SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 61
Chapter 9


Project Management
Lecture Outline
•   Project Planning
•   Project Scheduling
•   Project Control
•   CPM/PERT
•   Probabilistic Activity Times
•   Microsoft Project
•   Project Crashing and Time-Cost Trade-off




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.              9-2
Project Management Process

• Project
     • unique, one-time operational activity or effort




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
                                                         9-3
Project Management Process




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     9-4
Project Management Process




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     9-5
Project Elements

•   Objective
•   Scope
•   Contract requirements
•   Schedules
•   Resources
•   Personnel
•   Control
•   Risk and problem analysis



Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.             9-6
Project Team and Project Manager

• Project team
      • made up of individuals from various areas and
        departments within a company
• Matrix organization
      • a team structure with members from functional
        areas, depending on skills required
• Project manager
      • most important member of project team




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                  9-7
Scope Statement

• Scope statement
  • a document that provides an
    understanding, justification, and expected
    result of a project
• Statement of work
  • written description of objectives of a project




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.               9-8
Work Breakdown Structure

• Work breakdown structure (WBS)
  • Breaks a project into
    components, subcomponents, activities, and
    tasks




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.           9-9
Work Breakdown Structure for Computer Order
                                  Processing System Project

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                 9-10
Responsibility Assignment Matrix

• Organizational Breakdown Structure (OBS)
      • a chart that shows which organizational units are
        responsible for work items
• Responsibility Assignment Matrix (RAM)
      • shows who is responsible for work in a project




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                      9-11
Responsibility Assignment Matrix




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.      9-12
Global and Diversity Issues in Project
              Management
• Global project teams are formed from different
  genders, cultures, ethnicities, etc.
• Diversity among team members can add an
  extra dimension to project planning
• Cultural research and communication are
  important elements in the planning process




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.             9-13
Project Scheduling
• Steps                                  • Techniques
      •   Define activities                • Gantt chart
      •   Sequence activities              • CPM/PERT
      •   Estimate time                  • Software
      •   Develop schedule                 • Microsoft Project




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                           9-14
Gantt Chart

•   Graph or bar chart
•   Bars represent the time for each task
•   Bars also indicate status of tasks
•   Provides visual display of project schedule

• Slack
      • amount of time an activity can be delayed without
        delaying the project




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                      9-15
Example of Gantt Chart
                                                 Month
                       0        |        2   |    4      |   6   |   8   |   10
    Activity
    Design house
    and obtain
    financing
    Lay foundation
    Order and
    receive
    materials

    Build house


    Select paint


    Select carpet


    Finish work

                               1             3           5       7       9
                                                 Month
Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                            9-16
Project Control

• Time management
• Cost management
• Performance management
      • Earned Value Analysis – standard procedure to
         • numerically measure a project’s progress
         • forecast its completion date and cost
         • measure schedule and budget variation




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                  9-17
Project Control

• Quality management
• Communication
• Enterprise project management




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.               9-18
CPM/PERT

• Critical Path Method (CPM)
      • DuPont & Remington-Rand
      • Deterministic task times
      • Activity-on-node network construction

• Project Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT)
      • US Navy and Booz, Allen & Hamilton
      • Probabilistic task time estimates
      • Activity-on-arrow network construction




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.              9-19
Project Network

• Activity-on-node (AON)
      • nodes represent activities           Branch       Node
      • arrows show precedence               1        2                 3
        relationships
• Activity-on-arrow (AOA)
      • arrows represent activities
      • nodes are events for
        points in time
• Event
      • completion or beginning
        of an activity in a project

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                           9-20
AOA Project Network for a House

                                             3
                       Lay                           Dummy
                       foundation
                                         2       0             Build                Finish
                   3                         1                 house                work
       1                        2                       4                    6               7
           Design house             Order and                      3                   1
           and obtain               receive                    1       1
                                                      Select               Select
           financing                materials         paint                carpet
                                                                   5




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                                           9-21
Concurrent Activities

• Dummy
      • two or more activities cannot share same start and
        end nodes

                                                                 3
                   Lay foundation            Lay
                                                                         Dummy
                                             foundation
                                                             2       0
               2                         3
                                                                 1
                   Order material                   2                      4
                                                          Order material
         (a) Incorrect precedence                 (b) Correct precedence
             relationship                             relationship




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                           9-22
AON Network for House Building
                   Project
                                        Lay                Build
                                     foundation            house
                                                                        Activity Number
                                         2                   4
                                                                            Activity Time
                                         2                   3

   Start              1                                                            7
                      3                                                            1
                                                                                Finish work
           Design house                  3          5               6
            and obtain
                                         1          1               1
             financing
                                Order &receive    Select           Select
                                  materials       paint            carpet




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                                        9-23
Critical Path
                                          2               4
                                          2               3

     Start               1                                               7
                         3                                               1
                                          3       5             6
                                          1       1             1


     A:       1-2-4-7
              3 + 2 + 3 + 1 = 9 months            Critical path
     B:       1-2-5-6-7                                  Longest path through a
              3 + 2 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 8 months                network
     C:       1-3-4-7
              3 + 1 + 3 + 1 = 8 months                   Minimum project
     D:       1-3-5-6-7                                   completion time
              3 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 7 months

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                         9-24
Activity Start Times

                                                Start at 5 months
                                         2             4
                                         2             3                Finish at 9 months

 Start              1                                                          7
                                                                                         Finish
                    3                                                          1
                                         3       5                  6
                                         1       1                  1
                            Start at 3 months              Start at 6 months




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                                       9-25
Node Configuration

                                Activity       Earliest       Earliest
                                number          start          finish



                                           1      0       3

                                           3      0       3


                                Activity       Latest         Latest
                                duration        start          finish




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                   9-26
Activity Scheduling

• Earliest start time (ES)
      • earliest time an activity can start
      • ES = maximum EF of immediate predecessors
• Forward pass
      • starts at beginning of CPM/PERT network to determine
        earliest activity times
• Earliest finish time (EF)
      • earliest time an activity can finish
      • earliest start time plus activity time
      • EF= ES + t



Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                   9-27
Earliest Activity Start and Finish Times
                                  Lay foundation
                                                              Build house
                                      2       3   5
                                                              4       5   8
                                      2
                                                              3                           Finish work

              1    0      3                                                               7   8   9
Start
              1                                                                           1
   Design house
    and obtain                                                            6   6    7
     financing                3   3       4
                                                                          1
                              1                       5   5       6
                                                                          Select carpet
                           Order and                  1
                        receive materials
                                                      Select paint



 Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                                           9-28
Activity Scheduling

• Latest start time (LS)
     • Latest time an activity can start without delaying critical
       path time
     • LS= LF - t
• Latest finish time (LF)
     • latest time an activity can be completed without delaying
       critical path time
     • LF = minimum LS of immediate predecessors
• Backward pass
     • Determines latest activity times by starting at the end of
       CPM/PERT network and working forward


Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                        9-29
Latest Activity Start and Finish Times
                                  Lay foundation
                                                               Build house
                                      2       3   5
                                                               4       5   8
                                      2       3   5
                                                               3       5   8               Finish work

              1    0      3                                                                7   8   9
Start
              1     0     3                                                                1   8    9
   Design house
    and obtain                                                             6   6    7
     financing                3   3       4
                                                                           1    6    7
                              1   4       5           5   5        6
                                                                           Select carpet
                           Order and                  1    6       7
                        receive materials
                                                      Select paint



 Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                                            9-30
Activity Slack

             Activity          LS        ES   LF      EF   Slack S
                 *1              0       0    3       3      0
                 *2              3       3    5       5      0
                  3              4       3    5       4      1
                 *4              5       5    8       8      0
                  5              6       5    7       6      1
                  6              7       6    8       7      1
                 *7              8       8    9       9      0
            * Critical Path




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                               9-31
Probabilistic Time Estimates

• Beta distribution
      • probability distribution traditionally used in CPM/PERT


                                                          a + 4m + b
                Mean (expected time):                  t=
                                                               6
                                                                   2
                                                             b-a
                                         Variance:   2   = 6
                   where
                                   a = optimistic estimate
                                   m = most likely time estimate
                                   b = pessimistic time estimate

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                 9-32
Examples of Beta Distributions




                                                P(time)
   P(time)




             a         m       t            b             a              t   m      b
                           Time                                   Time
                              P(time)




                                        a   m=t               b
                                                Time

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                           9-33
Project with Probabilistic Time
                       Estimates
                  Equipment              Equipment testing
                  installation            and modification

                       1                           4         System       Final
                    6,8,10                      2,4,12       training   debugging
                    System                                                 10
                  development                                  8
                                   Manual                    3,7,11       1,4,7
   Start               2           testing                                           Finish
                     3,6,9
                                           5                               11
                     Position             2,3,4                9         1,10,13
                    recruiting                                2,4,6
                                     Job Training                         System
                       3                    6            System         changeover
                     1,3,5                 3,4,5         testing

                                     Orientation
                                            7
                                           2,2,2

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                                   9-34
Activity Time Estimates

                         TIME ESTIMATES (WKS)      MEAN TIME   VARIANCE
   ACTIVITY             a                m    b        t          б2
       1                6                 8   10       8         0.44
       2                3                 6    9       6         1.00
       3                1                 3    5       3         0.44
       4                2                 4   12       5         2.78
       5                2                 3    4       3         0.11
       6                3                 4    5       4         0.11
       7                2                 2    2       2         0.00
       8                3                 7   11       7         1.78
       9                2                 4    6       4         0.44
      10                1                 4    7       4         1.00
      11                1                10   13       9         4.00




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                    9-35
Activity Early, Late Times & Slack
        ACTIVITY              t          б     ES   EF   LS   LF   S
            1                8           0.44    0    8    1    9    1
            2                6           1.00    0    6    0    6    0
            3                3           0.44    0    3    2    5    2
            4                5           2.78    8   13   16   21    8
            5                3           0.11    6    9    6    9    0
            6                4           0.11    3    7    5    9    2
            7                2           0.00    3    5   14   16   11
            8                7           1.78    9   16    9   16    0
            9                4           0.44    9   13   12   16    3
           10                4           1.00   13   17   21   25    8
           11                9           4.00   16   25   16   25    0




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                   9-36
Earliest, Latest, and Slack
                                                                Critical Path 2-5-8-11
                      1 0       8          4 8 13
                      8 1       9          5 16 21
                                                                  10 13 17

                                                           16
                                                                   1 0    3
                                                     8 9
                       2 0       6                                             Finish
     Start                                           7 9   16
                       6 0       6             9
                                         5 6                        11 16 25
                                         3 6   9     9 9 13
                                                                    9 16 25
                                                     4 12 16
                      3 0       3        6 3   7
                      3 2       5        4 5   9

                                         7 3 5
                                         2 14 16




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                             9-37
Total Project Variance

                             2 = б22 + б52 + б82 + б112
                              = 1.00 + 0.11 + 1.78 + 4.00
                                    = 6.89 weeks




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                       9-38
CPM/PERT With OM Tools




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     9-39
Probabilistic Network Analysis

     Determine probability that project is
     completed within specified time
                                              x-
                                         Z=    
     where
          =                tp = project mean time
          =                project standard deviation
          x=                proposed project time
          Z=                number of standard deviations that
                            x is from the mean


Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                           9-40
Normal Distribution of Project Time

                                                       Probability




                                                  Z




                                          = tp        x             Time



Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                  9-41
Southern Textile

What is probability that project is completed within 30 weeks?

   P(x  30 weeks)
                                                                     x-
                                              = 6.89 weeks
                                                 2              Z=
                                                                      
                                              =         6.89    =
                                                                     30 - 25
                                                                      2.62
                                              = 2.62 weeks
                                                                 = 1.91
                           = 25 x = 30   Time (weeks)



   From Table A.1, (appendix A) a Z score of 1.91 corresponds to a
   probability of 0.4719. Thus P(30) = 0.4719 + 0.5000 = 0.9719



Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                     9-42
Southern Textile
What is probability that project is completed within 22 weeks?
  P(x  22 weeks)         0.3729
      = 0.1271                                                      x-
                                             = 6.89 weeks
                                                2              Z=
                                                                     
                                             =         6.89    =
                                                                    22 - 25
                                                                     2.62
                                             = 2.62 weeks
                                                                = -1.14
                   x = 22  = 25         Time (weeks)



    From Table A.1, (appendix A) a Z score of 1.14 corresponds to a
    probability of 0.3729. Thus P(22) = 0.5000 - 0.3729 = 0.1271



Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                    9-43
Microsoft Project

• Popular software package for project
  management and CPM/PERT analysis
• Relatively easy to use




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.              9-44
Microsoft Project



                          Click on “Tasks”

                                    First step;
                                    Start Date




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.              9-45
Microsoft Project

                             Click on “Format” then ”Timescale”
                                    to scale Gantt chart.




                                                                   Gantt chart;
                                                 Precedence       click on “View”
                        Create precedence        relationships       to activate
                           relationships;
                       click on predecessor
                            activity, then
                        holding “Ctrl” Key,
                        click on successor
                              activity.




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                              9-46
Microsoft Project

                                         Click on “View” then
                                          Network Diagram




                                                                Critical path
                                                                   in red




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                          9-47
Microsoft Project – Zoom View




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.      9-48
Microsoft Project – Task Information




                                         Enter % completion




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                        9-49
Microsoft Project – Degree of Completion




                       Activities 1, 2 and 3     Black bars show
                        100% complete          degree of completion




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                           9-50
PERT Analysis with Microsoft Project
                                         Click on PERT Entry
                                           Sheet to enter 3
                                            time estimates




                                        Click on PERT
                                     calculator to compute
                                        activity duration




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                         9-51
PERT Analysis with Microsoft Project




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.   9-52
PERT Analysis with Microsoft Project




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     9-53
Project Crashing

• Crashing
      • reducing project time by expending additional
        resources
• Crash time
      • an amount of time an activity is reduced
• Crash cost
      • cost of reducing activity time
• Goal
      • reduce project duration at minimum cost




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                  9-54
Project Network – Building a House

                                         2       4
                                                 12
                                         8
                                                          7
                  1                                       4
                  12
                                                      6
                                    3        5        4
                                    4        4




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                        9-55
Normal Time and Cost
                       vs. Crash Time and Cost
             $7,000 –

             $6,000 –
                            Crash cost
             $5,000 –                                Crashed activity

                                                                        Slope = crash cost per week
             $4,000 –

             $3,000 –                                                        Normal activity

                            Normal cost
             $2,000 –

             $1,000 –
                                    Crash time                                 Normal time

                      –       |          |       |     |      |          |        |
                      0       2          4       6     8     10         12       14            Weeks
Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                                                9-56
Project Crashing
                                                                 TOTAL
                NORMAL           CRASH                         ALLOWABLE     CRASH
                  TIME            TIME     NORMAL     CRASH    CRASH TIME   COST PER
ACTIVITY        (WEEKS)         (WEEKS)     COST      COST      (WEEKS)      WEEK

   1               12                7     $3,000     $5,000       5           $400
   2                8                5      2,000      3,500       3            500
   3                4                3      4,000      7,000       1          3,000
   4               12                9     50,000     71,000       3          7,000
   5                4                1        500      1,100       3            200
   6                4                1        500      1,100       3            200
   7                4                3     15,000     22,000       1          7,000
                                          $75,000   $110,700




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                          9-57
$500                          $7000
                                                     4
                      2
                                                                   $7000
                                                                                      FROM …
                      8                            12
                                                                     7            Project Duration:
    1                                                                4
   12
                                                                                     36 weeks

  $400               3                                     6
                     4                    5                4
                                          4               $200
                 $3000
                                         $200

                                                            $500                $7000
                                                               2                  4
         TO…                                                   8                 12            $7000
                                                                                                 7
      Project Duration:                       1                                                  4
         31 weeks                             7
      Additional Cost:
                                          $400                 3                         6
           $2000
                                                               4           5             4
                                                                           4            $200
                                                          $3000
                                                                         $200
Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                                         9-58
Time-Cost Relationship

• Crashing costs increase as project duration
  decreases
• Indirect costs increase as project duration
  increases
• Reduce project length as long as crashing costs
  are less than indirect costs




Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.          9-59
Time-Cost Tradeoff

                     Minimum cost = optimal project time
                                                               Total project cost

                                                                Indirect cost
     Cost ($)




                                                                Direct cost

                                         Crashing                         Time
                                            Project duration

Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                                              9-60
Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
      All rights reserved. Reproduction or translation of this
      work beyond that permitted in section 117 of the 1976
      United States Copyright Act without express permission
      of the copyright owner is unlawful. Request for further
      information should be addressed to the Permission
      Department, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The purchaser
      may make back-up copies for his/her own use only and
      not for distribution or resale. The Publisher assumes no
      responsibility for errors, omissions, or damages caused
      by the use of these programs or from the use of the
      information herein.



Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.                      6-61

More Related Content

Viewers also liked

Viewers also liked (19)

C17
C17C17
C17
 
C06
C06C06
C06
 
Jit
JitJit
Jit
 
C01
C01C01
C01
 
олон улсын ачаа тээвэрлэлт 10
олон улсын ачаа тээвэрлэлт 10олон улсын ачаа тээвэрлэлт 10
олон улсын ачаа тээвэрлэлт 10
 
Question on Game Theory
Question on Game TheoryQuestion on Game Theory
Question on Game Theory
 
Quality
QualityQuality
Quality
 
Aggregate planning
Aggregate planningAggregate planning
Aggregate planning
 
Operations and Supply Chain Management
Operations and Supply Chain Management Operations and Supply Chain Management
Operations and Supply Chain Management
 
Supply Chain Management Coordination.
Supply Chain Management Coordination.Supply Chain Management Coordination.
Supply Chain Management Coordination.
 
Supply Chain Management and IT
Supply Chain Management and IT Supply Chain Management and IT
Supply Chain Management and IT
 
Self awareness.
Self awareness.Self awareness.
Self awareness.
 
Supply Chain Management, Sourcing Pricing and Procurement Process
Supply Chain Management, Sourcing Pricing and Procurement ProcessSupply Chain Management, Sourcing Pricing and Procurement Process
Supply Chain Management, Sourcing Pricing and Procurement Process
 
Supply chain management ppt MBA
Supply chain management ppt MBA  Supply chain management ppt MBA
Supply chain management ppt MBA
 
Supply Chain Management, Basics
Supply Chain Management, BasicsSupply Chain Management, Basics
Supply Chain Management, Basics
 
Supply chain management
Supply chain managementSupply chain management
Supply chain management
 
Supply chain management ppt
Supply chain management pptSupply chain management ppt
Supply chain management ppt
 
Supply Chain Management, Designing the Supply Chain Network
Supply Chain Management, Designing the Supply Chain NetworkSupply Chain Management, Designing the Supply Chain Network
Supply Chain Management, Designing the Supply Chain Network
 
Informe proveedores
Informe proveedoresInforme proveedores
Informe proveedores
 

Similar to C09

Cloud-enabled Development: Putting the Agile into the Infrastructure
Cloud-enabled Development: Putting the Agile into the InfrastructureCloud-enabled Development: Putting the Agile into the Infrastructure
Cloud-enabled Development: Putting the Agile into the Infrastructurebrian.white
 
Social Construction Projects
Social Construction ProjectsSocial Construction Projects
Social Construction ProjectsAlan Hamilton
 
Zen and Enterprise Architecture
Zen and Enterprise ArchitectureZen and Enterprise Architecture
Zen and Enterprise ArchitectureRichard Green
 
PlanIt Now PR #2 Powerpoint
PlanIt Now PR #2 PowerpointPlanIt Now PR #2 Powerpoint
PlanIt Now PR #2 Powerpointbdhickson
 
Running successful agile projects
Running successful agile projectsRunning successful agile projects
Running successful agile projectsMartin Aspeli
 
Law.richard
Law.richardLaw.richard
Law.richardNASAPMC
 
Pm deep dive scope management
Pm deep dive   scope managementPm deep dive   scope management
Pm deep dive scope managementNiraj Agarwal
 
Cierre del proyecto
Cierre del proyectoCierre del proyecto
Cierre del proyectoProColombia
 
Ccpm Success Stories by Avenir
Ccpm Success Stories by AvenirCcpm Success Stories by Avenir
Ccpm Success Stories by AvenirAvenirManagement
 
Ibm.robinson
Ibm.robinsonIbm.robinson
Ibm.robinsonNASAPMC
 
Planning Phase Part I - Project Phases and Lifecycle Planning
Planning Phase Part I - Project Phases and Lifecycle PlanningPlanning Phase Part I - Project Phases and Lifecycle Planning
Planning Phase Part I - Project Phases and Lifecycle PlanningEmanuele Della Valle
 

Similar to C09 (20)

Work Breakdown Structure
Work Breakdown StructureWork Breakdown Structure
Work Breakdown Structure
 
Ms project training ver 01
Ms project training ver 01Ms project training ver 01
Ms project training ver 01
 
Cloud-enabled Development: Putting the Agile into the Infrastructure
Cloud-enabled Development: Putting the Agile into the InfrastructureCloud-enabled Development: Putting the Agile into the Infrastructure
Cloud-enabled Development: Putting the Agile into the Infrastructure
 
Social Construction Projects
Social Construction ProjectsSocial Construction Projects
Social Construction Projects
 
Day 5
Day 5Day 5
Day 5
 
P&msp2010 04 wbs-and-estimation
P&msp2010 04 wbs-and-estimationP&msp2010 04 wbs-and-estimation
P&msp2010 04 wbs-and-estimation
 
Zen and Enterprise Architecture
Zen and Enterprise ArchitectureZen and Enterprise Architecture
Zen and Enterprise Architecture
 
PlanIt Now PR #2 Powerpoint
PlanIt Now PR #2 PowerpointPlanIt Now PR #2 Powerpoint
PlanIt Now PR #2 Powerpoint
 
Wbs Building Use This
Wbs Building Use ThisWbs Building Use This
Wbs Building Use This
 
Running successful agile projects
Running successful agile projectsRunning successful agile projects
Running successful agile projects
 
Law.richard
Law.richardLaw.richard
Law.richard
 
Pm deep dive scope management
Pm deep dive   scope managementPm deep dive   scope management
Pm deep dive scope management
 
Cierre del proyecto
Cierre del proyectoCierre del proyecto
Cierre del proyecto
 
Ccpm Success Stories by Avenir
Ccpm Success Stories by AvenirCcpm Success Stories by Avenir
Ccpm Success Stories by Avenir
 
NESPUG - 5 ways SP can benefit the PMO
NESPUG - 5 ways SP can benefit the PMONESPUG - 5 ways SP can benefit the PMO
NESPUG - 5 ways SP can benefit the PMO
 
Web Project Management
Web Project ManagementWeb Project Management
Web Project Management
 
Ibm.robinson
Ibm.robinsonIbm.robinson
Ibm.robinson
 
General dqi for web
General dqi for webGeneral dqi for web
General dqi for web
 
Work breakdown structure
Work breakdown structureWork breakdown structure
Work breakdown structure
 
Planning Phase Part I - Project Phases and Lifecycle Planning
Planning Phase Part I - Project Phases and Lifecycle PlanningPlanning Phase Part I - Project Phases and Lifecycle Planning
Planning Phase Part I - Project Phases and Lifecycle Planning
 

More from grane09

олон улсын маркетингийн тээвэрлэлт, сав баглаа бодол
олон улсын маркетингийн  тээвэрлэлт, сав баглаа бодололон улсын маркетингийн  тээвэрлэлт, сав баглаа бодол
олон улсын маркетингийн тээвэрлэлт, сав баглаа бодолgrane09
 
олон улсын маркетингийн харилцаа 13
олон улсын маркетингийн харилцаа 13олон улсын маркетингийн харилцаа 13
олон улсын маркетингийн харилцаа 13grane09
 
олон улсын маркетингийн үнэ бүрдэлт
олон улсын маркетингийн үнэ бүрдэлтолон улсын маркетингийн үнэ бүрдэлт
олон улсын маркетингийн үнэ бүрдэлтgrane09
 
олон улсын маркетингийн хуваарилалт
олон улсын маркетингийн хуваарилалтолон улсын маркетингийн хуваарилалт
олон улсын маркетингийн хуваарилалтgrane09
 
глобаль маркетингын үйл ажиллагааны идэвхижүүлэлтүүд
глобаль маркетингын үйл ажиллагааны идэвхижүүлэлтүүдглобаль маркетингын үйл ажиллагааны идэвхижүүлэлтүүд
глобаль маркетингын үйл ажиллагааны идэвхижүүлэлтүүдgrane09
 
Ou marketimgiim hyanalt
Ou marketimgiim hyanaltOu marketimgiim hyanalt
Ou marketimgiim hyanaltgrane09
 
олон улсын зах зээл дээр гарах стратеги
олон улсын зах зээл дээр гарах стратегиолон улсын зах зээл дээр гарах стратеги
олон улсын зах зээл дээр гарах стратегиgrane09
 
олон улсын маркетинг дахь соёлын нөлөө
олон улсын маркетинг дахь соёлын нөлөөолон улсын маркетинг дахь соёлын нөлөө
олон улсын маркетинг дахь соёлын нөлөөgrane09
 
Global marketing research
Global marketing researchGlobal marketing research
Global marketing researchgrane09
 
Oum buteegdehuunii shiidver
Oum buteegdehuunii shiidverOum buteegdehuunii shiidver
Oum buteegdehuunii shiidvergrane09
 
олон үндэстний зах зээл маркетингийн сегментчилэл
олон үндэстний зах зээл маркетингийн сегментчилэлолон үндэстний зах зээл маркетингийн сегментчилэл
олон үндэстний зах зээл маркетингийн сегментчилэлgrane09
 
олон улсын маркетингийн орчин, олон улсын маркетинг
олон улсын маркетингийн  орчин, олон улсын маркетинголон улсын маркетингийн  орчин, олон улсын маркетинг
олон улсын маркетингийн орчин, олон улсын маркетингgrane09
 
глобал маркетингийн концепци
глобал маркетингийн концепциглобал маркетингийн концепци
глобал маркетингийн концепциgrane09
 
Incoterms 2010
Incoterms 2010Incoterms 2010
Incoterms 2010grane09
 
Incoterms%202010
Incoterms%202010Incoterms%202010
Incoterms%202010grane09
 

More from grane09 (15)

олон улсын маркетингийн тээвэрлэлт, сав баглаа бодол
олон улсын маркетингийн  тээвэрлэлт, сав баглаа бодололон улсын маркетингийн  тээвэрлэлт, сав баглаа бодол
олон улсын маркетингийн тээвэрлэлт, сав баглаа бодол
 
олон улсын маркетингийн харилцаа 13
олон улсын маркетингийн харилцаа 13олон улсын маркетингийн харилцаа 13
олон улсын маркетингийн харилцаа 13
 
олон улсын маркетингийн үнэ бүрдэлт
олон улсын маркетингийн үнэ бүрдэлтолон улсын маркетингийн үнэ бүрдэлт
олон улсын маркетингийн үнэ бүрдэлт
 
олон улсын маркетингийн хуваарилалт
олон улсын маркетингийн хуваарилалтолон улсын маркетингийн хуваарилалт
олон улсын маркетингийн хуваарилалт
 
глобаль маркетингын үйл ажиллагааны идэвхижүүлэлтүүд
глобаль маркетингын үйл ажиллагааны идэвхижүүлэлтүүдглобаль маркетингын үйл ажиллагааны идэвхижүүлэлтүүд
глобаль маркетингын үйл ажиллагааны идэвхижүүлэлтүүд
 
Ou marketimgiim hyanalt
Ou marketimgiim hyanaltOu marketimgiim hyanalt
Ou marketimgiim hyanalt
 
олон улсын зах зээл дээр гарах стратеги
олон улсын зах зээл дээр гарах стратегиолон улсын зах зээл дээр гарах стратеги
олон улсын зах зээл дээр гарах стратеги
 
олон улсын маркетинг дахь соёлын нөлөө
олон улсын маркетинг дахь соёлын нөлөөолон улсын маркетинг дахь соёлын нөлөө
олон улсын маркетинг дахь соёлын нөлөө
 
Global marketing research
Global marketing researchGlobal marketing research
Global marketing research
 
Oum buteegdehuunii shiidver
Oum buteegdehuunii shiidverOum buteegdehuunii shiidver
Oum buteegdehuunii shiidver
 
олон үндэстний зах зээл маркетингийн сегментчилэл
олон үндэстний зах зээл маркетингийн сегментчилэлолон үндэстний зах зээл маркетингийн сегментчилэл
олон үндэстний зах зээл маркетингийн сегментчилэл
 
олон улсын маркетингийн орчин, олон улсын маркетинг
олон улсын маркетингийн  орчин, олон улсын маркетинголон улсын маркетингийн  орчин, олон улсын маркетинг
олон улсын маркетингийн орчин, олон улсын маркетинг
 
глобал маркетингийн концепци
глобал маркетингийн концепциглобал маркетингийн концепци
глобал маркетингийн концепци
 
Incoterms 2010
Incoterms 2010Incoterms 2010
Incoterms 2010
 
Incoterms%202010
Incoterms%202010Incoterms%202010
Incoterms%202010
 

Recently uploaded

APIForce Zurich 5 April Automation LPDG
APIForce Zurich 5 April  Automation LPDGAPIForce Zurich 5 April  Automation LPDG
APIForce Zurich 5 April Automation LPDGMarianaLemus7
 
Key Features Of Token Development (1).pptx
Key  Features Of Token  Development (1).pptxKey  Features Of Token  Development (1).pptx
Key Features Of Token Development (1).pptxLBM Solutions
 
"LLMs for Python Engineers: Advanced Data Analysis and Semantic Kernel",Oleks...
"LLMs for Python Engineers: Advanced Data Analysis and Semantic Kernel",Oleks..."LLMs for Python Engineers: Advanced Data Analysis and Semantic Kernel",Oleks...
"LLMs for Python Engineers: Advanced Data Analysis and Semantic Kernel",Oleks...Fwdays
 
Integration and Automation in Practice: CI/CD in Mule Integration and Automat...
Integration and Automation in Practice: CI/CD in Mule Integration and Automat...Integration and Automation in Practice: CI/CD in Mule Integration and Automat...
Integration and Automation in Practice: CI/CD in Mule Integration and Automat...Patryk Bandurski
 
Unleash Your Potential - Namagunga Girls Coding Club
Unleash Your Potential - Namagunga Girls Coding ClubUnleash Your Potential - Namagunga Girls Coding Club
Unleash Your Potential - Namagunga Girls Coding ClubKalema Edgar
 
Science&tech:THE INFORMATION AGE STS.pdf
Science&tech:THE INFORMATION AGE STS.pdfScience&tech:THE INFORMATION AGE STS.pdf
Science&tech:THE INFORMATION AGE STS.pdfjimielynbastida
 
Transcript: New from BookNet Canada for 2024: BNC BiblioShare - Tech Forum 2024
Transcript: New from BookNet Canada for 2024: BNC BiblioShare - Tech Forum 2024Transcript: New from BookNet Canada for 2024: BNC BiblioShare - Tech Forum 2024
Transcript: New from BookNet Canada for 2024: BNC BiblioShare - Tech Forum 2024BookNet Canada
 
Benefits Of Flutter Compared To Other Frameworks
Benefits Of Flutter Compared To Other FrameworksBenefits Of Flutter Compared To Other Frameworks
Benefits Of Flutter Compared To Other FrameworksSoftradix Technologies
 
CloudStudio User manual (basic edition):
CloudStudio User manual (basic edition):CloudStudio User manual (basic edition):
CloudStudio User manual (basic edition):comworks
 
SQL Database Design For Developers at php[tek] 2024
SQL Database Design For Developers at php[tek] 2024SQL Database Design For Developers at php[tek] 2024
SQL Database Design For Developers at php[tek] 2024Scott Keck-Warren
 
Install Stable Diffusion in windows machine
Install Stable Diffusion in windows machineInstall Stable Diffusion in windows machine
Install Stable Diffusion in windows machinePadma Pradeep
 
My INSURER PTE LTD - Insurtech Innovation Award 2024
My INSURER PTE LTD - Insurtech Innovation Award 2024My INSURER PTE LTD - Insurtech Innovation Award 2024
My INSURER PTE LTD - Insurtech Innovation Award 2024The Digital Insurer
 
Dev Dives: Streamline document processing with UiPath Studio Web
Dev Dives: Streamline document processing with UiPath Studio WebDev Dives: Streamline document processing with UiPath Studio Web
Dev Dives: Streamline document processing with UiPath Studio WebUiPathCommunity
 
Designing IA for AI - Information Architecture Conference 2024
Designing IA for AI - Information Architecture Conference 2024Designing IA for AI - Information Architecture Conference 2024
Designing IA for AI - Information Architecture Conference 2024Enterprise Knowledge
 
Gen AI in Business - Global Trends Report 2024.pdf
Gen AI in Business - Global Trends Report 2024.pdfGen AI in Business - Global Trends Report 2024.pdf
Gen AI in Business - Global Trends Report 2024.pdfAddepto
 
Advanced Test Driven-Development @ php[tek] 2024
Advanced Test Driven-Development @ php[tek] 2024Advanced Test Driven-Development @ php[tek] 2024
Advanced Test Driven-Development @ php[tek] 2024Scott Keck-Warren
 
Streamlining Python Development: A Guide to a Modern Project Setup
Streamlining Python Development: A Guide to a Modern Project SetupStreamlining Python Development: A Guide to a Modern Project Setup
Streamlining Python Development: A Guide to a Modern Project SetupFlorian Wilhelm
 
Pigging Solutions in Pet Food Manufacturing
Pigging Solutions in Pet Food ManufacturingPigging Solutions in Pet Food Manufacturing
Pigging Solutions in Pet Food ManufacturingPigging Solutions
 

Recently uploaded (20)

APIForce Zurich 5 April Automation LPDG
APIForce Zurich 5 April  Automation LPDGAPIForce Zurich 5 April  Automation LPDG
APIForce Zurich 5 April Automation LPDG
 
Key Features Of Token Development (1).pptx
Key  Features Of Token  Development (1).pptxKey  Features Of Token  Development (1).pptx
Key Features Of Token Development (1).pptx
 
"LLMs for Python Engineers: Advanced Data Analysis and Semantic Kernel",Oleks...
"LLMs for Python Engineers: Advanced Data Analysis and Semantic Kernel",Oleks..."LLMs for Python Engineers: Advanced Data Analysis and Semantic Kernel",Oleks...
"LLMs for Python Engineers: Advanced Data Analysis and Semantic Kernel",Oleks...
 
Integration and Automation in Practice: CI/CD in Mule Integration and Automat...
Integration and Automation in Practice: CI/CD in Mule Integration and Automat...Integration and Automation in Practice: CI/CD in Mule Integration and Automat...
Integration and Automation in Practice: CI/CD in Mule Integration and Automat...
 
Unleash Your Potential - Namagunga Girls Coding Club
Unleash Your Potential - Namagunga Girls Coding ClubUnleash Your Potential - Namagunga Girls Coding Club
Unleash Your Potential - Namagunga Girls Coding Club
 
Science&tech:THE INFORMATION AGE STS.pdf
Science&tech:THE INFORMATION AGE STS.pdfScience&tech:THE INFORMATION AGE STS.pdf
Science&tech:THE INFORMATION AGE STS.pdf
 
Transcript: New from BookNet Canada for 2024: BNC BiblioShare - Tech Forum 2024
Transcript: New from BookNet Canada for 2024: BNC BiblioShare - Tech Forum 2024Transcript: New from BookNet Canada for 2024: BNC BiblioShare - Tech Forum 2024
Transcript: New from BookNet Canada for 2024: BNC BiblioShare - Tech Forum 2024
 
Benefits Of Flutter Compared To Other Frameworks
Benefits Of Flutter Compared To Other FrameworksBenefits Of Flutter Compared To Other Frameworks
Benefits Of Flutter Compared To Other Frameworks
 
CloudStudio User manual (basic edition):
CloudStudio User manual (basic edition):CloudStudio User manual (basic edition):
CloudStudio User manual (basic edition):
 
Hot Sexy call girls in Panjabi Bagh 🔝 9953056974 🔝 Delhi escort Service
Hot Sexy call girls in Panjabi Bagh 🔝 9953056974 🔝 Delhi escort ServiceHot Sexy call girls in Panjabi Bagh 🔝 9953056974 🔝 Delhi escort Service
Hot Sexy call girls in Panjabi Bagh 🔝 9953056974 🔝 Delhi escort Service
 
SQL Database Design For Developers at php[tek] 2024
SQL Database Design For Developers at php[tek] 2024SQL Database Design For Developers at php[tek] 2024
SQL Database Design For Developers at php[tek] 2024
 
Install Stable Diffusion in windows machine
Install Stable Diffusion in windows machineInstall Stable Diffusion in windows machine
Install Stable Diffusion in windows machine
 
My INSURER PTE LTD - Insurtech Innovation Award 2024
My INSURER PTE LTD - Insurtech Innovation Award 2024My INSURER PTE LTD - Insurtech Innovation Award 2024
My INSURER PTE LTD - Insurtech Innovation Award 2024
 
Dev Dives: Streamline document processing with UiPath Studio Web
Dev Dives: Streamline document processing with UiPath Studio WebDev Dives: Streamline document processing with UiPath Studio Web
Dev Dives: Streamline document processing with UiPath Studio Web
 
Designing IA for AI - Information Architecture Conference 2024
Designing IA for AI - Information Architecture Conference 2024Designing IA for AI - Information Architecture Conference 2024
Designing IA for AI - Information Architecture Conference 2024
 
Gen AI in Business - Global Trends Report 2024.pdf
Gen AI in Business - Global Trends Report 2024.pdfGen AI in Business - Global Trends Report 2024.pdf
Gen AI in Business - Global Trends Report 2024.pdf
 
Advanced Test Driven-Development @ php[tek] 2024
Advanced Test Driven-Development @ php[tek] 2024Advanced Test Driven-Development @ php[tek] 2024
Advanced Test Driven-Development @ php[tek] 2024
 
Streamlining Python Development: A Guide to a Modern Project Setup
Streamlining Python Development: A Guide to a Modern Project SetupStreamlining Python Development: A Guide to a Modern Project Setup
Streamlining Python Development: A Guide to a Modern Project Setup
 
Pigging Solutions in Pet Food Manufacturing
Pigging Solutions in Pet Food ManufacturingPigging Solutions in Pet Food Manufacturing
Pigging Solutions in Pet Food Manufacturing
 
DMCC Future of Trade Web3 - Special Edition
DMCC Future of Trade Web3 - Special EditionDMCC Future of Trade Web3 - Special Edition
DMCC Future of Trade Web3 - Special Edition
 

C09

  • 2. Lecture Outline • Project Planning • Project Scheduling • Project Control • CPM/PERT • Probabilistic Activity Times • Microsoft Project • Project Crashing and Time-Cost Trade-off Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-2
  • 3. Project Management Process • Project • unique, one-time operational activity or effort Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-3
  • 4. Project Management Process Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-4
  • 5. Project Management Process Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-5
  • 6. Project Elements • Objective • Scope • Contract requirements • Schedules • Resources • Personnel • Control • Risk and problem analysis Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-6
  • 7. Project Team and Project Manager • Project team • made up of individuals from various areas and departments within a company • Matrix organization • a team structure with members from functional areas, depending on skills required • Project manager • most important member of project team Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-7
  • 8. Scope Statement • Scope statement • a document that provides an understanding, justification, and expected result of a project • Statement of work • written description of objectives of a project Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-8
  • 9. Work Breakdown Structure • Work breakdown structure (WBS) • Breaks a project into components, subcomponents, activities, and tasks Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-9
  • 10. Work Breakdown Structure for Computer Order Processing System Project Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-10
  • 11. Responsibility Assignment Matrix • Organizational Breakdown Structure (OBS) • a chart that shows which organizational units are responsible for work items • Responsibility Assignment Matrix (RAM) • shows who is responsible for work in a project Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-11
  • 12. Responsibility Assignment Matrix Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-12
  • 13. Global and Diversity Issues in Project Management • Global project teams are formed from different genders, cultures, ethnicities, etc. • Diversity among team members can add an extra dimension to project planning • Cultural research and communication are important elements in the planning process Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-13
  • 14. Project Scheduling • Steps • Techniques • Define activities • Gantt chart • Sequence activities • CPM/PERT • Estimate time • Software • Develop schedule • Microsoft Project Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-14
  • 15. Gantt Chart • Graph or bar chart • Bars represent the time for each task • Bars also indicate status of tasks • Provides visual display of project schedule • Slack • amount of time an activity can be delayed without delaying the project Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-15
  • 16. Example of Gantt Chart Month 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 Activity Design house and obtain financing Lay foundation Order and receive materials Build house Select paint Select carpet Finish work 1 3 5 7 9 Month Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-16
  • 17. Project Control • Time management • Cost management • Performance management • Earned Value Analysis – standard procedure to • numerically measure a project’s progress • forecast its completion date and cost • measure schedule and budget variation Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-17
  • 18. Project Control • Quality management • Communication • Enterprise project management Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-18
  • 19. CPM/PERT • Critical Path Method (CPM) • DuPont & Remington-Rand • Deterministic task times • Activity-on-node network construction • Project Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT) • US Navy and Booz, Allen & Hamilton • Probabilistic task time estimates • Activity-on-arrow network construction Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-19
  • 20. Project Network • Activity-on-node (AON) • nodes represent activities Branch Node • arrows show precedence 1 2 3 relationships • Activity-on-arrow (AOA) • arrows represent activities • nodes are events for points in time • Event • completion or beginning of an activity in a project Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-20
  • 21. AOA Project Network for a House 3 Lay Dummy foundation 2 0 Build Finish 3 1 house work 1 2 4 6 7 Design house Order and 3 1 and obtain receive 1 1 Select Select financing materials paint carpet 5 Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-21
  • 22. Concurrent Activities • Dummy • two or more activities cannot share same start and end nodes 3 Lay foundation Lay Dummy foundation 2 0 2 3 1 Order material 2 4 Order material (a) Incorrect precedence (b) Correct precedence relationship relationship Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-22
  • 23. AON Network for House Building Project Lay Build foundation house Activity Number 2 4 Activity Time 2 3 Start 1 7 3 1 Finish work Design house 3 5 6 and obtain 1 1 1 financing Order &receive Select Select materials paint carpet Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-23
  • 24. Critical Path 2 4 2 3 Start 1 7 3 1 3 5 6 1 1 1 A: 1-2-4-7 3 + 2 + 3 + 1 = 9 months  Critical path B: 1-2-5-6-7  Longest path through a 3 + 2 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 8 months network C: 1-3-4-7 3 + 1 + 3 + 1 = 8 months  Minimum project D: 1-3-5-6-7 completion time 3 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 = 7 months Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-24
  • 25. Activity Start Times Start at 5 months 2 4 2 3 Finish at 9 months Start 1 7 Finish 3 1 3 5 6 1 1 1 Start at 3 months Start at 6 months Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-25
  • 26. Node Configuration Activity Earliest Earliest number start finish 1 0 3 3 0 3 Activity Latest Latest duration start finish Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-26
  • 27. Activity Scheduling • Earliest start time (ES) • earliest time an activity can start • ES = maximum EF of immediate predecessors • Forward pass • starts at beginning of CPM/PERT network to determine earliest activity times • Earliest finish time (EF) • earliest time an activity can finish • earliest start time plus activity time • EF= ES + t Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-27
  • 28. Earliest Activity Start and Finish Times Lay foundation Build house 2 3 5 4 5 8 2 3 Finish work 1 0 3 7 8 9 Start 1 1 Design house and obtain 6 6 7 financing 3 3 4 1 1 5 5 6 Select carpet Order and 1 receive materials Select paint Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-28
  • 29. Activity Scheduling • Latest start time (LS) • Latest time an activity can start without delaying critical path time • LS= LF - t • Latest finish time (LF) • latest time an activity can be completed without delaying critical path time • LF = minimum LS of immediate predecessors • Backward pass • Determines latest activity times by starting at the end of CPM/PERT network and working forward Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-29
  • 30. Latest Activity Start and Finish Times Lay foundation Build house 2 3 5 4 5 8 2 3 5 3 5 8 Finish work 1 0 3 7 8 9 Start 1 0 3 1 8 9 Design house and obtain 6 6 7 financing 3 3 4 1 6 7 1 4 5 5 5 6 Select carpet Order and 1 6 7 receive materials Select paint Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-30
  • 31. Activity Slack Activity LS ES LF EF Slack S *1 0 0 3 3 0 *2 3 3 5 5 0 3 4 3 5 4 1 *4 5 5 8 8 0 5 6 5 7 6 1 6 7 6 8 7 1 *7 8 8 9 9 0 * Critical Path Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-31
  • 32. Probabilistic Time Estimates • Beta distribution • probability distribution traditionally used in CPM/PERT a + 4m + b Mean (expected time): t= 6 2 b-a Variance: 2 = 6 where a = optimistic estimate m = most likely time estimate b = pessimistic time estimate Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-32
  • 33. Examples of Beta Distributions P(time) P(time) a m t b a t m b Time Time P(time) a m=t b Time Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-33
  • 34. Project with Probabilistic Time Estimates Equipment Equipment testing installation and modification 1 4 System Final 6,8,10 2,4,12 training debugging System 10 development 8 Manual 3,7,11 1,4,7 Start 2 testing Finish 3,6,9 5 11 Position 2,3,4 9 1,10,13 recruiting 2,4,6 Job Training System 3 6 System changeover 1,3,5 3,4,5 testing Orientation 7 2,2,2 Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-34
  • 35. Activity Time Estimates TIME ESTIMATES (WKS) MEAN TIME VARIANCE ACTIVITY a m b t б2 1 6 8 10 8 0.44 2 3 6 9 6 1.00 3 1 3 5 3 0.44 4 2 4 12 5 2.78 5 2 3 4 3 0.11 6 3 4 5 4 0.11 7 2 2 2 2 0.00 8 3 7 11 7 1.78 9 2 4 6 4 0.44 10 1 4 7 4 1.00 11 1 10 13 9 4.00 Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-35
  • 36. Activity Early, Late Times & Slack ACTIVITY t б ES EF LS LF S 1 8 0.44 0 8 1 9 1 2 6 1.00 0 6 0 6 0 3 3 0.44 0 3 2 5 2 4 5 2.78 8 13 16 21 8 5 3 0.11 6 9 6 9 0 6 4 0.11 3 7 5 9 2 7 2 0.00 3 5 14 16 11 8 7 1.78 9 16 9 16 0 9 4 0.44 9 13 12 16 3 10 4 1.00 13 17 21 25 8 11 9 4.00 16 25 16 25 0 Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-36
  • 37. Earliest, Latest, and Slack Critical Path 2-5-8-11 1 0 8 4 8 13 8 1 9 5 16 21 10 13 17 16 1 0 3 8 9 2 0 6 Finish Start 7 9 16 6 0 6 9 5 6 11 16 25 3 6 9 9 9 13 9 16 25 4 12 16 3 0 3 6 3 7 3 2 5 4 5 9 7 3 5 2 14 16 Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-37
  • 38. Total Project Variance 2 = б22 + б52 + б82 + б112  = 1.00 + 0.11 + 1.78 + 4.00 = 6.89 weeks Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-38
  • 39. CPM/PERT With OM Tools Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-39
  • 40. Probabilistic Network Analysis Determine probability that project is completed within specified time x- Z=  where = tp = project mean time = project standard deviation x= proposed project time Z= number of standard deviations that x is from the mean Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-40
  • 41. Normal Distribution of Project Time Probability Z  = tp x Time Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-41
  • 42. Southern Textile What is probability that project is completed within 30 weeks? P(x  30 weeks) x-  = 6.89 weeks 2 Z=   = 6.89 = 30 - 25 2.62  = 2.62 weeks = 1.91  = 25 x = 30 Time (weeks) From Table A.1, (appendix A) a Z score of 1.91 corresponds to a probability of 0.4719. Thus P(30) = 0.4719 + 0.5000 = 0.9719 Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-42
  • 43. Southern Textile What is probability that project is completed within 22 weeks? P(x  22 weeks) 0.3729 = 0.1271 x-  = 6.89 weeks 2 Z=   = 6.89 = 22 - 25 2.62  = 2.62 weeks = -1.14 x = 22  = 25 Time (weeks) From Table A.1, (appendix A) a Z score of 1.14 corresponds to a probability of 0.3729. Thus P(22) = 0.5000 - 0.3729 = 0.1271 Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-43
  • 44. Microsoft Project • Popular software package for project management and CPM/PERT analysis • Relatively easy to use Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-44
  • 45. Microsoft Project Click on “Tasks” First step; Start Date Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-45
  • 46. Microsoft Project Click on “Format” then ”Timescale” to scale Gantt chart. Gantt chart; Precedence click on “View” Create precedence relationships to activate relationships; click on predecessor activity, then holding “Ctrl” Key, click on successor activity. Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-46
  • 47. Microsoft Project Click on “View” then Network Diagram Critical path in red Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-47
  • 48. Microsoft Project – Zoom View Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-48
  • 49. Microsoft Project – Task Information Enter % completion Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-49
  • 50. Microsoft Project – Degree of Completion Activities 1, 2 and 3 Black bars show 100% complete degree of completion Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-50
  • 51. PERT Analysis with Microsoft Project Click on PERT Entry Sheet to enter 3 time estimates Click on PERT calculator to compute activity duration Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-51
  • 52. PERT Analysis with Microsoft Project Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-52
  • 53. PERT Analysis with Microsoft Project Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-53
  • 54. Project Crashing • Crashing • reducing project time by expending additional resources • Crash time • an amount of time an activity is reduced • Crash cost • cost of reducing activity time • Goal • reduce project duration at minimum cost Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-54
  • 55. Project Network – Building a House 2 4 12 8 7 1 4 12 6 3 5 4 4 4 Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-55
  • 56. Normal Time and Cost vs. Crash Time and Cost $7,000 – $6,000 – Crash cost $5,000 – Crashed activity Slope = crash cost per week $4,000 – $3,000 – Normal activity Normal cost $2,000 – $1,000 – Crash time Normal time – | | | | | | | 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Weeks Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-56
  • 57. Project Crashing TOTAL NORMAL CRASH ALLOWABLE CRASH TIME TIME NORMAL CRASH CRASH TIME COST PER ACTIVITY (WEEKS) (WEEKS) COST COST (WEEKS) WEEK 1 12 7 $3,000 $5,000 5 $400 2 8 5 2,000 3,500 3 500 3 4 3 4,000 7,000 1 3,000 4 12 9 50,000 71,000 3 7,000 5 4 1 500 1,100 3 200 6 4 1 500 1,100 3 200 7 4 3 15,000 22,000 1 7,000 $75,000 $110,700 Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-57
  • 58. $500 $7000 4 2 $7000 FROM … 8 12 7 Project Duration: 1 4 12 36 weeks $400 3 6 4 5 4 4 $200 $3000 $200 $500 $7000 2 4 TO… 8 12 $7000 7 Project Duration: 1 4 31 weeks 7 Additional Cost: $400 3 6 $2000 4 5 4 4 $200 $3000 $200 Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-58
  • 59. Time-Cost Relationship • Crashing costs increase as project duration decreases • Indirect costs increase as project duration increases • Reduce project length as long as crashing costs are less than indirect costs Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-59
  • 60. Time-Cost Tradeoff Minimum cost = optimal project time Total project cost Indirect cost Cost ($) Direct cost Crashing Time Project duration Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 9-60
  • 61. Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Reproduction or translation of this work beyond that permitted in section 117 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act without express permission of the copyright owner is unlawful. Request for further information should be addressed to the Permission Department, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The purchaser may make back-up copies for his/her own use only and not for distribution or resale. The Publisher assumes no responsibility for errors, omissions, or damages caused by the use of these programs or from the use of the information herein. Copyright 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 6-61