The document discusses future trends that will shape rail travel by 2050 including:
- Urbanization will lead to more megacities with over 75% of the world's population living in dense, urban areas placing stress on infrastructure.
- Demographic changes like population growth in developing nations and aging populations in developed countries will change travel needs.
- Climate change will increase extreme weather, requiring more resilient rail infrastructure to handle flooding and other weather impacts.
Global Transport Forum provides high-quality events for the transport industry. We focus exclusively on rail and airport infrastructure, delivering in-depth technical and operational content in a strategic and commercially minded environment. Our vision is to deliver world-leading, specialised events with the highest quality of content and attendees.
Impact of Urban Logistics of Commercial Vehicles Sandeep Kar
This presentation made by Sandeep Kar, Global Director, Frost & Sullivan shows the impact of urbanization and urban logistics on commercial vehicle design philosophies
Urban Logistics offers unique tailor-made solutions for the transport of goods in cities by consolidating & rationalizing the existing logistics platforms and creating innovative solutions for the future through the use of information and communication technologies.
Over the past two decades delivering goods into cities has become a challenge with cities getting overly congested and traffic jams resulting in expensive logistics bottlenecks. Studies show that the cost of congestion now in terms of time wasted in traffic and fuel consumption is off the roof, almost 200% more than what it was in the 1980s. Pollution, lack of parking bays, and warehousing costs are all restraints that are contributing to the economic cost of urban logistics.
This presentation, part of a class work of Erwan Le Roc'h, Antony Zouzout and Rémi Philippe at ESSEC will explore the possibilities and ideal mix for this kind of project.
Public Transport: Who should own it? Who should plan it? Who should pay for it?Paul Barter
Asks why governments intervene in the public transport business. And therefore, who should plan it, who should own it, and who should pay for it? I also ask, are these technical questions or political ones? These are internationally relevant but this presentation was to a Singapore audience and uses Singapore’s public transport story for most examples.
Presentation for Singapore's OTC leadership institute (10 April 2014).
Most cars are now equipped with intelligent assistance systems. However, the connection of vehicles to each other, to traffic lights, congestion warning systems and infrastructure is still in its infancy. Connected Mobility is a key future market that holds many pitfalls. In this regard, the automotive sector can benefit from the methods of Corporate Foresight.
UIC, the worldwide railway organisation, together with the Spanish Administrator of Railway Infrastructures Adif open “NEXTSTATION”, the International Conference on Railway Stations in Madrid: Smart Stations in Smart Cities
International Benchmarking of business models enacted by main MaaS providersJacopo Farina
We have identified this path: definition of MaaS pillars, selection and description of 4 cities in Europe where MaaS has been already implemented, identification of must have and nice to have features of a valuale business model, comparison with Milan and hilighting of future features to implement for a better value proposition.
Presentation by Stelios Rodoulis, of Jacobs Consulting, to a postgraduate audience at the Institute for Transport studies (ITS), University of Leeds UK. October 2015.
www.linkedin.com/in/rodoulis
www.its.leeds.ac.uk/courses/masters/programme-structure/#tabs-4
Global Transport Forum provides high-quality events for the transport industry. We focus exclusively on rail and airport infrastructure, delivering in-depth technical and operational content in a strategic and commercially minded environment. Our vision is to deliver world-leading, specialised events with the highest quality of content and attendees.
Impact of Urban Logistics of Commercial Vehicles Sandeep Kar
This presentation made by Sandeep Kar, Global Director, Frost & Sullivan shows the impact of urbanization and urban logistics on commercial vehicle design philosophies
Urban Logistics offers unique tailor-made solutions for the transport of goods in cities by consolidating & rationalizing the existing logistics platforms and creating innovative solutions for the future through the use of information and communication technologies.
Over the past two decades delivering goods into cities has become a challenge with cities getting overly congested and traffic jams resulting in expensive logistics bottlenecks. Studies show that the cost of congestion now in terms of time wasted in traffic and fuel consumption is off the roof, almost 200% more than what it was in the 1980s. Pollution, lack of parking bays, and warehousing costs are all restraints that are contributing to the economic cost of urban logistics.
This presentation, part of a class work of Erwan Le Roc'h, Antony Zouzout and Rémi Philippe at ESSEC will explore the possibilities and ideal mix for this kind of project.
Public Transport: Who should own it? Who should plan it? Who should pay for it?Paul Barter
Asks why governments intervene in the public transport business. And therefore, who should plan it, who should own it, and who should pay for it? I also ask, are these technical questions or political ones? These are internationally relevant but this presentation was to a Singapore audience and uses Singapore’s public transport story for most examples.
Presentation for Singapore's OTC leadership institute (10 April 2014).
Most cars are now equipped with intelligent assistance systems. However, the connection of vehicles to each other, to traffic lights, congestion warning systems and infrastructure is still in its infancy. Connected Mobility is a key future market that holds many pitfalls. In this regard, the automotive sector can benefit from the methods of Corporate Foresight.
UIC, the worldwide railway organisation, together with the Spanish Administrator of Railway Infrastructures Adif open “NEXTSTATION”, the International Conference on Railway Stations in Madrid: Smart Stations in Smart Cities
International Benchmarking of business models enacted by main MaaS providersJacopo Farina
We have identified this path: definition of MaaS pillars, selection and description of 4 cities in Europe where MaaS has been already implemented, identification of must have and nice to have features of a valuale business model, comparison with Milan and hilighting of future features to implement for a better value proposition.
Presentation by Stelios Rodoulis, of Jacobs Consulting, to a postgraduate audience at the Institute for Transport studies (ITS), University of Leeds UK. October 2015.
www.linkedin.com/in/rodoulis
www.its.leeds.ac.uk/courses/masters/programme-structure/#tabs-4
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Apologies as I am unable to share the actual presentation as my laptop crashed. I have received quite a few requests so I just wanted to clear it up.
Thanks for your interest
This report to the NSW Parliamentary inquiry into the utilisation of rail and infrastructure corridors addresses the use of land development for integrated infrastructure corridors and considers improvement to policy development, planning and strategies to achieve greater productivity, enhanced liveability and improved economic benefit through informed decision making.
Road infrastructure solutions can play an important part in helping cities become safer, greener, and smarter. Governments throughout the world have initiated plans to deploy technologies for Smart
City, traffic management, Intelligent Transportation Systems, and road safety projects to mitigate the
challenges faced due to rapid urbanization.3 Road safety represents measures that can be taken to reduce
the risk of accidents and fatalities for road users (cyclists, motorists, pedestrians, vehicle passengers, and
public transport passengers) in the road network of built-up urban streets, non-built-up rural roads, and major highways.
Effectively and efficiently travelling through towns and cities has always been key to keeping a city moving in terms of business, shopping and our social lives. How we do that, and the effect it has on the environment, our bank accounts and stress levels, has been a growing debate over the last few years.
The OOH industry is built to capitalise on the movement of people with much of the industry’s infrastructure coming from transport networks. In recent weeks however all of this has been interrupted. Normal travel behaviours have been disrupted, and with changes to travel patterns comes changes to out of home advertising too.
Here we consider what a post-lockdown society might look like, and how we might travel through it, from the potential increase in car usage, to returning to public transport and the reappraisal of the rush hour commute.
Navigating the Future The Evolution of Transportation Services.pptxunitendlelatransport
Transportation services offer convenient, efficient, and often innovative solutions for moving people and goods, encompassing everything from ride-sharing to freight logistics.
The global rail infrastructure market is expected to witness strong growth during the forecast period between 2021 and 2031.
Rail infrastructure provides support to the transport system and helps to connect railway stations, ports, and airports.
Rail infrastructure firms, over the years, have become a key component in the growth and development of economies and have offered multiple employment opportunities for large population sections, worldwide.
Moving Forward: Harnessing data to improve business outcomes in travel and tr...Susanna Harper
Smarter transportation can improve customer service, operate more efficiently, and assure safety. IBM is helping clients in all modes of travel and transportation harness their data using the power of analytics to address these challenges.
New Year and new ideas! This month we want to boost our students’ creativity when discussing a relevant topic: transport. Our B2 First and C1 Advanced students can talk about what the transport of the future will be like while they improve their English. Our B1 Preliminary and B2 First learners will reflect upon how transport has changed while they practise their speaking. Finally, our young learners can put their inventors’ hat on and design the bike of the future. Happy teaching!
Smart Proximity: Annotating the Proximity of Entities In A Smart City OntologyCSCJournals
The smart city concept contributes a new research area that will continue to be the focus of research for a long time. Different works have modelled and presented ontologies for smart cities, especially for data integration processes. In this context, obtaining a model in which the full functionalities of a DL reasoner are employed to generate new knowledge that would be available to the different devices in a smart city. This information can represent a useful picture of the environment around transports, hubs and people, enabling the smart devices in a city to make decisions according to this environment. We present a model of a smart city ontology with different axioms for generating new knowledge from available knowledge using a DL reasoner. This model considers the location and state of proximity between two entities in the environment. To implement our approach, we develop a tool referred to as smart proximity for generating and querying our smart city ontology. We expect the generated knowledge to be useful to many single working devices, especially devices that are available to transportation, and improve several functionalities such as motion, stop, waiting time and connections between two different means of transport.
Bambucluster's point of view on how IoT can be a key enabler of Smart Mobility/ transportation solutions. Presented on June 14th, 2017 at the the BrightTALK Internet of Everything summit:
https://summits.brighttalk.com/webinar/iot-enabled-smart-mobility-hype-or-reality/
Urban mobility has always been about moving people from location to location through motorized personal or public transport. However, the proliferation of sensors, smartphones and intelligent high bandwidth networks are compelling towns & cities around the world to re-think urban mobility and consider technology enablers to drive towards a vision of “smart” mobility. Furthermore, the fundamental assumptions underpinning mobility are being challenged.
The Internet Of Things (IotT) has been touted as a promising technology enabler to deliver on a vision of smart mobility. We will examine the current state of IoT ecosystems, IoT enabled smart mobility efforts across the globe and help delineate the architectural considerations and cross-industry industry collaboration that would be essential to successfully deliver on smart mobility initiatives. A simple use case around a town/city smart mobility service will be used to illustrate our approach.
8. China
1038M
India
875M
Brazil
204M
France
64M
Nigeria
218M
Turkey
82M
Iran (Islamic
Republic of)
83M
Japan
83M
Russian
Federation
96M
Vietnam
56M Philippines
101M
Indonesia
190M
Bangladesh
126M
Egypt
82M
Ethopia
65M
Pakistan
199M
United States
365M
Mexico
113M
Urban Populations 2050
This graphic depicts countries and territories with 2050 urban populations exceeding
100,000. Circles are scaled in proportion to urban population size.
Source: UNICEF (2012).
Greater Than 75% 51 – 75% 25 – 50%
Urban Population (% of total population)
Democratic
Republic of
the Congo
93M
UK
64M
14 15Future of Rail 2050 Foresight + Research + Innovation
24. As Nuno activates his sleep cycle lamp and
settles in for the night, two kilometres away
a freight train glides through his suburb.
The driverless train has travelled from
Zhengzhou, China, carrying raw materials
as well as ready-to-assemble parts for a
new range of wind turbines. The train, which
started its journey measuring over 5km
in length, shed its wagons of iron ore and
recovered copper at two delivery points
in Russia. Without stopping, the shorter
train carrying the wind turbine parts then
continued to Europe.
The turbine parts were transported
to the Zhengzhou loading station via a
freight shuttle system designed to move
high volumes of freight traffic over medium
distances. The electrically powered shuttle
runs on an elevated, dedicated right-of-way
to avoid interfering with other transportation
systems, making it suitable for densely built-
up areas.
The parts were then loaded onto the
driverless train which can automatically
adjust to gauge changes, making the
journey across borders far more efficient.
The electronic tagging of the cargo means
that it carries all the required information,
allowing reliable tracking and also reducing
border delays.
The freight logistics system
automatically selected the most efficient
use of the cross-border rail infrastructure
without disruption to passenger services,
providing 24-hour utilisation of the network.
The wind turbine parts have made the
journey from Zhengzhou in just 5 days,
which is more efficient and flexible than if
the goods were shipped by sea.
Anna scans the bank of screens in
front of her as she monitors, in real-time,
six trains speeding along their freight
routes. She sits up suddenly as she notices
that one of the trains is losing speed and
an alert indicates that an obstruction
has been detected on the track some 20
miles ahead of the train. She can see the
clear-up process unfolding on the screen
in front of her as a satellite image shows
two teenagers running away from a section
Anna works in a freight forwarding company based in London. Her job
requires a range of skills such as data analysis and interpretation, contract
negotiation and consulting across freight, logistics, customs management
and insurance. She has seen a lot of changes in her 32 years as a freight
forwarder. The supply chain is far more transparent these days and goods
delivery more efficient. She has also had to reskill a number of times during
the years to manage faster delivery times and the increasing reliance
on IT systems and automated freight transport.
Anna Green, 68
Freight Forwarder
of track. There doesn’t appear to be any
obstacle left on the track itself. Anna
watches as Central Control dispatches a
high-speed helicopter drone to assess the
section for potential hazards. It doesn’t
seem like too much time will be lost through
the disruption.
Relieved, Anna leans back in her
chair and notices that the China Railway
Corporation hydrail train is nearing its
destination. She pulls up the train’s freight
details with a swipe of her finger.
Looking at the data, Anna notes that
this freight journey is relatively cheaper
and more sustainable than it would have
been a couple of decades ago, when she
started assessing freight rail performance.
The hydrogen powering the train has been
produced from nuclear power and emits
only water at the point of operation. It also
allows the train to travel through more
remote areas where the electrification of
lines would be difficult.
An alert tells Anna that the train has
pulled into the depot at its destination and
she downloads the journey report with
performance metrics and forwards it to
her client. Within an hour, robotic arms
are unloading the heavy turbine parts onto
autonomous trucks for the short journey to
the assembly plant. The parts, unloaded
according to their electronic tagging codes,
will be conveyed alongside another shipping
consignment destined for the plant for
maximum efficiency.
46 47Future of Rail 2050 Foresight + Research + Innovation
27. External
Andrew McNaughton
Technical Director HS2
Ltd, UK
Anne Grethe Foss
Metroselskabet
(Copenhagen Metro),
Denmark
Brian Nye
CEO Australasian Rail
Association, Australia
David Biggs
Director of Property,
Network Rail, UK
Flora Salim
RMIT University, Australia
Francis How
Director of Engineering at
ASM, Singapore
Geoff Inskip
Chief Executive, Centro,
UK
Gordon Wakeford
Managing Director
Infrastructure & Cities,
Siemens, UK
Hank Haeusler
RMIT University, Australia
Jamie Leather
Senior Transport Specialist
Asian Development Bank,
Philippines
Jon Lamonte
Chief Executive at
Transport for Greater
Manchester, UK
Contributors
Louis Thompson
Thompson, Galenson and
Associates, USA
Mark Southwell
Programme Director,
Signalling, Network Rail,
UK
Nille Juul-Sørensen
Director, Danish Design
Centre, Denmark
Paul Daly
CEO Rail Skills Australasia,
Australia
Paul Priestman
Director, Priestmangoode,
UK
Sandy Trickett
Disabled Access Advisor,
UK
TC Chew
Head of Projects, MTR,
Hong Kong
Adam Pope
Alexander Jan
Alice Berry
Alice Reis
Alvise Simondetti
Andrew Trickett
Anne Grosskopf
Anni Feng
Austin Smith
Barnaby Crawshaw
Benton Erwin
Caroline Sohie
Charlotte Schofield
Chris Luebkeman
Christian Paunon
Ciaran Elliott
Colin Stewart
Colin Williams
Corinne Swain
Daniel DiChiro
Darren Styles
Diana Hare
Ercument Basbug
Errol Tan
Fatema Karim
Francesca Birks
Franki Chiu
Hal Bransby
Harriet Garner
Helen Page
Huda Shaka
Ian Walker
James Musgrave
James Parr
Jim Gallagher
John Fagan
John Shen
Jon Hurt
Jorge Valenzuela Ortiz
Josef Hargrave
Julien Eaton
Justin Cheung
Kath Iles
Katherine Gill
Katherine Prater
Kristian Winther
Laura Doughty
Leszek Dobrovolsky
Macdara Ferris
Mark Richardson
Marzena Rolka
Matt Oxley
Michael Trousdell
Mike Byrne
Mike Evans
Mike Glover
Mike Leaford
Mohammad Tabarra
Neal Mumford
Nick Harvey
Olivia Blok
Omid Nakhaei
Paul Lynch
Paul Tonkin
Pavel Tomek
Pedro Afonso
Phil Morley
Phil Richardson
Raul Rodriguez
Ron Barker
Ross Carter
Rupert Dyer
Sam Moss
Saskia Lear
Simon Roberts
Stefan Sanders
Steve Fletcher
Susan Claris
Timothy Suen
Tom Hatton
Tony Dunn
Tony Vidago
Victor Nunez
Arup
52 53Future of Rail 2050 Foresight + Research + Innovation
29. Living Workplace focuses on the future of the workplace.
It investigates the impact of growing cultural and
generational diversity, the role of new technologies and
working patterns and the importance of creativity and
collaboration for organisational success.
The Future of Retail explores how drivers of change are
shaping the future of retail. It reveals important trends
shaping new consumer behaviours and looks at some
of the likely impacts that these will have on future retail
environments and services.
Campus of the Future highlights Arup Foresight +
Research + Innovation group’s opinion on the future of the
campus. It summarises some of the key Drivers of Change
and gives examples of innovative campus environments,
both physical and digital, that are leading the way around
the world.
Authors
Lynne Goulding, Lead Author
Marcus Morrell
Graphic Design
Mark Pearsall
Illustration
Rob House
Editor
Jennifer Greitschus
Research
Lynne Goulding
Marcus Morrell
1Foresight + Research + Innovation
The Future
of Retail
Campus of
the Future
1Foresight + Research + Innovation
Living
Workplace
1
Museums in
the Digital Age
Rethinking green infrastructure
Rethinking green infrastructure
Moving beyond static objects in glass cases, Museums
in the Digital Age outlines how future museums will see
personalised content, new levels of sustainability and a
visitor experience extended beyond present expectations
of time and space.
The ideas being developed in Cities Alive seek to capture
not only the beauty of nature but also the sustainability of
balanced ecosystems. These are challenges for landscape
designers creating new cities that meet our increased
expectations for access to clean water, cheap and plentiful
supply of food, and fast and effective transport systems, with
the need to reduce the impact on natural resources.
p 37 (inset) Yosemite
Images from Wikimedia Commons,
License: CC BY-SA 3.0
p 18 Kenneth Lu
p 20 Stefan Lins
p 22 NASA
p 24 marcovdz
p 28 News Oresund
p 31 (inset) Daniel Sparing
p 39 Alex Proimos
Images from Flickr, License: CC by 2.0
Publications Acknowledgements
Image Credits