DONE IN 2014 Al Damtha city Jordan population growth. QUANTITATIVE ASSESSMENT OF LAND USE . Comparison of per capita share (m²/person) with other local and international standards

1. WORKSHOP (1)
STAGE 2
PROF DR, EMAD AL HASHIME
DONE BY: MARAM OBAIDAT
NOOR QTAESHAT
SHOMOU AL JIZAWI
Population growth Stage
two

2. Al Ramtha Renovation

4. QUANTITATIVE ASSESSMENT
OF LAND USE
 Land use area’s in al Ramtha
Land use Area's km2 Area's m2
Residential 10.010100 10010100
transportation 3.390535 3390535
Commercial 1.203179 1203179
Industrial 1.122968 1122968
Public building .294379 294379
Schools .263047 263047
Gardens .029365 29365
Cemeteries .055209 55209
Vacant land infill .903520 903520
Total 17272302 17272302

5. POPULATION OF AL RAMTHA
 Population of Jordanian in al Ramtha 2015 is
100,000
 There are 70,000 thousand Syrian people in al
Ramtha.
 20000person was before the war immigration
(before 2010) which we be calculated in the
growth.
 50000 person immigrant after the war, we will
consider a percentage of 30%=15000 person .
 The total number of population we will consider it
in al Ramtha growth is 135,000 PERSON

6. POPULATION OF AL RAMTHA
01234567
0-04
10-14
20-24
30-34
40-44
50-54
60-64
unspecified
Male(%)
-7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0
Female(%)

7. POPULATION OF AL RAMTHA
27130
34154
45690
51173
57335
70031
87082
100000
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

8. POPULATION OF AL RAMTHA
27130
34154
45690
51173
57335
70031
87082
100000
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

9. PERCENTAGE SHARE OF DEFERENT
LAND USE CATEGORY
FOR POPULATION OF 135,000 PERSON
 share for each person from all the land use = 127.9
Land use Area's m2 Area per person
Percentage for each
land use per person
Residential 10010100 74.14888889 57.95%
transportation 3390535 25.11507407 20%
Commercial 1203179 8.912437037 6.97%
Industrial 1122968 8.318281481 6.5%
Public building 294379 2.180585185 1.7%
Schools 263047 1.948496296 1.5%
Gardens 29365 0.217518519 0.17%
Cemeteries 55209 0.408955556 0.32%
Vacant land infill 903520 6.692740741 5.2%
Total 17272302 127.9429778

10. PERCENTAGE SHARE OF DEFERENT
LAND USE CATEGORY
58%
20%
7%
6%
1.7%
1.5%
0.17%
0.32%
5.2%
Sales Land use
Residential
transportation
Commercial
Industrial
Public
building
Schools
Gardens
Cemeteries
Vacant land
infill

11. deferent land use category
10010100
3390535
1203179 1122968
294379 263047 29365 55209
903520
0
2000000
4000000
6000000
8000000
10000000
12000000

12. 2-Qualitative assessment of land
use
Land use Area per
person
EXISTING
% for each land use
per person EXISTING
needed Area per
person with
FUTURE EXPANTION
New % for each
land use
Residential 74.14888889 57.95% 70 51%
transportation 25.11507407 20% 27 20%
Commercial 8.912437037 6.97% 11 8%
Industrial 8.318281481 6.50% 13 9%
Public building 2.180585185 1.70% 3 2%
Schools 1.948496296 1.50% 4 3%
Gardens 0.217518519 0.17% 4 3%
Cemeteries 0.408955556 0.32% 2 1%
infill 6.692740741 5.20% 3 2%
Total 127.9429778 137

13. 2-Qualitative assessment of land
useComparison of per capita share (m²/person) with other
local and international standards
Al
Ramth
a
future
Al Ramtha
existing
South
America-
Lagos
California
Dade
country /
Florida
Al-
Huson
Irbid
U.K
Hook
New
Town
Naimeh
e
51%57.9%
60%48%60%58%54%35%62.8%
Residenti
al
8%.98%
5%7%5%3%7%4%3.1%
Commer
cial
9%.38%
As
Require
d
4%1%2%2%22%0.4%Industrial
5%4%4%9%4%8%5%-3%
Public
+Building
Schools
3%0.17%12%6%3%01%18%0.7%
Recreatio
nal
20%20%18%24%27%29%24%20%29.4%
Transpor
t
1.5%0.32%1%---0-0.6%
Cemeteri
es
Per

14. 2-Qualitative assessment of land
use
 Existing per capita (2015) m2/person.
 127.9 M2 PER PERSON
 the growth will be studied for 20 years.
 proposed per capita (2035) m2/person.
 137 M2 PER PERSON

15. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION
2035
 Population in al Ramtha is 135,000
 35,000 are Syrian
 We will estimate the growth for 3
stages
 7 years 7 years and 6 years
 And in each stage we will propose
that 11,666 Syrian we go back to
Syria.
 2015-2022

16. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION
2035
 Population growth ratio
 PR=P(t2)-P(t1)
P(t1) (t2-t1)
 PR=95000-71300
71300*10
PR= .033
PR=3.3%

17. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION
2035
 Population growth ratio.
 There is two ration one we calculated and one from the
government
 The governmental publish is 2.4%
 We will estimate the growth for 3 stages
 7 years 7 years and 6 years
 And in each stage we will propose that the growth ratio
will be changed for the 20 years
 2015-2022 population growth ratio=2.4
 2022-2029 population growth ratio=2.2
 2029-2035 population growth ratio=2.0
 The one we calculated is 3.3%
 2015-2022 population growth ratio=3.3
 2022-2029 population growth ratio=3.1
 2029-2035 population growth ratio=2.9

18. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION
2015-2022
PR=2.4
 PF=PE(1+%growth)
 P2022=13500(1+2.4)
 Population in 2022 = 159,379
 2016 - 138,240
2017 - 141,557
2018 - 144,955
2019 - 148,434
2020 - 151,996
2021 - 155,644
2022 - 159,379
 P2022 -11666=
 159,379-11666=147713
n
7

19. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION
2022-2029
PR=2.2 %
 PF=PE(1+%growth)
 P2029=143,476(1+2.2%)
 Population in 2029 = 167,084
 2023 - 146,632
2024 - 149,858
2025 - 153,155
2026 - 156,524
2027 - 159,968
2028 - 163,487
2029 - 167,084
 P2029 -11666=
 167,084-11666= 155418
n
7

20. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION
2029-2035
PR=2.0 %
 P2035=PE(1+%growth)
 P2035=155418 (1+2.0%)
 Population in 2035 = 175,025
 2030 - 158,526
2031 - 161,696
2032 - 164,930
2033 - 168,229
2034 - 171,594
2035 - 175,025
 P2035 -11666=
 175,025 -11666= 163359
n
6

21. 3-CALCULATION QUANTITATIVE SPACE
REQUIREMENT 2035
 (Qualitative assessment of land use)* (estimated
population in al Ramtha 2035)
 Qualitative assessment of land use 137 m2
 The estimated P2035 in al Ramtha 163359
 137*163359=22380183m2
 The total future built up area =22.380183 km2
 The total existing built up area is 17.272302=
km2
 The future needed built up area = 5.107883 km2

22. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION
2015-2022
PR=3.3
 PF=PE(1+%growth)
 P2022=135000(1+3.3%)
 Population in 2022 = 169,447
 2016 - 139,455
2017 - 144,057
2018 - 148,810
2019 - 153,721
2020 - 158,794
2021 - 164,034
2022 - 169,447
 P2022 -11666=
 169,447-11666=157781
n
7

23. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION
2022-2029
PR=3.1%
 PF=PE(1+%growth)
 P2029=147,723(1+3.1%)
 Population in 2029 = 182,918
 2023 - 152,302
2024 - 157,023
2025 - 161,891
2026 - 166,910
2027 - 172,084
2028 - 177,418
2029 - 182,918
 P2029 -11666=
 182,918 -11666=171252
n
7

24. 3-ESTIMATE FUTURE POPULATION
2029-2035
PR=2.9%
 P2035=PE(1+%growth)
 P2035=171252 (1+2.9%)
 Population in 2035 = 203,295
 2030 - 176,218
2031 - 181,328
2032 - 186,587
2033 - 191,998
2034 - 197,566
2035 - 203,295
P2035 -11666=
 203,295 -11666= 191629
n
6

25. 3-CALCULATION QUANTITATIVE SPACE
REQUIREMENT 2035
 (Qualitative assessment of land use)* (estimated
population in al Ramtha 2035), ratio 3.3
 Qualitative assessment of land use 137
 The estimated P2035 in al Ramtha 191629
 137* 191629 = 26253173 m2
 26.25 km2
 The total future built up area = 26.253173km2
 The total existing built up area is 17.272302=
km2

26. 3-CALCULATION QUANTITATIVE SPACE
REQUIREMENT 2035
 When we used population ratio which started
with 2.4 to 2.2 then to 2.0
 P2035 = 163359
 Total area 2035 = 22.38 km2
 SPACE REQUIREMENT 2035 = 5.107883 km2
 When we used population ratio which started
with 3.3% to 3.1 then to 2.9
 P2035= 214793
 Total SPACE 2035 = 26.253173KM2
 SPACE REQUIREMENT 2035 = 8.980873 KM2