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Managing Market Risk Under The Basel III Framework
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited
Chapter 8
Foreign Exchange
Structured Products
Managing Market Risk Under The Basel III Framework
The Presentation Slides
Website : https://sites.google.com/site/quanrisk
E-mail : quanrisk@gmail.com
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 2
Declaration
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited.
All rights reserved. No part of this presentation file may be
reproduced, in any form or by any means, without written
permission from CapitaLogic Limited.
Authored by Dr. LAM Yat-fai (林日林日林日林日辉辉辉辉),
Principal, Structured Products Analytics, CapitaLogic Limited,
Adjunct Professor of Finance, City University of Hong Kong,
Doctor of Business Administration (Finance),
CFA, CAIA, FRM, PRM.
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 3
Structured products
Participating forwards
Target accrual redemption forwards
Scandal: Citic Pacific 2008
Outline
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 4
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 5
Structured products under the SFO
A financial instrument with its payoff determined by
reference to one or more of
the value, rate, level (or a range of value, rate, level) of
any type or combination of types of currency, interest,
equity, commodity, credit event or index
the value, rate, level (or a range of value, rate, level) of
any basket of more than one type or combination of types
of currency, interest, equity, commodity, credit event or
index
Excluding bonds, mutual funds and exchanged
traded products
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 6
Defacto definition
Simple financial instruments
Without using derivatives
Financial instruments with derivatives for hedging
Using derivatives solely for hedging purpose
Derivatives for profit making
Single small or no initial cash outflow
Single payoff
Structured products
A combination of derivatives that results sophisticated
payoff structure
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 7
Structured treasury products vs
structured credit products
Treasury structured products
Linked to FX rate, interest rate, equity price or
commodity price
Majority made for and sold to corporate and private
banking customers
Banks earn service fees
Credit structured products
Linked to credit events
Bank’s own investments
Banks earn interest income
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 8
Structured FX products
Exempted from the SFO if sold by a bank
under the supervision of the HKMA
The largest category of structured treasury
products in terms of transaction volume
To capture earning potential under the current
environment of
low interest rate
higher FX volatility
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 9
Why structured products?
Customized to match the demand from
individual investors in terms of
Cash flow patterns
Risk-return characteristics
Early cash inflows vs late cash outflows
Higher return vs lower risk
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 10
Evolution of financial instruments
Foreign currencies
Unfunded derivatives
FX forwards
Insurance type derivatives
Call options and put options
Trading strategies
Butterfly, risk reversal, straddle, strangle , spread
Structured products
Participating forwards, target accrual redemption forwards
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 11
Structured products
Participating forwards
Target accrual redemption forwards
Scandal: Citic Pacific 2008
Outline
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 12
Forwards vs options
YesYesUpside profit
YesNoPremium
13,55837,238
Volume
(USD bn)
NoYesDownside loss
OptionForward
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 13
Synthetic forward
FX rate at maturity
Payoff
Call
PutSpot rate
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 14
Zero cost synthetic ATM forward
LossProfitChance
LossProfitAmount
Short ATM
put
Long ATM
call
≈
≈
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 15
Chance to make profit
vs amount of profit
Chance to make profit/loss
Amountofprofit/oss
Call
Put
ATM
ITM
OTM
Expected amount of profit
=
Expected amount of loss
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 16
Participating forwards
LossProfitChance
LossProfit
Expected
amount
Short OTM
put × Many
Long ITM
call × 1
>
<
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 17
Participating forwards
FX rate at maturity
Payoff
Call
Put
Spot rate
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 18
Participating forwards
Structure
Long one ITM call
Short many OTM put
Cost
Zero
Profit
Higher chance but smaller amount
Loss
Lower chance but larger amount
https://www.dahsing.com/en/html/treasury/hedging_ser
vices/participating_forwards/participating.html
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 19
Participating forwards
Major issue
The accelerated loss in case the FX rate moves
against the strategy at maturity
Objective
To reduce the potential amount of loss
Without increasing the chance of loss
Solution
To reduce the potential amount of profit
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 20
Structured products
Participating forward
Target accrual redemption forwards
Scandal: Citic Pacific 2008
Outline
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 21
Target accrual redemption forwards
Capped paymentTreatment to termination bonus10.
USD 200,000Bonus target9.
MonthlyFixing frequency8.
30 December 2016Maturity date7.
USD 1.5600 per GBPStrike rate6.
Domestic currencySettlement approach5.
GBP 2,000,000Put notional principal4.
GBP 1,000,000Call notional principal3.
GBPForeign currency2.
USDDomestic currency1.
ValueParameter
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 22
Multiple fixing
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 23
Bonus target
Bonus target
Cash inflows from
call options
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 24
Target knock-out
For a series of participating forwards
A bonus target is set such that on any fixing day, if
the accumulated cash inflows from the ITM options
is above the bonus target, all the fixings afterward
will expire immediately
The bonus target limits
The maximum potential profit
The value of the ITM call options
Less OTM put options to be short
The maximum potential loss is also limited
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 25
Digital knock-out
For a series of participating forwards
A barrier rate is set such that on any fixing day, if
the FX rate is above the barrier rate, all the fixings
afterwards will expire immediately
The barrier rate further limits
The maximum potential profit
The value of the ITM call options
Less OTM put options to be short
The maximum potential loss is also further limited
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 26
Target accrual redemption forwards
The most popular FX structured products among
corporate banking and private banking customers
Zero cash outflow at origination
Look similar to regular deposits
Regular cash inflows
Customized for risk-return preference
Higher chance to make profit with smaller amount of
profit
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 27
Bear TARF
FX rate at maturity
Payoff
Call
Put
Spot rate
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 28
Dual-strike TARF
FX rate at maturity
Payoff
Call
Put
Spot rate
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 29
Protection gap TARF
FX rate at maturity
Payoff
Call
Put
Spot rate
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 30
Pivot TARF
FX rate at maturity
Payoff
Call
Put
Spot rate
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 31
Revenue model
Investment bank
Synthesize a TARF with call and put options
Mark up a profit
Sell to a commercial bank
Commercial bank
Acquire a TARF from investment bank
Mark up a profit
Sell to an investor
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 32
Sales and marketing
The attractive product features of a TARF
The professional sales team which performs
the marketing
The price of a TARF
The post sales customer services
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 33
Structured products
Participating forward
Target accrual redemption forwards
Scandal: Citic Pacific 2008
Outline
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 34
Suitability assessment
Suitability
assessment
Investor profiling Product assessment
Product risk level
Product features
Risk tolerance level
Know your client
Exempt for
hedging purpose
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 35
2008 AUD losses controversy
Projected AUD exposure AUD 1.6 bn
TARFs AUD 9 bn
Loss USD 2 bn
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 36
AUD controversy 2008
Share price dropped 55% to HKD 6.52 from
HKD14.52
SFC sought compensation on behalf of 4,500
investors
Chairman Mr. Larry YUNG stepped down
General manager Mr. Henry FAN stepped
down
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 37
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 38

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Chapter 8 career and professional development
Chapter 8   career and professional developmentChapter 8   career and professional development
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Chapter 7 regulatory technology
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Chapter 6 aml compliance programme
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Chapter 5 internal investigation
Chapter 5   internal investigationChapter 5   internal investigation
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Chapter 4 supsicious transactions
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Chapter 3 know your customer
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Chapter 2 the regulatory framework of aml
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Chapter 6 career and professional development
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Chapter 5 financial compliance programme
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Chapter 4 securities and futures regulations
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Chapter 3 insurance regulations
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Chapter 2 banking regulations
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Chapter 1 financial regulations in hong kong
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Chapter 10 aml technologies
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Chapter 9 anti-money laundering
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Chapter 6 corporate lending
Chapter 6   corporate lendingChapter 6   corporate lending
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Chapter 5 consumer lending
Chapter 5   consumer lendingChapter 5   consumer lending
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Chapter 8 fx structured products

  • 1. Managing Market Risk Under The Basel III Framework Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited Chapter 8 Foreign Exchange Structured Products Managing Market Risk Under The Basel III Framework The Presentation Slides Website : https://sites.google.com/site/quanrisk E-mail : quanrisk@gmail.com
  • 2. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 2 Declaration Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited. All rights reserved. No part of this presentation file may be reproduced, in any form or by any means, without written permission from CapitaLogic Limited. Authored by Dr. LAM Yat-fai (林日林日林日林日辉辉辉辉), Principal, Structured Products Analytics, CapitaLogic Limited, Adjunct Professor of Finance, City University of Hong Kong, Doctor of Business Administration (Finance), CFA, CAIA, FRM, PRM.
  • 3. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 3 Structured products Participating forwards Target accrual redemption forwards Scandal: Citic Pacific 2008 Outline
  • 4. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 4
  • 5. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 5 Structured products under the SFO A financial instrument with its payoff determined by reference to one or more of the value, rate, level (or a range of value, rate, level) of any type or combination of types of currency, interest, equity, commodity, credit event or index the value, rate, level (or a range of value, rate, level) of any basket of more than one type or combination of types of currency, interest, equity, commodity, credit event or index Excluding bonds, mutual funds and exchanged traded products
  • 6. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 6 Defacto definition Simple financial instruments Without using derivatives Financial instruments with derivatives for hedging Using derivatives solely for hedging purpose Derivatives for profit making Single small or no initial cash outflow Single payoff Structured products A combination of derivatives that results sophisticated payoff structure
  • 7. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 7 Structured treasury products vs structured credit products Treasury structured products Linked to FX rate, interest rate, equity price or commodity price Majority made for and sold to corporate and private banking customers Banks earn service fees Credit structured products Linked to credit events Bank’s own investments Banks earn interest income
  • 8. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 8 Structured FX products Exempted from the SFO if sold by a bank under the supervision of the HKMA The largest category of structured treasury products in terms of transaction volume To capture earning potential under the current environment of low interest rate higher FX volatility
  • 9. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 9 Why structured products? Customized to match the demand from individual investors in terms of Cash flow patterns Risk-return characteristics Early cash inflows vs late cash outflows Higher return vs lower risk
  • 10. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 10 Evolution of financial instruments Foreign currencies Unfunded derivatives FX forwards Insurance type derivatives Call options and put options Trading strategies Butterfly, risk reversal, straddle, strangle , spread Structured products Participating forwards, target accrual redemption forwards
  • 11. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 11 Structured products Participating forwards Target accrual redemption forwards Scandal: Citic Pacific 2008 Outline
  • 12. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 12 Forwards vs options YesYesUpside profit YesNoPremium 13,55837,238 Volume (USD bn) NoYesDownside loss OptionForward
  • 13. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 13 Synthetic forward FX rate at maturity Payoff Call PutSpot rate
  • 14. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 14 Zero cost synthetic ATM forward LossProfitChance LossProfitAmount Short ATM put Long ATM call ≈ ≈
  • 15. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 15 Chance to make profit vs amount of profit Chance to make profit/loss Amountofprofit/oss Call Put ATM ITM OTM Expected amount of profit = Expected amount of loss
  • 16. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 16 Participating forwards LossProfitChance LossProfit Expected amount Short OTM put × Many Long ITM call × 1 > <
  • 17. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 17 Participating forwards FX rate at maturity Payoff Call Put Spot rate
  • 18. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 18 Participating forwards Structure Long one ITM call Short many OTM put Cost Zero Profit Higher chance but smaller amount Loss Lower chance but larger amount https://www.dahsing.com/en/html/treasury/hedging_ser vices/participating_forwards/participating.html
  • 19. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 19 Participating forwards Major issue The accelerated loss in case the FX rate moves against the strategy at maturity Objective To reduce the potential amount of loss Without increasing the chance of loss Solution To reduce the potential amount of profit
  • 20. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 20 Structured products Participating forward Target accrual redemption forwards Scandal: Citic Pacific 2008 Outline
  • 21. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 21 Target accrual redemption forwards Capped paymentTreatment to termination bonus10. USD 200,000Bonus target9. MonthlyFixing frequency8. 30 December 2016Maturity date7. USD 1.5600 per GBPStrike rate6. Domestic currencySettlement approach5. GBP 2,000,000Put notional principal4. GBP 1,000,000Call notional principal3. GBPForeign currency2. USDDomestic currency1. ValueParameter
  • 22. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 22 Multiple fixing
  • 23. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 23 Bonus target Bonus target Cash inflows from call options
  • 24. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 24 Target knock-out For a series of participating forwards A bonus target is set such that on any fixing day, if the accumulated cash inflows from the ITM options is above the bonus target, all the fixings afterward will expire immediately The bonus target limits The maximum potential profit The value of the ITM call options Less OTM put options to be short The maximum potential loss is also limited
  • 25. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 25 Digital knock-out For a series of participating forwards A barrier rate is set such that on any fixing day, if the FX rate is above the barrier rate, all the fixings afterwards will expire immediately The barrier rate further limits The maximum potential profit The value of the ITM call options Less OTM put options to be short The maximum potential loss is also further limited
  • 26. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 26 Target accrual redemption forwards The most popular FX structured products among corporate banking and private banking customers Zero cash outflow at origination Look similar to regular deposits Regular cash inflows Customized for risk-return preference Higher chance to make profit with smaller amount of profit
  • 27. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 27 Bear TARF FX rate at maturity Payoff Call Put Spot rate
  • 28. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 28 Dual-strike TARF FX rate at maturity Payoff Call Put Spot rate
  • 29. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 29 Protection gap TARF FX rate at maturity Payoff Call Put Spot rate
  • 30. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 30 Pivot TARF FX rate at maturity Payoff Call Put Spot rate
  • 31. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 31 Revenue model Investment bank Synthesize a TARF with call and put options Mark up a profit Sell to a commercial bank Commercial bank Acquire a TARF from investment bank Mark up a profit Sell to an investor
  • 32. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 32 Sales and marketing The attractive product features of a TARF The professional sales team which performs the marketing The price of a TARF The post sales customer services
  • 33. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 33 Structured products Participating forward Target accrual redemption forwards Scandal: Citic Pacific 2008 Outline
  • 34. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 34 Suitability assessment Suitability assessment Investor profiling Product assessment Product risk level Product features Risk tolerance level Know your client Exempt for hedging purpose
  • 35. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 35 2008 AUD losses controversy Projected AUD exposure AUD 1.6 bn TARFs AUD 9 bn Loss USD 2 bn
  • 36. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 36 AUD controversy 2008 Share price dropped 55% to HKD 6.52 from HKD14.52 SFC sought compensation on behalf of 4,500 investors Chairman Mr. Larry YUNG stepped down General manager Mr. Henry FAN stepped down
  • 37. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 37
  • 38. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 38