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M2M AND INTERNET OF
THINGS (IOT)
OPPORTUNITIES FOR TELECOMS OPERATORS
Contents
Introduction	 					 p 3
Operators’ strategies for IoT are guided by three main motives	 p 4
M2M is a USD8 billion opportunity in Asia–Pacific that is
attracting the interest of the region’s CSPs	 		 p 6
Recent IoT investments show telecoms operators
(gradually) moving up the value chain 	 				 p 8
Telehealth remains a small but interesting vertical for
CSPs to target in the next 5 years 				 		 p10
LPWA: Established operators need to rethink their strategy
or risk failure	 					 p12
Telecoms operators need to maintain relevance in
M2M/IoT by building on their strengths 	 			 p14
Analysys Mason’s expertise in IoT and M2M			 p16
About Analysys Mason	 					 p18
Facing a relatively flat market for core
services, IoT and M2M is a rare bright
spot offering significant growth
potential and the opportunity to take a
role in new vertical markets, such as
automotive, healthcare and smart
cities. Operators though have many
challenges with IoT. Connectivity, the
entry point into IoT, is only one
component of a solution and one that
commands only a small share of
revenues. Operators are trying to
understand where and how to play a
role in IoT.
This brochure outlines some of our
thinking on these important topics,
and describes our past project
experience. Analysys Mason helps
clients in all geographies and parts of
the value chain to develop their
approach to IoT. Our assignments
range from rapid reviews of existing
plans to full strategy development.
The articles featured in the brochure
cover the following topics:
•	Operators’ strategies for IoT are 		
	 guided by three main motives. We 		
	 provide an overview of three 		
	 motivations that are driving the 		
	 telecoms sector’s involvement in IoT.
•	M2M is a USD8 billion opportunity in 	
	 Asia–Pacific that is attracting the 		
	 interest of the region’s CSPs. This 		
	 article explores the M2M market in 	
	 Asia–Pacific, and examines how 		
	 CSPs can pursue opportunities in a 	
	 variety of vertical markets.
•	Recent IoT investments show 		
	 telecoms operators (gradually) 		
	 moving up the value chain. We 		
	 explore what IoT investments by 		
	 telecoms operators tell us about 		
	 their involvement in IoT.
•	Telehealth remains a small but 		
	 interesting vertical for CSPs to 		
	 target in the next 5 years. This 		
	 article examines the telehealth 		
	 opportunity and the challenges for 	
	 CSPs entering the market.
•	LPWA: Established operators need 	
	 to rethink their strategy or risk 		
	 failure. Operators also need to 		
	 defend their core connectivity role. 	
	 This article builds on Clayton 		
	 Christensen’s thinking on disruptive 	
	 technology to illustrate how 		
	 telecoms operators can use LPWA 	
	 technology to their advantage.
•	Telecoms operators need to 		
	 maintain relevance in M2M/IoT by 		
	 building on their strengths. In this 		
	 piece, we look at how operators can 	
	 build on their own unique strengths 	
	 to maintain relevance in IoT.
We hope that you find these opinion
pieces and commentary of interest and
value. We welcome your feedback and
encourage you to contact the authors
directly if you would like to discuss any
of the points raised, or are looking to
understand how a specific issue or
trend will affect your business.
We look forward to working with you.
TOM REBBECK
Research Director
tom.rebbeck@analysysmason.com
Machine to machine (M2M) and the broader Internet
of Things (IoT) market represent a key opportunity
for telecoms operators.
Introduction
3
If claims for the Internet of Things (IoT)
are to be believed it will involve billions of
new connections,1
generate trillions of
dollars in economic value2
and have an
impact on every vertical market. Against
this expectation, telecoms operators
looking at their existing IoT-related
activities may feel underwhelmed.
Operators’ base of machine-to-machine
(M2M)/IoT-related connections is dwarfed
by their core business,3
and each M2M
SIM typically generates just a fraction of
the ARPU of a handset.
The IoT market is only just beginning to
emerge, and the telecoms industry (like
many other sectors) is just beginning to
understand how to address IoT. In this
article, we provide an overview of three
motives that are guiding the telecoms
sector’s involvement in IoT.
OFFERING MORE THAN CONNECTIVITY
IS LIKELY TO DILUTE MARGINS
An obvious ambition for an operator is to
earn a larger share of spend on IoT by
moving along the value chain. However, the
decision to provide more than connectivity
is not as straightforward as it may seem.
From estimates produced by Analysys
Mason (see Figure 1), operators may well
dilute their margins if they take on a wider
role in IoT, for example by providing a
complete solution that incorporates device,
application, service provision and
integration as well as connectivity.
If operators take up a different position in
the value chain they will also face new
competitors, from starts-ups to Internet
giants, against which they may have few
unique assets.5
All of this means that
operators are understandably cautious
when deciding where to invest in IoT.
Despite this caution, operators are
investing in IoT for three main reasons, as
outlined below. They are moving up the
value chain in all three cases, but they
are not necessarily doing this to create
incremental margin: their motivations are
often more closely tied to the core
connectivity business.
4
Operators’ strategies for IoT are
guided by three main motives
An obvious ambition for an operator is to earn a
larger share of spend on IoT by moving along the value
chain. However, the decision to provide more than
connectivity is not as straightforward as it may seem.
“
” TOM REBBECK
Research Director
An obvious ambition for an
operator is to earn a larger share of
spend on IoT by moving along the
value chain.
“
”
FIGURE 1: GENERIC VALUE CHAIN FOR IOT SERVICES, INCLUDING SHARE OF VALUE AND
TYPICAL EBIT MARGIN FOR EACH COMPONENT4
[SOURCE: ANALYSYS MASON, 2015]
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
2012
1
Note: Singapore % of country total international internet bandwidth
2013 2014 2015E
GBPmillion
TV
Press
Radio
Cinema
Internet
150
200
250
300
nutesperday
Viewing minutes per day, UK (2014)
% of total daily minutes
David
Andrew
Tom
(37%)1 (28%) 1
Indonesia (18%)1
(58%)1 Hong Kong
Thailand
(26%)1
(16%)1
Bangladesh
Singapore
Malaysia
India
Connectivity
Description
Offer the
network for
transmission
of data from
IoT services
5–30% 5–20% 30–60% 20–30% <20%
~10% <5% 0–30% 0–10% 10%
Offer the
end-user
module,
with an
embedded
M2M chipset
Manage the
distribution,
supply chain,
fulfilment,
billing and
support
Provide system
integration
services
Design/
develop
systems
Provide the
actual
applications
that manage
the data
collected by
the device
Approximate
EBIT margin
Approximate
share of value
Device Application
Service
provision
Systems
integration
Traditional TV 81%
DVR 8%
Internet and
other 11%
100%
MOTIVE 1: USE IOT TO GENERATE NEW
CONNECTIVITY REVENUE, ESPECIALLY
IN AUTOMOTIVE
The connected-car market involves
millions of new mobile connections, each
of which could create demand for large
quantities of data, making it one of the
few M2M segments with high ARPUs.6
This makes it an attractive opportunity for
operators, purely on the grounds of
connectivity revenue. In Q3 2015 alone,
AT&T added more than 1 million new cars
to its network, taking the total to 5.8
million.7
By the end of 2020, Analysys
Mason expects that more than 250 million
passenger vehicles will have embedded
connectivity.8
Operators’ aim is to win new connectivity
contracts with car companies. They will
do this by competing on the usual
parameters (i.e. coverage and connectivity
price) but also by providing the
manufacturers with additional services
such as security, and even providing apps
from third parties, as AT&T is doing with
Drive. Operators may generate some
upside from these additional services, but
their central motivation is to win (and
defend) connectivity contracts, rather
than earn incremental revenue or margin.
MOTIVE 2: USE IOT TO SUPPORT AND
DEFEND EXISTING BUSINESS
The second motive for exploring IoT is to
protect existing connectivity revenue.
Smart-home services are one area that
operators like AT&T, Comcast, Deutsche
Telekom (DT) and others are
experimenting with. We do not believe
that the central motive is, or should be, to
generate significant incremental income
or margin from these propositions.9
However, by offering a smart-home
solution, an operator may be able to
defend its core broadband revenue,
protect against churn and help to justify
price increases.
MOTIVE 3: USE IOT TO ENTER NEW
VERTICAL MARKETS
In some sectors, potential connectivity
revenue alone is not enough to attract the
interest of operators. Consequently, they
are exploring ways to generate revenue
from deeper involvement in vertical
market solutions.
An example of this is healthcare. As
shown by Analysys Mason’s research,10
the volume of IoT connections from
healthcare will be low – even by 2020,
there will probably be fewer than 50
million health devices with a dedicated
connection, and the average volume of
data used by these devices will be
relatively low. Purely in terms of
connectivity revenue, healthcare does not
warrant investment. However, Telstra,
Telefónica, DT and others are attempting
to move up the value chain by offering a
platform of connectivity, hosting, security,
BSS and analytics that can be opened up
to healthcare companies. Most operators
are not providing end-to-end health
solutions, as this is typically left to
healthcare specialists. Instead, they are
trying to generate incremental revenue
on top of connectivity by building on
aspects where they already have scale.
WE EXPECT TELECOMS OPERATOR
THINKING ON IOT TO MATURE FURTHER
IN 2016
In 2016, we expect to see operators
mature in their thinking regarding which
aspects of IoT to address, and which to
leave alone. Connectivity is likely to
remain central to operator strategies,
either as the main focus (as with the
connected car) or as the entry point for
providing a complete solution (as in
healthcare). Despite their different
motives, operators are broadly following a
similar approach – by combining
connectivity and other core capabilities
(such as security and BSS) as part of a
platform which can be open to third
parties that can further enhance the
offering.11
Analysys Mason helps clients in all
geographies and parts of the value chain
to develop their approach to IoT. Our
assignments range from rapid reviews of
existing plans to full strategy
development.
5
1
For example, Huawei is predicting 100 billion
connected devices by 2025; see http://www.
huawei.com/minisite/gci/en/index.html.
2
For example, Cisco has predicted that USD14.4
trillion of value is at stake; see http://
internetofeverything.cisco.com/sites/default/files/
docs/en/ioe-value-index_FAQs.pdf.
3
Analysys Mason estimates that M2M accounted
for fewer than 4% of mobile connections
worldwide at the end of 2015, and just over 1% of
total connectivity revenue.
4
The value chain, share of value and EBIT margin
will all vary considerably by IoT service.
9
And, in any case, many of the underlying
solutions (such as locks, heating or security) will
be provided or supported by partners, which will
limit operators’ share of the revenue.
10
See The outlook for telehealth: opportunities for
CSPs, available at http://www.analysysmason.
com/Research/Content/Reports/telehealth-
opportunity-CSPs-Sep2015-RDME0/#07%20
September%202015.
11
For further discussion on how platforms can
form part of an operator’s approach to IoT and
M2M, see http://www.analysysmason.com/
Research/Content/Reports/M2M-IoT-operators-
approaches-May2015/#12%20May%202015.
5
For discussion of an operator assets in M2M and
IoT, see Operators’ strengths in M2M and IoT may
lie beyond ownership of network or spectrum
assets, at http://www.analysysmason.com/
About-Us/News/Insight/M2M-operator-strengths-
Nov2014/.
6
For example, Tesla’s over-the-air firmware
upgrades are typically multiple gigabytes in size.
7
See http://www.att.com/Investor/Earnings/3q15/
ib_final_3q15.pdf.
8
See http://www.analysysmason.com/Research/
Content/Reports/connected-cars-forecast-
Jun2014-RDME0/.
Questions?
Please feel free to contact
Tom Rebbeck, Research Director, at
tom.rebbeck@analysysmason.com
Revenue from mobile M2M will grow by
an estimated USD8.0 billion during
2013–2019 in Asia–Pacific, and will help
to compensate for a decline in the
revenue generated by mobile voice,
mobile messaging, and fixed voice and
narrowband services, which will contract
by USD17.4 billion during the same
period (see Figure 1). This is one of the
key findings from our strategic report
M2M in Asia–Pacific: market
opportunities and challenges for CSPs,
which discusses the dynamic and diverse
M2M market in Asia–Pacific, and
examines how CSPs can pursue IoT and
M2M opportunities in a variety of vertical
markets. This article summarises some
of the headlines from this report.
M2M WILL ADD USD8 BILLION IN
CUMULATIVE SERVICE REVENUE TO
THE VALUE OF THE ASIA–PACIFIC
TELECOMS MARKET DURING 2013–2019
Revenue from mobile M2M will help to
compensate CSPs for a decline in the
revenue generated by mobile voice,
mobile messaging, and fixed voice and
narrowband services, which will contract
by USD17.4 billion during the same period.
In the developed Asia–Pacific region,
CSPs’ share of mobile M2M service
revenue will amount to USD2.0 billion
between 2013 and 2019
The number of cellular M2M device
connections in developed Asia–Pacific
(DVAP) will increase from 18.3 million in
2014 to 59.2 million in 2019, at a CAGR of
26.4%. The strong adoption of M2M in
DVAP is partly driven by the high cost of
labour, where the monthly average wage
is about 4.5 times higher than in
emerging Asia–Pacific (EMAP). The
business case for deploying an M2M
solution to improve the efficiency of
business processes is justified when the
cost of deploying an M2M solution is less
expensive than the equivalent cost of
manpower. It is easier for firms to make
an M2M business case in markets where
wages are higher – as they are in DVAP.
In the emerging Asia–Pacific region,
CSPs’ share of mobile M2M service
revenue will reach USD6.0 billion during
2013–2019
The number of cellular M2M device
connections in EMAP will increase from
63.1 million in 2014 to 250 million in 2019,
at a CAGR of 31.6%. Growth in the M2M
market in EMAP is largely driven by
China, while M2M adoption in other
countries in the region is slower.
Government led initiatives and policies
will drive the adoption of M2M in
countries like India and Indonesia.
2,9392,831
2,477
2,093
938
887
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Other broadcasters
and multichannel
Film / sport channels
PSBs (including
portfolio channels)
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
2012 2013 2014 2015E
GBPmillion
TV
Press
Radio
Cinema
Internet
+9%
2013 2014
1000
10000
Kbps)
2G
3G
4G
Technology
76.5
21.7
20.1
9.0
8.0 1.8 3.6
12.0
122.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Mobilehandsetdata
Fixedbroadband
andIPTV
Mobilebroadband
Business
networkservices
MobileM2M
Mobilevoice
Mobilemessaging
Fixedvoice
andnarrowband
Totalretail
Revenuegrowth(USDbillion)
M2M is a USD8 billion
opportunity in Asia–Pacific
that is attracting the
interest of the region’s CSPs
6
MORGAN MULLOOLY
AnalystM2M business is an attractive option for
communications service providers (CSPs) that
are aiming to develop new revenue streams
from the digital economy.
”
“
FIGURE 1: TELECOMS RETAIL REVENUE GROWTH BY SERVICE TYPE, ASIA–PACIFIC, 2013–2019
[SOURCE: ANALYSYS MASON, 2015]
SEVERAL FACTORS HAVE ALIGNED TO
MAKE IT A SUITABLE TIME FOR CSPS IN
ASIA–PACIFIC TO DEVELOP AN M2M
LINE OF BUSINESS
Three of the factors that will drive the
adoption of M2M in Asia–Pacific are as
follows:
•	 In the private sector, the pursuit for a 	
	 competitive edge is driving companies 	
	 to invest in connected machinery, 		
	 equipment, products and services: 		
	 Companies in Asia–Pacific are 		
	 determined to remain competitive 		
	 within the worldwide economy, and 		
	 want to use M2M to add more features 	
	 and value to their offerings, rather than 	
	 simply as a means to compete on price. 	
	 To give just one example, Vodafone is 		
	 helping ICE – a Chinese cleaning 		
	 equipment company – to compete with 	
	 western market leaders, on more than 	
	 just price. M2M connectivity helps ICE 	
	 make its equipment smart and 		
	 connected, and helps ICE develop a 		
	 reputation for advanced high quality 		
	 machinery outside of its domestic 		
	market.
•	 Many governmental agencies in 		
	 Asia–Pacific are promoting the 		
	 adoption of M2M: Many Asia–Pacific 		
	 countries, including China, India, 		
	 Malaysia and Singapore, have 		
	 formulated national M2M policies and 	
	 policy roadmaps to promote M2M 		
	 deployment to improve the lives of 		
	 citizens in their cities and to also boost 	
	 industrial activity.1
•	 Consumer demand for smart 		
	 connected products is rising: 		
	 Consumer demand for digital lifestyle 	
	 goods and services (such as connected 	
	 cars and smart homes) is increasing as 	
	 mobile broadband connectivity 		
	 becomes more ubiquitous in the region.
CSPS NEED TO UNDERSTAND MANY
CHALLENGES ASSOCIATED WITH
PROVIDING M2M SERVICES IN
ASIA–PACIFIC
Three challenges affecting the ability of
CSPs to provide M2M services in the
APAC region are:
•	 The regulations around M2M – 		
	 including roaming, taxation and data 		
	 usage – are prohibitive or unclear in 		
	 many countries: Regulators and 		
	 governments impose various conditions 	
	 on M2M service providers that relate to 	
	 roaming, customer data and 		
	 communications, taxation, lawful 		
	 interception, access to premises, and 	
	 other issues. Uncertainty over the 		
	 regulatory feasibility of deploying 		
	 telecoms and cloud-based services in a 	
	 given country can often lead to delays.
•	 Many CSPs do not have wide network 	
	 coverage, which is essential for some 	
	 M2M applications, such as asset 		
	 tracking: The breadth and quality of 		
	 cellular infrastructure varies 		
	 significantly by country in Asia–Pacific. 	
	 Satellite service providers such as 		
	 Iridium Communications and Orbcomm 	
	 are rapidly expanding their M2M 		
	 activities and are well placed to win 		
	 M2M contracts in the APAC M2M 		
	 market because they can boast 		
	 more-extensive geographical coverage 	
	 than mobile CSPs, which have mainly 	
	 focused on urban coverage – 		
	 particularly in EMAP.
•	 CSPs will need to be cautious when 		
	 choosing to partner with local or 		
	 worldwide players, judging each 		
	 opportunity on its own merits: Local 		
	 partner solutions are often very simple 	
	 and straightforward, but are still a good 	
	 fit for the local requirements. However, 	
	 in many countries in Asia–Pacific there 	
	 are only a few local partners in some 		
	 parts of the value chain, including 		
	 application service providers and 		
	 application enablement platforms 		
	 providers. Worldwide players’ solutions 	
	 generally have more-advanced 		
	 features, but end users in the local 		
	 market may not need them.
7
Questions?
Please feel free to contact
Morgan Mullooly, Analyst, at
morgan.mullooly@analysysmason.com
1
For example see http://www.analysysmason.com/
Research/Content/Comments/M2M-roadmap-
India-Apr2015-RDME0-RDRP0/
The number of cellular M2M
device connections in developed
Asia–Pacific (DVAP) will increase
from 18.3 million in 2014 to
59.2 million in 2019, at a CAGR
of 26.4%.
“
”
TOM REBBECK
Research DirectorRecent investments by telecoms operators are
encouraging, but more are needed for operators
to make significant moves along the value chain.
8
Recent IoT investments
show telecoms operators
(gradually) moving up the
value chain
”
“
In mid-2014, when Analysys Mason
reviewed more than 100 Internet of
Things (IoT) investments and M&A deals,
only 5 of these involved telecoms
operators (and 4 of these were Vodafone
investments). At the time, we discussed
the gap between telecoms operators’
stated ambition to move up the value
chain and their actions (or lack of them).
In 2015, however, the picture is changing.
In the first half of 2015 alone, at least
eight telecoms operators have made one
or more investments in an IoT company
(with notable activity summarised in the
table below). So, what do the latest
investments tell us about telecoms
operators’ involvement in IoT?
•	 Telecoms operators are cautiously 		
	 exploring a different role in the value 		
	chain. Investments in SIGFOX look like 	
	 defensive moves by telecoms operators 	
	 trying to shore up future connectivity 		
	 revenue. All other investments (and 		
	 arguably even the SIGFOX deal) look 		
	 like an attempt to branch out from 		
	 commodity connectivity revenues.
•	 There is still no standard approach for 	
	 telecoms operators in IoT or digital 		
	 economy initiatives. The investments 		
	 made by telecoms operators are hard 	
	 to classify, with no obvious common 		
	 theme emerging. Investments have 		
	 been made in horizontal capabilities 		
	 (e.g. investments in Actility and 		
	 Springworks are essentially about 		
	 gaining capabilities that can be applied 	
	 to multiple vertical markets). 		
	 Investments by Telstra (in health), 		
	 Orange (in fleet management) and 		
	
	 before them by Vodafone and Verizon 		
	 (in automotive) illustrate the diversity of 	
	 opinion over what position to take in the 	
	 value chain, or which verticals to
	 focus on.
•	 Telecoms operators are still marginal 	
	 players in IoT investment and M&A. 		
	 According to some estimates, over 		
	
	 USD10 billion has been invested in IoT 	
	 companies or acquisitions in 2015 		
	 (though some of these estimates 		
	 include deals in which IoT was only a 		
	 small part). Telecoms operator 		
	 investment in IoT over the same period 	
	 was well under USD100 million. Only 		
	 Vodafone, Verizon and Telstra have 		
	 made significant bets on IoT.
KPN, Orange,
Swisscom
Telstra
Orange
Telefónica,
NTT DoCoMo,
SK Telecom
TeliaSonera
Actility
Anywhere
Healthcare
Ocean
SIGFOX
Springworks
USD25 million funding
round1
Acquisition of unit by
Telstra. No pricing
information provided3
Acquisition by Orange4
USD115 million funding
round5
Equity investment (with
TeliaSonera reportedly
taking a 30% stake). No
pricing information
provided6
Actility is developing a
platform of services
around the LoRa
low-power wide area
networking technology2
Videoconference
platform for remote
healthcare. Telstra has
made at least seven
investments in health
companies, spending
over USD100 million
Fleet management
company with over 2000
clients
The telecoms operators
invested alongside other
industrial and pure
financial investors
Springworks has
developed interfaces for
IoT and has an IoT data
analytics platform
Telecoms
operator
investor(s)
Target Investment
details
Notes
FIGURE 1: NOTABLE M2M AND IOT INVESTMENTS BY TELECOMS OPERATORS IN 2015
[SOURCE: ANALYSYS MASON, 2015]
The absence of more significant
investment in IoT from telecoms
operators is due to various reasons.
For example:
•	 Many telecoms operators lack a clear 	
	 vision for their role in IoT. As we said in 	
	 a recent paper, many telecoms 		
	 operators still appear to be taking a 		
	 tactical and ad-hoc approach to M2M 	
	 and IoT.
•	 In comparison to the core business of 	
	 basic voice, data and messaging, IoT 		
	 and M2M are still relatively small. Few 	
	 operators earn more than 5% of their 	
	 total revenue from IoT and M2M 		
	 services. As a result, IoT and M2M 		
	 teams may have little management 		
	 attention and access to only limited 		
	resources.
•	 As well as the obvious financial cost, 	
	 M&A and investment activities are 		
	 time consuming and can be a 		
	 distraction from operators’ day-to-day 	
	business.
•	 Operators have been unsuccessful at 	
	 M&A in the past and want to avoid 		
	 repeating their mistakes. Although 		
	 successful M&A activity between 		
	 telecoms operators is relatively 		
	 common, many of them have a poor 		
	 track record of purchasing or investing 	
	 in non-network companies.
The extent of telecoms operators’
involvement in IoT cannot be judged
purely on the basis of their M&A or
investment activity: other activity, such as
partnerships and internal developments,
also need to be considered. However, with
the exception of a handful of telecoms
operators, the lack of investment activity
indicates an unwillingness to commit to
strategies that generate more than
connectivity revenues. The recent
investments by telecoms operators are
encouraging indications, but more are
needed for operators to make significant
moves along the value chain.
Analysys Mason is active in IoT and in
providing transaction support. As well as
working on more than 20 IoT projects for
clients in the past year, we also publish
research as part of our IoT and M2M
Solutions programme. During the past
five years we have worked on more than
200 due diligence assignments across the
telecoms, media and technology (TMT)
sectors.
9
In the first half of 2015 alone, at
least eight telecoms operators have
made one or more investments in an
IoT company.
“
”
1
See http://www.thingpark.com/en/news/
internet-things-specialist-actility-announces-25-
million-funding-round-led-ginko-ventures-kpn-0
2
See http://lora-alliance.org/What-Is-LoRa/
Technology for more information on the LoRa
Alliance and technology.
3
See http://www.telstra.com.au/aboutus/media/
media-releases/telstra-health-secures-operation-
of-medibanks-anywhere-healthcare.xml
6
See http://www.teliasonera.com/en/newsroom/
news/2015/teliasonera-invests-in-renowned-
swedish-iot-firm-springworks-/
4
See http://www.orange.com/en/press/
Press-releases/press-releases-2015/
Orange-Business-Services-acquires-Ocean-to-
strengthen-its-vehicle-fleet-management-
activities
5
See http://www.businesswire.com/news/
home/20150211005248/en/SIGFOX-Global-Leader-
Internet-Connectivity-Secures-Record#.
VYvZLvlViko
Questions?
Please feel free to contact
Tom Rebbeck, Research Director, at
tom.rebbeck@analysysmason.com
10
MICHELE MACKENZIE
Principal AnalystThe telehealth market, long identified as a
significant opportunity for communications service
providers (CSPs), has been slow to gain traction.
Telehealth remains a small
but interesting vertical for
CSPs to target in the next
5 years
“
”The technical capabilities to support the
telehealth market have long been in
place, but regulatory concerns, coupled
with supply-side issues such as business
models, have restricted market growth.
Most early movers have struggled to build
and scale their telehealth offerings
beyond the pilot phase. We estimate that
there were only around 0.7 million remote
patient monitoring connections globally in
2013, a small fraction of the total 500
million machine-to-machine (M2M)
connections. To stimulate market growth,
CSPs will need to invest in platforms to
support telehealth services, make
long-term commitments and prepare for
long-term returns. The rest of this article
examines the persistent barriers to CSPs
entering the market, and the opportunity
that telehealth may present for CSPs in
the long term.
NEAR TERM BARRIERS TO TELEHEALTH
ADOPTION REMAIN
The traditional healthcare market has
provided significant communications and
IT services opportunities for CSPs. Some
CSPs, such as Orange and Deutsche
Telekom, have been very successful in
targeting this vertical. However,
telehealth applications face new
challenges, few of which are technical.
CSPs face a fragmented demand-side
healthcare market, and the key
challenges impacting telehealth
adoption are:
•	 Funding and reimbursement:
healthcare systems tend to be
decentralised and fragmented, often
making it difficult to source funding
for telehealth delivery models. In
addition, healthcare providers may
not be reimbursed by insurers or
payers for telehealth services
because medical procedures outside
of healthcare facilities are not always
formally recognised.
•	 Scale: it has been difficult to scale
products and solutions for a number
of reasons. For example, each
healthcare authority has different
requirements with regard to medical
devices, most of which operate
proprietary interfaces and can be
costly to integrate. There are few
proof points of large-scale
deployments of remote patient
monitoring, making it difficult to
prove the business case.
•	 Regulation: there is stringent,
well-established regulation around
medical devices in most markets, but
new delivery mechanisms require
new regulation. The regulation
governing patient data is also a
major concern, specifically how to
protect it in a more open market
where data is shared with application
providers.
All of these factors have served to create
market uncertainty, making it difficult for
providers to formulate a telehealth
strategy.
CSPS ENTERING THE TELEHEALTH
MARKET WILL NEED TO FORMULATE A
LONG-TERM STRATEGY
Governments and healthcare
stakeholders are seeking to transform
the healthcare sector in many developed
markets to curb the spiralling costs of
provision. The sector recognises that
telehealth applications have the potential
to address some of the weaknesses in the
current approach to delivering healthcare
services and introduce more sustainable
delivery models, but these changes will
take many years to happen: CSPs
entering the healthcare sector will need
to plan for the long term.
11
PLATFORM SERVICE PROVIDER
• Connectivity plus value add
• Technical and commercial value add
• B2B and B2C
• High risk, high visibility
• Healthcare provider?
ENABLER PLATFORM PROVIDER
• Connectivity management plus some
value add, such as data, BSS
• Own solution or partner
• Low to medium risk
• Some joint marketing
•
•
•
•
CONNECTIVITY PROVIDER
Connectivity
Low Risk
Low visibility role
Customer market the service
FIGURE 1: CSP ROLES IN THE TELEHEALTH VALUE CHAIN
[SOURCE: ANALYSYS MASON, 2015]
CSPs may adopt different strategies for
different applications or customer
groups. Telehealth is a highly complex
market and to move up the value chain
requires significant long-term
investment. Forging relationships in the
complex and fragmented ecosystem is
not easy and CSPs will need to develop
strategic partnerships for capabilities
such as devices, systems integration and
medical expertise. There are three main
routes to market which are illustrated in
Figure 1, and which are discussed in
more detail below:
•	 Connectivity provider: this is a
low-risk, but low-visibility (and
lower-value) role in the value chain,
and is subject to fierce competition
and low returns. Connection volumes
are not sufficient to generate large
revenues, hence connectivity is a
low-value opportunity in healthcare.
However, it also requires low
investment and may scale for certain
target customer groups such as the
pharmaceutical market.
•	 Enabler platform provider: this
is a low-to-medium risk role and
requires more investment with
regard to leveraging platform
capabilities such as data storage and
business support systems (BSS) as
well as partnership building. It is an
attractive role for CSPs as it
generates higher value, but will also
be subject to intense competition.
Maxis Malaysia has adopted this
strategy for its remote patient
monitoring service. Maxis Malaysia
has adopted this strategy for its
remote patient monitoring service.
•	 Platform service provider: this role
involves significant long-term
investment and will most likely
require senior-level backing. CSPs
will need to consider partnerships
and acquisitions to bring services to
market. They will adopt a more
holistic approach to providing a
platform of technical and
commercial capabilities to support
the healthcare ecosystem. Operators
including Deutsche Telekom,
Telefónica and Telstra are moving
towards a platform service model.
The telehealth market is complex and
adoption is slow, and will likely remain a
niche M2M sector for the foreseeable
future. Any CSP entering the sector
should take a long-term view on strategy
and be prepared for some failures along
the way. Connectivity alone is not much
of an opportunity and success will
require investment and long-term
horizons.
CSPs that intend to play higher up the
telehealth value chain will need to
commit long term, invest significant
technological and commercial assets
and look for synergies across the
different application groups that they
provide. They should also consider
partnerships and acquisitions to bring
end-to-end services to market.
Questions?
Please feel free to contact
Michele Mackenzie, Principal Analyst,
atmichele.mackenzie@analysysmason.com
TOM REBBECK
Research Director
LPWA: Established
operators need to
rethink their strategy
or risk failure
12
Operators need to accelerate their commitment
to LPWA and structure their organisations to match
the opportunity.
”
“
Low-power, wide-area (LPWA) networks
are a hot topic among telecoms
operators. All of the major established
telecoms operators are experimenting
with various forms of this new technology.
However, many of these efforts risk
failure, unless these operators take a new
approach. To benefit from this disruptive
technology, companies need to accelerate
commitments and structure their
organisation to match the opportunity.
This article builds on Clayton
Christensen’s thinking on disruptive
technology to illustrate how telecoms
operators can use LPWA technology to
their advantage.
THE INNOVATOR’S DILEMMA –
OPERATORS ARE SLOW TO COMMIT TO
LPWA BECAUSE THEY ARE UNCERTAIN
ABOUT ITS POTENTIAL
In his book, The Innovator’s Dilemma,
Clayton Christensen describes how new
technology has disrupted many industries
and established companies have failed to
react as ably as smaller start-up
companies.
The development of LPWA networks fits
many of the conditions described by
Christensen.
•	 “The larger and more successful a 		
	 company becomes, the weaker the 		
	 argument that emerging markets can 	
	 remain useful engines for growth”.1
		
	 LPWA could generate connectivity 		
	 revenue of just USD1 per connection 		
	 per year. This is likely to seem too 		
	 small to be worthwhile for telecoms 		
	 operators that earn billions of US 		
	
	 dollars in revenue per year from 		
	 existing business. Even if established 	
	 players launch LPWA, scepticism about 	
	 the market potential within the 		
	 business may undermine these efforts, 	
	 for example if the product development 	
	 or marketing support that it needs are 	
	 denied. The counter argument is that 	
	 LPWA networks may open entirely 		
	 different, new markets, which could 		
	 involve billions of devices. With the right
	 support, investing in LPWA could give 	
	 established players more options in
	 the future.
•	 “Incumbent firms are likely to lag in 		
	 the development of technologies that 	
	 only address customers’ needs in 		
	 emerging [opportunities]”. Again, this 	
	 can be applied to LPWA networks. 		
	 Operators have concentrated on 		
	 migrating to 4G, driven by the needs of 	
	 mobile handsets, while the demands 		
	 from new markets are given less 		
	 priority (see Figure 1).
•	 “The essence of the attacker’s 		
	 advantage is the ease with which 		
	 entrants, relative to incumbents, can 	
	 identify and make strategic 		
	commitments”. For a smaller company,
	 like SIGFOX in France, exploiting a 		
	 disruptive technology is simpler than 		
	 for larger players, such as major 		
	 telecoms operators. Start-up 		
	 companies do not have revenue from a 	
	 legacy business and are therefore 		
	 excited about new revenue 			
	 opportunities, even if they are (initially 	
	 at least) relatively small. Perhaps more 	
	 importantly, start-up companies can 		
	 focus on what these new markets 		
	 require. They are not focused on 		
	 moving to the top right of Figure 1.
2,9392,831
2,477
2,093
938
887
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Other broadcasters
and multichannel
Film / sport channels
PSBs (including
portfolio channels)
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
2012 2013 2014 2015E
GBPmillion
TV
Press
Radio
Cinema
Internet
+9%
2013 2014
1
10
100
1000
10000
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Throughput(Kbps)
2G
3G
4G
LPWA
Voice
Basic web browsing
Streaming video
Basic IoT
Technology
Example uses
76.5
21.7
20.1
9.0
8.0 1.8 3.6
12.0
122.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Mobilehandsetdata
Fixedbroadband
andIPTV
Mobilebroadband
Business
networkservices
MobileM2M
Mobilevoice
Mobilemessaging
Fixedvoice
andnarrowband
Totalretail
Revenuegrowth(USDbillion)
FIGURE 1: TYPICAL PERFORMANCE OF 2G, 3G, 4G AND LPWA RELATIVE TO EXAMPLE USES2,3
[SOURCE: ANALYSYS MASON, 2015]
13
1
In this context, Christensen means ‘emerging
market’ in the sense of emerging opportunities,
not countries.
2
Note that the chart is illustrative. It is populated
with what we consider to be a reasonable estimate
of typical speeds and not actual data.
3
The basic design of this chart is based on that of
similar charts created by Christensen in his work
on disruptive innovation.
4
The only established operators to have launched
commercial networks that we are aware of are
Bouygues, KPN, Proximus, Tele2 (through AEREA
in the Netherlands) and Telkom SA (through
FastNet). Swisscom has launched a trial network
in a few cities.
5
This is not just an issue for telecoms operators.
SIGFOX licensees (such as Abertis in Spain and
Arqiva in the UK) are launching services from
within the parent organisation.
Questions?
Please feel free to contact
Tom Rebbeck, Research Director, at
tom.rebbeck@analysysmason.com
Operators that are bold and
willing to support LPWA with
the requisite resources could find
themselves well positioned to
exploit this opportunity.
“
”
ESTABLISHED OPERATORS CAN MAKE
LPWA WORK IF THEY RESPOND
CORRECTLY
Christensen provides recommendations
for how established companies should
respond to new disruptive technologies.
Again, these can be applied to LPWA.
•	 “In disruptive technologies, there are 	
	 strong first-mover advantages”. 		
	 Christensen argues that when dealing 	
	 with disruptive technologies, 		
	 established players should not assume 	
	 that they will be able to catch up when 	
	 the new market has been proven. To 		
	 benefit from the disruptive technology, 	
	 the established player needs to be an 	
	 early adopter.
•	 “Match the size of the organisation to 	
	 the size of the market”. Christensen 		
	 advises companies to set up separate 	
	 divisions that will get excited about the 	
	 opportunity, rather than trying to chase 	
	 the opportunity using legacy structures.
	 A USD10 000 contract is small for an 		
	 established player, but a major contract 	
	 win for a start-up. Rather than launch 	
	 LPWA services as part of the core 		
	 enterprise team, operators should 		
	 consider creating a separate division or 	
	 company to pursue the opportunity.
•	 “The popular slogan ‘stay close to your 	
	 customers’ appears not always to be 	
	 robust advice”. Christensen suggests 	
	 that rather than focus on the needs of 	
	 current customers, who will probably 	
	 want more performance from existing 	
	 products, companies should search out 	
	 new opportunities from different types 	
	 of customers.
Few established telecoms operators are
following this advice in terms of their
approach to LPWA.4
Only a small number
are early adopters of LPWA. Of those that
have launched a network, only Telkom in
South Africa has placed it in a separate
division and its LoRa network is operated
by its FastNet division (a company of 200
people compared to 20 000 in the
parent).5
Many operators have separate
M2M teams, but these teams may not
have the required autonomy or
independence to build and exploit a new
type of network. Equally, most operators,
when faced with a choice between
meeting the needs of existing customers
or investing in LPWA, are choosing the
former (that is, most operators would
invest an additional EUR10 million in 4G
upgrades rather than LPWA).
The potential opportunity for LPWA is
huge and could be greater than
traditional cellular in terms of numbers
of connections. That said, it is emerging
new market that is full of uncertainty.
Operators that are bold and willing to
support LPWA with the requisite
resources could find themselves well
positioned to exploit this opportunity.
For other established players, making
a delayed commitment or making
LPWA fight against the core business
for resources, are likely to see their
efforts fail.
14
Telecoms operators need
to maintain relevance
in M2M/IoT by building
on their strengths
TOM REBBECK
Research DirectorOperators’ retail stores, 24/7 support capabilities
and ability to bill millions of customers may be more
valuable than network ownership in the IoT market.
”
“
Telecoms operators could find their role in
the Internet of Things (IoT) reduced to that
of a managed connectivity provider
because they lack expertise in the ‘things’
– that is, products. In this article, Tom
Rebbeck looks at how operators can fill
this knowledge gap and build on their own
unique strengths to maintain relevance
TELECOMS OPERATORS COULD BE
MARGINALISED IN THE IOT MARKET IF
THE ‘THINGS’ ARE MORE CRITICAL
THAN THE INTERNET
“What makes smart, connected products
fundamentally different is not the Internet,
but the changing nature of the ‘things,’”
claim Michael Porter and James E.
Heppelmann in a recent article for Harvard
Business Review (HBR).1
Telecoms
operators face a significant challenge if
the Internet of Things (IoT) is more about
the ‘thing’ than the Internet. They may
aspire to increase machine-to-machine
(M2M) and IoT revenue – particularly by
selling more than just connectivity – but
they know and understand the Internet,
and not ‘things’.
The risk for telecoms operators is that
companies with a background in ‘things’
will marginalise their role in the IoT market
to little more than the provision of
managed connectivity. They will be
competing with companies like PTC, whose
CEO co-authored the HBR article with
Porter. PTC develops product design and
product lifecycle software, and has spent
about USD300 million since 2013 acquiring
two IoT platform companies –Axeda and
ThingWorx. Other than Verizon, and
possibly Vodafone, no telecoms operator
has spent more on IoT acquisitions.
TO PLAY MORE THAN A PERIPHERAL
ROLE, OPERATORS NEED TO FOCUS ON
THEIR UNIQUE STRENGTHS
First and foremost, operators need to
decide and articulate what role they aim
to play in IoT. Many are unable to
articulate their aims in this market
clearly, other than the generic ambition of
increasing revenue. They have two broad
choices, outlined below. Operators should
be clear about which choice they have
selected and communicate this choice
clearly both to the market and internally.
•	 Become a ‘thing’ company, at least in 	
	 certain vertical markets: Operators 		
	 can opt to provide an end-to-end 		
	 solution to customers. For example, 		
	 they could provide a fleet tracking 		
	 solution that includes the device, 		
	 application, connectivity and ongoing 		
	 support for small and medium-sized 		
	 enterprises (SMEs) that run a small 		
	 vehicle fleet. The operator would need 	
	 to have specific knowledge of a vertical 	
	 – either internally (typically through 		
	 acquisitions, as Verizon and Vodafone 	
	 have done) or through a partner (as 		
	 Telefónica is doing for fleet 			
	 management with Geotab and Masternaut).
•	 Provide ‘horizontal’ solutions for IoT to
	 support a range of vertical markets: 		
	 Operators can provide the supporting 	
	 capabilities for IoT, such as offering an 	
	 application platform that can be applied
	 to multiple industrial sectors. For 		
	 example, the operator could provide the 	
	 tools with which a partner or reseller 	
	 could create a fleet tracking tool, but 		
	 the operator would not sell or support 	
	 this tool. Many operators are selling 		
	 managed connectivity as a horizontal 		
	 tool, but few are doing more than this 	
	 (few are providing application support, 	
	 for example). Again, this route can be 	
	 taken through partners – PTC is one of 	
	 several application platform providers2
	
	 – or through acquisition (Telenor 		
	 Connexion bought a small integrator, 		
	 iOWA, to build its horizontal capabilities).
Operators also need to invest in networks
that are fit for the IoT. Cellular operators
have focused on building networks for
smartphones – that is, devices that
demand ever higher bandwidths and
whose batteries can be recharged daily.
Many, if not most, IoT devices need only
very low-speed connections (1Kbps is
often acceptable), but need the battery to
last a year or more. Operators in all
countries (and not just developed
countries) should look at investing in
low-power, wide-area networks, such as
Sigfox, Semtech, Weightless or LTE-MTC,
that cater for the specific needs of IoT
devices.3
If they do not, operators risk
losing the connectivity revenue and, in so
doing, possibly lose the opportunity to
gain other IoT revenue.
Telecoms operators have extremely strong
assets beyond networks that can be
applied to M2M and IoT, as we argued in a
recent article.4
Few other organisations
can complete with a typical operator’s
networks of stores, 24/7 support
capabilities and the ability to bill millions
of customers. These assets may be more
valuable than network ownership because
many IoT devices need little more than a
Wi-Fi connection and no quality of service
guarantee for some IoT services.
Telecoms operators may not have the
same background expertise in products
as some other organisations involved in
IoT, but they can gain these capabilities
– either through partnership or
acquisition – and have other unique
strengths on which to build.
Analysys Mason has supported operator
clients on more than 20 M2M and IoT
projects in the past year, and publishes
research in its IoT and M2M Solutions
programme. Recent projects performed
by Analysys Mason include: helping an
operator in Asia to develop its strategy for
M2M by identifying the most attractive
vertical markets to approach and
identifying partners developing a model
for an M2M platform vendor to help
potential operator clients compare the
cost of buying its solution with that of
developing a platform internally.
15
1
Harvard Business School Publishing (Boston,
MA, 2014), See How Smart, Connected Products
Are Transforming Competition. Available at
https://hbr.org/2014/11/how-smart-connected-
products-are-transforming-competition.
2
Others include Bosch, Cumulocity, Digi and Xively
3
For more on LPWA, see Analysys Mason’s report
Low-powered wireless solutions have the potential
to increase the M2M market by over 3 billion
connections. Available at
www.analysysmason.com/LPWA-Sept2014.
Questions?
Please feel free to contact
Tom Rebbeck, Research Director, at
tom.rebbeck@analysysmason.com
Operators also need to invest
in networks that are fit for the IoT.
Cellular operators have focused on
building networks for smartphones
– that is, devices that demand ever
higher bandwidths and whose
batteries can be recharged daily.
“
”
Our specialist consultants and analysts deliver maximum value to our clients, whatever their
challenge and wherever they are in the world
16
Analysys Mason’s expertise in IoT and M2M
Examples of
recent IoT and
M2M client
projects, by
geography
Conducted a study
on international
opportunities for a
European operator
Providedan assessment ofa
M2M market opportunity f
software vendor
Produced a report on the use of M2M in
the industrial sector for monitoring heavy
equipment and dispersedassets”
Published a report entitled “Leadershipand technology:
M2M insights for mobile networkoperators”
Developedforecasts of M2M device connections
and revenue for Brazil, the Caribbean, Latin
America andworldwide
Conducteda studyto
determinedemandfor a
satellite M2M product
and end-user
requirements for
hardware and software
Development of a cost–benefit
model for operators and enterprises
for Ericsson
Sized quick-win
opportunitiesin the
international M2M
market and helpedto
develop a long-term
M2M strategy fora
leading mobile operator
Overviewed fleet management
in five South-East Asian
countries
operator,delivered a
report onsaleschannel
for M2M/IoTservices
and the role ofEuropean
mobilevirtual network
operators (MVNOs)
For amajor regional operator,conducted
a workshop to assist with IoT and M2M
strategy
For an operator client,
developeda list of over 100
potential partners, with key
information for each[e.g.
details of existing contracts
and partnerships]
Countries of IoT and M2M projects
Countriesof other projects IoT/M2M client country
for a
rator
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nology:
n
Con
dete
tware
Size
oppo
erator
For
a wo
cted
M2M
ope
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etwork
Os)ss
For
dev
tracts
Deve
mod prises
Ove
in fi
gement
360°
perspective,
working
with operators,
vendors and
regulators
*over the past three years
UNIQUE
INSIGHT
ON IoT
ISSUES
More than
30* IoT
assignments
in over 30
countries
Global
specialists
with local
knowledge
Excellent
business-
planning
expertise
Unparalleled
policy and
regulatory
expertise and
reputation
Range of
techniques to
answer clients’
questions
We are world-leading IoT
specialists, with extensive
thought leadership on
the topic
We combine global reach
and knowledge of IoT
issues with local in-depth
understanding of specific
markets, both developed
and developing
Past IoT projects have
used scenario planning,
workshops, consumer
research and expert
interviews to answer
client questions
We learn by working on IoT issues from
different yet interrelated perspectives,
making sure that we provide value to
any type of client
Our world-class experience
of business planning in both
IoT and telecoms enables us
to assess the emerging
opportunities
We carry out over 100 regulatory projects
a year, and have an in-depth understand-
ing of IoT and related telecoms policy and
regulatory environments
Our expertise in IoT is built on projects performed in multiple regions
Examples of recent IoT and M2M client projects, by geography
OPERATORS
VENDORS
REGULATORS
AND
INDUSTRY
BODIES
• Operator clients in all regions
• Operators of all types
– mobile, fixed and integrated operators
– single country, regional and global operators
• Ericsson
• Amdocs
• A global IoT platform vendor
• A global networking equipment vendor
• A development authority in South-East Asia
• A western european regulator
• GSMA
CLIENT
TYPE
Examples of clients we have worked with
examples of recent iot and m2m client projects by client type
APPROACHES
TO ADDRESS
CLIENTS’
CHALLENGES
Business case
modelling
Market
sizing and
forecasting
Go-to-market
strategies
Strategy
sessions
Benchmarking
and competitive
analysis
White
papers
Total cost of ownership (TCO)
model for Ericsson’s
connectivity platform Review ofinternational
opportunities by
application area
Assessment of M2M
resellers and MVNOs
Report on OSS/BSS
requirements for IoT
Assessment of low power,
wide area (LPWA) market
opportunity
Quantitative analysis of
the embedded mobile
(M2M) market
Review of permanent
roaming and data
sovereignty legislation
Review of national
opportunities by
application area
Report on policy
implications of IoT for a
European regulator
Examples of recent IoT and M2M client projects, by value chain element
Sales
channelDeviceNetwork Application
Billing and
support
Regulation
Countries of IoT and M2M projects Countries of other projects IoT/M2M client country
Assessed the regulatory implications and
regulatory feasibility for the implementation of a
new M2M service in a dozen countries
For a European operator, conducted a
market assessment of a new type of
sensor network
Supported a leading mobile operator in developing
its strategy for IoT and M2M services
For a Japanese operator,
delivered a report on sales
channel for M2M/IoT services
and the role of European
mobile virtual network
operators (MVNOs)
Overviewed fleet management in
five South-East Asian countries
For a major regional operator,
conducted a workshop to assist with
IoT and M2M strategy
For an operator client,
developed a list of over 100
potential partners, with key
information for each [e.g.
details of existing contracts
and partnerships]
Conducted a study on
international
opportunities for a
European operator
Provided an assessment of an
M2M market opportunity for a
software vendor
Produced a report on the use of M2M in
the industrial sector for monitoring heavy
equipment and dispersed assets”
Published a report entitled “Leadership and
technology: M2M insights for mobile
network operators”
Developed forecasts of M2M device
connections and revenue for Brazil, the
Caribbean, Latin America and worldwide
Conducted a study to
determine demand for a
satellite M2M product and
end-user requirements for
hardware and software
Development of a cost–benefit
model for operators and enterprises
for Ericsson
Sized quick-win opportunities
in the international M2M
market and helped to
develop a long-term M2M
strategy for a leading mobile
operator
We have performed projects addressing all parts of the value chain
17
We have a 360-degree perspective on IoT having
worked with operators, vendors and regulators
We follow a wide range of approaches in our
projects, tailored to our clients’ needs
OPERATORS
VENDORS
REGULATORS
AND
INDUSTRY
BODIES
• Operator clients in all regions
• Operators of all types
– mobile, fixed and integrated operators
– single country, regional and global operators
• Ericsson
• Amdocs
• A global IoT platform vendor
• A global networking equipment vendor
• A development authority in South-East Asia
• A western european regulator
• GSMA
CLIENT
TYPE
Examples of clients we have worked with
examples of recent iot and m2m client projects by client type
APPROACHES
TO ADDRESS
CLIENTS’
CHALLENGES
Business case
modelling
Market
sizing and
forecasting
Go-to-market
strategies
Strategy
sessions
Benchmarking
and competitive
analysis
White
papers
Total cost of ownership (TCO)
model for Ericsson’s
connectivity platform Review ofinternational
opportunities by
application area
Assessment of M2M
resellers and MVNOs
Report on OSS/BSS
requirements for IoT
Assessment of low power,
wide area (LPWA) market
opportunity
Quantitative analysis of
the embedded mobile
(M2M) market
Review of permanent
roaming and data
sovereignty legislation
Review of national
opportunities by
application area
Report on policy
implications of IoT for a
European regulator
Examples of recent IoT and M2M client projects, by value chain element
Sales
channelDeviceNetwork Application
Billing and
support
Regulation
Examples of
recent IoT and
M2M client
projects, by
geography
Assessedthe regulatory implications and
regulatory feasibility for the implementation
of a new M2M service in a dozen countries
Conducted a study
on international
opportunities for a
European operator
Providedan assessment ofa
M2M market opportunity f
software vendor
Produced a report on the use of M2M in
the industrial sector for monitoring heavy
equipment and dispersedassets”
Published a report entitled “Leadershipand technology:
M2M insights for mobile networkoperators”
Developedforecasts of M2M device connections
and revenue for Brazil, the Caribbean, Latin
America andworldwide
Conducteda studyto
determinedemandfor a
satellite M2M product
and end-user
requirements for
hardware and software
Development of a cost–benefit
model for operators and enterprises
for Ericsson
Sized quick-win
opportunitiesin the
international M2M
market and helpedto
develop a long-term
M2M strategy fora
leading mobile operator
Supporteda leading mobile
operator in developing its strategy
for IoT and M2M services
For a European operator, conducted
a market assessment of a new type
of sensor network
Overviewed fleet management
in five South-East Asian
countries
For a Japanese
operator,delivered a
report onsaleschannel
for M2M/IoTservices
and the role ofEuropean
mobilevirtual network
operators (MVNOs)
For amajor regional operator,conducted
a workshop to assist with IoT and M2M
strategy
For an operator client,
developeda list of over 100
potential partners, with key
information for each[e.g.
details of existing contracts
and partnerships]
Countries of IoT and M2M projects
Countriesof other projects IoT/M2M client country
entation
ntries
for a
rator
g heavy
nology:
n
w type
For
a m
Con
dete
tware
Size
oppo
erator
For
a wo
cted
M2M
Sup
ope trategy
For
ope
t
etwork
Os)ss
For
dev
tracts
Deve
mod prises
Ove
in fi
gement
360°
perspective,
working
with operators,
vendors and
regulators
UNIQUE
INSIGHT
ON IoT
ISSUES
More than
30* IoT
assignments
in over 30
countries
Global
specialists
with local
knowledge
Excellent
business-
planning
Range of
techniques to
answer clients’
We are world-leading IoT
specialists, with extensive
thought leadership on
the topic
We combine global reach
and knowledge of IoT
issues with local in-depth
understanding of specific
markets, both developed
and developing
Past IoT projects have
used scenario planning,
workshops, consumer
research and expert
We learn by working on IoT issues from
different yet interrelated perspectives,
making sure that we provide value to
any type of client
Our world-class experience
of business planning in both
IoT and telecoms enables us
to assess the emerging
OPERATORS
VENDORS
REGULATORS
AND
INDUSTRY
BODIES
• Operator clients in all regions
• Operators of all types
– mobile, fixed and integrated operators
– single country, regional and global operators
• Ericsson
• Amdocs
• A global IoT platform vendor
• A global networking equipment vendor
• A development authority in South-East Asia
• A western european regulator
• GSMA
CLIENT
TYPE
Examples of clients we have worked with
examples of recent iot and m2m client projects by client type
APPROACHES
TO ADDRESS
CLIENTS’
CHALLENGES
Business case
modelling
Market
sizing and
forecasting
Go-to-market
strategies
Strategy
sessions
Benchmarking
and competitive
analysis
White
papers
Total cost of ownership (TCO)
model for Ericsson’s
connectivity platform Review ofinternational
opportunities by
application area
Assessment of M2M
resellers and MVNOs
Report on OSS/BSS
requirements for IoT
Review of national
opportunities by
application area
Examples of recent IoT and M2M client projects, by value chain element
Sales
DeviceNetwork Application
Billing and
OPERATORS
VENDORS
REGULATORS
AND
INDUSTRY
BODIES
• Operator clients in all regions
• Operators of all types
– mobile, fixed and integrated operators
– single country, regional and global operators
• Ericsson
• Amdocs
• A global IoT platform vendor
• A global networking equipment vendor
• A development authority in South-East Asia
• A western european regulator
• GSMA
CLIENT
TYPE
Examples of clients we have worked with
examples of recent iot and m2m client projects by client type
APPROACHES
TO ADDRESS
CLIENTS’
CHALLENGES
Business case
modelling
Market
sizing and
forecasting
Go-to-market
strategies
Strategy
sessions
Benchmarking
and competitive
analysis
White
papers
Total cost of ownership (TCO)
model for Ericsson’s
connectivity platform Review ofinternational
opportunities by
application area
Assessment of M2M
resellers and MVNOs
Report on OSS/BSS
requirements for IoT
Review of national
opportunities by
application area
Examples of recent IoT and M2M client projects, by value chain element
Sales
DeviceNetwork Application
Billing and
18
Analysys Mason is the global specialist adviser on telecoms, media and technology (TMT). Since 1985, Analysys Mason has played an
influential role in key industry milestones and helping clients through major shifts in the market. We continue to be at the forefront of
developments in the digital economy and are advising clients on new business strategies to address disruptive technologies.
See what clients have to say about working with us: www.analysysmason.com/client-testimonials
ABOUT OUR SERVICES
At Analysys Mason, we understand that clients in the TMT industry operate in dynamic markets where change is constant. Our
consulting and research has helped shape clients’ understanding of the future so they can thrive in these demanding conditions.
CONSULTING
•	 We deliver tangible benefits to clients 	
	 across the TMT industry: operators, 		
	 vendors, governments, regulators, 		
	 service and content providers, financial 	
	 institutions and private equities etc.
•	 Our sector specialists understand the 	
	 distinct territorial challenges facing 		
	 clients, in addition to the wider effects 	
	 of global forces.
•	 We are future-focused and help clients 	
	 understand the challenges and 		
	 opportunities new technology brings. 	
RESEARCH
•	 Our dedicated team of analysts track 		
	 and forecast the different services 		
	 accessed by consumers and enterprises.
•	 We also offer detailed insight into the 	
	 software, infrastructure and technology 	
	 delivering those services.
•	 Clients benefit from regular and timely 	
	 intelligence, and direct access to analysts.
TMT INDUSTRY
DYNAMICS
Maximising
operational
efficency
Reducing churn
and aquiring
customers
on
Positioning
for the digital
economy
Monetising
data services
Regulation
and policy
Consumer and
SME services
Digital
economy
Regional
markets
Network
technologies
Telecoms
software
Performance
Improvement
Transaction
support
Strategy and 
planning
RESEARCH
CONSULTING
CUSTOMRESE
ARCH
About Analysys Mason
“
Analysys Mason is the global specialist adviser on telecoms,
media and technology (TMT). Since 1985, Analysys Mason
has played an influential role in key industry milestones and
helping clients through major shifts in the market. We continue
to be at the forefront of developments in the digital economy
and are advising clients on new business strategies to address
disruptive technologies.
”
You can stay connected by following Analysys Mason
on twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or sign up to our RSS feed.
@AnalysysMason
linkedin.com/company/analysys-mason
youtube.com/AnalysysMason
analysysmason.com/RSS/
Stay connected

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Analysys_Mason_M2M_IoT_operator_opportunities_Apr2016

  • 1. M2M AND INTERNET OF THINGS (IOT) OPPORTUNITIES FOR TELECOMS OPERATORS
  • 2. Contents Introduction p 3 Operators’ strategies for IoT are guided by three main motives p 4 M2M is a USD8 billion opportunity in Asia–Pacific that is attracting the interest of the region’s CSPs p 6 Recent IoT investments show telecoms operators (gradually) moving up the value chain p 8 Telehealth remains a small but interesting vertical for CSPs to target in the next 5 years p10 LPWA: Established operators need to rethink their strategy or risk failure p12 Telecoms operators need to maintain relevance in M2M/IoT by building on their strengths p14 Analysys Mason’s expertise in IoT and M2M p16 About Analysys Mason p18
  • 3. Facing a relatively flat market for core services, IoT and M2M is a rare bright spot offering significant growth potential and the opportunity to take a role in new vertical markets, such as automotive, healthcare and smart cities. Operators though have many challenges with IoT. Connectivity, the entry point into IoT, is only one component of a solution and one that commands only a small share of revenues. Operators are trying to understand where and how to play a role in IoT. This brochure outlines some of our thinking on these important topics, and describes our past project experience. Analysys Mason helps clients in all geographies and parts of the value chain to develop their approach to IoT. Our assignments range from rapid reviews of existing plans to full strategy development. The articles featured in the brochure cover the following topics: • Operators’ strategies for IoT are guided by three main motives. We provide an overview of three motivations that are driving the telecoms sector’s involvement in IoT. • M2M is a USD8 billion opportunity in Asia–Pacific that is attracting the interest of the region’s CSPs. This article explores the M2M market in Asia–Pacific, and examines how CSPs can pursue opportunities in a variety of vertical markets. • Recent IoT investments show telecoms operators (gradually) moving up the value chain. We explore what IoT investments by telecoms operators tell us about their involvement in IoT. • Telehealth remains a small but interesting vertical for CSPs to target in the next 5 years. This article examines the telehealth opportunity and the challenges for CSPs entering the market. • LPWA: Established operators need to rethink their strategy or risk failure. Operators also need to defend their core connectivity role. This article builds on Clayton Christensen’s thinking on disruptive technology to illustrate how telecoms operators can use LPWA technology to their advantage. • Telecoms operators need to maintain relevance in M2M/IoT by building on their strengths. In this piece, we look at how operators can build on their own unique strengths to maintain relevance in IoT. We hope that you find these opinion pieces and commentary of interest and value. We welcome your feedback and encourage you to contact the authors directly if you would like to discuss any of the points raised, or are looking to understand how a specific issue or trend will affect your business. We look forward to working with you. TOM REBBECK Research Director tom.rebbeck@analysysmason.com Machine to machine (M2M) and the broader Internet of Things (IoT) market represent a key opportunity for telecoms operators. Introduction 3
  • 4. If claims for the Internet of Things (IoT) are to be believed it will involve billions of new connections,1 generate trillions of dollars in economic value2 and have an impact on every vertical market. Against this expectation, telecoms operators looking at their existing IoT-related activities may feel underwhelmed. Operators’ base of machine-to-machine (M2M)/IoT-related connections is dwarfed by their core business,3 and each M2M SIM typically generates just a fraction of the ARPU of a handset. The IoT market is only just beginning to emerge, and the telecoms industry (like many other sectors) is just beginning to understand how to address IoT. In this article, we provide an overview of three motives that are guiding the telecoms sector’s involvement in IoT. OFFERING MORE THAN CONNECTIVITY IS LIKELY TO DILUTE MARGINS An obvious ambition for an operator is to earn a larger share of spend on IoT by moving along the value chain. However, the decision to provide more than connectivity is not as straightforward as it may seem. From estimates produced by Analysys Mason (see Figure 1), operators may well dilute their margins if they take on a wider role in IoT, for example by providing a complete solution that incorporates device, application, service provision and integration as well as connectivity. If operators take up a different position in the value chain they will also face new competitors, from starts-ups to Internet giants, against which they may have few unique assets.5 All of this means that operators are understandably cautious when deciding where to invest in IoT. Despite this caution, operators are investing in IoT for three main reasons, as outlined below. They are moving up the value chain in all three cases, but they are not necessarily doing this to create incremental margin: their motivations are often more closely tied to the core connectivity business. 4 Operators’ strategies for IoT are guided by three main motives An obvious ambition for an operator is to earn a larger share of spend on IoT by moving along the value chain. However, the decision to provide more than connectivity is not as straightforward as it may seem. “ ” TOM REBBECK Research Director An obvious ambition for an operator is to earn a larger share of spend on IoT by moving along the value chain. “ ” FIGURE 1: GENERIC VALUE CHAIN FOR IOT SERVICES, INCLUDING SHARE OF VALUE AND TYPICAL EBIT MARGIN FOR EACH COMPONENT4 [SOURCE: ANALYSYS MASON, 2015] - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 2012 1 Note: Singapore % of country total international internet bandwidth 2013 2014 2015E GBPmillion TV Press Radio Cinema Internet 150 200 250 300 nutesperday Viewing minutes per day, UK (2014) % of total daily minutes David Andrew Tom (37%)1 (28%) 1 Indonesia (18%)1 (58%)1 Hong Kong Thailand (26%)1 (16%)1 Bangladesh Singapore Malaysia India Connectivity Description Offer the network for transmission of data from IoT services 5–30% 5–20% 30–60% 20–30% <20% ~10% <5% 0–30% 0–10% 10% Offer the end-user module, with an embedded M2M chipset Manage the distribution, supply chain, fulfilment, billing and support Provide system integration services Design/ develop systems Provide the actual applications that manage the data collected by the device Approximate EBIT margin Approximate share of value Device Application Service provision Systems integration Traditional TV 81% DVR 8% Internet and other 11% 100%
  • 5. MOTIVE 1: USE IOT TO GENERATE NEW CONNECTIVITY REVENUE, ESPECIALLY IN AUTOMOTIVE The connected-car market involves millions of new mobile connections, each of which could create demand for large quantities of data, making it one of the few M2M segments with high ARPUs.6 This makes it an attractive opportunity for operators, purely on the grounds of connectivity revenue. In Q3 2015 alone, AT&T added more than 1 million new cars to its network, taking the total to 5.8 million.7 By the end of 2020, Analysys Mason expects that more than 250 million passenger vehicles will have embedded connectivity.8 Operators’ aim is to win new connectivity contracts with car companies. They will do this by competing on the usual parameters (i.e. coverage and connectivity price) but also by providing the manufacturers with additional services such as security, and even providing apps from third parties, as AT&T is doing with Drive. Operators may generate some upside from these additional services, but their central motivation is to win (and defend) connectivity contracts, rather than earn incremental revenue or margin. MOTIVE 2: USE IOT TO SUPPORT AND DEFEND EXISTING BUSINESS The second motive for exploring IoT is to protect existing connectivity revenue. Smart-home services are one area that operators like AT&T, Comcast, Deutsche Telekom (DT) and others are experimenting with. We do not believe that the central motive is, or should be, to generate significant incremental income or margin from these propositions.9 However, by offering a smart-home solution, an operator may be able to defend its core broadband revenue, protect against churn and help to justify price increases. MOTIVE 3: USE IOT TO ENTER NEW VERTICAL MARKETS In some sectors, potential connectivity revenue alone is not enough to attract the interest of operators. Consequently, they are exploring ways to generate revenue from deeper involvement in vertical market solutions. An example of this is healthcare. As shown by Analysys Mason’s research,10 the volume of IoT connections from healthcare will be low – even by 2020, there will probably be fewer than 50 million health devices with a dedicated connection, and the average volume of data used by these devices will be relatively low. Purely in terms of connectivity revenue, healthcare does not warrant investment. However, Telstra, Telefónica, DT and others are attempting to move up the value chain by offering a platform of connectivity, hosting, security, BSS and analytics that can be opened up to healthcare companies. Most operators are not providing end-to-end health solutions, as this is typically left to healthcare specialists. Instead, they are trying to generate incremental revenue on top of connectivity by building on aspects where they already have scale. WE EXPECT TELECOMS OPERATOR THINKING ON IOT TO MATURE FURTHER IN 2016 In 2016, we expect to see operators mature in their thinking regarding which aspects of IoT to address, and which to leave alone. Connectivity is likely to remain central to operator strategies, either as the main focus (as with the connected car) or as the entry point for providing a complete solution (as in healthcare). Despite their different motives, operators are broadly following a similar approach – by combining connectivity and other core capabilities (such as security and BSS) as part of a platform which can be open to third parties that can further enhance the offering.11 Analysys Mason helps clients in all geographies and parts of the value chain to develop their approach to IoT. Our assignments range from rapid reviews of existing plans to full strategy development. 5 1 For example, Huawei is predicting 100 billion connected devices by 2025; see http://www. huawei.com/minisite/gci/en/index.html. 2 For example, Cisco has predicted that USD14.4 trillion of value is at stake; see http:// internetofeverything.cisco.com/sites/default/files/ docs/en/ioe-value-index_FAQs.pdf. 3 Analysys Mason estimates that M2M accounted for fewer than 4% of mobile connections worldwide at the end of 2015, and just over 1% of total connectivity revenue. 4 The value chain, share of value and EBIT margin will all vary considerably by IoT service. 9 And, in any case, many of the underlying solutions (such as locks, heating or security) will be provided or supported by partners, which will limit operators’ share of the revenue. 10 See The outlook for telehealth: opportunities for CSPs, available at http://www.analysysmason. com/Research/Content/Reports/telehealth- opportunity-CSPs-Sep2015-RDME0/#07%20 September%202015. 11 For further discussion on how platforms can form part of an operator’s approach to IoT and M2M, see http://www.analysysmason.com/ Research/Content/Reports/M2M-IoT-operators- approaches-May2015/#12%20May%202015. 5 For discussion of an operator assets in M2M and IoT, see Operators’ strengths in M2M and IoT may lie beyond ownership of network or spectrum assets, at http://www.analysysmason.com/ About-Us/News/Insight/M2M-operator-strengths- Nov2014/. 6 For example, Tesla’s over-the-air firmware upgrades are typically multiple gigabytes in size. 7 See http://www.att.com/Investor/Earnings/3q15/ ib_final_3q15.pdf. 8 See http://www.analysysmason.com/Research/ Content/Reports/connected-cars-forecast- Jun2014-RDME0/. Questions? Please feel free to contact Tom Rebbeck, Research Director, at tom.rebbeck@analysysmason.com
  • 6. Revenue from mobile M2M will grow by an estimated USD8.0 billion during 2013–2019 in Asia–Pacific, and will help to compensate for a decline in the revenue generated by mobile voice, mobile messaging, and fixed voice and narrowband services, which will contract by USD17.4 billion during the same period (see Figure 1). This is one of the key findings from our strategic report M2M in Asia–Pacific: market opportunities and challenges for CSPs, which discusses the dynamic and diverse M2M market in Asia–Pacific, and examines how CSPs can pursue IoT and M2M opportunities in a variety of vertical markets. This article summarises some of the headlines from this report. M2M WILL ADD USD8 BILLION IN CUMULATIVE SERVICE REVENUE TO THE VALUE OF THE ASIA–PACIFIC TELECOMS MARKET DURING 2013–2019 Revenue from mobile M2M will help to compensate CSPs for a decline in the revenue generated by mobile voice, mobile messaging, and fixed voice and narrowband services, which will contract by USD17.4 billion during the same period. In the developed Asia–Pacific region, CSPs’ share of mobile M2M service revenue will amount to USD2.0 billion between 2013 and 2019 The number of cellular M2M device connections in developed Asia–Pacific (DVAP) will increase from 18.3 million in 2014 to 59.2 million in 2019, at a CAGR of 26.4%. The strong adoption of M2M in DVAP is partly driven by the high cost of labour, where the monthly average wage is about 4.5 times higher than in emerging Asia–Pacific (EMAP). The business case for deploying an M2M solution to improve the efficiency of business processes is justified when the cost of deploying an M2M solution is less expensive than the equivalent cost of manpower. It is easier for firms to make an M2M business case in markets where wages are higher – as they are in DVAP. In the emerging Asia–Pacific region, CSPs’ share of mobile M2M service revenue will reach USD6.0 billion during 2013–2019 The number of cellular M2M device connections in EMAP will increase from 63.1 million in 2014 to 250 million in 2019, at a CAGR of 31.6%. Growth in the M2M market in EMAP is largely driven by China, while M2M adoption in other countries in the region is slower. Government led initiatives and policies will drive the adoption of M2M in countries like India and Indonesia. 2,9392,831 2,477 2,093 938 887 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 Other broadcasters and multichannel Film / sport channels PSBs (including portfolio channels) - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 2012 2013 2014 2015E GBPmillion TV Press Radio Cinema Internet +9% 2013 2014 1000 10000 Kbps) 2G 3G 4G Technology 76.5 21.7 20.1 9.0 8.0 1.8 3.6 12.0 122.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Mobilehandsetdata Fixedbroadband andIPTV Mobilebroadband Business networkservices MobileM2M Mobilevoice Mobilemessaging Fixedvoice andnarrowband Totalretail Revenuegrowth(USDbillion) M2M is a USD8 billion opportunity in Asia–Pacific that is attracting the interest of the region’s CSPs 6 MORGAN MULLOOLY AnalystM2M business is an attractive option for communications service providers (CSPs) that are aiming to develop new revenue streams from the digital economy. ” “ FIGURE 1: TELECOMS RETAIL REVENUE GROWTH BY SERVICE TYPE, ASIA–PACIFIC, 2013–2019 [SOURCE: ANALYSYS MASON, 2015]
  • 7. SEVERAL FACTORS HAVE ALIGNED TO MAKE IT A SUITABLE TIME FOR CSPS IN ASIA–PACIFIC TO DEVELOP AN M2M LINE OF BUSINESS Three of the factors that will drive the adoption of M2M in Asia–Pacific are as follows: • In the private sector, the pursuit for a competitive edge is driving companies to invest in connected machinery, equipment, products and services: Companies in Asia–Pacific are determined to remain competitive within the worldwide economy, and want to use M2M to add more features and value to their offerings, rather than simply as a means to compete on price. To give just one example, Vodafone is helping ICE – a Chinese cleaning equipment company – to compete with western market leaders, on more than just price. M2M connectivity helps ICE make its equipment smart and connected, and helps ICE develop a reputation for advanced high quality machinery outside of its domestic market. • Many governmental agencies in Asia–Pacific are promoting the adoption of M2M: Many Asia–Pacific countries, including China, India, Malaysia and Singapore, have formulated national M2M policies and policy roadmaps to promote M2M deployment to improve the lives of citizens in their cities and to also boost industrial activity.1 • Consumer demand for smart connected products is rising: Consumer demand for digital lifestyle goods and services (such as connected cars and smart homes) is increasing as mobile broadband connectivity becomes more ubiquitous in the region. CSPS NEED TO UNDERSTAND MANY CHALLENGES ASSOCIATED WITH PROVIDING M2M SERVICES IN ASIA–PACIFIC Three challenges affecting the ability of CSPs to provide M2M services in the APAC region are: • The regulations around M2M – including roaming, taxation and data usage – are prohibitive or unclear in many countries: Regulators and governments impose various conditions on M2M service providers that relate to roaming, customer data and communications, taxation, lawful interception, access to premises, and other issues. Uncertainty over the regulatory feasibility of deploying telecoms and cloud-based services in a given country can often lead to delays. • Many CSPs do not have wide network coverage, which is essential for some M2M applications, such as asset tracking: The breadth and quality of cellular infrastructure varies significantly by country in Asia–Pacific. Satellite service providers such as Iridium Communications and Orbcomm are rapidly expanding their M2M activities and are well placed to win M2M contracts in the APAC M2M market because they can boast more-extensive geographical coverage than mobile CSPs, which have mainly focused on urban coverage – particularly in EMAP. • CSPs will need to be cautious when choosing to partner with local or worldwide players, judging each opportunity on its own merits: Local partner solutions are often very simple and straightforward, but are still a good fit for the local requirements. However, in many countries in Asia–Pacific there are only a few local partners in some parts of the value chain, including application service providers and application enablement platforms providers. Worldwide players’ solutions generally have more-advanced features, but end users in the local market may not need them. 7 Questions? Please feel free to contact Morgan Mullooly, Analyst, at morgan.mullooly@analysysmason.com 1 For example see http://www.analysysmason.com/ Research/Content/Comments/M2M-roadmap- India-Apr2015-RDME0-RDRP0/ The number of cellular M2M device connections in developed Asia–Pacific (DVAP) will increase from 18.3 million in 2014 to 59.2 million in 2019, at a CAGR of 26.4%. “ ”
  • 8. TOM REBBECK Research DirectorRecent investments by telecoms operators are encouraging, but more are needed for operators to make significant moves along the value chain. 8 Recent IoT investments show telecoms operators (gradually) moving up the value chain ” “ In mid-2014, when Analysys Mason reviewed more than 100 Internet of Things (IoT) investments and M&A deals, only 5 of these involved telecoms operators (and 4 of these were Vodafone investments). At the time, we discussed the gap between telecoms operators’ stated ambition to move up the value chain and their actions (or lack of them). In 2015, however, the picture is changing. In the first half of 2015 alone, at least eight telecoms operators have made one or more investments in an IoT company (with notable activity summarised in the table below). So, what do the latest investments tell us about telecoms operators’ involvement in IoT? • Telecoms operators are cautiously exploring a different role in the value chain. Investments in SIGFOX look like defensive moves by telecoms operators trying to shore up future connectivity revenue. All other investments (and arguably even the SIGFOX deal) look like an attempt to branch out from commodity connectivity revenues. • There is still no standard approach for telecoms operators in IoT or digital economy initiatives. The investments made by telecoms operators are hard to classify, with no obvious common theme emerging. Investments have been made in horizontal capabilities (e.g. investments in Actility and Springworks are essentially about gaining capabilities that can be applied to multiple vertical markets). Investments by Telstra (in health), Orange (in fleet management) and before them by Vodafone and Verizon (in automotive) illustrate the diversity of opinion over what position to take in the value chain, or which verticals to focus on. • Telecoms operators are still marginal players in IoT investment and M&A. According to some estimates, over USD10 billion has been invested in IoT companies or acquisitions in 2015 (though some of these estimates include deals in which IoT was only a small part). Telecoms operator investment in IoT over the same period was well under USD100 million. Only Vodafone, Verizon and Telstra have made significant bets on IoT. KPN, Orange, Swisscom Telstra Orange Telefónica, NTT DoCoMo, SK Telecom TeliaSonera Actility Anywhere Healthcare Ocean SIGFOX Springworks USD25 million funding round1 Acquisition of unit by Telstra. No pricing information provided3 Acquisition by Orange4 USD115 million funding round5 Equity investment (with TeliaSonera reportedly taking a 30% stake). No pricing information provided6 Actility is developing a platform of services around the LoRa low-power wide area networking technology2 Videoconference platform for remote healthcare. Telstra has made at least seven investments in health companies, spending over USD100 million Fleet management company with over 2000 clients The telecoms operators invested alongside other industrial and pure financial investors Springworks has developed interfaces for IoT and has an IoT data analytics platform Telecoms operator investor(s) Target Investment details Notes FIGURE 1: NOTABLE M2M AND IOT INVESTMENTS BY TELECOMS OPERATORS IN 2015 [SOURCE: ANALYSYS MASON, 2015]
  • 9. The absence of more significant investment in IoT from telecoms operators is due to various reasons. For example: • Many telecoms operators lack a clear vision for their role in IoT. As we said in a recent paper, many telecoms operators still appear to be taking a tactical and ad-hoc approach to M2M and IoT. • In comparison to the core business of basic voice, data and messaging, IoT and M2M are still relatively small. Few operators earn more than 5% of their total revenue from IoT and M2M services. As a result, IoT and M2M teams may have little management attention and access to only limited resources. • As well as the obvious financial cost, M&A and investment activities are time consuming and can be a distraction from operators’ day-to-day business. • Operators have been unsuccessful at M&A in the past and want to avoid repeating their mistakes. Although successful M&A activity between telecoms operators is relatively common, many of them have a poor track record of purchasing or investing in non-network companies. The extent of telecoms operators’ involvement in IoT cannot be judged purely on the basis of their M&A or investment activity: other activity, such as partnerships and internal developments, also need to be considered. However, with the exception of a handful of telecoms operators, the lack of investment activity indicates an unwillingness to commit to strategies that generate more than connectivity revenues. The recent investments by telecoms operators are encouraging indications, but more are needed for operators to make significant moves along the value chain. Analysys Mason is active in IoT and in providing transaction support. As well as working on more than 20 IoT projects for clients in the past year, we also publish research as part of our IoT and M2M Solutions programme. During the past five years we have worked on more than 200 due diligence assignments across the telecoms, media and technology (TMT) sectors. 9 In the first half of 2015 alone, at least eight telecoms operators have made one or more investments in an IoT company. “ ” 1 See http://www.thingpark.com/en/news/ internet-things-specialist-actility-announces-25- million-funding-round-led-ginko-ventures-kpn-0 2 See http://lora-alliance.org/What-Is-LoRa/ Technology for more information on the LoRa Alliance and technology. 3 See http://www.telstra.com.au/aboutus/media/ media-releases/telstra-health-secures-operation- of-medibanks-anywhere-healthcare.xml 6 See http://www.teliasonera.com/en/newsroom/ news/2015/teliasonera-invests-in-renowned- swedish-iot-firm-springworks-/ 4 See http://www.orange.com/en/press/ Press-releases/press-releases-2015/ Orange-Business-Services-acquires-Ocean-to- strengthen-its-vehicle-fleet-management- activities 5 See http://www.businesswire.com/news/ home/20150211005248/en/SIGFOX-Global-Leader- Internet-Connectivity-Secures-Record#. VYvZLvlViko Questions? Please feel free to contact Tom Rebbeck, Research Director, at tom.rebbeck@analysysmason.com
  • 10. 10 MICHELE MACKENZIE Principal AnalystThe telehealth market, long identified as a significant opportunity for communications service providers (CSPs), has been slow to gain traction. Telehealth remains a small but interesting vertical for CSPs to target in the next 5 years “ ”The technical capabilities to support the telehealth market have long been in place, but regulatory concerns, coupled with supply-side issues such as business models, have restricted market growth. Most early movers have struggled to build and scale their telehealth offerings beyond the pilot phase. We estimate that there were only around 0.7 million remote patient monitoring connections globally in 2013, a small fraction of the total 500 million machine-to-machine (M2M) connections. To stimulate market growth, CSPs will need to invest in platforms to support telehealth services, make long-term commitments and prepare for long-term returns. The rest of this article examines the persistent barriers to CSPs entering the market, and the opportunity that telehealth may present for CSPs in the long term. NEAR TERM BARRIERS TO TELEHEALTH ADOPTION REMAIN The traditional healthcare market has provided significant communications and IT services opportunities for CSPs. Some CSPs, such as Orange and Deutsche Telekom, have been very successful in targeting this vertical. However, telehealth applications face new challenges, few of which are technical. CSPs face a fragmented demand-side healthcare market, and the key challenges impacting telehealth adoption are: • Funding and reimbursement: healthcare systems tend to be decentralised and fragmented, often making it difficult to source funding for telehealth delivery models. In addition, healthcare providers may not be reimbursed by insurers or payers for telehealth services because medical procedures outside of healthcare facilities are not always formally recognised. • Scale: it has been difficult to scale products and solutions for a number of reasons. For example, each healthcare authority has different requirements with regard to medical devices, most of which operate proprietary interfaces and can be costly to integrate. There are few proof points of large-scale deployments of remote patient monitoring, making it difficult to prove the business case. • Regulation: there is stringent, well-established regulation around medical devices in most markets, but new delivery mechanisms require new regulation. The regulation governing patient data is also a major concern, specifically how to protect it in a more open market where data is shared with application providers. All of these factors have served to create market uncertainty, making it difficult for providers to formulate a telehealth strategy. CSPS ENTERING THE TELEHEALTH MARKET WILL NEED TO FORMULATE A LONG-TERM STRATEGY Governments and healthcare stakeholders are seeking to transform the healthcare sector in many developed markets to curb the spiralling costs of provision. The sector recognises that telehealth applications have the potential to address some of the weaknesses in the current approach to delivering healthcare services and introduce more sustainable delivery models, but these changes will take many years to happen: CSPs entering the healthcare sector will need to plan for the long term.
  • 11. 11 PLATFORM SERVICE PROVIDER • Connectivity plus value add • Technical and commercial value add • B2B and B2C • High risk, high visibility • Healthcare provider? ENABLER PLATFORM PROVIDER • Connectivity management plus some value add, such as data, BSS • Own solution or partner • Low to medium risk • Some joint marketing • • • • CONNECTIVITY PROVIDER Connectivity Low Risk Low visibility role Customer market the service FIGURE 1: CSP ROLES IN THE TELEHEALTH VALUE CHAIN [SOURCE: ANALYSYS MASON, 2015] CSPs may adopt different strategies for different applications or customer groups. Telehealth is a highly complex market and to move up the value chain requires significant long-term investment. Forging relationships in the complex and fragmented ecosystem is not easy and CSPs will need to develop strategic partnerships for capabilities such as devices, systems integration and medical expertise. There are three main routes to market which are illustrated in Figure 1, and which are discussed in more detail below: • Connectivity provider: this is a low-risk, but low-visibility (and lower-value) role in the value chain, and is subject to fierce competition and low returns. Connection volumes are not sufficient to generate large revenues, hence connectivity is a low-value opportunity in healthcare. However, it also requires low investment and may scale for certain target customer groups such as the pharmaceutical market. • Enabler platform provider: this is a low-to-medium risk role and requires more investment with regard to leveraging platform capabilities such as data storage and business support systems (BSS) as well as partnership building. It is an attractive role for CSPs as it generates higher value, but will also be subject to intense competition. Maxis Malaysia has adopted this strategy for its remote patient monitoring service. Maxis Malaysia has adopted this strategy for its remote patient monitoring service. • Platform service provider: this role involves significant long-term investment and will most likely require senior-level backing. CSPs will need to consider partnerships and acquisitions to bring services to market. They will adopt a more holistic approach to providing a platform of technical and commercial capabilities to support the healthcare ecosystem. Operators including Deutsche Telekom, Telefónica and Telstra are moving towards a platform service model. The telehealth market is complex and adoption is slow, and will likely remain a niche M2M sector for the foreseeable future. Any CSP entering the sector should take a long-term view on strategy and be prepared for some failures along the way. Connectivity alone is not much of an opportunity and success will require investment and long-term horizons. CSPs that intend to play higher up the telehealth value chain will need to commit long term, invest significant technological and commercial assets and look for synergies across the different application groups that they provide. They should also consider partnerships and acquisitions to bring end-to-end services to market. Questions? Please feel free to contact Michele Mackenzie, Principal Analyst, atmichele.mackenzie@analysysmason.com
  • 12. TOM REBBECK Research Director LPWA: Established operators need to rethink their strategy or risk failure 12 Operators need to accelerate their commitment to LPWA and structure their organisations to match the opportunity. ” “ Low-power, wide-area (LPWA) networks are a hot topic among telecoms operators. All of the major established telecoms operators are experimenting with various forms of this new technology. However, many of these efforts risk failure, unless these operators take a new approach. To benefit from this disruptive technology, companies need to accelerate commitments and structure their organisation to match the opportunity. This article builds on Clayton Christensen’s thinking on disruptive technology to illustrate how telecoms operators can use LPWA technology to their advantage. THE INNOVATOR’S DILEMMA – OPERATORS ARE SLOW TO COMMIT TO LPWA BECAUSE THEY ARE UNCERTAIN ABOUT ITS POTENTIAL In his book, The Innovator’s Dilemma, Clayton Christensen describes how new technology has disrupted many industries and established companies have failed to react as ably as smaller start-up companies. The development of LPWA networks fits many of the conditions described by Christensen. • “The larger and more successful a company becomes, the weaker the argument that emerging markets can remain useful engines for growth”.1 LPWA could generate connectivity revenue of just USD1 per connection per year. This is likely to seem too small to be worthwhile for telecoms operators that earn billions of US dollars in revenue per year from existing business. Even if established players launch LPWA, scepticism about the market potential within the business may undermine these efforts, for example if the product development or marketing support that it needs are denied. The counter argument is that LPWA networks may open entirely different, new markets, which could involve billions of devices. With the right support, investing in LPWA could give established players more options in the future. • “Incumbent firms are likely to lag in the development of technologies that only address customers’ needs in emerging [opportunities]”. Again, this can be applied to LPWA networks. Operators have concentrated on migrating to 4G, driven by the needs of mobile handsets, while the demands from new markets are given less priority (see Figure 1). • “The essence of the attacker’s advantage is the ease with which entrants, relative to incumbents, can identify and make strategic commitments”. For a smaller company, like SIGFOX in France, exploiting a disruptive technology is simpler than for larger players, such as major telecoms operators. Start-up companies do not have revenue from a legacy business and are therefore excited about new revenue opportunities, even if they are (initially at least) relatively small. Perhaps more importantly, start-up companies can focus on what these new markets require. They are not focused on moving to the top right of Figure 1. 2,9392,831 2,477 2,093 938 887 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 Other broadcasters and multichannel Film / sport channels PSBs (including portfolio channels) - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 2012 2013 2014 2015E GBPmillion TV Press Radio Cinema Internet +9% 2013 2014 1 10 100 1000 10000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 Throughput(Kbps) 2G 3G 4G LPWA Voice Basic web browsing Streaming video Basic IoT Technology Example uses 76.5 21.7 20.1 9.0 8.0 1.8 3.6 12.0 122.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Mobilehandsetdata Fixedbroadband andIPTV Mobilebroadband Business networkservices MobileM2M Mobilevoice Mobilemessaging Fixedvoice andnarrowband Totalretail Revenuegrowth(USDbillion) FIGURE 1: TYPICAL PERFORMANCE OF 2G, 3G, 4G AND LPWA RELATIVE TO EXAMPLE USES2,3 [SOURCE: ANALYSYS MASON, 2015]
  • 13. 13 1 In this context, Christensen means ‘emerging market’ in the sense of emerging opportunities, not countries. 2 Note that the chart is illustrative. It is populated with what we consider to be a reasonable estimate of typical speeds and not actual data. 3 The basic design of this chart is based on that of similar charts created by Christensen in his work on disruptive innovation. 4 The only established operators to have launched commercial networks that we are aware of are Bouygues, KPN, Proximus, Tele2 (through AEREA in the Netherlands) and Telkom SA (through FastNet). Swisscom has launched a trial network in a few cities. 5 This is not just an issue for telecoms operators. SIGFOX licensees (such as Abertis in Spain and Arqiva in the UK) are launching services from within the parent organisation. Questions? Please feel free to contact Tom Rebbeck, Research Director, at tom.rebbeck@analysysmason.com Operators that are bold and willing to support LPWA with the requisite resources could find themselves well positioned to exploit this opportunity. “ ” ESTABLISHED OPERATORS CAN MAKE LPWA WORK IF THEY RESPOND CORRECTLY Christensen provides recommendations for how established companies should respond to new disruptive technologies. Again, these can be applied to LPWA. • “In disruptive technologies, there are strong first-mover advantages”. Christensen argues that when dealing with disruptive technologies, established players should not assume that they will be able to catch up when the new market has been proven. To benefit from the disruptive technology, the established player needs to be an early adopter. • “Match the size of the organisation to the size of the market”. Christensen advises companies to set up separate divisions that will get excited about the opportunity, rather than trying to chase the opportunity using legacy structures. A USD10 000 contract is small for an established player, but a major contract win for a start-up. Rather than launch LPWA services as part of the core enterprise team, operators should consider creating a separate division or company to pursue the opportunity. • “The popular slogan ‘stay close to your customers’ appears not always to be robust advice”. Christensen suggests that rather than focus on the needs of current customers, who will probably want more performance from existing products, companies should search out new opportunities from different types of customers. Few established telecoms operators are following this advice in terms of their approach to LPWA.4 Only a small number are early adopters of LPWA. Of those that have launched a network, only Telkom in South Africa has placed it in a separate division and its LoRa network is operated by its FastNet division (a company of 200 people compared to 20 000 in the parent).5 Many operators have separate M2M teams, but these teams may not have the required autonomy or independence to build and exploit a new type of network. Equally, most operators, when faced with a choice between meeting the needs of existing customers or investing in LPWA, are choosing the former (that is, most operators would invest an additional EUR10 million in 4G upgrades rather than LPWA). The potential opportunity for LPWA is huge and could be greater than traditional cellular in terms of numbers of connections. That said, it is emerging new market that is full of uncertainty. Operators that are bold and willing to support LPWA with the requisite resources could find themselves well positioned to exploit this opportunity. For other established players, making a delayed commitment or making LPWA fight against the core business for resources, are likely to see their efforts fail.
  • 14. 14 Telecoms operators need to maintain relevance in M2M/IoT by building on their strengths TOM REBBECK Research DirectorOperators’ retail stores, 24/7 support capabilities and ability to bill millions of customers may be more valuable than network ownership in the IoT market. ” “ Telecoms operators could find their role in the Internet of Things (IoT) reduced to that of a managed connectivity provider because they lack expertise in the ‘things’ – that is, products. In this article, Tom Rebbeck looks at how operators can fill this knowledge gap and build on their own unique strengths to maintain relevance TELECOMS OPERATORS COULD BE MARGINALISED IN THE IOT MARKET IF THE ‘THINGS’ ARE MORE CRITICAL THAN THE INTERNET “What makes smart, connected products fundamentally different is not the Internet, but the changing nature of the ‘things,’” claim Michael Porter and James E. Heppelmann in a recent article for Harvard Business Review (HBR).1 Telecoms operators face a significant challenge if the Internet of Things (IoT) is more about the ‘thing’ than the Internet. They may aspire to increase machine-to-machine (M2M) and IoT revenue – particularly by selling more than just connectivity – but they know and understand the Internet, and not ‘things’. The risk for telecoms operators is that companies with a background in ‘things’ will marginalise their role in the IoT market to little more than the provision of managed connectivity. They will be competing with companies like PTC, whose CEO co-authored the HBR article with Porter. PTC develops product design and product lifecycle software, and has spent about USD300 million since 2013 acquiring two IoT platform companies –Axeda and ThingWorx. Other than Verizon, and possibly Vodafone, no telecoms operator has spent more on IoT acquisitions. TO PLAY MORE THAN A PERIPHERAL ROLE, OPERATORS NEED TO FOCUS ON THEIR UNIQUE STRENGTHS First and foremost, operators need to decide and articulate what role they aim to play in IoT. Many are unable to articulate their aims in this market clearly, other than the generic ambition of increasing revenue. They have two broad choices, outlined below. Operators should be clear about which choice they have selected and communicate this choice clearly both to the market and internally. • Become a ‘thing’ company, at least in certain vertical markets: Operators can opt to provide an end-to-end solution to customers. For example, they could provide a fleet tracking solution that includes the device, application, connectivity and ongoing support for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) that run a small vehicle fleet. The operator would need to have specific knowledge of a vertical – either internally (typically through acquisitions, as Verizon and Vodafone have done) or through a partner (as Telefónica is doing for fleet management with Geotab and Masternaut). • Provide ‘horizontal’ solutions for IoT to support a range of vertical markets: Operators can provide the supporting capabilities for IoT, such as offering an application platform that can be applied to multiple industrial sectors. For example, the operator could provide the tools with which a partner or reseller could create a fleet tracking tool, but the operator would not sell or support this tool. Many operators are selling managed connectivity as a horizontal tool, but few are doing more than this (few are providing application support, for example). Again, this route can be taken through partners – PTC is one of several application platform providers2 – or through acquisition (Telenor Connexion bought a small integrator, iOWA, to build its horizontal capabilities).
  • 15. Operators also need to invest in networks that are fit for the IoT. Cellular operators have focused on building networks for smartphones – that is, devices that demand ever higher bandwidths and whose batteries can be recharged daily. Many, if not most, IoT devices need only very low-speed connections (1Kbps is often acceptable), but need the battery to last a year or more. Operators in all countries (and not just developed countries) should look at investing in low-power, wide-area networks, such as Sigfox, Semtech, Weightless or LTE-MTC, that cater for the specific needs of IoT devices.3 If they do not, operators risk losing the connectivity revenue and, in so doing, possibly lose the opportunity to gain other IoT revenue. Telecoms operators have extremely strong assets beyond networks that can be applied to M2M and IoT, as we argued in a recent article.4 Few other organisations can complete with a typical operator’s networks of stores, 24/7 support capabilities and the ability to bill millions of customers. These assets may be more valuable than network ownership because many IoT devices need little more than a Wi-Fi connection and no quality of service guarantee for some IoT services. Telecoms operators may not have the same background expertise in products as some other organisations involved in IoT, but they can gain these capabilities – either through partnership or acquisition – and have other unique strengths on which to build. Analysys Mason has supported operator clients on more than 20 M2M and IoT projects in the past year, and publishes research in its IoT and M2M Solutions programme. Recent projects performed by Analysys Mason include: helping an operator in Asia to develop its strategy for M2M by identifying the most attractive vertical markets to approach and identifying partners developing a model for an M2M platform vendor to help potential operator clients compare the cost of buying its solution with that of developing a platform internally. 15 1 Harvard Business School Publishing (Boston, MA, 2014), See How Smart, Connected Products Are Transforming Competition. Available at https://hbr.org/2014/11/how-smart-connected- products-are-transforming-competition. 2 Others include Bosch, Cumulocity, Digi and Xively 3 For more on LPWA, see Analysys Mason’s report Low-powered wireless solutions have the potential to increase the M2M market by over 3 billion connections. Available at www.analysysmason.com/LPWA-Sept2014. Questions? Please feel free to contact Tom Rebbeck, Research Director, at tom.rebbeck@analysysmason.com Operators also need to invest in networks that are fit for the IoT. Cellular operators have focused on building networks for smartphones – that is, devices that demand ever higher bandwidths and whose batteries can be recharged daily. “ ”
  • 16. Our specialist consultants and analysts deliver maximum value to our clients, whatever their challenge and wherever they are in the world 16 Analysys Mason’s expertise in IoT and M2M Examples of recent IoT and M2M client projects, by geography Conducted a study on international opportunities for a European operator Providedan assessment ofa M2M market opportunity f software vendor Produced a report on the use of M2M in the industrial sector for monitoring heavy equipment and dispersedassets” Published a report entitled “Leadershipand technology: M2M insights for mobile networkoperators” Developedforecasts of M2M device connections and revenue for Brazil, the Caribbean, Latin America andworldwide Conducteda studyto determinedemandfor a satellite M2M product and end-user requirements for hardware and software Development of a cost–benefit model for operators and enterprises for Ericsson Sized quick-win opportunitiesin the international M2M market and helpedto develop a long-term M2M strategy fora leading mobile operator Overviewed fleet management in five South-East Asian countries operator,delivered a report onsaleschannel for M2M/IoTservices and the role ofEuropean mobilevirtual network operators (MVNOs) For amajor regional operator,conducted a workshop to assist with IoT and M2M strategy For an operator client, developeda list of over 100 potential partners, with key information for each[e.g. details of existing contracts and partnerships] Countries of IoT and M2M projects Countriesof other projects IoT/M2M client country for a rator g heavy nology: n Con dete tware Size oppo erator For a wo cted M2M ope t etwork Os)ss For dev tracts Deve mod prises Ove in fi gement 360° perspective, working with operators, vendors and regulators *over the past three years UNIQUE INSIGHT ON IoT ISSUES More than 30* IoT assignments in over 30 countries Global specialists with local knowledge Excellent business- planning expertise Unparalleled policy and regulatory expertise and reputation Range of techniques to answer clients’ questions We are world-leading IoT specialists, with extensive thought leadership on the topic We combine global reach and knowledge of IoT issues with local in-depth understanding of specific markets, both developed and developing Past IoT projects have used scenario planning, workshops, consumer research and expert interviews to answer client questions We learn by working on IoT issues from different yet interrelated perspectives, making sure that we provide value to any type of client Our world-class experience of business planning in both IoT and telecoms enables us to assess the emerging opportunities We carry out over 100 regulatory projects a year, and have an in-depth understand- ing of IoT and related telecoms policy and regulatory environments Our expertise in IoT is built on projects performed in multiple regions Examples of recent IoT and M2M client projects, by geography OPERATORS VENDORS REGULATORS AND INDUSTRY BODIES • Operator clients in all regions • Operators of all types – mobile, fixed and integrated operators – single country, regional and global operators • Ericsson • Amdocs • A global IoT platform vendor • A global networking equipment vendor • A development authority in South-East Asia • A western european regulator • GSMA CLIENT TYPE Examples of clients we have worked with examples of recent iot and m2m client projects by client type APPROACHES TO ADDRESS CLIENTS’ CHALLENGES Business case modelling Market sizing and forecasting Go-to-market strategies Strategy sessions Benchmarking and competitive analysis White papers Total cost of ownership (TCO) model for Ericsson’s connectivity platform Review ofinternational opportunities by application area Assessment of M2M resellers and MVNOs Report on OSS/BSS requirements for IoT Assessment of low power, wide area (LPWA) market opportunity Quantitative analysis of the embedded mobile (M2M) market Review of permanent roaming and data sovereignty legislation Review of national opportunities by application area Report on policy implications of IoT for a European regulator Examples of recent IoT and M2M client projects, by value chain element Sales channelDeviceNetwork Application Billing and support Regulation Countries of IoT and M2M projects Countries of other projects IoT/M2M client country Assessed the regulatory implications and regulatory feasibility for the implementation of a new M2M service in a dozen countries For a European operator, conducted a market assessment of a new type of sensor network Supported a leading mobile operator in developing its strategy for IoT and M2M services For a Japanese operator, delivered a report on sales channel for M2M/IoT services and the role of European mobile virtual network operators (MVNOs) Overviewed fleet management in five South-East Asian countries For a major regional operator, conducted a workshop to assist with IoT and M2M strategy For an operator client, developed a list of over 100 potential partners, with key information for each [e.g. details of existing contracts and partnerships] Conducted a study on international opportunities for a European operator Provided an assessment of an M2M market opportunity for a software vendor Produced a report on the use of M2M in the industrial sector for monitoring heavy equipment and dispersed assets” Published a report entitled “Leadership and technology: M2M insights for mobile network operators” Developed forecasts of M2M device connections and revenue for Brazil, the Caribbean, Latin America and worldwide Conducted a study to determine demand for a satellite M2M product and end-user requirements for hardware and software Development of a cost–benefit model for operators and enterprises for Ericsson Sized quick-win opportunities in the international M2M market and helped to develop a long-term M2M strategy for a leading mobile operator
  • 17. We have performed projects addressing all parts of the value chain 17 We have a 360-degree perspective on IoT having worked with operators, vendors and regulators We follow a wide range of approaches in our projects, tailored to our clients’ needs OPERATORS VENDORS REGULATORS AND INDUSTRY BODIES • Operator clients in all regions • Operators of all types – mobile, fixed and integrated operators – single country, regional and global operators • Ericsson • Amdocs • A global IoT platform vendor • A global networking equipment vendor • A development authority in South-East Asia • A western european regulator • GSMA CLIENT TYPE Examples of clients we have worked with examples of recent iot and m2m client projects by client type APPROACHES TO ADDRESS CLIENTS’ CHALLENGES Business case modelling Market sizing and forecasting Go-to-market strategies Strategy sessions Benchmarking and competitive analysis White papers Total cost of ownership (TCO) model for Ericsson’s connectivity platform Review ofinternational opportunities by application area Assessment of M2M resellers and MVNOs Report on OSS/BSS requirements for IoT Assessment of low power, wide area (LPWA) market opportunity Quantitative analysis of the embedded mobile (M2M) market Review of permanent roaming and data sovereignty legislation Review of national opportunities by application area Report on policy implications of IoT for a European regulator Examples of recent IoT and M2M client projects, by value chain element Sales channelDeviceNetwork Application Billing and support Regulation Examples of recent IoT and M2M client projects, by geography Assessedthe regulatory implications and regulatory feasibility for the implementation of a new M2M service in a dozen countries Conducted a study on international opportunities for a European operator Providedan assessment ofa M2M market opportunity f software vendor Produced a report on the use of M2M in the industrial sector for monitoring heavy equipment and dispersedassets” Published a report entitled “Leadershipand technology: M2M insights for mobile networkoperators” Developedforecasts of M2M device connections and revenue for Brazil, the Caribbean, Latin America andworldwide Conducteda studyto determinedemandfor a satellite M2M product and end-user requirements for hardware and software Development of a cost–benefit model for operators and enterprises for Ericsson Sized quick-win opportunitiesin the international M2M market and helpedto develop a long-term M2M strategy fora leading mobile operator Supporteda leading mobile operator in developing its strategy for IoT and M2M services For a European operator, conducted a market assessment of a new type of sensor network Overviewed fleet management in five South-East Asian countries For a Japanese operator,delivered a report onsaleschannel for M2M/IoTservices and the role ofEuropean mobilevirtual network operators (MVNOs) For amajor regional operator,conducted a workshop to assist with IoT and M2M strategy For an operator client, developeda list of over 100 potential partners, with key information for each[e.g. details of existing contracts and partnerships] Countries of IoT and M2M projects Countriesof other projects IoT/M2M client country entation ntries for a rator g heavy nology: n w type For a m Con dete tware Size oppo erator For a wo cted M2M Sup ope trategy For ope t etwork Os)ss For dev tracts Deve mod prises Ove in fi gement 360° perspective, working with operators, vendors and regulators UNIQUE INSIGHT ON IoT ISSUES More than 30* IoT assignments in over 30 countries Global specialists with local knowledge Excellent business- planning Range of techniques to answer clients’ We are world-leading IoT specialists, with extensive thought leadership on the topic We combine global reach and knowledge of IoT issues with local in-depth understanding of specific markets, both developed and developing Past IoT projects have used scenario planning, workshops, consumer research and expert We learn by working on IoT issues from different yet interrelated perspectives, making sure that we provide value to any type of client Our world-class experience of business planning in both IoT and telecoms enables us to assess the emerging OPERATORS VENDORS REGULATORS AND INDUSTRY BODIES • Operator clients in all regions • Operators of all types – mobile, fixed and integrated operators – single country, regional and global operators • Ericsson • Amdocs • A global IoT platform vendor • A global networking equipment vendor • A development authority in South-East Asia • A western european regulator • GSMA CLIENT TYPE Examples of clients we have worked with examples of recent iot and m2m client projects by client type APPROACHES TO ADDRESS CLIENTS’ CHALLENGES Business case modelling Market sizing and forecasting Go-to-market strategies Strategy sessions Benchmarking and competitive analysis White papers Total cost of ownership (TCO) model for Ericsson’s connectivity platform Review ofinternational opportunities by application area Assessment of M2M resellers and MVNOs Report on OSS/BSS requirements for IoT Review of national opportunities by application area Examples of recent IoT and M2M client projects, by value chain element Sales DeviceNetwork Application Billing and OPERATORS VENDORS REGULATORS AND INDUSTRY BODIES • Operator clients in all regions • Operators of all types – mobile, fixed and integrated operators – single country, regional and global operators • Ericsson • Amdocs • A global IoT platform vendor • A global networking equipment vendor • A development authority in South-East Asia • A western european regulator • GSMA CLIENT TYPE Examples of clients we have worked with examples of recent iot and m2m client projects by client type APPROACHES TO ADDRESS CLIENTS’ CHALLENGES Business case modelling Market sizing and forecasting Go-to-market strategies Strategy sessions Benchmarking and competitive analysis White papers Total cost of ownership (TCO) model for Ericsson’s connectivity platform Review ofinternational opportunities by application area Assessment of M2M resellers and MVNOs Report on OSS/BSS requirements for IoT Review of national opportunities by application area Examples of recent IoT and M2M client projects, by value chain element Sales DeviceNetwork Application Billing and
  • 18. 18 Analysys Mason is the global specialist adviser on telecoms, media and technology (TMT). Since 1985, Analysys Mason has played an influential role in key industry milestones and helping clients through major shifts in the market. We continue to be at the forefront of developments in the digital economy and are advising clients on new business strategies to address disruptive technologies. See what clients have to say about working with us: www.analysysmason.com/client-testimonials ABOUT OUR SERVICES At Analysys Mason, we understand that clients in the TMT industry operate in dynamic markets where change is constant. Our consulting and research has helped shape clients’ understanding of the future so they can thrive in these demanding conditions. CONSULTING • We deliver tangible benefits to clients across the TMT industry: operators, vendors, governments, regulators, service and content providers, financial institutions and private equities etc. • Our sector specialists understand the distinct territorial challenges facing clients, in addition to the wider effects of global forces. • We are future-focused and help clients understand the challenges and opportunities new technology brings. RESEARCH • Our dedicated team of analysts track and forecast the different services accessed by consumers and enterprises. • We also offer detailed insight into the software, infrastructure and technology delivering those services. • Clients benefit from regular and timely intelligence, and direct access to analysts. TMT INDUSTRY DYNAMICS Maximising operational efficency Reducing churn and aquiring customers on Positioning for the digital economy Monetising data services Regulation and policy Consumer and SME services Digital economy Regional markets Network technologies Telecoms software Performance Improvement Transaction support Strategy and  planning RESEARCH CONSULTING CUSTOMRESE ARCH About Analysys Mason “ Analysys Mason is the global specialist adviser on telecoms, media and technology (TMT). Since 1985, Analysys Mason has played an influential role in key industry milestones and helping clients through major shifts in the market. We continue to be at the forefront of developments in the digital economy and are advising clients on new business strategies to address disruptive technologies. ”
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