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Metal Fabrication- Analysis
May 2016 – North America
By: Paul Young, CPA, CGA
• This presentation is on perspective when it comes to Metal
Fabrication
Paul Young - Presenter
Bio
• CPA/CGA
• 25 years of experience in Academia, Industry and Financial solutions
• Youtube Channel -
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAArky1bAXPSuV2NLtUnyLg
Agenda
• Steel Industry
• Metal Processing Centers
• Commodity Prices
• Oil Rigs
• Automotive
• Class 8 Truck Sales
• AG Equipment
• Power Generation
• Infrastructure
• Issues facing metal fabrication
• Government Policies
Steel Industry
Metal Processing Centers
Commodity Prices
Key Sector – Oil Rigs
The rig count–both internationally
and domestically here in the U.S.–
continues its historic slide. Last
Friday Baker Hughes announced the
average rig count numbers for April.
Rigs operating outside the U.S. slide
another 39, from 985 in March to
946 in April. In the U.S., the count
slide 41 from 478 in March to 437 in
April. In the Marcellus/Utica, the
count was down another 2–both rigs
lost came in Pennsylvania, which
now has the lowest count in
decades: just 16 rigs operating in the
state. Ohio and West Virginia held
constant month over month with 11
rigs operating in the Buckeye State
and 12 rigs operating in the
Mountain State. Here’s the sad news
of the continuing decline in rig
counts
Automotive Production
Class 8 Truck Sales
April Heavy truck sales dropped 18.9 percent from the same month last year and 17 percent from the
previous month, WardsAuto reported. Year-to-date, sales through April fell 10.3 percent from the first four
months of 2015
Agriculture Equipment
Power Generation
Infrastructure Spending Canada
- Build Canada Fund
- Gas Tax Fund
- New Commitments from Federal
Government
- Provinces spending on Transit
- Municipalities spending on bridges/Roads
United States
- The USA in particular is seeing a great deal of
interest, moving it up the index from 11th in
2012 to 8th in 2016. This rise is driven by its
recently revived solid economic position, low risk
environment and strong financial sector. Given
the massive opportunities in the country, there is
a lot for investors to get excited about. In the
transport sector alone the investment gap is
estimated at around $86.5bn per annum.
Issues facing Metal Fabrication
• The research comes at a time of increasing anti-China rhetoric in US
politics, and ahead of three politically sensitive anti-dumping cases this
summer against Chinese steel imports that could result in the US imposing
punitive duties of as much as 500 per cent. GDP Growth forecasted 3.1%.
Countries like China, Brazil and others are struggling with growth
• Retail sales growth 1.5 % to 2.3% range
• Government strapped for cash (infrastructure)
• Defense spending curtail (Canada and USA)
• Skills Trades Gaps (Laser Welding, Robotics, Welders, Engineers, Advance
Material, 3-D Printing, etc)
Government Policies – Metal Fabrication
• Canada
• Automotive
• Aerospace
• Food
• Mining
• Forestry
• United States
• Innovation Funds for various manufacturing
Sources
• Contact: paul_young_cga@Hotmail.com
• Other links
• Canadian Manufacturing – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ea-kch0s94E
• Retail Sales - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BzBFIxFy5Fo
• Profitability - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lL0k153FQlI
• Cultivating Innovation - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BEIP8kV5IWg
• How to grow an economy - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lzV8L1tU6k0
• Government Policy - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9mDGerSGIg0
• Infrastructure - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RDI5oMt1SIM

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Metal fabrication Analysis - North America

  • 1. Metal Fabrication- Analysis May 2016 – North America By: Paul Young, CPA, CGA
  • 2. • This presentation is on perspective when it comes to Metal Fabrication
  • 3. Paul Young - Presenter Bio • CPA/CGA • 25 years of experience in Academia, Industry and Financial solutions • Youtube Channel - https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAArky1bAXPSuV2NLtUnyLg
  • 4. Agenda • Steel Industry • Metal Processing Centers • Commodity Prices • Oil Rigs • Automotive • Class 8 Truck Sales • AG Equipment • Power Generation • Infrastructure • Issues facing metal fabrication • Government Policies
  • 8. Key Sector – Oil Rigs The rig count–both internationally and domestically here in the U.S.– continues its historic slide. Last Friday Baker Hughes announced the average rig count numbers for April. Rigs operating outside the U.S. slide another 39, from 985 in March to 946 in April. In the U.S., the count slide 41 from 478 in March to 437 in April. In the Marcellus/Utica, the count was down another 2–both rigs lost came in Pennsylvania, which now has the lowest count in decades: just 16 rigs operating in the state. Ohio and West Virginia held constant month over month with 11 rigs operating in the Buckeye State and 12 rigs operating in the Mountain State. Here’s the sad news of the continuing decline in rig counts
  • 10. Class 8 Truck Sales April Heavy truck sales dropped 18.9 percent from the same month last year and 17 percent from the previous month, WardsAuto reported. Year-to-date, sales through April fell 10.3 percent from the first four months of 2015
  • 13. Infrastructure Spending Canada - Build Canada Fund - Gas Tax Fund - New Commitments from Federal Government - Provinces spending on Transit - Municipalities spending on bridges/Roads United States - The USA in particular is seeing a great deal of interest, moving it up the index from 11th in 2012 to 8th in 2016. This rise is driven by its recently revived solid economic position, low risk environment and strong financial sector. Given the massive opportunities in the country, there is a lot for investors to get excited about. In the transport sector alone the investment gap is estimated at around $86.5bn per annum.
  • 14. Issues facing Metal Fabrication • The research comes at a time of increasing anti-China rhetoric in US politics, and ahead of three politically sensitive anti-dumping cases this summer against Chinese steel imports that could result in the US imposing punitive duties of as much as 500 per cent. GDP Growth forecasted 3.1%. Countries like China, Brazil and others are struggling with growth • Retail sales growth 1.5 % to 2.3% range • Government strapped for cash (infrastructure) • Defense spending curtail (Canada and USA) • Skills Trades Gaps (Laser Welding, Robotics, Welders, Engineers, Advance Material, 3-D Printing, etc)
  • 15. Government Policies – Metal Fabrication • Canada • Automotive • Aerospace • Food • Mining • Forestry • United States • Innovation Funds for various manufacturing
  • 16. Sources • Contact: paul_young_cga@Hotmail.com • Other links • Canadian Manufacturing – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ea-kch0s94E • Retail Sales - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BzBFIxFy5Fo • Profitability - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lL0k153FQlI • Cultivating Innovation - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BEIP8kV5IWg • How to grow an economy - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lzV8L1tU6k0 • Government Policy - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9mDGerSGIg0 • Infrastructure - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RDI5oMt1SIM

Editor's Notes

  1. 1. Source: - World Steel Industry
  2. 1. Source - http://americanmachinist.com/print/news/rebound-service-centers-steel-
  3. 1. Source: BMO
  4. Oil Rigs - http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/baker-hughes-announces-april-2016-rig-counts-300264200.html http://marcellusdrilling.com/2016/05/april-2016-rig-counts-continue-to-slide-in-world-us-marcutica/
  5. 1. Scotia Bank
  6. 1. The Trucker
  7. Equipment - https://www.aem.org/market-data/statistics/us-ag-tractor-and-combine-reports/
  8. 1. http://www.iea.org/media/statistics/surveys/electricity/mes.pdf
  9. 1. https://www.arcadis.com/media/3/7/E/%7B37E96DF6-82D5-45A6-87D8-5427637E736D%7DAG1015_GIII%202016_ONLINE%20FINAL_SINGLE%20PAGES.pdf
  10. https://next.ft.com/content/619df950-1ec4-11e6-b286-cddde55ca122 https://www.arcadis.com/media/3/7/E/%7B37E96DF6-82D5-45A6-87D8-5427637E736D%7DAG1015_GIII%202016_ONLINE%20FINAL_SINGLE%20PAGES.pdf
  11. http://www.mentorworks.ca/blog/government-funding/2016-04-automotive-innovation-fund-research-and-development-funding-overview/ http://www.thefabricator.com/article/shopmanagement/tennessee-metal-manufacturer-ramps-up-research