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The University of Sydney Page 1
DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGIES
Associate Professor Kai Riemer
Chair of Business Information Systems
The University of Sydney Business School
Disclosing New Worlds
The University of Sydney Page 2
Since 2000 52% of Fortune 500 companies have disappeared
The University of Sydney Page 3
What makes new technology disruptive?
The University of Sydney Page 4
Disruptive Innovation according to Clayton Christensen
A story about:
-  Products
-  Markets
-  Margins
The theory doesn’t explain what makes technologies truly disruptive
The “innovator’s dilemma”
is that “doing the right thing
is the wrong thing.”
The University of Sydney Page 5
Disruptive change is path-breaking change
The University of Sydney Page 6
Change and innovation are incremental:
problem solving, making the product better, making production cheaper,
à typically what business schools teach
How do industries normally evolve?
The University of Sydney Page 7
–  What do disruptors (entrepreneurs) do?
–  Follow an anomaly, ‘a hunch’, dabble with technology, experiment
–  New product/service is not bound by the established rules of the industry.
–  Does not make sense against current understanding of the industry
The emergence of Disruptive Innovation
The University of Sydney Page 8
–  More and more people start using the
innovation
–  Its potentials are discovered in use
–  The world changes irreversibly,
the industry changes its trajectory
Disruptive Innovation discloses a new world
The University of Sydney Page 9
74% of incumbents react to disruption only 2 yrs after its occurrence – or later
(data: Capgemini)
The University of Sydney Page 10
Another Example – in 2007:
"The simple truth: convergence is a compromise
driven by financial limitations, not aspiration. In the
markets where multiple devices are affordable, the
vast majority would prefer that to one device fits all."
http://www.theguardian.com/media/2007/jun/29/digitalmedia.news
Path-breaking change cannot be extrapolated...
The University of Sydney Page 11
The University of Sydney Page 12
The University of Sydney Page 13
Why do we have such a hard time
dealing with disruption, even when it
unfolds right in front of us?
The University of Sydney Page 14
Visibility
Disruption happens gradually, but feels sudden.
The University of Sydney Page 15
Information
Digital disruptors control information, not physical assets
The University of Sydney Page 16
Risk
Risk adversity becomes the greatest risk.
The University of Sydney Page 17
Risk
“Drop your Tools” (Karl Weick) – 1) Self-cannabalise, 2) Rethink incentive
structures and 3) budgeting / management processes
The University of Sydney Page 18
Utility
Fundamentally different, not just better.
The University of Sydney Page 19
Speed
As a consequence, incumbents are often late. And slow…
The University of Sydney Page 20
V
I R U
S
Visibility
Information Risk
Utility
Speed
kai.riemer@sydney.edu.au | @karisyd
http://byresearch.wordpress.com
Sources of picture materials available from the speaker upon request.
The University of Sydney Page 21
DISRUPT.SYDNEY
www.disruptsydney.com
Australia’s first disruption conference
23 September 2016
University of Sydney CBD campus

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Associate Professor Kai Riemer, Chair of Business Information Systems, University of Sydney

  • 1. The University of Sydney Page 1 DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGIES Associate Professor Kai Riemer Chair of Business Information Systems The University of Sydney Business School Disclosing New Worlds
  • 2. The University of Sydney Page 2 Since 2000 52% of Fortune 500 companies have disappeared
  • 3. The University of Sydney Page 3 What makes new technology disruptive?
  • 4. The University of Sydney Page 4 Disruptive Innovation according to Clayton Christensen A story about: -  Products -  Markets -  Margins The theory doesn’t explain what makes technologies truly disruptive The “innovator’s dilemma” is that “doing the right thing is the wrong thing.”
  • 5. The University of Sydney Page 5 Disruptive change is path-breaking change
  • 6. The University of Sydney Page 6 Change and innovation are incremental: problem solving, making the product better, making production cheaper, à typically what business schools teach How do industries normally evolve?
  • 7. The University of Sydney Page 7 –  What do disruptors (entrepreneurs) do? –  Follow an anomaly, ‘a hunch’, dabble with technology, experiment –  New product/service is not bound by the established rules of the industry. –  Does not make sense against current understanding of the industry The emergence of Disruptive Innovation
  • 8. The University of Sydney Page 8 –  More and more people start using the innovation –  Its potentials are discovered in use –  The world changes irreversibly, the industry changes its trajectory Disruptive Innovation discloses a new world
  • 9. The University of Sydney Page 9 74% of incumbents react to disruption only 2 yrs after its occurrence – or later (data: Capgemini)
  • 10. The University of Sydney Page 10 Another Example – in 2007: "The simple truth: convergence is a compromise driven by financial limitations, not aspiration. In the markets where multiple devices are affordable, the vast majority would prefer that to one device fits all." http://www.theguardian.com/media/2007/jun/29/digitalmedia.news Path-breaking change cannot be extrapolated...
  • 11. The University of Sydney Page 11
  • 12. The University of Sydney Page 12
  • 13. The University of Sydney Page 13 Why do we have such a hard time dealing with disruption, even when it unfolds right in front of us?
  • 14. The University of Sydney Page 14 Visibility Disruption happens gradually, but feels sudden.
  • 15. The University of Sydney Page 15 Information Digital disruptors control information, not physical assets
  • 16. The University of Sydney Page 16 Risk Risk adversity becomes the greatest risk.
  • 17. The University of Sydney Page 17 Risk “Drop your Tools” (Karl Weick) – 1) Self-cannabalise, 2) Rethink incentive structures and 3) budgeting / management processes
  • 18. The University of Sydney Page 18 Utility Fundamentally different, not just better.
  • 19. The University of Sydney Page 19 Speed As a consequence, incumbents are often late. And slow…
  • 20. The University of Sydney Page 20 V I R U S Visibility Information Risk Utility Speed kai.riemer@sydney.edu.au | @karisyd http://byresearch.wordpress.com Sources of picture materials available from the speaker upon request.
  • 21. The University of Sydney Page 21 DISRUPT.SYDNEY www.disruptsydney.com Australia’s first disruption conference 23 September 2016 University of Sydney CBD campus