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Lecture L05
INNOVATION
“I	
  have	
  not	
  failed.	
  I've	
  just	
  found	
  10,000	
  

ways	
  that	
  won't	
  work.”	
  

–	
  Thomas	
  Edison
How does innovation happen?
The Brilliant Scientist working in his lab
Tomas Edison
Menlo Park	
  
1876-1881
Nikola Tesla

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nikola_Tesla
Innovation
Something newly introduced, such as a new method or device
Innovation
Innovation
Sustaining	
  
	
   	
   	
   Evolutionary	
  
	
   	
   	
   Revolutionary	
  

Disruptive
Innovation
	
   Sustaining	
  Technology	
  –	
  Evolutionary	
  	
  
!

	
   An	
  innovation	
  that	
  improves	
  a	
  
product	
  in	
  an	
  existing	
  market	
  in	
  ways	
  
that	
  customers	
  are	
  expecting	
  
!

	
   Red	
  Oceans	
   -­‐	
  commodities	
   	
  
Innovation
	
   Sustaining	
  Technology	
  –	
  Revolutionary	
  
!

	
  An	
  innovation	
  that	
  creates	
  a	
  new	
  market	
  
by	
  allowing	
  customers	
  to	
  solve	
  a	
  problem	
  
in	
  a	
  radically	
  new	
  way	
  
!

	
   May	
  not	
  be	
  affordable	
  enough	
  to	
  be	
  
disruptive	
  
Innovation
	
   Disruptive	
  Technology	
  	
  
!

	
   An	
  innovation	
  that	
  creates	
  a	
  new	
  (an	
  
unexpected)	
  market	
  by	
  applying	
  a	
  
different	
  set	
  of	
  values.	
  
!

	
   Affordable	
  so	
  the	
  impact	
  is	
  major	
  
	
  
Ford	
  Model	
  T
How does innovation	
  r eally	
  happen?
"We take the ideas we've
inherited or stumbled across,
and we jigger them
together into some new
shape." 

– Steven Johnson
The Coffee House
The Medici Effect
Environment of the space

Where people meet
!

Where ideas have sex
The Liquid network
A good idea is a network.
Innovations happens with
collaboration

Steven	
  Johnson
The Liquid network
Innovations happen when
ideas are shared

Steven	
  Johnson
The importance of cities
Sir Isaac Newton
The Slow Hunch
A lot of ideas linger on, 

sometimes for decades, 

in the back of people’s 

minds

Steven	
  Johnson
Douglas Englebart 1965

Apple Macintosh 1984

Source:	
  http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/187881/Douglas-­‐Engelbart
The 10/10 Rule
Any technology that is going to have
significant impact over the next 10 years is
already at least 10 years old

Source:	
  http://www.businessweek.com/innovate/content/jan2008/id2008012_297369.htm	
  
The 10/10 Rule
10 years to build a new

platform, 10 years for it

to be adopted

Steven	
  Johnson
What do the following products	
  have	
  in	
  
common?
LSD

Post-it notes

Viagra

Teflon
Penicillin
Serendipity
The accident of finding 

something useful or good 

without looking for it

Steven	
  Johnson
"In the fields of observation
chance favours only the
prepared mind”
- Louis Pasteur
Impact of innovation
Gross domestic product
Matt Ridley: When ideas have sex
Slide from Matt Ridley’s 2010 TED talk
Exchange
It is through exchange that
mankind has enjoyed huge
rise in living standards
Matt Ridley
The Forth Quadrat
1

MARKET/NETWORK

NON-MARKET/INDIVIDUAL

NON-MARKET/NETWORK

3

4

MARKET/INDIVIDUAL

2
TECHNOLOGY ADOPTION LIFE CYCLE
Technology Adoption Life Cycle

TECHNOLOGY

CONSUMER	
  
Technology Adoption Life Cycle
In the early days

In the later days

!

!

The innovators and technology
enthusiasts drive the market
They demand technology
Small percentage of the market

The pragmatists and conservatives
dominate; they want solutions and
convenience
The big market
Liquid network
The Slow Hunch
10/10 Rule
Serendipity
NEXT
Diffusion of Innovation

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New Technology Lecture L05 Innovation