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A2 Micro: Market Structures
Economics of Monopoly Power
Monopoly Power in Markets
• A pure monopolist is a single supplier that
dominates the entire market – the market has
100% concentration
Google’s Market Domination in the UK
Market share of search engines held by Google in the UK from December
2012 to October 2014
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
Dec
12
Jan
13
Feb
13
Mar
13
Apr
13
May
13
Jun
13
Jul
13
Aug
13
Sept
13
Oct
13
Nov
13
Dec
13
Jan
14
Feb
14
Mar
14
Apr
14
May
14
Jun
14
Jul
14
Aug
14
Sep
14
Oct
14
Marketshare
Monopoly Power in Markets
• A pure monopolist is a single supplier that
dominates the entire market – the market has
100% concentration
• In reality – the UK Competition and Markets
Authority (CMA) deems that:
– A working monopoly is any firm with greater than
25% of the industries' total sales
Market share of mobile handset manufacturers in the UK in June 2014
31.8%
22.9%
16.9%
6.7% 6.1%
3.7%
2.4% 2.1%
7.4%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
Samsung Apple Nokia Sony HTC RIM Motorola LG Other
MarketshareA Contestable Oligopoly?
5 firm
concentration ratio
= 84.4%
Monopoly Power in Markets
• A pure monopolist is a single supplier that
dominates the entire market – the market has
100% concentration
• In reality – the UK Competition and Markets
Authority (CMA) deems that:
– A working monopoly is any firm with greater than
25% of the industries' total sales
– A dominant firm is a firm that has at least 40% of
their given market
Coca Cola’s Market Power – A Real Deal
Coca-Cola Company's market share in the United States from 2004 to 2014
43.1% 43.1% 42.9% 42.8% 42.7% 41.9% 42% 41.9% 42% 42.2% 42.3%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Marketshare
Monopoly Power in Markets
• A pure monopolist is a single supplier that
dominates the entire market – the market has
100% concentration
• In reality – the UK Competition and Markets
Authority (CMA) deems that:
– A working monopoly is any firm with greater than
25% of the industries' total sales
– A dominant firm is a firm that has at least 40% of
their given market
– Price setting power is available to any business with
a downward-sloping demand (AR) curve!
Globally scaled companies & market power
Express and courier service providers' global market share in 2014
19.6%
14.2%
9.4%
4.7%
3.7%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%
UPS
FedEx
Deutsche Post DHL
Yamato Holdings
TNT Express
Market share
5 firm
concentration ratio
= 51.6%
Chinese firms building market share
Global market share of world's leading wind turbine manufacturers in 2014
11.6%
9.5%
9%
8.7%
7.3%
5.5%
4.8%
4.5%
3.9%
3.7%
3.3%
3.2%
2.8%
2.4%
2.1%
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0%
Vestas (Denmark)
Siemens (Germany)
Goldwind (China)
GE Energy (U.S.)
Enercon (Germany)
Suzlon (India)
United Power (China)
Gamesa (Spain)
Mingyang (China)
Envision (China)
XEMC (China)
Sewind (China)
Nordex (Germany)
DEC (China)
CSIC Haizhuang (China)
Market share
VW has a working monopoly in the EU
Selected passenger car manufacturers' European* market share in 2014,
based on new registrations
25.5%
10.7%
9.5%
7.3%
7.1%
6.4%
5.9%
5.4%
4.3%
3.7%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0%
VW Group
PSA Group
Renault Group
Ford
General Motors / Opel
BMW Group
FCA Group
Daimler
Toyota Group
Nissan
Share of total sales
Monopoly Power in Markets
• Monopoly power depends in part on how we define
the scope and size of the market
• Often makes sense to judge a monopoly on a case-
by-case basis
• Global / National / Regional / Local
• Industry by segment
• Postal Services
– Letters
– Parcels
• Water industry
– Regional monopolies
• Pubs – rural v urban areas
Key Features of Monopoly
• Price setting power
– Therefore a downward sloping AR & MR curve
– Potential for price discrimination
– Firms can set prices or quantities but not both!
• Barriers to entry
• Imperfect information
• Profit maximisation is assumed but the actual
conduct of firms with market power is often
different especially in an oligopoly!
Monopoly Price and Output
MC
Price
and
Cost
Output
AC
MR
AR
Profit Max: MC=MR
P1
Q1
Monopoly Price and Output
MC
Price
and
Cost
Output
AC
MR
AR
Profit Max: MC=MR
P1
Q1
C1
Monopoly Price and Output
MC
Price
and
Cost
Output
AC
MR
AR
Profit Max: MC=MR
P1
Q1
C1
Supernormal Profit
Pricing power is greater when
demand is price inelastic
Profits Are Higher with Inelastic Demand
MC
Price
and
Cost
Output
AC
MR
AR
Profit Max: MC=MR
P1
Q1
C1
Supernormal Profit
Barriers to Entry in Monopoly
• Block potential entrants from making a profit
• Protect the monopoly power of existing firms
• Maintain supernormal profits in the long run
• Barriers to entry make a market less contestable
Barriers to Entry in Monopoly
Economies of scale Vertical integration Brand loyalty
Control of important
technologies
Expertise and
reputation
Monopoly and Economic Efficiency
Economic Case Against Monopoly
• Prices higher than under competitive conditions
– Leads to loss of allocative efficiency
– Regressive effects on lower income households
• Absence of genuine market competition may lead
to production inefficiencies
– X-Inefficiencies such as wasteful production and
advertising spending
– Higher prices can limit the final output and lead to fewer
economies of scale being exploited
• Protected markets – less drive to innovate
• Monopoly may get too big – diseconomies of scale
Profit margin of top 10 global pharmaceutical companies in 2013
43%
24%
22% 21% 20% 19%
16%
11% 10% 10%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
Pfizer
(U.S.)
Roche
(CH)
AbbVie
(U.S.)
GSK (UK) Eli LillyEli
Lilly (U.S.)
Johnson &
Johnson
(U.S.)
Novartis
(CH)
Sanofi
(France)
Astra
Zeneca
(UK)
Merck
(U.S.)
ProfitmarginMonopoly Profits Can Be Very High
Cost & Price
Output (Q)
Cost & Price
Output (Q)
Perfectly Competitive Market Pure Monopoly Market
S1
D1
P1
P2
Entry of
new firms
drives
price
lower
AC
MC
AC
MC
Monopoly
demand
(AR)MR
P1 P1
Q1 Q2
P2
C2
Monopoly
Profit
S2
Monopoly usually results in higher prices and lower output
Economic Case Against Monopoly
Economic Case For Monopoly Power
• High market concentration does not always signal
absence of competition; can reflect the success of
firms in providing better-quality products, more
efficiently, than their rivals
• Key Advantages from Monopoly:
1. Profits used to fund investment & research
2. Natural monopoly – economies of scale
3. Domestic monopoly faces global competition
4. Monopolistic firms can be regulated – i.e. industry
regulator acting as a proxy consumer
5. Price discrimination may help some consumers
Research Spending in Pharmaceuticals
Top global pharmaceutical companies by prescription sales and R&D
spending in 2013 (in billion U.S. dollars)
9.36
6.25
8.29
6.12
7.12
5.04
5.81
4.27
5.32
2.83
3.94
1.42
2.71
2.09
46.02
45.01
39.14
37.7
37.52
33.06
26.48
24.52
20.12
18.79
18.19
17.56
15.59
14.89
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Novartis (Switzerland)
Pfizer (U.S.)
Roche (Switzerland)
Sanofi-Aventis (France)
Merck (U.S.)
GlaxoSmithKline (UK)
Johnson & Johnson (USA)
AstraZeneca (UK)
Eli Lilly (U.S.)
Abbvie (U.S.)
Amgen (U.S.)
Teva (Israel)
Bayer (Germany)
Novo Nordisk (Denmark)
Sales/spending in billion U.S. dollars
Research and development spending Prescription sales
Economic Case Against Monopoly
• Here is a good way to remember some of the issues
we have covered regarding monopoly and
economic efficiency
1. Service - does the lack of competition affect the
quality of service to consumers?
2. Prices - how high are prices compared to
competitive / contestable market
3. Efficiency - productive, allocative and dynamic
4. Welfare - what are the overall welfare outcomes?
Is there a net loss of welfare in markets dominated
by businesses with monopoly power?
Producer Surplus has Value Too!
Monopoly versus Contestable Markets
Characteristic / Issue Monopoly Contestable Market
Number of firms
Natural / Working / Dominant
Monopoly
Any number possible – usually
many
Barriers to entry High – entry and exit costs
Low – absence of sunk costs
makes market contestable
Supernormal profit High in short and long run
Threat of entry limits profits – risk
of hit and run entry
Pricing power
Pricing power is important –
may be limited by regulation
Actual and potential competition
affects pricing
Economic efficiency
Low allocative (price >MC)
Productive – econ of scale
Dynamic – use of profits
Contestability should help move
the market closer to efficient
outcomes
Innovative behaviour Potentially strong
Likely to be very strong – e.g.
disruptive technologies
Jean Tirole – Nobel Winner in 2014
Nobel Prize for
Economics 2014
Is awarded to………….
Jean Tirole
• Important work on regulation and on competition policy
• Sometimes better to leave monopolies alone and allow them to work with
other firms
• Always a risk of government failure with intervention
• Sector-based analysis; price caps can work in some markets but not others
• Work also included reasons to end the bank bonus culture
• Won a prize of 8 million Kronor [£750, 000…]
Intervention with monopoly
Intervention Reasoning Evaluation
Tax on
monopoly
profits
A one-off windfall tax on
supernormal profits from
monopoly power
Risk of tax avoidance /
loss of capital
investment spending
Liberalization of
markets
Break up monopolies – allow
smaller businesses to enter
and increased contestability
Smaller businesses may
struggle to scale up
and compete
Introduce price
capping policies
Encourages cost efficiency +
increases consumer surplus
Monopolists may find
revenues in other ways
Nationalisation
Take some monopoly utilities
back into public ownership
Possible loss of
productive efficiency
A2 Micro: Market Structures
Monopoly Power

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Basics of the Economics of Monopoly

  • 1. A2 Micro: Market Structures Economics of Monopoly Power
  • 2. Monopoly Power in Markets • A pure monopolist is a single supplier that dominates the entire market – the market has 100% concentration
  • 3. Google’s Market Domination in the UK Market share of search engines held by Google in the UK from December 2012 to October 2014 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% Dec 12 Jan 13 Feb 13 Mar 13 Apr 13 May 13 Jun 13 Jul 13 Aug 13 Sept 13 Oct 13 Nov 13 Dec 13 Jan 14 Feb 14 Mar 14 Apr 14 May 14 Jun 14 Jul 14 Aug 14 Sep 14 Oct 14 Marketshare
  • 4. Monopoly Power in Markets • A pure monopolist is a single supplier that dominates the entire market – the market has 100% concentration • In reality – the UK Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) deems that: – A working monopoly is any firm with greater than 25% of the industries' total sales
  • 5. Market share of mobile handset manufacturers in the UK in June 2014 31.8% 22.9% 16.9% 6.7% 6.1% 3.7% 2.4% 2.1% 7.4% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% Samsung Apple Nokia Sony HTC RIM Motorola LG Other MarketshareA Contestable Oligopoly? 5 firm concentration ratio = 84.4%
  • 6. Monopoly Power in Markets • A pure monopolist is a single supplier that dominates the entire market – the market has 100% concentration • In reality – the UK Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) deems that: – A working monopoly is any firm with greater than 25% of the industries' total sales – A dominant firm is a firm that has at least 40% of their given market
  • 7. Coca Cola’s Market Power – A Real Deal Coca-Cola Company's market share in the United States from 2004 to 2014 43.1% 43.1% 42.9% 42.8% 42.7% 41.9% 42% 41.9% 42% 42.2% 42.3% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Marketshare
  • 8. Monopoly Power in Markets • A pure monopolist is a single supplier that dominates the entire market – the market has 100% concentration • In reality – the UK Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) deems that: – A working monopoly is any firm with greater than 25% of the industries' total sales – A dominant firm is a firm that has at least 40% of their given market – Price setting power is available to any business with a downward-sloping demand (AR) curve!
  • 9. Globally scaled companies & market power Express and courier service providers' global market share in 2014 19.6% 14.2% 9.4% 4.7% 3.7% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% UPS FedEx Deutsche Post DHL Yamato Holdings TNT Express Market share 5 firm concentration ratio = 51.6%
  • 10. Chinese firms building market share Global market share of world's leading wind turbine manufacturers in 2014 11.6% 9.5% 9% 8.7% 7.3% 5.5% 4.8% 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.2% 2.8% 2.4% 2.1% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% Vestas (Denmark) Siemens (Germany) Goldwind (China) GE Energy (U.S.) Enercon (Germany) Suzlon (India) United Power (China) Gamesa (Spain) Mingyang (China) Envision (China) XEMC (China) Sewind (China) Nordex (Germany) DEC (China) CSIC Haizhuang (China) Market share
  • 11. VW has a working monopoly in the EU Selected passenger car manufacturers' European* market share in 2014, based on new registrations 25.5% 10.7% 9.5% 7.3% 7.1% 6.4% 5.9% 5.4% 4.3% 3.7% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% VW Group PSA Group Renault Group Ford General Motors / Opel BMW Group FCA Group Daimler Toyota Group Nissan Share of total sales
  • 12. Monopoly Power in Markets • Monopoly power depends in part on how we define the scope and size of the market • Often makes sense to judge a monopoly on a case- by-case basis • Global / National / Regional / Local • Industry by segment • Postal Services – Letters – Parcels • Water industry – Regional monopolies • Pubs – rural v urban areas
  • 13. Key Features of Monopoly • Price setting power – Therefore a downward sloping AR & MR curve – Potential for price discrimination – Firms can set prices or quantities but not both! • Barriers to entry • Imperfect information • Profit maximisation is assumed but the actual conduct of firms with market power is often different especially in an oligopoly!
  • 14. Monopoly Price and Output MC Price and Cost Output AC MR AR Profit Max: MC=MR P1 Q1
  • 15. Monopoly Price and Output MC Price and Cost Output AC MR AR Profit Max: MC=MR P1 Q1 C1
  • 16. Monopoly Price and Output MC Price and Cost Output AC MR AR Profit Max: MC=MR P1 Q1 C1 Supernormal Profit
  • 17. Pricing power is greater when demand is price inelastic
  • 18. Profits Are Higher with Inelastic Demand MC Price and Cost Output AC MR AR Profit Max: MC=MR P1 Q1 C1 Supernormal Profit
  • 19. Barriers to Entry in Monopoly • Block potential entrants from making a profit • Protect the monopoly power of existing firms • Maintain supernormal profits in the long run • Barriers to entry make a market less contestable
  • 20. Barriers to Entry in Monopoly Economies of scale Vertical integration Brand loyalty Control of important technologies Expertise and reputation
  • 21. Monopoly and Economic Efficiency
  • 22. Economic Case Against Monopoly • Prices higher than under competitive conditions – Leads to loss of allocative efficiency – Regressive effects on lower income households • Absence of genuine market competition may lead to production inefficiencies – X-Inefficiencies such as wasteful production and advertising spending – Higher prices can limit the final output and lead to fewer economies of scale being exploited • Protected markets – less drive to innovate • Monopoly may get too big – diseconomies of scale
  • 23. Profit margin of top 10 global pharmaceutical companies in 2013 43% 24% 22% 21% 20% 19% 16% 11% 10% 10% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0% Pfizer (U.S.) Roche (CH) AbbVie (U.S.) GSK (UK) Eli LillyEli Lilly (U.S.) Johnson & Johnson (U.S.) Novartis (CH) Sanofi (France) Astra Zeneca (UK) Merck (U.S.) ProfitmarginMonopoly Profits Can Be Very High
  • 24. Cost & Price Output (Q) Cost & Price Output (Q) Perfectly Competitive Market Pure Monopoly Market S1 D1 P1 P2 Entry of new firms drives price lower AC MC AC MC Monopoly demand (AR)MR P1 P1 Q1 Q2 P2 C2 Monopoly Profit S2 Monopoly usually results in higher prices and lower output Economic Case Against Monopoly
  • 25. Economic Case For Monopoly Power • High market concentration does not always signal absence of competition; can reflect the success of firms in providing better-quality products, more efficiently, than their rivals • Key Advantages from Monopoly: 1. Profits used to fund investment & research 2. Natural monopoly – economies of scale 3. Domestic monopoly faces global competition 4. Monopolistic firms can be regulated – i.e. industry regulator acting as a proxy consumer 5. Price discrimination may help some consumers
  • 26. Research Spending in Pharmaceuticals Top global pharmaceutical companies by prescription sales and R&D spending in 2013 (in billion U.S. dollars) 9.36 6.25 8.29 6.12 7.12 5.04 5.81 4.27 5.32 2.83 3.94 1.42 2.71 2.09 46.02 45.01 39.14 37.7 37.52 33.06 26.48 24.52 20.12 18.79 18.19 17.56 15.59 14.89 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Novartis (Switzerland) Pfizer (U.S.) Roche (Switzerland) Sanofi-Aventis (France) Merck (U.S.) GlaxoSmithKline (UK) Johnson & Johnson (USA) AstraZeneca (UK) Eli Lilly (U.S.) Abbvie (U.S.) Amgen (U.S.) Teva (Israel) Bayer (Germany) Novo Nordisk (Denmark) Sales/spending in billion U.S. dollars Research and development spending Prescription sales
  • 27. Economic Case Against Monopoly • Here is a good way to remember some of the issues we have covered regarding monopoly and economic efficiency 1. Service - does the lack of competition affect the quality of service to consumers? 2. Prices - how high are prices compared to competitive / contestable market 3. Efficiency - productive, allocative and dynamic 4. Welfare - what are the overall welfare outcomes? Is there a net loss of welfare in markets dominated by businesses with monopoly power?
  • 28. Producer Surplus has Value Too!
  • 29. Monopoly versus Contestable Markets Characteristic / Issue Monopoly Contestable Market Number of firms Natural / Working / Dominant Monopoly Any number possible – usually many Barriers to entry High – entry and exit costs Low – absence of sunk costs makes market contestable Supernormal profit High in short and long run Threat of entry limits profits – risk of hit and run entry Pricing power Pricing power is important – may be limited by regulation Actual and potential competition affects pricing Economic efficiency Low allocative (price >MC) Productive – econ of scale Dynamic – use of profits Contestability should help move the market closer to efficient outcomes Innovative behaviour Potentially strong Likely to be very strong – e.g. disruptive technologies
  • 30. Jean Tirole – Nobel Winner in 2014 Nobel Prize for Economics 2014 Is awarded to…………. Jean Tirole • Important work on regulation and on competition policy • Sometimes better to leave monopolies alone and allow them to work with other firms • Always a risk of government failure with intervention • Sector-based analysis; price caps can work in some markets but not others • Work also included reasons to end the bank bonus culture • Won a prize of 8 million Kronor [£750, 000…]
  • 31. Intervention with monopoly Intervention Reasoning Evaluation Tax on monopoly profits A one-off windfall tax on supernormal profits from monopoly power Risk of tax avoidance / loss of capital investment spending Liberalization of markets Break up monopolies – allow smaller businesses to enter and increased contestability Smaller businesses may struggle to scale up and compete Introduce price capping policies Encourages cost efficiency + increases consumer surplus Monopolists may find revenues in other ways Nationalisation Take some monopoly utilities back into public ownership Possible loss of productive efficiency
  • 32. A2 Micro: Market Structures Monopoly Power