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Chaos in the Solar System
                Edward Gomez
   Las Cumbres Observatory - Cardiff University
Chaos in the Solar System
Johannes Kepler
Solar System runs like clockwork
Chaos in the Solar System
Johannes Kepler
Solar System runs like clockwork
Chaos in the Solar System

Sir Isaac Newton
Theory of gravity instantly
has implications against a
clockwork solar system
Chaos in the Solar System

Sir William Herschel
Discovers Uranus - 1781
Arguably starts the descent
into ‘Chaos’
Chaos in the Solar System

Edward Lorentz
Meteorologist
   Realised that there was a
   sensitivity to initial conditions
   in weather simulations
To save paper he recorded his calculations to 3 dec. places
   0.567234            0.567
Butterfly effect
Periodic motion
Developed ‘Strange Attractor’ model based on 3 variables
(+ time)
Periodic motion
Periodic motion
Chaos in the Solar System


Benoit Mandelbrot
   1979 working at IBM
   invented term ‘fractal’
Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton
prices
Divided up graph, always had structure
Order matched Cantor set
Found in many areas of nature
Infinite area in finite space
Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton
prices
Divided up graph, always had structure
Order matched Cantor set
Found in many areas of nature
Infinite area in finite space
Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton
prices
Divided up graph, always had structure
Order matched Cantor set
Found in many areas of nature
Infinite area in finite space
Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton
prices
Divided up graph, always had structure
Order matched Cantor set
Found in many areas of nature
Infinite area in finite space
Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton
prices
Divided up graph, always had structure
Order matched Cantor set
Found in many areas of nature
Infinite area in finite space
Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton
prices
Divided up graph, always had structure
Order matched Cantor set
Found in many areas of nature
Infinite area in finite space
Mandelbrot set
Zoom: 0
Zoom: 10
Zoom: 100
Zoom: 1000
Zoom: 10,000
Zoom: 100,000
Zoom: 1,000,000
Zoom: 10,000,000,000
Solar System Chaos

Asteroid orbit
Asteroid rotation
Great Red spot
Pluto is chaotic
Fractal nature of 2df
2-body Resonance
Kirkwood gaps in distribution of
semi-axis
   only where period is a rational
   fraction of Jupiter’s period
   Implies resonance
Resonance = Stable orbits (Trojan
asteroids 1:1, 3:2)
Unstable 3:1, 2:1
Asteroid rotation
Rotation of most Solar System bodies is stable because of tides
Hyperion tumbles chaotically
   First seen to tumble by Voyager
   4:3 Resonance Titan
   Irregular shape
Asteroid rotation
Rotation of most Solar System bodies is stable because of tides
Hyperion tumbles chaotically
   First seen to tumble by Voyager
   4:3 Resonance Titan
   Irregular shape
Asteroid rotation
Rotation of most Solar System bodies is stable because of tides
Hyperion tumbles chaotically
   First seen to tumble by Voyager
   4:3 Resonance Titan
   Irregular shape
Great Red spot
3-body Resonance
Chaotic motion in Pluto’s
orbit
   3:2 Resonance with
   Neptune
   Digital Orrery prediction
   Stable over Myr’s
Chaos in the Universe

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Chaos in the Solar System

  • 1. Chaos in the Solar System Edward Gomez Las Cumbres Observatory - Cardiff University
  • 2. Chaos in the Solar System Johannes Kepler Solar System runs like clockwork
  • 3. Chaos in the Solar System Johannes Kepler Solar System runs like clockwork
  • 4. Chaos in the Solar System Sir Isaac Newton Theory of gravity instantly has implications against a clockwork solar system
  • 5. Chaos in the Solar System Sir William Herschel Discovers Uranus - 1781 Arguably starts the descent into ‘Chaos’
  • 6. Chaos in the Solar System Edward Lorentz Meteorologist Realised that there was a sensitivity to initial conditions in weather simulations
  • 7. To save paper he recorded his calculations to 3 dec. places 0.567234 0.567 Butterfly effect Periodic motion Developed ‘Strange Attractor’ model based on 3 variables (+ time)
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Chaos in the Solar System Benoit Mandelbrot 1979 working at IBM invented term ‘fractal’
  • 13. Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton prices Divided up graph, always had structure Order matched Cantor set Found in many areas of nature Infinite area in finite space
  • 14. Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton prices Divided up graph, always had structure Order matched Cantor set Found in many areas of nature Infinite area in finite space
  • 15. Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton prices Divided up graph, always had structure Order matched Cantor set Found in many areas of nature Infinite area in finite space
  • 16. Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton prices Divided up graph, always had structure Order matched Cantor set Found in many areas of nature Infinite area in finite space
  • 17. Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton prices Divided up graph, always had structure Order matched Cantor set Found in many areas of nature Infinite area in finite space
  • 18. Found self similar structure on all scales while looking at cotton prices Divided up graph, always had structure Order matched Cantor set Found in many areas of nature Infinite area in finite space
  • 27.
  • 28. Solar System Chaos Asteroid orbit Asteroid rotation Great Red spot Pluto is chaotic Fractal nature of 2df
  • 29. 2-body Resonance Kirkwood gaps in distribution of semi-axis only where period is a rational fraction of Jupiter’s period Implies resonance Resonance = Stable orbits (Trojan asteroids 1:1, 3:2) Unstable 3:1, 2:1
  • 30.
  • 31. Asteroid rotation Rotation of most Solar System bodies is stable because of tides Hyperion tumbles chaotically First seen to tumble by Voyager 4:3 Resonance Titan Irregular shape
  • 32. Asteroid rotation Rotation of most Solar System bodies is stable because of tides Hyperion tumbles chaotically First seen to tumble by Voyager 4:3 Resonance Titan Irregular shape
  • 33. Asteroid rotation Rotation of most Solar System bodies is stable because of tides Hyperion tumbles chaotically First seen to tumble by Voyager 4:3 Resonance Titan Irregular shape
  • 35. 3-body Resonance Chaotic motion in Pluto’s orbit 3:2 Resonance with Neptune Digital Orrery prediction Stable over Myr’s
  • 36. Chaos in the Universe