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Covid in the USA So Far
Noel Eldridge, MS
For December 13, 2021 – Health Watch USA Presentation
This presentation is solely based on my personal opinions and does not represent the
opinions or view of any aspect of the US Government.
The information in this presentation is entirely from public sources.
1
Overall
• In summary the Covid-19 response in the USA has been very bad
• USA: 800,000 deaths in 334 million people = 1/418 people dead from Covid
• Canada: 30,000 deaths in 38 million people = 1/1,270 people dead from Covid
• Jamaica: 2,428 deaths in 3 million people = 1/1,235 people dead from Covid
• Why has the USA response been so bad?
• Former President Donald Trump and his horrible appointees
• He was and is the main reason for widespread vaccination and mask refusal, numerous other
reasons
• Lack of widespread and consistent indoor masking
• The US healthcare “system”
• People are sometimes reluctant to present for care due to fear of high costs
• Few organized testing programs, no easy or low-cost access to home tests, etc.
• Bad advice from good people at important times
• Telling people that they don’t need masks in first half of 2020
• Suggesting imminent pandemic end in June/July 2021 despite Delta variant cases rising
Source:
Stat News
2
The USA is Presently in its 6th Covid Wave
Source:
Covid Act Now
3
4
3 waves in Michigan
2 waves in Ohio
5
3 waves in California and
Arizona, but not the same…
6
2 waves in Virginia…
1 in Maryland?
New wave starting now in both?
The Crystal Ball is Covered with Mud…
paraphrasing Michael Osterholm
TOTAL
CASES
PER
100,000
TOTAL
DEATHS
PER
100,000
FULLY
VACCINATED
United States 49,929,628 15,048 796,175 240 61%
Mississippi › 519,115 17,443 10,326 347 48%
Alabama › 852,574 17,388 16,265 332 47%
New Jersey › 1,306,722 14,712 28,589 322 69%
Louisiana › 775,935 16,691 14,877 320 49%
Arizona › 1,318,580 18,116 23,040 317 56%
New York › 2,853,344 14,667 57,686 297 70%
Arkansas › 538,426 17,842 8,848 293 50%
Florida › 3,713,214 17,289 62,026 289 62%
Oklahoma › 681,346 17,219 11,384 288 52%
West Virginia › 308,204 17,197 5,107 285 71%
Source:
New York Times
7
Did this go down due to
widespread vaccination 65+?
Did this go up
due to Delta
“finding” the
unvaccinated
65+?
Did this go down due to
widespread vaccination of 65+
Source:
New York Times
8
Approaching 800,000 deaths, by 100,000 increments
Source:
New York Times
9
10
NOTE: With the Delta surge and
time passing (waning immunity?)
the rate among the vaccinated
stopped being close to zero
https://dshs.texas.gov/immunize/covid19/data/vaccination-status.aspx
Key Findings from Texas Study
• From September 4 through October 1, 2021:
• Unvaccinated people were 13 times more likely to become infected
with COVID-19 than fully vaccinated people.
• Unvaccinated people were 20 times more likely to experience COVID-
19-associated death than fully vaccinated people.
• Vaccination had a strong protective effect on infections and deaths among
people of all ages. The protective impact on infections was consistent across adult age groups and even greater in people ages 12 to
17 years. The protective impact on COVID-19 deaths, which was high for all age groups, varied more widely. In the September time frame,
unvaccinated people in their 40s were 55 times more likely to die from COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated people of the same age.
Unvaccinated people aged 75 years and older were 12 times more likely to die than their vaccinated counterparts.
• Overall, regardless of vaccination status, people in Texas were four to five
times more likely to become infected with COVID-19 or suffer a COVID-19-
associated death while the Delta variant was prevalent in Texas (August
2021) compared with a period before the Delta variant became prevalent
(April 2021).
11
As of Monday,
Dec 13, 2021
• ”Researchers at the University
of Washington found that 13
percent of 217 positive
coronavirus case specimens
collected on Wednesday had
the mutation. That was up from
about 7 percent of samples they
had tested from the day before,
and 3 percent from the day
before that — in a region that
had its first identified cases only
two weeks ago.”
12
Source:
New York Times
A Surprising Source of (mostly) Good
Information – The Atlantic
13
A personal note:
Masks and UV
(since 2008)
• Link to Infection: Don’t Pass It On” Links:
• https://www.prevention.va.gov/flu/materials/posters/
respiratory-etiquette.asp
• Contact:
• Noel Eldridge - Facebook Messenger or LinkedIn
or neldridge202@gmail.com
14

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COVID in the USA So Far

  • 1. Covid in the USA So Far Noel Eldridge, MS For December 13, 2021 – Health Watch USA Presentation This presentation is solely based on my personal opinions and does not represent the opinions or view of any aspect of the US Government. The information in this presentation is entirely from public sources. 1
  • 2. Overall • In summary the Covid-19 response in the USA has been very bad • USA: 800,000 deaths in 334 million people = 1/418 people dead from Covid • Canada: 30,000 deaths in 38 million people = 1/1,270 people dead from Covid • Jamaica: 2,428 deaths in 3 million people = 1/1,235 people dead from Covid • Why has the USA response been so bad? • Former President Donald Trump and his horrible appointees • He was and is the main reason for widespread vaccination and mask refusal, numerous other reasons • Lack of widespread and consistent indoor masking • The US healthcare “system” • People are sometimes reluctant to present for care due to fear of high costs • Few organized testing programs, no easy or low-cost access to home tests, etc. • Bad advice from good people at important times • Telling people that they don’t need masks in first half of 2020 • Suggesting imminent pandemic end in June/July 2021 despite Delta variant cases rising Source: Stat News 2
  • 3. The USA is Presently in its 6th Covid Wave Source: Covid Act Now 3
  • 4. 4 3 waves in Michigan 2 waves in Ohio
  • 5. 5 3 waves in California and Arizona, but not the same…
  • 6. 6 2 waves in Virginia… 1 in Maryland? New wave starting now in both?
  • 7. The Crystal Ball is Covered with Mud… paraphrasing Michael Osterholm TOTAL CASES PER 100,000 TOTAL DEATHS PER 100,000 FULLY VACCINATED United States 49,929,628 15,048 796,175 240 61% Mississippi › 519,115 17,443 10,326 347 48% Alabama › 852,574 17,388 16,265 332 47% New Jersey › 1,306,722 14,712 28,589 322 69% Louisiana › 775,935 16,691 14,877 320 49% Arizona › 1,318,580 18,116 23,040 317 56% New York › 2,853,344 14,667 57,686 297 70% Arkansas › 538,426 17,842 8,848 293 50% Florida › 3,713,214 17,289 62,026 289 62% Oklahoma › 681,346 17,219 11,384 288 52% West Virginia › 308,204 17,197 5,107 285 71% Source: New York Times 7
  • 8. Did this go down due to widespread vaccination 65+? Did this go up due to Delta “finding” the unvaccinated 65+? Did this go down due to widespread vaccination of 65+ Source: New York Times 8
  • 9. Approaching 800,000 deaths, by 100,000 increments Source: New York Times 9
  • 10. 10 NOTE: With the Delta surge and time passing (waning immunity?) the rate among the vaccinated stopped being close to zero https://dshs.texas.gov/immunize/covid19/data/vaccination-status.aspx
  • 11. Key Findings from Texas Study • From September 4 through October 1, 2021: • Unvaccinated people were 13 times more likely to become infected with COVID-19 than fully vaccinated people. • Unvaccinated people were 20 times more likely to experience COVID- 19-associated death than fully vaccinated people. • Vaccination had a strong protective effect on infections and deaths among people of all ages. The protective impact on infections was consistent across adult age groups and even greater in people ages 12 to 17 years. The protective impact on COVID-19 deaths, which was high for all age groups, varied more widely. In the September time frame, unvaccinated people in their 40s were 55 times more likely to die from COVID-19 compared with fully vaccinated people of the same age. Unvaccinated people aged 75 years and older were 12 times more likely to die than their vaccinated counterparts. • Overall, regardless of vaccination status, people in Texas were four to five times more likely to become infected with COVID-19 or suffer a COVID-19- associated death while the Delta variant was prevalent in Texas (August 2021) compared with a period before the Delta variant became prevalent (April 2021). 11
  • 12. As of Monday, Dec 13, 2021 • ”Researchers at the University of Washington found that 13 percent of 217 positive coronavirus case specimens collected on Wednesday had the mutation. That was up from about 7 percent of samples they had tested from the day before, and 3 percent from the day before that — in a region that had its first identified cases only two weeks ago.” 12 Source: New York Times
  • 13. A Surprising Source of (mostly) Good Information – The Atlantic 13
  • 14. A personal note: Masks and UV (since 2008) • Link to Infection: Don’t Pass It On” Links: • https://www.prevention.va.gov/flu/materials/posters/ respiratory-etiquette.asp • Contact: • Noel Eldridge - Facebook Messenger or LinkedIn or neldridge202@gmail.com 14