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Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Childbearing and attitudes in labor market
Lucas van der Velde
Warsaw School of Economics
FAME| GRAPE
2021 ASSA Annual Meeting
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Introduction
Motivation
Gender wage gaps are impacted by beliefs on gender roles
(Steinhauer 2018, Charles et al. 2018, Kleven, Landais, Posch, Steinhauer and Zweim¨uller 2019)
Children penalty plays an important role in explaining GWG
(Polachek 1981, Kleven, Landais and Søgaard 2019, Cukrowska-Torzewska and Matysiak 2020)
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Introduction
Motivation
Gender wage gaps are impacted by beliefs on gender roles
(Steinhauer 2018, Charles et al. 2018, Kleven, Landais, Posch, Steinhauer and Zweim¨uller 2019)
Children penalty plays an important role in explaining GWG
(Polachek 1981, Kleven, Landais and Søgaard 2019, Cukrowska-Torzewska and Matysiak 2020)
But beliefs are not stable
Evolution of beliefs around childbirth
(Borrell-Porta et al. 2019, Kuziemko et al. 2018, Berrington et al. 2008, Cunningham 2008)
Cognitive dissonance
(Kranton 2016)
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Introduction
Motivation
Gender wage gaps are impacted by beliefs on gender roles
(Steinhauer 2018, Charles et al. 2018, Kleven, Landais, Posch, Steinhauer and Zweim¨uller 2019)
Children penalty plays an important role in explaining GWG
(Polachek 1981, Kleven, Landais and Søgaard 2019, Cukrowska-Torzewska and Matysiak 2020)
But beliefs are not stable
Evolution of beliefs around childbirth
(Borrell-Porta et al. 2019, Kuziemko et al. 2018, Berrington et al. 2008, Cunningham 2008)
Cognitive dissonance
(Kranton 2016)
Shortcomings of the literature
Focus on a single country (mostly US or UK)
Emphasize changes for a men or women, rarely both
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Introduction
How does this paper fit in the literature?
Main hypothesis
Birth as an information shock (Kuziemko et al. 2018)
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Introduction
How does this paper fit in the literature?
Main hypothesis
Birth as an information shock (Kuziemko et al. 2018)
Childbirth
Unanticipated
difficulties in WLB
Cognitive
dissonance
↑ traditional
attitudes
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Introduction
How does this paper fit in the literature?
Main hypothesis
Childbirth
Unanticipated
difficulties in WLB
Cognitive
dissonance
↑ traditional
attitudes
The procedure
Estimate the relation between birth of first child and attitudes
Explore heterogeneity across countries & demographics groups
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Data and Methods
Gender and generations survey
a.k.a. Gender and generations programme
Effort coordinated by UNECE & the NIDI
Data collected by national administrators
Survey instrument adapted to national circumstances
Survey years: between 2002 & 2014; 2 waves per country, 3-5 years
between waves
Country coverage :
Austria, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, France, Georgia, Germany, Hungary,
Lithuania, Poland, and Russia
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Data and Methods
Sample desciption
Study focuses on respondents who
1 Appear in 2 waves
2 Are childless in wave 1
3 Are between 20 and 35 years old in wave 1
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Data and Methods
Sample desciption
Study focuses on respondents who
1 Appear in 2 waves
2 Are childless in wave 1
3 Are between 20 and 35 years old in wave 1
How binding are these conditions?
All In wave 2 & in 20-35 & Childless
N 112 784 89 675 18 875 11 468
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Data and Methods
Sample desciption
Study focuses on respondents who
1 Appear in 2 waves
2 Are childless in wave 1
3 Are between 20 and 35 years old in wave 1
How binding are these conditions?
All In wave 2 & in 20-35 & Childless
N 112 784 89 675 18 875 11 468
# countries: 10 → Average N per country = 1147
Conditions by country Go
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Data and Methods
Agreement with traditional gender norms
I measure agreement in two domains:
Role of the family
Women in labor market
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Data and Methods
Agreement with traditional gender norms
I measure agreement in two domains:
Role of the family
1 Women require a child to be fulfilled
2 Men require a child to be fulfilled
3 Pre-school children suffer if their mother works
Women in labor market
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Data and Methods
Agreement with traditional gender norms
I measure agreement in two domains:
Role of the family
1 Women require a child to be fulfilled
2 Men require a child to be fulfilled
3 Pre-school children suffer if their mother works
Women in labor market
4 When jobs are scarce, men have more right than women
5 If women earns more than husband, it is not good for the relationship
6 Being a housewife is just as fulfilling as a paid job
7 When jobs are scarce, people with children have more right to work
than childless
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Data and Methods
Agreement with traditional gender norms
I measure agreement in two domains:
Role of the family
1 Women require a child to be fulfilled †
2 Men require a child to be fulfilled
3 Pre-school children suffer if their mother works † ‡
Women in labor market
4 When jobs are scarce, men have more right than women †
5 If women earns more than husband, it is not good for the relationship
6 Being a housewife is just as fulfilling as a paid job †
7 When jobs are scarce, people with children have more right to work
than childless
†
Seguino (2007), Steinhauer (2018), ‡
Berrington et al. (2008), Schober and Scott (2012),
Perales et al. (2019), Charles et al. (2018)
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Data and Methods
Method: Diff-in-diff estimation
I estimate LPMs of the form
P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t
(1)
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Data and Methods
Method: Diff-in-diff estimation
I estimate LPMs of the form
P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t
(1)
where
P(agreesy )i,t → respondent (strongly) agrees with a norm
Parentsi indicates whether i would-be (W1) or is (W2) a parent
Afteri indicates survey wave → after childbirth for parents
Xi,1 other covariates measured at the time of first survey (or FE)
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Data and Methods
Method: Diff-in-diff estimation
I estimate LPMs of the form
P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t
(1)
where
β3 → Coefficient of interest
→ Causal effect of childbirth on attitudes
→ I expect β3 > 0 for women
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Data and Methods
Threats to identification
Self-selection into motherhood
Pre-trends
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Data and Methods
Threats to identification
Self-selection into motherhood
1 Inclusion of FE for unobserved time-invariant characteristics
2 Reweighting the sample → differences in X’s between groups
(Smith and Todd 2005, Imai and Ratkovic 2013)
→ Needed? Yes Go
Pre-trends
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Data and Methods
Threats to identification
Self-selection into motherhood
Pre-trends
1 Childless group: difference in means between waves
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Data and Methods
Threats to identification
Self-selection into motherhood
Pre-trends
1 Childless group: difference in means between waves
2 Parents group. I estimate
P(agrees|parent)i,t = α+θ1Aftert +θ2f (t)+θ3Aftert ×f (t)+γ2Xi,1 +υi,t
If θ2 are significant → Evidence against null of no pre-trends for parents
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Do parents change their answers: Mothers
Before After Comparisons of proportions N
Parent Y N Y N (1v2) (3v4) (1v3) (2v4)
Outcome (1) (2) (3) (4)
1 0.567 0.507 0.607 0.499 ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗ 6158
2 0.485 0.424 0.507 0.419 ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ 6144
3 0.465 0.459 0.455 0.427 ∗∗ 4720
4 0.168 0.150 0.194 0.149 ∗∗∗ 4582
5 0.170 0.188 0.156 0.169 ∗ 4974
6 0.542 0.475 0.543 0.456 ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ 4928
7 0.429 0.395 0.471 0.364 ∗∗∗ ∗∗ ∗ 4582
List of outcomes Go
Parents are different before, & more so after
Little evidence of change (bef. v after) in both groups
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Do parents change their answers: Fathers
Before After Comparisons of proportions N
Parent Y N Y N (1v2) (3v4) (1v3) (2v4)
Outcome (1) (2) (3) (4)
1 0.641 0.537 0.651 0.534 ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ 8056
2 0.612 0.504 0.642 0.494 ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ 8128
3 0.581 0.533 0.609 0.511 ∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗ 6006
4 0.411 0.338 0.383 0.313 ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗∗ 5974
5 0.205 0.193 0.176 0.183 6552
6 0.529 0.501 0.560 0.494 ∗∗∗ 6542
7 0.561 0.505 0.571 0.464 ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ 5980
List of outcomes Go
Differences between parents and non-parents are more pronounced
Little evidence of change (bef. v after) in both groups
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Diff-in-diff results: Women and family life
P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Diff-in-diff results: Women and family life
P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t
Outcome (1): Women require a child to be fulfilled
Women Men
DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE
+PSM +PSM
β1 0.063 *** 0.065 ***
(0.02) (0.02)
β2 0.023 -0.023 * -0.030 * -0.004 -0.001 -0.016
(0.01) (0.01) (0.02) (0.02) (0.01) (0.02)
β3 0.050 *** 0.051 *** 0.057 *** 0.016 0.014 0.030
(0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02)
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Diff-in-diff results: Women and family life
P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t
Outcome (2): Men require a child to be fulfilled
Women Men
DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE
+PSM +PSM
β1 0.061 *** 0.065 ***
(0.02) (0.02)
β2 0.016 -0.020 -0.034 * -0.011 -0.023 -0.024
(0.01) (0.01) (0.02) (0.02) (0.01) (0.02)
β3 0.029 0.029 0.038 * 0.042 ** 0.040 ** 0.055 **
(0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02)
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Diff-in-diff results: Women and family life
P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t
Outcome (3): Pre-school child suffer if mother works
Women Men
DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE
+PSM +PSM
β1 -0.004 0.045 **
(0.02) (0.02)
β2 -0.054 ** -0.062 ** -0.073 ** -0.049 * -0.041 * -0.106 ***
(0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.03) (0.02) (0.03)
β3 0.026 0.026 0.029 0.046 * 0.052 ** 0.070 **
(0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03)
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Diff-in-diff results: Women and family life
Summary
Women (appear to) priorize family over career → Outcome (1) , (2)
Children also gains importance for men → Outcome (2)
Men appear to embrace more traditional gender roles
→ Outcome (3)
→ ‘Mighty’ girl effect ? (Borrell-Porta et al. 2019)
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Diff-in-diff results: Women and work realm
P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Diff-in-diff results: Women and work realm
P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t
Outcome (4): When jobs are scarce men should have priority
Women Men
DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE
+PSM +PSM
β1 0.008 0.036 **
(0.01) (0.02)
β2 -0.027 -0.026 -0.082 *** -0.034 -0.044 ** -0.068 ***
(0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.02) (0.03)
β3 0.031 * 0.030 * 0.046 ** 0.007 0.003 0.025
(0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02)
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Diff-in-diff results: Women and work realm
P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t
Outcome (5): If women earn more, the relationship suffers
Women Men
DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE
+PSM +PSM
β1 -0.018 0.009
(0.02) (0.02)
β2 -0.061 *** -0.060 *** -0.038 -0.028 -0.031 -0.011
(0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.02) (0.03)
β3 0.005 0.005 -0.008 -0.024 -0.021 -0.032
(0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02)
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Diff-in-diff results: Women and work realm
P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t
Outcome (6): Being a housemaker is just as fulfilling as working for pay
Women Men
DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE
+PSM +PSM
β1 0.051 ** 0.002
(0.02) (0.02)
β2 -0.015 -0.033 -0.005 -0.023 -0.023 -0.057
(0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.03) (0.02) (0.04)
β3 0.028 0.028 0.017 0.039 0.041 0.043
(0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03)
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Diff-in-diff results: Women and work realm
P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t
Outcome (7): When jobs are scarce, parents have priority over childless
Women Men
DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE
+PSM +PSM
β1 0.040 ** 0.045 **
(0.02) (0.02)
β2 -0.028 -0.055 ** -0.093 ** -0.046 * -0.064 *** -0.093 ***
(0.03) (0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.02) (0.03)
β3 0.079 *** 0.079 *** 0.074 *** 0.062 ** 0.054 ** 0.061 **
(0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.02) (0.03)
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Diff-in-diff results: Women and work realm
Summary
No evidence on men changing their attitude in gender norms
(Outcomes 4-7)
Women appear to become more conservative in
→ Access to jobs (4)
→ But not in earnings nor household chores
Parents have a ‘corporativist’ view of employment
→ Similar effects across genders
→ What do they tell about gender inequality?
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Diff-in-diff results: no pre-trends analysis
P(agrees|parent)i,t = α+θ1Aftert +θ2f (t)+θ3Aftert ×f (t)+γ2Xi,1 +υi,t
Women Men
Linear Quad Cubic Linear Quad Cubic
Women & family life
Women need a child 0.618 1.454 0.995 1.292 3.986∗∗ 3.564∗∗
Men need a child 1.638 1.977 1.401 2.539 1.740 1.549
Child suffers 0.184 0.764 0.639 0.036 2.175 1.701
Women & work realm
Job priority: men 0.041 1.161 1.211 0.302 0.193 0.137
Woman earns more 0.165 0.126 0.087 0.166 0.102 0.304
Being a housemaker 0.016 2.881∗ 1.876 0.055 0.289 0.199
Job priority: Parent 0.452 3.163∗∗ 2.128∗ 1.194 2.459∗ 1.646
Alternative specifications More
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Heterogeneity analysis: by country groupings
Central and Eastern European vs Western European countries
By availability of formal care
By division of household chores
Skip
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Heterogeneity analysis: by country groupings
Central and Eastern European vs Western European countries
In CEE countries more marked change in opinions
Effects vary by country, very large in Lithuania, smaller in Poland.
Estimates are not precisely estimated (N < 1000 in most cases)
WE countries are not all same (German speaking vs France)
See table
By availability of formal care
By division of household chores
Skip
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Heterogeneity analysis: by country groupings
Central and Eastern European vs Western European countries
By availability of formal care
GGS reports whether children receive institutionalized care
Estimate the share of households that use any form of care
Low formal care → ↑ more traditional norms
See table
By division of household chores
Skip
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Heterogeneity analysis: by country groupings
Central and Eastern European vs Western European countries
By availability of formal care
By division of household chores
GGS reports division of HH chores in 7 domains
Estimate the share of households tasks done mostly or only by
women
High share of tasks done by women
↑ increase in traditional roles for both
Strongest for child suffers ....
See table
Skip
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Heterogeneity analysis: by respondents characteristics
By age at first birth
By education status
By labor market status
By partnership status
Skip
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Heterogeneity analysis: by respondents characteristics
By age at first birth
Below vs above median age at first birth
↑ ”Need to have children to be fulfilled” for older cohorts
↑ ”Job priority for parents” for younger cohorts
∼ change in job priority for men ... but p-values>.15
See table
By education status
By labor market status
By partnership status
Skip
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Heterogeneity analysis: by respondents characteristics
By age at first birth
By education status
Completed tertiary in first wave vs. not completed
↑ change in job priority for men for less educated women
p-values∼.15
↑ ”child suffers if mother works” among men with tertiary
See table
By labor market status
By partnership status
Skip
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Heterogeneity analysis: by respondents characteristics
By age at first birth
By education status
By labor market status
Employed respondents vs. non-employed
↑ Need for a child among employed respondents
↑ ”child suffers if mother works” among employed men
↑ ”job priority for women” among non-employed women ... but
p-values>.15
See table
By partnership status
Skip
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Heterogeneity analysis: by respondents characteristics
By age at first birth
By education status
By labor market status
By partnership status
Respondents living with a cohabiting partner vs. partner not in
household
↑ Results stronger in non-partnered households
↑ ”Child suffers ...” among partnered men.
Is marriage driving change? No
See table
Skip
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Results
Attitudes unrelated to childbirth
P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t
Women Men
Homosexual couples -0.009 -0.012
(0.02) (0.02)
People can be trusted -0.014 -0.009
(0.03) (0.03)
People take adv. 0.008 0.026
(0.04) (0.03)
Divorce with children 0.013 0.003
(0.02) (0.02)
Single mothers -0.031 -0.023
(0.02) (0.03)
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Concluding remarks
Concluding remarks
Results expand literature on child gap by looking at how other
outcomes are affected
Attitudes towards traditional gender norms change after childbirth
→ agreement that children are required to be fulfilled
→ agreement that children suffer if mother works (men)
→ Men priority if jobs are scarce (women)
Evidence of cross-country heterogeneity in these answers
→ agreement stronger in CEE
→ agreement stronger if lack of formal care / help
Individual heterogeneity
Disadvantaged groups →↑ agree with job priority for men
Advantaged groups →↑ agree with satisfaction of having a child
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Concluding remarks
Questions (?)
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Concluding remarks
Questions (?)
Thank you for your attention
w: grape.org.pl
t: grape org
f: grape.org
e: lvandervelde@grape.org.pl
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
References
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parenting daughters alter attitudes towards gender norms?, Oxford Economic
Papers 71(1), 25–46.
URL: https://academic.oup.com/oep/article/71/1/25/5237459
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the Lifecourse, Social Forces 87(1), 299–323.
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penalties across countries: Evidence and explanations, Working Paper 25524,
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Appendix
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Evidence from denmark, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics
11(4), 181–209.
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ideology: Lessons from British panel data, Social Science Research 79, 85–100.
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Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Appendix
Sample selection by country
Country All In wave 2 & in 20’s & Childless
Austria 5000 3918 1468 1042
Bulgaria 12858 9363 2316 1255
Czechia 10006 9723 2211 1507
France 10079 8643 1562 1097
Georgia 10000 9845 2136 1216
Germany 10017 3977 556 370
Hungary 13540 10641 2510 1653
Lithuania 10036 9877 2003 1236
Poland 19987 12952 1949 1091
Russia 11261 10736 2164 1001
Total 112784 89675 18875 11468
Back
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Appendix
Are parents and non-parents different? Yes
Wave 1 Wave 2
Parents No Yes No Yes
Demographics
Female 0.43 0.53 0.43 0.53
Age 25.56 26.72 28.91 30.14
Married 0.06 0.31 0.14 0.67
Education
Primary 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08
Secondary 0.64 0.59 0.47 0.50
Tertiary 0.28 0.33 0.45 0.42
Labor Market Status
WE or SE 0.60 0.76 0.66 0.69
Family workers 0.01 0.01 0.14 0.17
Unemployed 0.14 0.13 0.11 0.08
Inactive 0.25 0.10 0.10 0.06
Back to threats
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Appendix
Agreement with traditional gender norms
Role of the family
1 Women require a child to be fulfilled
2 Men require a child to be fulfilled
3 Pre-school children suffer if their mother works
Women in labor market
4 When jobs are scarce, men have more right than women
5 If women earns more than husband, it is not good for the relationship
6 Being a housewife is just as fulfilling as a paid job
7 When jobs are scarce, people with children have more right to work
than childless
Back to differences
Pre-trends
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Appendix
More on pre-trends
What is the right threshold for pre-period?
Women Men
Linear Quad Cubic Linear Quad Cubic
Discontinuity 6 months before birth
Outcome 1 0.000 0.643 0.581 0.582 0.384 0.285
Outcome 2 0.273 1.058 1.277 0.088 0.100 0.080
Outcome 3 0.014 0.513 0.403 1.406 1.318 1.012
Outcome 4 0.048 1.474 1.407 0.179 0.152 0.152
Outcome 5 0.087 0.049 0.065 0.423 0.212 0.808
Outcome 6 2.214 1.822 1.432 2.013 1.582 3.731∗∗
Outcome 7 0.058 2.512∗
1.831 0.581 2.664∗
2.156∗
Discontinuity 12 months before birth
Outcome 1 0.220 0.472 0.827 1.115 0.573 0.416
Outcome 2 0.356 0.207 0.350 0.005 0.254 0.183
Outcome 3 0.233 0.473 0.364 2.687 1.391 0.969
Outcome 4 0.013 3.350∗∗
2.237∗
0.010 0.008 0.024
Outcome 5 0.507 1.110 0.739 0.157 0.325 1.013
Outcome 6 3.084∗
1.837 1.853 0.208 0.696 1.249
Outcome 7 0.558 1.967 1.598 0.303 0.831 0.754
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Appendix
Even more on pre-trends0.05.1.15.2
Density/Pr(agree|time)
−36 −24 −12 0
Months to childbirth
(−12 = 1 year before)
When jobs are scarce, men have priority
Significant differences appear to be driven by very early observations
Sample composition issues
Pre-trends
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Appendix
Heterogeneity: Working in the first wave
Women Men
Y N Y N
Women & family life
Woman needs a child ... 0.052 ** 0.030 0.022 -0.001
(0.02) (0.33) (0.34) (0.98)
Man needs a child ... 0.032 -0.001 0.062 *** -0.020
(0.17) (0.99) (0.01) (0.63)
Child suffers ... -0.002 0.066 0.067 ** 0.021
(0.93) (0.12) (0.03) (0.67)
Women & work realm
Job priority: men 0.015 0.045 0.005 -0.028
(0.43) (0.19) (0.85) (0.53)
Woman earns more ... -0.016 0.040 -0.008 -0.048
(0.47) (0.22) (0.72) (0.29)
Being a housemaker ... 0.019 0.043 0.002 0.117 **
(0.51) (0.33) (0.93) (0.03)
Job priority: parents 0.071 ** 0.078 * 0.050 * 0.044
(0.02) (0.05) (0.09) (0.36)
Notes: DiD estimates with individual FE. SE clustered at the individual level. ***, **, * denote
pvalues < 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1.
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Appendix
Heterogeneity: Completed tert. studies in the first wave
Women Men
Y N Y N
Women & family life
Woman needs a child ... 0.084 *** 0.020 0.021 0.016
(0.00) (0.39) (0.58) (0.50)
Man needs a child ... 0.041 0.009 0.010 0.057 **
(0.16) (0.72) (0.80) (0.01)
Child suffers ... 0.035 0.004 0.127 *** 0.018
(0.33) (0.90) (0.01) (0.57)
Women & work realm
Job priority: men 0.001 0.038 0.047 -0.017
(0.96) (0.10) (0.22) (0.53)
Woman earns more ... 0.023 -0.010 0.007 -0.034
(0.40) (0.68) (0.85) (0.16)
Being a housemaker ... -0.001 0.041 0.065 0.024
(0.98) (0.19) (0.19) (0.42)
Job priority: parents 0.076 ** 0.082 *** 0.004 0.080 ***
(0.04) (0.01) (0.92) (0.01)
Notes: DiD estimates with individual FE. SE clustered at the individual level. ***, **, * denote
pvalues < 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1.
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Appendix
Heterogeneity: below median age at first birth
Women Men
Y N Y N
Women & family life
Woman needs a child ... 0.022 0.064 ** -0.031 0.050 *
(0.36) (0.03) (0.36) (0.07)
Man needs a child ... -0.031 0.072 ** 0.028 0.066 **
(0.25) (0.02) (0.40) (0.01)
Child suffers ... 0.023 0.007 0.065 0.037
(0.47) (0.85) (0.11) (0.30)
Women & work realm
Job priority: men 0.027 0.020 -0.037 0.021
(0.25) (0.43) (0.30) (0.48)
Woman earns more ... 0.002 -0.022 -0.052 0.001
(0.95) (0.44) (0.10) (0.98)
Being a housemaker ... 0.027 0.015 0.084 ** 0.015
(0.44) (0.70) (0.04) (0.68)
Job priority: parents 0.087 *** 0.057 0.100 ** 0.020
(0.01) (0.11) (0.01) (0.54)
Notes: DiD estimates with individual FE. SE clustered at the individual level. ***, **, * denote
pvalues < 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1.
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Appendix
Heterogeneity: has cohabiting partner in the first wave
Women Men
Y N Y N
Women & family life
Woman needs a child ... 0.019 0.076 *** -0.015 0.064 **
(0.47) (0.00) (0.64) (0.02)
Man needs a child ... 0.031 0.045 -0.012 0.102 ***
(0.30) (0.11) (0.72) (0.00)
Child suffers ... 0.004 0.063 * 0.132 *** 0.027
(0.92) (0.06) (0.00) (0.46)
Women & work realm
Job priority: men 0.019 0.052 * 0.012 0.011
(0.44) (0.05) (0.73) (0.73)
Woman earns more ... -0.014 0.004 -0.048 0.001
(0.61) (0.87) (0.12) (0.98)
Being a housemaker ... 0.009 0.045 0.056 0.046
(0.81) (0.19) (0.20) (0.21)
Job priority: parents 0.065 * 0.071 * 0.041 0.061 *
(0.07) (0.05) (0.30) (0.09)
Notes: DiD estimates with individual FE. SE clustered at the individual level. ***, **, * denote
pvalues < 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1.
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Appendix
Heterogeneity: wants to have a child in first wave
Women Men
Y N Y N
Women & family life
Woman needs a child ... 0.028 0.005 0.078 0.026
(0.55) (0.92) (0.11) (0.61)
Man needs a child ... -0.003 -0.023 0.074 0.032
(0.95) (0.58) (0.13) (0.54)
Child suffers ... 0.027 -0.022 0.104 * 0.026
(0.64) (0.63) (0.07) (0.67)
Women & work realm
Job priority: men 0.010 -0.005 0.015 0.004
(0.81) (0.85) (0.77) (0.92)
Woman earns more ... -0.015 -0.018 -0.050 -0.033
(0.73) (0.62) (0.28) (0.31)
Being a housemaker ... 0.067 0.054 0.048 0.031
(0.26) (0.29) (0.44) (0.58)
Job priority: parents 0.096 0.119 ** 0.011 0.086
(0.11) (0.01) (0.85) (0.15)
Notes: DiD estimates with individual FE. SE clustered at the individual level. ***, **, * denote
pvalues < 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1.
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Appendix
Heterogeneity: CEE vs Western countries
Women Men
Y N Y N
Women & family life
Woman needs a child ... 0.065 *** 0.013 0.028 -0.027
(0.00) (0.67) (0.21) (0.51)
Man needs a child ... 0.035 0.001 0.050 ** 0.015
(0.15) (0.97) (0.03) (0.71)
Child suffers ... 0.058 * -0.032 0.097 *** -0.059
(0.07) (0.32) (0.00) (0.20)
Women & work realm
Job priority: men 0.039 0.007 0.008 -0.023
(0.14) (0.66) (0.78) (0.44)
Woman earns more ... 0.007 -0.003 -0.014 -0.045 *
(0.80) (0.91) (0.59) (0.06)
Being a housemaker ... 0.044 -0.005 0.052 * -0.007
(0.16) (0.89) (0.09) (0.89)
Job priority: parents 0.088 *** 0.071 ** 0.055 * 0.044
(0.01) (0.04) (0.07) (0.31)
Notes: DiD estimates with individual FE. SE clustered at the individual level. ***, **, * denote
pvalues < 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1. CEE: Bulgaria, Czechia, Georgia, Hungary, Lithuania, Poland, Russia.
Non-CEE: Austria, Germany, France.
Back
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Appendix
Diff-in-diff results: Access to formal care
Women Men
Below Above Below Above
Women & family life
Woman needs a child ... 0.077 *** 0.029 0.051 * -0.020
(0.01) (0.17) (0.07) (0.46)
Man needs a child ... 0.076 ** -0.013 0.067 ** 0.019
(0.01) (0.59) (0.02) (0.48)
Child suffers ... 0.056 -0.013 0.107 *** -0.037
(0.11) (0.66) (0.00) (0.36)
Women & work realm
Job priority: men 0.039 0.007 0.008 -0.023
(0.14) (0.66) (0.78) (0.44)
Woman earns more ... -0.012 0.019 -0.018 -0.030
(0.68) (0.41) (0.52) (0.23)
Being a housemaker ... 0.044 0.005 0.061 * -0.009
(0.20) (0.88) (0.06) (0.83)
Job priority: parents 0.088 *** 0.071 ** 0.055 * 0.044
(0.01) (0.04) (0.07) (0.31)
Notes: DiD estimates with individual FE. Below and Above indicate countries’ position relative to
median . SE clustered at the individual level. ***, **, * denote pvalues < 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1.
P-values in parentheses.
Back
Does childbearing make us more conservative?
Appendix
Diff-in-diff results: Female share of household chores
Women Men
Above Below Above Below
Women & family life
Woman needs a child ... 0.062 *** 0.039 0.023 0.004
(0.01) (0.13) (0.34) (0.91)
Man needs a child ... 0.028 0.023 0.028 0.064 *
(0.33) (0.37) (0.24) (0.06)
Child suffers ... 0.069 * -0.007 0.091 *** 0.007
(0.08) (0.81) (0.01) (0.85)
Women & work realm
Job priority: men 0.050 0.017 0.023 -0.021
(0.21) (0.31) (0.54) (0.45)
Woman earns more ... 0.049 -0.025 -0.010 -0.035 *
(0.14) (0.25) (0.77) (0.08)
Being a housemaker ... 0.070 * 0.000 0.065 * 0.006
(0.08) (0.99) (0.08) (0.86)
Job priority: parents 0.096 ** 0.075 *** 0.061 * 0.044
(0.03) (0.01) (0.10) (0.20)
Notes: DiD estimates with individual FE. Below and Above indicate countries’ position relative
to median. SE clustered at the individual level. ***, **, * denote pvalues < 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1.
P-values in parentheses.
Back

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Childbearing and attitudes towards gender norms

  • 1. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Does childbearing make us more conservative? Childbearing and attitudes in labor market Lucas van der Velde Warsaw School of Economics FAME| GRAPE 2021 ASSA Annual Meeting
  • 2. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Introduction Motivation Gender wage gaps are impacted by beliefs on gender roles (Steinhauer 2018, Charles et al. 2018, Kleven, Landais, Posch, Steinhauer and Zweim¨uller 2019) Children penalty plays an important role in explaining GWG (Polachek 1981, Kleven, Landais and Søgaard 2019, Cukrowska-Torzewska and Matysiak 2020)
  • 3. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Introduction Motivation Gender wage gaps are impacted by beliefs on gender roles (Steinhauer 2018, Charles et al. 2018, Kleven, Landais, Posch, Steinhauer and Zweim¨uller 2019) Children penalty plays an important role in explaining GWG (Polachek 1981, Kleven, Landais and Søgaard 2019, Cukrowska-Torzewska and Matysiak 2020) But beliefs are not stable Evolution of beliefs around childbirth (Borrell-Porta et al. 2019, Kuziemko et al. 2018, Berrington et al. 2008, Cunningham 2008) Cognitive dissonance (Kranton 2016)
  • 4. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Introduction Motivation Gender wage gaps are impacted by beliefs on gender roles (Steinhauer 2018, Charles et al. 2018, Kleven, Landais, Posch, Steinhauer and Zweim¨uller 2019) Children penalty plays an important role in explaining GWG (Polachek 1981, Kleven, Landais and Søgaard 2019, Cukrowska-Torzewska and Matysiak 2020) But beliefs are not stable Evolution of beliefs around childbirth (Borrell-Porta et al. 2019, Kuziemko et al. 2018, Berrington et al. 2008, Cunningham 2008) Cognitive dissonance (Kranton 2016) Shortcomings of the literature Focus on a single country (mostly US or UK) Emphasize changes for a men or women, rarely both
  • 5. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Introduction How does this paper fit in the literature? Main hypothesis Birth as an information shock (Kuziemko et al. 2018)
  • 6. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Introduction How does this paper fit in the literature? Main hypothesis Birth as an information shock (Kuziemko et al. 2018) Childbirth Unanticipated difficulties in WLB Cognitive dissonance ↑ traditional attitudes
  • 7. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Introduction How does this paper fit in the literature? Main hypothesis Childbirth Unanticipated difficulties in WLB Cognitive dissonance ↑ traditional attitudes The procedure Estimate the relation between birth of first child and attitudes Explore heterogeneity across countries & demographics groups
  • 8. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Data and Methods Gender and generations survey a.k.a. Gender and generations programme Effort coordinated by UNECE & the NIDI Data collected by national administrators Survey instrument adapted to national circumstances Survey years: between 2002 & 2014; 2 waves per country, 3-5 years between waves Country coverage : Austria, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, France, Georgia, Germany, Hungary, Lithuania, Poland, and Russia
  • 9. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Data and Methods Sample desciption Study focuses on respondents who 1 Appear in 2 waves 2 Are childless in wave 1 3 Are between 20 and 35 years old in wave 1
  • 10. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Data and Methods Sample desciption Study focuses on respondents who 1 Appear in 2 waves 2 Are childless in wave 1 3 Are between 20 and 35 years old in wave 1 How binding are these conditions? All In wave 2 & in 20-35 & Childless N 112 784 89 675 18 875 11 468
  • 11. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Data and Methods Sample desciption Study focuses on respondents who 1 Appear in 2 waves 2 Are childless in wave 1 3 Are between 20 and 35 years old in wave 1 How binding are these conditions? All In wave 2 & in 20-35 & Childless N 112 784 89 675 18 875 11 468 # countries: 10 → Average N per country = 1147 Conditions by country Go
  • 12. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Data and Methods Agreement with traditional gender norms I measure agreement in two domains: Role of the family Women in labor market
  • 13. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Data and Methods Agreement with traditional gender norms I measure agreement in two domains: Role of the family 1 Women require a child to be fulfilled 2 Men require a child to be fulfilled 3 Pre-school children suffer if their mother works Women in labor market
  • 14. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Data and Methods Agreement with traditional gender norms I measure agreement in two domains: Role of the family 1 Women require a child to be fulfilled 2 Men require a child to be fulfilled 3 Pre-school children suffer if their mother works Women in labor market 4 When jobs are scarce, men have more right than women 5 If women earns more than husband, it is not good for the relationship 6 Being a housewife is just as fulfilling as a paid job 7 When jobs are scarce, people with children have more right to work than childless
  • 15. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Data and Methods Agreement with traditional gender norms I measure agreement in two domains: Role of the family 1 Women require a child to be fulfilled † 2 Men require a child to be fulfilled 3 Pre-school children suffer if their mother works † ‡ Women in labor market 4 When jobs are scarce, men have more right than women † 5 If women earns more than husband, it is not good for the relationship 6 Being a housewife is just as fulfilling as a paid job † 7 When jobs are scarce, people with children have more right to work than childless † Seguino (2007), Steinhauer (2018), ‡ Berrington et al. (2008), Schober and Scott (2012), Perales et al. (2019), Charles et al. (2018)
  • 16. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Data and Methods Method: Diff-in-diff estimation I estimate LPMs of the form P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t (1)
  • 17. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Data and Methods Method: Diff-in-diff estimation I estimate LPMs of the form P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t (1) where P(agreesy )i,t → respondent (strongly) agrees with a norm Parentsi indicates whether i would-be (W1) or is (W2) a parent Afteri indicates survey wave → after childbirth for parents Xi,1 other covariates measured at the time of first survey (or FE)
  • 18. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Data and Methods Method: Diff-in-diff estimation I estimate LPMs of the form P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t (1) where β3 → Coefficient of interest → Causal effect of childbirth on attitudes → I expect β3 > 0 for women
  • 19. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Data and Methods Threats to identification Self-selection into motherhood Pre-trends
  • 20. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Data and Methods Threats to identification Self-selection into motherhood 1 Inclusion of FE for unobserved time-invariant characteristics 2 Reweighting the sample → differences in X’s between groups (Smith and Todd 2005, Imai and Ratkovic 2013) → Needed? Yes Go Pre-trends
  • 21. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Data and Methods Threats to identification Self-selection into motherhood Pre-trends 1 Childless group: difference in means between waves
  • 22. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Data and Methods Threats to identification Self-selection into motherhood Pre-trends 1 Childless group: difference in means between waves 2 Parents group. I estimate P(agrees|parent)i,t = α+θ1Aftert +θ2f (t)+θ3Aftert ×f (t)+γ2Xi,1 +υi,t If θ2 are significant → Evidence against null of no pre-trends for parents
  • 23. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Do parents change their answers: Mothers Before After Comparisons of proportions N Parent Y N Y N (1v2) (3v4) (1v3) (2v4) Outcome (1) (2) (3) (4) 1 0.567 0.507 0.607 0.499 ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗ 6158 2 0.485 0.424 0.507 0.419 ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ 6144 3 0.465 0.459 0.455 0.427 ∗∗ 4720 4 0.168 0.150 0.194 0.149 ∗∗∗ 4582 5 0.170 0.188 0.156 0.169 ∗ 4974 6 0.542 0.475 0.543 0.456 ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ 4928 7 0.429 0.395 0.471 0.364 ∗∗∗ ∗∗ ∗ 4582 List of outcomes Go Parents are different before, & more so after Little evidence of change (bef. v after) in both groups
  • 24. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Do parents change their answers: Fathers Before After Comparisons of proportions N Parent Y N Y N (1v2) (3v4) (1v3) (2v4) Outcome (1) (2) (3) (4) 1 0.641 0.537 0.651 0.534 ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ 8056 2 0.612 0.504 0.642 0.494 ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ 8128 3 0.581 0.533 0.609 0.511 ∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗ 6006 4 0.411 0.338 0.383 0.313 ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗∗ 5974 5 0.205 0.193 0.176 0.183 6552 6 0.529 0.501 0.560 0.494 ∗∗∗ 6542 7 0.561 0.505 0.571 0.464 ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ ∗∗∗ 5980 List of outcomes Go Differences between parents and non-parents are more pronounced Little evidence of change (bef. v after) in both groups
  • 25. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Diff-in-diff results: Women and family life P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t
  • 26. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Diff-in-diff results: Women and family life P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t Outcome (1): Women require a child to be fulfilled Women Men DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE +PSM +PSM β1 0.063 *** 0.065 *** (0.02) (0.02) β2 0.023 -0.023 * -0.030 * -0.004 -0.001 -0.016 (0.01) (0.01) (0.02) (0.02) (0.01) (0.02) β3 0.050 *** 0.051 *** 0.057 *** 0.016 0.014 0.030 (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02)
  • 27. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Diff-in-diff results: Women and family life P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t Outcome (2): Men require a child to be fulfilled Women Men DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE +PSM +PSM β1 0.061 *** 0.065 *** (0.02) (0.02) β2 0.016 -0.020 -0.034 * -0.011 -0.023 -0.024 (0.01) (0.01) (0.02) (0.02) (0.01) (0.02) β3 0.029 0.029 0.038 * 0.042 ** 0.040 ** 0.055 ** (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02)
  • 28. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Diff-in-diff results: Women and family life P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t Outcome (3): Pre-school child suffer if mother works Women Men DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE +PSM +PSM β1 -0.004 0.045 ** (0.02) (0.02) β2 -0.054 ** -0.062 ** -0.073 ** -0.049 * -0.041 * -0.106 *** (0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.03) (0.02) (0.03) β3 0.026 0.026 0.029 0.046 * 0.052 ** 0.070 ** (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03)
  • 29. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Diff-in-diff results: Women and family life Summary Women (appear to) priorize family over career → Outcome (1) , (2) Children also gains importance for men → Outcome (2) Men appear to embrace more traditional gender roles → Outcome (3) → ‘Mighty’ girl effect ? (Borrell-Porta et al. 2019)
  • 30. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Diff-in-diff results: Women and work realm P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t
  • 31. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Diff-in-diff results: Women and work realm P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t Outcome (4): When jobs are scarce men should have priority Women Men DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE +PSM +PSM β1 0.008 0.036 ** (0.01) (0.02) β2 -0.027 -0.026 -0.082 *** -0.034 -0.044 ** -0.068 *** (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) β3 0.031 * 0.030 * 0.046 ** 0.007 0.003 0.025 (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02)
  • 32. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Diff-in-diff results: Women and work realm P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t Outcome (5): If women earn more, the relationship suffers Women Men DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE +PSM +PSM β1 -0.018 0.009 (0.02) (0.02) β2 -0.061 *** -0.060 *** -0.038 -0.028 -0.031 -0.011 (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) β3 0.005 0.005 -0.008 -0.024 -0.021 -0.032 (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02)
  • 33. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Diff-in-diff results: Women and work realm P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t Outcome (6): Being a housemaker is just as fulfilling as working for pay Women Men DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE +PSM +PSM β1 0.051 ** 0.002 (0.02) (0.02) β2 -0.015 -0.033 -0.005 -0.023 -0.023 -0.057 (0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.03) (0.02) (0.04) β3 0.028 0.028 0.017 0.039 0.041 0.043 (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03)
  • 34. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Diff-in-diff results: Women and work realm P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t Outcome (7): When jobs are scarce, parents have priority over childless Women Men DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE DiD DiD+FE DiD + FE +PSM +PSM β1 0.040 ** 0.045 ** (0.02) (0.02) β2 -0.028 -0.055 ** -0.093 ** -0.046 * -0.064 *** -0.093 *** (0.03) (0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) β3 0.079 *** 0.079 *** 0.074 *** 0.062 ** 0.054 ** 0.061 ** (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.02) (0.03)
  • 35. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Diff-in-diff results: Women and work realm Summary No evidence on men changing their attitude in gender norms (Outcomes 4-7) Women appear to become more conservative in → Access to jobs (4) → But not in earnings nor household chores Parents have a ‘corporativist’ view of employment → Similar effects across genders → What do they tell about gender inequality?
  • 36. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Diff-in-diff results: no pre-trends analysis P(agrees|parent)i,t = α+θ1Aftert +θ2f (t)+θ3Aftert ×f (t)+γ2Xi,1 +υi,t Women Men Linear Quad Cubic Linear Quad Cubic Women & family life Women need a child 0.618 1.454 0.995 1.292 3.986∗∗ 3.564∗∗ Men need a child 1.638 1.977 1.401 2.539 1.740 1.549 Child suffers 0.184 0.764 0.639 0.036 2.175 1.701 Women & work realm Job priority: men 0.041 1.161 1.211 0.302 0.193 0.137 Woman earns more 0.165 0.126 0.087 0.166 0.102 0.304 Being a housemaker 0.016 2.881∗ 1.876 0.055 0.289 0.199 Job priority: Parent 0.452 3.163∗∗ 2.128∗ 1.194 2.459∗ 1.646 Alternative specifications More
  • 37. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Heterogeneity analysis: by country groupings Central and Eastern European vs Western European countries By availability of formal care By division of household chores Skip
  • 38. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Heterogeneity analysis: by country groupings Central and Eastern European vs Western European countries In CEE countries more marked change in opinions Effects vary by country, very large in Lithuania, smaller in Poland. Estimates are not precisely estimated (N < 1000 in most cases) WE countries are not all same (German speaking vs France) See table By availability of formal care By division of household chores Skip
  • 39. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Heterogeneity analysis: by country groupings Central and Eastern European vs Western European countries By availability of formal care GGS reports whether children receive institutionalized care Estimate the share of households that use any form of care Low formal care → ↑ more traditional norms See table By division of household chores Skip
  • 40. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Heterogeneity analysis: by country groupings Central and Eastern European vs Western European countries By availability of formal care By division of household chores GGS reports division of HH chores in 7 domains Estimate the share of households tasks done mostly or only by women High share of tasks done by women ↑ increase in traditional roles for both Strongest for child suffers .... See table Skip
  • 41. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Heterogeneity analysis: by respondents characteristics By age at first birth By education status By labor market status By partnership status Skip
  • 42. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Heterogeneity analysis: by respondents characteristics By age at first birth Below vs above median age at first birth ↑ ”Need to have children to be fulfilled” for older cohorts ↑ ”Job priority for parents” for younger cohorts ∼ change in job priority for men ... but p-values>.15 See table By education status By labor market status By partnership status Skip
  • 43. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Heterogeneity analysis: by respondents characteristics By age at first birth By education status Completed tertiary in first wave vs. not completed ↑ change in job priority for men for less educated women p-values∼.15 ↑ ”child suffers if mother works” among men with tertiary See table By labor market status By partnership status Skip
  • 44. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Heterogeneity analysis: by respondents characteristics By age at first birth By education status By labor market status Employed respondents vs. non-employed ↑ Need for a child among employed respondents ↑ ”child suffers if mother works” among employed men ↑ ”job priority for women” among non-employed women ... but p-values>.15 See table By partnership status Skip
  • 45. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Heterogeneity analysis: by respondents characteristics By age at first birth By education status By labor market status By partnership status Respondents living with a cohabiting partner vs. partner not in household ↑ Results stronger in non-partnered households ↑ ”Child suffers ...” among partnered men. Is marriage driving change? No See table Skip
  • 46. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Results Attitudes unrelated to childbirth P(agreesy )i,t = α+β1Parentsi +β2Afteri,t+β3Aftert×Parentsi +γ Xi,1+ i,t Women Men Homosexual couples -0.009 -0.012 (0.02) (0.02) People can be trusted -0.014 -0.009 (0.03) (0.03) People take adv. 0.008 0.026 (0.04) (0.03) Divorce with children 0.013 0.003 (0.02) (0.02) Single mothers -0.031 -0.023 (0.02) (0.03)
  • 47. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Concluding remarks Concluding remarks Results expand literature on child gap by looking at how other outcomes are affected Attitudes towards traditional gender norms change after childbirth → agreement that children are required to be fulfilled → agreement that children suffer if mother works (men) → Men priority if jobs are scarce (women) Evidence of cross-country heterogeneity in these answers → agreement stronger in CEE → agreement stronger if lack of formal care / help Individual heterogeneity Disadvantaged groups →↑ agree with job priority for men Advantaged groups →↑ agree with satisfaction of having a child
  • 48. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Concluding remarks Questions (?)
  • 49. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Concluding remarks Questions (?) Thank you for your attention w: grape.org.pl t: grape org f: grape.org e: lvandervelde@grape.org.pl
  • 50. Does childbearing make us more conservative? References Berrington, A., Hu, Y., Smith, P. W. F. and Sturgis, P.: 2008, A graphical chain model for reciprocal relationships between women’s gender role attitudes and labour force participation, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society) 171(1), 89–108. URL: https://rss.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2007.00510.x Borrell-Porta, M., Costa-Font, J. and Philipp, J.: 2019, The ‘mighty girl’ effect: does parenting daughters alter attitudes towards gender norms?, Oxford Economic Papers 71(1), 25–46. URL: https://academic.oup.com/oep/article/71/1/25/5237459 Charles, K. K., Guryan, J. and Pan, J.: 2018, The effects of sexism on american women: The role of norms vs. discrimination, Technical report. Cukrowska-Torzewska, E. and Matysiak, A.: 2020, The motherhood wage penalty: A meta-analysis, Social Science Research 88-89, 102416. Cunningham, M.: 2008, Changing Attitudes toward the Male Breadwinner, Female Homemaker Family Model: Influences of Women’s Employment and Education over the Lifecourse, Social Forces 87(1), 299–323. URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/20430858 Imai, K. and Ratkovic, M.: 2013, Covariate balancing propensity score, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology) 76(1), 243–263. Kleven, H., Landais, C., Posch, J., Steinhauer, A. and Zweim¨uller, J.: 2019, Child penalties across countries: Evidence and explanations, Working Paper 25524, National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • 51. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Appendix Kleven, H., Landais, C. and Søgaard, J. E.: 2019, Children and gender inequality: Evidence from denmark, American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 11(4), 181–209. Kranton, R. E.: 2016, Identity economics 2016: Where do social distinctions and norms come from?, American Economic Review 106(5), 405–09. Kuziemko, I., Pan, J., Shen, J. and Washington, E.: 2018, The mommy effect: Do women anticipate the employment effects of motherhood?, Technical report. Perales, F., Lersch, P. M. and Baxter, J.: 2019, Birth cohort, ageing and gender ideology: Lessons from British panel data, Social Science Research 79, 85–100. URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0049089X18304472 Polachek, S.: 1981, Occupational self-selection: A human capital approach to sex differences in occupational structure, The Review of Economics and Statistics 63(1), 60–69. Schober, P. and Scott, J.: 2012, Maternal employment and gender role attitudes: dissonance among British men and women in the transition to parenthood:, Work, Employment and Society . URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0950017012438577 Seguino, S.: 2007, PlusC¸a change? evidence on global trends in gender norms and stereotypes, Feminist Economics 13(2), 1–28. Smith, J. A. and Todd, P. E.: 2005, Does matching overcome LaLonde’s critique of nonexperimental estimators?, Journal of Econometrics 125(1-2), 305–353. Steinhauer, A.: 2018, Working Moms, Childlessness, and Female Identity, CEPR Discussion Papers 12929, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • 52. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Appendix Sample selection by country Country All In wave 2 & in 20’s & Childless Austria 5000 3918 1468 1042 Bulgaria 12858 9363 2316 1255 Czechia 10006 9723 2211 1507 France 10079 8643 1562 1097 Georgia 10000 9845 2136 1216 Germany 10017 3977 556 370 Hungary 13540 10641 2510 1653 Lithuania 10036 9877 2003 1236 Poland 19987 12952 1949 1091 Russia 11261 10736 2164 1001 Total 112784 89675 18875 11468 Back
  • 53. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Appendix Are parents and non-parents different? Yes Wave 1 Wave 2 Parents No Yes No Yes Demographics Female 0.43 0.53 0.43 0.53 Age 25.56 26.72 28.91 30.14 Married 0.06 0.31 0.14 0.67 Education Primary 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 Secondary 0.64 0.59 0.47 0.50 Tertiary 0.28 0.33 0.45 0.42 Labor Market Status WE or SE 0.60 0.76 0.66 0.69 Family workers 0.01 0.01 0.14 0.17 Unemployed 0.14 0.13 0.11 0.08 Inactive 0.25 0.10 0.10 0.06 Back to threats
  • 54. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Appendix Agreement with traditional gender norms Role of the family 1 Women require a child to be fulfilled 2 Men require a child to be fulfilled 3 Pre-school children suffer if their mother works Women in labor market 4 When jobs are scarce, men have more right than women 5 If women earns more than husband, it is not good for the relationship 6 Being a housewife is just as fulfilling as a paid job 7 When jobs are scarce, people with children have more right to work than childless Back to differences Pre-trends
  • 55. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Appendix More on pre-trends What is the right threshold for pre-period? Women Men Linear Quad Cubic Linear Quad Cubic Discontinuity 6 months before birth Outcome 1 0.000 0.643 0.581 0.582 0.384 0.285 Outcome 2 0.273 1.058 1.277 0.088 0.100 0.080 Outcome 3 0.014 0.513 0.403 1.406 1.318 1.012 Outcome 4 0.048 1.474 1.407 0.179 0.152 0.152 Outcome 5 0.087 0.049 0.065 0.423 0.212 0.808 Outcome 6 2.214 1.822 1.432 2.013 1.582 3.731∗∗ Outcome 7 0.058 2.512∗ 1.831 0.581 2.664∗ 2.156∗ Discontinuity 12 months before birth Outcome 1 0.220 0.472 0.827 1.115 0.573 0.416 Outcome 2 0.356 0.207 0.350 0.005 0.254 0.183 Outcome 3 0.233 0.473 0.364 2.687 1.391 0.969 Outcome 4 0.013 3.350∗∗ 2.237∗ 0.010 0.008 0.024 Outcome 5 0.507 1.110 0.739 0.157 0.325 1.013 Outcome 6 3.084∗ 1.837 1.853 0.208 0.696 1.249 Outcome 7 0.558 1.967 1.598 0.303 0.831 0.754
  • 56. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Appendix Even more on pre-trends0.05.1.15.2 Density/Pr(agree|time) −36 −24 −12 0 Months to childbirth (−12 = 1 year before) When jobs are scarce, men have priority Significant differences appear to be driven by very early observations Sample composition issues Pre-trends
  • 57. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Appendix Heterogeneity: Working in the first wave Women Men Y N Y N Women & family life Woman needs a child ... 0.052 ** 0.030 0.022 -0.001 (0.02) (0.33) (0.34) (0.98) Man needs a child ... 0.032 -0.001 0.062 *** -0.020 (0.17) (0.99) (0.01) (0.63) Child suffers ... -0.002 0.066 0.067 ** 0.021 (0.93) (0.12) (0.03) (0.67) Women & work realm Job priority: men 0.015 0.045 0.005 -0.028 (0.43) (0.19) (0.85) (0.53) Woman earns more ... -0.016 0.040 -0.008 -0.048 (0.47) (0.22) (0.72) (0.29) Being a housemaker ... 0.019 0.043 0.002 0.117 ** (0.51) (0.33) (0.93) (0.03) Job priority: parents 0.071 ** 0.078 * 0.050 * 0.044 (0.02) (0.05) (0.09) (0.36) Notes: DiD estimates with individual FE. SE clustered at the individual level. ***, **, * denote pvalues < 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1.
  • 58. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Appendix Heterogeneity: Completed tert. studies in the first wave Women Men Y N Y N Women & family life Woman needs a child ... 0.084 *** 0.020 0.021 0.016 (0.00) (0.39) (0.58) (0.50) Man needs a child ... 0.041 0.009 0.010 0.057 ** (0.16) (0.72) (0.80) (0.01) Child suffers ... 0.035 0.004 0.127 *** 0.018 (0.33) (0.90) (0.01) (0.57) Women & work realm Job priority: men 0.001 0.038 0.047 -0.017 (0.96) (0.10) (0.22) (0.53) Woman earns more ... 0.023 -0.010 0.007 -0.034 (0.40) (0.68) (0.85) (0.16) Being a housemaker ... -0.001 0.041 0.065 0.024 (0.98) (0.19) (0.19) (0.42) Job priority: parents 0.076 ** 0.082 *** 0.004 0.080 *** (0.04) (0.01) (0.92) (0.01) Notes: DiD estimates with individual FE. SE clustered at the individual level. ***, **, * denote pvalues < 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1.
  • 59. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Appendix Heterogeneity: below median age at first birth Women Men Y N Y N Women & family life Woman needs a child ... 0.022 0.064 ** -0.031 0.050 * (0.36) (0.03) (0.36) (0.07) Man needs a child ... -0.031 0.072 ** 0.028 0.066 ** (0.25) (0.02) (0.40) (0.01) Child suffers ... 0.023 0.007 0.065 0.037 (0.47) (0.85) (0.11) (0.30) Women & work realm Job priority: men 0.027 0.020 -0.037 0.021 (0.25) (0.43) (0.30) (0.48) Woman earns more ... 0.002 -0.022 -0.052 0.001 (0.95) (0.44) (0.10) (0.98) Being a housemaker ... 0.027 0.015 0.084 ** 0.015 (0.44) (0.70) (0.04) (0.68) Job priority: parents 0.087 *** 0.057 0.100 ** 0.020 (0.01) (0.11) (0.01) (0.54) Notes: DiD estimates with individual FE. SE clustered at the individual level. ***, **, * denote pvalues < 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1.
  • 60. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Appendix Heterogeneity: has cohabiting partner in the first wave Women Men Y N Y N Women & family life Woman needs a child ... 0.019 0.076 *** -0.015 0.064 ** (0.47) (0.00) (0.64) (0.02) Man needs a child ... 0.031 0.045 -0.012 0.102 *** (0.30) (0.11) (0.72) (0.00) Child suffers ... 0.004 0.063 * 0.132 *** 0.027 (0.92) (0.06) (0.00) (0.46) Women & work realm Job priority: men 0.019 0.052 * 0.012 0.011 (0.44) (0.05) (0.73) (0.73) Woman earns more ... -0.014 0.004 -0.048 0.001 (0.61) (0.87) (0.12) (0.98) Being a housemaker ... 0.009 0.045 0.056 0.046 (0.81) (0.19) (0.20) (0.21) Job priority: parents 0.065 * 0.071 * 0.041 0.061 * (0.07) (0.05) (0.30) (0.09) Notes: DiD estimates with individual FE. SE clustered at the individual level. ***, **, * denote pvalues < 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1.
  • 61. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Appendix Heterogeneity: wants to have a child in first wave Women Men Y N Y N Women & family life Woman needs a child ... 0.028 0.005 0.078 0.026 (0.55) (0.92) (0.11) (0.61) Man needs a child ... -0.003 -0.023 0.074 0.032 (0.95) (0.58) (0.13) (0.54) Child suffers ... 0.027 -0.022 0.104 * 0.026 (0.64) (0.63) (0.07) (0.67) Women & work realm Job priority: men 0.010 -0.005 0.015 0.004 (0.81) (0.85) (0.77) (0.92) Woman earns more ... -0.015 -0.018 -0.050 -0.033 (0.73) (0.62) (0.28) (0.31) Being a housemaker ... 0.067 0.054 0.048 0.031 (0.26) (0.29) (0.44) (0.58) Job priority: parents 0.096 0.119 ** 0.011 0.086 (0.11) (0.01) (0.85) (0.15) Notes: DiD estimates with individual FE. SE clustered at the individual level. ***, **, * denote pvalues < 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1.
  • 62. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Appendix Heterogeneity: CEE vs Western countries Women Men Y N Y N Women & family life Woman needs a child ... 0.065 *** 0.013 0.028 -0.027 (0.00) (0.67) (0.21) (0.51) Man needs a child ... 0.035 0.001 0.050 ** 0.015 (0.15) (0.97) (0.03) (0.71) Child suffers ... 0.058 * -0.032 0.097 *** -0.059 (0.07) (0.32) (0.00) (0.20) Women & work realm Job priority: men 0.039 0.007 0.008 -0.023 (0.14) (0.66) (0.78) (0.44) Woman earns more ... 0.007 -0.003 -0.014 -0.045 * (0.80) (0.91) (0.59) (0.06) Being a housemaker ... 0.044 -0.005 0.052 * -0.007 (0.16) (0.89) (0.09) (0.89) Job priority: parents 0.088 *** 0.071 ** 0.055 * 0.044 (0.01) (0.04) (0.07) (0.31) Notes: DiD estimates with individual FE. SE clustered at the individual level. ***, **, * denote pvalues < 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1. CEE: Bulgaria, Czechia, Georgia, Hungary, Lithuania, Poland, Russia. Non-CEE: Austria, Germany, France. Back
  • 63. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Appendix Diff-in-diff results: Access to formal care Women Men Below Above Below Above Women & family life Woman needs a child ... 0.077 *** 0.029 0.051 * -0.020 (0.01) (0.17) (0.07) (0.46) Man needs a child ... 0.076 ** -0.013 0.067 ** 0.019 (0.01) (0.59) (0.02) (0.48) Child suffers ... 0.056 -0.013 0.107 *** -0.037 (0.11) (0.66) (0.00) (0.36) Women & work realm Job priority: men 0.039 0.007 0.008 -0.023 (0.14) (0.66) (0.78) (0.44) Woman earns more ... -0.012 0.019 -0.018 -0.030 (0.68) (0.41) (0.52) (0.23) Being a housemaker ... 0.044 0.005 0.061 * -0.009 (0.20) (0.88) (0.06) (0.83) Job priority: parents 0.088 *** 0.071 ** 0.055 * 0.044 (0.01) (0.04) (0.07) (0.31) Notes: DiD estimates with individual FE. Below and Above indicate countries’ position relative to median . SE clustered at the individual level. ***, **, * denote pvalues < 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1. P-values in parentheses. Back
  • 64. Does childbearing make us more conservative? Appendix Diff-in-diff results: Female share of household chores Women Men Above Below Above Below Women & family life Woman needs a child ... 0.062 *** 0.039 0.023 0.004 (0.01) (0.13) (0.34) (0.91) Man needs a child ... 0.028 0.023 0.028 0.064 * (0.33) (0.37) (0.24) (0.06) Child suffers ... 0.069 * -0.007 0.091 *** 0.007 (0.08) (0.81) (0.01) (0.85) Women & work realm Job priority: men 0.050 0.017 0.023 -0.021 (0.21) (0.31) (0.54) (0.45) Woman earns more ... 0.049 -0.025 -0.010 -0.035 * (0.14) (0.25) (0.77) (0.08) Being a housemaker ... 0.070 * 0.000 0.065 * 0.006 (0.08) (0.99) (0.08) (0.86) Job priority: parents 0.096 ** 0.075 *** 0.061 * 0.044 (0.03) (0.01) (0.10) (0.20) Notes: DiD estimates with individual FE. Below and Above indicate countries’ position relative to median. SE clustered at the individual level. ***, **, * denote pvalues < 0.01, 0.05 and 0.1. P-values in parentheses. Back