Andy J Gap analysis and crop wild relatives bellagio sept 2010

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Presentation made by Andy Jarvis in the workshop on Adapting agriculture to climate change: The role of crop wild relatives, in Bellagio, Italy, 7th-9th September 2010.

© Neil Palmer (CIAT) Gap Analysis Andy Jarvis, Julián Ramírez, Nora Castañeda, Robert Hijmans and Jacob Van Etten

Why Gap Analysis? Tool to assess crop and crop wild relative genetic and geographical diversity Allows detecting incomplete species collections as well as defining which species should be collected and where these collections should be focused Assesses the current extent at which the ex situ conservation system is correctly holding the genetic diversity of a particular genepool

To know what you don’t have, you first need to know what you do have….and that’s where things already get complex

The Gap Analysis process ,[object Object],Proxy for: ,[object Object]

Possibly biotic traitsProxy for: ,[object Object],Proxy for: ,[object Object],[object Object]

The Gap Analysis pathway Taxonomy review Data gathering Georeferentiaton Environmental data gathering Gap Analysis process Final recommendations

Geographic coverage: Potential P. leptostachyus

Conserved ex situ richness versus potential

“Validation”: The man versus the machine

Model priorities versus expert priorities

Gap Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object]

Taxon-level and genepool level priorities

Wild Vigna collecting priorities Spatial analysis on current conserved materials *Gaps* in current collections Definition and prioritisation of collecting areas 8 100x100km cells to complete collections of 23 wild Vigna priority species

Even better: resistance distance McRae, B.H. 2006. Isolation by resistance. Evolution 6(8), 1551-1561.

CWR supporting adaptation but also threatened by climate change

Conclusions and open-ended issues Gap analysis can focus priorities for collecting, and cost/benefit lies in collecting multiple genepools simultaneously But, analysis as good as input data If you can’t see the data, is the collection valid? Multiple methods available Key question: what is a “complete” collection?

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