MateuszMaj
Chairmanof IABE
BigDataWG
mat@motosmarty.com
Big Data
an actuarial perspective
1st IABEBigDataForum
What is Big Data?
What is Big Data?
What is Big Data?
What is Big Data?Big Data	
  
Eric Schmidt,
CEO of Google, 2011
	
  
“There	
  was	
  5	
  exabytes	
  of	
  informa4on	
  created	
  
between	
  the	
  dawn	
  of	
  civiliza4on	
  through	
  2003,	
  
but	
  that	
  much	
  informa4on	
  is	
  now	
  created	
  every	
  
2	
  days,	
  and	
  the	
  pace	
  is	
  increasing.”	
  
But	
  not	
  only	
  the	
  size	
  ma0ers	
  !!!	
  
Big Data WG
Why?
Discuss:
•  Impact of Big Data on insurance sector and the actuarial profession;
•  Present challenges and good practices when working with Big Data;
•  Educate actuarial profession about Big Data.
Big Data WG
How?
•  Big Data information paper ;
•  Regular meetings with guest lecturers presenting different
aspects of Big Data, at least bi-monthly;
•  Seminars;
•  CPD courses – Big Data/Data science program – from 2016;
•  Further technical notes on the topic.
Insurance value chain:
undewriting
Covers different
Underwriting
360degree
customerview	
  
Combine different sources and apply analytics to
create comprehensive customer view and:
•  Maximize profitability of the current portfolio
•  Detect cross-sell and up-sell opportunities;
•  Increase customer satisfaction and loyalty;
•  Acquire new profitable customers and reduce marketing costs.
Underwriting
Underwriting
Tescogroup–UK
Motor – 1M
Pet – 0.45M
Travel - 0.175M
Life – 0.175M
Home – 0.4M	
  
•  Insurance prevention program with discounts and rewards for good
driving
•  ‘Phased’ approach:
•  Phase 1: combine data from different sources i.e. traditional channels, online channels,
external service providers, Tesco group warehouses;
•  Phase 2: Identify the right customers within Tesco network;
•  Phase 3: Provide initial offer and reward drivers with initial rewards from Tesco group;
•  Phase 4: Iterate and provide personalized insurance offers.
Underwriting
makinginsurancesexy
Pricing
Pricing
Ratingtrends
1980s Now
Profession
Engine power
Coverage
Bonus-malus
Coverage
Bonus-malus
Claims history
Traffic violation
history
Age of vehicle
Use of vehicle
Make of vehicle
Purchase price
Parking place
Occupation
No. of drivers
Age of drivers
Maritial status
Real estate
Driving license
Mileage
Registered owner
Credit rating
…
Do we need additional factors? Is telematics necessary?
Univariate
basis
Risk
modelling
Technical
premium
modelling
Scenario
testing
Price
optimisation
Extra data
sources
Telematics
data?
Pricing
Ratingtrends
•  New rating factors;
•  Flexible, dynamic risk pricing;
•  New modelling techniques like machine learning;
•  New, disruptive insurance offerings like Usage-
Based Insurance.
Pricing
Pricing
Usage-BasedInsurance(UBI)
UBI is the scheme where insurance premiums are
calculated based on dynamic causal data, including
actual usage and riskier driving behavior.
Insurance value chain:
undewriting
Covers different
Claims management &
Fraud detection
Insurers loose 5% of the annual revenue due to fraud
Coalition Against Insurance Fraud (US) in the 2014 report has
stresses that technology & Big Data plays a growing role in
fighting fraud
Claims management
Examples-UBI
From high to low loss ratios
UnipolSai	
  -­‐	
  IT CoverBox	
  &	
  Carrot	
  -­‐	
  UK
Telema'cs	
  champion	
  (2.2M	
  ac've	
  boxes)	
  
Best	
  prac'ce	
  claims	
  management	
  incl.:	
  
•  FNOL	
  -­‐	
  quick	
  accident	
  response	
  
•  Vehicle	
  loca'on	
  in	
  case	
  of	
  of	
  theG	
  
•  Accident	
  reconstruc'on
Further improvement of the operational
efficiency including:
•  Crash data combined with video footage to fight
fraud
•  Better prediction methods to reduce claims duration
and cost i.e. no need for expert, efficient accident
reconstruction
•  Prove innocence
Covers different
Legislation
EU-widelaw
underconstruction
	
  
Innovation
BigDatacan
boostinnovation	
  
Why Change?
- Expensive customer acquisition
- Little contact with customer
- Low brand loyalty and retention
- Regulatory pressure …
	
  
Insurance
Canitbesexy?
Oscar, US - employs technology, design & data to humanize health care
Habit@t, IT - 1st Connected Home Insurance by Cardiff
Insure the Box, UK – successful UBI with pre-paid model
Intesa SanPaulo Assicura, IT – UBI with viable risk-based pricing model
Friendsurance (DE), Guevara (UK) – P2P insurances
Climate Corp – farmers crop insurance based on high precision weather data
EU-widelaw
underconstruction
	
  
Role of actuaries
Datascientists
forinsurers
andbeyond	
  
MateuszMaj
Chairmanof IABE
BigDataWG
mat@motosmarty.com
Q&A	
  

Big Data - an actuarial perspective