Presentation of the results of Climate Modeling component on the CIAT-IDB project "Climate Change Vulnerability in the Agricultural Sector in Latinm America and the Caribbean"
IFPRI Low Emissions Development Strategies (LEDS) ColombiaIFPRI-EPTD
The document describes an analysis of land use and emissions scenarios for Colombia using integrated modeling tools. It presents the baseline results which project increases in areas of palm, plantain, sugarcane and pasture between 2008-2030, and decreases in forest area. The modeling framework combines IMPACT for agricultural commodity projections, a land use model to estimate land conversions, and DNDC to estimate carbon stocks and GHG emissions from these changes.
This document discusses adapting agriculture to climate variability and extreme events. It covers adapting at local, regional, and global scales through forecasting, using crop models and historical data to identify optimal planting dates, developing genetically adapted crop varieties, and enhancing systemic resilience through strategies like strategic storage, import diversification and flexible biofuel policies. The importance of understanding changes in extreme events for agricultural production is also emphasized.
Parker, L. Navarro-Racines, C. Available data for crop modelling and applications using EcoCrop. Second training in Climate vulnerability analysis using the EcoCrop model, organized by Mozambique Institute of Agricultural Research (IIAM) and the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS). Speaker and mentor. August – September 2014, Maputo-Mozambique.
Climate Smart Agriculture (CSA) is important for food security, adaptation, and mitigation of climate change. CSA aims to achieve food security under changing climate conditions through practices that sustainably increase productivity, resilience (adaptation), and reduce greenhouse gases (mitigation). While research has identified over 120,000 data points on CSA practices, studies analyzing all three components of CSA are still limited. Developing comprehensive CSA plans requires assessing vulnerability and risks, prioritizing appropriate practices and programs, and establishing enabling policies and investment to take CSA to scale.
Monitoring, reporting, and verification of soil carbon sequestration on the c...ExternalEvents
This presentation was presented during the 3 Parallel session on Theme 1, Monitoring, mapping, measuring, reporting and verification (MRV) of SOC, of the Global Symposium on Soil Organic Carbon that took place in Rome 21-23 March 2017. The presentation was made by Mr. Brian McConkey, from Agriculture and Agrifood – Canada, in FAO Hq, Rome
Presentation by Dr Sonja Vermeulen, Head of Research at CCAFS, about a study published in Nature Climate Change in March 2016, titled 'Timescales of transformational climate change adaptation in sub-Saharan African agriculture.'
The document describes a crop mix optimization model to analyze the impacts of climate change on Egypt's cropping patterns. The model maximizes net revenue from crop production under constraints like land and water availability. It is used to project Egypt's optimal crop mix from the base year 2013 to 2030 under different climate change scenarios. Key inputs to the model like crop prices, yields and costs are projected based on historical data analysis and climate impact assessments. The outputs, like the projected cropping area and self-sufficiency in wheat, are analyzed at national and regional levels to inform agricultural planning under climate change.
Presentation of the results of Climate Modeling component on the CIAT-IDB project "Climate Change Vulnerability in the Agricultural Sector in Latinm America and the Caribbean"
IFPRI Low Emissions Development Strategies (LEDS) ColombiaIFPRI-EPTD
The document describes an analysis of land use and emissions scenarios for Colombia using integrated modeling tools. It presents the baseline results which project increases in areas of palm, plantain, sugarcane and pasture between 2008-2030, and decreases in forest area. The modeling framework combines IMPACT for agricultural commodity projections, a land use model to estimate land conversions, and DNDC to estimate carbon stocks and GHG emissions from these changes.
This document discusses adapting agriculture to climate variability and extreme events. It covers adapting at local, regional, and global scales through forecasting, using crop models and historical data to identify optimal planting dates, developing genetically adapted crop varieties, and enhancing systemic resilience through strategies like strategic storage, import diversification and flexible biofuel policies. The importance of understanding changes in extreme events for agricultural production is also emphasized.
Parker, L. Navarro-Racines, C. Available data for crop modelling and applications using EcoCrop. Second training in Climate vulnerability analysis using the EcoCrop model, organized by Mozambique Institute of Agricultural Research (IIAM) and the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS). Speaker and mentor. August – September 2014, Maputo-Mozambique.
Climate Smart Agriculture (CSA) is important for food security, adaptation, and mitigation of climate change. CSA aims to achieve food security under changing climate conditions through practices that sustainably increase productivity, resilience (adaptation), and reduce greenhouse gases (mitigation). While research has identified over 120,000 data points on CSA practices, studies analyzing all three components of CSA are still limited. Developing comprehensive CSA plans requires assessing vulnerability and risks, prioritizing appropriate practices and programs, and establishing enabling policies and investment to take CSA to scale.
Monitoring, reporting, and verification of soil carbon sequestration on the c...ExternalEvents
This presentation was presented during the 3 Parallel session on Theme 1, Monitoring, mapping, measuring, reporting and verification (MRV) of SOC, of the Global Symposium on Soil Organic Carbon that took place in Rome 21-23 March 2017. The presentation was made by Mr. Brian McConkey, from Agriculture and Agrifood – Canada, in FAO Hq, Rome
Presentation by Dr Sonja Vermeulen, Head of Research at CCAFS, about a study published in Nature Climate Change in March 2016, titled 'Timescales of transformational climate change adaptation in sub-Saharan African agriculture.'
The document describes a crop mix optimization model to analyze the impacts of climate change on Egypt's cropping patterns. The model maximizes net revenue from crop production under constraints like land and water availability. It is used to project Egypt's optimal crop mix from the base year 2013 to 2030 under different climate change scenarios. Key inputs to the model like crop prices, yields and costs are projected based on historical data analysis and climate impact assessments. The outputs, like the projected cropping area and self-sufficiency in wheat, are analyzed at national and regional levels to inform agricultural planning under climate change.
Agriculture Extension and Advisory Services under the New Normal of Climate ...World Agroforestry (ICRAF)
In the years to come climate change, coupled with population growth, energy and natural resource depletion, will increasingly challenge our continued ability to feed ourselves. As we move forward, persistent problems, past failures and new challenges within Extension change agents and advisory service (EAS) provisioning have the potential to converge in a perfect storm as the scramble to adapt to the new normal of life under climate change intensifies. This presentation outlines the nature of the challenges, identifies past and present points of successful EAS engagement and outlines necessary areas of preparation
Agriculture Extension and Advisory Services under the New Normal of Climate ...World Agroforestry (ICRAF)
This document summarizes the challenges facing agriculture under climate change and opportunities for agricultural extension services. It discusses trends showing rising temperatures, shifting rainfall patterns, and more frequent extreme weather. This "new normal" will disrupt agriculture and require adaptations. Extension services need to help farmers mitigate emissions and adapt practices, focusing on building resilience. Prospects include collaborating with researchers, adopting multi-benefit practices, enhancing technology transfer, upgrading training, and balancing policies to support smallholders under climate change.
Update on Canada’s Contribution to the Global Soil Organic Carbon MapExternalEvents
This presentation was presented during the 3 Parallel session on Theme 1, Monitoring, mapping, measuring, reporting and verification (MRV) of SOC, of the Global Symposium on Soil Organic Carbon that took place in Rome 21-23 March 2017. The presentation was made by Mr. Bert Vanden Bygaart from Agricultural and Agrifood - Canada, in FAO Hq, Rome
This document discusses mapping areas that are vulnerable to increased food insecurity due to climate change across the global tropics. It outlines three components of vulnerability: exposure, sensitivity, and coping capacity. Nine exposure thresholds related to changes in temperature and precipitation are identified. Sensitivity is defined by dependence on crop agriculture. Coping capacity is proxied by chronic food insecurity. The three components are combined into eight vulnerability domains. Key conclusions are that climate hotspots show reductions in growing periods, increases in temperature extremes, and changes in dryness/rainfall intensity. Food security hotspots have stagnant food production, more poverty, and undernourishment. Next steps proposed include refining the analysis with additional coping capacity indicators and reducing the number
Scaling up soil carbon enhancement contributing to mitigate climate changeCIAT
This document summarizes Session 3 of a symposium on scaling up soil carbon enhancement to contribute to climate change mitigation. It discusses: 1) The potential for climate change
This presentation was given by Lini Wollenberg, CCAFS Low Emissions Development Flagship, at a workshop on ICF transparency and long-term strategies for LED on September 28th, 2020.
This document summarizes work using big data and site-specific agriculture to support rice farmers in Latin America. Large datasets were analyzed to identify region-specific issues impacting decreasing rice yields. Information was collected from various databases on topics like planting/harvest dates, productivity, and varieties. Climate, especially average minimum temperatures during reproductive stages and solar energy accumulation, was found to account for up to 30% of variability in rice production. Open data analysis identified critical climate factors for specific rice varieties. This approach is being used across Latin America, with over 5,000 farmers adopting it across 6 countries.
This document provides an overview and proposed roadmap for research on Climate Smart Agriculture (CSA) in Egypt. It defines CSA as an approach that aims to sustainably increase agricultural productivity and incomes, adapt to and build resilience against climate change impacts, and reduce greenhouse gas emissions where possible. The document outlines a proposed multi-year research agenda to identify appropriate CSA strategies for Egypt, including assessing climate impacts on agriculture, developing a database on agricultural productivity and efficiency, identifying suitable CSA techniques for different farmer groups, conducting cost-benefit analyses of CSA practices, and analyzing enabling policy needs. The goal is to provide context-specific guidance and recommendations to transition Egyptian agriculture to more climate-smart systems.
Climate Change and Future Food Security: The Impacts on root and Tuber CropsACDI/VOCA
Background: Climate Sensitivity of Agriculture
Importance or Root Crops to Jamaican Food Security
Estimating Yields (Manually)- Yield vs. Climate Dilemma
Methodology: Tools and Approaches
Results: Parameterization, Future Production under Climate Change
Conclusions: Climate Smart Implications & Main lessons learnt
This document summarizes the findings of a study on making agriculture in Egypt more resilient to climate change through various policy interventions. It finds that improving water and irrigation systems through measures like increasing water use efficiency and total factor productivity in the water sector can help reduce negative impacts of climate change on GDP, agriculture GDP, and welfare. Expanding agricultural land and increasing investment and productivity in the agriculture sector are also effective adaptation strategies according to the analysis. A combination of interventions across water, energy, and food sectors provides the greatest benefits for climate change adaptation in Egyptian agriculture and the overall economy.
This document summarizes research using big data to understand the effects of climate on rice production. Multivariate modeling techniques were used to analyze data from a rice research station in Colombia spanning 2010-2012. The analysis found climate factors explained 37% of yield variation for one rice variety and 22% for another. Considering phenological stages, over 40% of yield variation was explained by integrating climate data. This provides evidence that climate impacts rice productivity and identifies best planting dates and adaptation strategies for climate change.
Optical sensors like the GreenSeeker can be used to optimize nitrogen application rates. The nitrogen rich strip technique involves applying extra nitrogen to a strip to indicate crop need. Sensor readings from the strip are used to calculate a response index and estimate yield potential. This information feeds algorithms to determine the optimal nitrogen rate. Producers using these techniques can increase nitrogen use efficiency while maintaining yields, saving on input costs. The approach has been adopted worldwide in major cropping systems and countries.
The document discusses climate services in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) region. It describes major activities including predicting climate at seasonal timescales, predicting crop yields, and assessing farmer and extension agent information needs. It presents results from a predictability study of climate across four departments in Colombia that grow rice and maize. The study found the greatest predictability in the Inter-Andean valleys. It also discusses assessing information needs through capacity building and different information diffusion channels.
This document outlines a study on narrowing uncertainty in projections of climate change impacts on crop yields, specifically the uncertainty associated with the effects of increasing carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations. It discusses direct and indirect effects of CO2 on crops, summarizes evidence of climate impacts on agriculture, and presents a case study using an ensemble of crop model simulations to design adaptation strategies for Indian groundnut under climate change. The study finds that better quantification of CO2 response parameter uncertainty is needed and that developing frameworks to assess projection robustness and partition uncertainties can help determine how to reduce risks and uncertainties.
Is Cassava the Answer to African Climate Change Adaptation?CIAT
1) The document analyzes how climate change may impact cassava and other staple crops in Africa between now and the 2030s. It finds that cassava is projected to experience overall increases in suitability across much of Africa, performing better than other crops like maize, millet, and potatoes.
2) Other key crops like beans, potatoes and bananas are predicted to have substantial decreases in suitability. Cassava is found to have increased suitability in West, East, and Central Africa, where most production occurs.
3) The document also examines potential impacts of climate change on cassava pests and diseases, finding both new areas becoming suitable and current areas becoming less suitable. Increased drought
Presentation at the Montpellier CSA2015 conference by Robert Zougmoré, Program leader at the CCAFS West Africa Regional Program.
Read more about the conference: http://ccafs.cgiar.org/3rd-global-science-conference-%E2%80%9Cclimate-smart-agriculture-2015%E2%80%9D#.
http://www.icrisat.org/
Climate Change Impacts on Brazilian Agriculture to 2030 CIFOR-ICRAF
This presentation by Erik C.M. Fernandes was given at a session titled "Knowledge products and tools for sustainable landscape management in a post-2015 development agenda" at the Global Landscapes Forum in Lima, Peru, on December 6, 2014.
The forum discussed the role of knowledge products and tools and how they are used by relevant stakeholders in achieving a more sustainable management of forests and forest resources at the landscape scale and within the framework of the post-2015 agenda.
CCAFS is a research program that addresses the challenges of climate change and food security. It aims to identify solutions to help agriculture adapt to climate change and reduce agriculture's contributions to it. By 2050, food production must increase 60-70% to meet demand. CCAFS conducts place-based research on adaptation, risk management, mitigation and policy in multiple regions. It works to link research to action through capacity building, engagement, and integrating climate and agriculture policies. The program has a $63.2 million budget from CGIAR and other donors.
Agriculture Extension and Advisory Services under the New Normal of Climate ...World Agroforestry (ICRAF)
In the years to come climate change, coupled with population growth, energy and natural resource depletion, will increasingly challenge our continued ability to feed ourselves. As we move forward, persistent problems, past failures and new challenges within Extension change agents and advisory service (EAS) provisioning have the potential to converge in a perfect storm as the scramble to adapt to the new normal of life under climate change intensifies. This presentation outlines the nature of the challenges, identifies past and present points of successful EAS engagement and outlines necessary areas of preparation
Agriculture Extension and Advisory Services under the New Normal of Climate ...World Agroforestry (ICRAF)
This document summarizes the challenges facing agriculture under climate change and opportunities for agricultural extension services. It discusses trends showing rising temperatures, shifting rainfall patterns, and more frequent extreme weather. This "new normal" will disrupt agriculture and require adaptations. Extension services need to help farmers mitigate emissions and adapt practices, focusing on building resilience. Prospects include collaborating with researchers, adopting multi-benefit practices, enhancing technology transfer, upgrading training, and balancing policies to support smallholders under climate change.
Update on Canada’s Contribution to the Global Soil Organic Carbon MapExternalEvents
This presentation was presented during the 3 Parallel session on Theme 1, Monitoring, mapping, measuring, reporting and verification (MRV) of SOC, of the Global Symposium on Soil Organic Carbon that took place in Rome 21-23 March 2017. The presentation was made by Mr. Bert Vanden Bygaart from Agricultural and Agrifood - Canada, in FAO Hq, Rome
This document discusses mapping areas that are vulnerable to increased food insecurity due to climate change across the global tropics. It outlines three components of vulnerability: exposure, sensitivity, and coping capacity. Nine exposure thresholds related to changes in temperature and precipitation are identified. Sensitivity is defined by dependence on crop agriculture. Coping capacity is proxied by chronic food insecurity. The three components are combined into eight vulnerability domains. Key conclusions are that climate hotspots show reductions in growing periods, increases in temperature extremes, and changes in dryness/rainfall intensity. Food security hotspots have stagnant food production, more poverty, and undernourishment. Next steps proposed include refining the analysis with additional coping capacity indicators and reducing the number
Scaling up soil carbon enhancement contributing to mitigate climate changeCIAT
This document summarizes Session 3 of a symposium on scaling up soil carbon enhancement to contribute to climate change mitigation. It discusses: 1) The potential for climate change
This presentation was given by Lini Wollenberg, CCAFS Low Emissions Development Flagship, at a workshop on ICF transparency and long-term strategies for LED on September 28th, 2020.
This document summarizes work using big data and site-specific agriculture to support rice farmers in Latin America. Large datasets were analyzed to identify region-specific issues impacting decreasing rice yields. Information was collected from various databases on topics like planting/harvest dates, productivity, and varieties. Climate, especially average minimum temperatures during reproductive stages and solar energy accumulation, was found to account for up to 30% of variability in rice production. Open data analysis identified critical climate factors for specific rice varieties. This approach is being used across Latin America, with over 5,000 farmers adopting it across 6 countries.
This document provides an overview and proposed roadmap for research on Climate Smart Agriculture (CSA) in Egypt. It defines CSA as an approach that aims to sustainably increase agricultural productivity and incomes, adapt to and build resilience against climate change impacts, and reduce greenhouse gas emissions where possible. The document outlines a proposed multi-year research agenda to identify appropriate CSA strategies for Egypt, including assessing climate impacts on agriculture, developing a database on agricultural productivity and efficiency, identifying suitable CSA techniques for different farmer groups, conducting cost-benefit analyses of CSA practices, and analyzing enabling policy needs. The goal is to provide context-specific guidance and recommendations to transition Egyptian agriculture to more climate-smart systems.
Climate Change and Future Food Security: The Impacts on root and Tuber CropsACDI/VOCA
Background: Climate Sensitivity of Agriculture
Importance or Root Crops to Jamaican Food Security
Estimating Yields (Manually)- Yield vs. Climate Dilemma
Methodology: Tools and Approaches
Results: Parameterization, Future Production under Climate Change
Conclusions: Climate Smart Implications & Main lessons learnt
This document summarizes the findings of a study on making agriculture in Egypt more resilient to climate change through various policy interventions. It finds that improving water and irrigation systems through measures like increasing water use efficiency and total factor productivity in the water sector can help reduce negative impacts of climate change on GDP, agriculture GDP, and welfare. Expanding agricultural land and increasing investment and productivity in the agriculture sector are also effective adaptation strategies according to the analysis. A combination of interventions across water, energy, and food sectors provides the greatest benefits for climate change adaptation in Egyptian agriculture and the overall economy.
This document summarizes research using big data to understand the effects of climate on rice production. Multivariate modeling techniques were used to analyze data from a rice research station in Colombia spanning 2010-2012. The analysis found climate factors explained 37% of yield variation for one rice variety and 22% for another. Considering phenological stages, over 40% of yield variation was explained by integrating climate data. This provides evidence that climate impacts rice productivity and identifies best planting dates and adaptation strategies for climate change.
Optical sensors like the GreenSeeker can be used to optimize nitrogen application rates. The nitrogen rich strip technique involves applying extra nitrogen to a strip to indicate crop need. Sensor readings from the strip are used to calculate a response index and estimate yield potential. This information feeds algorithms to determine the optimal nitrogen rate. Producers using these techniques can increase nitrogen use efficiency while maintaining yields, saving on input costs. The approach has been adopted worldwide in major cropping systems and countries.
The document discusses climate services in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) region. It describes major activities including predicting climate at seasonal timescales, predicting crop yields, and assessing farmer and extension agent information needs. It presents results from a predictability study of climate across four departments in Colombia that grow rice and maize. The study found the greatest predictability in the Inter-Andean valleys. It also discusses assessing information needs through capacity building and different information diffusion channels.
This document outlines a study on narrowing uncertainty in projections of climate change impacts on crop yields, specifically the uncertainty associated with the effects of increasing carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations. It discusses direct and indirect effects of CO2 on crops, summarizes evidence of climate impacts on agriculture, and presents a case study using an ensemble of crop model simulations to design adaptation strategies for Indian groundnut under climate change. The study finds that better quantification of CO2 response parameter uncertainty is needed and that developing frameworks to assess projection robustness and partition uncertainties can help determine how to reduce risks and uncertainties.
Is Cassava the Answer to African Climate Change Adaptation?CIAT
1) The document analyzes how climate change may impact cassava and other staple crops in Africa between now and the 2030s. It finds that cassava is projected to experience overall increases in suitability across much of Africa, performing better than other crops like maize, millet, and potatoes.
2) Other key crops like beans, potatoes and bananas are predicted to have substantial decreases in suitability. Cassava is found to have increased suitability in West, East, and Central Africa, where most production occurs.
3) The document also examines potential impacts of climate change on cassava pests and diseases, finding both new areas becoming suitable and current areas becoming less suitable. Increased drought
Presentation at the Montpellier CSA2015 conference by Robert Zougmoré, Program leader at the CCAFS West Africa Regional Program.
Read more about the conference: http://ccafs.cgiar.org/3rd-global-science-conference-%E2%80%9Cclimate-smart-agriculture-2015%E2%80%9D#.
http://www.icrisat.org/
Climate Change Impacts on Brazilian Agriculture to 2030 CIFOR-ICRAF
This presentation by Erik C.M. Fernandes was given at a session titled "Knowledge products and tools for sustainable landscape management in a post-2015 development agenda" at the Global Landscapes Forum in Lima, Peru, on December 6, 2014.
The forum discussed the role of knowledge products and tools and how they are used by relevant stakeholders in achieving a more sustainable management of forests and forest resources at the landscape scale and within the framework of the post-2015 agenda.
CCAFS is a research program that addresses the challenges of climate change and food security. It aims to identify solutions to help agriculture adapt to climate change and reduce agriculture's contributions to it. By 2050, food production must increase 60-70% to meet demand. CCAFS conducts place-based research on adaptation, risk management, mitigation and policy in multiple regions. It works to link research to action through capacity building, engagement, and integrating climate and agriculture policies. The program has a $63.2 million budget from CGIAR and other donors.
Alex De Pinto
POLICY SEMINAR
Climate resilience, sustainable food systems, and healthy diets: Can we have it all?
OCT 31, 2017 - 12:15 PM TO 01:45 PM EDT
The document discusses the challenges of climate change for agriculture and food security. It argues that resources and research need to focus on helping poor rural communities adapt. International climate agreements could impact food security depending on how agriculture is treated and funds are allocated. The document proposes specific policy actions and Copenhagen agreement language around incentivizing agricultural mitigation, increasing adaptation investment, and establishing a public technology network focused on climate-smart agriculture.
What will it take to establish a climate smart agricultural world? Presentation on the problems, solutions and key challenges in Climate Smart Agriculture. Presentation made in the Wayamba Conference in Sri Lanka, August 2014.
The document discusses using climate analogues to help understand and plan for climate change impacts. It describes finding current locations with climates similar to projected future climates elsewhere, to learn from existing conditions. As an example, it identifies Fakara, Niger as analogous to the future climate projected for Kaffrine, Senegal based on temperature and rainfall data. Crop yield data from Fakara and other analogue sites can help estimate impacts on crops in Kaffrine under climate change. The analogue approach provides real-world examples to validate models and identify adaptation strategies.
Climate change is negatively impacting Colombia's agriculture. This document outlines Colombia's process for climate change adaptation from assessing vulnerabilities to implementing solutions. Key steps include: mapping climate impacts on crops, consulting farmers, modeling long-term climate effects, prioritizing adaptation practices, and testing practices through experimental farms. The program has partnered with farmers in over 50 municipalities to develop and promote climate-smart agriculture techniques to increase resilience and reduce climate risks.
Increasing the storage of carbon in the soil has been a controversial strategy for addressing climate change mitigation. What is the potential and why is there debate about this? How can we push beyond the debate to constructive action?
Lini Wollenberg, a Gund Fellow, is an anthropologist and natural resource management specialist concerned with rural livelihoods and the environment. She currently leads a research program on Low Emissions Agricultural Development for the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), based at the University of Vermont. Her work seeks to identify options for reducing the impacts of agricultural development and land use on the climate, while also improving livelihoods for the poor in developing countries.
This presentation was given by Lini Wollenberg, CCAFS, on September 11, 2020 as part of the GundxChange Series.
Policies and finance to scale-up Climate-Smart Livestock SystemsILRI
Presented by William Sutton, Pierre Gerber, Leah Germer, Félix Teillard, Clark Halpern, Benjamin Henderson, Michael Mcleod and Lee Cando at the Programme for Climate-Smart Livestock systems Closing Event, 13 September 2022
Climate change, teff and food security in EthiopiaABCIC
This document summarizes a study on the effects of climate change on teff production in Ethiopia and implications for food security. The study found that climate change is predicted to significantly reduce suitable habitat for teff by 2050, lowering production and increasing prices. Interviews with farmers revealed changes in rainfall patterns, higher temperatures and more frequent droughts. The study recommends developing climate-resilient crop varieties and strengthening climate change adaptation policies and agricultural technologies. Building on the results, a similar study of climate change effects on sorghum in Kenya was proposed.
Presented by Andy Jarvis (CCAFS-CIAT, Theme Leader Adaptation to Progressive Climate Change) at the Seminar on CRP7: Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), ILRI, Nairobi, 12 May 2011.
Provides an overview of the CCAFS-CGIAR Research Program with introductions to the themes and horizon for exciting multi-centre science.
The document discusses the challenges of climate change and ensuring global food security. It argues that agriculture must be appropriately integrated into climate change agreements to address both climate change in the context of food security and food security in the context of climate change. Climate change is projected to reduce production of key crops like rice, maize and wheat by 2050 according to the models discussed, which could significantly increase food prices and malnutrition. Investments in agricultural adaptation and mitigation totaling $7 billion annually are needed to counteract the effects of climate change.
This presentation was made by Dr. Robert B. Zougmoré, CCAFS Africa Program Leader, at the WASCAL Science Symposium, 19-21 June 2018, Tang Palace Hotel, Accra, Ghana
Presentation made by Andy Jarvis from the Decision and Policy Analysis Program of the International Centre for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT). Delivered at Supagro in Montpellier, France in November 2009.
Climate smart agriculture and its benefits for ecosystems and food security 2...Alain Vidal
Conference given at University Paris-Saclay / AgroParisTech on 17 November 2020 as part of Master CLUES (Sequence "Everyone Eating Well within Environmental Limits")
The Latin America Context: emissions, projections and mitigation plansFAO
Author: Rocio Condor, MAGHG Team
-The Latin American Context
-Efforts to report GHG data: The National Communications
-The projections of GHG emissions from agriculture
-Mitigation potentials
-National Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs)
Second FAO Workshop on Statistics for Greenhouse Gas Emissions, 3-4 June 2013, Port of Spain (Trinidad and Tobago)
Similar to Colombia Climate Smart Agricultural Sector - COP21 (20)
Fortalecimiento de capacidades para la producción, traducción, diseminación y uso efectivo de datos y perspectivas climáticas en el sector agropecuario en la región SICA.
Carlos Navarro-Racines
Evento de socialización de los logros alcanzados por CCAFS en Centroamérica en el marco de la gira del Grupo Técnico de Cambio Climático y Gestión Integral del Riesgo (GTCCGIR) del CAC.
Guatemala, diciembre 1, 2021
1) El documento describe los Servicios Integrados Participativos de Clima para la Agricultura (PICSA), un enfoque para empoderar a los agricultores con información climática y herramientas de toma de decisiones.
2) PICSA se ha implementado en varios países de América Latina con el objetivo de mejorar la resiliencia climática y la seguridad alimentaria.
3) El documento propone fortalecer la cadena de servicios climáticos en Guatemala mediante la capacitación de técnicos, la implementación de PIC
El documento discute los desafíos y oportunidades del cambio climático para la agricultura en Centroamérica. La variabilidad climática afecta entre un 32-39% de la productividad de los cultivos y los sistemas no son resilientes. Se requiere adaptación a diferentes escalas de tiempo, desde días hasta décadas. Existe una brecha entre la información climática y su uso por los agricultores. Los servicios climáticos buscan cerrar esta brecha mediante mejoras en predicciones, empoderamiento e instituciones. Enfoques como las
Servicios climáticos para la agricultura: Incorporando información agroclimática local en la toma de decisiones.
Feria Internacional del Medio Ambiente (FIMA)
Servicios climáticos para la agricultura: Incorporando información agroclimática local en la toma de decisiones
Webinar: Recursos De Información Para El Sector Agrícola En La Región De America Latina Y El Caribe.
Plataforma de Acción Climática en Agricultura de Latinoamérica y el Caribe (PLACA)
Presentación del Módulo 2 "El cambio climático, retos y desafíos para el desarrollo sostenible" del diplomado “El cambio climático y el sector agropecuario: desafíos y oportunidades para un desarrollo resiliente, con bajas emisiones y adaptado al clima en Centroamérica y República Dominicana.
Instituto Centroamericano de Administración Pública (ICAP)
En el marco del LXIV Foro del Clima de América Central y
el XLII Foro de Aplicaciones de los Pronósticos Climáticos
a la Seguridad Alimentaria y Nutricional
Academia Nacional de Servicios Climáticos - Guatemala
Diplomado en Ciencias del Clima y Servicios Climáticos del Sistema Guatemalteco de Ciencias del Cambio Climatico (SGCCC)
https://sgccc.org.gt/el-sgccc-es-el-anfitrion-del-diplomado-en-ciencias-del-clima-y-servicios-climaticos/
Navarro, C. Modelación climática; Cambio climático y agricultura
Clase para Curso de climatología de la Universidad de Ciencias Aplicadas y Ambientales (UDCA)
Abril 2021
Este documento describe los servicios climáticos y su importancia para los agricultores. Explica que los agricultores necesitan información climática para tomar decisiones, pero a menudo no pueden acceder a ella o comprenderla. Los servicios climáticos buscan cerrar esta brecha mediante la producción, traducción y transferencia de conocimientos climáticos para apoyar la toma de decisiones. También describe las Mesas Técnicas Agroclimáticas, que reúnen a actores locales para discutir las mejores prácticas de adaptación y
Webinario: Modelación de cultivos para generar servicios
agroclimáticos (AquaCrop v.6)
LXI Foro del Clima de América Central
Jeferson Rodriguez Espinoza
Alejandra Esquivel
Carlos Navarro-Racines
J. Ramírez , D. Martínez, A. Martínez, J. Martínez, D. Giraldo, A. Muller, C. Bouroncle
Diplomado el enfoque territorios sostenibles adaptados al clima (TeSAC) en el corredor seco del oriente de Guatemala
Módulo 2 – Bloque 2 – Sesión 3
Carlos Navarro-Racines
E. Tünnermann, J. Ramírez, A. Martínez, J. Martínez
Diplomado “Inventario de Emisiones de Gases de Efecto Invernadero”, Universidad Nacional Agraria (UNA)
Módulo I Introducción. Procesos nacionales (políticas y convenios nacionales e internacionales)
Sesión 1 Introducción a la problemática del cambio climático global y observación de cambios
Este documento describe el uso de servicios climáticos para mejorar la agricultura en América Latina. Presenta las Mesas Técnicas Agroclimáticas y los Servicios Integrados Participativos de Clima para la Agricultura como enfoques para proporcionar información climática relevante a los agricultores de manera que puedan tomar mejores decisiones. También describe cómo estos enfoques han ayudado a los agricultores a adaptarse al cambio climático y reducir las pérdidas debido a la variabilidad climática.
Importancia de los pronósticos aplicados al sector durante la crisis actual del COVID-19
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Presentación sobre las Mesas Técnicas Agroclimáticas en Centro América en el contexto de COVID-19, en el marco del webinar "Desafíos y oportunidades para alcanzar equidad de género en los servicios climáticos"
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Este documento describe cómo las Mesas Técnicas Agroclimáticas (MTA) apoyan la toma de decisiones de los agricultores en el contexto de la variabilidad climática y la pandemia de COVID-19 a través de boletines agroclimáticos, recomendaciones para prácticas agrícolas apropiadas al clima y extensión remota. El objetivo es reducir los riesgos climáticos y socioeconómicos que enfrentan los agricultores debido a la pandemia a través del monitoreo, difusión de
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2. ¿What is CCAFS?
CCAFS brings together the world's best researchers in
agricultural science, climate science, environmental and
social sciences to identify and address the most important
interactions, synergies and trade-offs between climate
change and agriculture.
Alliance
Quesungual Agroforestry System, Honduras
3. Andy Jarvis, Andy Challinor
Jim Hansen
Lini Wollemberg
Phil Thornton
Research Flagships
10. CIAT/CCAFS-MADR Agreement
1.Avoid crop losses due to climate variability
2.Close yield gaps through appropriate management of
the climate
3.Produce food sustainably, synergistically with the
environment
11. Colombia’s own CCAFS Local
Agroclimatic
Committees
Improved
crop varieties
Agroclimatic
forecasts
Policies
& NAMAs
Adaptation Plan for the
Agricultural Sector
Farmers
Government Private
sector
Producers’
associations
Socioeconomic
Scenarios
Climate-Site-Specific
Management (CSMS)
Climate-Smart
Villages
GHG measurements
methods for
smallholders
Scaling up
activities
12. Component Department Municipality
RICE
Tolima Saldaña, Ibagué y Espinal
Huila Palermo, Aipe
Norte Santander Cucuta
César Valledupar
Cordoba Montería, cereté
Casanare Yopal, Aguazul
Meta Villavicencio, Santa Rosa
Antioquia Nechí
Sucre Majagual, San Marcos
Valle Palmira
Guajira Fonseca
BEANS
Santander Villanueva
Antioquia San Vicente
Nariño Pasto
Cauca Popayán
Huila El Pital
MAIZE
Córdoba Ciénaga de Oro
Tolima Espinal
Valle del Cauca Buga
Quindío Buenavista
Santander Sabana de Torres
Meta Fuente de oro
BANANA
Magdalena Santa Marta, Rio Frio y Zona Bananera
Guajira Riohacha y Dibulla
LIVESTOCK
Boyacá
San Miguel de Sema, Caldas y
Chiquinquirá
Cundinamarca Simijaca
Atlántico
Tubará, Piojó, Baranoa,
Manatí y Suán
Casanare Aguazul, Monterey, Pore, El Picón y Maní
Activities map CIAT/CCAFS-MADR
Agreement Phase II
13. Córdoba: 56% (Riego)
Temperatura en fase de
llenado
Meta: 29% (Secano)
Distribución de la
precipitación en
vegetativa
Casanare: 32% (Riego)
Radiación en fase
reproductiva
Tolima: 41% (Riego)
Radiación en fase de
llenado de grano
Huila: 28% (Riego)
Temperatura en
floración
How much yield variability can be
explained by climate?
Meta: 61% (Riego)
Temperatura en
fase reproductiva
17. 0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Noviembre Diciembre Enero Febrero Marzo
Precipitación(mm)
Promedio_Mensual Limite_Inferior
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Noviembre Diciembre Enero Febrero Marzo
Precipitación(mm)
Promedio_Mensual Limite_Inferior
Sugarcane
Precipitación – La Virginia
Precipitación - Guacarí
Precipitación - Aeropuerto
Valle del Cauca
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Noviembre Diciembre Enero Febrero Marzo
Precipitación(mm)
Promedio_Mensual Limite_Inferior
Déficit
Normal
Exceso
CONVENCIONES
21. Pronósticos
Climáticos
Modelación
agronómica
Conocimiento
local
Recomendaciones para los agricultores de medidas adaptativas
a partir de la combinación del conocimiento local y científico
Local Technical Agroclimatic Committees
¿Cómo se afectarían
los cultivos?
¿Qué variedades
sembrar?
¿Qué habría
que hacer?
¿Cuándo
sembrar?
Local Agroclimatic
Bulletins
23. (Water Footprint)
Partnership between different stakeholders to determine the impact of
production systems in the use and quality of water
AMTEC Vs
Manejo Convencional
Evaluación de híbridos con y
sin riego
Conservación Vs
Convencional
Huella hídrica
BIODIESEL DE PALMA
Lecheria
Producción más limpia
24. We are looking for ...
Make more efficient use of resources
Para una región como el Departamento del
Tolima esto implicaría agua para 28.000
hectáreas más de arroz
25. This is how Colombia is moving towards
Climate-Smart Agriculture
26. Integrated approach of AFOLU sector in
Colombia INDCs formulation
-baseline analysis and mitigation scenarios models-
Countries can choose among a portfolio of growth-inducing
technologies with different emission characteristics.
Countries are part of a global economic system, it is critical that LEDS
are devised based both on national characteristics and needs, and with
a recognition of the role of the international economic environment.
Objective:
Determine what can be achieved given the global economic environment
27. Technical Approach
a. IMPACT model: a global partial equilibrium model for
agricultural commodities that provides plausible pressure for
change in ag. prices and cropland areas,
b. A spatially-explicit model of land use choices: provides likely
location of changes in ag. area and other land uses,
c. Crop model: provides yields, GHG emissions, and changes
in soil organic.
Limited spatial resolution of macro-level economic models that
operate through equilibrium-driven relationships at a global or
national level with detailed models of biophysical processes at
high spatial resolution.
Combines and reconciles:
*
Essential components are:
*
29. Policy Scenarios
Land use policy scenarios after
consultation with stakeholders
Scenario 1
Reduction of pastureland by 10 million
hectares
Scenario 2 Total halt to deforestation the Amazon
Scenario 3
Total land allocated to palm production
reaches a total of 1.2 million hectares
30. Additional investigation
is necessary but, results
unmistakably indicate
the centrality of the
livestock sector in
emission reduction
policies.
Source: Authors
Results include: changes in SOC, above and below ground C caused by land use change;
changes in emissions from cropland and livestock caused by land use change excluding burning;
changes in revenue from crop and meat production.
Policy outcome comparison
31. *Includes changes in SOC, Above and Below ground C caused by land use change.
**Changes in emissions from cropland and livestock caused by land use change. Exclude burning
***Changes in revenue from crop and meat production
Scenario
Change C
Stock*
(TgCO2eq)
Change in GHG
Emissions**
(TgCO2eq)
Difference
Stock vs
Emissions
Change in
Total
Revenue***
(Billion USD)
1 272 25.2 246.8 40.6
2 168 -1.2 169.2 -2.5
3 64 19.9 44.1 -54.6
Results for each scenario
35. Climate change
regional plan for
Valle del Cauca
Capacity strengthening local implementers and institutions on
climate change challenges
Tools and instruments for CC adaptation and mitigation
Promote interinstituional collaboration
Link national policies with regional plans and strategies
36. Climate-Smart Village
Approach
A community approach towards sustainable agriculture development
CCAFS works with the communities to develop Climate-Smart Villages. These are sites where
researchers, local partners, farmers and policy makers work together to select and implement
technologies and practices based on global knowledge and local conditions with the purpose
of: a) increasing sustainable productivity and income, b) building resilience to climate change,
c) reducing GHG emissions and d) promoting food security and development goals.
CSVClimate-Smart Village
37. Climate
information
services
Climate-smart
technologies
Local
adaptation
plans
Financial incentives
and market access
Context specific conditions (social, economic, cultural, environmental)
Territorydinamics
Scaling up and out
Policies
Private sector
Champion cases are used in big initiatives
Continuous learning
Stakeholder diversity
Capacity building
Integrated management through a portfolio that responds to context-
specific needs in the territory
CSVClimate-Smart Village
FP1:
* Improved technologies, practices and portfolios for CSA that meet the needs of farmers, including women and marginalised groups
* Methods and approaches for equitable local adaptation planning and governance, including transformative options
* Innovative incentives and mechanisms for scaling up and out that address the needs of farmers, including women and marginalised groups.
FP2:
* Climate-based methods and tools for seasonal agricultural prediction and early warning
* Knowledge and methods for climate information and advisory services for smallholder communities
* Food security safety nets and policy interventions for dealing with climate-related shocks
* Weather-related insurance programs
FP3:
* Decision support for assessing mitigation priorities, baselines and trade-offs
* Methods and data for quantifying small-scale farming emissions and mitigation options
* Analysis for improved mitigation implementation mechanisms (NAMAs, climate finance, accountability for sustainable commodities, innovation systems)
FP4:
* Data, models and scenarios to understand impacts of climate change
* Decision support tools for targeting policy development and making investment choices
* Analysis of strengths and weaknesses of current and emerging policy
* Analysis and experimentation concerning novel decision-making processes
Questions these indicators can help answer:
How much responsibility does the agriculture sector have in producing the nation’s emissions?
Where can the biggest gains be made to address mitigation in agriculture?
Colombia details
Emissions data is from the 2010 UNFCCC communications, but the inventory was from 2004
A new emissions inventory will be conducted next year
The 180mt figure here is what was emitted in 2004
Assumed: 30 grams * (square meter)-1 *(growing season)-1
Assumed SRI emissions: 0.87 of conventional
Assumed mid-season drainage emissions: 0.9 of conventional