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All Work and No Pay: The Impact of Forfeited Time Off 
October 2014 
As prepared by: 
Oxford Economics 
September 2014
Key Findings 
• Americans are taking less vacation time than at any point in the last nearly four decades. In 2013, 
employees entitled to paid time off (PTO) took and average of 16 days of vacation compared to an 
average of 20 days as recently as 2000. 
• Among employees with PTO, nearly five days went unused in 2013. Of those five days, 1.6 days 
will be permanently lost, totaling 169 million days across the workforce. 
• By choosing to work instead of taking PTO, employees are essentially working for their employers 
for free. The 169 million days of forfeited PTO equates to $52.4 billion in lost benefits. 
• Employees who forfeit PTO do not receive raises or bonuses at a faster rate than those who take 
all of their vacation time. However, employees leaving days on the table report higher levels of 
stress at work. 
1
Methodology 
Oxford Economics’ analysis is based on the Monthly Current Population Survey results reported by the 
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and a June 2014 survey of 1,303 American workers conducted 
by GfK Public Affairs and Corporate Communications in conjunction with Oxford Economics. The BLS 
data compiles long-term vacation activity, while the GfK results indicate average vacation days taken. 
By combining the two data sources, Oxford Economics determined long-term, historical vacation 
activity among American workers. 
For a full methodology, refer to page 41. 
2
Long Term Trends in Vacation Usage
Long Term Trends Vacation Usage Show Steady Decline 
 Analysis of BLS data shows a steady decline in the number of vacation days taken by Americans 
over the past two decades. 
 In 2013, employees with paid time off took 16.0 days of paid leave. As recently as the 2005 to 
2010 period, Oxford Economics estimates employed adults took an average of 18.1 days of 
vacation annually. Over the long-term period from 1976 to 2000, annual vacation time used 
averaged 20.3 days. 
 If Americans returned to vacation patterns experienced on average from 1976 to 2000 (20.3 days 
per year on average), annual vacation days taken by employed people would increase 27%, 
which would be equivalent to 768 million additional days of vacation at a national level (4.3 
additional vacation days, times 179 million employed people based on Bureau of Economic 
Analysis). 
4
Long Term Trends Vacation Usage Show Steady Decline 
 If Americans were to use those 768 million days, it would result in $284 billion of economic 
impact, including $118 billion in direct travel spending. 
 Full-week vacations have steadily declined over the more than 35 years covered by the survey. 
The impact of this decline was offset by increased incidence of partial-week vacations through 
the mid-1990s. Since then, the frequency of partial-week vacations has eased, even as the 
frequency of full-week vacations has continued to decline. 
5
Annual Vacation Days 
6 
Annual Vacation Days 
22 
21 
20 
19 
18 
17 
16 
15 
14 
Average Vacation Days Used, Among Employed Adults 
Long Term Average 
(1976 to 2000) 
20.3 days 
Estimated Annual 
Vacation Days Used 
(24-month moving 
average) 
Recent Average 
(2013) 
16.0 days 
1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
Full-Week Vacation Activity has Steadily Declined 
Percentage of Employed Adults on Vacation 
3.0% 
2.5% 
2.0% 
1.5% 
1.0% 
0.5% 
0.0% 
7 
Full-Week Vacations 
Not at work all week due to vacation, among employed adults 
Full-Week Vacations 
(24-Month Moving 
Average) 
Recent Average 
(2013) 
1.7% 
1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
Partial-Week Vacation has Leveled Off Since the Mid 1990s 
Percentage of Employed Adults on Vacation 
3.0% 
2.5% 
2.0% 
1.5% 
1.0% 
0.5% 
0.0% 
8 
Partial-Week Vacations 
Usually work full time, but worked fewer than 35 hours due to vacation 
Partial-Week 
Vacations by Full- 
Time Workers 
(24-Month Moving 
Average) 
Recent Average 
(2013) 
2.2% 
1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
Percentage of Employed Adults on Vacation 
3.0% 
2.5% 
2.0% 
1.5% 
1.0% 
0.5% 
0.0% 
Vacation Activity by Type 
Full-Week and Partial-Week Vacations 
Partial-Week Vacations by 
Full-Time Workers 
(24 Month Moving Average, 
Usually Work Full-Time but 
Worked Fewer than 35 
Hours Due to Vacation) 
Recent average 
1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 
(2013) 
1.7% 
Full-Week Vacation 
(24 Month Moving 
Average) 
Recent average 
(2013) 
2.2% 
Decline of Full-Week Vacations is No Longer being Offset 
9
Analysis of Unused Vacation Time
Introduction to the Survey 
• This analysis assesses the value of paid time off (PTO) forgone by US workers. 
• For the purposes of this analysis, PTO includes vacation and personal days, but excludes sick days 
and paid holidays. 
• The study is based on a survey conducted by GfK and Oxford Economics on behalf of U.S. Travel. 
11
20.9 
16.0 
4.9 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
Earned 
PTO 
Taken 
PTO 
Unused 
PTO 
PTO Summary 
Days PTO Utilization 77% 
Summary Metrics of PTO 
• On average, employees surveyed 
earned just under 21 PTO days in 2013. 
• Employees took an average of 16 PTO 
days, and left 4.9 days on the table. 
• On average, U.S. workers used 77% of 
earned PTO. 
12
Amount of PTO Earned 
18.5 
23.2 
18.2 17.9 
11.5 
10.7 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
1-10 11-15 16-20 21-25 26-30 31 or 
more 
% of respondents 
Days of PTO 
Average 
20.9 days 
Distribution of PTO 
• Nearly a quarter of employees earn 
13 
between 11 and 15 PTO days per year. 
• Just under 60% of employees earn 
between 11 and 25 PTO days per year.
Distribution of PTO Taken 
• Nearly 40% of workers take between 10 
14 
and 19 PTO days. 
• Just under a quarter of employees take 
less than 10 PTO days. 
Amount of PTO Taken 
% of respondents 
4.1 
19.3 
38.0 
22.3 
16.1 
40 
35 
30 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
0 1-9 10-19 20-24 25+ 
Days of PTO 
Average 
16.0 days
Options for Unused PTO 
• Not all unused PTO is actually lost. 
• Most employees (56%) can either roll 
over or bank PTO days for later use. 
• But nearly a quarter (23.4%) lose it at 
the end of the year. 
15 
Options for Unused PTO 
8.8 
4.0 
16.4 
23.4 
47.4 
0 10 20 30 40 50 
% of respondents 
Roll it over 
Use it or lose it 
Be paid for it 
Bank it 
Don't know
The Limit to Bank it or Roll it Over 
1.3 
9.9 
20.5 
19.6 
19.0 
29.7 
0 10 20 30 40 
% of respondents 
1-5 days 
21+ days 
6-10 days 
11-15 days 
16-20 days 
Don't know 
Limits on Rolled Over PTO 
• Of those that can roll it or bank, there 
are caps and expiration periods. 
• Nearly a third (29.7%) can only roll over 
or bank five days or less. 
16
Unused Days of PTO in 2013 
3.7 
5.4 
5.2 
5.0 
6.5 
Days by income group 
0 5 10 
>$150k 
$75 to <$150k 
$50 to <$75k 
$30 to <$50k 
<$29k 
Days of 
PTO 
Averag 
e 
4.9 
Days 
Unused PTO by Income 
• Higher income earners tend to earn 
more PTO, and also leave more PTO 
days on the table. 
• On average, the US worker did not take 
4.9 days of earned PTO in 2013. 
17
PTO Lost After Constraints 
• After taking into account caps and 
expiration of roll over and banked PTO, 
a portion is actually lost. 
• Higher income earners have more to 
lose. 
• On average, U.S. employees lost 1.6 
PTO days in 2013. 
18 
Days of PTO Lost in 2013 
1.7 
1.9 
1.4 
1.3 
3.8 
2.4 
3.7 
3.4 
3.6 
2.8 
0 2 4 6 8 
>$150k 
$75 to <$150k 
$50 to <$75k 
$30 to <$50k 
<$29k 
Lost PTO 
Unused 
Days by income group 
Days of PTO 
Average 
Days Lost: 
1.6
Lost PTO 
• On average, U.S. employees lost more 
than a third of their unused PTO. 
• High income earners lost more than half 
of unused PTO days. 
19 
Share of Unused PTO Lost in 
31.5 
35.6 
28.6 
35.6 
57.5 
Share by income group, % 
0 50 100 
>$150k 
$75 to <$150k 
$50 to <$75k 
$30 to <$50k 
<$29k 
Days of PTO 
Average 
Share Lost 
34% 
2013
Estimated Value of a Foregone PTO Day 
• Based on total annual income and an 
assumed 260 work days, the value of a 
forgone PTO day was estimated by 
income group. 
20 
Estimated Value of a Forgone PTO 
$307.69 
$144.23 
$105.77 
$38.46 
$211.54 
$432.69 
$625.00 
Income in Thousands 
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 
$150 to <$175 
$100 to <$125 
$75 to <$85 
$50 to <$60 
$35 to <$40 
$25 to <$30 
<$20 
$ Per Day
Value of Lost PTO Days 
• Lost PTO days multiplied by the value of 
a forgone day yields an estimate of the 
monetary value of lost days by income 
group. 
• On average, U.S. employees give up 
$504 in paid time off – essentially giving 
their employers that amount in free 
work. 
21 
Value of Lost PTO Days 
$470 
$234 
$108 
$770 
$3,427 
0 2,000 4,000 
$ by income group 
>$150k 
$75 to <$150k 
$50 to <$75k 
$30 to <$50k 
<$29k 
Average 
$504 
$ Pay Cut
Percent Value of Lost PTO 
0.6 
0.6 
0.5 
0.7 
1.4 
By income group, % 
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 
>$150k 
$75 to <$150k 
$50 to <$75k 
$30 to <$50k 
<$29k 
Average 
1.1% 
Value of Lost PTO Days 
• By forgoing these days, employees are 
essentially working for free. 
• High income earners give up the most, 
1.4% of their pay, on average. 
• Overall, U.S. workers give 1.1% of their 
salary back to their employer each year, 
in the form of free work. 
22
16.7 13.4 
17.5 
23.2 
10.8 
21.1 
83.3 86.6 82.5 
76.8 
89.2 
78.9 
100 
80 
60 
40 
20 
0 
0 1-5 6-10 11-15 16-20 21+ 
Yes 
No 
Recent Bonus by Unused PTO 
% of respondents 
Bonus in 
Last 3 
Days of Unused 
Pay Raise Based on PTO Used 
• There is no evidence that taking less 
time off boosts the chance of getting a 
raise or a bonus. 
• Employees who used most earned PTO 
were just as likely to get a raise or 
promotion than those who left PTO 
unused. 
23
Pay Raise Based on Hours Worked 
• Employees that worked between 40 and 
49 hours per week were slightly more 
likely to have received a recent pay 
raise. 
• But this relationship was not apparent at 
higher levels of hours worked per week. 
24 
Weekly Hours by Recent Raise 
12.0 
71.0 
12.0 
5.0 
13.0 
67.0 
14.0 
6.0 
80 
70 
60 
50 
40 
30 
20 
10 
0 
35-39 40-49 50-59 >60 
Yes No 
% of respondents 
Raise in the 
last 3 
years? 
Weekly Hours
4 
5 
7 
13 
8 
21 
19 
18 
20 
21 
35 
30 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
0 1-5 6-10 11-15 16+ 
Very 
Extremely 
Stressed at Work 
% of respondents 
Days of Unused PTO 
Stress at Work 
• Stress at work was clearly associated 
with leaving more unused PTO days. 
• The more PTO days employees leave 
behind, the more likely they are to report 
being “very” or “extremely” stressed at 
work. 
25
1 
2 
1 
6 
3.16 
7 
8 9 
5 
2.11 
12 
10 
8 
6 
4 
2 
0 
0 1-5 6-10 11-15 16+ 
Very 
Extremely 
Stressed at Home 
% of respondents 
Days of unused PTO 
Stress at Home 
• While a relatively small share of workers 
reported stress at home, the share tends 
to increase the more days of PTO 
workers leave on the table. 
26
Extrapolate to Total Economy 
• The amount of time off forfeited for the 
entire economy is the average amount of 
free labor hours times the total jobs in 2013. 
• Average amount of free labor= $504 
per job 
• Estimated non-farm payroll jobs in 
2013 that received PTO: 103.9 million 
• Total economic impact= $52.4 billion, which 
is greater than total wage and salary income 
in several states. 
27 
Voluntary Pay Cut in Context 
Total wage and salary income by state, $ billions 
52.4 
0 25 50 75 100 125 
Connecticut 
Louisiana 
Alabama 
Oregon 
South Carolina 
Kentucky 
Oklahoma 
Iowa 
District of Columbia 
Kansas 
Utah 
Voluntary Pay Cut 
Nevada 
Arkansas 
Mississippi 
Nebraska 
New Mexico 
New Hampshire
Findings by Region
PTO Summary by Region 
Days, utilization in parentheses (days taken/days earned) 
22.1 
17.9 
Northeast (81.0%) 
Midwest (78.6%) 
South (73.1%) 
West (78.0%) 
4.2 
21.1 
16.6 
4.5 
20.6 
15.0 
5.5 
20.2 
15.8 
4.4 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
Earned 
PTO 
Taken 
PTO 
Unused 
PTO 
PTO Summary, by Region 
• Workers in the Northeast earn more and 
29 
take more PTO. 
• The South region stands out as taking 
less PTO than other regions and leaving 
more PTO days on the table.
Distribution of PTO Earned, By Region 
• Workers in the Northeast earn an 
30 
average of 22.1 days of PTO per year. 
• More workers in the South and West 
regions earn less than 15 days of PTO. 
% of respondents by region, average PTO earned in days in parentheses 
35 
30 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
Amount of PTO Earned 
Northeast (22.1) 
Midwest (21.1) 
South (20.6) 
West (20.2) 
1-10 11-15 16-20 21-25 26-30 31 or 
more 
Days of PTO
Distribution of PTO Taken, By Region 
• Few workers in the Northeast take less 
31 
than 10 days of PTO per year. 
• Just under 30% of employees in the 
South taken less than 10 days of PTO; 
this is a higher share than any other 
region. 
% of respondents by region, average PTO taken in days in parentheses 
50 
45 
40 
35 
30 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
Amount of PTO Taken 
Northeast (17.9) 
Midwest (16.6) 
South (15.0) 
West (15.8) 
0 1-9 10-19 20-24 25+ 
Days of PTO
Unused and Lost PTO, By Region 
• The West region of the US reported 
leaving more PTO unused and also 
more PTO actually lost. 
• The Northeast region left fewer days of 
PTO on the table and also lost fewer 
days of PTO. 
32 
Unused and Lost PTO by Region 
2.2 
1.7 
2.0 
1.3 
2.9 
2.4 
2.8 
3.4 
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 
West 
South 
Midwest 
Northeast 
Lost 
Unused 
Days of PTO
Lost PTO as a Share of Unused PTO, By Region 
• Of the unused PTO days, employees in 
33 
the West tend to actually lose a higher 
share at 46% due to roll over caps and 
expiration banked and rolled over PTO. 
Share of Unused PTO Actually Lost 
36.6 
32.1 
39.4 
45.7 
0 10 20 30 40 50 
West 
South 
Midwest 
Northeast 
Share, %
Findings by Region 
• The value of employees’ forfeited time 
off is highest in the South. 
• This is due to the low utilization of PTO 
days. Also, more unused PTO days are 
forgone by those in the higher income 
groups. 
• For Southern employees, this is the 
equivalent to 1.5% of their salary, 
compared to 0.6% in the Northeast. 
34 
Percent Value of Lost PTO 
0.7 
0.6 
1.2 
1.5 
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 
South 
Midwest 
West 
Northeast
Findings by Gender
PTO Summary by Gender 
• There were no major differences 
reported by gender in terms of PTO 
earned. 
• Men tend to take less PTO and leave 
slightly more on the table. 
36 
PTO Summary by Gender 
Days PTO utilization 
20.7 
15.8 
Male: 76.4% 
Female: 77.2% 
4.9 
21.2 
16.4 
Male 
Female 
4.8 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
Earned 
PTO 
Taken 
PTO 
Unused 
PTO
Distribution of Earned PTO, By Gender 
37 
Amount of PTO Earned 
17.5 
23.0 
19.9 
17.5 
Male avg: 20.7 days 
Female avg: 21.2 days 
11.6 
Male Female 
10.4 
19.8 
23.4 
15.8 
18.5 
11.3 11.2 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
1-10 11-15 16-20 21-25 26-30 31 or 
more 
% of respondents by gender 
Days of PTO
Distribution of PTO Taken, By Gender 
38 
% of respondents 
5.5 
Amount of PTO Taken 
19.1 
38.0 
21.1 
Male Female 
16.3 
2.2 
19.5 
38.1 
24.0 
15.9 
40 
35 
30 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
0 1-9 10-19 20-24 25+ 
Days of PTO 
Male avg: 15.8 days 
Female avg: 16.4 
days
Lost PTO, By Gender 
• According to survey results, female 
workers tend to lose slightly more PTO 
days compared with male their 
counterparts. 
• Women lost an average of 38% of 
unused PTO, compared with 31% for 
men. 
39 
Unused and Lost PTO by Gender 
1.8 
1.5 
3.0 
3.4 
0 1 2 3 4 5 
Female 
Male 
Lost 
Unused 
Days of PTO
Benefits Lost, by Gender 
• Both men and women gave their 
employers just over $500 of free labor 
per job. 
• In percentage terms, women work for 
free more than men, equivalent to 1.3% 
of their salary vs. 0.8% for men. 
40 
Benefits Lost per Job, By Gender 
In dollars and % cut per job 
$503 
0.8% 
$505 
Male 
Female 
1.3% 
$ value % pay cut 
Per Job
Methodology
Methodology 
 The analysis uses two sources of information. The first is the Current Population Survey (CPS), 
which is a monthly survey of U.S. households that provides the national unemployment rate and 
other labor force information reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. 
 For the purpose of this analysis, Oxford Economics focused on two categories of employed 
people as tracked by the CPS. Those who were not at work all week, due to vacation, which we 
refer to as “full-week vacations.” Those who usually work full time, but worked fewer than 35 
hours during the week, due to vacation, which we refer to as “partial-week vacations” 
 We have referred to these two categories combined as: “employed, on vacation during part or all 
of the week”. 
 These categories are focused on vacation time (including personal days), and exclude other 
reasons such as illness, bad weather, labor dispute, or economic reasons such as a furlough. 
 The CPS asks respondents about their activities during a specific reference week each month. 
This is defined as the week (Sunday through Saturday) that includes the 12th of the month; it is 
modified on occasion to avoid major holidays that could impede data collection. 
42
Methodology 
 Our analysis of CPS data found that people that were employed, but on vacation during part or 
all of the week, represented 4.0% of employed people on average during 2013. 
 To put this measure in context, if an individual took vacation two weeks a year (either the full-week, 
or partial-week) it would represented 3.8% of the year (e.g. 2 weeks / 52 weeks). 
 The second source of information used in our analysis is the Vacation Time Opportunity Survey 
conducted by GfK and Tourism Economics in 2014 that shows the average employee with paid 
time off used 16 days of vacation time in 2013. 
 Starting with this survey-based average of 16 days of vacation during 2013, we estimated days 
of vacation historically, and forward into 2014, based on the CPS survey results. 
 The process of scaling the CPS data based on the 2013 survey result included assumptions on 
the number of vacation days being taken by the two categories of survey respondents (full-week 
and partial-week). 
43
Methodology 
 The CPS provides an indicator of vacation activity, but it has some limitations. For example: 
During the CPS interview, households are asked about the time they spent at work during 
specific mid-month reference weeks. These weeks are selected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics 
to measure stable work weeks, minimizing the impact of major holidays. As such, the CPS data 
is an indicator of how vacation activity has changed during mid-month periods over time, which 
may differ from vacation activity during major holidays. 
 The CPS provides an indicator of vacation activity, but it has some limitations. For example: 
• During the CPS interview, households are asked about the time they spent at work during specific mid-month 
reference weeks. These weeks are selected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to measure stable work weeks, 
minimizing the impact of major holidays. As such, the CPS data is an indicator of how vacation activity has 
changed during mid-month periods over time, which may differ from vacation activity during major holidays. 
• Changes in the ways Americans use their vacation time during the year could impact the survey results 
independently of the actual quantity of vacation time used. For example, taking multiple short vacations, such as 
two days of one week and three days of another week rather than a full five-day week, could result in a greater 
incidence of vacation activity being measured in the CPS approach, even though the quantity of days could be the 
same. Similarly, a trend of taking shorter partial-week vacations such as two days off rather than three, would not 
be evident in the CPS-based results as a reduction in vacation activity. 
44
Methodology 
• The CPS survey has been periodically redesigned, such as to improve the sample process or refine the interview 
process. One such redesign was implemented in 1994. To support comparability across the full period of available 
information back to June 1976, Tourism Economics has adjusted the data for the 1976 to 1993 period based on a 
comparison of survey results directly before and directly after the redesigned survey was implemented. 
• In addition to stable seasonal patterns that do not detract from the analysis, such as higher vacation activity in 
summer months, there are also less stable patterns. For example, the impacts of certain religious holidays that 
occur during the reference week on certain months, as well as major weather events. Lastly, though there are 
60,000 households included in the sample, there are also typical survey-related sources of variability. 
• The CPS survey has been periodically redesigned, such as to improve the sample process or refine the interview 
process. One such redesign was implemented in 1994. To support comparability across the full period of available 
information back to June 1976, Tourism Economics has adjusted the data for the 1976 to 1993 period based on a 
comparison of survey results directly before and directly after the redesigned survey was implemented. 
• The raw CPS data on vacation activity is volatile from month to month, requiring the use of longer-term averages, 
such as the 24 month moving average, to smooth the results. 
• In addition to stable seasonal patterns that do not detract from the analysis, such as higher vacation activity in 
summer months, there are also less stable patterns. For example, the impacts of certain religious holidays that 
occur during the reference week on certain months, as well as major weather events. Lastly, though there are 
60,000 households included in the sample, there are also typical survey-related sources of variability. 
45
All Work and No Pay: The Impact of Forfeited Time Off 
October 2014

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All Work, No Pay: The Impact of Forfeited Time Off

  • 1. 0 All Work and No Pay: The Impact of Forfeited Time Off October 2014 As prepared by: Oxford Economics September 2014
  • 2. Key Findings • Americans are taking less vacation time than at any point in the last nearly four decades. In 2013, employees entitled to paid time off (PTO) took and average of 16 days of vacation compared to an average of 20 days as recently as 2000. • Among employees with PTO, nearly five days went unused in 2013. Of those five days, 1.6 days will be permanently lost, totaling 169 million days across the workforce. • By choosing to work instead of taking PTO, employees are essentially working for their employers for free. The 169 million days of forfeited PTO equates to $52.4 billion in lost benefits. • Employees who forfeit PTO do not receive raises or bonuses at a faster rate than those who take all of their vacation time. However, employees leaving days on the table report higher levels of stress at work. 1
  • 3. Methodology Oxford Economics’ analysis is based on the Monthly Current Population Survey results reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and a June 2014 survey of 1,303 American workers conducted by GfK Public Affairs and Corporate Communications in conjunction with Oxford Economics. The BLS data compiles long-term vacation activity, while the GfK results indicate average vacation days taken. By combining the two data sources, Oxford Economics determined long-term, historical vacation activity among American workers. For a full methodology, refer to page 41. 2
  • 4. Long Term Trends in Vacation Usage
  • 5. Long Term Trends Vacation Usage Show Steady Decline  Analysis of BLS data shows a steady decline in the number of vacation days taken by Americans over the past two decades.  In 2013, employees with paid time off took 16.0 days of paid leave. As recently as the 2005 to 2010 period, Oxford Economics estimates employed adults took an average of 18.1 days of vacation annually. Over the long-term period from 1976 to 2000, annual vacation time used averaged 20.3 days.  If Americans returned to vacation patterns experienced on average from 1976 to 2000 (20.3 days per year on average), annual vacation days taken by employed people would increase 27%, which would be equivalent to 768 million additional days of vacation at a national level (4.3 additional vacation days, times 179 million employed people based on Bureau of Economic Analysis). 4
  • 6. Long Term Trends Vacation Usage Show Steady Decline  If Americans were to use those 768 million days, it would result in $284 billion of economic impact, including $118 billion in direct travel spending.  Full-week vacations have steadily declined over the more than 35 years covered by the survey. The impact of this decline was offset by increased incidence of partial-week vacations through the mid-1990s. Since then, the frequency of partial-week vacations has eased, even as the frequency of full-week vacations has continued to decline. 5
  • 7. Annual Vacation Days 6 Annual Vacation Days 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 Average Vacation Days Used, Among Employed Adults Long Term Average (1976 to 2000) 20.3 days Estimated Annual Vacation Days Used (24-month moving average) Recent Average (2013) 16.0 days 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
  • 8. Full-Week Vacation Activity has Steadily Declined Percentage of Employed Adults on Vacation 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 7 Full-Week Vacations Not at work all week due to vacation, among employed adults Full-Week Vacations (24-Month Moving Average) Recent Average (2013) 1.7% 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
  • 9. Partial-Week Vacation has Leveled Off Since the Mid 1990s Percentage of Employed Adults on Vacation 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 8 Partial-Week Vacations Usually work full time, but worked fewer than 35 hours due to vacation Partial-Week Vacations by Full- Time Workers (24-Month Moving Average) Recent Average (2013) 2.2% 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
  • 10. Percentage of Employed Adults on Vacation 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% Vacation Activity by Type Full-Week and Partial-Week Vacations Partial-Week Vacations by Full-Time Workers (24 Month Moving Average, Usually Work Full-Time but Worked Fewer than 35 Hours Due to Vacation) Recent average 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 (2013) 1.7% Full-Week Vacation (24 Month Moving Average) Recent average (2013) 2.2% Decline of Full-Week Vacations is No Longer being Offset 9
  • 11. Analysis of Unused Vacation Time
  • 12. Introduction to the Survey • This analysis assesses the value of paid time off (PTO) forgone by US workers. • For the purposes of this analysis, PTO includes vacation and personal days, but excludes sick days and paid holidays. • The study is based on a survey conducted by GfK and Oxford Economics on behalf of U.S. Travel. 11
  • 13. 20.9 16.0 4.9 25 20 15 10 5 0 Earned PTO Taken PTO Unused PTO PTO Summary Days PTO Utilization 77% Summary Metrics of PTO • On average, employees surveyed earned just under 21 PTO days in 2013. • Employees took an average of 16 PTO days, and left 4.9 days on the table. • On average, U.S. workers used 77% of earned PTO. 12
  • 14. Amount of PTO Earned 18.5 23.2 18.2 17.9 11.5 10.7 25 20 15 10 5 0 1-10 11-15 16-20 21-25 26-30 31 or more % of respondents Days of PTO Average 20.9 days Distribution of PTO • Nearly a quarter of employees earn 13 between 11 and 15 PTO days per year. • Just under 60% of employees earn between 11 and 25 PTO days per year.
  • 15. Distribution of PTO Taken • Nearly 40% of workers take between 10 14 and 19 PTO days. • Just under a quarter of employees take less than 10 PTO days. Amount of PTO Taken % of respondents 4.1 19.3 38.0 22.3 16.1 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 1-9 10-19 20-24 25+ Days of PTO Average 16.0 days
  • 16. Options for Unused PTO • Not all unused PTO is actually lost. • Most employees (56%) can either roll over or bank PTO days for later use. • But nearly a quarter (23.4%) lose it at the end of the year. 15 Options for Unused PTO 8.8 4.0 16.4 23.4 47.4 0 10 20 30 40 50 % of respondents Roll it over Use it or lose it Be paid for it Bank it Don't know
  • 17. The Limit to Bank it or Roll it Over 1.3 9.9 20.5 19.6 19.0 29.7 0 10 20 30 40 % of respondents 1-5 days 21+ days 6-10 days 11-15 days 16-20 days Don't know Limits on Rolled Over PTO • Of those that can roll it or bank, there are caps and expiration periods. • Nearly a third (29.7%) can only roll over or bank five days or less. 16
  • 18. Unused Days of PTO in 2013 3.7 5.4 5.2 5.0 6.5 Days by income group 0 5 10 >$150k $75 to <$150k $50 to <$75k $30 to <$50k <$29k Days of PTO Averag e 4.9 Days Unused PTO by Income • Higher income earners tend to earn more PTO, and also leave more PTO days on the table. • On average, the US worker did not take 4.9 days of earned PTO in 2013. 17
  • 19. PTO Lost After Constraints • After taking into account caps and expiration of roll over and banked PTO, a portion is actually lost. • Higher income earners have more to lose. • On average, U.S. employees lost 1.6 PTO days in 2013. 18 Days of PTO Lost in 2013 1.7 1.9 1.4 1.3 3.8 2.4 3.7 3.4 3.6 2.8 0 2 4 6 8 >$150k $75 to <$150k $50 to <$75k $30 to <$50k <$29k Lost PTO Unused Days by income group Days of PTO Average Days Lost: 1.6
  • 20. Lost PTO • On average, U.S. employees lost more than a third of their unused PTO. • High income earners lost more than half of unused PTO days. 19 Share of Unused PTO Lost in 31.5 35.6 28.6 35.6 57.5 Share by income group, % 0 50 100 >$150k $75 to <$150k $50 to <$75k $30 to <$50k <$29k Days of PTO Average Share Lost 34% 2013
  • 21. Estimated Value of a Foregone PTO Day • Based on total annual income and an assumed 260 work days, the value of a forgone PTO day was estimated by income group. 20 Estimated Value of a Forgone PTO $307.69 $144.23 $105.77 $38.46 $211.54 $432.69 $625.00 Income in Thousands $0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $150 to <$175 $100 to <$125 $75 to <$85 $50 to <$60 $35 to <$40 $25 to <$30 <$20 $ Per Day
  • 22. Value of Lost PTO Days • Lost PTO days multiplied by the value of a forgone day yields an estimate of the monetary value of lost days by income group. • On average, U.S. employees give up $504 in paid time off – essentially giving their employers that amount in free work. 21 Value of Lost PTO Days $470 $234 $108 $770 $3,427 0 2,000 4,000 $ by income group >$150k $75 to <$150k $50 to <$75k $30 to <$50k <$29k Average $504 $ Pay Cut
  • 23. Percent Value of Lost PTO 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.4 By income group, % 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 >$150k $75 to <$150k $50 to <$75k $30 to <$50k <$29k Average 1.1% Value of Lost PTO Days • By forgoing these days, employees are essentially working for free. • High income earners give up the most, 1.4% of their pay, on average. • Overall, U.S. workers give 1.1% of their salary back to their employer each year, in the form of free work. 22
  • 24. 16.7 13.4 17.5 23.2 10.8 21.1 83.3 86.6 82.5 76.8 89.2 78.9 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 1-5 6-10 11-15 16-20 21+ Yes No Recent Bonus by Unused PTO % of respondents Bonus in Last 3 Days of Unused Pay Raise Based on PTO Used • There is no evidence that taking less time off boosts the chance of getting a raise or a bonus. • Employees who used most earned PTO were just as likely to get a raise or promotion than those who left PTO unused. 23
  • 25. Pay Raise Based on Hours Worked • Employees that worked between 40 and 49 hours per week were slightly more likely to have received a recent pay raise. • But this relationship was not apparent at higher levels of hours worked per week. 24 Weekly Hours by Recent Raise 12.0 71.0 12.0 5.0 13.0 67.0 14.0 6.0 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 35-39 40-49 50-59 >60 Yes No % of respondents Raise in the last 3 years? Weekly Hours
  • 26. 4 5 7 13 8 21 19 18 20 21 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 1-5 6-10 11-15 16+ Very Extremely Stressed at Work % of respondents Days of Unused PTO Stress at Work • Stress at work was clearly associated with leaving more unused PTO days. • The more PTO days employees leave behind, the more likely they are to report being “very” or “extremely” stressed at work. 25
  • 27. 1 2 1 6 3.16 7 8 9 5 2.11 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 1-5 6-10 11-15 16+ Very Extremely Stressed at Home % of respondents Days of unused PTO Stress at Home • While a relatively small share of workers reported stress at home, the share tends to increase the more days of PTO workers leave on the table. 26
  • 28. Extrapolate to Total Economy • The amount of time off forfeited for the entire economy is the average amount of free labor hours times the total jobs in 2013. • Average amount of free labor= $504 per job • Estimated non-farm payroll jobs in 2013 that received PTO: 103.9 million • Total economic impact= $52.4 billion, which is greater than total wage and salary income in several states. 27 Voluntary Pay Cut in Context Total wage and salary income by state, $ billions 52.4 0 25 50 75 100 125 Connecticut Louisiana Alabama Oregon South Carolina Kentucky Oklahoma Iowa District of Columbia Kansas Utah Voluntary Pay Cut Nevada Arkansas Mississippi Nebraska New Mexico New Hampshire
  • 30. PTO Summary by Region Days, utilization in parentheses (days taken/days earned) 22.1 17.9 Northeast (81.0%) Midwest (78.6%) South (73.1%) West (78.0%) 4.2 21.1 16.6 4.5 20.6 15.0 5.5 20.2 15.8 4.4 25 20 15 10 5 0 Earned PTO Taken PTO Unused PTO PTO Summary, by Region • Workers in the Northeast earn more and 29 take more PTO. • The South region stands out as taking less PTO than other regions and leaving more PTO days on the table.
  • 31. Distribution of PTO Earned, By Region • Workers in the Northeast earn an 30 average of 22.1 days of PTO per year. • More workers in the South and West regions earn less than 15 days of PTO. % of respondents by region, average PTO earned in days in parentheses 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Amount of PTO Earned Northeast (22.1) Midwest (21.1) South (20.6) West (20.2) 1-10 11-15 16-20 21-25 26-30 31 or more Days of PTO
  • 32. Distribution of PTO Taken, By Region • Few workers in the Northeast take less 31 than 10 days of PTO per year. • Just under 30% of employees in the South taken less than 10 days of PTO; this is a higher share than any other region. % of respondents by region, average PTO taken in days in parentheses 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Amount of PTO Taken Northeast (17.9) Midwest (16.6) South (15.0) West (15.8) 0 1-9 10-19 20-24 25+ Days of PTO
  • 33. Unused and Lost PTO, By Region • The West region of the US reported leaving more PTO unused and also more PTO actually lost. • The Northeast region left fewer days of PTO on the table and also lost fewer days of PTO. 32 Unused and Lost PTO by Region 2.2 1.7 2.0 1.3 2.9 2.4 2.8 3.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 West South Midwest Northeast Lost Unused Days of PTO
  • 34. Lost PTO as a Share of Unused PTO, By Region • Of the unused PTO days, employees in 33 the West tend to actually lose a higher share at 46% due to roll over caps and expiration banked and rolled over PTO. Share of Unused PTO Actually Lost 36.6 32.1 39.4 45.7 0 10 20 30 40 50 West South Midwest Northeast Share, %
  • 35. Findings by Region • The value of employees’ forfeited time off is highest in the South. • This is due to the low utilization of PTO days. Also, more unused PTO days are forgone by those in the higher income groups. • For Southern employees, this is the equivalent to 1.5% of their salary, compared to 0.6% in the Northeast. 34 Percent Value of Lost PTO 0.7 0.6 1.2 1.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 South Midwest West Northeast
  • 37. PTO Summary by Gender • There were no major differences reported by gender in terms of PTO earned. • Men tend to take less PTO and leave slightly more on the table. 36 PTO Summary by Gender Days PTO utilization 20.7 15.8 Male: 76.4% Female: 77.2% 4.9 21.2 16.4 Male Female 4.8 25 20 15 10 5 0 Earned PTO Taken PTO Unused PTO
  • 38. Distribution of Earned PTO, By Gender 37 Amount of PTO Earned 17.5 23.0 19.9 17.5 Male avg: 20.7 days Female avg: 21.2 days 11.6 Male Female 10.4 19.8 23.4 15.8 18.5 11.3 11.2 25 20 15 10 5 0 1-10 11-15 16-20 21-25 26-30 31 or more % of respondents by gender Days of PTO
  • 39. Distribution of PTO Taken, By Gender 38 % of respondents 5.5 Amount of PTO Taken 19.1 38.0 21.1 Male Female 16.3 2.2 19.5 38.1 24.0 15.9 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 1-9 10-19 20-24 25+ Days of PTO Male avg: 15.8 days Female avg: 16.4 days
  • 40. Lost PTO, By Gender • According to survey results, female workers tend to lose slightly more PTO days compared with male their counterparts. • Women lost an average of 38% of unused PTO, compared with 31% for men. 39 Unused and Lost PTO by Gender 1.8 1.5 3.0 3.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 Female Male Lost Unused Days of PTO
  • 41. Benefits Lost, by Gender • Both men and women gave their employers just over $500 of free labor per job. • In percentage terms, women work for free more than men, equivalent to 1.3% of their salary vs. 0.8% for men. 40 Benefits Lost per Job, By Gender In dollars and % cut per job $503 0.8% $505 Male Female 1.3% $ value % pay cut Per Job
  • 43. Methodology  The analysis uses two sources of information. The first is the Current Population Survey (CPS), which is a monthly survey of U.S. households that provides the national unemployment rate and other labor force information reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.  For the purpose of this analysis, Oxford Economics focused on two categories of employed people as tracked by the CPS. Those who were not at work all week, due to vacation, which we refer to as “full-week vacations.” Those who usually work full time, but worked fewer than 35 hours during the week, due to vacation, which we refer to as “partial-week vacations”  We have referred to these two categories combined as: “employed, on vacation during part or all of the week”.  These categories are focused on vacation time (including personal days), and exclude other reasons such as illness, bad weather, labor dispute, or economic reasons such as a furlough.  The CPS asks respondents about their activities during a specific reference week each month. This is defined as the week (Sunday through Saturday) that includes the 12th of the month; it is modified on occasion to avoid major holidays that could impede data collection. 42
  • 44. Methodology  Our analysis of CPS data found that people that were employed, but on vacation during part or all of the week, represented 4.0% of employed people on average during 2013.  To put this measure in context, if an individual took vacation two weeks a year (either the full-week, or partial-week) it would represented 3.8% of the year (e.g. 2 weeks / 52 weeks).  The second source of information used in our analysis is the Vacation Time Opportunity Survey conducted by GfK and Tourism Economics in 2014 that shows the average employee with paid time off used 16 days of vacation time in 2013.  Starting with this survey-based average of 16 days of vacation during 2013, we estimated days of vacation historically, and forward into 2014, based on the CPS survey results.  The process of scaling the CPS data based on the 2013 survey result included assumptions on the number of vacation days being taken by the two categories of survey respondents (full-week and partial-week). 43
  • 45. Methodology  The CPS provides an indicator of vacation activity, but it has some limitations. For example: During the CPS interview, households are asked about the time they spent at work during specific mid-month reference weeks. These weeks are selected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to measure stable work weeks, minimizing the impact of major holidays. As such, the CPS data is an indicator of how vacation activity has changed during mid-month periods over time, which may differ from vacation activity during major holidays.  The CPS provides an indicator of vacation activity, but it has some limitations. For example: • During the CPS interview, households are asked about the time they spent at work during specific mid-month reference weeks. These weeks are selected by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to measure stable work weeks, minimizing the impact of major holidays. As such, the CPS data is an indicator of how vacation activity has changed during mid-month periods over time, which may differ from vacation activity during major holidays. • Changes in the ways Americans use their vacation time during the year could impact the survey results independently of the actual quantity of vacation time used. For example, taking multiple short vacations, such as two days of one week and three days of another week rather than a full five-day week, could result in a greater incidence of vacation activity being measured in the CPS approach, even though the quantity of days could be the same. Similarly, a trend of taking shorter partial-week vacations such as two days off rather than three, would not be evident in the CPS-based results as a reduction in vacation activity. 44
  • 46. Methodology • The CPS survey has been periodically redesigned, such as to improve the sample process or refine the interview process. One such redesign was implemented in 1994. To support comparability across the full period of available information back to June 1976, Tourism Economics has adjusted the data for the 1976 to 1993 period based on a comparison of survey results directly before and directly after the redesigned survey was implemented. • In addition to stable seasonal patterns that do not detract from the analysis, such as higher vacation activity in summer months, there are also less stable patterns. For example, the impacts of certain religious holidays that occur during the reference week on certain months, as well as major weather events. Lastly, though there are 60,000 households included in the sample, there are also typical survey-related sources of variability. • The CPS survey has been periodically redesigned, such as to improve the sample process or refine the interview process. One such redesign was implemented in 1994. To support comparability across the full period of available information back to June 1976, Tourism Economics has adjusted the data for the 1976 to 1993 period based on a comparison of survey results directly before and directly after the redesigned survey was implemented. • The raw CPS data on vacation activity is volatile from month to month, requiring the use of longer-term averages, such as the 24 month moving average, to smooth the results. • In addition to stable seasonal patterns that do not detract from the analysis, such as higher vacation activity in summer months, there are also less stable patterns. For example, the impacts of certain religious holidays that occur during the reference week on certain months, as well as major weather events. Lastly, though there are 60,000 households included in the sample, there are also typical survey-related sources of variability. 45
  • 47. All Work and No Pay: The Impact of Forfeited Time Off October 2014