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Nigerian Energy Support Programme (NESP)
Implemented by
MINI-GRID, THE MISSING MIDDLE, AN OPPORTUNITY!
Abidjan, March 2017
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
NESP AT A GLANCE
• Technical cooperation programme
• Aim: Enabling framework for RE, EE and Rural Electrification (focus on mini-grids).
• Funded by European Union and Germany
• Implemented by FMPWH, states (Niger, Ogun, Cross River, Plateau, Sokoto) and GIZ
• Duration: 5 years (03/2013 – 02/2018)
• As concerns our mini-grid activities, we cover the full spectrum (holistic approach)
• TA on policy (e.g. PPP Guidelines) and regulation on State and Federal levels
• TA on electrification planning (provides market intelligence to private sector)
• TA and capital grants to private sector for mini-grid development
• TA to financiers and investors interested in investing in the mini-grid sector
2
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
WHAT IS A MINI-GRID?
 Definition: Any electricity supply system with its own power generation capacity supplying
electricity to more than one customer connected via a low or medium voltage distribution
grid and which can operate in isolation from the main grid. Interconnected mini-grids are
also possible.
 Three major components:
 Production: Generation (renewable energy and diesel genset - for backup), Storage
(batteries and charge controller), Converters (e.g. inverter), system management (IT
equipment) and bus bar (wiring connecting for all production equipment)
 Distribution: subsystem distributing the produced electricity to the users consisting of
wiring (DC/AC and single or three phase and overhead or underground)
 Load: all the equipment on the end-user side (e.g. meters/load limiters, internal wiring,
grounding and the electric appliances)
 Link to Renewable Energies: Mini-grids can be powered with conventional energy
systems such as diesel generators. However, technology development in the renewable
energy sector and the resulting drop in the price of RE components has led to the progressive
replacement of diesel generators as main the power generation source for mini-grids.
3
Source: ARE, 2011, “Hybrid mini-grids for rural electrification: lessons learned”
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
EXAMPLE OF A SOLAR MINI-GRID – POWERSTATION
4
Photo: INENSUS GmbH
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
EXAMPLE OF A SOLAR MINI-GRID – POWERSTATION
5
Source:RubitecUtilities,SolarHybridMini-GridinOgun,2016
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
Mini-grid space
6
Most reliable solution (24/7) for large villages far away from main grid with
productive users, but development is resource intensive leading to high tariffs.
Source:EUEI-PDF,Mini-gridpolicytoolkit,2014
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
Off grid systems supports many levels of energy need
Africa progress
panel
Tier 0 Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4 Tier 5
Energy
service
Task
lightning,
phone
Charge
General
lightning,
TV and
fan
Tier 2 and
medium
powered
appliances
Tier 3 and
high
powered
appliances
Tier 4 and
very high
powered
appliances
Capacity < 12 Wh < 200 Wh < 1 kWh < 3,4 kWh < 8,3 kWh
Solar
product
Solar
lantern
Solar
lantern +
charger
Small SHS Large SHS Larger SHS Larger SHS
Mini Grid Mini grid Mini grid Mini grid Mini grid
7
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
Comparison of rural electrification technologies
8
MAIN GRID MINI-GRID STAND-ALONE
ADVANTAGES • Cheapest solution
(near urban areas)
• CAN provide
unlimited power
supply
• Most scalable
option
• Flexibility in technical design
and operational models
• Reliable power supply
• Scalable
• Can power productive users
(tier 4 and 5)
• Cheap in rural areas
• Technology advancing
rapidly (lower cost/kWh)
• Independent
solution
• Easy to install and
replicate
• Can be deployed
on a purely
commercial basis
DISADVANTAGES • Expensive in the
rural areas
• Not a target area
for DisCos (slow
expansion)
• Depends on the
backbones from
DisCo, TSP and
GenCo
• Resource intensive projects
• Dependent on regulation
(agreements between
partners)
• Need subsidies
• Limited power supply (Mgt.
of demand)
• Higher tariffs than main grid
• Provides a very
limited power
supply
• Most expensive
solution (at least in
Nigeria)
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
Advantages and disadvantages of mini-grid models
9
Africa progress panel Advantages Disadvantages
Utility model • Experience
• Access to policymakers
• Uniform tariff
• Scalable
• Lack incentives
• Inefficient
• Public finance only
Private model • Good competences
• Market driven
• Decentralized mgt.
• Can attract priv. finance
• Upfront finance
• Sector lacks experience
• Tariffs and relations
• Policy and reg. framework
Community model • Community buy-in
• Meet the demand
• Empower local people
• Lack of technical experience
• Lack of management skills
• Decision-making slow
Public-private model • Combines advantages
• Responsibilities optimized
• Difference in management sys.
• Strong framework required
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
What is the demand
 IEA estimates that 140 M people in Africa will gain access to mini-grids in
Africa. Requiring installation of 4000 – 8000 mini-grids a year in 25 years!
 Nigeria: 4000 sites – 13 Million people (GIZ mapping on GIS)
 Benchmark in Nigeria: Euro 572/house hold connection
 Investment need in Nigeria: 2 billion Euro
 Capacity: 1,8 GWp
10
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
Productive loads key to scale
11
INTEGRATION
 Productive loads allow for economies to scale
 This in turn improves the profitability
CHALLENGES
 Social
 Change of habits
 Economic
 Productive tariffs need to compete against
diesel
 Investment hurdle related to mechanization
 Technical
 Load/Demand management, e.g. avoid pumps
and/or mills etc. running on batteries
KEY PRODUCTIVE USERS
Photos:GIZIndia
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
ENABLING FRAMEWORK FOR PRIVATE MINI-GRIDS
• Strong interest on federal and state levels as concerns off-grid solutions
• Deep understanding of mini-grids at key MDAs (e.g. FMPWH or NERC)
• Conducive legislative and policy frameworks for private mini-grids
• Mini-grid regulation (supported by NESP) has been approved by NERC
 Compensation for mini-grid operators in case of main-grid connection
 Tariff calculation methodology allowing for reflective tariffs
• NESP partner states are developing mini-grid PPP frameworks
• Financiers, some supported by NESP, are lending (e.g. BoI, bettervest)
12
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
MARKET HAS MATURED
• When NESP started
 Privately-led mini-grids in operation (but 100% grant funded)
 Technically and financially capable local companies
• In 2015, NESP carried out nationwide Guided Idea Competition to pilot PPP model
 Out of 100+ companies, 8 were retained, 4 PPPs signed and 5 pilots
 NESP provides TA and grant to offset ~40% of project’s capital expenditure
 Private partners contribute with their manpower as well as debt/equity
 State Goverments contribute by covering regulatory costs
• Attracted by conducive framework, international companies now scouting market
13
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
Light emission image of Nigeria
14
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
Clusters in Ogun State
15
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
Electrification maps
16
Example of electrification map for Niger State
Disclaimer: Preliminary results of an
ongoing intervention which may not
correspond completely to the current
electrification status of Niger State
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
17
Source: NESP, “Preliminary analysis for off-grid PV capacities for the whole of Nigeria”, 2015
OFF-GRID PV MINI-GRID MARKET POTENTIAL
• Now that market is mature, we need to concentrate on scale!!!!
• 13M Nigerians living in areas viable for off-grid PV mini-grids
• Potential for nearly 4000 mini-grids with a PV capacity of 1.8 GWp
• Potential capital investment estimated at 2 billion Euros
Conservative scenario (20km buffer)
Figures included in slide are estimates based on NESP/FMPWH pre-planning. NESP also carried out advanced planning with its partner states.
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
NESP plans for roll out phase
• Support preparation of replication strategies
 Up to 10 projects per private partner – ~50 projects in total
 Total investment portfolio = 25M EUR
• Support 20 new projects with 40% capital grant and TA
• Seek collaborations with investors to match-make them with its private partners
• Provide technical, financial and legal advice to investors
18
This programme is funded by the European Union and
the German Government
Thank you!
Nigerian Energy Support Programme (NESP)
Jannik Moller
Head, Rural Electrification
jannik.moller@giz.de
+234(0)8054603084

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Abidjan | Mar 17 | Promoting mini grids for development

  • 1. Nigerian Energy Support Programme (NESP) Implemented by MINI-GRID, THE MISSING MIDDLE, AN OPPORTUNITY! Abidjan, March 2017
  • 2. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government NESP AT A GLANCE • Technical cooperation programme • Aim: Enabling framework for RE, EE and Rural Electrification (focus on mini-grids). • Funded by European Union and Germany • Implemented by FMPWH, states (Niger, Ogun, Cross River, Plateau, Sokoto) and GIZ • Duration: 5 years (03/2013 – 02/2018) • As concerns our mini-grid activities, we cover the full spectrum (holistic approach) • TA on policy (e.g. PPP Guidelines) and regulation on State and Federal levels • TA on electrification planning (provides market intelligence to private sector) • TA and capital grants to private sector for mini-grid development • TA to financiers and investors interested in investing in the mini-grid sector 2
  • 3. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government WHAT IS A MINI-GRID?  Definition: Any electricity supply system with its own power generation capacity supplying electricity to more than one customer connected via a low or medium voltage distribution grid and which can operate in isolation from the main grid. Interconnected mini-grids are also possible.  Three major components:  Production: Generation (renewable energy and diesel genset - for backup), Storage (batteries and charge controller), Converters (e.g. inverter), system management (IT equipment) and bus bar (wiring connecting for all production equipment)  Distribution: subsystem distributing the produced electricity to the users consisting of wiring (DC/AC and single or three phase and overhead or underground)  Load: all the equipment on the end-user side (e.g. meters/load limiters, internal wiring, grounding and the electric appliances)  Link to Renewable Energies: Mini-grids can be powered with conventional energy systems such as diesel generators. However, technology development in the renewable energy sector and the resulting drop in the price of RE components has led to the progressive replacement of diesel generators as main the power generation source for mini-grids. 3 Source: ARE, 2011, “Hybrid mini-grids for rural electrification: lessons learned”
  • 4. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government EXAMPLE OF A SOLAR MINI-GRID – POWERSTATION 4 Photo: INENSUS GmbH
  • 5. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government EXAMPLE OF A SOLAR MINI-GRID – POWERSTATION 5 Source:RubitecUtilities,SolarHybridMini-GridinOgun,2016
  • 6. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government Mini-grid space 6 Most reliable solution (24/7) for large villages far away from main grid with productive users, but development is resource intensive leading to high tariffs. Source:EUEI-PDF,Mini-gridpolicytoolkit,2014
  • 7. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government Off grid systems supports many levels of energy need Africa progress panel Tier 0 Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4 Tier 5 Energy service Task lightning, phone Charge General lightning, TV and fan Tier 2 and medium powered appliances Tier 3 and high powered appliances Tier 4 and very high powered appliances Capacity < 12 Wh < 200 Wh < 1 kWh < 3,4 kWh < 8,3 kWh Solar product Solar lantern Solar lantern + charger Small SHS Large SHS Larger SHS Larger SHS Mini Grid Mini grid Mini grid Mini grid Mini grid 7
  • 8. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government Comparison of rural electrification technologies 8 MAIN GRID MINI-GRID STAND-ALONE ADVANTAGES • Cheapest solution (near urban areas) • CAN provide unlimited power supply • Most scalable option • Flexibility in technical design and operational models • Reliable power supply • Scalable • Can power productive users (tier 4 and 5) • Cheap in rural areas • Technology advancing rapidly (lower cost/kWh) • Independent solution • Easy to install and replicate • Can be deployed on a purely commercial basis DISADVANTAGES • Expensive in the rural areas • Not a target area for DisCos (slow expansion) • Depends on the backbones from DisCo, TSP and GenCo • Resource intensive projects • Dependent on regulation (agreements between partners) • Need subsidies • Limited power supply (Mgt. of demand) • Higher tariffs than main grid • Provides a very limited power supply • Most expensive solution (at least in Nigeria)
  • 9. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government Advantages and disadvantages of mini-grid models 9 Africa progress panel Advantages Disadvantages Utility model • Experience • Access to policymakers • Uniform tariff • Scalable • Lack incentives • Inefficient • Public finance only Private model • Good competences • Market driven • Decentralized mgt. • Can attract priv. finance • Upfront finance • Sector lacks experience • Tariffs and relations • Policy and reg. framework Community model • Community buy-in • Meet the demand • Empower local people • Lack of technical experience • Lack of management skills • Decision-making slow Public-private model • Combines advantages • Responsibilities optimized • Difference in management sys. • Strong framework required
  • 10. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government What is the demand  IEA estimates that 140 M people in Africa will gain access to mini-grids in Africa. Requiring installation of 4000 – 8000 mini-grids a year in 25 years!  Nigeria: 4000 sites – 13 Million people (GIZ mapping on GIS)  Benchmark in Nigeria: Euro 572/house hold connection  Investment need in Nigeria: 2 billion Euro  Capacity: 1,8 GWp 10
  • 11. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government Productive loads key to scale 11 INTEGRATION  Productive loads allow for economies to scale  This in turn improves the profitability CHALLENGES  Social  Change of habits  Economic  Productive tariffs need to compete against diesel  Investment hurdle related to mechanization  Technical  Load/Demand management, e.g. avoid pumps and/or mills etc. running on batteries KEY PRODUCTIVE USERS Photos:GIZIndia
  • 12. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government ENABLING FRAMEWORK FOR PRIVATE MINI-GRIDS • Strong interest on federal and state levels as concerns off-grid solutions • Deep understanding of mini-grids at key MDAs (e.g. FMPWH or NERC) • Conducive legislative and policy frameworks for private mini-grids • Mini-grid regulation (supported by NESP) has been approved by NERC  Compensation for mini-grid operators in case of main-grid connection  Tariff calculation methodology allowing for reflective tariffs • NESP partner states are developing mini-grid PPP frameworks • Financiers, some supported by NESP, are lending (e.g. BoI, bettervest) 12
  • 13. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government MARKET HAS MATURED • When NESP started  Privately-led mini-grids in operation (but 100% grant funded)  Technically and financially capable local companies • In 2015, NESP carried out nationwide Guided Idea Competition to pilot PPP model  Out of 100+ companies, 8 were retained, 4 PPPs signed and 5 pilots  NESP provides TA and grant to offset ~40% of project’s capital expenditure  Private partners contribute with their manpower as well as debt/equity  State Goverments contribute by covering regulatory costs • Attracted by conducive framework, international companies now scouting market 13
  • 14. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government Light emission image of Nigeria 14
  • 15. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government Clusters in Ogun State 15
  • 16. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government Electrification maps 16 Example of electrification map for Niger State Disclaimer: Preliminary results of an ongoing intervention which may not correspond completely to the current electrification status of Niger State
  • 17. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government 17 Source: NESP, “Preliminary analysis for off-grid PV capacities for the whole of Nigeria”, 2015 OFF-GRID PV MINI-GRID MARKET POTENTIAL • Now that market is mature, we need to concentrate on scale!!!! • 13M Nigerians living in areas viable for off-grid PV mini-grids • Potential for nearly 4000 mini-grids with a PV capacity of 1.8 GWp • Potential capital investment estimated at 2 billion Euros Conservative scenario (20km buffer) Figures included in slide are estimates based on NESP/FMPWH pre-planning. NESP also carried out advanced planning with its partner states.
  • 18. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government NESP plans for roll out phase • Support preparation of replication strategies  Up to 10 projects per private partner – ~50 projects in total  Total investment portfolio = 25M EUR • Support 20 new projects with 40% capital grant and TA • Seek collaborations with investors to match-make them with its private partners • Provide technical, financial and legal advice to investors 18
  • 19. This programme is funded by the European Union and the German Government Thank you! Nigerian Energy Support Programme (NESP) Jannik Moller Head, Rural Electrification jannik.moller@giz.de +234(0)8054603084