The Internet of Cars

             Spawning New Business Models



              Andreas Mai
              Director Product Management
              Smart Connected Vehicles
              October 2012

Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.   Cisco Confidential   Internet Business Solutions Group   1
Internet of Cars: Unlocking $1,400 in
             Benefits per Vehicle, per Year
  Internet of Cars                                                                                             Vehicle User
  Service Providers                                                                                             Lower insurance
   Traffic guidance, navigation,                                                                               Lower operation cost
    emergency services
                                                                                                                Less time stuck in
   “Google on wheels,”                                                                        $ 550
                                                                                                                 traffic, more productivity
    PAYD insurance,                                                    $160
    location-based services


                                                                       $300
   Auto OEM/OES                                                                                 $420           Society
    Lower service/warranty costs                                                                               Fewer crashes
    New profit pools                                                                                           Lower traffic/road/toll
    Architectural savings                                                                                       operation costs
                                                                      Benefits per vehicle, per year
                                                                                                                CO2 reduction

Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive and Economics Practices, 2011
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The Internet Takes to the Road…




                                                            Running Transportation on
                                                             Networked Information




                                                Transportation Services Delivered by Technology
               Safety and                                             Operational                   Travel                         Revenue
                Security                                               Efficiency                 Experience                      Generation
Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive, 2011
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THE “Savior-App”: Strategic Asset for
             the Entire Car Insurance Value Chain
                    Usage &                                       PAYD, PHYD, MHYD                                              10% - 30%
                    Behavior                                                                                                     Premiums
                                                                  Vehicle and driver health monitoring
                                                                  Safest-route
                    Crash                                         ADAS + V2V + V2I                                              20% - 35%
                  Prevention                                                                                                     of Crashes
                                                                  eCall/ ACN
                                                                  Virtual Black Box
             Fast & Correct                                       Driver vitals to first responders                               5% -15%
               Response                                           Investigation costs                                             Savings
                                                                  Fraud prevention and reduction (~80%)
              Claims & Cost                                       Stolen vehicle tracking / location                            30% - 80%
              Containment                                                                                                         Savings
                                                                  Pay as you speed
                                                                  Virtual violation detection and notification
            Connected Law                                         Automated payment                                             20% - 30%
             Enforcement                                        Savings per connected vehicle and year:                           Savings
                                                              $280 for insurance/ owner + $100 for society
Source: OctoTelematics, Cisco IBSG Automotive 2010
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U.S. Roads and Highways Are Congested,
             Deficient, Lack Desirable Safety Features
                                                                                      $270 B
                                                                                      Needed                         4.2 T           2030
                                                                                                                     +38%

                                                                                                                     +41%            2010

                         25%                                                                                          2.2 T          1990
                                                                       Cost            Budget:
                                                                      + 55%            $100 B



                                                                                                        Vehicle-Miles
                                                                                                      Travelled (Trillions)
Source: America’s Top Five Transportation Headaches, AASHTO, Victoria Transportation Policy Institute, 2009
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THE Future “Finance-Application”:
             Connecting for Smart Road Pricing

                                                     Smart Road Pricing / Vehicle-Miles-Traveled Tax




             Time of Day                                              Occupancy                   Congestion                         Speed

                     Weight                                           Road Type                  Fuel Economy                    Emissions



                                                                                                                                        CO2


Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive 2011
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New Battleground: From Building Cars to
             Selling Travel Time Well Spent

         Extended Design
                                                                                         Connecting                                                     Marketing,
         and Supply Chain                                                              the Value Chain                                               Advertising, CRM




                                                              CONNECTED          CONNECTED                 CONNECTED        CONNECTED
                                                                within the car   to personal devices       around the car    to the cloud




                                   Travel Experience &                                                                            Distribution and
                                 Location-Based Services                                                                          Service Network




Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive, 2011
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Emergence of New Business Models
         Smart Parking                                                                          Mobility On-Demand




         Source: Web Research, 2011
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Off-Loading Data and Switching Is Key
             to Improve Experience and Contain Cost
                       HOME                                                              ROAD                                          OFFICE


                                                         Home
                                                       Security &
                                                       Automation     3G/LTE                            WLAN




                          Media                                         DSRC             City Mesh   Hotspot




                Cable / DSL                                                          “Switching”                                 Ethernet / LAN
Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive 2011
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Service Providers Are Well Positioned
              to Enable Key Business Operations
                                                                       Service Providers / Network as the Platform

                                                                             Internet of Cars Service Provider
                                                                  TSP          PAYD                 EV Clearing         ITS               And more…




    Internet of
                                                              Data                 Service                     CRM/ CC                     Payment
Cars Business                                               Acquisition           Aggregation                   Service                   Processing
   Operations




                                                              Vehicle User                           Vehicle                              Road
 Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive 2011
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Internet of Cars is a Scale Business

                                                                                                                                      Scale


   Industries &
   Applications

    …
                                                                      Regions
    EV Clearing

    ITS

    Insurance

    TSP
                                         Captive                              Entire Industry   Customers
Source: Cisco Smart Connected Vehicles Team, 2012
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End-to-End Architecture is Essential –
                    Especially for Scaling Globally
                                                   Public Cloud                           Private (OEM) Cloud                  Enterprise Cloud
   Services




                                         Subscription-based                                Data Center/Virtual          Enterprise Video, Voice,
                                             Services                                           Servers                          Data




                                                                                               VNO
   Operation




                                                                                  Policy Enforcement, Flow-based                        Energy Service Providers
                                                                                         Management, DPI                                     (Smart Grid)
                                                                                                                                            Mobile SP 1 SP 1
                                                                                                                                                 Mobile

                                                                                         Communications SP 1
                                                                                             Mobile SP 1 Service
                                                                                                  Mobile
                                                                                            Providers, “Fog”
   Infrastructure




                     Mobile WiFi Offload                              DSRC Roadside               Consumer Network                  Electrical Charging Network
                      Wi-Fi Hotspots,                                   Infrastructure       Home/Dealership Wi-Fi Hotspots,         Charging Stations, Other
                        802.11u, 3G/4G                                 802.11p (V2I)                    Femtocells                              Services


                                                           V2I/Upstream Communication (Wi-Fi, 3G/4G, 802.11p, etc.)
   Vehicle




                                                                                         Software Client

                                                                                    V2V Communication (802.11p)
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New OBU and RSU Business Models:
             Enabling Internet of Cars Services
                                           TSP                        PAYD         EV Clearing             ITS             And more…




                                                                                        IoC
                                                                                      Services

                                                                                     Network

                                                                              OBU                   RSU
                                                                             NewCo                 NewCo

      Subsidize OBU Upgrade                                                                                      Build & Operate
        For Right to Monetize                                                                                    WiFi + DSRC Network
          Data & CV Services                                                                                     to Monetize Off-Load and
                                                                                                                 ITS & LBS Services
Source: Cisco Smart Connected Vehicles Team, 2012
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The Connectivity Infrastructure Could be
             a Profitable Business at 1/10th ¢ / VMT

            U.S. Roadside Equipment (RSE)
            PPP Revenue Model [US$ Million]                                                                            1/10th
                                                                      CapEx       P&L                   ~3,000,000,000,000
      Initial Total 5 Year RSE
                                                                       6,261          626
      Investment (10 Depr.)




                                                                                                    =
      Repair/ Replacement                                               616             62

      Operating Expenses                                                              440

      Subtotal RSE Cost                                                           1,128

      Hypothetical Margin                                             100%        1,128
                                                                                                                  Per Month
      Revenue Required to
                                                                                  2,256
      Fund “RSE Business”
Source: Vehicle-Infrastructure Integration (VII) Initiative, Benefit-Cost Analysis, Version 2.3, US-DOT, 2008
Cisco IBSG Automotive, 2011
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Connecting 1/3 of All Vehicles = $116
             Billion in U.S. and $345 Billion Globally
                       Benefits of Connecting All Road Vehicles Per Year By Penetration [$ Billion]

                                                                      $282                                                         $837
                                                                                                                                               Internet of
                                                                       32                                                             96       Cars SPs
                       United States                                                                     Worldwide
                                                                       64                                                            191       Auto OEM



                                                                       85                                                            251       Society
                                                  $117                                                         $345
                                                      13                                                         39
                                                      27                                                         79

                 $35                                  35                                          $105          104                            Vehicle User
                                                                      101                                                            299
                                                      42                                                        123

               10%
                10%                               33%
                                                  33%                 80%
                                                                      80%                         10%
                                                                                                  10%           33%
                                                                                                                33%                 80%
                                                                                                                                    80%
Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive and Economics Practices, 2011 Note: Core Regions NA, EU, AP, Excl. 22% RoW
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Resolving the “Chicken & Egg” Dilemma
                                                     15-20% Savings = $6-8 B

                                                                                ~$110 B+                ~$60 B
                                   RSE
                                   ITS                                            CV SPs                         Infra REITS
                                                                                    Auto
                                                                                    OEM
                                  PAYD
                                                                                                           40                  1.3T                   20%
                                                                      1/10th
                                                                                  Society
    Policy




                                    OBU

                                                                                  Vehicle                        Fuel Tax Share
                                    VMT                                            User
                                                                                                           20

Bottom                                                                         33% of Cars            20% of Roads
Line                                                                                                                                             $20-30B

                                                                                            550,000 Jobs                      $1.3T

   Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive 2012                                                                                                           Budget
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Making the Internet of Cars a Business

                                                                      No One CanWe Can…
                                                                        Together Do It Alone
                                                          Automotive                            Government




                                    Service Provider                                                  Infrastructure




                                                          Insurance                                  ITS




        Source: Cisco Smart Connected Vehicle Team 2012
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More Food for Thought on the
              “Internet of Cars”


               Executive Summary: A Business Case For Connecting Vehicles
               Government: A Catalyst to Unlock Societal Benefits of Transportation
               Carriers: Service Providers at a Crossroads
               Automotive: From Building Cars to Selling Travel Time Well-Spent
               Insurance: The Business of Preventing Crashes




                                                                      Andreas Mai: andmai@cisco.com

Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.      Cisco Confidential   Internet Business Solutions Group   23

The Internet of Cars: Spawning New Business Models

  • 1.
    The Internet ofCars Spawning New Business Models Andreas Mai Director Product Management Smart Connected Vehicles October 2012 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 1
  • 2.
    Internet of Cars:Unlocking $1,400 in Benefits per Vehicle, per Year Internet of Cars Vehicle User Service Providers  Lower insurance  Traffic guidance, navigation,  Lower operation cost emergency services  Less time stuck in  “Google on wheels,” $ 550 traffic, more productivity PAYD insurance, $160 location-based services $300 Auto OEM/OES $420 Society  Lower service/warranty costs  Fewer crashes  New profit pools  Lower traffic/road/toll  Architectural savings operation costs Benefits per vehicle, per year  CO2 reduction Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive and Economics Practices, 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 2
  • 3.
    The Internet Takesto the Road… Running Transportation on Networked Information Transportation Services Delivered by Technology Safety and Operational Travel Revenue Security Efficiency Experience Generation Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive, 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 3
  • 4.
    THE “Savior-App”: StrategicAsset for the Entire Car Insurance Value Chain Usage &  PAYD, PHYD, MHYD 10% - 30% Behavior Premiums  Vehicle and driver health monitoring  Safest-route Crash  ADAS + V2V + V2I 20% - 35% Prevention of Crashes  eCall/ ACN  Virtual Black Box Fast & Correct  Driver vitals to first responders 5% -15% Response  Investigation costs Savings  Fraud prevention and reduction (~80%) Claims & Cost  Stolen vehicle tracking / location 30% - 80% Containment Savings  Pay as you speed  Virtual violation detection and notification Connected Law  Automated payment 20% - 30% Enforcement Savings per connected vehicle and year: Savings $280 for insurance/ owner + $100 for society Source: OctoTelematics, Cisco IBSG Automotive 2010 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 4
  • 5.
    U.S. Roads andHighways Are Congested, Deficient, Lack Desirable Safety Features $270 B Needed 4.2 T 2030 +38% +41% 2010 25% 2.2 T 1990 Cost Budget: + 55% $100 B Vehicle-Miles Travelled (Trillions) Source: America’s Top Five Transportation Headaches, AASHTO, Victoria Transportation Policy Institute, 2009 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 5
  • 6.
    THE Future “Finance-Application”: Connecting for Smart Road Pricing Smart Road Pricing / Vehicle-Miles-Traveled Tax Time of Day Occupancy Congestion Speed Weight Road Type Fuel Economy Emissions CO2 Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 6
  • 7.
    New Battleground: FromBuilding Cars to Selling Travel Time Well Spent Extended Design Connecting Marketing, and Supply Chain the Value Chain Advertising, CRM CONNECTED CONNECTED CONNECTED CONNECTED within the car to personal devices around the car to the cloud Travel Experience & Distribution and Location-Based Services Service Network Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive, 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 7
  • 8.
    Emergence of NewBusiness Models Smart Parking Mobility On-Demand Source: Web Research, 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 8
  • 9.
    Off-Loading Data andSwitching Is Key to Improve Experience and Contain Cost HOME ROAD OFFICE Home Security & Automation 3G/LTE WLAN Media DSRC City Mesh Hotspot Cable / DSL “Switching” Ethernet / LAN Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 10
  • 10.
    Service Providers AreWell Positioned to Enable Key Business Operations Service Providers / Network as the Platform Internet of Cars Service Provider TSP PAYD EV Clearing ITS And more… Internet of Data Service CRM/ CC Payment Cars Business Acquisition Aggregation Service Processing Operations Vehicle User Vehicle Road Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 11
  • 11.
    Internet of Carsis a Scale Business Scale Industries & Applications … Regions EV Clearing ITS Insurance TSP Captive Entire Industry Customers Source: Cisco Smart Connected Vehicles Team, 2012 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 12
  • 12.
    End-to-End Architecture isEssential – Especially for Scaling Globally Public Cloud Private (OEM) Cloud Enterprise Cloud Services Subscription-based Data Center/Virtual Enterprise Video, Voice, Services Servers Data VNO Operation Policy Enforcement, Flow-based Energy Service Providers Management, DPI (Smart Grid) Mobile SP 1 SP 1 Mobile Communications SP 1 Mobile SP 1 Service Mobile Providers, “Fog” Infrastructure Mobile WiFi Offload DSRC Roadside Consumer Network Electrical Charging Network Wi-Fi Hotspots, Infrastructure Home/Dealership Wi-Fi Hotspots, Charging Stations, Other 802.11u, 3G/4G 802.11p (V2I) Femtocells Services V2I/Upstream Communication (Wi-Fi, 3G/4G, 802.11p, etc.) Vehicle Software Client V2V Communication (802.11p) Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 13
  • 13.
    New OBU andRSU Business Models: Enabling Internet of Cars Services TSP PAYD EV Clearing ITS And more… IoC Services Network OBU RSU NewCo NewCo Subsidize OBU Upgrade Build & Operate For Right to Monetize WiFi + DSRC Network Data & CV Services to Monetize Off-Load and ITS & LBS Services Source: Cisco Smart Connected Vehicles Team, 2012 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 14
  • 14.
    The Connectivity InfrastructureCould be a Profitable Business at 1/10th ¢ / VMT U.S. Roadside Equipment (RSE) PPP Revenue Model [US$ Million] 1/10th CapEx P&L ~3,000,000,000,000 Initial Total 5 Year RSE 6,261 626 Investment (10 Depr.) = Repair/ Replacement 616 62 Operating Expenses 440 Subtotal RSE Cost 1,128 Hypothetical Margin 100% 1,128 Per Month Revenue Required to 2,256 Fund “RSE Business” Source: Vehicle-Infrastructure Integration (VII) Initiative, Benefit-Cost Analysis, Version 2.3, US-DOT, 2008 Cisco IBSG Automotive, 2011 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 18
  • 15.
    Connecting 1/3 ofAll Vehicles = $116 Billion in U.S. and $345 Billion Globally Benefits of Connecting All Road Vehicles Per Year By Penetration [$ Billion] $282 $837 Internet of 32 96 Cars SPs United States Worldwide 64 191 Auto OEM 85 251 Society $117 $345 13 39 27 79 $35 35 $105 104 Vehicle User 101 299 42 123 10% 10% 33% 33% 80% 80% 10% 10% 33% 33% 80% 80% Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive and Economics Practices, 2011 Note: Core Regions NA, EU, AP, Excl. 22% RoW Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 19
  • 16.
    Resolving the “Chicken& Egg” Dilemma 15-20% Savings = $6-8 B ~$110 B+ ~$60 B RSE ITS CV SPs Infra REITS Auto OEM PAYD 40 1.3T 20% 1/10th Society Policy OBU Vehicle Fuel Tax Share VMT User 20 Bottom 33% of Cars 20% of Roads Line $20-30B 550,000 Jobs $1.3T Source: Cisco IBSG Automotive 2012 Budget Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 20
  • 17.
    Making the Internetof Cars a Business No One CanWe Can… Together Do It Alone Automotive Government Service Provider Infrastructure Insurance ITS Source: Cisco Smart Connected Vehicle Team 2012 Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 21
  • 19.
    More Food forThought on the “Internet of Cars”  Executive Summary: A Business Case For Connecting Vehicles  Government: A Catalyst to Unlock Societal Benefits of Transportation  Carriers: Service Providers at a Crossroads  Automotive: From Building Cars to Selling Travel Time Well-Spent  Insurance: The Business of Preventing Crashes Andreas Mai: andmai@cisco.com Cisco IBSG © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential Internet Business Solutions Group 23