Credit Vetting & Debt Management İnci Akalp
Outline Profitability vs. Debt Management Debt Management Processes Scorecard Development Prevention Strategies for the Bad Debt Collection & Recovery of Bad Debt
Profitability is the main aim of a firm… If we have only profitable customers (nearly %80 of population), then we will have the same cumulative  profit. To maximize the total profit, we should know the reasons of loss.
Managing debts will … Maximize  profit  by increasing the recovery of cash collected Improve  cash flow  by ensuring  earlier recovery of debt Reduces  costs  through the collection techniques Increase customer  retention  through communication with debtor” which consists of … automated decisions and strategies appropriate collection techniques optimized automatic actions
Debt Management includes … Batch Reports Ad-hoc Reports Predictive Models Strategies Reporting What happened? Risk Dashboard Periodic Reports Analyzing Why did it happen? Predicting What will happen? Taking Action What should we do? Collection Recovery of Bad Debt Scorecards Fraud Model Cause analysis
A good Debt Management needs … An automated but also flexible reporting system ,that gives a chance to us, quick development of new reports or small changes for old ones Periodically fine-tuned or re-developed scorecards , models with simple implementation Simple, actionable and also applicable prevention, collection and recovery strategies.
Scorecard Development Target definition Data collection quality, relevance, size of the data up-to-date and evolving data asset missing values( imputation-SAS , scoring-KXEN) Sampling time maturity balancing the ratio Choosing the best variables/model  robust  simple  non-correlated  Segment-based models (if it is needed) Validation Deciding the score cut off accept/reject ratio Profitability Monitoring TTD population Dashboard Fine-tunings Re-development
Scorecards vs. Customer Life Time SM Tools Suggestions Experian NBSM Experian   ProbSM Fair Isaac Debt Manager Fair Isaac Triad e.g. Acquisition Nursery 0-12 months Existing 12+ months Customer Life Time Scorecards Application Scorecard AS+ Policy Rules Behavior Scorecard
Prediction implies Prevention … Customer Side Not offer up-sell/cross-sell campaigns Risk profile based campaigns time limitation ( especially for commercials ) Limit the number of accounts per customer Sales Network Side Charging a fee from seller when Bad Debt occurs
Our delinquent customer will be delinquent … Collection plan SMS time decision Collection Calls predictive calling target system ( amount ) Direct Mailing Response Analysis best time/channel/customer Pre-legal settlement offers Recovery plan Maximize recovery amount Minimize costs Lawyers monitoring their performances monthly targets
Summary Debt Management ->  Maximize profit & reduce costs Debt Management = Reporting + Prediction + Prevention + Collection Data is very important for the Scorecard development. External data (Credit Bureau) Real-time vetting Credit Vetting = Scorecards +Policy Rules Solutions for Bad Debt = Prevention + Collection + Recovery Optimization of cost/revenue/time Customer level relationship Champion/Challenger Strategies
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Application Vetting

  • 1.
    Credit Vetting &Debt Management İnci Akalp
  • 2.
    Outline Profitability vs.Debt Management Debt Management Processes Scorecard Development Prevention Strategies for the Bad Debt Collection & Recovery of Bad Debt
  • 3.
    Profitability is themain aim of a firm… If we have only profitable customers (nearly %80 of population), then we will have the same cumulative profit. To maximize the total profit, we should know the reasons of loss.
  • 4.
    Managing debts will… Maximize profit by increasing the recovery of cash collected Improve cash flow by ensuring earlier recovery of debt Reduces costs through the collection techniques Increase customer retention through communication with debtor” which consists of … automated decisions and strategies appropriate collection techniques optimized automatic actions
  • 5.
    Debt Management includes… Batch Reports Ad-hoc Reports Predictive Models Strategies Reporting What happened? Risk Dashboard Periodic Reports Analyzing Why did it happen? Predicting What will happen? Taking Action What should we do? Collection Recovery of Bad Debt Scorecards Fraud Model Cause analysis
  • 6.
    A good DebtManagement needs … An automated but also flexible reporting system ,that gives a chance to us, quick development of new reports or small changes for old ones Periodically fine-tuned or re-developed scorecards , models with simple implementation Simple, actionable and also applicable prevention, collection and recovery strategies.
  • 7.
    Scorecard Development Targetdefinition Data collection quality, relevance, size of the data up-to-date and evolving data asset missing values( imputation-SAS , scoring-KXEN) Sampling time maturity balancing the ratio Choosing the best variables/model robust simple non-correlated Segment-based models (if it is needed) Validation Deciding the score cut off accept/reject ratio Profitability Monitoring TTD population Dashboard Fine-tunings Re-development
  • 8.
    Scorecards vs. CustomerLife Time SM Tools Suggestions Experian NBSM Experian ProbSM Fair Isaac Debt Manager Fair Isaac Triad e.g. Acquisition Nursery 0-12 months Existing 12+ months Customer Life Time Scorecards Application Scorecard AS+ Policy Rules Behavior Scorecard
  • 9.
    Prediction implies Prevention… Customer Side Not offer up-sell/cross-sell campaigns Risk profile based campaigns time limitation ( especially for commercials ) Limit the number of accounts per customer Sales Network Side Charging a fee from seller when Bad Debt occurs
  • 10.
    Our delinquent customerwill be delinquent … Collection plan SMS time decision Collection Calls predictive calling target system ( amount ) Direct Mailing Response Analysis best time/channel/customer Pre-legal settlement offers Recovery plan Maximize recovery amount Minimize costs Lawyers monitoring their performances monthly targets
  • 11.
    Summary Debt Management-> Maximize profit & reduce costs Debt Management = Reporting + Prediction + Prevention + Collection Data is very important for the Scorecard development. External data (Credit Bureau) Real-time vetting Credit Vetting = Scorecards +Policy Rules Solutions for Bad Debt = Prevention + Collection + Recovery Optimization of cost/revenue/time Customer level relationship Champion/Challenger Strategies
  • 12.