Chris Hazard - Measuring and Manipulating Player Biases and Trust Through Choice and Game Mechanics
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This document discusses measuring and manipulating player trust through game mechanics and choices. It defines trust and reputation, noting that trust concerns moral hazard while reputation concerns adverse selection. It argues that trustworthiness is isomorphic to an agent's discount factor in game theory. Several ways are described to measure a player's discount factor through their choices in a game. The document also discusses using non-player characters with varying levels of trustworthiness to explore and exploit a player's trust. Finally, it outlines direct applications of these concepts like determining NPC decisions and subordinates' obedience based on the player's measured trustworthiness.
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Erik Sand, Director of Strategic Relationships
Dr. Thomas Carbone, Technical Director
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Mike Eakins, Creative Lead | Mixed Emerging Technology Integration Lab (METIL) at UCF Institute for Simulation & Training
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UNIVERSITY OF QUEBEC IN MONTREAL,
July 10-12, 2019
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Preparing Soldiers for the Future: The Army's New Synthetic Training Environment
Keynote
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Preparing Soldiers for the Future: The Army's New Synthetic Training Environment
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ABSTRACT:
This presentation aims to help define the nascent serious games industry and identify key opportunities and challenges. Research findings are based on in-depth interviews with more than 30 thought leaders, worldwide. Key discussion points include the following:
• The overall landscape of the serious games industry
• Growth dynamics in different industry segments
• Market opportunities and challenges in various sectors
• Cost for developing serious games
• How the industry is currently addressing measurement and effectiveness
Richard A. Carey - Game Design Canvas
Presenter: Richard A. Carey, Managing Director, Richard Carey Digital Media
In this session Richard introduces the “Game Design Canvas,” his lean approach to defining the essential components of games for learning and change. Part case study and part hands-on workshop, you’ll leave with new insights, tools and approaches to game and experience design.
Nicole Lazzaro - The Science of Fun: 3 Ways Games Make You Happier and Save t...
Change is hard. Advances in game design and neuroscience can make it easy. Millennium of evolution gives us an amazing system for acquiring behavior good and bad. The rush of positive emotions such as dopamine (reward), endorphin (euphoria), and oxytocin (trust) do daily battle with bad boys such as cortisol (stress). The activities we engage in for these daily battles tune our behavior. The challenge is that the cognitive rational self that sets our goals is not the same brain system that deals out the chemicals that make us feel good. Serious game designers ignore this battle at their peril. Specially designed games can hack your brain to turn vicious cycles into virtus ones to help you lose weight, get smarter, and even fight climate change.
Come and explore this playful splash into 3 specific ways the fun of games can rewire your brain to be happier, healthier, and primed to work together to save the planet.
Orange Hills GmbH: Transformation of business models
This document introduces Orange Hills GmbH, an innovation consultancy that helps companies transform their business models. It provides strategies and tools to develop, implement, and teach innovation processes. Orange Hills works with clients in IT and services to create innovative strategies and business models through analysis of customers, markets, and short project cycles to test new ideas. The consultancy aims to establish "exploratory" innovation cultures within client organizations.
Template: Business Model Template
The “Business Model Canvas” has been designed to visualize the essential ingredients of a business model as a future business scenario, on one page. The left part focusses on external components, in order to understand the ways in which you reach and serve your customers and users. The right part comprises internal components to describe how your organisation works to create and deliver high value. The “Business DNA” is the very essence of your business model, which is key to building your initial market offerings in later stages. It is explained in detail on the following page. Think of different scenarios when designing new business models. There are always many ways to create your offerings, to serve your customers and users, and to charge them. Be as clear as possible and avoid nonsensical jargon. Whilst it is so easy just to scratch the surface, try to imagine how your new business model really works.
Download the Business Design workshop templates here: http://blog.orangehills.de/#bml_en
To find out more about Orange Hills visit http://www.orangehills.de.
Business Design in a Nutshell
The document introduces Business Design as a new approach to planning and executing business ideas that focuses on learning about core assumptions through early execution, reflection on learnings, and deciding whether to change or keep the business focus based on what is learned. It notes that traditional business planning often does not survive contact with reality and promotes a model of "planning to learn" rather than "learning to plan" to better deal with uncertainties and build something customers want.
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The Value of Robotics for Surgery Training
Jeff Berkley PhD, CEO, Chairman & Founder | Mimic Technologies
The Value of Robotics for Surgery Training
Adopting new technologies can be very disruptive to operating room efficiency. This disruption is compounded when the technology is not easily accessible outside of the operating room for training. This is certainly the case for robot assisted surgery, which is gaining significant traction as an alternative to open surgery and traditional laparoscopic surgery.
Simulation training has proven to be an effective alternative to learning “real time” on patients in the operating room. Most high-risk disciplines, such as aerospace, aviation, hazmat and military, require simulation for training and high stakes testing. However, medicine has been slow to embrace simulation in a meaningful way. Most hospitals do not enforce a structured simulation training curriculum or simulation testing for privileging and credentialing. However, the C-Suites of many hospital systems are now looking to simulation as a means of increasing OR efficiency while reducing surgical risk and costs. We therefore may be less than a decade away from a time where simulation testing will be required for surgeons as it is for pilots.
Jeff Berkley, PhD, will present on efforts by Mimic Technologies to create a common simulation training platform for surgical robots. Mimic began developing simulation for Intuitive Surgical’s da Vinci© robot in 2003 and has more recently adapted its simulation platform for use with many of the new robots pending FDA approval. Dr. Berkley will review current and future application of simulation to robot assisted surgery. The presentation will emphasize the utilization of data analytics for identifying and remediating high risk surgeons. Dr. Berkley will also discuss Mimic’s use of gamification for the purposes of encouraging surgeon engagement.
Presented by the
Serious Play Conference
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Wendy Moore | Orbis Education
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Finding Partners in Applied Research – A Case Study on Industry/Academic Collaboration
Sometimes financial, physical and content constraints on graduate programs force university researchers to be creative. This presentation talks about how FIEA faculty designed a class called GameLab to help expose students to Serious Games while simultaneously fostering lasting research and development partners outside traditional entertainment industry partners.
We will talk about how the development life cycle of a simple handheld game that teaches cleaning protocols for hospital janitors in the VA hospital network helped develop a template for how FIEA now finds and interacts with industry partners. It is a case study to show how a project can move from relationship to MVP to full-on build and deployment of a robust application in the context FIEA’s student centric curriculum. UCF’s Institute for Simulation and Training then finished the final product for delivery to the VA.
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Designing Immersive Experiences that Create Empathy, Reveal Biases, Alter Min...
In this talk we discuss insights from designing and studying immersive experiences aimed at improving early literacy outcomes through personalized learning, spanning virtual, augmented and mixed realities as well as non-immersive applications. Our serious games provide research evidence into how these varied media can enable adults (teachers, school leaders, families, and caregivers) to implement personalized literacy learning at the organizational and individual level.
We will present lessons gained from designing experiences across immersive media such as 360 video, virtual environments with agents, mixed reality systems with human-in-the-loop characters (ex: Mursion https://mursion.com/), and augmented reality. We will also discuss approaches and takeaways for creating experiences intended to build empathy towards the unfamiliar (ex: our work on parents using VR to experience the world as young children with reading disabilities), experiences for detecting unconscious biases (ex: teachers educating a stimulated classroom of students in ways that may trigger innate biases), and experiences to contextually modify parental mindsets (ex: parents using augmented reality to alter their strategies for children’s literacy).
Overall, we will present general lessons from building simulated authentic situations in which teachers and parents learn to overcome challenges in early literacy development. We will pause our talk/lecture occasionally for questions that enable brief small group interactions.
Presented by the
Serious Play Conference
seriousplayconf.com
at
Montreal, Canada, Quebec,
UNIVERSITÉ DU QUÉBEC À MONTRÉAL,
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This document summarizes a presentation about designing memorable games. The presentation discusses how human memory works, including that memories are based on experiences and situations rather than being like video recordings. It also reviews research findings on memory such as how forgetting takes more brain power than remembering. To be effective, games need to increase replay value, build on interactive elements, provide memorable experiences, and maintain consistency to be remembered. The presentation concludes by emphasizing the importance of designing games in ways that strengthen memory formation.
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Presented by the
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at
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Learning Through Play: STEM Games in the Classroom
Catherine Croft, Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer | Catlilli Games
Learning Through Play: STEM Games in the Classroom
Attendees will understand how STEM games can be used in K-12 classroom settings. They will learn about an overview of games on the market, from elementary school through high school. They will then learn how to design simple games that can be used to convey a key STEM concept within one class period. By the end of the workshop attendees will have collaborated to produce paper prototypes of such games.
We hope to host these files as free online print-and-play games for teachers, as a service to the community.
I will lead attendees in a game design workshop for STEM games in K-12 education. After providing an overview of such games, we will play a sample of existing games on the market from a variety of companies. Then each table will brainstorm ideas based on age, subject matter, and game mechanics. They will produce paper prototypes by the end of the workshop, which they will present to the other members. Hopefully, if it’s possible, we/SPC could host these files as free online print-and-play games for teachers as a service to the community.
Presented by the
Serious Play Conference
seriousplayconf.com
at
Orlando,
University of Central Florida,
UCF,
July 24-26, 2019
Playable Design
Wei Fan Chen, Executive Producer / Founder | Fourdesire, China
Playable Design
I’m the founder of Fourdesire. I created games include keeping people to stay hydrated (via Plant Nanny), motivating them to walk more and stay healthy (via Walkr), and helping them to keep track of the knowledge behind these healthful activities.
Our titles Plant Nanny, Walkr and Fortune City have been used by tens of millions of users globally and were covered by Washington Post, Business Insider, IGN, Polygon etc.
Presented by the
Serious Play Conference
seriousplayconf.com
at
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Playful Learning Without Games
Gregg Toppo, Author / Journalist and President | Education Writers Association
Playful Learning Without Games
What can educators do to understand games and make school a more rigorous, vital and enjoyable place? Building on decades of research, this session looks at the seven essential nutrients that games provide:
Failure
Feedback
Fairness
Flow
Fantasy
Freedom
Fellowship
Understanding these “seven F’s” can help teachers make their classrooms more successful places, even if they don’t like video games or are uncomfortable bringing them into the classroom. We’ll explore the possibilities and come up with doable, practical solutions.
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Jenn McNamara, Vice President | BreakAway Games
Client-Centered Serious Game Design
Serious game developers must consider client needs and constraints. To most, it is obvious that the end users’ desired training, behavior change, assessment, or experience outcomes shape the focus of the game. But the client organization’s funding, IT infrastructure, data needs, and personnel impact design as much, if not more, than end users’ needs.
This session will share experiences where these factors significantly impacted game design and make recommendations for identifying and addressing these needs early in the design process.
Presented by the
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A Promise to Future Generations: Making Learning Fun
This document discusses intrinsic and extrinsic motivation in learning. It references studies from 1971, 1973, and 2001 on how extrinsic rewards can undermine intrinsic motivation to learn. It notes that not enough time is spent considering why children want to learn and too much time is spent trying to force learning. The document suggests thinking about the principles of play to better motivate learning.
Lets make a game workshop ser play orlando 2019
This document outlines the schedule and process for a workshop on creating educational games. The workshop will guide participants through forming teams based on curriculum, conceptualizing a game concept around chosen curriculum concepts, prototyping the game through iterative playtesting and rule refinement, and reviewing the process and outcomes. The goal is for participants to gain experience applying a proven process for developing a game concept into a prototype to teach curriculum in an engaging way.
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Andrew Gassen, CEO | Pivotal Software
0 for 3: Edtech Startup Lessons Learned
I’ve been a part of 3 different education technology companies, all focused on the K-12 market. Each of these companies failed, but each for different reasons and in spectacularly different ways. This talk is a bit of a public post-mortem that focuses on 3 key lessons from each company, including a brief discussion on how we might have done things a different way if I knew then what I know now.
Presented by the
Serious Play Conference
seriousplayconf.com
at
Orlando,
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OODA OODA! How Rapid Iteration Can Help Level Up Your Gaming Business
Mitch Weisburgh, Partner | Academic Business Advisors and
Scott Brewster, Co-Founder & CTO | Triad Interactive Media / Hats & Ladders
DOUBLE SESSION: OODA OODA! How Rapid Iteration Can Help Level Up Your Gaming Business
We are all involved in lots of complicated and complex situations. We deal with students and learning. We write, adapt, and use games for learning. We may be running businesses.
One thing that all of these have in common is that we can’t just come up with a plan, execute and expect things to just work smoothly. Unexpected things happen, it’s often impossible to anticipate all possible situations, people react in unanticipated ways, there is often information we just don’t or can’t know in advance, the people we are working with have hidden agendas. Allies, antagonists, and resources shift and change. And so on.
So, what are we supposed to do?
We are going to explore a framework for managing solutions during periods of dynamic change. The OODA Loop Framework was developed by air force colonel John Boyd based on precepts developed by Sun Tzu, Napoleon, Heisenberg, Kyng, Einstein, Gödel, and others, and has been used by military, political, and business leaders around the world. You’ll learn to prepare for the unexpected, observe and react to actions and results, and pull together and manage a team despite adversity.
Presented by the
Serious Play Conference
seriousplayconf.com
at
Orlando,
University of Central Florida,
UCF,
July 24-26, 2019
The ux of serious games how to impact a wider audience
Birdie Champ, BS, M.Ed., Ed.S, Owner, Chief Product Officer | UXDiversity and Thorne Palmer, BA, M.Ed
The UX of Serious Games: How to Impact a Wider Audience
What elements are you measuring when determining the value of your serious game?
There are many critical touchpoints a player (user) experiences that occur before, during, and after playing a game, from initial interest to post-game evangelism. Some serious game designs inadvertently block some users from ever playing. Some design elements can cause players to rage quit where others thrive. In this session we will explore three topics:
First, we will explore a complete user’s experience (UX) of a serious game.
Second, we will look closer at the users of serious games and break them into personas based on social, emotional, and cognitive differences in how they learn and how they play.
Third, we will explore how to merge instructional design with game design with activities that bridge the varied experiences different users can have when engaging with similar challenges. By breaking down the UX into touch points, breaking down users into personas, and mitigating gaps in the varied qualities of user experiences, you will likely improve your game analysis, game quality, and broaden your customer segments.
Presented by the
Serious Play Conference
seriousplayconf.com
at
Montreal, Canada, Quebec,
UNIVERSITÉ DU QUÉBEC À MONTRÉAL,
UNIVERSITY OF QUEBEC IN MONTREAL,
July 10-12, 2019
Alphabet Soup Cans: Avoiding Bad Tropes of Educational Games
Stuart Criley presents on avoiding "bad tropes" in educational games. He discusses games that include puzzles that do not fit thematically, such as sorting soup cans to progress in a haunted house game. Criley urges developers to have a deep understanding of the topic and include authentic problems to engage students, rather than unrealistic scenarios like doing math in space. Developers must ensure educational games are worth the classroom time spent on them.
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Augmented Reality: Revolutionary or Disruptor of Training and Assessment
Dennis Glenn, MFA, Adjunct Professor| DePaul University Graduate School for New Learning / President | Dennis Glenn LLC
Augmented Reality: Revolutionary or Disruptor of Training and Assessment
Augmented reality (AR) has the potential to revolutionize training and assessment. This technology innovation superimposes computer-generated sensory input such as sound, video, graphics or GPS data onto a live or indirect view of a physical, real-world environment. The increasing need to scale education-based interactive learning to larger audiences thus mitigating the larger development costs, is where AR has a few potential revolutionary and disruption attributes that must be considered.
Learning Objectives:
Assessment needs to be done rigorously and methodologically, and AR technologies can provide multiple avenues to achieve this goal. Recall of knowledge is no longer a viable method to provide accurate validation of mastery. In order to assess competency, we need to understand what the learner needs to know and be able to do and then demonstrate their ability to perform these tasks. We will offer multiple solutions to this disruptor.
Privacy and security of the data con be compromised using AR technologies. A few of the risks to be discussed are identity theft, invasion of privacy, and unequal access, thus increasing the inequality divide. We will lead a discussion of the avenues to reduce these risks.
On the positive side we offer a number of effective solutions that lead to the demonstration of mastery. Using AR technology to disseminate education is a way to teach thousands of users across the globe while eliminating barriers to access, reducing costs, and ensuring consistency in quality and delivery.
Presented by the
Serious Play Conference
seriousplayconf.com
at
Orlando,
University of Central Florida,
UCF,
July 24-26, 2019
Return on Investment (ROI) for Virtual Environments and Gaming
Carole Bagley, President, Consultant, Team Lead | The Technology Group, Inc & Distinguished Service Professor | University of St. Thomas (UST)
Return on Investment (ROI) for Virtual Environments and Gaming
How effective are virtual and gaming environments? Do they have an impact on the user’s learning, on their job or organization and/or do they have an impact on their daily life?
The presentation will include a brief discussion of Kirkpatrick’s ROI levels 1-5 and how it is useful in the creation and evaluation of virtual gaming environments. Several virtual environments and games (Health Benefits, Pharmacy and Dentistry games for the Healthcare industry and a Tobacco prevention game for Middle school students) will be discussed and demonstrated and will describe how the evaluation results have impacted the effectiveness of the product and the user.
Participants who have conducted ROI evaluations will be asked to share their product evaluation results and how it impacted the users. Participants who are interested in conducting an ROI evaluation will be asked to provide for discussion product descriptions and what results/proof they are looking for in conducting an evaluation.
Presented by the
Serious Play Conference
seriousplayconf.com
at
Orlando,
University of Central Florida,
UCF,
July 24-26, 2019
Enhancing New Employee Orientation with a Digital Scavenger Hunt
Karen Burns, Asst. Coordinator of Faculty Development | The University of Alabama
Enhancing New Employee Orientation with a Digital Scavenger Hunt
Pervasive games are a burgeoning genre in which the affordances of mobile devices are used to extend the boundaries of digital games into the real world. This game genre leverages the GPS, photo, video, and texting capabilities of smart phone devices in order to create games that require location-dependent and context-sensitive interactions between the physical and virtual environments. One particular form of pervasive games is a digital scavenger hunt.
This presentation will focus on the findings of a study in which a digital scavenger hunt was integrated into new employee orientation. The goal of the study is to determine if a digital scavenger hunt can be an effective means of enhancing the typical employee orientation by reinforcing information provided during the face-to-face sessions, introducing new information, reducing the stress new employees typically feel, and fostering employee competence. While this study is ongoing, data collection and analysis will be completed by May 2019.
This session will report on the findings of this study and include a discussion of the successes and challenges of the study. Additionally, discussion will center on potential applications of a digital scavenger hunt being used as a means of learning through discovery.
Presented by the
Serious Play Conference
seriousplayconf.com
at
Orlando,
University of Central Florida,
UCF,
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Connector Corner: Seamlessly power UiPath Apps, GenAI with prebuilt connectors
Join us to learn how UiPath Apps can directly and easily interact with prebuilt connectors via Integration Service--including Salesforce, ServiceNow, Open GenAI, and more.
The best part is you can achieve this without building a custom workflow! Say goodbye to the hassle of using separate automations to call APIs. By seamlessly integrating within App Studio, you can now easily streamline your workflow, while gaining direct access to our Connector Catalog of popular applications.
We’ll discuss and demo the benefits of UiPath Apps and connectors including:
Creating a compelling user experience for any software, without the limitations of APIs.
Accelerating the app creation process, saving time and effort
Enjoying high-performance CRUD (create, read, update, delete) operations, for
seamless data management.
Speakers:
Russell Alfeche, Technology Leader, RPA at qBotic and UiPath MVP
Charlie Greenberg, host
“Temporal Event Neural Networks: A More Efficient Alternative to the Transfor...
“Temporal Event Neural Networks: A More Efficient Alternative to the Transfor...Edge AI and Vision Alliance
For the full video of this presentation, please visit: https://www.edge-ai-vision.com/2024/06/temporal-event-neural-networks-a-more-efficient-alternative-to-the-transformer-a-presentation-from-brainchip/
Chris Jones, Director of Product Management at BrainChip , presents the “Temporal Event Neural Networks: A More Efficient Alternative to the Transformer” tutorial at the May 2024 Embedded Vision Summit.
The expansion of AI services necessitates enhanced computational capabilities on edge devices. Temporal Event Neural Networks (TENNs), developed by BrainChip, represent a novel and highly efficient state-space network. TENNs demonstrate exceptional proficiency in handling multi-dimensional streaming data, facilitating advancements in object detection, action recognition, speech enhancement and language model/sequence generation. Through the utilization of polynomial-based continuous convolutions, TENNs streamline models, expedite training processes and significantly diminish memory requirements, achieving notable reductions of up to 50x in parameters and 5,000x in energy consumption compared to prevailing methodologies like transformers.
Integration with BrainChip’s Akida neuromorphic hardware IP further enhances TENNs’ capabilities, enabling the realization of highly capable, portable and passively cooled edge devices. This presentation delves into the technical innovations underlying TENNs, presents real-world benchmarks, and elucidates how this cutting-edge approach is positioned to revolutionize edge AI across diverse applications."Frontline Battles with DDoS: Best practices and Lessons Learned", Igor Ivaniuk
At this talk we will discuss DDoS protection tools and best practices, discuss network architectures and what AWS has to offer. Also, we will look into one of the largest DDoS attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure that happened in February 2022. We'll see, what techniques helped to keep the web resources available for Ukrainians and how AWS improved DDoS protection for all customers based on Ukraine experience
[OReilly Superstream] Occupy the Space: A grassroots guide to engineering (an...
The typical problem in product engineering is not bad strategy, so much as “no strategy”. This leads to confusion, lack of motivation, and incoherent action. The next time you look for a strategy and find an empty space, instead of waiting for it to be filled, I will show you how to fill it in yourself. If you’re wrong, it forces a correction. If you’re right, it helps create focus. I’ll share how I’ve approached this in the past, both what works and lessons for what didn’t work so well.
Biomedical Knowledge Graphs for Data Scientists and Bioinformaticians
Dmitrii Kamaev, PhD
Senior Product Owner - QIAGEN
5th LF Energy Power Grid Model Meet-up Slides
5th Power Grid Model Meet-up
It is with great pleasure that we extend to you an invitation to the 5th Power Grid Model Meet-up, scheduled for 6th June 2024. This event will adopt a hybrid format, allowing participants to join us either through an online Mircosoft Teams session or in person at TU/e located at Den Dolech 2, Eindhoven, Netherlands. The meet-up will be hosted by Eindhoven University of Technology (TU/e), a research university specializing in engineering science & technology.
Power Grid Model
The global energy transition is placing new and unprecedented demands on Distribution System Operators (DSOs). Alongside upgrades to grid capacity, processes such as digitization, capacity optimization, and congestion management are becoming vital for delivering reliable services.
Power Grid Model is an open source project from Linux Foundation Energy and provides a calculation engine that is increasingly essential for DSOs. It offers a standards-based foundation enabling real-time power systems analysis, simulations of electrical power grids, and sophisticated what-if analysis. In addition, it enables in-depth studies and analysis of the electrical power grid’s behavior and performance. This comprehensive model incorporates essential factors such as power generation capacity, electrical losses, voltage levels, power flows, and system stability.
Power Grid Model is currently being applied in a wide variety of use cases, including grid planning, expansion, reliability, and congestion studies. It can also help in analyzing the impact of renewable energy integration, assessing the effects of disturbances or faults, and developing strategies for grid control and optimization.
What to expect
For the upcoming meetup we are organizing, we have an exciting lineup of activities planned:
-Insightful presentations covering two practical applications of the Power Grid Model.
-An update on the latest advancements in Power Grid -Model technology during the first and second quarters of 2024.
-An interactive brainstorming session to discuss and propose new feature requests.
-An opportunity to connect with fellow Power Grid Model enthusiasts and users.
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Chris Hazard - Measuring and Manipulating Player Biases and Trust Through Choice and Game Mechanics
- 1. Measuring and Manipulating Player Trust through Choice and Game Mechanics Christopher J. Hazard, PhD CEO Hazardous Software Inc.
- 2. ● having reason or understanding ● relating to, based on, or agreeable to reason: reasonable
- 3. Rational ● having reason or understanding ● relating to, based on, or agreeable to reason: reasonable -Merriam Webster
- 4. Humans are rational* *given limited computational bounds, unfounded beliefs of others, inaccurate capability assessments, inexplicable valuations, and some level of [im]patience
- 5. Machines are rational* *given limited computational bounds, unfounded beliefs of world, wrong models, inexplicable valuations, and some level of implicit [im]patience
- 10. from zap2it.com from trutv.com by tinyfroglet, cc from supermanhomepage.com from Seattle Weekly from penny-arcade.com
- 11. Reputation ● Belief about attribute ● Hindsight, capabilities, statistics ● Concern: adverse selection Trust ● Belief will not exploit ● Foresight, strategy, game theory ● Concern: moral hazard
- 12. +
- 14. Trustworthiness Isomorphic to Discount Factor ● Compare two agents interacting with third in pure moral hazard situation ● Assumptions – Consistent valuations – Quasilinearity – Trustworthiness sufficiently consistent – Individually rational ● All else equal, given definitions & assumptions, only factor that affects trustworthiness is discount factor
- 15. Discounting Everywhere Stochastic search Amortization Bellman Equation Reinforcement Learning Markov Decision Processes & POMDPs Normalize discount rate wrt time
- 16. Creeping Sniper's Dilemma ● Single sniper optimal strategy; slow creep out = low risk ● Multiple sniper optimal strategy ● Match quickest visible discount strategy unless too risky
- 17. Negotiating Rubenstein Negotiation v1 = (1-γ2)/(1-γ1γ2) Inequalities if rationality not guaranteed Player & NPC interaction inequalities Impatience NPC disagreements with player over choices
- 18. Measuring discount factor by choice
- 19. Combining Observations: Bayesian Inference
- 20. Optimal Level of Patience for Given Scenario
- 21. Trust Exploration ● Measure valuations, discount factor, beliefs, maxent regions ● NPCs of different trustworthiness ● Reputations Trust Exploitation ● Push player's ethics buttons: “what is your price?” ● Stability & comfort vs conflict ● Trickery
- 22. Psychological Heuristics of Trust Homophily Embedding Corroboration Mass Effect 3 Image from WoW Cataclysm Image from Heavenly Sword
- 24. Acceptance and Affirmation Antitheses (Alliterated) - Algorithm aversion Dietvorst et al., J Exp Psych 2013 + Anthropomorphization - Abeyance of absorbtion + Acceptance acquiered after asking assistance Flynn, Org Behav & Hum Dec Proc, 2003
- 25. Selling Trust With Nuance 1: Don't [unintentionally] Scare Players Nevermind (forthcoming) – Monitor fright Balloon Brigade NBA 2K14 - Swearing IQ, Depression, Behavior, Health, Preferences, Diet, Injuries, Friends, etc. -Newman, Jerome, & Hazard, AIPLA, 2014 Psychometrics for Predicting Behavior – Poore et al., J Cognitive Engineering, 2014.
- 26. Selling Trust With Nuance 2: Physiology ● More permissive on right ear than left - Marzoli & Tommasi, Sci of Nat, 2009 ● Two-streams hypothesis for vision processing ● Foveal & spatial detail vs perifoveal & temporal detail ● Mutual exclusion between physical & social reasoning – Jack et al., Neuroimage, 2012 ● Push players to practice self-control – Denson, DeWall, Finkel, Cur Dir in Psych Sci., 2012
- 27. Selling Trust With Nuance 3: Hypnosis & Trance ● Relaxation ● Memory ● Creativity ● Suggestability ● Awe & comfort ● Biases ● Placebo effect
- 28. Trust & Society ● Enforcing/sanctioning to combat lies ● Incentive compatibility & revelation principle wrt information asymmetry ● Level of trust req'd for system & efficiency ● Too trusting with homophily, embedding, corroboration? ● Common inability to play “red player”
- 29. Direct Applications (Conclusions) NPC decisions: favors, purchases, alliances Measuring player patience Adversary willingness to look ahead related to organizational trust (e.g., big bad) NPC subordinates following player commands based on trustworthiness (explicit or implicit)