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Further Topics in Industry and Competitive Analysis   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],OUTLINE
Does Industry Matter?    Percentage of variance in firms’ return on assets explained by:   Industry effects Firm-specific effects Unexplained variance Schmalensee (1985) 19.6% 0.6% 80.4% Rumelt (1991) 4.0% 44.2% 44.8% McGahan & Porter 1997) 18.7% 31.7% 48.4% Hawawini et al (2003) 8.1% 35.8% 52.0%
The Value Net COMPANY CUSTOMERS SUPPLIERS COMPLEMENTORS COMPETITORS
SUPPLIERS POTENTIAL ENTRANTS SUBSTITUTES BUYERS INDUSTRY COMPETITORS Rivalry among existing firms Bargaining power  of suppliers Bargaining power  of buyers Threat of new entrants Threat of substitutes COMPLEMENTS The suppliers of complements create value for the industry and can exercise  bargaining power Five Forces or Six?  —Introducing Complements
Dynamic Competition ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Contribution of Game Theory to Competitive Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Problems of game theory: Useful in explaining past competitive behavior—weak in predicting  future competitive behavior. What’s the problem? — Multitude of models, outcomes highly sensitive to small changes in assumptions
A Framework for Competitor Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],OBJECTIVES What are competitor’s current goals? Is performance meeting there goals? How are its goals likely to change? STRATEGY How is the firm competing? ASSUMPTIONS What assumptions does the competitor hold about the industry and itself? RESOURCES & CAPABILITIES What are the competitors’ key strengths and weaknesses?
Segmentation Analysis: The Principal Stages   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Identify segmentation variables Reduce to 2 or 3 variables Identify discrete categories for  each variable Potential for economies of scope across segments Similarity of KSFs Product differentiation benefits of segment focus
The Basis for Segmentation: Customer and Product Characteristics Opportunities for Differentiation Characteristics  of the Buyers Characteristics  of the Product Industrial buyers Household buyers Distribution channel Geographical location ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Opportunities for Differentiation Characteristics  of the Buyers Characteristics  of the Product Industrial buyers Household buyers Distribution channel Geographical location *Size *Technical  sophistication *OEM/replacement *Demographics *Lifestyle *Purchase occasion *Size *Distributor/broker *Exclusive/ nonexclusive *General/special  list *Physical size *Price level *Product features *Technology design *Inputs used (e.g. raw materials) *Performance characteristics *Pre-sales & post-sales services
Segmenting the European Metal Can Industry
Segmenting the World Automobile Market   US& Canada  W.Europe  E.Europe  Asia  Lat America  Australia  Africa Luxury cars Full-size cars Mid-size cars Small cars Station wagons Passenger vans Sports cars Sport-utility Pick-up trucks
0  5  0 10 15 20 25% 100% Share of industry revenue Auto loans Leasing  Warranty Gasoline Auto insurance Aftermarket parts Auto rental Operating margin Auto manufacturing New car dealers Used car dealers Service &  repair Vertical Segmentation & Industry Profit Pools — The US Auto  Industry
Segmentation and Key Success Factors in the U.S. Bicycle Industry SEGMENT Low price bicycles sold primarily  through department and discount  stores, mainly under the retailer’s own brand (e.g. Sears’ “Free Spirit”); KEY SUCCESS FACTORS * Low-costs through global sourcing of components  & low-wage assembly. * Supply contract with major retailer. Leading competitors:  Taiwanese & Chinese assemblers, some U.S manufacturers, e.g. Murray Ohio, Huffy Medium-priced bicycles sold  primarily under manufacturer’s brand name and distributed mainly through specialist bicycles stores; *Cost efficiency through large scale operation and either low wages or  automated manufacturing. *Reputation for quality (durability, reliability) through  effective marketing to dealers and/or  consumers. * International marketing & distribution. Leading competitors:  Raleigh, Giant, Peugeot, Fuji *Quality of components and assembly, Innovation in design (e.g.  minimizing weight and wind resistance). *Reputation (e.g. through success in racing, through  effective brand management). *Strong dealer relations. Similar to low-price bicycle segment. High-priced bicycles for enthusiasts. Children’s bicycles (and tricycles) sold primarily through toy retailers (discount  toy stores, department stores, and  specialist toy stores).
Strategic Group Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Strategic Groups in the World Automobile Industry Broad PRODUCT RANGE   Narrow National GEOGRAPHICAL SCOPE Global NATIONALLY- FOCUSED, SMALL, SPECIALIST PRODUCERS e.g., Bristol (U.K.), Classic Roadsters (U.S.), Morgan (U.K.) NATIONALLY FOCUSED, INTERMEDIATE LINE PRODUCERS  e.g. Tofas, Proton, Maruti First Auto Works (China) REGIONALLY-FOCUSED BROAD-LINE PRODUCERS e.g. Fiat, PSA, Renault, Kia,  PERFORMANCE CAR PRODUCERS e.g., Porsche, Ferrari (owned by Fiat) Maserati, Lotus LUXURY CAR MANUFACTURERS e.g., Aston Martin, BMW, Rolls Royce (owned by VW) GLOBAL SUPPLIERS OF NARROW MODEL RANGE e.g., Subaru, Isuzu, Suzuki, Saab, Hyundai, Daihatsu GLOBAL, BROAD-LINE PRODUCERS e.g., GM, Ford, Toyota, Nissan, Honda, VW, DaimlerChrysler
Strategic Groups Within the World Petroleum Industry Geographical Scope 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Vertical Balance 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],THE  SUPER  MAJORS NATIONALLY-FOCUSED DOWNSTREAM COMPANIES INTEGRATED  DOMESTIC OIL COMPANIES Royal Dutch Shell Exxon -Mobil Statoil PDVSA Kuwait Petroleum Petronas Petrobras Repsol Nippon Sunoco BP Chevron Phillips Pemex Indian Oil ENI INTEGRATED OIL MAJORS INTERNATIONAL UPSTREAM, REGIONALLY FOCUSED DOWNSTREAM Iran NOC Neste Ashland Conoco Phillips ENI Elf-Fina-Total Repsol YPF INTERNATIONAL DOWNSTREAM  OIL COMPANIES INTERNATIONAL UPSTREAM COMPANIES Adanarko Premier Oil PetroChina Lukoil Apache Valero

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Ch04

  • 1.
  • 2. Does Industry Matter?   Percentage of variance in firms’ return on assets explained by:   Industry effects Firm-specific effects Unexplained variance Schmalensee (1985) 19.6% 0.6% 80.4% Rumelt (1991) 4.0% 44.2% 44.8% McGahan & Porter 1997) 18.7% 31.7% 48.4% Hawawini et al (2003) 8.1% 35.8% 52.0%
  • 3. The Value Net COMPANY CUSTOMERS SUPPLIERS COMPLEMENTORS COMPETITORS
  • 4. SUPPLIERS POTENTIAL ENTRANTS SUBSTITUTES BUYERS INDUSTRY COMPETITORS Rivalry among existing firms Bargaining power of suppliers Bargaining power of buyers Threat of new entrants Threat of substitutes COMPLEMENTS The suppliers of complements create value for the industry and can exercise bargaining power Five Forces or Six? —Introducing Complements
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  • 10. Opportunities for Differentiation Characteristics of the Buyers Characteristics of the Product Industrial buyers Household buyers Distribution channel Geographical location *Size *Technical sophistication *OEM/replacement *Demographics *Lifestyle *Purchase occasion *Size *Distributor/broker *Exclusive/ nonexclusive *General/special list *Physical size *Price level *Product features *Technology design *Inputs used (e.g. raw materials) *Performance characteristics *Pre-sales & post-sales services
  • 11. Segmenting the European Metal Can Industry
  • 12. Segmenting the World Automobile Market US& Canada W.Europe E.Europe Asia Lat America Australia Africa Luxury cars Full-size cars Mid-size cars Small cars Station wagons Passenger vans Sports cars Sport-utility Pick-up trucks
  • 13. 0 5 0 10 15 20 25% 100% Share of industry revenue Auto loans Leasing Warranty Gasoline Auto insurance Aftermarket parts Auto rental Operating margin Auto manufacturing New car dealers Used car dealers Service & repair Vertical Segmentation & Industry Profit Pools — The US Auto Industry
  • 14. Segmentation and Key Success Factors in the U.S. Bicycle Industry SEGMENT Low price bicycles sold primarily through department and discount stores, mainly under the retailer’s own brand (e.g. Sears’ “Free Spirit”); KEY SUCCESS FACTORS * Low-costs through global sourcing of components & low-wage assembly. * Supply contract with major retailer. Leading competitors: Taiwanese & Chinese assemblers, some U.S manufacturers, e.g. Murray Ohio, Huffy Medium-priced bicycles sold primarily under manufacturer’s brand name and distributed mainly through specialist bicycles stores; *Cost efficiency through large scale operation and either low wages or automated manufacturing. *Reputation for quality (durability, reliability) through effective marketing to dealers and/or consumers. * International marketing & distribution. Leading competitors: Raleigh, Giant, Peugeot, Fuji *Quality of components and assembly, Innovation in design (e.g. minimizing weight and wind resistance). *Reputation (e.g. through success in racing, through effective brand management). *Strong dealer relations. Similar to low-price bicycle segment. High-priced bicycles for enthusiasts. Children’s bicycles (and tricycles) sold primarily through toy retailers (discount toy stores, department stores, and specialist toy stores).
  • 15.
  • 16. Strategic Groups in the World Automobile Industry Broad PRODUCT RANGE Narrow National GEOGRAPHICAL SCOPE Global NATIONALLY- FOCUSED, SMALL, SPECIALIST PRODUCERS e.g., Bristol (U.K.), Classic Roadsters (U.S.), Morgan (U.K.) NATIONALLY FOCUSED, INTERMEDIATE LINE PRODUCERS e.g. Tofas, Proton, Maruti First Auto Works (China) REGIONALLY-FOCUSED BROAD-LINE PRODUCERS e.g. Fiat, PSA, Renault, Kia, PERFORMANCE CAR PRODUCERS e.g., Porsche, Ferrari (owned by Fiat) Maserati, Lotus LUXURY CAR MANUFACTURERS e.g., Aston Martin, BMW, Rolls Royce (owned by VW) GLOBAL SUPPLIERS OF NARROW MODEL RANGE e.g., Subaru, Isuzu, Suzuki, Saab, Hyundai, Daihatsu GLOBAL, BROAD-LINE PRODUCERS e.g., GM, Ford, Toyota, Nissan, Honda, VW, DaimlerChrysler
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Editor's Notes

  1. 30
  2. 30
  3. 16 5
  4. 7
  5. 14
  6. 5
  7. 31
  8. 1
  9. 1
  10. 2
  11. 33
  12. 3
  13. 4