Hera Group 2011 annual results
10th financial report since establishment

Analyst presentation,        22nd March 2012
2011 results at a Glance

2011 annual growth rates                                                             Strong set of achievements in 2011
(%)
                                                                                     Growth underpinned by all businesses, and
      +11.3%
                                                                                     particularly by Energy activities with commercial
                                                                                     development and procurement position posting
                        +6.2%               +6.1%                                    net growth.
                                                              +5.3%


                                                                                     M&A included Sadori Gas and 50% JV
                                                                                     Enomondo (+9m€).
 Revenues               Ebitda              Ebit           Net Profit*
                                                                                     Positive free cash flows* accounting 317m€
* Adjusted for extraordinary benefits related to advanced payments of deferred tax
                                                                                     capex. Debt at 1.987m€ enhanced in Q4 (by
                                                                                     ~68m€).
Growing Ebitda and Ebit throughout
the crisis                                                                           Positive results in all businesses driving Ebitda
(m€)                                                                                 up by +37.5m€ in line with business plan target.
                                                 607             645
                                567                                                  Limited impact of additional Robin tax and
                528
453
                                                                                     IRAP.

                                                       315
                                                                        334          Proposed dividend per share at 9c€.
                        281           291
       221
                                                                                     Confirming resilience in each year
                                                                                     of crisis period.
      2007             2008           2009             2010            2011
   Ebitda       Ebit
                                                                                     *Before M&A and Dividends
                                                                                                                                         1
2011 Financial report: 10th since establishment

        Ever growing operating results                                               Maintaining sustainable Debt/Ebitda
        (m€)
                                                                       645
                                                                                 4
700.0
                                                                607
                                                                                                                                        3.3x
                                                         567                                                                3.2x 3.0x          3.1x   3.1x
600.0                                                                                                                2.8x
                                                  528
                                                                                 3                            2.5x
500.0                                427   454
                              386
400.0                                                                                             1.8x 1.9x
                       293                        281    291
                                                                315    334
                                                                                 2
300.0          243                   231   221
                                                                                        1.3x
        192                   216
                       177
200.0
               113                                                               1
        78                                                       Ebitda
100.0
                                                                 Ebit
  0.0                                                                            0
        '02    '03     '04    '05    '06   '07    '08    '09    '10    '11                  '02   '03   '04   '05    '06    '07   '08   '09    '10    '11

        Overcoming peak in capex*                                                    Progressing dividend per share
        (m€)                                                                         (€c)


                                     505                                        10                                                             9.0     9.0
  500                                       472                                  9
                               442                 427    429                                                        8.0    8.0   8.0    8.0
                                                                                 8
  400                                                                                                         7.0
                                                                 354             7
                321                                                       325                           6.0
                        291                                                      6
  300                                                                                             5.3
                                                                                 5
  200    177                                                                     4      3.5
                                                                                 3
  100                                                                            2
         '02    '03     '04    '05   '06    '07    '08    '09    '10      '11          '02        '03   '04   '05    '06    '07   '08   '09    '10     '11
        *Gross capex


                                                                                                                                                             2
2011 results in line with planning and track records



                                                                                                            Enhancement of tariffs,
                                                                   2010%          2011        Ch.%          energy prices and
 Contribution from all                                                                                      volumes sold/traded.
 businesses and drivers.      Revenues                          3,877.3        4,315.9            +11.3%
                              Ebitda                              607.3          644.8              +6.2%
                              Depreciation                         (223.2)        (233.8)           +4.7%
                                                                                                            Conservative accruals to
                              Provisions                            (68.7)          (76.6)        +11.4%    bad debts (49.7 m€) in
                              Ebit                                 315.4          334.5             +6.1%   difficult scenario and
                              Net financial Interests             (102.0)         (106.4)           +4.3%   includes 7.3m€ for
 Financial inc./exp.          IAS figurative interest*              (13.6)         (13.1)          (3.1%)   “salvaguardia service”.
 slightly increased in ‘11.
                              Results from associates                  5.8            6.3           +8.9%
                              Pre tax Profit                       205.6          221.2             +7.6%
                              Tax adjusted                          (88.6)        (102.0)         +15.1%
 ‘10 taxes affected by        Net Profit adj.                      117.0          119.2             +1.9%   2011 taxes include
 extraord. benefits from                                                                                    increased Robin tax and
                              Minorities                            (24.8)         (22.2)         (10.8%)
 advanced payments of                                                                                       IRAP (by 4.9m€) and
                              Hera Net Profit adj.                 92.2            97.1             +5.3%   extraord. benefits from
 deferred taxes (~25m€).
                                                                                                            advanced payments of
                              Net profit reported                 117.2          104.6            (10.8%)   deferred taxes (by
                              * IAS figurative interests ("non cash out") related to provisions             7.6m€).




                                                                                                                                       3
All value drivers contributed to growth

 Ebitda growth drivers
 (m€)                                      +6.2%
700

                                  +9.0   644.8     Organic Growth fuelled by Energy
                +22.5    +6.0
        607.3                                      activities (Ebitda from 107m€ to 138m€).
600
                                                   Increase in tariffs, customers, cross selling
                                                   and synergies.
500


                                                   New plants: WTE Rimini reached full
400
                                                   capacity with power gen. turbine.
        2010    Syn &     New     M&A    2011
                Org.G.   Plants
                                                   M&A relates to JV Enomondo (50% pro
                                                   quota consolidation) and Sadori Gas merger
                                                   (accounted for from 1 July ‘11).
 Ebitda by strategic areas
 (m€)


                                                   Portfolio activities show increasing Ebitda
                                                   during last 4 years (+9.2% cagr).
                                                   Both regulated and liberalised activities
                                                   confirmed positive growth.
                                                   Energy activities outperformed in last 4
                                                   years (+33.8% cagr).




                                                                                                   4
Positive cash flows before M&A and dividends

       2011 cash flows
       (m€)                                                                    2011 free cash generation fully funded net
            +401                                                               capex by 317 m€. Working Capital in line
                                                                               with 2010 despite significant turnover
                   (317)                                                       increase.
                                +2
                                      (50)
                                               +35
       0
                                                        (117)                  Financial debt reduced in Q4 from 2.055 b€
                                                                (45)   (127)   to 1.987 b€ thanks to better working capital
                                                                               management and cash flow generation.
           Op.CF* Net NWC Prov. CF pre Div. & M&A Debt
                  Capex        extraord. Min. Other Ch.
                                                                               No refinancing issues (available committed
       * Operating cash flows=Nnet profit + D&A+IAS interests                  credit lines reached ~400m€ as at today).


           Net debt change by quarters
           (m€)
             +14                                                               Financial soundness confirmed:

             Q1            Q2           Q3             Q4       Y2011                D/Ebitda: Stable at 3.1x
 -50
                         (125)                                                       D/Equity: 1.06x

-150                                    (84)
                                                                 (127)               Duration: over 9 years on avg.
                                                       +68



-250
                                                                                                                              5
Capital expenditure commitments confirmed


 Capital exp. & investments
 (m€)
                                      Capex further decreased in 2011 mainly
                                      due to the completion of WTE plants.
                    2010     2011

 Waste               98.7     70.1
 Water               94.2    100.6
 Gas                 48.8     52.2    56% capex on regulated asset base.
 Electricity         39.0     33.8
 Other               13.3     14.0
 Holding             51.8     54.2
 Capex              345.8    324.9    Electricity “smart meters” roll out program
 Investments           8.1      0.0
 (Dismissions)      (12.0)    (7.5)
                                      completed.
 Net Capex & Inv.   341.9    317.4


                                      District Heating network expanded also in
                                      2011 to optimize stream from generation
                                      assets.




                                                                                    6
WASTE: Tackling with a tough scenario

      Financial highlights (m€)
                                     2010%      2011         Ch. %
                                                                             Revenues up +5.3% driven by electricity
                                                                             production revenues (+18%) and regulated
      Revenues                       703.1      740.1          +5.3%
                                                                             activities (+4%). Urban waste tariffs up by +3.3%.
      Ebitda                         195.1      194.2          (0.5%)

                                                                             Economic slow down impact on Ebitda almost
      Volumes                                                                fully compensated by Rimini WTE results (at full
                                                                             regime with electric turbine) and by Enomondo
                                       2010         2011           Ch.%
                                                                             consolidation (pro-quota by 50%;+7.5m€ effect).
      Urban W. Volumes                1,864.1      1,808.7          (3.0%)
      Special W. Volumes              1,608.5      1,573.3          (2.2%)
      Total from 3rd parties          3,472.6      3,382.0          (2.6%)   Treatment mix managed to exploit green power
      Of which:                                                              generation capacity (0.7 TWh generated up by
      Landfill disposals              1,429.7      1,268.3         (11.3%)
      WTE treatment                     800.6        923.0         +15.3%
                                                                             +31%), of WTE and biomass plants. Enhancement
      Composting treatment              463.8        574.7         +23.9%    to 50.5% of sorted urban w. collection.

                                                                             The tender for industrial partner, aimed at construct
      Ebitda track record since 2002                                         and manage a new WTE in Florence province,
      (m€)
                                                                             was assigned to Hera in November 2011.
                                             186    187   195        194
200
                                       156
                         131
                               151                                           Tackling with tough economic scenario
                                                                             (since 2008), focusing on high value
100                86
       58    62                                                              added activities (’11 Ebitda margin 26.2% ).

  0
       '02   '03   '04   '05   '06     '07   '08    '09      '10     '11
                                                                                                                                     7
WATER: Committed to reach proper returns

      Financial highlights (m€)
                                       2010%       2011          Ch. %         Tariffs increase of +3.4% slightly offset by
                                       160.1           158.3           -1.1%   persistent slow down in works for third parties.
      Revenues                         579.2       596.7          +3.0%
      Ebitda                           142.0       150.2          +5.8%
                                                                               Ebitda reflects also efficiency improvements
                                                                               partially compensating higher electricity costs
                                                                               (pumping plants of soil water).
      Volumes
                                                                               Real estate industry      still   affecting   new
      Data                               2010           2011           Ch.%
                                                                               connection activity.
      Aqueduct (mm3)                     250.8           253.7         +1.2%
      Sewerage (mm3)                     220.0           222.6         +1.2%   Confirmed original concession length (up to
      Purification (mm3)                 220.0           221.4         +0.6%   2022 on avg).

                                                                               2012 tariff increases safeguarded by Ato
                                                                               agreements (still in force) to progress toward
      Ebitda track record since 2002                                           proper returns (agreements in Bologna and
      (m€)
                                                                               Modena expire in 2015 and 2014 respectively).
200
                                                                 142 150
                                         119
                                                 130     131                   Uninterrupted resilient track record in
                                 108
100                77
                           94                                                  10 financial reports in a row.
             66
       54


  0
       '02   '03   '04     '05   '06     '07     '08     '09     '10    '11

                                                                                                                                   8
Gas: still benefitting from commercial activities

      Financial highlights (m€)
                                         2010%       2011           Ch. %          Revenues growth mainly driven by
                                                                                   higher commodity prices, larger trading
      Revenues                     1,237.1         1,490.2          +20.5%         volumes (+73.5%) offsetting mild winter
      Ebitda                         193.9           208.7           +7.6%         season.

                                                                                   Ebitda increase mainly driven by supply
      Volumes and customers                                                        and trading activities. Slow down in
      Data                                2010            2011            Ch.%     District Heating activities due to mild
      Volumes sold (mm 3 )               2,914.0         3,321.0      +14.0%
                                                                                   winter (-5m€).
      of which trading (mm 3 )             721.8          1,252.6     +73.5%
      District Heating (GWht)             534.5           499.3           (6.6%)
                                                                                   Net growth in customer base through
      Customers ('000)                    1072.5          1114.5          +3.9%
                                                                                   commercial expansion and M&A (Sadori
                                                                                   Gas).

      Ebitda track record since 2002
      (m€)                                                                         Purchase    portfolio   for   2012/2013
                                                                                   ongoing.
                                                                    194    209
200                                                       174
                                                 144                               Sharp Ebitda increase record year
                             119   116
              100    106                  105                                      by year during crisis thanks to
100    70
                                                                                   flexible procurement policies.
  0
       '02    '03    '04     '05   '06    '07      '08    '09       '10    '11
                                                                                                                             9
Electricity: fast market expansion still progressing

      Financial highlights (m€)
                                                                             Revenues growth mainly driven by higher
                                    2010%        2011       Ch. %            volumes (+29.1%) related to “salvaguardia”
      Revenues                 1,468.3         1,585.2          +8.0%        services and market expansion (+25k and
      Ebitda                      59.8            73.2         +22.5%        +75k customers respectively).


                                                                             Commercial margins and power purchases
      Volumes and customers                                                  offset negative performance of power
      Data                            2010            2011           Ch.%
                                                                             generation assets.

      Volumes sold (GWh)             7,744.0         9,996.1        +29.1%
      Volumes distrib. (GWh)         2,237.8         2,303.9         +3.0%   Performance of distribution      activities
      Customers ('000)                 382.5           482.1        +26.0%   confirmed stable (+1m€).


                                                                             Ebitda margin up by 50 bp.
      Ebitda track record since 2002
100   (m€)

                                                                      73

                                               54      53
                                                               60            Ebitda positive trend reflects short
                                      43                                     position in power generation.
                         23    25
        9    8     7
  0
       '02   '03   '04   '05   '06    '07      '08    '09      '10    '11

                                                                                                                           10
Closing remarks



‘11 results in line with plan target                                         Strong competitiveness on energy market
                                        Business plan             2011       and positive developments on related
                                                                             activities    underpinned       positive
Ebitda avg. growth (%)                            +5.7%         +6.2% ✔      performance.
Capex reduction (m€/Y)                              345           317    ✔
Cash flows                                     increase           +35    ✔
Dividend policy                            no decrease          Stable   ✔
                                                                             Business portfolio resilience shown also
Financial structure soundness                  enhance          Stable   ✔   during long crisis period.
Market development :
Electricity                                          +60k         +100k ✔    All business plan targets achieved.
Gas                                                  +20k          +42k ✔


                                                                             M&A strengthened Waste asset base with a
                                                                             new biomass plant. Sadori Gas (accounted
                                                                             for from 1 July) merged.
Market multiples*
                                                  2010           2011        Solid financial structure (3.1x D/Ebitda
                                                                             confirmed), no refinancing issues and D/E at
MKT Cap/Book value                                1.0x          0.69x        1.1x
EV/Ebitda                                         5.9x           4.9x
P/E                                              14.8x          11.4x
Dividend Yield                                   5.8%           8.4%         DPS of 9 €c confirmed.
*Calculated on 31/12/2010 and 21/03/2012 market prices respectively.




                                                                                                                            11
10Y Hera market multiples
10Y market valuation Multiples*

      EV/Ebitda                                                                          P/E
12                                 10,6x                        -16%
11                                         10,0x                                                                                                            -21%
10                                                                                  45
                                                                                    44
                            8,5x
                                                                                    43
                                                                                    42
 9                   8,0x                                                           41
                                                                                    40                                     37,2x
                                                                                    39
                                                                                    38
 8                                                                                  37
                                                                                    36
                                                                                    35                                             32,3x
 7     6,4x 5,9x                                   6,1x 6,3x                        34     29,7x           31,4x
                                                                5,9x                33
                                                                                    32
 6                                                                     5,0x         31
                                                                                    30                             28,6x
                                                                                    29
                                                                                    28
 5                                                                                  27
                                                                                    26
                                                                                    25                                                             23,4x
 4                                                                                  24
                                                                                    23
                                                                                    22
                                                                                    21             19,9x
 3                                                                                  20
                                                                                    19
                                                                                    18
                                                                                                                                           17,7x
 2                                                                                  17
                                                                                    16                                                                     14,8x
                                                                                    15
                                                                                    14                                                                             11,7x
 1                                                                                  13
                                                                                    12
                                                                                    11
 0                                                                                  10
                                                                                     9
                                                                                     8
       '02    '03    '04    '05     '06    '07     '08    '09   '10    '11                 '02      '03     '04    '05     '06     '07     '08     '09      '10     '11



      Mkt cap/Book value                                                                 Dividend yield                                                    +42%
                                                                -30%          10,00%
2,4                                 2,3x                                                                                                                           8,2%
                                           2,1x
                                                                                                                                                           5,8%
                     1,7x                                                                                                                          5,4%
                            1,6x                                                                                                           4,9%
                                                                                                    4,3%
1,4    1,2x                                                                                2,8%            2,8%
                                                                                                                   3,1%
              1,1x                                 1,1x
                                                          1,0x 1,0x                                                        2,4% 2,6%

                                                                       0,7x
                                                                                0,00%
0,4
                                                                                             '02    '03     '04     '05     '06    '07     '08     '09     '10     '11
       '02    '03     '04   '05     '06     '07    '08    '09   '10    '11

                                                                *multiples calculated on year end market prices of each year (in 2002 IPO price is the reference).
                                                                                                                                                                           12

Analyst presentation 2011

  • 1.
    Hera Group 2011annual results 10th financial report since establishment Analyst presentation, 22nd March 2012
  • 2.
    2011 results ata Glance 2011 annual growth rates Strong set of achievements in 2011 (%) Growth underpinned by all businesses, and +11.3% particularly by Energy activities with commercial development and procurement position posting +6.2% +6.1% net growth. +5.3% M&A included Sadori Gas and 50% JV Enomondo (+9m€). Revenues Ebitda Ebit Net Profit* Positive free cash flows* accounting 317m€ * Adjusted for extraordinary benefits related to advanced payments of deferred tax capex. Debt at 1.987m€ enhanced in Q4 (by ~68m€). Growing Ebitda and Ebit throughout the crisis Positive results in all businesses driving Ebitda (m€) up by +37.5m€ in line with business plan target. 607 645 567 Limited impact of additional Robin tax and 528 453 IRAP. 315 334 Proposed dividend per share at 9c€. 281 291 221 Confirming resilience in each year of crisis period. 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Ebitda Ebit *Before M&A and Dividends 1
  • 3.
    2011 Financial report:10th since establishment Ever growing operating results Maintaining sustainable Debt/Ebitda (m€) 645 4 700.0 607 3.3x 567 3.2x 3.0x 3.1x 3.1x 600.0 2.8x 528 3 2.5x 500.0 427 454 386 400.0 1.8x 1.9x 293 281 291 315 334 2 300.0 243 231 221 1.3x 192 216 177 200.0 113 1 78 Ebitda 100.0 Ebit 0.0 0 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 Overcoming peak in capex* Progressing dividend per share (m€) (€c) 505 10 9.0 9.0 500 472 9 442 427 429 8.0 8.0 8.0 8.0 8 400 7.0 354 7 321 325 6.0 291 6 300 5.3 5 200 177 4 3.5 3 100 2 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 *Gross capex 2
  • 4.
    2011 results inline with planning and track records Enhancement of tariffs, 2010% 2011 Ch.% energy prices and Contribution from all volumes sold/traded. businesses and drivers. Revenues 3,877.3 4,315.9 +11.3% Ebitda 607.3 644.8 +6.2% Depreciation (223.2) (233.8) +4.7% Conservative accruals to Provisions (68.7) (76.6) +11.4% bad debts (49.7 m€) in Ebit 315.4 334.5 +6.1% difficult scenario and Net financial Interests (102.0) (106.4) +4.3% includes 7.3m€ for Financial inc./exp. IAS figurative interest* (13.6) (13.1) (3.1%) “salvaguardia service”. slightly increased in ‘11. Results from associates 5.8 6.3 +8.9% Pre tax Profit 205.6 221.2 +7.6% Tax adjusted (88.6) (102.0) +15.1% ‘10 taxes affected by Net Profit adj. 117.0 119.2 +1.9% 2011 taxes include extraord. benefits from increased Robin tax and Minorities (24.8) (22.2) (10.8%) advanced payments of IRAP (by 4.9m€) and Hera Net Profit adj. 92.2 97.1 +5.3% extraord. benefits from deferred taxes (~25m€). advanced payments of Net profit reported 117.2 104.6 (10.8%) deferred taxes (by * IAS figurative interests ("non cash out") related to provisions 7.6m€). 3
  • 5.
    All value driverscontributed to growth Ebitda growth drivers (m€) +6.2% 700 +9.0 644.8 Organic Growth fuelled by Energy +22.5 +6.0 607.3 activities (Ebitda from 107m€ to 138m€). 600 Increase in tariffs, customers, cross selling and synergies. 500 New plants: WTE Rimini reached full 400 capacity with power gen. turbine. 2010 Syn & New M&A 2011 Org.G. Plants M&A relates to JV Enomondo (50% pro quota consolidation) and Sadori Gas merger (accounted for from 1 July ‘11). Ebitda by strategic areas (m€) Portfolio activities show increasing Ebitda during last 4 years (+9.2% cagr). Both regulated and liberalised activities confirmed positive growth. Energy activities outperformed in last 4 years (+33.8% cagr). 4
  • 6.
    Positive cash flowsbefore M&A and dividends 2011 cash flows (m€) 2011 free cash generation fully funded net +401 capex by 317 m€. Working Capital in line with 2010 despite significant turnover (317) increase. +2 (50) +35 0 (117) Financial debt reduced in Q4 from 2.055 b€ (45) (127) to 1.987 b€ thanks to better working capital management and cash flow generation. Op.CF* Net NWC Prov. CF pre Div. & M&A Debt Capex extraord. Min. Other Ch. No refinancing issues (available committed * Operating cash flows=Nnet profit + D&A+IAS interests credit lines reached ~400m€ as at today). Net debt change by quarters (m€) +14 Financial soundness confirmed: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Y2011 D/Ebitda: Stable at 3.1x -50 (125) D/Equity: 1.06x -150 (84) (127) Duration: over 9 years on avg. +68 -250 5
  • 7.
    Capital expenditure commitmentsconfirmed Capital exp. & investments (m€) Capex further decreased in 2011 mainly due to the completion of WTE plants. 2010 2011 Waste 98.7 70.1 Water 94.2 100.6 Gas 48.8 52.2 56% capex on regulated asset base. Electricity 39.0 33.8 Other 13.3 14.0 Holding 51.8 54.2 Capex 345.8 324.9 Electricity “smart meters” roll out program Investments 8.1 0.0 (Dismissions) (12.0) (7.5) completed. Net Capex & Inv. 341.9 317.4 District Heating network expanded also in 2011 to optimize stream from generation assets. 6
  • 8.
    WASTE: Tackling witha tough scenario Financial highlights (m€) 2010% 2011 Ch. % Revenues up +5.3% driven by electricity production revenues (+18%) and regulated Revenues 703.1 740.1 +5.3% activities (+4%). Urban waste tariffs up by +3.3%. Ebitda 195.1 194.2 (0.5%) Economic slow down impact on Ebitda almost Volumes fully compensated by Rimini WTE results (at full regime with electric turbine) and by Enomondo 2010 2011 Ch.% consolidation (pro-quota by 50%;+7.5m€ effect). Urban W. Volumes 1,864.1 1,808.7 (3.0%) Special W. Volumes 1,608.5 1,573.3 (2.2%) Total from 3rd parties 3,472.6 3,382.0 (2.6%) Treatment mix managed to exploit green power Of which: generation capacity (0.7 TWh generated up by Landfill disposals 1,429.7 1,268.3 (11.3%) WTE treatment 800.6 923.0 +15.3% +31%), of WTE and biomass plants. Enhancement Composting treatment 463.8 574.7 +23.9% to 50.5% of sorted urban w. collection. The tender for industrial partner, aimed at construct Ebitda track record since 2002 and manage a new WTE in Florence province, (m€) was assigned to Hera in November 2011. 186 187 195 194 200 156 131 151 Tackling with tough economic scenario (since 2008), focusing on high value 100 86 58 62 added activities (’11 Ebitda margin 26.2% ). 0 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 7
  • 9.
    WATER: Committed toreach proper returns Financial highlights (m€) 2010% 2011 Ch. % Tariffs increase of +3.4% slightly offset by 160.1 158.3 -1.1% persistent slow down in works for third parties. Revenues 579.2 596.7 +3.0% Ebitda 142.0 150.2 +5.8% Ebitda reflects also efficiency improvements partially compensating higher electricity costs (pumping plants of soil water). Volumes Real estate industry still affecting new Data 2010 2011 Ch.% connection activity. Aqueduct (mm3) 250.8 253.7 +1.2% Sewerage (mm3) 220.0 222.6 +1.2% Confirmed original concession length (up to Purification (mm3) 220.0 221.4 +0.6% 2022 on avg). 2012 tariff increases safeguarded by Ato agreements (still in force) to progress toward Ebitda track record since 2002 proper returns (agreements in Bologna and (m€) Modena expire in 2015 and 2014 respectively). 200 142 150 119 130 131 Uninterrupted resilient track record in 108 100 77 94 10 financial reports in a row. 66 54 0 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 8
  • 10.
    Gas: still benefittingfrom commercial activities Financial highlights (m€) 2010% 2011 Ch. % Revenues growth mainly driven by higher commodity prices, larger trading Revenues 1,237.1 1,490.2 +20.5% volumes (+73.5%) offsetting mild winter Ebitda 193.9 208.7 +7.6% season. Ebitda increase mainly driven by supply Volumes and customers and trading activities. Slow down in Data 2010 2011 Ch.% District Heating activities due to mild Volumes sold (mm 3 ) 2,914.0 3,321.0 +14.0% winter (-5m€). of which trading (mm 3 ) 721.8 1,252.6 +73.5% District Heating (GWht) 534.5 499.3 (6.6%) Net growth in customer base through Customers ('000) 1072.5 1114.5 +3.9% commercial expansion and M&A (Sadori Gas). Ebitda track record since 2002 (m€) Purchase portfolio for 2012/2013 ongoing. 194 209 200 174 144 Sharp Ebitda increase record year 119 116 100 106 105 by year during crisis thanks to 100 70 flexible procurement policies. 0 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 9
  • 11.
    Electricity: fast marketexpansion still progressing Financial highlights (m€) Revenues growth mainly driven by higher 2010% 2011 Ch. % volumes (+29.1%) related to “salvaguardia” Revenues 1,468.3 1,585.2 +8.0% services and market expansion (+25k and Ebitda 59.8 73.2 +22.5% +75k customers respectively). Commercial margins and power purchases Volumes and customers offset negative performance of power Data 2010 2011 Ch.% generation assets. Volumes sold (GWh) 7,744.0 9,996.1 +29.1% Volumes distrib. (GWh) 2,237.8 2,303.9 +3.0% Performance of distribution activities Customers ('000) 382.5 482.1 +26.0% confirmed stable (+1m€). Ebitda margin up by 50 bp. Ebitda track record since 2002 100 (m€) 73 54 53 60 Ebitda positive trend reflects short 43 position in power generation. 23 25 9 8 7 0 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 10
  • 12.
    Closing remarks ‘11 resultsin line with plan target Strong competitiveness on energy market Business plan 2011 and positive developments on related activities underpinned positive Ebitda avg. growth (%) +5.7% +6.2% ✔ performance. Capex reduction (m€/Y) 345 317 ✔ Cash flows increase +35 ✔ Dividend policy no decrease Stable ✔ Business portfolio resilience shown also Financial structure soundness enhance Stable ✔ during long crisis period. Market development : Electricity +60k +100k ✔ All business plan targets achieved. Gas +20k +42k ✔ M&A strengthened Waste asset base with a new biomass plant. Sadori Gas (accounted for from 1 July) merged. Market multiples* 2010 2011 Solid financial structure (3.1x D/Ebitda confirmed), no refinancing issues and D/E at MKT Cap/Book value 1.0x 0.69x 1.1x EV/Ebitda 5.9x 4.9x P/E 14.8x 11.4x Dividend Yield 5.8% 8.4% DPS of 9 €c confirmed. *Calculated on 31/12/2010 and 21/03/2012 market prices respectively. 11
  • 13.
    10Y Hera marketmultiples
  • 14.
    10Y market valuationMultiples* EV/Ebitda P/E 12 10,6x -16% 11 10,0x -21% 10 45 44 8,5x 43 42 9 8,0x 41 40 37,2x 39 38 8 37 36 35 32,3x 7 6,4x 5,9x 6,1x 6,3x 34 29,7x 31,4x 5,9x 33 32 6 5,0x 31 30 28,6x 29 28 5 27 26 25 23,4x 4 24 23 22 21 19,9x 3 20 19 18 17,7x 2 17 16 14,8x 15 14 11,7x 1 13 12 11 0 10 9 8 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 Mkt cap/Book value Dividend yield +42% -30% 10,00% 2,4 2,3x 8,2% 2,1x 5,8% 1,7x 5,4% 1,6x 4,9% 4,3% 1,4 1,2x 2,8% 2,8% 3,1% 1,1x 1,1x 1,0x 1,0x 2,4% 2,6% 0,7x 0,00% 0,4 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 *multiples calculated on year end market prices of each year (in 2002 IPO price is the reference). 12