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PASIFIKA POLITICAL PARTICIPATION
Leon Iusitini, AUT University
Wellington, New Zealand
What is turnout among Pacific electors?
► Turnout at general elections appears to be lower among
Pacific electors compared to NZ European electors, but higher
than for Māori and Asian electors
► Evidence for this comes from the New Zealand General Social
Surveys conducted in 2008 (n=8,721), 2010 (n=8,550), and 2012
(n=8,462)
► Note: when compared with estimates for voting-age
population turnout, the NZGSS tends to over-estimate turnout
► This is either because the NZGSS under-represents non-voters
or because there is some response bias in self-reported
turnout
► Statistics NZ also warns that “conclusions about groups with
small population size, such as Pacific people, can potentially
be vulnerable to unmeasured differences between the survey
participants and the population”
2
New Zealand General Social Surveys
3
► Did you vote in the last general election?
What are the drivers of non-voting among Pacific?
► Reasons for not voting have been captured in the NZGSS and
the Electoral Commission’s Voter and Non-Voter Surveys
(small Pacific n for latter)
► NZGSS:
4
What are the drivers of non-voting among Pacific?
► Electoral Commission’s Voter and Non-Voter Surveys:
5
What are the drivers of non-voting among Pacific?
► Electoral Commission’s Voter and Non-Voter Surveys:
6
Summary
► The reasons for non-voting among Pacific people are more or
less the same as for other groups in New Zealand
► However, there is some evidence that Pacific people are
slightly more cynical/fatalist about politics, and have lower
external political efficacy, than other New Zealanders
► The main barriers to voting tend to be either informational
(lack of political knowledge) or motivational (perceived lack
of relevance/salience)
► In other words, non-voters either ‘don’t know’ or ‘don’t care’
about politics
► The effects on turnout of known social structural correlates
(such as age, education, wealth) tend to reduce or become
statistically non-significant once political knowledge and
political efficacy are taken into account (Vowles, 2012)
7

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Leon Iusitini

  • 1. PASIFIKA POLITICAL PARTICIPATION Leon Iusitini, AUT University Wellington, New Zealand
  • 2.
  • 3. What is turnout among Pacific electors? ► Turnout at general elections appears to be lower among Pacific electors compared to NZ European electors, but higher than for Māori and Asian electors ► Evidence for this comes from the New Zealand General Social Surveys conducted in 2008 (n=8,721), 2010 (n=8,550), and 2012 (n=8,462) ► Note: when compared with estimates for voting-age population turnout, the NZGSS tends to over-estimate turnout ► This is either because the NZGSS under-represents non-voters or because there is some response bias in self-reported turnout ► Statistics NZ also warns that “conclusions about groups with small population size, such as Pacific people, can potentially be vulnerable to unmeasured differences between the survey participants and the population” 2
  • 4. New Zealand General Social Surveys 3 ► Did you vote in the last general election?
  • 5. What are the drivers of non-voting among Pacific? ► Reasons for not voting have been captured in the NZGSS and the Electoral Commission’s Voter and Non-Voter Surveys (small Pacific n for latter) ► NZGSS: 4
  • 6. What are the drivers of non-voting among Pacific? ► Electoral Commission’s Voter and Non-Voter Surveys: 5
  • 7. What are the drivers of non-voting among Pacific? ► Electoral Commission’s Voter and Non-Voter Surveys: 6
  • 8. Summary ► The reasons for non-voting among Pacific people are more or less the same as for other groups in New Zealand ► However, there is some evidence that Pacific people are slightly more cynical/fatalist about politics, and have lower external political efficacy, than other New Zealanders ► The main barriers to voting tend to be either informational (lack of political knowledge) or motivational (perceived lack of relevance/salience) ► In other words, non-voters either ‘don’t know’ or ‘don’t care’ about politics ► The effects on turnout of known social structural correlates (such as age, education, wealth) tend to reduce or become statistically non-significant once political knowledge and political efficacy are taken into account (Vowles, 2012) 7