indication? – macroeconomic increasing returns and
development stimulus available from creative industries
■ Policy interventions necessary – development not automatic
process
12. Inhibiting Factors and Main Policy
Options
■ Government is a major investor in tertiary education, which offers high-quality
options to transform a non-traded domestic capital activity into a successful
export activity.
– Current policy inhibits that transformation.
■ Investors in ICT and the creative industries tend to have small assets
– disadvantaged by the historical distribution of landed assets and cash
– Disadvantaged by the historical lack of specialised public infrastructure that
address market failure
■ Tertiary education sector provides minimal leadership to the other creative
industries and ICT in terms of collaborating with global players to identify skills
gaps and produce globally-competitive graduates to boost their export
capacity
13. Main Policy Options to Raise Growth
Rate
■ Transformation of tertiary education sector into export sector
■ Redirect tertiary education sector to provide leadership in
shaping international collaborations to grow creative sector
exports, including by producing globally-competitive graduates
with applicable skills
■ Improve measurement of performance of creative sector,
including the intellectual property assets of creative
establishments
■ Create credit for the creative sector using modern financial
inclusion methods – including specialised development banking
14. Main Policy Options to Raise Growth
Rate
■ Targeted development of priority infrastructure to address
market failure, including
– Specialized production and performance facilities
– Reforms to enable inclusive policy making
– Reforms to address social and personal security
■ Technical support for creative sector
■ Tax and tariff concessions to creative sector
■ Investment promotion to attract international collaborators
into creative sector
15. Summary and Conclusion
■ Growth of creative industries and the other elements of the
DC sector can address the BOP and growth challenges ofT&T
■ Despite policy landscape, sector has been creating increasing
returns and growing its share of GDP
■ Growth constrained by small asset size, missing specialised
infrastructure that address market failure, and missing
leadership from tertiary education sector
■ Sound policy requires updated sector monitoring, significant
political will and participatory approach to policy design
■ Key reforms are needed for such changes, especially political
reforms