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Sustainable Development Planning and Strategy
Formulation: An Integrated Systems Approach
Jeffrey Crawford
Sustainable Development Officer
United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN-DESA)
Division for Sustainable Development, Policy and Analysis Branch
E-mail: Crawford3@un.org
Sustainable Development Planning and Implementation Workshop
28 May 2015, New York, U.S.A.
Image Source: http://juliewight.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/water-wallpaper-1.jpg
Interdependencies and Interconnectedness of SDGs
Notes: The numbers on the links indicate the percentage of targets linking the two goals (number of links between two goals divided by
the sum of targets under the two goals). SDG17 on “means of implementation” (which links to all other goals) was excluded from the
analysis. The Kamada-Kawai projection minimizes the “energy” of the network (imagine a network of physical springs) and hence places
the most central nodes in the middle. Source: Chapter 2 of the United Nations Global Sustainable Development Report 2015
(forthcoming), adapted from Review of Targets for the Sustainable Development Goals – The Science Perspective, 2015 ICSU/ISSC .
Global Systems and RisksSource:WorldEconomicForum,GlobalRisks2015,10thEdition
Water Rail
AirRoad
Transport System
Sub-systems
Defining an Integrated Systems Approach
Waste
Water
Distribution
Network
DesalinationFiltration
Water & Sanitation System
Sub-systems
Freshwater Marine
GrasslandForest
Natural System
(biomes)
Hydro Gas
NuclearSolar
Energy System
Sub-systems
System of Systems
Energy
Efficiency
Water
Demand
Water SupplyEnergy
Demand
Renewable
Energy
Production
(low-water)
Coal
Energy
Production
Climate
Change
Population
Growth
GHG
Emissions
Coal Mining
Linkages, Dependencies and Feedback Loops
Mining System and Ministry
Water System and Ministry
Energy System and Ministry
Education
Education System and Ministry
Water
Efficiency
Selected Tools for Planning
• Climate, Land-use, Energy, Water
• Uses national accounts dataCLEW
• Inter-sectoral
• System dynamics
• Tailored for SDGs (iSDG)
iSDG &
T21
• All sector infrastructure prioritization
• Risk-based approachSoS MHRA
CLEW Model (Climate, Land-use, Energy and Water)
Source: M. Howells, et al., Integrated analysis of climate change, land-use, energy and water strategies, Nature Climate Change 3, 621-626 (2013)
(http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v3/n7/fig_tab/nclimate1789_F1.html)
iSDG & T21 Models
Intervention Impact Logic Indicator Dashboard Select Area of Intervention
 System-dynamics based comprehensive development planning model
 Models cross-sectoral linkages and dependencies
 Utilized by government departments of planning (Kenya, Jamaica, Senegal, Mongolia)
Source: Millennium Institute, www.millennium-institute.org
Systems of Systems (SoS) Approach:
Critical Infrastructure Failure Prevention
Hazard
Population
Energy
Transportation
Water & Sanitation
Communications
Emergency response services
Principal power locations:
generation stations, hazardous
material storage
Switching networks, Servers,
Control Management Systems,
Water lines, Waste Water
Treatment, Drainage Systems
Road systems, Rail systems,
Tunnels, Runways
First Responders: Fire, Police,
Paramedics + schools, hospitals
Population Density
Rapid and slow onset / man
made & natural
Source: Jeffrey Crawford, UNOPS Risk-Sensitive Planning for Resilient Infrastructure Development, Presentation at UNISDR 5th Africa Regional Platform for
Disaster Risk Reduction held in Abuja, Nigeria, 14 May 2014
SoS - Interdependencies and Interconnections of
Critical Infrastructure Sectors
Source: Jeffrey Crawford, UNOPS, Climate-resilient Infrastructure, Presentation at Asia-Pacific Climate
Change Adaptation Forum (19 March 2013, Incheon, Republic of Korea).
Interdependencies between infrastructures, and cascading effect of disruption upon other infrastructures
Infrastructure
Disrupted
Infrastructure
Impacted
Electric
Power
Natural
Gas
Petroleum Comm-
unications
Water
Distribution
Transportation Public Health
& Sanitation
Electric Power N/A
Natural Gas N/A
Petroleum N/A
Communication N/A
Water
Distribution
N/A
Transportation N/A
Public Health &
Sanitation
N/A
Interdependencies between infrastructures & resulting
disruption on other infrastructures
Weak
Medium
Strong
Source:Source:JeffreyCrawford,UNOPS,Climate-resilientInfrastructure,Presentationat
Asia-PacificClimateChangeAdaptationForum(19March2013,Incheon,RepublicofKorea).
AdaptedfromClimateChange,andInfrastructure,UrbanSystemsandVulnerabilities:
TechnicalReporttotheU.S.DepartmentofEnergy.(2012)
Integrated Governance Systems
Ministerial
Cluster
Ministry of
Water
Ministry of
Energy
Ministry of
Agriculture
Ministry of
Environment
National Infrastructure
Coordinating Center
National & Local Sustainable Development
Councils
Ministerial Clustering
High-level Inter-Ministerial Institutions
Science-Policy Interface Institutions
Parliament |
Executive
Ministry of
Devolution
and Planning
Modeling
Team (12-
person team)
Ministry of
Environment,
Water & NR
Modeling
Officer
Ministry of
Transport and
Infrastructure
Modeling
Officer
Source: http://www.dhs.gov/national-
infrastructure-coordinating-center
Towards Integrated Information Systems
Quality &
Integrity
Disaggregation
Transparency
& Openness
Usability &
Curation
Protection &
Privacy
Timeliness
Governance
Rights
Resources &
Capacity
Independence
Key Principles for the Data RevolutionSystem of Environmental-Economic Accounting
 National Accounts for water, energy,
land, ecosystems, agriculture,
fisheries and forests
 Measures stocks and flows
 Valuation of natural capital (e.g. eco-
system services)
 Many countries have SEEA
programmes, such as Australia,
Canada, China, Colombia,
Netherlands, Norway, Philippines,
South Africa, Sweden, and Uganda
Key principles for data revolution derived from Independent Expert Advisory Group Secretariat 2014, A World That Counts: Mobilising The Data
Revolution For Sustainable Development.
From Silo-based to Integrated Systems Approach
Ministry of
Water
• Policy
• Info
• Data
Ministry of
Energy
• Policy
• Info
• Data
Ministry of
Health
• Policy
• Info
• Data
Silo-based Approach
NSDGs
Integrated
Governance
Integrated
Systems Planning
Integrated & Aggregate
Indicators (e.g. NSDG
indicators)
National Accounts
SNA & SEEA
Data (Economic, Social, Environment)
Integrated Systems Approach
NDGs
Governance
Sector-based
Planning
Indicators
Other Info

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15328Crawford, Integrated Systems 20150528

  • 1. Sustainable Development Planning and Strategy Formulation: An Integrated Systems Approach Jeffrey Crawford Sustainable Development Officer United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN-DESA) Division for Sustainable Development, Policy and Analysis Branch E-mail: Crawford3@un.org Sustainable Development Planning and Implementation Workshop 28 May 2015, New York, U.S.A. Image Source: http://juliewight.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/water-wallpaper-1.jpg
  • 2. Interdependencies and Interconnectedness of SDGs Notes: The numbers on the links indicate the percentage of targets linking the two goals (number of links between two goals divided by the sum of targets under the two goals). SDG17 on “means of implementation” (which links to all other goals) was excluded from the analysis. The Kamada-Kawai projection minimizes the “energy” of the network (imagine a network of physical springs) and hence places the most central nodes in the middle. Source: Chapter 2 of the United Nations Global Sustainable Development Report 2015 (forthcoming), adapted from Review of Targets for the Sustainable Development Goals – The Science Perspective, 2015 ICSU/ISSC .
  • 3. Global Systems and RisksSource:WorldEconomicForum,GlobalRisks2015,10thEdition
  • 4. Water Rail AirRoad Transport System Sub-systems Defining an Integrated Systems Approach Waste Water Distribution Network DesalinationFiltration Water & Sanitation System Sub-systems Freshwater Marine GrasslandForest Natural System (biomes) Hydro Gas NuclearSolar Energy System Sub-systems System of Systems
  • 5. Energy Efficiency Water Demand Water SupplyEnergy Demand Renewable Energy Production (low-water) Coal Energy Production Climate Change Population Growth GHG Emissions Coal Mining Linkages, Dependencies and Feedback Loops Mining System and Ministry Water System and Ministry Energy System and Ministry Education Education System and Ministry Water Efficiency
  • 6. Selected Tools for Planning • Climate, Land-use, Energy, Water • Uses national accounts dataCLEW • Inter-sectoral • System dynamics • Tailored for SDGs (iSDG) iSDG & T21 • All sector infrastructure prioritization • Risk-based approachSoS MHRA
  • 7. CLEW Model (Climate, Land-use, Energy and Water) Source: M. Howells, et al., Integrated analysis of climate change, land-use, energy and water strategies, Nature Climate Change 3, 621-626 (2013) (http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v3/n7/fig_tab/nclimate1789_F1.html)
  • 8. iSDG & T21 Models Intervention Impact Logic Indicator Dashboard Select Area of Intervention  System-dynamics based comprehensive development planning model  Models cross-sectoral linkages and dependencies  Utilized by government departments of planning (Kenya, Jamaica, Senegal, Mongolia) Source: Millennium Institute, www.millennium-institute.org
  • 9. Systems of Systems (SoS) Approach: Critical Infrastructure Failure Prevention Hazard Population Energy Transportation Water & Sanitation Communications Emergency response services Principal power locations: generation stations, hazardous material storage Switching networks, Servers, Control Management Systems, Water lines, Waste Water Treatment, Drainage Systems Road systems, Rail systems, Tunnels, Runways First Responders: Fire, Police, Paramedics + schools, hospitals Population Density Rapid and slow onset / man made & natural Source: Jeffrey Crawford, UNOPS Risk-Sensitive Planning for Resilient Infrastructure Development, Presentation at UNISDR 5th Africa Regional Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction held in Abuja, Nigeria, 14 May 2014
  • 10. SoS - Interdependencies and Interconnections of Critical Infrastructure Sectors Source: Jeffrey Crawford, UNOPS, Climate-resilient Infrastructure, Presentation at Asia-Pacific Climate Change Adaptation Forum (19 March 2013, Incheon, Republic of Korea).
  • 11. Interdependencies between infrastructures, and cascading effect of disruption upon other infrastructures Infrastructure Disrupted Infrastructure Impacted Electric Power Natural Gas Petroleum Comm- unications Water Distribution Transportation Public Health & Sanitation Electric Power N/A Natural Gas N/A Petroleum N/A Communication N/A Water Distribution N/A Transportation N/A Public Health & Sanitation N/A Interdependencies between infrastructures & resulting disruption on other infrastructures Weak Medium Strong Source:Source:JeffreyCrawford,UNOPS,Climate-resilientInfrastructure,Presentationat Asia-PacificClimateChangeAdaptationForum(19March2013,Incheon,RepublicofKorea). AdaptedfromClimateChange,andInfrastructure,UrbanSystemsandVulnerabilities: TechnicalReporttotheU.S.DepartmentofEnergy.(2012)
  • 12. Integrated Governance Systems Ministerial Cluster Ministry of Water Ministry of Energy Ministry of Agriculture Ministry of Environment National Infrastructure Coordinating Center National & Local Sustainable Development Councils Ministerial Clustering High-level Inter-Ministerial Institutions Science-Policy Interface Institutions Parliament | Executive Ministry of Devolution and Planning Modeling Team (12- person team) Ministry of Environment, Water & NR Modeling Officer Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure Modeling Officer Source: http://www.dhs.gov/national- infrastructure-coordinating-center
  • 13. Towards Integrated Information Systems Quality & Integrity Disaggregation Transparency & Openness Usability & Curation Protection & Privacy Timeliness Governance Rights Resources & Capacity Independence Key Principles for the Data RevolutionSystem of Environmental-Economic Accounting  National Accounts for water, energy, land, ecosystems, agriculture, fisheries and forests  Measures stocks and flows  Valuation of natural capital (e.g. eco- system services)  Many countries have SEEA programmes, such as Australia, Canada, China, Colombia, Netherlands, Norway, Philippines, South Africa, Sweden, and Uganda Key principles for data revolution derived from Independent Expert Advisory Group Secretariat 2014, A World That Counts: Mobilising The Data Revolution For Sustainable Development.
  • 14. From Silo-based to Integrated Systems Approach Ministry of Water • Policy • Info • Data Ministry of Energy • Policy • Info • Data Ministry of Health • Policy • Info • Data Silo-based Approach NSDGs Integrated Governance Integrated Systems Planning Integrated & Aggregate Indicators (e.g. NSDG indicators) National Accounts SNA & SEEA Data (Economic, Social, Environment) Integrated Systems Approach NDGs Governance Sector-based Planning Indicators Other Info