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Dan Reuter, Atlanta Regional Commission


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"PLAN 2040 Regional Assessment Findings" was presented by Dan Reuter of the Atlanta Regional Commission at the Bringing Workers Home regional forum in Atlanta, June 2010, as part of the growing cost of place panel

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Dan Reuter, Atlanta Regional Commission

  1. 1. PLAN 2040 Regional Assessment Findings NHC and NAR June 14, 2010
  2. 2. ARC Roles and Statutory Authority <ul><li>Regional Commission under Georgia Planning Act and MAPDC Laws </li></ul><ul><li>Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) under Federal Transportation Law </li></ul><ul><li>Metro North Georgia Water Planning District (MNGWPD) </li></ul><ul><li>7 County Workforce Board </li></ul><ul><li>Area Agency on Aging (AAA) </li></ul>
  3. 4. What is PLAN 2040? <ul><li>Metro Atlanta’s plan to accommodate economic and population growth over the next 30 years. </li></ul><ul><li>Federally required long-range Regional Transportation Plan </li></ul><ul><li>State required long-term Regional Agenda and short-term Regional Work Program </li></ul>
  4. 5. Demographics - Headlines <ul><li>Unprecedented growth in Atlanta region this past decade </li></ul><ul><li>Dynamic shifts in the age, race and ethnic composition of the region </li></ul><ul><li>Creates challenges for all sectors (public, private and civic) </li></ul>
  5. 6. Metro Atlanta vs. other Boomtowns
  6. 7. Age Pyramid - 2040 Generation X : Age 73 to 86 Generation Y: Age 72-58 Generation Z: Age 57 to 40 Generation AB: Age 10 to 24 Generation AA: Age 25 to 39 Generation AC: Age 0 to 9
  7. 8. PLAN 2040 anticipates dynamic shifts in race/ethnicity
  8. 10. Jobs and Housing - Headlines <ul><li>Significant job contraction in the region </li></ul><ul><li>Income not keeping up with price increases </li></ul><ul><li>Long-term employment growth forecasted </li></ul><ul><li>Foreclosure crisis continues </li></ul>
  9. 11. Significant period of job contraction Jobs Peak: Nov 2007 from then to August 2009 – 233,819 JOBS
  10. 12. Average wages not keeping up
  11. 13. Building permit slowdown… Percent Change 2008 – 2009 (through June)
  12. 14. Foreclosures remain a major issue throughout region
  13. 17. Transportation- Headlines <ul><li>Demand for travel expected to increase greatly </li></ul><ul><li>Much of the region has limited travel options </li></ul><ul><li>Region’s limited transit options are in jeopardy </li></ul><ul><li>Our ability to fund new projects is tied to revenue streams that are decreasing, while demand increases </li></ul>
  14. 18. Very few households have high degree of job-access 2010 2040 Blue = Largest concentrations of households with a degree of access to jobs Green = Limited employment options, workers are ‘exported’ to other areas
  15. 19. Transportation costs greatest in suburbs.
  16. 20. Urban expansion without urban services
  17. 21. Falling behind our peers/competitors on transit Charlotte (2007) LYNX Blue Line 9.6 miles, $462 million Dallas Expansion (2009-2013) 43 miles, $2.9 billion Denver (2007) 122 miles, $4.7 billion
  18. 22. Transit Oriented Development (TOD) is Key. Brookings Institute 2007 report 29 largest metro areas in the U.S. in terms of the number of transit enabled, walkable urban locations. The report ranked Atlanta 14th with a total of four: Midtown, Atlantic Station, Decatur and Buckhead. Washington, D.C. which was ranked #1 and has twenty (20) locations. MARTA rail station areas must become walkable, urban centers. ARC, Livable Communities Coalition and MARTA have begun seeking greater support for local governments.
  19. 23. <ul><li>Check out the other resource material on the PLAN 2040 website at . </li></ul><ul><li>If you have a question, email or call us at [email_address] or 404.463.3272. </li></ul>Want more information? Or go to the PLAN 2040 online public meeting…..
  20. 24. PLAN 2040 Regional Assessment Findings NHC and NAR June 14, 2010