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A Brief Analysis




       HINDUSTAN FERTILIZER
       CORPORATION LIMITED.

                   Presented by : Group 8
                            Gunjan Garg
                         Megha Agarwal
                       Shreyans Golchha
                       Kartikeya Sharma
                   Shaurya Vikram Singh
CONTENTS
 About the Company
 Profit and loss account of the company

 Fertilizer Industry in India : Performance

 Type of Market : Fertilizer Industry

 Regression Analysis of the Industry

 Reasons for the decline in industry

 Recommendations
ABOUT THE COMPANY
 Incorporated on 14.3.1978 consequent upon
  the reorganization of the Fertilizers
  Corporation of India Ltd.
 Owns production units at
   Namrup-Assam,
   Barauni-Bihar  and
   Durgapur-West Bengal besides the
   Haldia Fertilizer Project in West Bengal.
 Ason 31.3.2000, the company held an
 authorized share capital of Rs. 1200 crore and
 a paid up capital of Rs. 776.11 crore.
CONT..
 Production Performance: The total annual installed
  capacity at the 5 manufacturing units of HFC at
  Barauni Durgapur & Namrup (I, II & III) was 6.53
  lakh MT of nitrogen which has been derated to 4.03
  lakh MT.
 Financial performance: The Company has incurred a
  loss of Rs.532.64 crore in the year 1996- 97 and
     expected loss: Year1997-98  Rs.580.70 crore
     1998-99 Rs.707.62 crore

   HFC was declared sick in November 1992 by the
    Board for Industrial and Financial Reconstruction
    (BIFR) in terms of Section 15 of the Sick Industrial
    Companies (Special Provisions)Act, 1985 (SICA)
PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT OF
THE COMPANY

         Mar-89 Mar-90 Mar-91 Mar-92 Mar-93 Mar-94 Mar-95 Mar-96 Mar-97 Mar-98 Mar-99 Mar-00

Total
income    257.38   221.89     224    280.08   341.69   153.49   153.67   238.78    202.45 141.45 1310.28 75.66

Sales      254.8   217.68   219.13   269.72   332.66    140.5   129.09   218.25    192.47 131.68 100.71 67.79

Total
expenses 383.61 385.27 424.83        625.81   664.92   493.97   558.55   728.85   734.82   801.36   649.26   631.24
PAT net
of P&E   -148.78 -171.04 -229.68     -330.8     -352 -374.05 -415.52 -491.85 -539.46 -641.16        -552.7 -570.29
FERTILIZER INDUSTRY IN INDIA :
PERFORMANCE
   The Indian fertilizer industry
     Agriculture the backbone of Indian Economy still
      holds its relative importance for more than a
      billion peoples
      Fertilizer industry in India has succeeded in
      meeting the demand of all chemical fertilizers in
      the recent years.
     Total capacity of the industry as on 30.01.2003 had
      reached a level of 121.10 lakh MT of nitrogen
     Presently there are 57 large fertilizers plants in
      the country producing urea, DAP, Complex
      fertilizer, Ammonium Sulphate (AS) and Calcium
      Ammonium Nitrate (CAN).
TYPE OF MARKET : FERTILIZER
INDUSTRY
 Oligopoly Market
 Few large suppliers like
     Bharat Fertilizer Industries Limited
     Chambal Fertilizers and Chemicals Limited
     National Fertilizers Limited
     Paradeep Phosphates Limited etc..
 Few number of firms selling same kind of product.
 Firms are competing on price so that price and profits
  will be the same as a competitive industry
Some Facts About the Fertilizer Industry
Year                         Production                       Import
1995-96                      15,805                           3782
1996-97                      15,628                           68
1997-98                      18,594                           533
1998-99                      19,292                           556
1999-2000                    19,807                           2389
2000-2001                    19,734                           2328
Fig 1 : Figures showing the production and imports of urea.
•Total fertilizer consumption in the country reached a level of 18.069 million tonne
during 1999-00 and in next four years it ranged between 16.09 to 17.35 million
tonne.
•Similarly, per hectare use of NPK reached 95.4 kg during 1999-00 but it remained
below 92 kg during next four years
•After 1991 -92 growth rate in fertilizer consumption turned out to be only a little
more than one third of what it was during 1966-67 to 1991-92
•The growth rate in fertilizer consumption declined further after 1998-99, the growth
rate in output of crop sector became statistically non significant.
Table 3.1: Maximum retail prices of fertilizers in terms of
nutrients (50 kg pack) exclusive of central VAT,/ state sales
tax and local taxes
  Year                   Urea (46% N)
  1986-87                5.11
  1987-88                5.11
  1988-89                5.11
  1989-90                5.11
  1990-91                5.11
  1991-92                6.91
  1992-93                6.00
  1993-94                6.00
  1994-95                6.81
  1995-96                7.22
  1996-97                7.46
  1997-98                7.96
  1998-99                8.33
  1999-00                9.35
  2000-01                10.00
  2001-02                10.50
  2002-03                10.76
  2003-04                10.50
  2004-05                10.50
  2005-06                10.50
  2006-07                10.50
  Annual growth rate %   3.94



                                                Trend in fertilizer use in
                                                India
REGRESSION ANALYSIS OF THE
    INDUSTRY

                                                                                Shows that 1 percent
                                                                                increase in real price of
                                                                                fertilizer reduces fertilizer
                              Coefficient   Std. Error       t-Statistic   Prob.
                                                                                use by 0.616 percent.
Constant             C(11)       4.746       0.355             13.358      0.000

Area irrigated       C(12)       1.456       0.117             12.440      0.000

Real price           C(13)       -0.616      0.075             -8.219      0.000

ST credit            C(14)       0.098       0.024             4.090       0.000




Equation: FERT =C(11)+C(12)*GCAIR +C(13)*FERTRPRICE+C(14)*CRST
                                                                        98.8% of the variation in fertilizer’s
Observations: 25
                                                                        use is explained by the variation in
R-squared                    0.990                   Mean dependent var       7.073    price
Adjusted R-squared           0.988                   S.D. dependent var      0.375

S.E. of regression           0.041                   Sum squared resid       0.035

Durbin-Watson stat                                   1.856
FERTILIZER INDUSTRY IN INDIA :
PERFORMANCE
   The Indian fertilizer industry
     Achieved phenomenal growth in 80’s
     Witnessed decline in 90’s
     Hasn’t seen any multinational investment in recent times
     Government is also considering disinvestment of its equity of
      public sector fertilizer
     Average price of fertilizer (weighted for N.P and K) was Rs.
      12.5 per kg and subsidy works out to Rs. 8.63. If subsidy on
      fertilizer is removed completely then price of fertilizer increase
      by 69 percent which would lead to decrease in use of
      fertilizers.
     High cost of production, and less revenues due to non-
      negotiable prices.
REASONS FOR THE DECLINE IN
INDUSTRY
   Trickle down effect of downturn in whole fertilizer industry
   Closing of Haldia Project:
      due to a variety of equipment related problems, the
       suspension of commissioning activities had to be ordered in
       October 1986.
      Unavailability of Natural gas
   Problems at Namrup Unit:
      Under utilization of current resources
      Mismanagement, and wrong decisions regarding procuring the
       new ones.
      Huge inventory and ideal lying machinery.
REASONS CONTINUED…
 High raw material procurement cost.
 Increasing cost of production.

 Obsolete technology and machinery

 Constant prices, leading to decreasing margins of
  revenue.
 High In fructuous Expenditure on Import of
  Material
 Loss due to delayed submission of returns to a
  Bank.
Raw material details
Hindustan Fertilizer Corpn. Ltd.
Product/
s        Quantity            Value         Quantity        Value       Quantity      Value
           /Units            Rs. Crore /Units            Rs. Crore /Units            Rs. Crore
           Mar 2001 (12 mths)          Mar 2002 (12 mths)          Mar 2003 (12 mths)

Ammonia                                            136         0.02          264          0.04
                                           Tonnes                      Tonnes
Burnt
Rice
Husk
/Char
Coal               157              0.04           166         0.05           89          0.03
           Tonnes                          Tonnes                      Tonnes
Fuel Oil            28                0              3             0            6         0.01
           Kls                             Kls                         Kls
Naptha             357              0.28           115         0.09          138          0.11
           Tonnes                          Tonnes                      Tonnes
Natural
Gas              91053             15.04         50606         8.25
           000 cu.metres                   000 cu.metres
Sulphur            280              0.11
           Tonnes
RECOMMENDATIONS
 Should bring in a change in the technology of
  production and diversify
 Should opt for disinvestment to do away with the
  official lethargy and red-tapism
 Should aim to have a high Inventory Turnover
  Ratio
REFERENCES
 www.cag.gov.in
 www.ncap.res.in

 www.fert.nic.in

 www.fertilizer.org

 Fertilizers Association of India
THANK YOU

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A brief analysis of Hindustan Fertilizers Ltd.

  • 1. A Brief Analysis HINDUSTAN FERTILIZER CORPORATION LIMITED. Presented by : Group 8 Gunjan Garg Megha Agarwal Shreyans Golchha Kartikeya Sharma Shaurya Vikram Singh
  • 2. CONTENTS  About the Company  Profit and loss account of the company  Fertilizer Industry in India : Performance  Type of Market : Fertilizer Industry  Regression Analysis of the Industry  Reasons for the decline in industry  Recommendations
  • 3. ABOUT THE COMPANY  Incorporated on 14.3.1978 consequent upon the reorganization of the Fertilizers Corporation of India Ltd.  Owns production units at  Namrup-Assam,  Barauni-Bihar and  Durgapur-West Bengal besides the  Haldia Fertilizer Project in West Bengal.  Ason 31.3.2000, the company held an authorized share capital of Rs. 1200 crore and a paid up capital of Rs. 776.11 crore.
  • 4. CONT..  Production Performance: The total annual installed capacity at the 5 manufacturing units of HFC at Barauni Durgapur & Namrup (I, II & III) was 6.53 lakh MT of nitrogen which has been derated to 4.03 lakh MT.  Financial performance: The Company has incurred a loss of Rs.532.64 crore in the year 1996- 97 and  expected loss: Year1997-98  Rs.580.70 crore  1998-99 Rs.707.62 crore  HFC was declared sick in November 1992 by the Board for Industrial and Financial Reconstruction (BIFR) in terms of Section 15 of the Sick Industrial Companies (Special Provisions)Act, 1985 (SICA)
  • 5. PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT OF THE COMPANY Mar-89 Mar-90 Mar-91 Mar-92 Mar-93 Mar-94 Mar-95 Mar-96 Mar-97 Mar-98 Mar-99 Mar-00 Total income 257.38 221.89 224 280.08 341.69 153.49 153.67 238.78 202.45 141.45 1310.28 75.66 Sales 254.8 217.68 219.13 269.72 332.66 140.5 129.09 218.25 192.47 131.68 100.71 67.79 Total expenses 383.61 385.27 424.83 625.81 664.92 493.97 558.55 728.85 734.82 801.36 649.26 631.24 PAT net of P&E -148.78 -171.04 -229.68 -330.8 -352 -374.05 -415.52 -491.85 -539.46 -641.16 -552.7 -570.29
  • 6. FERTILIZER INDUSTRY IN INDIA : PERFORMANCE  The Indian fertilizer industry  Agriculture the backbone of Indian Economy still holds its relative importance for more than a billion peoples   Fertilizer industry in India has succeeded in meeting the demand of all chemical fertilizers in the recent years.  Total capacity of the industry as on 30.01.2003 had reached a level of 121.10 lakh MT of nitrogen  Presently there are 57 large fertilizers plants in the country producing urea, DAP, Complex fertilizer, Ammonium Sulphate (AS) and Calcium Ammonium Nitrate (CAN).
  • 7. TYPE OF MARKET : FERTILIZER INDUSTRY  Oligopoly Market  Few large suppliers like  Bharat Fertilizer Industries Limited  Chambal Fertilizers and Chemicals Limited  National Fertilizers Limited  Paradeep Phosphates Limited etc..  Few number of firms selling same kind of product.  Firms are competing on price so that price and profits will be the same as a competitive industry
  • 8. Some Facts About the Fertilizer Industry Year Production Import 1995-96 15,805 3782 1996-97 15,628 68 1997-98 18,594 533 1998-99 19,292 556 1999-2000 19,807 2389 2000-2001 19,734 2328 Fig 1 : Figures showing the production and imports of urea. •Total fertilizer consumption in the country reached a level of 18.069 million tonne during 1999-00 and in next four years it ranged between 16.09 to 17.35 million tonne. •Similarly, per hectare use of NPK reached 95.4 kg during 1999-00 but it remained below 92 kg during next four years •After 1991 -92 growth rate in fertilizer consumption turned out to be only a little more than one third of what it was during 1966-67 to 1991-92 •The growth rate in fertilizer consumption declined further after 1998-99, the growth rate in output of crop sector became statistically non significant.
  • 9. Table 3.1: Maximum retail prices of fertilizers in terms of nutrients (50 kg pack) exclusive of central VAT,/ state sales tax and local taxes Year Urea (46% N) 1986-87 5.11 1987-88 5.11 1988-89 5.11 1989-90 5.11 1990-91 5.11 1991-92 6.91 1992-93 6.00 1993-94 6.00 1994-95 6.81 1995-96 7.22 1996-97 7.46 1997-98 7.96 1998-99 8.33 1999-00 9.35 2000-01 10.00 2001-02 10.50 2002-03 10.76 2003-04 10.50 2004-05 10.50 2005-06 10.50 2006-07 10.50 Annual growth rate % 3.94 Trend in fertilizer use in India
  • 10. REGRESSION ANALYSIS OF THE INDUSTRY Shows that 1 percent increase in real price of fertilizer reduces fertilizer Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. use by 0.616 percent. Constant C(11) 4.746 0.355 13.358 0.000 Area irrigated C(12) 1.456 0.117 12.440 0.000 Real price C(13) -0.616 0.075 -8.219 0.000 ST credit C(14) 0.098 0.024 4.090 0.000 Equation: FERT =C(11)+C(12)*GCAIR +C(13)*FERTRPRICE+C(14)*CRST 98.8% of the variation in fertilizer’s Observations: 25 use is explained by the variation in R-squared 0.990 Mean dependent var 7.073 price Adjusted R-squared 0.988 S.D. dependent var 0.375 S.E. of regression 0.041 Sum squared resid 0.035 Durbin-Watson stat 1.856
  • 11. FERTILIZER INDUSTRY IN INDIA : PERFORMANCE  The Indian fertilizer industry  Achieved phenomenal growth in 80’s  Witnessed decline in 90’s  Hasn’t seen any multinational investment in recent times  Government is also considering disinvestment of its equity of public sector fertilizer  Average price of fertilizer (weighted for N.P and K) was Rs. 12.5 per kg and subsidy works out to Rs. 8.63. If subsidy on fertilizer is removed completely then price of fertilizer increase by 69 percent which would lead to decrease in use of fertilizers.  High cost of production, and less revenues due to non- negotiable prices.
  • 12. REASONS FOR THE DECLINE IN INDUSTRY  Trickle down effect of downturn in whole fertilizer industry  Closing of Haldia Project:  due to a variety of equipment related problems, the suspension of commissioning activities had to be ordered in October 1986.  Unavailability of Natural gas  Problems at Namrup Unit:  Under utilization of current resources  Mismanagement, and wrong decisions regarding procuring the new ones.  Huge inventory and ideal lying machinery.
  • 13. REASONS CONTINUED…  High raw material procurement cost.  Increasing cost of production.  Obsolete technology and machinery  Constant prices, leading to decreasing margins of revenue.  High In fructuous Expenditure on Import of Material  Loss due to delayed submission of returns to a Bank.
  • 14. Raw material details Hindustan Fertilizer Corpn. Ltd. Product/ s Quantity Value Quantity Value Quantity Value /Units Rs. Crore /Units Rs. Crore /Units Rs. Crore Mar 2001 (12 mths) Mar 2002 (12 mths) Mar 2003 (12 mths) Ammonia 136 0.02 264 0.04 Tonnes Tonnes Burnt Rice Husk /Char Coal 157 0.04 166 0.05 89 0.03 Tonnes Tonnes Tonnes Fuel Oil 28 0 3 0 6 0.01 Kls Kls Kls Naptha 357 0.28 115 0.09 138 0.11 Tonnes Tonnes Tonnes Natural Gas 91053 15.04 50606 8.25 000 cu.metres 000 cu.metres Sulphur 280 0.11 Tonnes
  • 15. RECOMMENDATIONS  Should bring in a change in the technology of production and diversify  Should opt for disinvestment to do away with the official lethargy and red-tapism  Should aim to have a high Inventory Turnover Ratio
  • 16. REFERENCES  www.cag.gov.in  www.ncap.res.in  www.fert.nic.in  www.fertilizer.org  Fertilizers Association of India