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2012 Agribusiness Update

        December 5, 2012
Agenda
10:45 a.m. – 11:00 a.m.   Welcome Time & Registration

11:00 a.m. – 11:05 a.m.   Sikich LLP
                          •     Introduction

11:05 a.m. – 11:45 a.m.   Brent Gloy, Director, Center for Commercial Agriculture, Purdue
                          University and Kip Tom, CEO and President, Tom Farms LLC
                          • Boom or Bust? What Lies Ahead for Production Agriculture?

11:45 a.m. – 12:00 p.m.   Break – Box Lunches

12:00 p.m. – 12:40 p.m.   Beth Bechdol, Director of Agribusiness Strategies, Ice Miller LLP
                          and President, Agribusiness Council of Indiana
                          • Post-Election Impacts on Agriculture – Agricultural Policy and
                            The Farm Bill

12:40 p.m. – 1:20 p.m.    Jim Schultz, Founder and Managing Partner, Open Prairie Ventures
                          • Early Stage Investment Opportunities in Food and Agriculture

1:20 p.m. – 1:30 p.m.     Q&A
Industry Challenge

      Agriculture is being asked to
       do more today than ever in
       the history of mankind……and
       do it with less.
1970 to 2010 world population doubles. From 2010 to 2050 the world's
population grows from 6.8 billion people to 9.31 billion people.
Tom Farms Today

   Our goal is to leverage each and every asset to
    maximize our returns.
   We educate and empower employees and partners.
   Management delegation and operational guidelines.
   We look at out business as a manufacture and embrace
    principals such as S.O.P.’s., lean manufacturing, and
    programs similar to Six Sigma and others.
   We place a high value in long term relationships with
    business partners.
   We invest in planning to assure a smooth multi-
    generational transition in leadership, succession, and
    asset transfer.
Factoid: 1970 to 2007 Farmers grew 40% more corn
and 30% more Soybeans on the same amount of land.
Fundamental Forces Shaping
            Tom Farms Plans
   Global Production
   Growing and Diversified Global Demand
   Consumer Expectations
   New Science and Technology
   Changes in Ag Business Model
   Government Policy
New Science and Technology

   Simplify/automate processes
     Seed traits
     Robotic or GPS guided machinery.
     Electronic measuring monitoring and
        controls utilizing the internet.
   Implications
       Labor productivity
       Production skills
       Managerial skills/span of control
       Biological manufacturing
New Science and Technology Results

CORN                             SOYBEANS




        Tom Farms Resources per Unit of Output
              Indexed to Year 2000 Actual Values
Major Threats
 Consequences of Government Policy decisions
  effecting agriculture production causing an
  adverse impact to the challenge we face to
  feed a growing world.
 Risk Management in volatile markets.
 A divided Agriculture industry not working
  collaboratively to tell our story or serve as an
  advocate.
 Agriculture Industry image threats from special
  interest groups using emotion, not science and
  facts.


                                                     1
Thanks!
 Kip Tom
 Tom Farms LLC
 8542 North Harper Road
 Leesburg, IN 46538
 574.453.3300
 www.tomfarms.com
 www.cereservinc.com
 kiptom@tomfarms.com
“Hang On! There's Too Much
        At Stake!”
 Post-Election Impacts on
Agriculture and the Farm Bill
      2012 Agribusiness Update

               December 5, 2012

                 Beth Bechdol
      Director of Agribusiness Strategies
                 Ice Miller LLP
Overview

•   The World Around Us
•   Post-Election Results – A Recap
•   The Lame Duck Session
•   The Farm Bill
•   Think Bigger…Complex Policy Issues
    Remain
The World Around Us…

•   Global economic uncertainty – the growing
    "middle class"
•   Currencies and the US dollar
•   Market liberalization/trade agreements
•   Biofuels production and policies
•   Energy and agricultural input prices
•   Regulatory climate
•   Biotechnology developments
•   Weather – climate change
•   Politics and policy
Post-Election Results – A Recap…
President Obama Re-elected        Urban              O (70%) – R
 62.1 mil. (51.4%) popular votes (28%)
 332 (61.7%) of electoral votes  Suburbs            R (50%) – O
                                  (48%)
Democrats Retain Senate Majority  Rural              R (60%) – O
 Democrats gain 2 seats          (38%)
   13th Congress: 55 Expected in Democratic Caucus = 53
    Democrats + 2 Independents. 45 Republicans.
Republicans Retain House Majority
   113th Congress: 234-R/201-D
   112th Congress (2010 Election): 242-R/193-D
   Over 1/3 of House members will be serving their first and/or
    second term in the 113th Congress
So…Not Much Change

  But, Hopefully, Not A “Status Quo” Legislative
     and Budget Outcome in the Lame Duck.
The 112th Congress: “The Least Productive Body In a Generation”


“The 112th Congress is set to enter the Congressional record books
  as the least productive body in a generation, passing a mere 173
 public laws as of last month. That was well below the 906 enacted
from January 1947 through December 1948 by the body President
 Harry S. Truman referred to as the “do-nothing” Congress, and far
    fewer than even a single session of many prior Congresses.”
  - Jennifer Steinhauer - New York Times. September 18, 2012 -
Will They Ever Rise Above "It"?

 "There is nothing which I
dread so much as a division
  of the republic into two
     great parties, each
     arranged under its
  leader, and concerting
 measures in opposition to
         each other.
   This, in my humble
  apprehension, is to be
 dreaded as the greatest
  political evil under our
       Constitution."
   JOHN ADAMS - 1789
Lame Duck Session - Budget and Farm Bill?

                   An exhausting "to do" list
                   •   Sequestration
                   •   Tax cuts
                   •   AMT patch
                   •   Unemployment measures
                   •   Tax extenders
                   •   Debt ceiling
                   •   Farm Bill
Let's Look at the Unfinished Business…
Sequestration cuts – begin Jan. 2, 2013
  • $110 bil cut in non-exempt programs for FY 2013 - half from
    Defense.
Bush Tax Cuts - expire Dec. 31, 2012
  • Income Tax Rates - increase from 10% - 35% to 15% - 39.6%
  • Capital Gains Rate - increase from 15% to 20%
  • Estate Tax - exemption decreases from $5 million to $1 million.
    Top rate increases from 35% to 55%. (Pre-2001 levels.)
  • Dividends - increase from 15% for most to top income tax rate
  • Other expiring provisions: Child tax credit (halved and no
    longer refundable), Marriage penalty relief, various tax
    benefits for education, retirement savings, and low-income
    individuals.
Let's Look at the Unfinished Business…
Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT) annual patch – expired Dec.
31, 2011
 • Exemptions fall – without retroactive 2012 patch, 30 mil. will
   pay AMT--up from 4 mil.
Job / Unemployment Measures - expire Dec. 31, 2012
 • Payroll taxes rise from 4.2% to 6.2% on first $110,000 in income
 • Number of weeks of unemployment benefits reduced
Tax Extenders - expired Dec. 31, 2011
U.S. Debt Ceiling - will reach at end of 2012
Farm Bill - a number of provisions ALREADY expired Sep 30, 2012
 • Full Farm Bill as Budget Offset for Fiscal Cliff Costs?
 • If Extension only, how much deficit reduction will be required?
What About Spending?

•   GOP Controls – net gain of 63 seats
•   New approach in House
    –   Committee chairs have more power
    –   House will go first on most issues
    –   Unlike last time GOP controlled House…GOP
        leaders in House and Senate work well
        together
•   House Agriculture Committee – chaired by
    Frank Lucas (R-OK) – 23 new members
Where Do We Make the Cuts?
                                                        Federal Budget
            Net Interest                                   Outlays
               12%           Medicare -
                             Medicaid
                                                    • Still few specific plans
                               24%                  on reductions to
      Defense                                       defense, Medicare &
       18%
                                                    Medicaid, social
                             Social Security        security – nearly 2/3 of
                                  21%               the budget
           Discretionary
             and Other
             Spending                             Agriculture is 4.5% of $3.6 trill
               25%
                                                        budget ($162 bil)
                                                   78% goes to food/nutrition
Source: Congressional Budget Office – Aug. 2012
                                                       spending ($126 bil)
2012 Farm Bill Status

•   S. 3240 – Agriculture Reform, Food
    and Jobs Act of 2012

    –   Passed Senate June 21, 2012 by 64-35 vote


•   H.R. 6083 – Federal Agriculture Reform and Risk
    Management (FARRM) Act

    –   Passed House Ag Committee July 11, 2012
        by 35-11 vote
A Full Chronology of U.S. Farm Bills
• 2008 Food, Conservation       • 1973 Agricultural and
  and Energy Act                  Consumer Protection Act
• 2002 Farm Security and        • 1970 Agricultural Act
  Rural Investment Act          • 1965 Food and Agricultural
• 1996 Federal Agriculture        Act
  Improvement and Reform        • 1956 Agriculture Act
  Act                           • 1954 Agriculture Act
• 1990                          • 1949 Agriculture Act
  Food, Agriculture, Conserva   • 1948 Agriculture Act
  tion and Trade Act            • 1938 Agricultural Adjustment
• 1985 Food Security Act          Act
• 1981 Agriculture and Food     • 1933 Agricultural Adjustment
  Act                             Act
• 1977 Food and Agriculture
  Act
Senate Bill Sets the Tone
•   Direct, counter-cyclical and ACRE payments eliminated –
    Average Risk Coverage revenue program created –
    regional concerns
•   Tinkering with crop insurance
    –   Conservation compliance and income limits

•   Consolidation of conservation and rural development
    programs
•   Gradual scaling back of CRP acreage – 25 mil acres by
    2017
•   Reduces SNAP benefits by $4.5 billion
TOTAL BUDGET SAVINGS - $24 billion
House Committee Offers Different Version

•    Eliminates direct payments – increases target prices
•    Cuts nutrition programs more ($16 bil over 10 yrs from
     $800 bil baseline)
•    CRP acreage cap reduced to 25 mil acres
•    No mandatory funding for energy programs
•    Eliminates unnecessary pesticide permit requirements –
     opens up regulatory reform debate
•    Biotech expedited USDA approvals

TOTAL BUDGET SAVINGS - $35 billion
Two Must-Do's in the Lame Duck Session

The 2008 Farm Bill has expired…
•    Reauthorize the funding for programs that expired on
     September 30
     –   If not – they lose baseline funding. Most are trade and
         conservation programs.
•    Continue suspensions of permanent law provisions
     for the 1938 and 1949 acts for dairy and other
     commodity programs.
     –   If not we are back to acreage allotments and marketing
         quotes – totally untenable in today's global markets
No Consensus on Outcome…
•   Option #1 – pass a five-year bill during the lame duck
    – take the budget savings and wrap a Farm Bill into a
    larger "fiscal cliff" package – only 5 weeks left!
    –   Two issues remain: cuts to nutrition spending (how big?)
        and can target price supports be maintained in some form
•   Option #2a - pass a short-term extension during the
    lame duck
    –   6 months
    –   1 year
•   Option #2b – will need to start over with the new
    Congress on a multi-year bill – need to pass a new
    Senate and House version and then conference
Other Things to Watch…
•   The Players – small change of change – but there's
    always speculation
    –   Lucas/Petersen stay in House and Stabenow in Senate
    –   Rumored challenge of Roberts by Cochran
    –   Villsack to stay? Kent Conrad (ND), Blanche Lincoln (AR) in
        the wings
•   Is this the last "Farm Bill"?
    –   Some political leaders view it as a "Food Bill"
    –   Agriculture would have a tough time "going it alone"
        though
Future Policy/Regulatory Challenges to Agriculture –
             More Diverse and Complex
• Regulatory issues – EPA, OSHA, DOL, DOT, FDA
• Climate Policy
• Energy Policy
• Trade – FTAs, China, Cuba
• Immigration Reform
• Food Safety Policy
• Infrastructure Policy
• Financial Services Regulation
• Anti-trust Review and Oversight
• Tax Policy
Should We Just Give Up Now?
No…Hang On! There's Too Much at Stake!
Focus on our long-term competitiveness critical
Remember the world around us…big challenges
require big solutions
 • Feeding the world
 • Human health and nutrition
 • Natural resource constraints
 • Public understanding and perceptions
The next generation of agricultural leadership is
inspiring and up to the task!
Early-Stage Investment
Opportunities in Food and
       Agriculture




     December 5, 2012

                34      34

      OpenPrairie.com
Opening Thoughts…



 “By 2050, the global population will surpass 9 billion people
 and agricultural systems will be increasingly challenged by
water scarcity, climate change and volatility, raising the risk of
                     production shortfalls”

                                              The Economist Conference
                                                        February 2012




                                                                     35
About Open Prairie Ventures

• Midwest-based venture capital firm

• Team of entrepreneurs, operators, and investors

• Brand with National Recognition

• Partnership that values our Midwest roots




                                                    36
J.M. “Jim” Schultz


• 5th Generation Agricultural Entrepreneur

• International Farmland Developer

• Founder, Open Prairie Ventures

• Kellogg MBA, DePaul JD




                                             37
Open Prairie Investment Philosophy

• Efficient Innovation Model

• Proprietary Deal Flow

• Global Potential

• Platform Technologies with Multi-Channel Distribution

• Syndicate Development for Optimal Growth




                                                          38
Where We Live…




                 39
Disruptive Agricultural Technologies


Mechanization                 Hybrid     Plant      GMO
                Synthetic     Seeds    Protection         Biologicals
                Fertilizers            Chemicals




                                                                    40
Agriculture Drivers

• Population



• Technology



• Globalization

                                        41
“100 - 30 - 70 - 32”

 Global food demand will increase 100% over the next 30 years;

 70% of this increase will be fulfilled with new agriculture related
  technologies;
 Using 1/32nd of the world’s land mass (currently 1/20th).




Source: Steinfoeld et al                                            42
Value-Added Food Consumption

              As the Developing World Becomes More Affluent Food
                        Demand Will Grow Dramatically




           Germany 375.39 Euros                Mongolia 41,985.85 togrogs
             or $500.07/week                       or $40.02/week

Source: MacroGain Partners, Steinfoeld et al                                43
Agriculture Today
• World Bank puts the food
  and agriculture sector at 10%
  of global GDP or $4.8
  trillion
• World food prices are at all
  time highs and experts
  predict they may double
  again by 2030
• The underlying cause of
  soaring food prices is the
  lack of investment in
  agricultural and food
  production

Source: FAO Food Price Index; www.forbes.com; UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon, June 4, 2008   44
Global Population Projections

                                                                                            1999: 6B people
                                                                                            2011: 7B people
                        6000

                                                                            2011
                                                                                            2030: 9B people
Population (millions)




                        5000

                                                                            2030
                        4000



                        3000



                        2000



                        1000



                           0

                               Africa     Asia     Latin      Oceania    North    Europe
                                                  America               America




               Source: UN Report – World Population to 2030                                                    45
The Dilemma

Can we feed the world without destroying it?




                                               46
Where Will Food Be Produced…

            Chinese Farmland                      U.S. Farmland




       Arable land per capita: .08             Arable land per capita: .53



Source: The World Bank (figures in hectares)                                 47
Global Prospects for Future Food Production




                                              48
U.S. Farms – Timeline and Consolidation




                                          49
Farm Bifurcation




                   50
U.S. Target Yield Projections




Source: Monsanto’s Yield Targets 3/10                             51
Midwest Region is Breadbasket of Innovation

• Home to World-Class Universities in Agriculture

• Vibrant Research Environment

• Global Headquarters for Premier Ag Companies




                                                    52
Ag Productivity Convergence

Crop Nutrition                          Crop Protection
                     Cloud Computing
 Micronutrition                             IPM

                       Integrated         Precision
 Precision                                Decisions
 Mechanics
                      Agricultural
                      Productivity         (DDM)

                                            Seed
 Microfarming                             Treatment
Equipment and        Data Convergence      Seeds &
Cultural Practices                      Biotechnology

                                                        53
Keys to Success in Early-Stage Investments

 People       Strong Management Team

 Product      Disruptive, Proprietary Technology

               Scalable and Executable Go-to-Market
 Production
               Strategy

 Pricing      Value Proposition to End Users

 Promotion    Multi-Channels of Distribution



                                                      54
Midwest Value Proposition
     • Convergence of science, capital, infrastructure and talent
               Strong agricultural presence and output
               C-level talent and management teams
               Thriving deal flow pipeline

     • Capital efficiency is the Midwest’s competitive advantage
       to deliver superior venture returns
                                                                                           Top Venture
                                                                                                                                  Midwest
                                                                                             Markets
         VC Dollars Invested per Company (million)                                               $15.7                               $9.8
         Average Acquisition Value (million)                                                    $134.9                              $125.4
         Multiple: Acquisition Value / VC Invested                                               8.6x                                12.8x




Source: VentureXpert; 2007-2011; Seed, Early, Growth and Later Stage. Top Venture Markets: CA, MA, NY, TX. Midwest: IL, IN, MI, OH, WI       55
Case Study for Disruptive Ag Technologies



 Industry:     Ag Biotechnology          Vestaron is developing a new generation of insecticides
 Stage:        Early (pre-revenue)       derived from peptides produced by spiders. These
                                          peptides are potent insecticides, yet are environmentally
 Market Size: $21 billion                benign, making them ideally suited for the
                                          environmentally conscious, twenty-first century


     People             Product         Production             Pricing            Promotion
•    Expert team   • Disruptive       • Demonstrated       • Less use of         • Four market
    with strong      technology         scale-up from        toxic                 channels
    advisory board   with broad IP      bench to pilot       insecticides          exceeding
                                        scale              • Increased             $20 billion
                                                             grower
                                                             flexibility


                                                                                                      56
Case Study for Disruptive Ag Technologies



 Industry:     Ag Biotechnology           Patented product that uses PPPMs (Pink Pigmented
 Stage:        Early (pre-revenue)        Facultative Methylotrophs) to improve plant health and
                                           crop yield.
 Market Size: $5 billion


   People              Product         Production            Pricing           Promotion
• Highly         • Patented           • Scalable          • Increased       • Applicable to
  qualified team   bacterial seed       manufacturing       yields            multiple crops
                   and leaf             process           • Ease of         • Low regulatory
                   inoculant                                adoption          requirements




                                                                                                    57
Open Prairie “In the Field” Strategy

• Agriculture Sector is Expanding Globally

• Midwest Region is Epicenter of Agriculture Innovation

• Increasing Deal Flow and Exit Opportunities as Global Ag
  Companies Look to Enhance their Research and
  Development Pipelines




                                                             58
“Harvesting Efficient
Innovation in The Field”
        J.M. “Jim” Schultz
           Managing Partner
       Jim@OpenPrairie.com
       Direct: 217.347.1017
       Mobile: 217.821.9000
       Office: 217.347.1000


       OpenPrairie.com
                              59
Questions?

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2012 Agribusiness Update: Indianapolis

  • 1. 2012 Agribusiness Update December 5, 2012
  • 2. Agenda 10:45 a.m. – 11:00 a.m. Welcome Time & Registration 11:00 a.m. – 11:05 a.m. Sikich LLP • Introduction 11:05 a.m. – 11:45 a.m. Brent Gloy, Director, Center for Commercial Agriculture, Purdue University and Kip Tom, CEO and President, Tom Farms LLC • Boom or Bust? What Lies Ahead for Production Agriculture? 11:45 a.m. – 12:00 p.m. Break – Box Lunches 12:00 p.m. – 12:40 p.m. Beth Bechdol, Director of Agribusiness Strategies, Ice Miller LLP and President, Agribusiness Council of Indiana • Post-Election Impacts on Agriculture – Agricultural Policy and The Farm Bill 12:40 p.m. – 1:20 p.m. Jim Schultz, Founder and Managing Partner, Open Prairie Ventures • Early Stage Investment Opportunities in Food and Agriculture 1:20 p.m. – 1:30 p.m. Q&A
  • 3.
  • 4. Industry Challenge  Agriculture is being asked to do more today than ever in the history of mankind……and do it with less. 1970 to 2010 world population doubles. From 2010 to 2050 the world's population grows from 6.8 billion people to 9.31 billion people.
  • 5. Tom Farms Today  Our goal is to leverage each and every asset to maximize our returns.  We educate and empower employees and partners.  Management delegation and operational guidelines.  We look at out business as a manufacture and embrace principals such as S.O.P.’s., lean manufacturing, and programs similar to Six Sigma and others.  We place a high value in long term relationships with business partners.  We invest in planning to assure a smooth multi- generational transition in leadership, succession, and asset transfer.
  • 6. Factoid: 1970 to 2007 Farmers grew 40% more corn and 30% more Soybeans on the same amount of land.
  • 7. Fundamental Forces Shaping Tom Farms Plans  Global Production  Growing and Diversified Global Demand  Consumer Expectations  New Science and Technology  Changes in Ag Business Model  Government Policy
  • 8. New Science and Technology  Simplify/automate processes  Seed traits  Robotic or GPS guided machinery.  Electronic measuring monitoring and controls utilizing the internet.  Implications  Labor productivity  Production skills  Managerial skills/span of control  Biological manufacturing
  • 9. New Science and Technology Results CORN SOYBEANS Tom Farms Resources per Unit of Output Indexed to Year 2000 Actual Values
  • 10. Major Threats  Consequences of Government Policy decisions effecting agriculture production causing an adverse impact to the challenge we face to feed a growing world.  Risk Management in volatile markets.  A divided Agriculture industry not working collaboratively to tell our story or serve as an advocate.  Agriculture Industry image threats from special interest groups using emotion, not science and facts. 1
  • 11. Thanks!  Kip Tom  Tom Farms LLC  8542 North Harper Road  Leesburg, IN 46538  574.453.3300  www.tomfarms.com  www.cereservinc.com  kiptom@tomfarms.com
  • 12. “Hang On! There's Too Much At Stake!” Post-Election Impacts on Agriculture and the Farm Bill 2012 Agribusiness Update December 5, 2012 Beth Bechdol Director of Agribusiness Strategies Ice Miller LLP
  • 13. Overview • The World Around Us • Post-Election Results – A Recap • The Lame Duck Session • The Farm Bill • Think Bigger…Complex Policy Issues Remain
  • 14. The World Around Us… • Global economic uncertainty – the growing "middle class" • Currencies and the US dollar • Market liberalization/trade agreements • Biofuels production and policies • Energy and agricultural input prices • Regulatory climate • Biotechnology developments • Weather – climate change • Politics and policy
  • 15. Post-Election Results – A Recap… President Obama Re-elected Urban O (70%) – R  62.1 mil. (51.4%) popular votes (28%)  332 (61.7%) of electoral votes Suburbs R (50%) – O (48%) Democrats Retain Senate Majority Rural R (60%) – O  Democrats gain 2 seats (38%)  13th Congress: 55 Expected in Democratic Caucus = 53 Democrats + 2 Independents. 45 Republicans. Republicans Retain House Majority  113th Congress: 234-R/201-D  112th Congress (2010 Election): 242-R/193-D  Over 1/3 of House members will be serving their first and/or second term in the 113th Congress
  • 16. So…Not Much Change But, Hopefully, Not A “Status Quo” Legislative and Budget Outcome in the Lame Duck. The 112th Congress: “The Least Productive Body In a Generation” “The 112th Congress is set to enter the Congressional record books as the least productive body in a generation, passing a mere 173 public laws as of last month. That was well below the 906 enacted from January 1947 through December 1948 by the body President Harry S. Truman referred to as the “do-nothing” Congress, and far fewer than even a single session of many prior Congresses.” - Jennifer Steinhauer - New York Times. September 18, 2012 -
  • 17. Will They Ever Rise Above "It"? "There is nothing which I dread so much as a division of the republic into two great parties, each arranged under its leader, and concerting measures in opposition to each other. This, in my humble apprehension, is to be dreaded as the greatest political evil under our Constitution." JOHN ADAMS - 1789
  • 18. Lame Duck Session - Budget and Farm Bill? An exhausting "to do" list • Sequestration • Tax cuts • AMT patch • Unemployment measures • Tax extenders • Debt ceiling • Farm Bill
  • 19. Let's Look at the Unfinished Business… Sequestration cuts – begin Jan. 2, 2013 • $110 bil cut in non-exempt programs for FY 2013 - half from Defense. Bush Tax Cuts - expire Dec. 31, 2012 • Income Tax Rates - increase from 10% - 35% to 15% - 39.6% • Capital Gains Rate - increase from 15% to 20% • Estate Tax - exemption decreases from $5 million to $1 million. Top rate increases from 35% to 55%. (Pre-2001 levels.) • Dividends - increase from 15% for most to top income tax rate • Other expiring provisions: Child tax credit (halved and no longer refundable), Marriage penalty relief, various tax benefits for education, retirement savings, and low-income individuals.
  • 20. Let's Look at the Unfinished Business… Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT) annual patch – expired Dec. 31, 2011 • Exemptions fall – without retroactive 2012 patch, 30 mil. will pay AMT--up from 4 mil. Job / Unemployment Measures - expire Dec. 31, 2012 • Payroll taxes rise from 4.2% to 6.2% on first $110,000 in income • Number of weeks of unemployment benefits reduced Tax Extenders - expired Dec. 31, 2011 U.S. Debt Ceiling - will reach at end of 2012 Farm Bill - a number of provisions ALREADY expired Sep 30, 2012 • Full Farm Bill as Budget Offset for Fiscal Cliff Costs? • If Extension only, how much deficit reduction will be required?
  • 21. What About Spending? • GOP Controls – net gain of 63 seats • New approach in House – Committee chairs have more power – House will go first on most issues – Unlike last time GOP controlled House…GOP leaders in House and Senate work well together • House Agriculture Committee – chaired by Frank Lucas (R-OK) – 23 new members
  • 22. Where Do We Make the Cuts? Federal Budget Net Interest Outlays 12% Medicare - Medicaid • Still few specific plans 24% on reductions to Defense defense, Medicare & 18% Medicaid, social Social Security security – nearly 2/3 of 21% the budget Discretionary and Other Spending Agriculture is 4.5% of $3.6 trill 25% budget ($162 bil) 78% goes to food/nutrition Source: Congressional Budget Office – Aug. 2012 spending ($126 bil)
  • 23. 2012 Farm Bill Status • S. 3240 – Agriculture Reform, Food and Jobs Act of 2012 – Passed Senate June 21, 2012 by 64-35 vote • H.R. 6083 – Federal Agriculture Reform and Risk Management (FARRM) Act – Passed House Ag Committee July 11, 2012 by 35-11 vote
  • 24. A Full Chronology of U.S. Farm Bills • 2008 Food, Conservation • 1973 Agricultural and and Energy Act Consumer Protection Act • 2002 Farm Security and • 1970 Agricultural Act Rural Investment Act • 1965 Food and Agricultural • 1996 Federal Agriculture Act Improvement and Reform • 1956 Agriculture Act Act • 1954 Agriculture Act • 1990 • 1949 Agriculture Act Food, Agriculture, Conserva • 1948 Agriculture Act tion and Trade Act • 1938 Agricultural Adjustment • 1985 Food Security Act Act • 1981 Agriculture and Food • 1933 Agricultural Adjustment Act Act • 1977 Food and Agriculture Act
  • 25. Senate Bill Sets the Tone • Direct, counter-cyclical and ACRE payments eliminated – Average Risk Coverage revenue program created – regional concerns • Tinkering with crop insurance – Conservation compliance and income limits • Consolidation of conservation and rural development programs • Gradual scaling back of CRP acreage – 25 mil acres by 2017 • Reduces SNAP benefits by $4.5 billion TOTAL BUDGET SAVINGS - $24 billion
  • 26. House Committee Offers Different Version • Eliminates direct payments – increases target prices • Cuts nutrition programs more ($16 bil over 10 yrs from $800 bil baseline) • CRP acreage cap reduced to 25 mil acres • No mandatory funding for energy programs • Eliminates unnecessary pesticide permit requirements – opens up regulatory reform debate • Biotech expedited USDA approvals TOTAL BUDGET SAVINGS - $35 billion
  • 27. Two Must-Do's in the Lame Duck Session The 2008 Farm Bill has expired… • Reauthorize the funding for programs that expired on September 30 – If not – they lose baseline funding. Most are trade and conservation programs. • Continue suspensions of permanent law provisions for the 1938 and 1949 acts for dairy and other commodity programs. – If not we are back to acreage allotments and marketing quotes – totally untenable in today's global markets
  • 28. No Consensus on Outcome… • Option #1 – pass a five-year bill during the lame duck – take the budget savings and wrap a Farm Bill into a larger "fiscal cliff" package – only 5 weeks left! – Two issues remain: cuts to nutrition spending (how big?) and can target price supports be maintained in some form • Option #2a - pass a short-term extension during the lame duck – 6 months – 1 year • Option #2b – will need to start over with the new Congress on a multi-year bill – need to pass a new Senate and House version and then conference
  • 29. Other Things to Watch… • The Players – small change of change – but there's always speculation – Lucas/Petersen stay in House and Stabenow in Senate – Rumored challenge of Roberts by Cochran – Villsack to stay? Kent Conrad (ND), Blanche Lincoln (AR) in the wings • Is this the last "Farm Bill"? – Some political leaders view it as a "Food Bill" – Agriculture would have a tough time "going it alone" though
  • 30. Future Policy/Regulatory Challenges to Agriculture – More Diverse and Complex • Regulatory issues – EPA, OSHA, DOL, DOT, FDA • Climate Policy • Energy Policy • Trade – FTAs, China, Cuba • Immigration Reform • Food Safety Policy • Infrastructure Policy • Financial Services Regulation • Anti-trust Review and Oversight • Tax Policy
  • 31. Should We Just Give Up Now?
  • 32. No…Hang On! There's Too Much at Stake!
  • 33. Focus on our long-term competitiveness critical Remember the world around us…big challenges require big solutions • Feeding the world • Human health and nutrition • Natural resource constraints • Public understanding and perceptions The next generation of agricultural leadership is inspiring and up to the task!
  • 34. Early-Stage Investment Opportunities in Food and Agriculture December 5, 2012 34 34 OpenPrairie.com
  • 35. Opening Thoughts… “By 2050, the global population will surpass 9 billion people and agricultural systems will be increasingly challenged by water scarcity, climate change and volatility, raising the risk of production shortfalls” The Economist Conference February 2012 35
  • 36. About Open Prairie Ventures • Midwest-based venture capital firm • Team of entrepreneurs, operators, and investors • Brand with National Recognition • Partnership that values our Midwest roots 36
  • 37. J.M. “Jim” Schultz • 5th Generation Agricultural Entrepreneur • International Farmland Developer • Founder, Open Prairie Ventures • Kellogg MBA, DePaul JD 37
  • 38. Open Prairie Investment Philosophy • Efficient Innovation Model • Proprietary Deal Flow • Global Potential • Platform Technologies with Multi-Channel Distribution • Syndicate Development for Optimal Growth 38
  • 40. Disruptive Agricultural Technologies Mechanization Hybrid Plant GMO Synthetic Seeds Protection Biologicals Fertilizers Chemicals 40
  • 41. Agriculture Drivers • Population • Technology • Globalization 41
  • 42. “100 - 30 - 70 - 32”  Global food demand will increase 100% over the next 30 years;  70% of this increase will be fulfilled with new agriculture related technologies;  Using 1/32nd of the world’s land mass (currently 1/20th). Source: Steinfoeld et al 42
  • 43. Value-Added Food Consumption As the Developing World Becomes More Affluent Food Demand Will Grow Dramatically Germany 375.39 Euros Mongolia 41,985.85 togrogs or $500.07/week or $40.02/week Source: MacroGain Partners, Steinfoeld et al 43
  • 44. Agriculture Today • World Bank puts the food and agriculture sector at 10% of global GDP or $4.8 trillion • World food prices are at all time highs and experts predict they may double again by 2030 • The underlying cause of soaring food prices is the lack of investment in agricultural and food production Source: FAO Food Price Index; www.forbes.com; UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon, June 4, 2008 44
  • 45. Global Population Projections  1999: 6B people  2011: 7B people 6000 2011  2030: 9B people Population (millions) 5000 2030 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Africa Asia Latin Oceania North Europe America America Source: UN Report – World Population to 2030 45
  • 46. The Dilemma Can we feed the world without destroying it? 46
  • 47. Where Will Food Be Produced… Chinese Farmland U.S. Farmland Arable land per capita: .08 Arable land per capita: .53 Source: The World Bank (figures in hectares) 47
  • 48. Global Prospects for Future Food Production 48
  • 49. U.S. Farms – Timeline and Consolidation 49
  • 51. U.S. Target Yield Projections Source: Monsanto’s Yield Targets 3/10 51
  • 52. Midwest Region is Breadbasket of Innovation • Home to World-Class Universities in Agriculture • Vibrant Research Environment • Global Headquarters for Premier Ag Companies 52
  • 53. Ag Productivity Convergence Crop Nutrition Crop Protection Cloud Computing Micronutrition IPM Integrated Precision Precision Decisions Mechanics Agricultural Productivity (DDM) Seed Microfarming Treatment Equipment and Data Convergence Seeds & Cultural Practices Biotechnology 53
  • 54. Keys to Success in Early-Stage Investments  People Strong Management Team  Product Disruptive, Proprietary Technology Scalable and Executable Go-to-Market  Production Strategy  Pricing Value Proposition to End Users  Promotion Multi-Channels of Distribution 54
  • 55. Midwest Value Proposition • Convergence of science, capital, infrastructure and talent  Strong agricultural presence and output  C-level talent and management teams  Thriving deal flow pipeline • Capital efficiency is the Midwest’s competitive advantage to deliver superior venture returns Top Venture Midwest Markets VC Dollars Invested per Company (million) $15.7 $9.8 Average Acquisition Value (million) $134.9 $125.4 Multiple: Acquisition Value / VC Invested 8.6x 12.8x Source: VentureXpert; 2007-2011; Seed, Early, Growth and Later Stage. Top Venture Markets: CA, MA, NY, TX. Midwest: IL, IN, MI, OH, WI 55
  • 56. Case Study for Disruptive Ag Technologies  Industry: Ag Biotechnology Vestaron is developing a new generation of insecticides  Stage: Early (pre-revenue) derived from peptides produced by spiders. These peptides are potent insecticides, yet are environmentally  Market Size: $21 billion benign, making them ideally suited for the environmentally conscious, twenty-first century People Product Production Pricing Promotion • Expert team • Disruptive • Demonstrated • Less use of • Four market with strong technology scale-up from toxic channels advisory board with broad IP bench to pilot insecticides exceeding scale • Increased $20 billion grower flexibility 56
  • 57. Case Study for Disruptive Ag Technologies  Industry: Ag Biotechnology Patented product that uses PPPMs (Pink Pigmented  Stage: Early (pre-revenue) Facultative Methylotrophs) to improve plant health and crop yield.  Market Size: $5 billion People Product Production Pricing Promotion • Highly • Patented • Scalable • Increased • Applicable to qualified team bacterial seed manufacturing yields multiple crops and leaf process • Ease of • Low regulatory inoculant adoption requirements 57
  • 58. Open Prairie “In the Field” Strategy • Agriculture Sector is Expanding Globally • Midwest Region is Epicenter of Agriculture Innovation • Increasing Deal Flow and Exit Opportunities as Global Ag Companies Look to Enhance their Research and Development Pipelines 58
  • 59. “Harvesting Efficient Innovation in The Field” J.M. “Jim” Schultz Managing Partner Jim@OpenPrairie.com Direct: 217.347.1017 Mobile: 217.821.9000 Office: 217.347.1000 OpenPrairie.com 59