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POPULATION BASED CERVICAL CANCER SCREENING
            PROGRAMME IN TURKEY
Working Meeting on Comprehensive Cervical Cancer
  Prevention and Control in UNFPA, EECARO and
                 ASRO Countries

    M. Faruk Kose, MD
    MoH Etlik Zubeyde Hanim Women’s Health
    Teaching&Research Hospital, Ankara
    Department of Gynecologic Oncology
Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Turkey
                (All Women)
                      Incidence   Mortality




                       9th
                                   12th




IARC, Globocan 2008
Estimated Cancer Incidence
                  (15-44 Year-old Women)
                           Breast                                                               3105


                         Thyroid                       684


                           Ovary                 486


                       Brain, CNS               437


                      Leukaemia                 407


                      Colorectum               362


                      Cervix uteri


         Non-Hodgkin lymphoma
                                           345


                                           340
                                                                    7th
                        Stomach            323


                  Corpus uteri           221


                                     0         500           1000   1500   2000   2500   3000          3500



IARC, Globocan 2008
Estimated Cervical Cancer
        Incidence and Mortality in Turkey




                           Estimated number of cases: 1.443/3.7%
IARC, Globocan 2008        Estimated number of deaths: 556/2.3%
Globocan 2002 vs. 2008

2500
           Cervix                      Ovary                 Corpus uteri
2000                                                                     1937
                                                1804
                                 1628
1500   1364         1443                                    1391
                                                     1247
                                       1001
1000
              726
                           556                                     581          519
 500

   0
       Globocan     Globocan     Globocan        Globocan   Globocan     Globocan
         2002         2008         2002            2008       2002         2008
                           incidence          mortality
Women Cancers in Turkey

          MoH 1996                             MoH 2002                   MoH 2005
                         Number of                  Number of                   Number of
                          patients                  patients                     patients
Breast                       3.755   Breast            5.271    Breast           12.414
Stomach                      1.083   Skin              1.302    Skin              6.230
Ovary                        823     Stomach           1.113    Thyroid           2.940
Skin                         820     Endometrium       1.108    Lung              2.520
Colon                        632     Ovary             1.074    Stomach           2.380
Lung                         631     Colon                927   Colon             2.205
Cervix                       623     Lung                 855   Ovary             2.114
Brain                        611     Hematologic          840   Hematologic       2.110
Hematologic                  587     Brain                838   Endometrium       1.883
Rectum                       540     Cervix               708   Cervix            1.855

   Ministry of Health data
Cancer Incidence
            (All women per 100.000, 2006)
                     Type of Cancer

                Brain, Neural System

                      Uterine Cervix

            Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma

                            Ovarium

                           Stomach

           Trachea, Lung, and Bronch

                     Uterine Corpus

                             Thyroid

                          Colorectal

                              Breast


                                       Incidence



Source: Department of Cancer Control
Cervical Cancer Incidence in Turkey

                                                  Incidence of the ICCs 2002-2008


                      5,00                 4,76
                                                                                       4,8
                      4,50
                                                                            4,4                          4,4
                                                          4,5
                      4,00      3,96                                                            4,3
Incidence (100.000)




                      3,50

                      3,00

                      2,50

                      2,00
                             2002       2003         2004             2005          2006     2007     2008
                                       *Incidence rates of 2007&2008 are estimated
National Cancer Control Programme of Turkey
   2009-2015: Headlines for Cervical Cancer
• Prevention
   – Tobacco legislations and nicotine replacement therapies
   – Measures for preventing sexual transmitted diseases
   – HPV Vaccination
       • Annual cost efficiency analysis
       • Governmental reimbursement is in close future once a cost efficient
         price can be reached
• Screening
   – Free of charge through Cancer Early Detection, Screening and
     Education Centers (KETEMs) upon invitations
   – Population based + Opportunistic (Total 20% coverage rate)
• Treatment
   – Free of charge to all citizens whatever the social security
     coverage
Current Cervical Cancer
            Screening Programme
• Screening Test: Pap smear
• Target Age Group: 30-65 years
• Screening Interval: 5 years
• Population based screening through KETEMs (free of
  charge) + Opportunistic screening
• EU Quality guidelines are implemented with on site
  monitorization and evaluation
• KETEMs have consultant Ob&Gyn specialist in addition
  to other experts. If smear is abnormal, these
  consultations, treatment after screenings and follow up
  of patients are free fo charge without any strict referral
  rules
Monitoring, Evaluation and Partners
• Monitoring and Evaluation Team exist
• On site evaluation
• Hard copy screening data are collected for 3 months
  interval
• On site PAX system data collection system is under
  construction with EU IPA project
• Partners
   –   Turkish Society of Gynecologic Oncology
   –   Turkish Society for Cervical Pathology and Colposcopy
   –   Turkish Federation Breast Disease
   –   Turkish Society of Radiology
   –   Patient advocacy groups, NGOs, UICC
Turkey’s Capacity for Cervical Cancer
Screening: Challenges and Lessons Learned

        Pathologists: 1.140

        Cytopathologists: None

        Target Population (30-65): 14 million

        Coverage Rate: 20%
Number of Pathologists in Turkey

   Goverment
    Hospitals
      702




   University     Total
   Hospitals
      316         1.140


    Private
      122
Smear Number Per Day for
 One Pathologist in Turkey
    Estimated smear per day/pathologist




                  Mainly
                Pap smear
                evaluation




            20-25 Pap
           smears a day
How Many Smear Can be Analized
                        in One Year?




                                                                                    screened
                                                                         Population has to be
                                        1.140 Pathologists
220 Working days per year




                            220 x 25=                        5.500 x
                            5.500                            1.140=
                                                             6.270.000
                                                                                                ?
Target Population

            Only 35 Yrs
            628.000
            30-65 Yrs
            14.419.711
            35-65 Yrs
            11.549.122
            20-65 Yrs
            21.715.000
            20-70 Yrs
            22.642.000
Sanliurfa Study: Study Objectives

      • To see cervical cancer incidence in rural parts

      • To evaluate the feasibility of VIA and VILI
          screening

      • To determine a national standard for Turkish
          population based screening programme


19.05.2011 Türk Jinekolojik Onkoloji Derneği Toplantısı
      İstanbul
Results of Sanliurfa Study

Abnormalities                              N (%)
ASC-US                                 144 (1.60)
ASC-H                                    6 (0.06)
AGC                                      5 (0.05)
LGSIL                                    7 (0.07)
HGSIL                                    2 (0.02)
Invasive Cancer                          1 (0.01)
           Total smear number: 9,079
Results of Umudum’s Study

    Abnormalities                                               %
    ASC-US                                                   4.00
    LGSIL                                                    0.40
    HGSIL                                                    0.19
                               Total smear number: 180,000




Umudum H, Int Cythopathology Congress, 2006
Turkish Cervical Cancer and
 Cervical Cytology Research Group

Abnormal smears                            1.76%
ASC-US                                     1.07%
ASC-H                                      0.07%
AGC                                        0.07%
LGSIL                                        0.3%
HGSIL                                      0.17%
Invasive Cancer                           0.062%
     Total smear number: 140,334/33 centers
Results of Hacettepe Study

HPV positivity                         41 (4%)
ASCUS                                9 (1.07%)
AGCUS                                 2 (0.2%)
LGSIL                                 2 (0.2%)
HGSIL                                 1 (0.1%)
                 Total case: 1.032
Potential Role of HPV Testing
        in Cervical Screening
• Primary Screening
  – Adjunct to Cytology
     • Higher Sensitivity
     • Longer Screening Interval
     • Reduced Inadequate Rate
  – Sole Primary Test
     • Use of Cytology for Triage
  – Self Sampling
     • Improved Coverage
“Is HPV Testing at Least as Good..?”


         WHO via IARC has stated
          “There is sufficient evidence, based on surrogate
           markers, that the efficacy of HPV testing, using a
         validated system, as the primary screening modality
           can be expected to be at least as good as that of
                        conventional cytology.”

WHO: World Health Organisation
IARC: International Agency for Research on Cancer
Cytology Sensitivity for CIN2+
                       (All ages)


                                 CIN 2+
       HART
   Tuebingen
    Hannover
        Jena
 French Public
French Private
       Seattle
      Canada

   Combined
                 0%   10%   30% 50% 70%           90%   100%
                            Cytology Positivity
HPV Sensitivity for CIN2+
                        (All ages)


                                               CIN 2+
        HART
   Tuebingen
    Hannover
         Jena
 French Public
French Private
       Seattle
      Canada

   Combined
                 0%    10%   30% 50% 70%       90%      100%
                              HPV Positivity
Summary of HPV vs Cytology
      Sensitivity and Specificty


              Sensitivity   Specificity

Cytology         53%           97%

HPV testing      96%           92%
Hazard Ratios of Cervical Cancer Death Rates

Study Groups Rate/100.000                         HR (95% CI)

Control                                  25.8        1.00

HPV                                      12.7   0.52 (0.33-0.83)

Cytology                                 21.5   0.89 (0.62-1.27)

VIA                                      20.9   0.86 (0.60-1.25)

Sankaranarayanan R, N Engl J Med, 2009
Efficacy of Laboratory Performance:
     Cytology vs HPV Testing (CCCaST Study)
                  PAP              HPV   PAP        HPV
     100%
      90%
      80%                                                 PAP laboratory 1
      70%                                                 PAP laboratory 2
      60%
                                                          PAP laboratory 3
      50%
      40%                                                 HPV laboratory 1
      30%                                                 HPV laboratory 2
      20%
      10%
       0%
                         Sensitivity      Specificity




Mayrand MH, Unpublished Data
Detection Ratio of CIN3+ After One
                Negative Test

  Groups                      Years         CIN3+

  Cytology                     3      0.51% (0.23 – 0.77)

  HPV                          5      0.27% (0.12 – 0.45)


Ronco G, Lancet Oncol, 2010
Conclusion for Why HPV
• The risk of CIN2+ following a negative HPV test is
  extremely low for at least 5-6 years
• HPV testing offers improved protection from CIN2+ and
  invasive cancer after a negative test compared to the
  protection afforded from a normal cytology
• HPV-based screening is more effective than cytology in
  preventing invasive cervical cancer, by detecting
  persistent high-grade lesions earlier and providing a
  longer low-risk period. However, in younger women,
  HPV screening leads to over-diagnosis of regressive
  CIN2.
Performance of the HPV Testings for
                  CIN2+
                              Best testing




Cuzick J, J Med Virol, 2010
Performance of the HPV Testings for
                  CIN3+
                              Best testing




Cuzick J, J Med Virol, 2010
Conclusion for Performance of the
                  HPV Testings
• Five tests have sensitivity for CIN3+ ≥ 95%
       – Hybrid Capture II (Qiagen), RealTime HR HPV (Abbott), APTIMA
         (Gen-Probe), Amplicor (Roche), Linear Array (Roche)
• Of these five tests, Hybrid Capture II showed higher
  sensitivity and lower specificity than the other four tests.
  APTIMA and RealTime HR HPV were also more specific than
  Cobas and BD HPV
• Differences in specificity may be partly due to different
  analytic cutoffs leading also to differences in sensitivity
• PreTect HPV-Proofer is less sensitive much more specific
• Performance of p16INK4a was between PreTect HPV-
  Proofer and the highly sensitive tests for both specificity
  and sensitivity

Cuzick J, J Med Virol, 2010
HPV-Based Screening Program
                            “Proposed New Screening Algorithm - Population Aged 30-64”

                    HPV (-)                                                          HPV (+)
                    %92.4                                                            %7.76
                                                                                                   1.153.577 Wmn


                                                                                    Cytology
                  Normal
                5-Year recall                            Normal or Borderline %6                  ≥ Mild %1.6



                                                         HPV Testing & Cytology                   Colposcopy
                                                            at 6 -12 months
                  Cytology (-)
                    HPV (-)                                  HPV (+)     Cytology < mild       Cytology ≥ mild
                                                             HPV (-)     Cytology Borderline


                                                         HPV Testing & Cytology                   Colposcopy
                  Normal
                                                            at 6 -12 months
                5-Year recall
                     %2.9                                              %2.5                       %0.6
Wright TC Jr, EUROGIN, 2003 Paris; Cuzick J, Vaccine, 2008
HPV-Based Primary Screening Program
                                                                                                                         Completion of
                                                                                                                         1st screening round for
                                                                                                                         all women eligible at
                                                                                                                         baseline – by Nov 2015
Launch of new program
Nov 2011                                                                           Phase III (Full coverage
                                                                                   phase – 3-4mill capacity
                                                                                        by Nov 2014)
                                                                                                                          Phase IV
                                                                                                                     All KETEMs fully
                                                   Phase II (Extension Phase –
                                                   2+ mill capacity - Nov 2013)                                       operational and
                                                                                                                  offering HPV screening
                                                                                                                          services
                Phase I (Kick Off Phase -                                                                               nationwide
                 1 mill capacity –2011)




         2011                               2012                           2013                               2014                2015



                                       1 mill                             3 mill                              6 mill           9-10 mill           14 mill
                                            Cumulative number women screened with HPV primary screening test
Way Forward/Future Plans
Way Forward/Future Plans
New Turkish Cervical Cancer Control Strategy


                               HPV




                          PRECANCER                                      CANCER

            15 Y                  30 Y   35 Y   40 Y     45 Y               60 Y    65 Y

 Current           Cytology
 Strategy



New            HPV            HPV DNA     HPV DNA
                               Test 1      Test 2
                                                    Screening will continue for HPV (+)!
Strategy    Vaccination
Thank You for Your Attention!
The Most Frequent Cancers In Women
      Worldwide (In Thousands of New Cases Per Year)
                                      Developed                              Developing
                         Breast 692                                                         691
                   Colon/Rect              338                                232
                  Cervix Uteri                            77                          453
                           Lung                  242                            272
                       Stomach                           102                   247
                 Corpus Utery                          142                 145
                           Liver                               40            186
                          Ovary                         100               125
                        Thyroid                           74            89
                N-H lymphoma                             85            71
                   Oesophagus                      18                     138
                     Leukaemia                             62           93
                      Pancreas                            81          52
             Brain, Nervous S.                              40         71
                         Kidney                            68        35
             Melanoma of skin                             82        15
                Lip, Oral cavity                             29       64
IARC, Globocan 2008
Incidence Rates of Cervical Cancer in
              Europe
          Age-standardized incidence rate per 100,000 and year




        ICC cases/yr: 54,323 ICC deaths/yr: 25,102
The Most Frequent Women Cancers in
              Europe




IARC, Globocan 2008
According to 2006 Estimates of the International
        Agency for Research on Cancer

Breast Cancer
• 331,000 cases
• 90,000 deaths
Cervical Cancer
• 36,500 cases
• 15,000 deaths
Colorectal cancer
• 140,000 cases in women and 170,000 in men
• 68,000 deaths in women and 78,000 in men
Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Europe
                    (All Women)
                                          Incidence                                                      Mortality
              Breast                                    66.6                  Breast              16.9
          Colorectum                   23.7                                     Lung           10.7
                 Lung           13.1                                     Colorectum            10.5
          Corpus uteri          12.6                                           Ovary     5.4
        Cervix uteri
                Ovary
                            10.5

                            10.2
                                                   5th                      Stomach

                                                                            Pancreas
                                                                                         5.4

                                                                                         5.0
     Melanoma of skin     7.6                                          Cervix uteri     3.9
                                                                                                                 7 th
              Thyroid     7.1                                   Brain, nervous system   3.1
             Stomach      7.0                                             Leukaemia     3.0
Non-Hodgkin lymphoma      5.8                                            Corpus uteri   2.6

                     0           20           40   60          80                   0             20        40       60   80

                                  Annual age−standardized rates per 100,000 women (all ages)

    IARC, Globocan 2008
Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Europe
              (15-44 Year-old Women)
                                            Incidence                                                       Mortality
                Breast                      29.9                                  Breast         4.7
                                                                                                                     nd
           Cervix uteri
               Thyroid          7.0
                                     11.1
                                                            2nd              Cervix uteri
                                                                    Brain, nervous system
                                                                                                2.4
                                                                                                1.4
                                                                                                                    2
     Melanoma of skin           6.7                                                 Lung        1.3

                 Ovary         4.7                                           Colorectum         1.2

           Colorectum         3.7                                                  Ovary        1.2

    Hodgkin lymphoma          3.0                                               Stomach         1.2

  Brain, nervous system       2.7                                             Leukaemia         1.1

Non-Hodgkin lymphoma          2.3                                      Melanoma of skin 0.6

                  Lung        2.2                              Non-Hodgkin lymphoma 0.5

                          0            20     40       60      80                           0          20      40       60   80
                                        Annual age−specific rates per 100,000 women (15-44 Yrs)



   IARC, Globocan 2008
Incidence of Cancer in Turkey


                      300                                     256,4
                                                                      271,7   275,4
                                                      246,5
Incidence (100.000)




                                              236,3
                      250
                      200            168,69                   158,1   166,8   169,9
                            154,15            142,9   149,7
                      150            127,92
                            113,03
                      100
                      50
                       0
                            2002     2003     2004    2005    2006    2007    2008
                                                                                      Kadın
                                                                                       Women
                                                                                      Erkek
                                                                                       Men
Primary Screening Pap vs HPV
                                    Test                            % (%95 CI)
                                    Pap                          55.4 (33.6-77.2)
 Sensitivity
                                    HPV                          94.6 (84.2-100)
                                    Pap                          96.8 (96.3-97.3)
 Specificsity
                                    HPV                          94.1 (93.4-94.8)
                                    Pap                           7.1 (4.8-10.3)
 PPV
                                    HPV                            6.4 (5.0-8.0)
                                    Pap                          99.8 (99.7-99.9)
 NPV
                                    HPV                          100 (98.6-100)
 *CCCaST: Canadian Cervical Cancer Screening Trial; Case # 10.171, 30-69 Y, CIN2+


Mayrand MH, N Engl J Med, 2007
Efficacy of HPV Testing for
                           the Detection of CIN
  • The New Technologies for Cervical Cancer (NTCC)
    Screening Study
  • Case # 128.285
  • FU 5-6 Yrs
  • Randomization and second round after one year
         – HPV testing group
         – Cytology group
  • Age intervals of analysis; 25-34 and 35-60 Yrs
                               HPV group   Cytology group    RD
Round one                           206              101    2.03
Round two                            16               32    0.51
Two rounds                          221              133    1.66

Ronco G, Lancet Oncol, 2010
NTCC: the Detection of ICCs
                              HPV group   Cytology group      p
  All ages
  Round one                      7                    9     0.62
  Round two                      0                    9    0.004
  Total                          7                   18    0.028
  35-60 Yrs
  Round one                      6                    8     0.61
  Round two                      0                    7    0.016
  Total                          6                   15    0.052
  25-34 Yrs
  Round one                      1                    1     1.00
  Round two                      0                    2     0.50
  Total                          1                    3     0.37
Ronco G, Lancet Oncol, 2010
Sensitivity of the HPV Testings
 Test (Producer)                 CIN2+ (%)   CIN3+ (%)

 Cytology; mild+                   88.5       92.3
 Hybrid Capture II (Qiagen)        96.5       97.5
 BD HPV (BD-ProExC)                94.8       95.8
 Cobas (Roche)                     95.5       96.1
 PreTect HPV-Proofer (NorChip)     74.7       78.5
 APTIMA (Gen-Probe)                95.0       97.1
 RealTime HR HPV (Abbott)          93.0       95.0
 p16INK4a (mtm Lab)                85.9       89.1
Cuzick J, J Med Virol, 2010

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Population Based Cervical Cancer Screening Programme in Turkey

  • 1. POPULATION BASED CERVICAL CANCER SCREENING PROGRAMME IN TURKEY Working Meeting on Comprehensive Cervical Cancer Prevention and Control in UNFPA, EECARO and ASRO Countries M. Faruk Kose, MD MoH Etlik Zubeyde Hanim Women’s Health Teaching&Research Hospital, Ankara Department of Gynecologic Oncology
  • 2. Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Turkey (All Women) Incidence Mortality 9th 12th IARC, Globocan 2008
  • 3. Estimated Cancer Incidence (15-44 Year-old Women) Breast 3105 Thyroid 684 Ovary 486 Brain, CNS 437 Leukaemia 407 Colorectum 362 Cervix uteri Non-Hodgkin lymphoma 345 340 7th Stomach 323 Corpus uteri 221 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 IARC, Globocan 2008
  • 4. Estimated Cervical Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Turkey Estimated number of cases: 1.443/3.7% IARC, Globocan 2008 Estimated number of deaths: 556/2.3%
  • 5. Globocan 2002 vs. 2008 2500 Cervix Ovary Corpus uteri 2000 1937 1804 1628 1500 1364 1443 1391 1247 1001 1000 726 556 581 519 500 0 Globocan Globocan Globocan Globocan Globocan Globocan 2002 2008 2002 2008 2002 2008 incidence mortality
  • 6. Women Cancers in Turkey MoH 1996 MoH 2002 MoH 2005 Number of Number of Number of patients patients patients Breast 3.755 Breast 5.271 Breast 12.414 Stomach 1.083 Skin 1.302 Skin 6.230 Ovary 823 Stomach 1.113 Thyroid 2.940 Skin 820 Endometrium 1.108 Lung 2.520 Colon 632 Ovary 1.074 Stomach 2.380 Lung 631 Colon 927 Colon 2.205 Cervix 623 Lung 855 Ovary 2.114 Brain 611 Hematologic 840 Hematologic 2.110 Hematologic 587 Brain 838 Endometrium 1.883 Rectum 540 Cervix 708 Cervix 1.855 Ministry of Health data
  • 7. Cancer Incidence (All women per 100.000, 2006) Type of Cancer Brain, Neural System Uterine Cervix Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma Ovarium Stomach Trachea, Lung, and Bronch Uterine Corpus Thyroid Colorectal Breast Incidence Source: Department of Cancer Control
  • 8. Cervical Cancer Incidence in Turkey Incidence of the ICCs 2002-2008 5,00 4,76 4,8 4,50 4,4 4,4 4,5 4,00 3,96 4,3 Incidence (100.000) 3,50 3,00 2,50 2,00 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 *Incidence rates of 2007&2008 are estimated
  • 9. National Cancer Control Programme of Turkey 2009-2015: Headlines for Cervical Cancer • Prevention – Tobacco legislations and nicotine replacement therapies – Measures for preventing sexual transmitted diseases – HPV Vaccination • Annual cost efficiency analysis • Governmental reimbursement is in close future once a cost efficient price can be reached • Screening – Free of charge through Cancer Early Detection, Screening and Education Centers (KETEMs) upon invitations – Population based + Opportunistic (Total 20% coverage rate) • Treatment – Free of charge to all citizens whatever the social security coverage
  • 10. Current Cervical Cancer Screening Programme • Screening Test: Pap smear • Target Age Group: 30-65 years • Screening Interval: 5 years • Population based screening through KETEMs (free of charge) + Opportunistic screening • EU Quality guidelines are implemented with on site monitorization and evaluation • KETEMs have consultant Ob&Gyn specialist in addition to other experts. If smear is abnormal, these consultations, treatment after screenings and follow up of patients are free fo charge without any strict referral rules
  • 11. Monitoring, Evaluation and Partners • Monitoring and Evaluation Team exist • On site evaluation • Hard copy screening data are collected for 3 months interval • On site PAX system data collection system is under construction with EU IPA project • Partners – Turkish Society of Gynecologic Oncology – Turkish Society for Cervical Pathology and Colposcopy – Turkish Federation Breast Disease – Turkish Society of Radiology – Patient advocacy groups, NGOs, UICC
  • 12. Turkey’s Capacity for Cervical Cancer Screening: Challenges and Lessons Learned Pathologists: 1.140 Cytopathologists: None Target Population (30-65): 14 million Coverage Rate: 20%
  • 13. Number of Pathologists in Turkey Goverment Hospitals 702 University Total Hospitals 316 1.140 Private 122
  • 14. Smear Number Per Day for One Pathologist in Turkey Estimated smear per day/pathologist Mainly Pap smear evaluation 20-25 Pap smears a day
  • 15. How Many Smear Can be Analized in One Year? screened Population has to be 1.140 Pathologists 220 Working days per year 220 x 25= 5.500 x 5.500 1.140= 6.270.000 ?
  • 16. Target Population Only 35 Yrs 628.000 30-65 Yrs 14.419.711 35-65 Yrs 11.549.122 20-65 Yrs 21.715.000 20-70 Yrs 22.642.000
  • 17. Sanliurfa Study: Study Objectives • To see cervical cancer incidence in rural parts • To evaluate the feasibility of VIA and VILI screening • To determine a national standard for Turkish population based screening programme 19.05.2011 Türk Jinekolojik Onkoloji Derneği Toplantısı İstanbul
  • 18. Results of Sanliurfa Study Abnormalities N (%) ASC-US 144 (1.60) ASC-H 6 (0.06) AGC 5 (0.05) LGSIL 7 (0.07) HGSIL 2 (0.02) Invasive Cancer 1 (0.01) Total smear number: 9,079
  • 19. Results of Umudum’s Study Abnormalities % ASC-US 4.00 LGSIL 0.40 HGSIL 0.19 Total smear number: 180,000 Umudum H, Int Cythopathology Congress, 2006
  • 20. Turkish Cervical Cancer and Cervical Cytology Research Group Abnormal smears 1.76% ASC-US 1.07% ASC-H 0.07% AGC 0.07% LGSIL 0.3% HGSIL 0.17% Invasive Cancer 0.062% Total smear number: 140,334/33 centers
  • 21. Results of Hacettepe Study HPV positivity 41 (4%) ASCUS 9 (1.07%) AGCUS 2 (0.2%) LGSIL 2 (0.2%) HGSIL 1 (0.1%) Total case: 1.032
  • 22. Potential Role of HPV Testing in Cervical Screening • Primary Screening – Adjunct to Cytology • Higher Sensitivity • Longer Screening Interval • Reduced Inadequate Rate – Sole Primary Test • Use of Cytology for Triage – Self Sampling • Improved Coverage
  • 23. “Is HPV Testing at Least as Good..?” WHO via IARC has stated “There is sufficient evidence, based on surrogate markers, that the efficacy of HPV testing, using a validated system, as the primary screening modality can be expected to be at least as good as that of conventional cytology.” WHO: World Health Organisation IARC: International Agency for Research on Cancer
  • 24. Cytology Sensitivity for CIN2+ (All ages) CIN 2+ HART Tuebingen Hannover Jena French Public French Private Seattle Canada Combined 0% 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% 100% Cytology Positivity
  • 25. HPV Sensitivity for CIN2+ (All ages) CIN 2+ HART Tuebingen Hannover Jena French Public French Private Seattle Canada Combined 0% 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% 100% HPV Positivity
  • 26. Summary of HPV vs Cytology Sensitivity and Specificty Sensitivity Specificity Cytology 53% 97% HPV testing 96% 92%
  • 27. Hazard Ratios of Cervical Cancer Death Rates Study Groups Rate/100.000 HR (95% CI) Control 25.8 1.00 HPV 12.7 0.52 (0.33-0.83) Cytology 21.5 0.89 (0.62-1.27) VIA 20.9 0.86 (0.60-1.25) Sankaranarayanan R, N Engl J Med, 2009
  • 28. Efficacy of Laboratory Performance: Cytology vs HPV Testing (CCCaST Study) PAP HPV PAP HPV 100% 90% 80% PAP laboratory 1 70% PAP laboratory 2 60% PAP laboratory 3 50% 40% HPV laboratory 1 30% HPV laboratory 2 20% 10% 0% Sensitivity Specificity Mayrand MH, Unpublished Data
  • 29. Detection Ratio of CIN3+ After One Negative Test Groups Years CIN3+ Cytology 3 0.51% (0.23 – 0.77) HPV 5 0.27% (0.12 – 0.45) Ronco G, Lancet Oncol, 2010
  • 30. Conclusion for Why HPV • The risk of CIN2+ following a negative HPV test is extremely low for at least 5-6 years • HPV testing offers improved protection from CIN2+ and invasive cancer after a negative test compared to the protection afforded from a normal cytology • HPV-based screening is more effective than cytology in preventing invasive cervical cancer, by detecting persistent high-grade lesions earlier and providing a longer low-risk period. However, in younger women, HPV screening leads to over-diagnosis of regressive CIN2.
  • 31. Performance of the HPV Testings for CIN2+ Best testing Cuzick J, J Med Virol, 2010
  • 32. Performance of the HPV Testings for CIN3+ Best testing Cuzick J, J Med Virol, 2010
  • 33. Conclusion for Performance of the HPV Testings • Five tests have sensitivity for CIN3+ ≥ 95% – Hybrid Capture II (Qiagen), RealTime HR HPV (Abbott), APTIMA (Gen-Probe), Amplicor (Roche), Linear Array (Roche) • Of these five tests, Hybrid Capture II showed higher sensitivity and lower specificity than the other four tests. APTIMA and RealTime HR HPV were also more specific than Cobas and BD HPV • Differences in specificity may be partly due to different analytic cutoffs leading also to differences in sensitivity • PreTect HPV-Proofer is less sensitive much more specific • Performance of p16INK4a was between PreTect HPV- Proofer and the highly sensitive tests for both specificity and sensitivity Cuzick J, J Med Virol, 2010
  • 34. HPV-Based Screening Program “Proposed New Screening Algorithm - Population Aged 30-64” HPV (-) HPV (+) %92.4 %7.76 1.153.577 Wmn Cytology Normal 5-Year recall Normal or Borderline %6 ≥ Mild %1.6 HPV Testing & Cytology Colposcopy at 6 -12 months Cytology (-) HPV (-) HPV (+) Cytology < mild Cytology ≥ mild HPV (-) Cytology Borderline HPV Testing & Cytology Colposcopy Normal at 6 -12 months 5-Year recall %2.9 %2.5 %0.6 Wright TC Jr, EUROGIN, 2003 Paris; Cuzick J, Vaccine, 2008
  • 35. HPV-Based Primary Screening Program Completion of 1st screening round for all women eligible at baseline – by Nov 2015 Launch of new program Nov 2011 Phase III (Full coverage phase – 3-4mill capacity by Nov 2014) Phase IV All KETEMs fully Phase II (Extension Phase – 2+ mill capacity - Nov 2013) operational and offering HPV screening services Phase I (Kick Off Phase - nationwide 1 mill capacity –2011) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1 mill 3 mill 6 mill 9-10 mill 14 mill Cumulative number women screened with HPV primary screening test
  • 38. New Turkish Cervical Cancer Control Strategy HPV PRECANCER CANCER 15 Y 30 Y 35 Y 40 Y 45 Y 60 Y 65 Y Current Cytology Strategy New HPV HPV DNA HPV DNA Test 1 Test 2 Screening will continue for HPV (+)! Strategy Vaccination
  • 39. Thank You for Your Attention!
  • 40. The Most Frequent Cancers In Women Worldwide (In Thousands of New Cases Per Year) Developed Developing Breast 692 691 Colon/Rect 338 232 Cervix Uteri 77 453 Lung 242 272 Stomach 102 247 Corpus Utery 142 145 Liver 40 186 Ovary 100 125 Thyroid 74 89 N-H lymphoma 85 71 Oesophagus 18 138 Leukaemia 62 93 Pancreas 81 52 Brain, Nervous S. 40 71 Kidney 68 35 Melanoma of skin 82 15 Lip, Oral cavity 29 64 IARC, Globocan 2008
  • 41. Incidence Rates of Cervical Cancer in Europe Age-standardized incidence rate per 100,000 and year ICC cases/yr: 54,323 ICC deaths/yr: 25,102
  • 42. The Most Frequent Women Cancers in Europe IARC, Globocan 2008
  • 43. According to 2006 Estimates of the International Agency for Research on Cancer Breast Cancer • 331,000 cases • 90,000 deaths Cervical Cancer • 36,500 cases • 15,000 deaths Colorectal cancer • 140,000 cases in women and 170,000 in men • 68,000 deaths in women and 78,000 in men
  • 44. Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Europe (All Women) Incidence Mortality Breast 66.6 Breast 16.9 Colorectum 23.7 Lung 10.7 Lung 13.1 Colorectum 10.5 Corpus uteri 12.6 Ovary 5.4 Cervix uteri Ovary 10.5 10.2 5th Stomach Pancreas 5.4 5.0 Melanoma of skin 7.6 Cervix uteri 3.9 7 th Thyroid 7.1 Brain, nervous system 3.1 Stomach 7.0 Leukaemia 3.0 Non-Hodgkin lymphoma 5.8 Corpus uteri 2.6 0 20 40 60 80 0 20 40 60 80 Annual age−standardized rates per 100,000 women (all ages) IARC, Globocan 2008
  • 45. Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Europe (15-44 Year-old Women) Incidence Mortality Breast 29.9 Breast 4.7 nd Cervix uteri Thyroid 7.0 11.1 2nd Cervix uteri Brain, nervous system 2.4 1.4 2 Melanoma of skin 6.7 Lung 1.3 Ovary 4.7 Colorectum 1.2 Colorectum 3.7 Ovary 1.2 Hodgkin lymphoma 3.0 Stomach 1.2 Brain, nervous system 2.7 Leukaemia 1.1 Non-Hodgkin lymphoma 2.3 Melanoma of skin 0.6 Lung 2.2 Non-Hodgkin lymphoma 0.5 0 20 40 60 80 0 20 40 60 80 Annual age−specific rates per 100,000 women (15-44 Yrs) IARC, Globocan 2008
  • 46. Incidence of Cancer in Turkey 300 256,4 271,7 275,4 246,5 Incidence (100.000) 236,3 250 200 168,69 158,1 166,8 169,9 154,15 142,9 149,7 150 127,92 113,03 100 50 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Kadın Women Erkek Men
  • 47. Primary Screening Pap vs HPV Test % (%95 CI) Pap 55.4 (33.6-77.2) Sensitivity HPV 94.6 (84.2-100) Pap 96.8 (96.3-97.3) Specificsity HPV 94.1 (93.4-94.8) Pap 7.1 (4.8-10.3) PPV HPV 6.4 (5.0-8.0) Pap 99.8 (99.7-99.9) NPV HPV 100 (98.6-100) *CCCaST: Canadian Cervical Cancer Screening Trial; Case # 10.171, 30-69 Y, CIN2+ Mayrand MH, N Engl J Med, 2007
  • 48. Efficacy of HPV Testing for the Detection of CIN • The New Technologies for Cervical Cancer (NTCC) Screening Study • Case # 128.285 • FU 5-6 Yrs • Randomization and second round after one year – HPV testing group – Cytology group • Age intervals of analysis; 25-34 and 35-60 Yrs HPV group Cytology group RD Round one 206 101 2.03 Round two 16 32 0.51 Two rounds 221 133 1.66 Ronco G, Lancet Oncol, 2010
  • 49. NTCC: the Detection of ICCs HPV group Cytology group p All ages Round one 7 9 0.62 Round two 0 9 0.004 Total 7 18 0.028 35-60 Yrs Round one 6 8 0.61 Round two 0 7 0.016 Total 6 15 0.052 25-34 Yrs Round one 1 1 1.00 Round two 0 2 0.50 Total 1 3 0.37 Ronco G, Lancet Oncol, 2010
  • 50. Sensitivity of the HPV Testings Test (Producer) CIN2+ (%) CIN3+ (%) Cytology; mild+ 88.5 92.3 Hybrid Capture II (Qiagen) 96.5 97.5 BD HPV (BD-ProExC) 94.8 95.8 Cobas (Roche) 95.5 96.1 PreTect HPV-Proofer (NorChip) 74.7 78.5 APTIMA (Gen-Probe) 95.0 97.1 RealTime HR HPV (Abbott) 93.0 95.0 p16INK4a (mtm Lab) 85.9 89.1 Cuzick J, J Med Virol, 2010