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Future Forward – Moving The Industry Into The Future
By Francis Rabuck
frabuck@att.net
What’s Up – My Background 2015
• Start off the Year with CES – 2015, ATT
hackathon
• Several other hackathons throughout the
year – WATSON, Intel, Amazon, Microsoft
and local events
• 3D Print Conference
• Maker Faire – NY
• Other local University/IoT/Robotics/3D print
events
• Multiple Drone Conferences
What’s Up – My Background 2015
What’s Up – My Background 2015
What’s Up – My Background 2015
What’s Up – My Background 2015
• World Future Society – IoT Master Class
Some Old Slides
2015 TLA and Beyond – I.S.
• Simple – beyond Three Letter Acronym
–Down to Two Letter Acronym –I.S.
“…It depends on what the meaning of the word
'is' is. If the--if he--if 'is' means is and never has
been, that is not--that is one thing…”
President Clinton, 1998
I.S. = IoT and Sustainability
• IoT defines the total technology roadmap
for the next 20 years and beyond. The
Internet Infrastructure, the Technology,
the “Things”, the Interface and the new
Business Processes.
• Sustainability defines the guidance,
reasons, ROI, and purpose for everything
we do – both in business and our personal
life.
Don’t Leave Yet…
• I will talk about a lot of the “Techy” things
that have matured in 2015
– Robotics – definition
• CoBots
• Drones
• Cognitive Science- AI and Beyond
– IoT Broken Down into Architecture, Key
Verticals, UX and Future Waves
– Sustainability
Robots Definition
• Beyond Manufacturing, Mechanical Arms
• Doing more than just boring, repetitive,
dangerous jobs – moving into the White
Collar space
• Flying Robots – Drones
• AI – or the broader title of Cognitive
Science
Robots and IoT = R-IoT
• Robots will mature when they become
integrated and managed into a collection
of things, then R-IoT begins
• Microsoft and Kuka, Jeep
KUKA has implemented a solution anchored by Windows and Microsoft SQL Server
that connects 259 assembly-line robots with a controller, over 60,000 device points,
line-of-business applications, and back-end systems to deliver continuous uptime and
produce more than 830 bodies each day.
http://www.microsoft.com/en-gb/server-cloud/customer-stories/kuka-robotics.aspx
CISCO and Fanuc
http://video.cisco.com/detail/videos/featured-videos/video/4289320896001/fanuc-embraces-iot-through-cisco-intercloud?autoStart=t
Co-Bots
• Co-Bots = Cooperative Robotics:
– Require the partnering with humans to learn
and work together
– Programming done by a “show-me” graphical
interface, not a robotics expert
– Results in 10-100x increase in productivity
– Uncaged Robots - Meet robotic safety
standards to not harm humans
– Pricing under the $100K barrier
Cobot Leaders
• ReThink Baxter and Universal Robots lead
the way
• Older, larger established ABB, Epson,
Fanuc, Kuka, etc. – all releasing Cobot
products
Some Other Cobots
• ReThink – Baxter, Sawyer
• Universal – UR3, UR5, UR10
• ABB – YuMi, Roberta
• Fanuc – CR-35iA
• Kuka – IIWA
• MABI-SPEEDY-10
• Precision Automation
Flying Robots – Drones – UAV - UAS
• The title “Drones” have a negative
connotation
Drones Beyond Stereotypes
• SkyProwler – Winged/Quad Combo
• Sprite – Heavy Metal Tube Structure
Drones Beyond Stereotypes
• GHOST – ipad controller, easy to use
B-Unstoppable Drone Tank – Land and Air
CyPhy – level 1
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_l6CQRHIGyg
Other Drone Products
• DeDrone
Drone Detect
• Asylon – Battery Swapping Platform
• SkySense – Solar recharge pad
• Skyward – Mapping the Global Aerial Flying Robotics Network
• Aerial Angel
Dronecode – OpenSource Movement
www.dronecode.org
Cognitive Science
Cognitive Science is the interdisciplinary scientific
study and simulation of the mind and its processes.
The collective research areas and applications
involve a combination of disciplines including:
artificial intelligence, neuroscience, psychology,
linguistics, philosophy, and anthropology.
These new smart, predictive analytical techniques
are also known as: AI, machine learning, deep
learning, knowledge engines, or neural networks.
Level of Cognitive Skills
42
1 3
Knowledge
Engines
Big Data of both
structure and
unstructured format
is consumed and
organized to create
patterns
Learning
AI
Coding changes –
we don’t program
the answer,
machines learn and
provide adaptable
solutions/answers
NLP -
Voice
Natural Language
Processing, Speech
Interface
Image
Recognition
Advances by many
companies in
Healthcare,
Mapping beyond
LiDAR, Precision
Ag, even Image
Description
AI,TheBrain,orCognitiveScience
Images – Beyond AR/VR – Just “R”
• Before we add “Artificial” or “Virtual”, we
need to master “Reality”
• 2015 was the year that Image recognition,
capture, data conversion, classification
and intelligence happened
• Now that we can capture the real world
better, and merge it with geo-data, we’re
ready for VR
Wearable Glass Gear
• Low cost Google Cardboard IO creates a
market
• Zeiss VR1 works with a cartridge and
iPhones and Top Android Phones for
around $100
Voice – Resurfaces as an Interface
• The Voice era started in 2000-2004, companies
like IBM, Microsoft, Nuance and many small
startups were born
• Impact was on the back-office call center. IVR
systems went from push button to interactive
voice.
• Market stalled from 2004 to 2010, then Siri was
born, and Google Now, and Microsoft Cortona, and
more
• 2015 saw a resurging effort in use of Voice as an
interface in everything from mobile, cars, and
even toys.
Voice Moving Forward
• Companies like Amazon Echo, Ivee and over
50 companies entering the space
• Market growing from $3.8B to almost $10B
by 2018
• Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of
21.1% from 2013 to 2018
• Action and future direction is in the backend
data, NOT the voice recognition or speech
part
• How can this be used in construction?
Voice - First, understand what’s changing
• The Input Device (and output) can be
universal. Voice in, Data out. Phones
(mobile and landline), automobiles, PC
with Mics, Speakers, even Toys!
Voice – Second, Consider Simple Query
Voice – Complex Queries - Viv
Siri co-founders leave and start Viv
- Dag Kittlaus and Adam Cheyer
- Viv.ai – The Global Brain
What is the population of the city where Abraham Lincoln was born?
Voice and Construction
• Here today in a WATSON based application -
GoFetchCode
Define “Terms A to Z”
202 DEFINITIONS
24-HOUR CARE.
The actual time that a person is an occupant within a facility for the
purpose of receiving care. It shall not include a facility that is open
for 24 hours and is capable of providing care to someone visiting the
facility during any segment of the 24 hours.
AAC MASONRY.
Masonry made of autoclaved aerated concrete (AAC) units,
manufactured without internal reinforcement and bonded together
using thin- or thick-bed mortar.
ACCESS AISLE. [DSA-AC].
An accessible pedestrian space adjacent to or between parking
spaces that provides clearances in compliance with this code.
ACCESSIBILITY. [DSA-AC & HCD 1-AC]
Accessibility is the combination of various elements in a building,
facility, site, or area, or portion thereof which allows access,
circulation and the full use of the building and facilities by persons
with disabilities in compliance with this code.
ACCESSIBLE. [DSA-AC & HCD 1-AC]
A site, building, facility, or portion thereof that is approachable and
usable by persons with disabilities in compliance with this code.
ACCESSIBLE ELEMENT. [DSA-AC]
An element specified by the regulations adopted by the Division of
the State Architect-Access Compliance.
….
….
WORK AREA EQUIPMENT. [DSA-AC]
Any machine, instrument, engine, motor, pump, conveyor, or
other apparatus used to perform work. As used in this document,
this term shall apply only to equipment that is permanently
installed or built-in in employee work areas. Work area equipment
does not include passenger elevators and other accessible means
of vertical transportation.
WYTHE.
Each continuous, vertical section of a wall, one masonry unit in
thickness.
YARD.
An open space, other than a court, unobstructed from the ground
to the sky, except where specifically provided by this code, on the
lot on which a building is situated.
ZONE.
A defined area within the protected premises. A zone can define
an area from which a signal can be received, an area to which a
signal can be sent or an area in which a form of control can be
executed.
ZONE, NOTIFICATION.
An area within a building or facility covered by notification
appliances which are activated simultaneously.
Add a Mobile Phone or an Old Hands
Free Voice Friend - Cynaps
Deep Learning Limits
Got “Internet of Things”? Or “IoT”
IoT Things and People
________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________
Chemistry of IoT
Industries
• Home
• Industrial/Building
• Automobile/Transportation: “Connected Car”
• Human/Healthcare – Quantified Self
• Wearable
Mesh Architectures
• Wifi
• ZigBee
• Z-wave
• IPSO
• Bluetooth
• Dust Networks/Wireless Hart
• ISA 100.11a
• …Thread, Brillo, Weightless-N, MBAN…
What’s the Most Important Thing To Learn Here?
• Sensor, Wireless, People/Process?
• Industries
NO!
Source for Information for IoT
www.postscapes.com
www.postscapes.com
Try HP - Aurasma
Try HP
https://www.linkcreationstudio.com
Sources for Maker Stuff
•Sparkfun(www.sparkfun.com)
•Adafruit (www.adafruit.com)
•Maker Shed (www.makershed.com)
•Mouser Electronics (www.mouser.com)
•Netgate(www.netgate.com)
•Amazon (www.amazon.com)
•Radio Shack (www.radioshack.com)
•The retail stores are perfect when you need parts
urgently
Quantified Self
Industrial IoT
Future Timeline for Driverless Car
Sustainability = Keeping Score
List of Sustainability Measurements
http://ratesustainability.org/
CORE Framework
10 Environmental Topics
• Energy
• Water
• Materials
• Physical presence
--------------------------------
• Operations emissions
• Operations GHGs
• Product emissions
• Product GHGs
--------------------------------
• Product repurposing design
• End-of-life repurposing
services
11 Social Topics
• Employees
• Health
• Living wage
• Equal pay for equal work
• Fair employment terms
• Engagement
• Community
• Engagement
• Customers
• Engagement
• Health
• Informed about impacts
• Boards & Owners
• Right taxes paid
• Lobbying
21 GOAL TOPICS
GOAL TOPIC COMPARISONS
Future-Fit Business Goals 21
9
17 77
467
149 10 88
12
356
3037
What One Large Company Measures
Future-Fit Business Benchmark
http://futurefitbusiness.org/about/introduction/
Are You Future Fit?
Questions? More Information?
Interested in Bringing These Ideas to
Your Organization?
• Francis Rabuck
• eMail: frabuck@att.net
• Linkedin:
• www.linkedin.com/in/francisrabuck/
• Twitter: @frabuck

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EDTP 2015 D1 Tomorrow's World - Fran Rabuck, Futurist

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3. Future Forward – Moving The Industry Into The Future By Francis Rabuck frabuck@att.net
  • 4. What’s Up – My Background 2015 • Start off the Year with CES – 2015, ATT hackathon • Several other hackathons throughout the year – WATSON, Intel, Amazon, Microsoft and local events • 3D Print Conference • Maker Faire – NY • Other local University/IoT/Robotics/3D print events • Multiple Drone Conferences
  • 5. What’s Up – My Background 2015
  • 6. What’s Up – My Background 2015
  • 7. What’s Up – My Background 2015
  • 8. What’s Up – My Background 2015 • World Future Society – IoT Master Class
  • 10. 2015 TLA and Beyond – I.S. • Simple – beyond Three Letter Acronym –Down to Two Letter Acronym –I.S. “…It depends on what the meaning of the word 'is' is. If the--if he--if 'is' means is and never has been, that is not--that is one thing…” President Clinton, 1998
  • 11. I.S. = IoT and Sustainability • IoT defines the total technology roadmap for the next 20 years and beyond. The Internet Infrastructure, the Technology, the “Things”, the Interface and the new Business Processes. • Sustainability defines the guidance, reasons, ROI, and purpose for everything we do – both in business and our personal life.
  • 12. Don’t Leave Yet… • I will talk about a lot of the “Techy” things that have matured in 2015 – Robotics – definition • CoBots • Drones • Cognitive Science- AI and Beyond – IoT Broken Down into Architecture, Key Verticals, UX and Future Waves – Sustainability
  • 13. Robots Definition • Beyond Manufacturing, Mechanical Arms • Doing more than just boring, repetitive, dangerous jobs – moving into the White Collar space • Flying Robots – Drones • AI – or the broader title of Cognitive Science
  • 14. Robots and IoT = R-IoT • Robots will mature when they become integrated and managed into a collection of things, then R-IoT begins • Microsoft and Kuka, Jeep KUKA has implemented a solution anchored by Windows and Microsoft SQL Server that connects 259 assembly-line robots with a controller, over 60,000 device points, line-of-business applications, and back-end systems to deliver continuous uptime and produce more than 830 bodies each day. http://www.microsoft.com/en-gb/server-cloud/customer-stories/kuka-robotics.aspx
  • 16. Co-Bots • Co-Bots = Cooperative Robotics: – Require the partnering with humans to learn and work together – Programming done by a “show-me” graphical interface, not a robotics expert – Results in 10-100x increase in productivity – Uncaged Robots - Meet robotic safety standards to not harm humans – Pricing under the $100K barrier
  • 17. Cobot Leaders • ReThink Baxter and Universal Robots lead the way • Older, larger established ABB, Epson, Fanuc, Kuka, etc. – all releasing Cobot products
  • 18. Some Other Cobots • ReThink – Baxter, Sawyer • Universal – UR3, UR5, UR10 • ABB – YuMi, Roberta • Fanuc – CR-35iA • Kuka – IIWA • MABI-SPEEDY-10 • Precision Automation
  • 19. Flying Robots – Drones – UAV - UAS • The title “Drones” have a negative connotation
  • 20. Drones Beyond Stereotypes • SkyProwler – Winged/Quad Combo • Sprite – Heavy Metal Tube Structure
  • 21. Drones Beyond Stereotypes • GHOST – ipad controller, easy to use B-Unstoppable Drone Tank – Land and Air CyPhy – level 1 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_l6CQRHIGyg
  • 22. Other Drone Products • DeDrone Drone Detect • Asylon – Battery Swapping Platform • SkySense – Solar recharge pad • Skyward – Mapping the Global Aerial Flying Robotics Network • Aerial Angel
  • 23. Dronecode – OpenSource Movement www.dronecode.org
  • 24. Cognitive Science Cognitive Science is the interdisciplinary scientific study and simulation of the mind and its processes. The collective research areas and applications involve a combination of disciplines including: artificial intelligence, neuroscience, psychology, linguistics, philosophy, and anthropology. These new smart, predictive analytical techniques are also known as: AI, machine learning, deep learning, knowledge engines, or neural networks.
  • 26. 42 1 3 Knowledge Engines Big Data of both structure and unstructured format is consumed and organized to create patterns Learning AI Coding changes – we don’t program the answer, machines learn and provide adaptable solutions/answers NLP - Voice Natural Language Processing, Speech Interface Image Recognition Advances by many companies in Healthcare, Mapping beyond LiDAR, Precision Ag, even Image Description AI,TheBrain,orCognitiveScience
  • 27. Images – Beyond AR/VR – Just “R” • Before we add “Artificial” or “Virtual”, we need to master “Reality” • 2015 was the year that Image recognition, capture, data conversion, classification and intelligence happened • Now that we can capture the real world better, and merge it with geo-data, we’re ready for VR
  • 28. Wearable Glass Gear • Low cost Google Cardboard IO creates a market • Zeiss VR1 works with a cartridge and iPhones and Top Android Phones for around $100
  • 29. Voice – Resurfaces as an Interface • The Voice era started in 2000-2004, companies like IBM, Microsoft, Nuance and many small startups were born • Impact was on the back-office call center. IVR systems went from push button to interactive voice. • Market stalled from 2004 to 2010, then Siri was born, and Google Now, and Microsoft Cortona, and more • 2015 saw a resurging effort in use of Voice as an interface in everything from mobile, cars, and even toys.
  • 30. Voice Moving Forward • Companies like Amazon Echo, Ivee and over 50 companies entering the space • Market growing from $3.8B to almost $10B by 2018 • Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 21.1% from 2013 to 2018 • Action and future direction is in the backend data, NOT the voice recognition or speech part • How can this be used in construction?
  • 31. Voice - First, understand what’s changing • The Input Device (and output) can be universal. Voice in, Data out. Phones (mobile and landline), automobiles, PC with Mics, Speakers, even Toys!
  • 32. Voice – Second, Consider Simple Query
  • 33. Voice – Complex Queries - Viv Siri co-founders leave and start Viv - Dag Kittlaus and Adam Cheyer - Viv.ai – The Global Brain What is the population of the city where Abraham Lincoln was born?
  • 34. Voice and Construction • Here today in a WATSON based application - GoFetchCode
  • 35. Define “Terms A to Z” 202 DEFINITIONS 24-HOUR CARE. The actual time that a person is an occupant within a facility for the purpose of receiving care. It shall not include a facility that is open for 24 hours and is capable of providing care to someone visiting the facility during any segment of the 24 hours. AAC MASONRY. Masonry made of autoclaved aerated concrete (AAC) units, manufactured without internal reinforcement and bonded together using thin- or thick-bed mortar. ACCESS AISLE. [DSA-AC]. An accessible pedestrian space adjacent to or between parking spaces that provides clearances in compliance with this code. ACCESSIBILITY. [DSA-AC & HCD 1-AC] Accessibility is the combination of various elements in a building, facility, site, or area, or portion thereof which allows access, circulation and the full use of the building and facilities by persons with disabilities in compliance with this code. ACCESSIBLE. [DSA-AC & HCD 1-AC] A site, building, facility, or portion thereof that is approachable and usable by persons with disabilities in compliance with this code. ACCESSIBLE ELEMENT. [DSA-AC] An element specified by the regulations adopted by the Division of the State Architect-Access Compliance. …. …. WORK AREA EQUIPMENT. [DSA-AC] Any machine, instrument, engine, motor, pump, conveyor, or other apparatus used to perform work. As used in this document, this term shall apply only to equipment that is permanently installed or built-in in employee work areas. Work area equipment does not include passenger elevators and other accessible means of vertical transportation. WYTHE. Each continuous, vertical section of a wall, one masonry unit in thickness. YARD. An open space, other than a court, unobstructed from the ground to the sky, except where specifically provided by this code, on the lot on which a building is situated. ZONE. A defined area within the protected premises. A zone can define an area from which a signal can be received, an area to which a signal can be sent or an area in which a form of control can be executed. ZONE, NOTIFICATION. An area within a building or facility covered by notification appliances which are activated simultaneously.
  • 36. Add a Mobile Phone or an Old Hands Free Voice Friend - Cynaps
  • 38. Got “Internet of Things”? Or “IoT”
  • 39. IoT Things and People
  • 40.
  • 42. Industries • Home • Industrial/Building • Automobile/Transportation: “Connected Car” • Human/Healthcare – Quantified Self • Wearable
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47. Mesh Architectures • Wifi • ZigBee • Z-wave • IPSO • Bluetooth • Dust Networks/Wireless Hart • ISA 100.11a • …Thread, Brillo, Weightless-N, MBAN…
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53. What’s the Most Important Thing To Learn Here? • Sensor, Wireless, People/Process? • Industries NO! Source for Information for IoT www.postscapes.com
  • 55. Try HP - Aurasma
  • 57.
  • 58. Sources for Maker Stuff •Sparkfun(www.sparkfun.com) •Adafruit (www.adafruit.com) •Maker Shed (www.makershed.com) •Mouser Electronics (www.mouser.com) •Netgate(www.netgate.com) •Amazon (www.amazon.com) •Radio Shack (www.radioshack.com) •The retail stores are perfect when you need parts urgently
  • 59.
  • 62.
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 65. Future Timeline for Driverless Car
  • 66.
  • 68. List of Sustainability Measurements http://ratesustainability.org/
  • 70. 10 Environmental Topics • Energy • Water • Materials • Physical presence -------------------------------- • Operations emissions • Operations GHGs • Product emissions • Product GHGs -------------------------------- • Product repurposing design • End-of-life repurposing services 11 Social Topics • Employees • Health • Living wage • Equal pay for equal work • Fair employment terms • Engagement • Community • Engagement • Customers • Engagement • Health • Informed about impacts • Boards & Owners • Right taxes paid • Lobbying 21 GOAL TOPICS
  • 71. GOAL TOPIC COMPARISONS Future-Fit Business Goals 21 9 17 77 467 149 10 88 12 356 3037
  • 72. What One Large Company Measures
  • 74. Are You Future Fit? Questions? More Information? Interested in Bringing These Ideas to Your Organization? • Francis Rabuck • eMail: frabuck@att.net • Linkedin: • www.linkedin.com/in/francisrabuck/ • Twitter: @frabuck