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COMPANY 
ANALYSIS: APPLIED 
VALUATION 
Group 2
Techniques Of Analysis 
• There are 3 modern techniques of Analysis: 
– Regression Analysis 
– Trend Analysis 
– Decision Tree Analysis
Regression & Correlation Analysis in 
Forecasting Revenues & Expenses 
Regression Analysis 
Linear Regression- Relationship between two variables 
Multiple Linear Regression- Relationship of Several 
Variables 
Correlation analysis- Goodness of fit between these 
variables
Regression equations are built upon the relationships such as: 
• Relationship between external economic variables & company 
analysis (e.g. Sales), internal company variables & external 
industry variables. 
• Relationship among: industry (e.g. Benchmark EPS) , economic 
(e.g. GNP), firm variables (e.g. Cost of funds) & company 
expenses. 
• Correlation acts as a specific measure of the explanatory power 
of a regression equation.
Trend Analysis 
• Tries to predict the future movement of a stock based on past 
data. 
Decision Trees 
• A decision tree is a graph that uses a branching method to 
illustrate every possible outcome of a decision
Problem Areas In Implementation Of Newer 
Techniques 
Regression Analysis 
• Need to develop plausible economic relationships between 
variables. 
• Isolating key explanatory variables - time consuming process. 
• Requires understanding of the firm’s mode of operation and 
structure & performance of industry.
Alternative Stock-Selection Techniques 
Active Equity Management 
• Growth Stock Approach- a company whose earnings are 
expected to grow at an above-average rate compared to its 
industry or the overall market. 
• Undervalued Stock Approach- companies that have either 
high dividend yields, and low price earnings ratio. 
• Small Capitalization Approach- investment in smaller 
companies that have potential to grow.
• Market Timer Approach- it varies the proportion 
of certain types of stock in portfolio depending 
on where he views the stock market to be at 
particular time. 
Passive Equity Management 
• Buy And Hold Approach To Stock- an investor 
buys stocks and holds them for a long period of 
time, regardless of fluctuations in the market.
Price-Earning Ratio 
• Defined as a closing price of the stock divided by 
reported earnings. 
• P/E ratio is primarily determined by the riskiness of 
the firm and the rate of growth in its earnings. 
• Low P/E ratio is associated with low earnings and 
cyclical businesses and vice-versa.
Projecting Dividends 
• The projected earning per share is multiplied by the 
payout ratio to arrive at projected dividends. 
• Payout Ratio = Dividends per Share (DPS) / Earnings 
per Share (EPS) 
• Also known as dividend payout ratio.

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Company analysis applied valuation

  • 1. COMPANY ANALYSIS: APPLIED VALUATION Group 2
  • 2. Techniques Of Analysis • There are 3 modern techniques of Analysis: – Regression Analysis – Trend Analysis – Decision Tree Analysis
  • 3. Regression & Correlation Analysis in Forecasting Revenues & Expenses Regression Analysis Linear Regression- Relationship between two variables Multiple Linear Regression- Relationship of Several Variables Correlation analysis- Goodness of fit between these variables
  • 4. Regression equations are built upon the relationships such as: • Relationship between external economic variables & company analysis (e.g. Sales), internal company variables & external industry variables. • Relationship among: industry (e.g. Benchmark EPS) , economic (e.g. GNP), firm variables (e.g. Cost of funds) & company expenses. • Correlation acts as a specific measure of the explanatory power of a regression equation.
  • 5. Trend Analysis • Tries to predict the future movement of a stock based on past data. Decision Trees • A decision tree is a graph that uses a branching method to illustrate every possible outcome of a decision
  • 6. Problem Areas In Implementation Of Newer Techniques Regression Analysis • Need to develop plausible economic relationships between variables. • Isolating key explanatory variables - time consuming process. • Requires understanding of the firm’s mode of operation and structure & performance of industry.
  • 7. Alternative Stock-Selection Techniques Active Equity Management • Growth Stock Approach- a company whose earnings are expected to grow at an above-average rate compared to its industry or the overall market. • Undervalued Stock Approach- companies that have either high dividend yields, and low price earnings ratio. • Small Capitalization Approach- investment in smaller companies that have potential to grow.
  • 8. • Market Timer Approach- it varies the proportion of certain types of stock in portfolio depending on where he views the stock market to be at particular time. Passive Equity Management • Buy And Hold Approach To Stock- an investor buys stocks and holds them for a long period of time, regardless of fluctuations in the market.
  • 9. Price-Earning Ratio • Defined as a closing price of the stock divided by reported earnings. • P/E ratio is primarily determined by the riskiness of the firm and the rate of growth in its earnings. • Low P/E ratio is associated with low earnings and cyclical businesses and vice-versa.
  • 10. Projecting Dividends • The projected earning per share is multiplied by the payout ratio to arrive at projected dividends. • Payout Ratio = Dividends per Share (DPS) / Earnings per Share (EPS) • Also known as dividend payout ratio.

Editor's Notes

  1. Able to link internal & external variables , revenue & expenses & other complex interrelationships. Regression Analysis Degree of Correspondence between two “real” variables Regression helps to establish functional relationship between two variables. Correlation explains : How well the Independent Variable “explains” the Dependent Variables in the Regression Equation.
  2. Trend Analysis Examine behaviour of economic series over a period of time i.e. one “real” variable which is being regressed over a period of years. Trend analysis is based on the idea that what has happened in the past gives traders an idea of what will happen in the future. Trend analysis is helpful because moving with trends, and not against them, will lead to profit for an investor.  Decision trees:- It overcomes the criticism of traditional approaches: Based on subjective analysis & resulted in a point estimate. Did not carry, formal measurement of probability. Lacked objective measurement of quality. It assesses the alternative actions & probabilities existing in an investment environment. It multiples various independent outcomes & their probabilities w.r.t the desired sequence of occurring
  3. Relation is after examination of past data, Economical rational to explain logical relationship, Application & Testing of Variables. develop
  4. Growth stock approach- companies who have above average earning growth over a period of time will tend to produce stock values that will lead to above average return for investor.
  5. A lower payout ratio is generally preferable to a higher payout ratio, with a ratio greater than 100% indicating the company is paying out more in dividends than it makes in net income.