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Introducing PLANiTULSA, a presentation by John Fregonese

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PLANiTULSA (a city-wide program to develop a new Comprehensive Plan for Tulsa) promises a new vision for how we want Tulsa to grow and develop. Things have changed since our current plan was written in 1978!

A public meeting to introduce this historic project and John Fregonese, the contracted planner/consultant, was held on May 13, 2008 at the Central Community Center.

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Introducing PLANiTULSA, a presentation by John Fregonese

  1. 1. PLANiTULSA: Tulsa Comprehensive Plan Update Implementing the Community’s Vision
  2. 3. People Turning 65 Annually 1996-2025 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Y e a r 0 5 0 0 1 , 0 0 0 1 , 5 0 0 2 , 0 0 0 Thousands People Turning 65 in Year
  3. 4. Growth in Households without Kids Household Type Share With Children 12% Without Children 88% Single-Person 34% Source : Adapted and extrapolated by Chris Nelson from Martha Farnsworth Riche, How Changes in the Nation's Age and Household Structure Will Reshape Housing Demand in the 21st Century , HUD (2003).
  4. 5. Approaching labor shortages Source: TIP Strategies; US Bureau Labor Statistics; US Census Bureau
  5. 6. quality of place knowledge More Jobs Buildings Land 2010 2000 1990 1970 1980 evolutionary scale evolution of ED goals Source: TIP Strategies
  6. 8. What We Can Expect? Oil costs will continue to rise
  7. 9. What About Climate Change?
  8. 10. The future will not be like the past, nor the present
  9. 11. Demographic Shifts <ul><li>Growth concentrated in 55+ ages and 15-34 – Different housing demand </li></ul><ul><li>These shifts will result in more multi family and mixed use growth. </li></ul>
  10. 12. What We Can Expect? Oil costs will continue to rise Concern for climate change will lead to scrutiny of carbon emissions
  11. 13. Trends <ul><ul><li>Strong forces will put a premium on: </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Energy Efficient, sustainable cities </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Shorter Trips </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Effective Transit </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Great Livability </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>More Options for Travel, Housing and Work </li></ul></ul></ul>
  12. 14. The Emerging American Vision
  13. 15. Many cities will compete to be great places to live & work Open Spaces and Parks Amenities near work
  14. 16. Tulsa Population Trends
  15. 17. Population – City of Tulsa
  16. 18. Where People Work
  17. 19. Travel Time to Work
  18. 20. Zoning
  19. 22. 3D - TAZs Downtown North
  20. 23. Households 2000 North
  21. 24. Households 2030 North
  22. 25. Households Delta North
  23. 26. Employment 2000 North
  24. 27. Employment 2030 North
  25. 28. Employment Delta North
  26. 29. Traditional Planning Approach <ul><li>D ecide – through analysis and research </li></ul><ul><li>E ducate – the public about the solution </li></ul><ul><li>A nnounce – the plan </li></ul><ul><li>D efend – the plan </li></ul>
  27. 30. Traditional Planning Approach <ul><li>D </li></ul><ul><li>E </li></ul><ul><li>A </li></ul><ul><li>D </li></ul>
  28. 31. Improved Process <ul><li>PLAN </li></ul><ul><li>FUND </li></ul><ul><li>BUILD </li></ul>
  29. 32. Improved Process <ul><li>VALUES (What do people want?) </li></ul><ul><li>VISION (How will our City provide it?) </li></ul><ul><li> STRATEGY (How do we implement?) </li></ul><ul><li>PLAN </li></ul><ul><li>FUND </li></ul><ul><li>BUILD </li></ul>
  30. 33. Team Organization Chart
  31. 34. Information Gathering and Kick-off Meeting Get to know the city through the eyes of Tulsa residents. <ul><li>Land Use: Visual analysis of land use types </li></ul><ul><li>Housing: Housing market analysis </li></ul><ul><li>Economic Assessment </li></ul>
  32. 35. Polling and Stakeholder Interviews <ul><li>50 In Depth Interviews </li></ul><ul><li>1,000 Phone Interviews </li></ul><ul><li>1,000 Web Based Poll </li></ul><ul><li>30 “Person on the Street” </li></ul>
  33. 36. Working with Staff and Stakeholders <ul><li>Advisory Committee </li></ul>
  34. 37. Community Workshops 3 2
  35. 38. Two Scales – City and Neighborhood Neighborhood City
  36. 39. Workshop Maps
  37. 40. Each table’s plan is analyzed and recorded… … .and all notes and comments are recorded
  38. 41. Traditional Approach <ul><li>The Present </li></ul>The Future
  39. 42. Scenario Approach Plausible stories about the future
  40. 43. Modeling the Scenarios Transportation Analysis Roadway Impact Ridership Market Constraints Development Program Commercial Demand Housing Needs Land Use Scenario Development Sustainability Urban Design
  41. 44. Existing Conditions
  42. 45. Scenario A
  43. 46. Scenario D
  44. 50. Indicators for Scenario Evaluation
  45. 51. Infrastructure Costs (Louisiana Speaks) Total Infrastructure Cost (2005-2050) Regional Highway Infrastructure (local roads, storm water, electrical) Regional Transit $58.2B $42B $34B Billions of 2007 Dollars $49 $31 $19 $9 $5 $2 $6 $13 $0.2 $- $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 Option A Option B Option C
  46. 52. Fiscal Model Results City Sales Tax Revenue Increase - 2000 Dollars
  47. 53. Broad Outreach and Multiple Opportunities for Response
  48. 54. What We’ve Learned <ul><li>Vision </li></ul><ul><li>Without action </li></ul><ul><li>Is Hallucination </li></ul>
  49. 55. Lessons from Scenarios and Outreach Used to Develop Plan and Products <ul><li>Components </li></ul><ul><li>Vision </li></ul><ul><li>Comprehensive Plan </li></ul><ul><li>Development Strategies </li></ul><ul><li>Implementation and Financial Strategy </li></ul>
  50. 56. Implementation Plan & Funding Strategies
  51. 57. Monitoring System 72
  52. 58. Upcoming Events <ul><li>June - Community Values </li></ul><ul><li>September - City Wide Workshops </li></ul><ul><li>January - Community Workshops </li></ul><ul><li>April - Scenarios </li></ul><ul><li>June - Vision </li></ul><ul><li>September – Draft Plan & Implementation </li></ul><ul><li>Adoption Hearings – October - December </li></ul>
  53. 59. Thank You

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