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Wednesday, November 23, 2011
                                               Marginal Analysis
                                             Thinking at the Margin


From an economist's perspective, making choices            The hourly wage represents what I earn for
involves making decisions 'at the margin' - that is,       working an extra hour - it is the marginal gain or
making decisions based on small changes in                 the marginal benefit.
resources:

       How should I spend the next hour?                   The value of time is essentially an opportunity
                                                           cost - it is how much I value having that hour off.
       How should I spend the next dollar?
                                                           In this example it represents a marginal cost -
On the surface, this seems like a strange way of           what it costs me by working an additional hour.
considering the choices made by people and firms.          The increase in marginal costs is a common
It is rare that someone would consciously ask              phenomenon; I do not mind working a few hours
themselves - 'How will I spend dollar number
                                                           since there are 24 hours in a day. I still have
24,387?', 'How will I spend dollar number
24,388?'. Treating the problem in this matter does         plenty of time to do other things. However, as I
have some distinct advantages:                             start to work more hours it reduces the number of
                                                           hours I have for other activities. I have to start
     Doing so leads to the optimal decisions               giving up more and more valuable opportunities to
     being made, subject to preferences,
                                                           work those extra hours.
     resources and informational constraints.
     It makes the problem less messy from an
     analytic point of view, as we are not trying          It is clear that I should work the first hour, as I
     to analyze a million decisions at once.               gain $10 in marginal benefits and lose only $2 in
                                                           marginal costs, for a net gain of $8.
     While this does not exactly mimic conscious
     decision making processes, it does provide
     results similar to the decisions people               By the same logic I should work the second and
     actually make. That is, people may not think
                                                           third hours as well. I will want to work until
     using this method, but the decisions they
     make are as if they do.                               which time the marginal cost exceeds the marginal
                                                           benefit. I will want to work the 10th hour as I
Marginal Analysis - An Example                             receive a net benefit of #3 (marginal benefit of
                                                           $15, marginal cost of $12). However, I will not
Consider the decision on how many hours to
                                                           want to work the 11th hour, as the marginal cost
work, as given by the following chart:
                                                           ($18) exceeds the marginal benefit ($15) by three
Hour Hourly Wage              Value     of     Time        dollars.
Hour 1    $10                         $2
Hour 2    $10                         $2                   Thus marginal analysis suggests that rational
Hour 3   $10                          $3                   maximizing behavior is to work for 10 hours.
Hour 4   $10                          $3
Hour 5   $10                          $4
Hour 6   $10                          $5
Hour 7   $10                          $6
Hour 8   $10                          $8
Hour 9   $15                          $9
Hour 10  $15                          $12
Hour 11  $15                          $18
Hour 12  $15                          $20

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Marginal analysis, Economics

  • 1. Wednesday, November 23, 2011 Marginal Analysis Thinking at the Margin From an economist's perspective, making choices The hourly wage represents what I earn for involves making decisions 'at the margin' - that is, working an extra hour - it is the marginal gain or making decisions based on small changes in the marginal benefit. resources: How should I spend the next hour? The value of time is essentially an opportunity cost - it is how much I value having that hour off. How should I spend the next dollar? In this example it represents a marginal cost - On the surface, this seems like a strange way of what it costs me by working an additional hour. considering the choices made by people and firms. The increase in marginal costs is a common It is rare that someone would consciously ask phenomenon; I do not mind working a few hours themselves - 'How will I spend dollar number since there are 24 hours in a day. I still have 24,387?', 'How will I spend dollar number 24,388?'. Treating the problem in this matter does plenty of time to do other things. However, as I have some distinct advantages: start to work more hours it reduces the number of hours I have for other activities. I have to start Doing so leads to the optimal decisions giving up more and more valuable opportunities to being made, subject to preferences, work those extra hours. resources and informational constraints. It makes the problem less messy from an analytic point of view, as we are not trying It is clear that I should work the first hour, as I to analyze a million decisions at once. gain $10 in marginal benefits and lose only $2 in marginal costs, for a net gain of $8. While this does not exactly mimic conscious decision making processes, it does provide results similar to the decisions people By the same logic I should work the second and actually make. That is, people may not think third hours as well. I will want to work until using this method, but the decisions they make are as if they do. which time the marginal cost exceeds the marginal benefit. I will want to work the 10th hour as I Marginal Analysis - An Example receive a net benefit of #3 (marginal benefit of $15, marginal cost of $12). However, I will not Consider the decision on how many hours to want to work the 11th hour, as the marginal cost work, as given by the following chart: ($18) exceeds the marginal benefit ($15) by three Hour Hourly Wage Value of Time dollars. Hour 1 $10 $2 Hour 2 $10 $2 Thus marginal analysis suggests that rational Hour 3 $10 $3 maximizing behavior is to work for 10 hours. Hour 4 $10 $3 Hour 5 $10 $4 Hour 6 $10 $5 Hour 7 $10 $6 Hour 8 $10 $8 Hour 9 $15 $9 Hour 10 $15 $12 Hour 11 $15 $18 Hour 12 $15 $20