This document discusses various statistics and metrics that can be used to analyze basketball performance and differentiate between winning and losing teams. It identifies factors like free throws, defensive rebounds, shooting percentage, and rebounds as being effective predictors of success. Specific statistics are highlighted for both junior and Egyptian basketball teams. Formulas are also provided for calculating advanced metrics like effective field goal percentage, offensive and defensive rebound efficiency, player efficiency, ball possessions, offensive rating, and defensive rating. The document was prepared by Dr. Mohamed Belal as a guide for basketball analysis.

1. Dr. Mohamed Belal
Rules and Tools for Basketball
performance Analysis
By
Prof. Mohamed Belal
belal007@gmail.com

2. Dr. Mohamed Belal

3. Dr. Mohamed Belal
The most effective factors to achieve
the winning and losing teams
• Free throws & defensive rebounds & rebounding percentage
in offence and defence)
(Gabor C et al, 2012)
• Shooting &Free throws &Defensive rebounds
(Csatalay G et al, 2009)
• Numbers of Rebounds
(Sampaio J et al, 2004)
• Two point shots & Efficiency percentage
(Miguel Á et al, 2008; Ibáñez et al, 2003)

4. Dr. Mohamed Belal
The most effective factors to achieve
the winning and losing teams
(i) in balanced games, defensive rebounds .
(ii) in unbalanced games, 2 points field-goals, the defensive
rebounds and the assists
(Miguel Á et al, 2008)

5. Dr. Mohamed Belal
The Sabermetrics of Basketballs
1. Shooting (40%)
2. Turnovers (25%)
3. Rebounding (20%)
4. Free Throws (15%)
The number in parentheses is the approximate weight Mr.
Oliver assigned each factor. Shooting is the most important
factor, followed by turnovers, rebounding, and free throws.

6. Dr. Mohamed Belal
Study of Game-related statistics which discriminate
between winning and losing Basketball Junior Teams
U-17 in World Championship
Coaches should be aware that dominating the following
variables will increase the probability to win the games for
Junior teams under 17:
1. Height of players
2. Defensive Rebounds Efficiency Percentage (EDR %)
3. Free-Throws Made (FTM)
4. Field-Goal Made (FGM)
5. Field-Goal Attempted (FGA)
6. The effective field goal percentage (EFG %)
7. 2 Points Attempted (2PTSA)

7. Dr. Mohamed Belal
Study of Game-related statistics which discriminate
between winning and losing Basketball Junior Teams
U-17 in World Championship
The most effective statistics variables for losing Egyptian team
in FIBA U-17 World Championship for Men 2012 as follow:
1. height of players
2. Field-Goal Attempted (FGA)
3. 3 Points Made (3PTSM)
4. 3 Points Attempted (3PTSA)
5. Assists (AST)
6. Turnovers (TO)
7. Ball possessions (BP)

8. Dr. Mohamed Belal
Effective Field Goal percentage
EFG%
EFG% = (2Pt + 1.5 x 3Pt) / FGA
The Effective Field Goal percentage gives more credit to
made 3 point field goals since they yield 1.5 times the
scoring of a 2 point field goal

9. Dr. Mohamed Belal
Offensive Rebounds Efficiency Percentage
(EOR%)
Off. Reb
x 100
(missed 2 pt + missed 3 pt + missed FT followed by rebounds)

10. Dr. Mohamed Belal
Defensive Rebounds Efficiency Percentage
(EDR%)
Def. Reb
x 100
(missed 2 pt + missed 3 pt + missed FT followed by rebounds)

11. Dr. Mohamed Belal
Player’s Efficiency (EEF)
EEF = ( Pts + Reb + Ast + Stl + Blk ) – ( FG
Misses + FT Misses + TO)
FG Misses = (Field Goals Att. - Field Goals Made)
FT Misses = (Free Throws Att. - Free Throws Made)

12. Dr. Mohamed Belal
Ball Possessions (BP)
BP = ( FGA + 0.475x FTA ) – ( ORB + TO )
Free throw attempts are a tricky number. Possessions can end with one
through three free throw attempts, so the number has to be multiplied by the
consensus value of 0.475 to get a more accurate calculation

13. Dr. Mohamed Belal
Offensive Rating
= (Points Scored / Ball Possessions) x 100

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= ( Point surrendered / Ball Possessions) x 100
Defensive Rating

15. Dr. Mohamed Belal
Prepared by
Dr. Moahmed Belal
Facebook.com/m7mdbelal
belal007@gmail.com
+201000005324