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From Pyramids to Pancakes
Towards a connected world




Martijn Kriens | @martijnkriens
Martijn Kriens




                                       Business|Science|Government|Innovation|ICT
                                       |eHealth
                                       Cloud|Pancakes|Upstream|RTLNieuws|iCrowd
                                       s|AIM|IIPSaaS
                                       WirelessArnhem|Vlieger|Recalcitrant| ....



@martijnkriens | martijn@upstream.nl
UPSTREAM




                              Marketingfact, TravelNext, FoodNext, S
                              portNext, UMCN St. Radboud, Deli
                              XL, HAN, Rabobank, ING, WNF, Eftelin
                              g, TUI Nederland, Omroep
                              Gelderland, TMG, Arnhem
                              Dichtbij, RTL, Cito, Bank van
                              Morgen, AIM, Gemeente
                              Nijmegen, RTLNieuws



@upstream | www.upstream.nl
“Our writing equipment
takes part in the forming of
our thoughts”




                               Friedrich Nietzsche
                               1844 - 1900
Conversation and communication
Conversation and communication
Conversation and communication
Conversation and communication




Page  9
Broadcast
Community
Connected
From
the
century
of my
father
to the
century
of my
son
Changes in Government
“We the people”
Government



  “At it’s core, Government is what we do
  together that we can not do on our own”

                               Tim O’Reilly
Obama

   "Your role
  as a citizen
    does not
    end with
  your vote!"
Shift in Government
From Institution centric to People centric




                plaatje
Icelandic constitution
Icelandic constitution
Code for America
Adopt a fire hydrant
“Verbeter de buurt”
Crowdsourcing policy
Changes in Health-care
“Patiënt in control”
Patient communities
Marketplace for care
Digital shared space
Mobile health ?? …
Sherry Turkle
Why we expect More from Technology
and Less from each other
Immersion?
Social?
The undertow
Many effects, few causes
Crisis
(1 − z3 / 6) / (z − z2 / 2)2 + c   (1 − z3 / 6) / (z − z2 / 2)2 + c
Hidden Themes
That drive the change




                 Scalability
Hidden Themes
That drive the change




   Communication
Hidden Themes
That drive the change




           Cooperation
Hidden Themes
That drive the change




                    Anytime
                    Anyplace
Hidden Themes
That drive the change




         Transparancy
Hidden Themes
That drive the change


    •   Scalability/Adaptability
    •   Direct Communication
    •   Seamless Cooperation
    •   Anytime, Anywhere
    •   Transparency
Transaction cost & Firm size




    Breakup in logical and more
    consistent units
Models for cooperation



                         Theatre production model




 Common interest model
Blackboard organisation




                      Data
Coordination through Markets

              Supply     Demand
From Pyramids to Pancakes
New paradigm
“The invisible hand”




   Cooperation without Coordination

                           Clay Shirky
The future of work
Think about your added value
Self Management


  “An ‘organization’ is but an idea, a
  concept. People, as individuals, are the
  ultimate reality and the only operative
  element.
                                      Chris Rufer
                         Self Management Institute
The shifts
What to study for!


    • From shallow generalist to serial master


    • From isolated competitor to innovated
      connector


    • From voracious consumer to impassioned
      producer
                                         Linda Gratton: The shift
Marketingfacts jaarboek 2012




http://www.marketingfacts.nl/jaarboek/
UPSTREAM
It’s all about Content, Conversation and Collaboration




                                                         CONTENT
    Questions?
                                                CONVERSATION



                                              COLLABORATION


@martijnkriens | martijn@upstream.nl | Martijn Kriens
Thank you!
Predicting the future
The winners that takes all




          The vanishing local notables


                                         The struggling long tail
Robert
Coase




         The Nature of the Firm (1937)
The new electronic interdependence
recreates the world in the image of a
global village

                          Marshall McLuhan
Hilton

  • Founded in 1919
  • 3897 locations, 642.000
    rooms in 91 countries
  • 135.000 employees
Booking.com

  • 3000 employees
    worldwide
  • 30 million visitors
  • 250.000 hotels in 177
    countries
  • 350.000 rooms per
    night
  • Estabished in 1996
Airbnb.com

  • Founded 2008
  • 192 countries, 26.000
    cities, 200.000 listings
  • 40.000 reservations per
    day
  • 300 employees
Couchsurfing.org

  • 4.8 million homes, 94.000
    cities in 207 countriies
  • Launched in 2004 as a
    volunteer organisation
  • Changing to commercial
    organisation
Google.com

  • Ecosystem of 80 billion
    turnover for 1,8 million
    companies
  • 32.000 employees



  • Google shopping, local >
    local sites
Agile


 Individuals and Interactions   over   Processes and tools

   Working implementations      over   Comprehensive documentation

     Customer collaboration     over   Contract negotiation

        Responding to change    over   Following a plan
Agile manifesto
• Our highest priority is to satisfy the customer through early and continuous delivery of
  valuable software.
• Welcome changing requirements, even late in development. Agile processes harness
  change for the customer's competitive advantage.
• Deliver working software frequently, from a couple of weeks to a couple of months, with a
  preference to the shorter timescale.
• Business people and developers must work together daily throughout the project.
• Build projects around motivated individuals. Give them the environment and support they
  need, and trust them to get the job done.
• The most efficient and effective method of conveying information to and within a
  development team is face-to-face conversation.
• Working software is the primary measure of progress.
• Agile processes promote sustainable development. The sponsors, developers, and users
  should be able to maintain a constant pace indefinitely.
• Continuous attention to technical excellence and good design enhances agility.
• Simplicity--the art of maximizing the amount of work not done--is essential.
• The best architectures, requirements, and designs emerge from self-organizing teams.
• At regular intervals, the team reflects on how to become more effective, then tunes and
  adjusts its behavior accordingly.

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Asset tilburg

Editor's Notes

  1. Hulpmiddelen die we ontwikkelen zijn niet alleen maar hulpmiddelen die ons ondersteunen maar ze veranderen ons ook. Cartografie heeft ons denkproces hoe problemen op te lossen verandert (een probleem in kaart brengen)Sometime in 1882, Friedrich Nietzsche bought a typewriter—a Malling-Hansen WritingBall, tobeprecise. His vision was failing, andkeeping his eyesfocused on a page had becomeexhaustingandpainful, oftenbringing on crushingheadaches. He had been forcedtocurtail his writing, and he fearedthat he wouldsoon have togiveit up. The typewriter rescuedhim, at leastfor a time. Once he had masteredtouch-typing, he was abletowritewith his eyesclosed, usingonly the tips of his fingers. Wordscouldonceagain flow from his mind to the page.But the machine had a subtler effect on his work. One of Nietzsche’sfriends, a composer, noticed a change in the style of his writing. His alreadyterseprose had become even tighter, more telegraphic. “Perhapsyouwillthroughthis instrument even take to a new idiom,” the friendwrote in a letter, notingthat, in his ownwork, his “‘thoughts’ in musicandlanguageoftendepend on the quality of pen and paper.”“You are right,” Nietzsche replied, “ourwriting equipment takes part in the forming of ourthoughts.” Under the sway of the machine, writes the German media scholar Friedrich A. Kittler, Nietzsche’sprose “changedfromargumentstoaphorisms, fromthoughtstopuns, fromrhetoricto telegram style.”
  2. Hoe is het zogekomen, 100jaargeleden
  3. Bij de huisarts: dit heb ik en ik wel daarheen verwezen worden
  4. Scalability/Adaptability > kleinereeenhednemogelijkDirect Communication > eenvoudigercommunicerenSeamless Cooperation > makkelijkerprocessenkoppelenAnytime, Anywhere >nietmeerbijelkaarzittenTransparency > ook ad hoc wetenwat je aanelkaarhebt
  5. Scalability/AdaptabilityDirect Communication >iedereenbereikbaarSeamless Cooperation > standaardhulpmiddelenAnytime, AnywhereTransparency > wetenwat je aanelkaarhebt
  6. Scalability/AdaptabilityDirect Communication > iedereenbereikenSeamless Cooperation > delen van dataAnytime, AnywhereTransparency
  7. Scalability/AdaptabilityDirect CommunicationSeamless CooperationAnytime, Anywhere > asynchroonTransparency > prestatiesvroegerzichtbaar
  8. Grote instituties zijn een uitvinding van de 20er jaren
  9. Global village: mass age