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Merchandise Trade and
Foreign Affairs – Canada
Paul Young CPA CGA
June 27, 2019
Paul Young - Bio
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4 and MS2)
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Supply Chain Management
Contact information:
Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
Agenda
Trade by Period
Trade by Sector
Trade by Country
Issues facing Trade
Blog Trade
Solutions
Introductory
Source – Stats Canada
Following a 4.4% gain in March, total exports were up 1.3% to $50.7 billion in April, with 6 of 11 product sections posting
increases. Higher exports of metal and non-metallic mineral products were partially offset by lower exports of motor
vehicles and parts. Excluding energy products, exports rose 1.8%.
Exports of metal and non-metallic mineral products were up 15.0% in April to $5.7 billion. Increased purchases of gold
within the banking sector in April contributed to higher Canadian exports to Hong Kong and the United Kingdom. This
coincides with a recent increase in global demand for gold.
Exports of farm, fishing and intermediate food products (+5.1%) also contributed to the increase, mainly on higher
exports of wheat (+21.7%). The increase was partially offset by lower exports of canola (-14.7%), for which there were no
shipments to China in April. For the year 2018, 47.5% of Canadian exports of canola were destined for that country.
Partially offsetting the overall increase in April were lower exports of motor vehicles and parts (-4.6%), mostly on
decreased exports of passenger cars and light trucks. There were atypical shutdowns in April at some Canadian
assembly plants, which led to a decrease in imports of engines and parts (-3.9%), as well as to a decline in light vehicle
exports (-6.6%).
Exports of passenger cars and light trucks, and imports of motor vehicle engines and parts
Despite a modest decrease in exports of energy products (-0.5%) in April, there were large fluctuations in some
categories within this section. Exports of crude oil rose 11.7% in April to $7.8 billion, on higher volumes and higher
prices. This increase was largely offset by a decrease in exports of natural gas (-45.3%), mainly due to lower prices. This
follows harsh weather conditions in the United States, as well as supply constraints that contributed to a 31.8% rise in
natural gas prices from January to March.
Trade by
Period
Source -
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/
daily-
quotidien/190606/dq190606a-
eng.htm
Trade by Sector
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/190509/dq190509a-eng.htm
Trade by Country
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/190606/dq190606a-eng.htm
Issues
facing
Trade
Softwood Lumber dispute - https://www.columbiavalleypioneer.com/opinion/guest-column-john-horgan-
has-gone-missing-in-u-s-lumber-dispute/
Failure to get pipelines built - https://business.financialpost.com/commodities/energy/a-self-inflicted-wound-
pipeline-delays-to-cost-canadian-economy-15-6b-in-2018-says-scotiabank
Lack of Port Capacity - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-port-analysis-and-commentary-
supply-chain-management
Canola oil dispute with China - https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/canola-china-export-1.5043182
USCMA has not been ratified - https://business.financialpost.com/news/economy/not-ratifying-nafta-will-be-
a-catastrophe-u-s-trade-czar-says-as-u-s-works-to-lift-metals-tariffs
Canada has decline in terms of its competitiveness - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/is-canada-
losing-its-business-competitiveness-february-2019
C69 / Anti-Resources legislation - https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/rickford-why-bill-c69-is-a-non-
starter-for-Ontario. Canada needs to be more competitive when it comes its’ regulatory process.
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/natural-resources-sector-policy-analysis-canada-january-2019
Blog –
Trade
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-as-
china-and-us-inch-toward-a-trade-deal-canada-gets-
a-warning-of/?fbclid=IwAR0ToabpdRhDMQuJ-
HRNkKYH2t4AoMPTygCPlObM2XynxO8dEGYqHjG3-3k
Canada was warned by many countries to stop
pushing their social agenda. Countries have decided
to make their own deals as such are leaving Canada
behind when it comes to trade -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/important-
of-exports-canada-global-trade
Blog – Trade
• https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/canada-
still-enjoys-old-nafta-benefits-as-new-
deal-awaits-ratification-freeland-
1.4372572#_gus&_gucid=&_gup=twitter&_
gsc=uLusqgJ
•
• Hey Ms. Freeland, you have been in power
nearly four years as such all I see are
failures to get tariffs remove, no new
major trade deals (CETA and TPP where
Harper deals), no money to expand ports,
softwood lumber dispute still unresolved,
no new pipelines, etc.
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/i
mportant-of-exports-canada-global-trade
Blog – Trade
• https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/steel-
aluminum-tariffs-whats-next-von-scheel-
1.5142253?cmp=rss
• Now what?
• Fixing the softwood lumber as well as
other trade issues so exports can expand
to new markets -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/
2019-election-global-trade-and-
protectionism-canada-may-2019
• Focusing on policies that fixed the
competitive issues facing business -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/
business-competitivesness-canada-march-
2019
Trade / Foreign Relations
Canada is at least losing $15B in
exports due to many factors
including poor foreign relations
with countries
Trade and Foreign Affairs Issues
• https://globalnews.ca/news/5431727/china-canada-ban-meat-exports/
• @justintrudeau has made a disaster of foreign policies as such exports are now
being hammered by his poor leadership:
• Canola - https://globalnews.ca/news/5108628/canada-canola-market-china-export-block/
(2.7B loss)
• Pork - https://globalnews.ca/news/5431727/china-canada-ban-meat-exports/ ($373M
loss)
• Beef - https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/china-pork-beef-ban-1.5190574 ($63M loss)
• Oil / India - https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/India-Boosts-US-Oil-
Imports-To-Offset-Dwindling-Iran-Supply.html (Canada is missing out on exports to India)
• Saudi Arabia (Wheat) https://www.620ckrm.com/2018/08/08/188904/
• Trudeau continues to pander for votes over doing what is best for Canada in
terms of trade. The next government will need years to fix the mess left by
Trudeau.
What’s
next?
Parliament needs to ratified trade deals like USMCA, TPP and
other trade deals - https://openparliament.ca/bills/42-1/C-
79/?page=3
Government needs to stop their plans for carbon taxation.
Companies already pay pollution taxes -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/the-art-of-taxing-the-
environment-pollution-tax
Government needs to review its small business tax and regulation
policies - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/small-
business-under-attack-by-government-canada
Government needs to continue to push trade with emerging
markets like India, Africa, etc.

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2019 Election| Foreign Affairs and Trade| Canada| June 2019

  • 1. Merchandise Trade and Foreign Affairs – Canada Paul Young CPA CGA June 27, 2019
  • 2. Paul Young - Bio • CPA, CGA • Academia (PF1, FA4 and MS2) • SME – Risk Management • SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting • SME – Public Policy • SME – Emerging Technology • SME – Financial Solutions • SME – Business Process Change • SME – Supply Chain Management Contact information: Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
  • 3. Agenda Trade by Period Trade by Sector Trade by Country Issues facing Trade Blog Trade Solutions
  • 4. Introductory Source – Stats Canada Following a 4.4% gain in March, total exports were up 1.3% to $50.7 billion in April, with 6 of 11 product sections posting increases. Higher exports of metal and non-metallic mineral products were partially offset by lower exports of motor vehicles and parts. Excluding energy products, exports rose 1.8%. Exports of metal and non-metallic mineral products were up 15.0% in April to $5.7 billion. Increased purchases of gold within the banking sector in April contributed to higher Canadian exports to Hong Kong and the United Kingdom. This coincides with a recent increase in global demand for gold. Exports of farm, fishing and intermediate food products (+5.1%) also contributed to the increase, mainly on higher exports of wheat (+21.7%). The increase was partially offset by lower exports of canola (-14.7%), for which there were no shipments to China in April. For the year 2018, 47.5% of Canadian exports of canola were destined for that country. Partially offsetting the overall increase in April were lower exports of motor vehicles and parts (-4.6%), mostly on decreased exports of passenger cars and light trucks. There were atypical shutdowns in April at some Canadian assembly plants, which led to a decrease in imports of engines and parts (-3.9%), as well as to a decline in light vehicle exports (-6.6%). Exports of passenger cars and light trucks, and imports of motor vehicle engines and parts Despite a modest decrease in exports of energy products (-0.5%) in April, there were large fluctuations in some categories within this section. Exports of crude oil rose 11.7% in April to $7.8 billion, on higher volumes and higher prices. This increase was largely offset by a decrease in exports of natural gas (-45.3%), mainly due to lower prices. This follows harsh weather conditions in the United States, as well as supply constraints that contributed to a 31.8% rise in natural gas prices from January to March.
  • 6. Trade by Sector Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/190509/dq190509a-eng.htm
  • 7. Trade by Country Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/190606/dq190606a-eng.htm
  • 8. Issues facing Trade Softwood Lumber dispute - https://www.columbiavalleypioneer.com/opinion/guest-column-john-horgan- has-gone-missing-in-u-s-lumber-dispute/ Failure to get pipelines built - https://business.financialpost.com/commodities/energy/a-self-inflicted-wound- pipeline-delays-to-cost-canadian-economy-15-6b-in-2018-says-scotiabank Lack of Port Capacity - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-port-analysis-and-commentary- supply-chain-management Canola oil dispute with China - https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/canola-china-export-1.5043182 USCMA has not been ratified - https://business.financialpost.com/news/economy/not-ratifying-nafta-will-be- a-catastrophe-u-s-trade-czar-says-as-u-s-works-to-lift-metals-tariffs Canada has decline in terms of its competitiveness - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/is-canada- losing-its-business-competitiveness-february-2019 C69 / Anti-Resources legislation - https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/rickford-why-bill-c69-is-a-non- starter-for-Ontario. Canada needs to be more competitive when it comes its’ regulatory process. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/natural-resources-sector-policy-analysis-canada-january-2019
  • 9. Blog – Trade https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-as- china-and-us-inch-toward-a-trade-deal-canada-gets- a-warning-of/?fbclid=IwAR0ToabpdRhDMQuJ- HRNkKYH2t4AoMPTygCPlObM2XynxO8dEGYqHjG3-3k Canada was warned by many countries to stop pushing their social agenda. Countries have decided to make their own deals as such are leaving Canada behind when it comes to trade - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/important- of-exports-canada-global-trade
  • 10. Blog – Trade • https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/canada- still-enjoys-old-nafta-benefits-as-new- deal-awaits-ratification-freeland- 1.4372572#_gus&_gucid=&_gup=twitter&_ gsc=uLusqgJ • • Hey Ms. Freeland, you have been in power nearly four years as such all I see are failures to get tariffs remove, no new major trade deals (CETA and TPP where Harper deals), no money to expand ports, softwood lumber dispute still unresolved, no new pipelines, etc. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/i mportant-of-exports-canada-global-trade
  • 11. Blog – Trade • https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/steel- aluminum-tariffs-whats-next-von-scheel- 1.5142253?cmp=rss • Now what? • Fixing the softwood lumber as well as other trade issues so exports can expand to new markets - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/ 2019-election-global-trade-and- protectionism-canada-may-2019 • Focusing on policies that fixed the competitive issues facing business - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/ business-competitivesness-canada-march- 2019
  • 12. Trade / Foreign Relations Canada is at least losing $15B in exports due to many factors including poor foreign relations with countries
  • 13. Trade and Foreign Affairs Issues • https://globalnews.ca/news/5431727/china-canada-ban-meat-exports/ • @justintrudeau has made a disaster of foreign policies as such exports are now being hammered by his poor leadership: • Canola - https://globalnews.ca/news/5108628/canada-canola-market-china-export-block/ (2.7B loss) • Pork - https://globalnews.ca/news/5431727/china-canada-ban-meat-exports/ ($373M loss) • Beef - https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/china-pork-beef-ban-1.5190574 ($63M loss) • Oil / India - https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/India-Boosts-US-Oil- Imports-To-Offset-Dwindling-Iran-Supply.html (Canada is missing out on exports to India) • Saudi Arabia (Wheat) https://www.620ckrm.com/2018/08/08/188904/ • Trudeau continues to pander for votes over doing what is best for Canada in terms of trade. The next government will need years to fix the mess left by Trudeau.
  • 14. What’s next? Parliament needs to ratified trade deals like USMCA, TPP and other trade deals - https://openparliament.ca/bills/42-1/C- 79/?page=3 Government needs to stop their plans for carbon taxation. Companies already pay pollution taxes - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/the-art-of-taxing-the- environment-pollution-tax Government needs to review its small business tax and regulation policies - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/small- business-under-attack-by-government-canada Government needs to continue to push trade with emerging markets like India, Africa, etc.