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Decision Making
The essence of manager’s job
Topics to be Covered…..
 What is Decision?
 What are Decision Making Approaches?
 The Decision Making Process.
 The managers as Decision Makers.
 What is Problem?
 What are the types of Problems?
 Types of Decisions.
 Conditions of Decision Making.
 Decisions making styles.
 Decision making Biases and Errors.
What is Decision?
 Making a choice from two or more alternatives.
 So, decision is a choice.
 Suppose you have some money to invest , and you are considering different
investment alternatives.
Problem●
Alternative 1●
Alternative 1●
Alternative 2
What are Decision Making Approaches?
 Rational Decision Making (Value Maximizing Approach)
– Based on logics and normal thinking.
– Cost and benefits analysis.
– Select those alternatives where benefits are more than costs.
– Level of information is high.
– One clear goal, and all the alternatives available to achieve that
Goal (Problem) are available.
Investment● Rafhan● PTC● MTM
 Rational Decision Making (Value Maximizing Approach)
– Managers make decisions rationally, but are limited /bounded by
their ability to process information.
– You are bound to make decisions those are not good.
Problem●
A●
B●
C
Information may be
available to managers
but they are bound to
make irrational
decision because of;
1. Order of boss,
2. Lack of time,
3. System,
4. Limited resources.
Intuition
** Predicting Stock Market Fluctuations
** Setting future perspective of business
organization for next 5 years.
** Setting Pakistan's future direction for
next 20 years.
Making decisions on the basis of
experiences, feelings, judgments, skills,
training, knowledge, senses, sub-
conscious, mental processing, ethical
values and culture.
** Usually for unseen problems.
The Decision Making Process
Step
No.
Step Description Step Example
1 Identification of a Problem. ‘ I need a Automobile or Car’
2 Identification of decision criteria. 1. Price
2. Durability
3. Mileage
4. Style
3 Allocation of weights to decision criteria. 1. Price ----------------10
2. Durability----------08
3. Mileage -------------07
4. Style ----------------05
4 Development of Alternatives. s I. GLI Toyota Corolla
II. Honda Citi
III. Suzuki Liana
These are given
from 10.
5 Analysis of Alternatives
6 Selection of Alternative. I. GLI Toyota Corolla
II. Honda Citi
III. Suzuki Liana
7 Implementation of selected alternative.
(decision)
‘ Purchased GLI Toyota Corolla’
8 Evaluation of decision ‘s effective. ‘ I am satisfied with decision, because this car has met all the
criterion I was looking for’.
Price
[10]
Durability
[8]
Mileage
[7]
Style
[5]
Total
GLI
Toyota
Corolla
8 8 7 4 27
Honda
Citi
8 5 5 5 23
Suzuki
Liana
10 3 6 2 21
The Decision Making Process
Step
No.
Step Description Step Example
1 Identification of a Problem. ‘ I am feeling hungry and want to eat Pizza’
2 Identification of decision criteria. 1. Price
2. Taste
3. Environment
4. Customer Services
3 Allocation of weights to decision criteria. 1. Price ---------------- 50
2. Taste----------------100
3. Environment ----- 80
4. Customer Services -70
4 Development of Alternatives. I. Pizza Hut
II. AFC Pizza Shop
III. Pizza Shop D- Ground
These are given
from 100.
5 Analysis of Alternatives
6 Selection of Alternative.
I. Pizza Hut
II. AFC Pizza Shop
III. Pizza Shop D- Ground
7 Implementation of selected alternative.
(decision)
‘ Got there and eaten Pizza’
8 Evaluation of decision ‘s effective. ‘ I am satisfied with decision, because pizza hut’s pizza met
criterion those I was intended for’ .
Price
[50]
Taste
[100]
Enviorn-
ment
[ 80]
Customer
services
[70]
Total
Pizza Hut 30 100 80 70 280
AFC Pizza
Shop
40 80 60 50 230
Pizza
Shop D-
Ground
50 60 40 30 180

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Chapter 06 mgt

  • 1. Decision Making The essence of manager’s job
  • 2. Topics to be Covered…..  What is Decision?  What are Decision Making Approaches?  The Decision Making Process.  The managers as Decision Makers.  What is Problem?  What are the types of Problems?  Types of Decisions.  Conditions of Decision Making.  Decisions making styles.  Decision making Biases and Errors.
  • 3. What is Decision?  Making a choice from two or more alternatives.  So, decision is a choice.  Suppose you have some money to invest , and you are considering different investment alternatives. Problem● Alternative 1● Alternative 1● Alternative 2
  • 4. What are Decision Making Approaches?  Rational Decision Making (Value Maximizing Approach) – Based on logics and normal thinking. – Cost and benefits analysis. – Select those alternatives where benefits are more than costs. – Level of information is high. – One clear goal, and all the alternatives available to achieve that Goal (Problem) are available. Investment● Rafhan● PTC● MTM
  • 5.  Rational Decision Making (Value Maximizing Approach) – Managers make decisions rationally, but are limited /bounded by their ability to process information. – You are bound to make decisions those are not good. Problem● A● B● C Information may be available to managers but they are bound to make irrational decision because of; 1. Order of boss, 2. Lack of time, 3. System, 4. Limited resources.
  • 6. Intuition ** Predicting Stock Market Fluctuations ** Setting future perspective of business organization for next 5 years. ** Setting Pakistan's future direction for next 20 years. Making decisions on the basis of experiences, feelings, judgments, skills, training, knowledge, senses, sub- conscious, mental processing, ethical values and culture. ** Usually for unseen problems.
  • 7. The Decision Making Process Step No. Step Description Step Example 1 Identification of a Problem. ‘ I need a Automobile or Car’ 2 Identification of decision criteria. 1. Price 2. Durability 3. Mileage 4. Style 3 Allocation of weights to decision criteria. 1. Price ----------------10 2. Durability----------08 3. Mileage -------------07 4. Style ----------------05 4 Development of Alternatives. s I. GLI Toyota Corolla II. Honda Citi III. Suzuki Liana These are given from 10.
  • 8. 5 Analysis of Alternatives 6 Selection of Alternative. I. GLI Toyota Corolla II. Honda Citi III. Suzuki Liana 7 Implementation of selected alternative. (decision) ‘ Purchased GLI Toyota Corolla’ 8 Evaluation of decision ‘s effective. ‘ I am satisfied with decision, because this car has met all the criterion I was looking for’. Price [10] Durability [8] Mileage [7] Style [5] Total GLI Toyota Corolla 8 8 7 4 27 Honda Citi 8 5 5 5 23 Suzuki Liana 10 3 6 2 21
  • 9. The Decision Making Process Step No. Step Description Step Example 1 Identification of a Problem. ‘ I am feeling hungry and want to eat Pizza’ 2 Identification of decision criteria. 1. Price 2. Taste 3. Environment 4. Customer Services 3 Allocation of weights to decision criteria. 1. Price ---------------- 50 2. Taste----------------100 3. Environment ----- 80 4. Customer Services -70 4 Development of Alternatives. I. Pizza Hut II. AFC Pizza Shop III. Pizza Shop D- Ground These are given from 100.
  • 10. 5 Analysis of Alternatives 6 Selection of Alternative. I. Pizza Hut II. AFC Pizza Shop III. Pizza Shop D- Ground 7 Implementation of selected alternative. (decision) ‘ Got there and eaten Pizza’ 8 Evaluation of decision ‘s effective. ‘ I am satisfied with decision, because pizza hut’s pizza met criterion those I was intended for’ . Price [50] Taste [100] Enviorn- ment [ 80] Customer services [70] Total Pizza Hut 30 100 80 70 280 AFC Pizza Shop 40 80 60 50 230 Pizza Shop D- Ground 50 60 40 30 180

Editor's Notes

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