SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 29
1
AVX Corporation
Senior Analyst: Urja Lakhani
Junior Analysts: Carlota De Villa, Dana Hochman, Pandu
Loksono, Askar Abuzarov
2
Recommendation Summary: AVX Corp.
Recommendation Summary
AVX Corp.
Ticker AVX
Current Price $11.99
(As of 04/10/2016 )
Recommendation HOLD
Target Price 13.58
Upside/Downside (%) 13%
3
Industry Overview
 The electronic component manufacturing industry consists of firms that are
manufacturers, suppliers and resellers of electronic components such printed circuits,
circuit boards, capacitors, transformers, connectors and switches.
 Customers include original equipment manufacturers (OEM’s) in various industries.
 The industry has low market share concentration, high barriers to entry and rapidly
increasing industry globalization.
Sources: IBIS world, Factset, AVX Corp 10k
4
Industry Overview
 Globally grew 1.6% in 2015
 Expected to grow at 4.9% CAGR over the next five years.
 Growth stimulated by:
– Advanced in product technology, functionality, and design
– Growing use of electronics in communications and automobile products
– Growing use in home appliances and wearable devices
– Increased applications in industrial production
Year Revenue $ billion Growth %
2017 693.3 1.4
2018 704.4 1.6
2019 718.5 2.0
2020 732.1 1.9
2021 746.1 1.9
2022 761.0 2.0
Sources: IBIS world, Factset
5
Industry Trends
• Shift from developed countries such as USA and Western Europe to
Asian countries.
• Lower rents and labor costs are the causes for this shift.
Increased Globalization
• Increased M&A to increased product base.
• Mergers with international companies to realize synergies and
broaden market.
Mergers and Acquisitions
• Increasing GDP of BRIC nations and rise of global per capital
income.
• Increasing global internet usage.
External Drivers
Sources: IBIS world, Factset, Reuters
6
Company Overview
 AVX Corporation manufactures and supplies a variety of passive components and
related products. Products include ceramic and tantalum capacitors which are used in
many electronic products to store, filter and regulate electric energy.
 Holding Company: Kyocera (72% ownership)
 Product Breakdown (% of sales):
- Passive Components (68%)
- KED Resale (22%)
- Interconnect Devices (10%)
 Customers in USA, Europe and Asia Pacific
 20 Manufacturing facilities in 11 different countries
(such as Mexico, Czech Republic, El Salvador etc.)
Automotive
27%
Cellular
16%
Industrial
14%
Telecom
13%
consumer
11%
Medical
9%
Military/Aer
ospace
5%
Networking
5%
Customer Breakdown
Sources: 10k, Bloomberg, Reuters
7
Company Executives
John Sarvis: CEO
 Chief Executive Officer and President of AVX Corp. since April, 2015.
 Vice President of Ceramic Products at AVX Corp. from 2005 to March,
2015.
 Divisional Vice President of Ceramics Division at AVX Corp. from 1998 to
2005.
 Marketing and Operational positions at AVX Corp prior to that.
Kurt P. Cummings: CFO, Sr. VP and Treasurer
 Senior Vice President of AVX Corp. since August, 2015.
 Financial Officer and Treasurer since August 2000.
 Secretary since July 1997.
 Corporate Controller of AVX Corp. from June 1992 to August 2000 and
Vice President until August, 2015.
 Prior to June 1992, he was a Partner with Deloitte & Touche LLP.
Sources: AVX Corp website, Bloomberg
8
Company Trends
Demand from the automotive
sector
Rising use in smart phones
Strong margins due to declining
costs
9
Trend 1: Demand from Automotive Sector
 Growth in gas fueled vehicles as well as EV’s.
 AVX products are used throughout a vehicle, including
engine control, transmission control, audio, brakes, and
stability and safety control system.
 Currently, the automotive sector forms 27% of revenue
compared to 21% of revenue in FY 2014.
 Causes of growth in automobile sales:
- Moderate gasoline prices.
- Growing emerging markets.
- China slashes small car tax rate by half. Sales increased by 13%.
- Increased subsidies on EV’s in India and China.
 Apart from organic growth in automobile sales, there is
also growth in electric content in cars.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2015 2016 2017
Consumptionin1,000units
Years
Hybrid cars
Electric cars
Sources: Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, nrg EVgo, Factset, wired
Data for China
142.8
149.968
159.04
170.128
184.128
200.48
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Worldwide Production of electronic equipment
dedicated to automotive
10
Trend 1: Demand from Automotive Sector
 Rising demand for electric and hybrid
cars in USA:
- Government incentives – Federal tax
credits of over $7500 in USA.
- Rising environmental awareness
- Declining purchase and maintenance
costs of EV’s
- Sales of Tesla Model 3 to boost sales
 AVX is increasing production
capacity of advanced power
components group to meet this
increased demand.
Sources: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Wall Street Journal,
Factset, FRED
Key takeaway – Rising demand for EV’s worldwide and overall increase in
electric content in vehicles driving sales
11
Trend 2: Rising smart phone unit demand
 Passive components and fine pitch
connectors are used in Mobile phones.
 AVX major customers: Nokia, Motorola
 In Emerging APAC, smartphone unit
demand increased by +22 percent
year-on-year in Q4 2015
 Rising smartphone demand from India:
- Indian Govt. has spent USD 32B on 4G
services
- 65% of Internet surfing in India is on
Mobile
Africa & Middle East
1%
Americas
30%
Asia Pacific
40%
Europe
29%
Revenue Breakdown by Region
Sources: Mary Meeker report Bloomberg, RBI, AVX Corp. 10k
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Smartphone Sales (in million units)
2015
2016 E
12
Trend 3: Strong Margins due to declining costs
 Spent $100 million over the past three FY’s
to enhance worldwide manufacturing
capabilities.
 Strategy: Transfer and expansion of
manufacturing operations in lower cost
countries such as El Salvador, Malaysia,
Mexico, and Czech Republic.
 Increasing focus on the sale of value added
and higher capacitance passive component
sales with better margin opportunities
and lower manufacturing and overhead
costs.
 Costs were favorably impacted last year by
approximately $37.3 million due to the
strength of the U.S. dollar.
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
Mar '07Mar '08Mar '09Mar '10Mar '11Mar '12Mar '13Mar '14Mar '15
Rental Expenses (Figures in million USD)
0
500
1000
1500
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
(Mar)
2015
(Dec)
COGS
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
Gross Profit Net Margin Operating Mrgin
Margins – 5 Year Average
Industry
AVX
Sources: AVX Corp 10k, 10Q, Factset
13
Company Risks
 Fluctuations in commodity prices:
Tantalum platinum, silver, nickel, gold,
copper, palladium, and other raw
materials
 Currency rate fluctuation affect AVX’s
sales, gross margins, and stockholder’s
equity since AVX trades with several
international currencies.
1,180
1,200
1,220
1,240
1,260
1,280
1,300
1,320
1,340
1,360
6.1
6.2
6.3
6.4
6.5
6.6
6.7
6.48
1206.25
AVX Corporation Daily
12.49 -0.03 -0.24% VWAP:12.51 High: 1344.50 Low: 1206.25 Chg: -10.28%
AVX Corporation - Sales USD/CNY
Cvol: 7,616 Avg: 211,705
 Sales unfavorably impacted by $28.1
million in FY15 due to US dollar strength.
 Steps taken by AVX to mitigate currency
risk:
1. Entering forward exchange contracts to
hedge currency transactions
2. Producing products in the same
country in which they are sold
Sources: AVX Corp. 10K, Factset
Chart showing correlation between strength of USD and sales
14
Investor information
 AVX is a part of some famous
funds’ portfolios
 Increasing buys from insiders
over the recent past
Sources: NASDAQ, Factset
15
AVX Corporation Valuation
16
Recommendation Summary
Recommendation Summary
Company (Ticker) AVX
Current Trading Price (04-10-2016) $11.99
Recommendation Hold
Target Price $13.58
Upside Potential 13%
Currently a HOLD, but has potential to become a Buy over time.
Currently a Hold, but has potential to become a buy over time
17
Comparable Companies Valuation
Name
Market Cap -
Consolidated
Enterpris
e
Value
Net
Margin
TTM
Total
Debt/
EV
ROA
TTM
P/E
TTM
EV/Sales
TTM
EV/EBITDA
TTM
EV/EBIT
TTM
AVX CORPORATION 2,116.40 2,116.40 14.13% 0.00 7.42% 12.48x 1.8x 11.9x 8.65x
VISHAY
INTERTECHNOLOGY, INC. 1,844.70 1,202.56 (4.72%) 0.36 2.31% NEG 0.51x 4.06x 10.49x
KEMET CORPORATION 91.26 442.99 (7.83%) 0.89 (2.49%) NEG 0.59x 14.23x NEG
YAGEO CORPORATION 1,067.86 1,202.40 13.51% 0.40 7.35% 9.24x 1.46x 5.82x 8.20x
TAIYO YUDEN CO., LTD. 1,173.82 1,292.13 7.87% 0.38 7.18% 7.13x 0.63x 3.38x 6.85x
TDK CORPORATION 7,228.51 7,443.33 6.10% 0.40 5.06% 11.86x 0.77x 4.84x 8.79x
High 7,228.51 7,443.33 14.13% 0.89 7.42% 12.48x 1.46x 14.23x 10.49x
Mean 2,253.76 2,130.59 4.84% 0.40 4.47% 10.18x 1.4x 6.4x 8.59x
Median 1,509.26 1,202.48 6.98% 0.39 6.12% 10.55x 1.0x 5.9x 8.65x
Low 91.26 442.99 (7.83%) 0.00 (2.49%) 7.13x 0.51x 3.38x 6.85x
P/E
LTM EPS $1.02
Implied Price Target $12.38
Upside (Downside) % 3.22%
EV/EBITDA
LTM EBITDA $178.50
Implied Price Target $6.3274
Upside (Downside) % -47.2%
EV/Revenue
LTM Revenue $1,206.25
Implied Price Target $7.2705
Upside (Downside) % -39.4%
18
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
Perpetuity Growth Method Exit Multiple Method
Growth Rate 2.00% EBITDA Multiple 11.90x
Undiscounted TEV $2,750.17 Undiscounted TEV $2,605.48
Discounted TEV $1,683.47 Discounted TEV $1,594.90
DCF Value $2,342.18 DCF Value $2,253.61
Equity Value $2,342.18 Equity Value $2,253.61
Share Price $13.98 Share Price $13.45
Implied Exit Multple 12.56x Implied Growth Rate 1.57%
19
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
Key Assumptions:
 WACC = Cost of Equity = 10.3%
 Tax Rate = 22.20
 Beta = 0.92 (Calculated weekly with Russell
2000)
 Terminal growth rate = 2%
 Exit multiple = 11.9x
 Assumed steady increase in capital
expenditure as % of Revenue
 Declining COGS and S&A as % of Revenue
due to these expansion plans
Key Statistics:
Current Trading Price (04-10-2016) $11.99
Market Cap 2,116.4
Net Debt -
Beta 0.92
Shares Outstanding 167.57
Marginal Tax Rate 22.20%
WACC Calculation:
Cost of Debt 0.00%
% Weight 0%
Cost of Equity 10.31%
% Weight 100%
WACC 10.31%
Capital Asset Pricing Model
Beta 0.92
Risk-free Rate 2.41%
Base Risk Premium 6.70%
Market Cap $2,116.40
Size Premium 1.74%
CAPM 10.31%
20
Valuation summary with weights
Reasoning:
 Highly heterogeneous industry argues for
intrinsic valuation
 Comps produces skewed result due to
market inefficiencies, esp. in tech sector
 Poor comparable companies overall
- Major US competitors have negative net
income
- Other close competitors are foreign
companies
Valuation Summary
Method Price Weight
Discounted Cash Flow
Perpetuity Growth Method $13.98 80%
Exit Multiple Method $13.45 10%
Comparable Company Analysis
P/E $12.38 7%
EV/EBITDA $6.33 3%
EV/Revenue $7.27 0%
Target Price $13.58
21
Valuation Football Field
$- $5.00 $10.00 $15.00 $20.00 $25.00 $30.00
52-week range
Perpetuity Growth
Exit Multiple
Price/Earnings
EV/EBITDA
22
AVX Corp: Recommendation Summary
Company AVX Corp. (AVX)
Recommendation HOLD
Current Price 11.99
Target Price 13.58
%Upside/Downside 13%
Demand from the automotive sector
Rising use in smart phones
Strong margins due to declining costs
23
Appendix
 SWOT Analysis
 AVX growth summary (CAGR)
 Wide comps
 Insider Trades Summary
 Sensitivity table
 Assumptions
24
SWOT Analysis
STRENGTHS
Strong financials and liquidity
Strong Operations Network
Synergy with Kyocera
Synergy with subsidiaries
WEAKNESSSES
Reliance on commodity prices
Declining financial performance
Environmental and Patents
infringement concerns
OPPORTUNITIES
New product launches
Pull from the automotive industry
Positive outlook for EMS
THREATS
Rapid technology changes
Currency fluctuations
Highly competitive market
AVX Corp.
Sources: AVX Corp. 10K FY2015 and FY2014
25
AVX Past Growth Summary (CAGR)
1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Sales -6.8 -4.5 0.6 0.5
EBITDA 20.2 -7.2 2.1 5.4
Net Income 77.8 13.9 9.6 15.0
EPS (Diluted) 78.7 14.2 9.8 15.4
Dividends 11.9 15.4 20.1 10.3
Source: Factset
High CAGR for Net Income and EPS CAGR because negative numbers in beginning year
26
Wide Comps
Name
Market Cap -
Consolidated
Enterprise
Value
Sales
TTM
Sales
FY1
EBITDA
TTM
EBITDA
FY1
Net Income
TTM
Net
Margin
TTM
Total
Debt/
EV
ROA
TTM
ROE
TTM
AVX CORPORATION 2,116.40 1,200.13 1,206.25 1,187.60 178.50 202.20 170.40 14.13% 0.00 7.42% 8.06%
VISHAY
INTERTECHNOLOGY, INC. 1,844.70 1,202.56 2,300.49 2,303.56 276.59 368.99 (108.51) (4.72%) 0.36 2.31% 3.27%
AMPHENOL CORPORATION 17,755.30 18,848.30 5,568.70 6,119.24 1,292.70 1,384.22 763.50 13.71% 0.15 11.15% 24.85%
KEMET CORPORATION 91.26 442.99 744.61 - 31.13 - (58.30) (7.83%) 0.89 (2.49%) (34.26%)
YAGEO CORPORATION 1,067.86 1,202.40 825.96 860.83 206.59 188.88 111.59 13.51% 0.40 7.35% 14.83%
TAIYO YUDEN CO., LTD. 1,173.82 1,292.13 2,044.50 1,995.32 382.44 395.04 160.83 7.87% 0.38 7.18% 12.64%
Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd. 26,356.73 24,159.03 10,102.79 10,158.76 3,271.23 3,197.78 1,767.63 17.50% 0.00 14.68% 18.21%
TDK CORPORATION 7,228.51 7,443.33 9,719.86 9,727.36 1,536.86 1,516.16 592.86 6.10% 0.40 5.06% 9.53%
High 26,356.73 24,159.03 10,102.79 10,158.76 3,271.23 3,197.78 1,767.63 17.50% 0.89 14.68% 24.85%
Mean 7,204.32 6,973.86 4,064.14 4,621.81 897.01 1,036.18 425.00 7.53% 0.32 6.58% 7.14%
Median 1,980.55 1,247.34 2,172.49 2,303.56 329.52 395.04 165.61 10.69% 0.37 7.26% 11.09%
Low 91.26 442.99 744.61 860.83 31.13 188.88 (108.51) (7.83%) 0.00 (2.49%) (34.26%)
Name
P/E
TTM
EV/Sales
TTM
EV/Sales
FY1
EV/EBITDA
TTM
EV/EBITDA
FY1
EV/EBIT
TTM
EV/EBIT
FY1
AVX CORPORATION 12.48x 0.99x 1.01x 6.72x 5.94x 8.65x 7.23x
VISHAY INTERTECHNOLOGY, INC. NEG 0.51x 0.52x 4.06x 3.26x 10.49x 6.09x
AMPHENOL CORPORATION 23.89x 3.38x 3.08x 14.58x 13.62x 16.81x 15.89x
KEMET CORPORATION NEG 0.59x - 14.23x - NEG -
YAGEO CORPORATION 9.24x 1.46x 1.40x 5.82x 6.37x 8.20x 10.54x
TAIYO YUDEN CO., LTD. 7.13x 0.63x 0.65x 3.38x 3.27x 6.85x -
Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd. 14.01x 2.39x 2.38x 7.39x 7.55x 9.78x 10.49x
TDK CORPORATION 11.86x 0.77x 0.77x 4.84x 4.91x 8.79x -
High 23.89x 3.38x 3.08x 14.58x 13.62x 16.81x 15.89x
Mean 13.10x 1.34x 1.40x 7.63x 6.42x 9.94x 10.05x
Median 12.17x 0.88x 1.01x 6.27x 5.94x 8.79x 10.49x
Low 7.13x 0.51x 0.52x 3.38x 3.26x 6.85x 6.09x
Factset, Consensus Estimates
27
Insider Trades Summary
Filer's Name Relation Title Trans. Date Price Mkt Value Shares Holdings
Thomas Keith SR Corp VP,President & COO,KED 03/04/2016 11.91 12 1 19208
King Willing Sr Corp VP, Tantalum Products 03/04/2016 11.91 36 3 8909
Cummings Kurt P SR VP CFO Treasurer/Secretary 03/04/2016 11.91 24 2 13001
Venuto Peter SR Corp VP of Sales 03/04/2016 11.91 24 2 1368
Thomas Keith SR Corp VP,President & COO,KED 03/02/2016 11.72 750 64 19207
Venuto Peter SR Corp VP of Sales 03/02/2016 11.72 750 64 1366
King Willing Sr Corp VP, Tantalum Products 03/02/2016 11.72 410 35 8906
Cummings Kurt P SR VP CFO Treasurer/Secretary 03/02/2016 11.72 750 64 12999
Venuto Peter SR Corp VP of Sales 02/17/2016 11.65 82 7 225
Venuto Peter SR Corp VP of Sales 02/17/2016 11.65 58 5 1302
Kelly Kathleen M SR Corp VP Human Resources 02/17/2016 11.65 23 2 2307
Lawing John SR VP Chief Technology Officer 02/17/2016 11.65 82 7 3466
Thomas Keith SR Corp VP,President & COO,KED 02/17/2016 11.65 734 63 19143
Sarvis John CEO and President 02/17/2016 11.65 198 17 13092
King Willing Sr Corp VP, Tantalum Products 02/17/2016 11.65 163 14 8871
Cummings Kurt P SR VP CFO Treasurer/Secretary 02/17/2016 11.65 629 54 12935
28
Sensitivity table
DCF - Perpetuity Growth
Sensitivity
WACC
$13.98
8.8140
0% 9.3% 9.8% 10.3% 10.8% 11.3% 11.8% 12.3%
TerminalGrowth
Rate
3.0% $19.47 $17.91 $16.59 $15.46 $14.48 $13.63 $12.88 $12.21
2.5% $18.17 $16.82 $15.67 $14.67 $13.80 $13.03 $12.35 $11.75
2.0% $17.06 $15.88 $14.87 $13.98 $13.20 $12.50 $11.89 $11.33
1.50% $16.10 $15.06 $14.16 $13.36 $12.66 $12.03 $11.46 $10.96
1.00% $15.27 $14.34 $13.53 $12.81 $12.17 $11.60 $11.08 $10.61
0.50% $14.53 $13.70 $12.97 $12.32 $11.73 $11.21 $10.73 $10.30
DCF - EV/EBITDA Exit Multiple
Sensitivity
WACC
$13.45 8.8% 9.3% 9.8% 10.3% 10.8% 11.3% 11.8% 12.3%
TerminalEBITDA
Multiple
13.9 x $15.84 $15.57 $15.30 $15.05 $14.80 $14.56 $14.32 $14.09
12.9 x $14.98 $14.73 $14.49 $14.25 $14.02 $13.79 $13.57 $13.36
11.9 x $14.12 $13.89 $13.67 $13.45 $13.24 $13.03 $12.83 $12.63
10.9 x $13.27 $13.06 $12.85 $12.65 $12.45 $12.26 $12.08 $11.90
9.9 x $12.41 $12.22 $12.03 $11.85 $11.67 $11.50 $11.33 $11.17
8.9 x $11.55 $11.38 $11.21 $11.05 $10.89 $10.74 $10.58 $10.44
29
Assumptions
Income_Statement 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Revenue Growth Assumptions -4.2% 1.3% 3.0% 5.0% 4.0%
COGS % Revenue Assumptions 71.0% 70.8% 70.5% 70.3% 70.0%
SG&A % Revenue Assumptions 16.8% 16.0% 16.0% 15.8% 15.5%
Cash_Flows 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Capital Expenditures % Revenue -0.3% -0.2% -0.9% -0.8% -0.6%

More Related Content

What's hot

Jd power stats online car buyers
Jd power stats online car buyersJd power stats online car buyers
Jd power stats online car buyersRalph Paglia
 
Greenbrier Companies CRC Stock Pitch Competition Spring 2015
Greenbrier Companies CRC Stock Pitch Competition Spring 2015Greenbrier Companies CRC Stock Pitch Competition Spring 2015
Greenbrier Companies CRC Stock Pitch Competition Spring 2015Evan Yoo
 
China's debt time bomb?
China's debt time bomb?China's debt time bomb?
China's debt time bomb?Ian Mombru
 
2016 CRC Stock Pitch Competition - Finalist
2016 CRC Stock Pitch Competition - Finalist2016 CRC Stock Pitch Competition - Finalist
2016 CRC Stock Pitch Competition - FinalistJoe Whiteside
 
A.T. Kearney 2017 State of Logistics Report: Accelerating into Uncertainty
A.T. Kearney 2017 State of Logistics Report: Accelerating into UncertaintyA.T. Kearney 2017 State of Logistics Report: Accelerating into Uncertainty
A.T. Kearney 2017 State of Logistics Report: Accelerating into UncertaintyKearney
 
Qatar Busbar Market Forecast 2021 - brochure
Qatar Busbar Market Forecast 2021 - brochureQatar Busbar Market Forecast 2021 - brochure
Qatar Busbar Market Forecast 2021 - brochureTechSci Research
 
Global Automotive Wiring Harness Market
Global Automotive Wiring Harness Market Global Automotive Wiring Harness Market
Global Automotive Wiring Harness Market Lucintel
 
Outlook for fuel cell vehicles in Europe and analysis of BMW's activities
Outlook for fuel cell vehicles in Europe and analysis of BMW's activitiesOutlook for fuel cell vehicles in Europe and analysis of BMW's activities
Outlook for fuel cell vehicles in Europe and analysis of BMW's activitiesChris McAtominey
 
Electric Vehicles and Power Sources: Technologies and Global Markets
Electric Vehicles and Power Sources: Technologies and Global MarketsElectric Vehicles and Power Sources: Technologies and Global Markets
Electric Vehicles and Power Sources: Technologies and Global MarketsReportLinker.com
 
Environmental impacts of electric mobility and interactions with the electric...
Environmental impacts of electric mobility and interactions with the electric...Environmental impacts of electric mobility and interactions with the electric...
Environmental impacts of electric mobility and interactions with the electric...Oeko-Institut
 
Electric Vehicles Market PPT: Growth, Outlook, Demand, Keyplayer Analysis and...
Electric Vehicles Market PPT: Growth, Outlook, Demand, Keyplayer Analysis and...Electric Vehicles Market PPT: Growth, Outlook, Demand, Keyplayer Analysis and...
Electric Vehicles Market PPT: Growth, Outlook, Demand, Keyplayer Analysis and...IMARC Group
 

What's hot (20)

Indices 16 apr2013054418
Indices 16 apr2013054418Indices 16 apr2013054418
Indices 16 apr2013054418
 
Jd power stats online car buyers
Jd power stats online car buyersJd power stats online car buyers
Jd power stats online car buyers
 
Greenbrier Companies CRC Stock Pitch Competition Spring 2015
Greenbrier Companies CRC Stock Pitch Competition Spring 2015Greenbrier Companies CRC Stock Pitch Competition Spring 2015
Greenbrier Companies CRC Stock Pitch Competition Spring 2015
 
China's debt time bomb?
China's debt time bomb?China's debt time bomb?
China's debt time bomb?
 
2016 CRC Stock Pitch Competition - Finalist
2016 CRC Stock Pitch Competition - Finalist2016 CRC Stock Pitch Competition - Finalist
2016 CRC Stock Pitch Competition - Finalist
 
Indices 21 may2013065059
Indices 21 may2013065059Indices 21 may2013065059
Indices 21 may2013065059
 
Indices 06 sep2013053740
Indices 06 sep2013053740Indices 06 sep2013053740
Indices 06 sep2013053740
 
Indices 23 apr2013054426
Indices 23 apr2013054426Indices 23 apr2013054426
Indices 23 apr2013054426
 
Indices 12 mar 2014
Indices 12 mar 2014 Indices 12 mar 2014
Indices 12 mar 2014
 
A.T. Kearney 2017 State of Logistics Report: Accelerating into Uncertainty
A.T. Kearney 2017 State of Logistics Report: Accelerating into UncertaintyA.T. Kearney 2017 State of Logistics Report: Accelerating into Uncertainty
A.T. Kearney 2017 State of Logistics Report: Accelerating into Uncertainty
 
Qatar Busbar Market Forecast 2021 - brochure
Qatar Busbar Market Forecast 2021 - brochureQatar Busbar Market Forecast 2021 - brochure
Qatar Busbar Market Forecast 2021 - brochure
 
Global Automotive Wiring Harness Market
Global Automotive Wiring Harness Market Global Automotive Wiring Harness Market
Global Automotive Wiring Harness Market
 
Indices 22 may2013051849
Indices 22 may2013051849Indices 22 may2013051849
Indices 22 may2013051849
 
Post COVID-19 Economy and Opportunities
Post COVID-19 Economy and OpportunitiesPost COVID-19 Economy and Opportunities
Post COVID-19 Economy and Opportunities
 
Outlook for fuel cell vehicles in Europe and analysis of BMW's activities
Outlook for fuel cell vehicles in Europe and analysis of BMW's activitiesOutlook for fuel cell vehicles in Europe and analysis of BMW's activities
Outlook for fuel cell vehicles in Europe and analysis of BMW's activities
 
Electric Vehicles and Power Sources: Technologies and Global Markets
Electric Vehicles and Power Sources: Technologies and Global MarketsElectric Vehicles and Power Sources: Technologies and Global Markets
Electric Vehicles and Power Sources: Technologies and Global Markets
 
Environmental impacts of electric mobility and interactions with the electric...
Environmental impacts of electric mobility and interactions with the electric...Environmental impacts of electric mobility and interactions with the electric...
Environmental impacts of electric mobility and interactions with the electric...
 
Electric Vehicles Market PPT: Growth, Outlook, Demand, Keyplayer Analysis and...
Electric Vehicles Market PPT: Growth, Outlook, Demand, Keyplayer Analysis and...Electric Vehicles Market PPT: Growth, Outlook, Demand, Keyplayer Analysis and...
Electric Vehicles Market PPT: Growth, Outlook, Demand, Keyplayer Analysis and...
 
Indices 23 may2013052355
Indices 23 may2013052355Indices 23 may2013052355
Indices 23 may2013052355
 
Indices 20 may2013051248
Indices 20 may2013051248Indices 20 may2013051248
Indices 20 may2013051248
 

Similar to AVX final ppt - Urja-12

Tech Mahindra - Case Study | Zinnov Zones
Tech Mahindra - Case Study | Zinnov ZonesTech Mahindra - Case Study | Zinnov Zones
Tech Mahindra - Case Study | Zinnov ZonesZinnov
 
Enernoc Stock PItch
Enernoc Stock PItchEnernoc Stock PItch
Enernoc Stock PItchagrzymala
 
GaN and SiC for power electronics applications 2015 Report by Yole Developpement
GaN and SiC for power electronics applications 2015 Report by Yole DeveloppementGaN and SiC for power electronics applications 2015 Report by Yole Developpement
GaN and SiC for power electronics applications 2015 Report by Yole DeveloppementYole Developpement
 
Zinnov Zones 2016 - Product Engineering Services
Zinnov Zones 2016 - Product Engineering ServicesZinnov Zones 2016 - Product Engineering Services
Zinnov Zones 2016 - Product Engineering ServicesZinnov
 
Taiwan Electric Power Equipment Market by Product Type, Distribution Channel,...
Taiwan Electric Power Equipment Market by Product Type, Distribution Channel,...Taiwan Electric Power Equipment Market by Product Type, Distribution Channel,...
Taiwan Electric Power Equipment Market by Product Type, Distribution Channel,...IMARC Group
 
Skyworks Presentation_Haley Large-Cap Fund
Skyworks Presentation_Haley Large-Cap FundSkyworks Presentation_Haley Large-Cap Fund
Skyworks Presentation_Haley Large-Cap FundThao P Le
 
AAC Acoustic Technologies
AAC Acoustic TechnologiesAAC Acoustic Technologies
AAC Acoustic TechnologiesAileen Yao
 
Presentation-MeitY-Schemes-24Feb2021.pptx
Presentation-MeitY-Schemes-24Feb2021.pptxPresentation-MeitY-Schemes-24Feb2021.pptx
Presentation-MeitY-Schemes-24Feb2021.pptxabhishekkumar807235
 
Energy Tech Market View - Vaquero Capital
Energy Tech Market View - Vaquero Capital Energy Tech Market View - Vaquero Capital
Energy Tech Market View - Vaquero Capital Joilene Wood Grove
 
B Plan On Consumer Electronics
B Plan On Consumer ElectronicsB Plan On Consumer Electronics
B Plan On Consumer ElectronicsAshish Bansal
 
AT&S IR Presentation 9M_2019_20
AT&S IR Presentation 9M_2019_20AT&S IR Presentation 9M_2019_20
AT&S IR Presentation 9M_2019_20AT&S_IR
 
Raymond James 12th Annual North American Equities Conference
Raymond James 12th Annual North American Equities ConferenceRaymond James 12th Annual North American Equities Conference
Raymond James 12th Annual North American Equities Conferencecorporationlkq
 
Verizon Investment Pitch Deck
Verizon Investment Pitch DeckVerizon Investment Pitch Deck
Verizon Investment Pitch DeckAlexanderTullman
 
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation October 2016
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation October 2016AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation October 2016
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation October 2016AT&S_IR
 
Analog Devices (ADI) Bench
Analog Devices (ADI) BenchAnalog Devices (ADI) Bench
Analog Devices (ADI) BenchNLF Managers
 
Analog Devices (ADI) BENCH
Analog Devices (ADI) BENCHAnalog Devices (ADI) BENCH
Analog Devices (ADI) BENCHNLF Managers
 
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation September 2016
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation September 2016AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation September 2016
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation September 2016AT&S_IR
 
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation November 2016
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation November 2016AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation November 2016
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation November 2016AT&S_IR
 

Similar to AVX final ppt - Urja-12 (20)

Tech Mahindra - Case Study | Zinnov Zones
Tech Mahindra - Case Study | Zinnov ZonesTech Mahindra - Case Study | Zinnov Zones
Tech Mahindra - Case Study | Zinnov Zones
 
Enernoc Stock PItch
Enernoc Stock PItchEnernoc Stock PItch
Enernoc Stock PItch
 
GaN and SiC for power electronics applications 2015 Report by Yole Developpement
GaN and SiC for power electronics applications 2015 Report by Yole DeveloppementGaN and SiC for power electronics applications 2015 Report by Yole Developpement
GaN and SiC for power electronics applications 2015 Report by Yole Developpement
 
ATS Company Reports: Finolex cables ltd
ATS Company Reports: Finolex cables ltdATS Company Reports: Finolex cables ltd
ATS Company Reports: Finolex cables ltd
 
Zinnov Zones 2016 - Product Engineering Services
Zinnov Zones 2016 - Product Engineering ServicesZinnov Zones 2016 - Product Engineering Services
Zinnov Zones 2016 - Product Engineering Services
 
Taiwan Electric Power Equipment Market by Product Type, Distribution Channel,...
Taiwan Electric Power Equipment Market by Product Type, Distribution Channel,...Taiwan Electric Power Equipment Market by Product Type, Distribution Channel,...
Taiwan Electric Power Equipment Market by Product Type, Distribution Channel,...
 
Skyworks Presentation_Haley Large-Cap Fund
Skyworks Presentation_Haley Large-Cap FundSkyworks Presentation_Haley Large-Cap Fund
Skyworks Presentation_Haley Large-Cap Fund
 
Skyworks
Skyworks Skyworks
Skyworks
 
AAC Acoustic Technologies
AAC Acoustic TechnologiesAAC Acoustic Technologies
AAC Acoustic Technologies
 
Presentation-MeitY-Schemes-24Feb2021.pptx
Presentation-MeitY-Schemes-24Feb2021.pptxPresentation-MeitY-Schemes-24Feb2021.pptx
Presentation-MeitY-Schemes-24Feb2021.pptx
 
Energy Tech Market View - Vaquero Capital
Energy Tech Market View - Vaquero Capital Energy Tech Market View - Vaquero Capital
Energy Tech Market View - Vaquero Capital
 
B Plan On Consumer Electronics
B Plan On Consumer ElectronicsB Plan On Consumer Electronics
B Plan On Consumer Electronics
 
AT&S IR Presentation 9M_2019_20
AT&S IR Presentation 9M_2019_20AT&S IR Presentation 9M_2019_20
AT&S IR Presentation 9M_2019_20
 
Raymond James 12th Annual North American Equities Conference
Raymond James 12th Annual North American Equities ConferenceRaymond James 12th Annual North American Equities Conference
Raymond James 12th Annual North American Equities Conference
 
Verizon Investment Pitch Deck
Verizon Investment Pitch DeckVerizon Investment Pitch Deck
Verizon Investment Pitch Deck
 
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation October 2016
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation October 2016AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation October 2016
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation October 2016
 
Analog Devices (ADI) Bench
Analog Devices (ADI) BenchAnalog Devices (ADI) Bench
Analog Devices (ADI) Bench
 
Analog Devices (ADI) BENCH
Analog Devices (ADI) BENCHAnalog Devices (ADI) BENCH
Analog Devices (ADI) BENCH
 
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation September 2016
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation September 2016AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation September 2016
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation September 2016
 
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation November 2016
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation November 2016AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation November 2016
AT&S Investor and Analyst Presentation November 2016
 

AVX final ppt - Urja-12

  • 1. 1 AVX Corporation Senior Analyst: Urja Lakhani Junior Analysts: Carlota De Villa, Dana Hochman, Pandu Loksono, Askar Abuzarov
  • 2. 2 Recommendation Summary: AVX Corp. Recommendation Summary AVX Corp. Ticker AVX Current Price $11.99 (As of 04/10/2016 ) Recommendation HOLD Target Price 13.58 Upside/Downside (%) 13%
  • 3. 3 Industry Overview  The electronic component manufacturing industry consists of firms that are manufacturers, suppliers and resellers of electronic components such printed circuits, circuit boards, capacitors, transformers, connectors and switches.  Customers include original equipment manufacturers (OEM’s) in various industries.  The industry has low market share concentration, high barriers to entry and rapidly increasing industry globalization. Sources: IBIS world, Factset, AVX Corp 10k
  • 4. 4 Industry Overview  Globally grew 1.6% in 2015  Expected to grow at 4.9% CAGR over the next five years.  Growth stimulated by: – Advanced in product technology, functionality, and design – Growing use of electronics in communications and automobile products – Growing use in home appliances and wearable devices – Increased applications in industrial production Year Revenue $ billion Growth % 2017 693.3 1.4 2018 704.4 1.6 2019 718.5 2.0 2020 732.1 1.9 2021 746.1 1.9 2022 761.0 2.0 Sources: IBIS world, Factset
  • 5. 5 Industry Trends • Shift from developed countries such as USA and Western Europe to Asian countries. • Lower rents and labor costs are the causes for this shift. Increased Globalization • Increased M&A to increased product base. • Mergers with international companies to realize synergies and broaden market. Mergers and Acquisitions • Increasing GDP of BRIC nations and rise of global per capital income. • Increasing global internet usage. External Drivers Sources: IBIS world, Factset, Reuters
  • 6. 6 Company Overview  AVX Corporation manufactures and supplies a variety of passive components and related products. Products include ceramic and tantalum capacitors which are used in many electronic products to store, filter and regulate electric energy.  Holding Company: Kyocera (72% ownership)  Product Breakdown (% of sales): - Passive Components (68%) - KED Resale (22%) - Interconnect Devices (10%)  Customers in USA, Europe and Asia Pacific  20 Manufacturing facilities in 11 different countries (such as Mexico, Czech Republic, El Salvador etc.) Automotive 27% Cellular 16% Industrial 14% Telecom 13% consumer 11% Medical 9% Military/Aer ospace 5% Networking 5% Customer Breakdown Sources: 10k, Bloomberg, Reuters
  • 7. 7 Company Executives John Sarvis: CEO  Chief Executive Officer and President of AVX Corp. since April, 2015.  Vice President of Ceramic Products at AVX Corp. from 2005 to March, 2015.  Divisional Vice President of Ceramics Division at AVX Corp. from 1998 to 2005.  Marketing and Operational positions at AVX Corp prior to that. Kurt P. Cummings: CFO, Sr. VP and Treasurer  Senior Vice President of AVX Corp. since August, 2015.  Financial Officer and Treasurer since August 2000.  Secretary since July 1997.  Corporate Controller of AVX Corp. from June 1992 to August 2000 and Vice President until August, 2015.  Prior to June 1992, he was a Partner with Deloitte & Touche LLP. Sources: AVX Corp website, Bloomberg
  • 8. 8 Company Trends Demand from the automotive sector Rising use in smart phones Strong margins due to declining costs
  • 9. 9 Trend 1: Demand from Automotive Sector  Growth in gas fueled vehicles as well as EV’s.  AVX products are used throughout a vehicle, including engine control, transmission control, audio, brakes, and stability and safety control system.  Currently, the automotive sector forms 27% of revenue compared to 21% of revenue in FY 2014.  Causes of growth in automobile sales: - Moderate gasoline prices. - Growing emerging markets. - China slashes small car tax rate by half. Sales increased by 13%. - Increased subsidies on EV’s in India and China.  Apart from organic growth in automobile sales, there is also growth in electric content in cars. 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2015 2016 2017 Consumptionin1,000units Years Hybrid cars Electric cars Sources: Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, nrg EVgo, Factset, wired Data for China 142.8 149.968 159.04 170.128 184.128 200.48 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Worldwide Production of electronic equipment dedicated to automotive
  • 10. 10 Trend 1: Demand from Automotive Sector  Rising demand for electric and hybrid cars in USA: - Government incentives – Federal tax credits of over $7500 in USA. - Rising environmental awareness - Declining purchase and maintenance costs of EV’s - Sales of Tesla Model 3 to boost sales  AVX is increasing production capacity of advanced power components group to meet this increased demand. Sources: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Wall Street Journal, Factset, FRED Key takeaway – Rising demand for EV’s worldwide and overall increase in electric content in vehicles driving sales
  • 11. 11 Trend 2: Rising smart phone unit demand  Passive components and fine pitch connectors are used in Mobile phones.  AVX major customers: Nokia, Motorola  In Emerging APAC, smartphone unit demand increased by +22 percent year-on-year in Q4 2015  Rising smartphone demand from India: - Indian Govt. has spent USD 32B on 4G services - 65% of Internet surfing in India is on Mobile Africa & Middle East 1% Americas 30% Asia Pacific 40% Europe 29% Revenue Breakdown by Region Sources: Mary Meeker report Bloomberg, RBI, AVX Corp. 10k 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Smartphone Sales (in million units) 2015 2016 E
  • 12. 12 Trend 3: Strong Margins due to declining costs  Spent $100 million over the past three FY’s to enhance worldwide manufacturing capabilities.  Strategy: Transfer and expansion of manufacturing operations in lower cost countries such as El Salvador, Malaysia, Mexico, and Czech Republic.  Increasing focus on the sale of value added and higher capacitance passive component sales with better margin opportunities and lower manufacturing and overhead costs.  Costs were favorably impacted last year by approximately $37.3 million due to the strength of the U.S. dollar. 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 Mar '07Mar '08Mar '09Mar '10Mar '11Mar '12Mar '13Mar '14Mar '15 Rental Expenses (Figures in million USD) 0 500 1000 1500 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 (Mar) 2015 (Dec) COGS 0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 Gross Profit Net Margin Operating Mrgin Margins – 5 Year Average Industry AVX Sources: AVX Corp 10k, 10Q, Factset
  • 13. 13 Company Risks  Fluctuations in commodity prices: Tantalum platinum, silver, nickel, gold, copper, palladium, and other raw materials  Currency rate fluctuation affect AVX’s sales, gross margins, and stockholder’s equity since AVX trades with several international currencies. 1,180 1,200 1,220 1,240 1,260 1,280 1,300 1,320 1,340 1,360 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.48 1206.25 AVX Corporation Daily 12.49 -0.03 -0.24% VWAP:12.51 High: 1344.50 Low: 1206.25 Chg: -10.28% AVX Corporation - Sales USD/CNY Cvol: 7,616 Avg: 211,705  Sales unfavorably impacted by $28.1 million in FY15 due to US dollar strength.  Steps taken by AVX to mitigate currency risk: 1. Entering forward exchange contracts to hedge currency transactions 2. Producing products in the same country in which they are sold Sources: AVX Corp. 10K, Factset Chart showing correlation between strength of USD and sales
  • 14. 14 Investor information  AVX is a part of some famous funds’ portfolios  Increasing buys from insiders over the recent past Sources: NASDAQ, Factset
  • 16. 16 Recommendation Summary Recommendation Summary Company (Ticker) AVX Current Trading Price (04-10-2016) $11.99 Recommendation Hold Target Price $13.58 Upside Potential 13% Currently a HOLD, but has potential to become a Buy over time. Currently a Hold, but has potential to become a buy over time
  • 17. 17 Comparable Companies Valuation Name Market Cap - Consolidated Enterpris e Value Net Margin TTM Total Debt/ EV ROA TTM P/E TTM EV/Sales TTM EV/EBITDA TTM EV/EBIT TTM AVX CORPORATION 2,116.40 2,116.40 14.13% 0.00 7.42% 12.48x 1.8x 11.9x 8.65x VISHAY INTERTECHNOLOGY, INC. 1,844.70 1,202.56 (4.72%) 0.36 2.31% NEG 0.51x 4.06x 10.49x KEMET CORPORATION 91.26 442.99 (7.83%) 0.89 (2.49%) NEG 0.59x 14.23x NEG YAGEO CORPORATION 1,067.86 1,202.40 13.51% 0.40 7.35% 9.24x 1.46x 5.82x 8.20x TAIYO YUDEN CO., LTD. 1,173.82 1,292.13 7.87% 0.38 7.18% 7.13x 0.63x 3.38x 6.85x TDK CORPORATION 7,228.51 7,443.33 6.10% 0.40 5.06% 11.86x 0.77x 4.84x 8.79x High 7,228.51 7,443.33 14.13% 0.89 7.42% 12.48x 1.46x 14.23x 10.49x Mean 2,253.76 2,130.59 4.84% 0.40 4.47% 10.18x 1.4x 6.4x 8.59x Median 1,509.26 1,202.48 6.98% 0.39 6.12% 10.55x 1.0x 5.9x 8.65x Low 91.26 442.99 (7.83%) 0.00 (2.49%) 7.13x 0.51x 3.38x 6.85x P/E LTM EPS $1.02 Implied Price Target $12.38 Upside (Downside) % 3.22% EV/EBITDA LTM EBITDA $178.50 Implied Price Target $6.3274 Upside (Downside) % -47.2% EV/Revenue LTM Revenue $1,206.25 Implied Price Target $7.2705 Upside (Downside) % -39.4%
  • 18. 18 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Perpetuity Growth Method Exit Multiple Method Growth Rate 2.00% EBITDA Multiple 11.90x Undiscounted TEV $2,750.17 Undiscounted TEV $2,605.48 Discounted TEV $1,683.47 Discounted TEV $1,594.90 DCF Value $2,342.18 DCF Value $2,253.61 Equity Value $2,342.18 Equity Value $2,253.61 Share Price $13.98 Share Price $13.45 Implied Exit Multple 12.56x Implied Growth Rate 1.57%
  • 19. 19 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Key Assumptions:  WACC = Cost of Equity = 10.3%  Tax Rate = 22.20  Beta = 0.92 (Calculated weekly with Russell 2000)  Terminal growth rate = 2%  Exit multiple = 11.9x  Assumed steady increase in capital expenditure as % of Revenue  Declining COGS and S&A as % of Revenue due to these expansion plans Key Statistics: Current Trading Price (04-10-2016) $11.99 Market Cap 2,116.4 Net Debt - Beta 0.92 Shares Outstanding 167.57 Marginal Tax Rate 22.20% WACC Calculation: Cost of Debt 0.00% % Weight 0% Cost of Equity 10.31% % Weight 100% WACC 10.31% Capital Asset Pricing Model Beta 0.92 Risk-free Rate 2.41% Base Risk Premium 6.70% Market Cap $2,116.40 Size Premium 1.74% CAPM 10.31%
  • 20. 20 Valuation summary with weights Reasoning:  Highly heterogeneous industry argues for intrinsic valuation  Comps produces skewed result due to market inefficiencies, esp. in tech sector  Poor comparable companies overall - Major US competitors have negative net income - Other close competitors are foreign companies Valuation Summary Method Price Weight Discounted Cash Flow Perpetuity Growth Method $13.98 80% Exit Multiple Method $13.45 10% Comparable Company Analysis P/E $12.38 7% EV/EBITDA $6.33 3% EV/Revenue $7.27 0% Target Price $13.58
  • 21. 21 Valuation Football Field $- $5.00 $10.00 $15.00 $20.00 $25.00 $30.00 52-week range Perpetuity Growth Exit Multiple Price/Earnings EV/EBITDA
  • 22. 22 AVX Corp: Recommendation Summary Company AVX Corp. (AVX) Recommendation HOLD Current Price 11.99 Target Price 13.58 %Upside/Downside 13% Demand from the automotive sector Rising use in smart phones Strong margins due to declining costs
  • 23. 23 Appendix  SWOT Analysis  AVX growth summary (CAGR)  Wide comps  Insider Trades Summary  Sensitivity table  Assumptions
  • 24. 24 SWOT Analysis STRENGTHS Strong financials and liquidity Strong Operations Network Synergy with Kyocera Synergy with subsidiaries WEAKNESSSES Reliance on commodity prices Declining financial performance Environmental and Patents infringement concerns OPPORTUNITIES New product launches Pull from the automotive industry Positive outlook for EMS THREATS Rapid technology changes Currency fluctuations Highly competitive market AVX Corp. Sources: AVX Corp. 10K FY2015 and FY2014
  • 25. 25 AVX Past Growth Summary (CAGR) 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years Sales -6.8 -4.5 0.6 0.5 EBITDA 20.2 -7.2 2.1 5.4 Net Income 77.8 13.9 9.6 15.0 EPS (Diluted) 78.7 14.2 9.8 15.4 Dividends 11.9 15.4 20.1 10.3 Source: Factset High CAGR for Net Income and EPS CAGR because negative numbers in beginning year
  • 26. 26 Wide Comps Name Market Cap - Consolidated Enterprise Value Sales TTM Sales FY1 EBITDA TTM EBITDA FY1 Net Income TTM Net Margin TTM Total Debt/ EV ROA TTM ROE TTM AVX CORPORATION 2,116.40 1,200.13 1,206.25 1,187.60 178.50 202.20 170.40 14.13% 0.00 7.42% 8.06% VISHAY INTERTECHNOLOGY, INC. 1,844.70 1,202.56 2,300.49 2,303.56 276.59 368.99 (108.51) (4.72%) 0.36 2.31% 3.27% AMPHENOL CORPORATION 17,755.30 18,848.30 5,568.70 6,119.24 1,292.70 1,384.22 763.50 13.71% 0.15 11.15% 24.85% KEMET CORPORATION 91.26 442.99 744.61 - 31.13 - (58.30) (7.83%) 0.89 (2.49%) (34.26%) YAGEO CORPORATION 1,067.86 1,202.40 825.96 860.83 206.59 188.88 111.59 13.51% 0.40 7.35% 14.83% TAIYO YUDEN CO., LTD. 1,173.82 1,292.13 2,044.50 1,995.32 382.44 395.04 160.83 7.87% 0.38 7.18% 12.64% Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd. 26,356.73 24,159.03 10,102.79 10,158.76 3,271.23 3,197.78 1,767.63 17.50% 0.00 14.68% 18.21% TDK CORPORATION 7,228.51 7,443.33 9,719.86 9,727.36 1,536.86 1,516.16 592.86 6.10% 0.40 5.06% 9.53% High 26,356.73 24,159.03 10,102.79 10,158.76 3,271.23 3,197.78 1,767.63 17.50% 0.89 14.68% 24.85% Mean 7,204.32 6,973.86 4,064.14 4,621.81 897.01 1,036.18 425.00 7.53% 0.32 6.58% 7.14% Median 1,980.55 1,247.34 2,172.49 2,303.56 329.52 395.04 165.61 10.69% 0.37 7.26% 11.09% Low 91.26 442.99 744.61 860.83 31.13 188.88 (108.51) (7.83%) 0.00 (2.49%) (34.26%) Name P/E TTM EV/Sales TTM EV/Sales FY1 EV/EBITDA TTM EV/EBITDA FY1 EV/EBIT TTM EV/EBIT FY1 AVX CORPORATION 12.48x 0.99x 1.01x 6.72x 5.94x 8.65x 7.23x VISHAY INTERTECHNOLOGY, INC. NEG 0.51x 0.52x 4.06x 3.26x 10.49x 6.09x AMPHENOL CORPORATION 23.89x 3.38x 3.08x 14.58x 13.62x 16.81x 15.89x KEMET CORPORATION NEG 0.59x - 14.23x - NEG - YAGEO CORPORATION 9.24x 1.46x 1.40x 5.82x 6.37x 8.20x 10.54x TAIYO YUDEN CO., LTD. 7.13x 0.63x 0.65x 3.38x 3.27x 6.85x - Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd. 14.01x 2.39x 2.38x 7.39x 7.55x 9.78x 10.49x TDK CORPORATION 11.86x 0.77x 0.77x 4.84x 4.91x 8.79x - High 23.89x 3.38x 3.08x 14.58x 13.62x 16.81x 15.89x Mean 13.10x 1.34x 1.40x 7.63x 6.42x 9.94x 10.05x Median 12.17x 0.88x 1.01x 6.27x 5.94x 8.79x 10.49x Low 7.13x 0.51x 0.52x 3.38x 3.26x 6.85x 6.09x Factset, Consensus Estimates
  • 27. 27 Insider Trades Summary Filer's Name Relation Title Trans. Date Price Mkt Value Shares Holdings Thomas Keith SR Corp VP,President & COO,KED 03/04/2016 11.91 12 1 19208 King Willing Sr Corp VP, Tantalum Products 03/04/2016 11.91 36 3 8909 Cummings Kurt P SR VP CFO Treasurer/Secretary 03/04/2016 11.91 24 2 13001 Venuto Peter SR Corp VP of Sales 03/04/2016 11.91 24 2 1368 Thomas Keith SR Corp VP,President & COO,KED 03/02/2016 11.72 750 64 19207 Venuto Peter SR Corp VP of Sales 03/02/2016 11.72 750 64 1366 King Willing Sr Corp VP, Tantalum Products 03/02/2016 11.72 410 35 8906 Cummings Kurt P SR VP CFO Treasurer/Secretary 03/02/2016 11.72 750 64 12999 Venuto Peter SR Corp VP of Sales 02/17/2016 11.65 82 7 225 Venuto Peter SR Corp VP of Sales 02/17/2016 11.65 58 5 1302 Kelly Kathleen M SR Corp VP Human Resources 02/17/2016 11.65 23 2 2307 Lawing John SR VP Chief Technology Officer 02/17/2016 11.65 82 7 3466 Thomas Keith SR Corp VP,President & COO,KED 02/17/2016 11.65 734 63 19143 Sarvis John CEO and President 02/17/2016 11.65 198 17 13092 King Willing Sr Corp VP, Tantalum Products 02/17/2016 11.65 163 14 8871 Cummings Kurt P SR VP CFO Treasurer/Secretary 02/17/2016 11.65 629 54 12935
  • 28. 28 Sensitivity table DCF - Perpetuity Growth Sensitivity WACC $13.98 8.8140 0% 9.3% 9.8% 10.3% 10.8% 11.3% 11.8% 12.3% TerminalGrowth Rate 3.0% $19.47 $17.91 $16.59 $15.46 $14.48 $13.63 $12.88 $12.21 2.5% $18.17 $16.82 $15.67 $14.67 $13.80 $13.03 $12.35 $11.75 2.0% $17.06 $15.88 $14.87 $13.98 $13.20 $12.50 $11.89 $11.33 1.50% $16.10 $15.06 $14.16 $13.36 $12.66 $12.03 $11.46 $10.96 1.00% $15.27 $14.34 $13.53 $12.81 $12.17 $11.60 $11.08 $10.61 0.50% $14.53 $13.70 $12.97 $12.32 $11.73 $11.21 $10.73 $10.30 DCF - EV/EBITDA Exit Multiple Sensitivity WACC $13.45 8.8% 9.3% 9.8% 10.3% 10.8% 11.3% 11.8% 12.3% TerminalEBITDA Multiple 13.9 x $15.84 $15.57 $15.30 $15.05 $14.80 $14.56 $14.32 $14.09 12.9 x $14.98 $14.73 $14.49 $14.25 $14.02 $13.79 $13.57 $13.36 11.9 x $14.12 $13.89 $13.67 $13.45 $13.24 $13.03 $12.83 $12.63 10.9 x $13.27 $13.06 $12.85 $12.65 $12.45 $12.26 $12.08 $11.90 9.9 x $12.41 $12.22 $12.03 $11.85 $11.67 $11.50 $11.33 $11.17 8.9 x $11.55 $11.38 $11.21 $11.05 $10.89 $10.74 $10.58 $10.44
  • 29. 29 Assumptions Income_Statement 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Revenue Growth Assumptions -4.2% 1.3% 3.0% 5.0% 4.0% COGS % Revenue Assumptions 71.0% 70.8% 70.5% 70.3% 70.0% SG&A % Revenue Assumptions 16.8% 16.0% 16.0% 15.8% 15.5% Cash_Flows 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Capital Expenditures % Revenue -0.3% -0.2% -0.9% -0.8% -0.6%

Editor's Notes

  1. Hi, my name is Urja Lakhani and today I am representing the TMT sector along with my wonderful JA’s Askar, Dana, Pandu and Carlota
  2. We are pitching AVX corporation. After careful analysis of trends and the use of various valuation methods we have come to the conclusion that this company is a Hold with the potential to become a buy over time.
  3. Askar
  4. Askar
  5. Askar
  6. Dana Fun fact: AVX supplies to NASA
  7. Dana
  8. Dana
  9. Pandu Total cost of Electric Vehicles to fall below the cost of gas fueled vehicles by 2020. battery pack that powers the car. The pack can account for about a third of the cost of the entire vehicle. Between 2010 and 2015, the average cost per kilowatt hour (kWh) dropped from $1,000 to $350—a 65 percent plunge
  10. Pandu Growing electic content with respect to safety (AVX supplies electronic components to Bosche, a major automotive parts supplier to Tesla.)
  11. Carlota Mention how much of sales is from Telecom and how much comes Asia Pacific
  12. Carlota
  13. Pandu
  14. Carlota
  15. Urja
  16. Moving on to valuation. We are pitching a hold since our company has 13% upside. It is currently a hold but it does have the potential of becoming a buy over time.
  17. Looking at the comparable companies valuation we can note that AVX has the highest Net margin and return on assets among its peers. It also has no debt and it has pretty solid multiples that are above the industry mean and median.
  18. Moving on to the discounted cash flow analysis. The perpetuity growth method gives us a valuation of $13.98 while the exit multiple method gives us 13.45
  19. Key assumptions of our model include a WACC of 10.3 which is the same as the cost of equity which we determined using the CAPM. Assumed a tax rate of 22.2%, beta of 0.92 which we calculated weekly with the Russell 2000. Assumed a terminal growth rate of 2% which is in line with the industry growth rate and the growth of the economy. Exit multiple of 11.9x. We’ve also assumed a steady increase in capex as % of revenue which in line with our assumption of decreasing COGS and SG&A.
  20. We decided to value our discounted cash flow more heavily than comparable companies because a highly heterogeneous industry argues for intrinsic calculation. Comps also produces skewed results due to market inefficiencies esp. in the tech sector. Our company in particular has poor comps overall since most close competitors are foreign companies and the American competitors have negative net income.
  21. The valuation football field shows the range of valuation. Shows that the stock is pretty efficiently priced.
  22. Restating my recommendation. The company is a hold with 13% upside but has the potential to become a buy over time. Thank you very much!
  23. Urja AVX Corporation, a leading manufacturer of passive components and interconnect solutions, has added several new capacitance and voltage ratings to its THH 230ºC Hermetic Series high temperature SMD tantalum capacitors, which, more than two years after their introduction, still feature the highest temperature ratings of any SMD tantalum  The Industry’s Highest CV 0603 Tantalum Capacitor Delivers twice the capacitance of competitors’ 0603 tantalum capacitors Halves the Footprint of previous capacitors
  24. Urja