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Operations and Performance Analysis
HA TIEN CEMENT
GROUP FINAL ASSIGNMENT
ECON 530: MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS
MBA Intake 10
Instructor: Dr. Tran Nguyen Ngoc Anh Thu Group 2: Huynh Huu Quoc
Le Ngoc Long
Tommy Yance Manawan
Hoang Van Tho
Le Hoang Minh Trang
2
Objectives & Reasons
WRIT E SO MET HING HERE
Method & Structure
WRIT E SO MET HING HERE
Apply Managerial Economics knowledge &
tools to the real case
Focus to Market structure – Output decision –
Investment decision – Profitability -
Macroenvironment
Ha Tien 1 is the market leader in cement
industry – an essential of Vietnam economy
Secondary data - Annual Report, Stock Market
Analysis)
Market analysis - Marginal analysis – Break-even
analysis – Financial Ratios – PESTEL Framework
Company & Industry
Overview
1
Operations &
Performance
2
Direction & Policies
3
3
HT1
Kien Luong
Plant
Binh Phuoc
Plant
Long An
Grinding Station
Phu Huu
Grinding Station
Cam Ranh
Grinding Station
Establishment
1964
Equity
5.365 bil. VND
Major products
Cement
Clinker
Capacity
~8 mil. ton/year
Production
7.29 mil. ton
Market share
10.2% (Top 1)
Net revenue
8.839 bil. VND
EBIT
928 bil. VND
COMPANY
BUSINESS
Provinces/Cities
25
Distributors
76
Retail shops
10,000
4
HISTORY
Established
1964 2007
1993 2010
Split into HT1 & HT2
.
IPO
Merged HT1& HT2
5
CEMENT INDUSTRY VALUE CHAIN
MARKET & DIRECT IO N
Input Production Distribution Market
Material 50%
Electricity 20%
Labour 10%
Depreciation 15%
Others 5%
Cost structure
Direct sales
Regional distributors
Retail shops
Constructors - Investors - Exporter
Channels
Residential
Industrial
Infrastructure
Segment
6
2019
Total
98 mil. ton
VIETNAM CEMENT INDUSTRY
Consumption
Production Export (11.1%)
3 1 4 52%
11%
5%
32%
Share by consumption
Residential
Infrastructure
Other
Export
Global Ranking
O VERVIEW
7
VIETNAM CEMENT INDUSTRY
MARKET & DIRECT IO N
Highly competitive
68 firms
North excess supply
South shortage supply
Domestic excess supply
Ave growth rate 2010-2019
7.1 – 7.4%
Reduce excess
Environment & Resource Protection
Restrict Investment
Ave growth rate 2020-2030
6.0 - 6.5%
Improve profitability.
Limit export
8
Specification mostly equivalent (National Standard)
Differentiated by branding, advertising
Product
68 Firms
High competition
Number of Firms
Concentration Ratio: 35.6% HHI*: 516 (<1000)
CEMENT MARKET ANALYSIS
IDENTIFICATION
High investment capital
Investment license restricted
Moderate
Products
Firms
Barriers
Entry in LR
Many
Low
differentiation
HHI: Herfindahl-Hirschmann Index Sources: Cement Industry Report – Sep 2020 (FPT Securities)
9
MARKET STRUCTURE BENCHMARK
MAPPING
Significant high barriers
One firm
No close substitute product
High barriers
Few firms
Identical product
Few barriers
Many firms
Identical but differentiated
No barriers
Infinite firms
Homogeneous product
Monopoly Oligopoly Monopolistic
Competition
Perfect
Competition
10
Maximizing Profits
MR = MC
Price Maker
Partial control over price
Branding, Advertisement
Economic Profits
Short Run: Yes
Long Run: No.
CHARACTERISTICS
MO NO PO LIST IC CO MPET IT IO N MARKET
Firm D Curve
Downward sloping
11
BUSINESS PERFORMANCE
O VERVIEW
Revenue & Net Income
2018, 2019: Steady growth
2020: Slightly drop
Assets & Equity
Almost un-change
12
RATIO ANALYSIS
WRIT E SO MET HING HERE
Horizontal Analysis
Rise trend 2017 - 2019
Industry Analysis
The best among typical players
Conclusion
Operating efficiency
Asset usage efficiency
Financial leverage
13
BREAK-EVEN POINT
WRIT E SO MET HING HERE
Cost Behavior Analysis
Total Revenue (TR) = 8,839 bil. VND
Total Volume (Q) = 7,29 mil. ton
Total Fixed Cost (TFC) = 2,833. bil. VND
Total Var. Cost (TVC) = 5,101 bil. VND
Unit Price (P) = 1,2 mil. VND/ton
Unit Var. Cost (VC) = 0.7 mil. VND/ton
Profit = TR – TVC – TCF
At break-even, Profit = 0
TR – TVC = TFC
(P – VC) x Q = TFC
Q = TFC / (P – VC) = 5.67 mil. ton
PBE = 1.2 mil. ton
QBE = 5.67 mil. ton
14
MAXIMIZE PROFIT
Refers to a good or
service being offered by a
company.
Refers to a good or
service being offered by a
company.
+50 +173
6.69 6.82 7.29
MR
MC
ATC
Q
P
MR = -2.45Q + 17.72
MC = -2.21Q – 14.42
MR = MC
ATC = -0.11Q + 1.86
6.88
1.1
Qmaxprofit = 6.88 mil. ton
Pmaxprofit = 1.1 mil. VND/ton
15
MAXIMIZE REVENUE
DET ERMINANT S
MR > 0: Sell more by decreasing P
MR < 0: Sell less by increasing P
MR = 0: Revenue maximization
16
Differentiate by advertising,
branding.
Products
Pricing align with elasticity
orientation.
Price
Expand north, central market;
Export;
Locate Grinding close to market;
Sales management system
Distribution Channel
Discount policy for channel partners
Promotion
MAXIMIZE REVENUE
ST RAT EG IES
M&A as full capacity
Improve productivity
ERP implement
Operations
17
VIETNAM MACROENVIRONMENT
PEST LE ANALYSIS
P E S T L E
POLITICAL ECONOMIC SOCIOLOGICAL TECHNOLOGICAL LEGAL ENVIRONMENTAL
Macroenvironment shows favorable to socio-economic growth
Leading to increase in residential – industrial – infrastructure
investment
18
Political stability among countries in
region
Greater openness to global
Liberalize economy
Political Economic Sociological
Strong & consistent economic growth & other
figures
Attractive market
Low labor cost
Newly join CPTPP – EVFTA – RCEP
Increase in FDI & public investment
Working-age population 51%
Increase in demand & ability to own
house
Urbanization trend
P E S
19
Environment-friendly
Energy-saving & recovery
Waste utilization
Digital transformation
Technical standard ASTM – ISO -
TCVN
Technology Legal Environmental
Higher awareness in environment
Include environmental requirements
in licensing investment project
Control & force businesses for better
environmental protection
T L E
Improvement of legislation
Streamline administrative procedure
Better business environment
20
Challenges
WRIT E SO MET HING HERE
Opportunities
WRIT E SO MET HING HERE
Domestic construction demand slightly drop due to some
postpone at earlier outbreak of epidemic
Export interruption
Risk in internal infection may affect to operations
Risk in supply chain interruption
Well-control of Covid-19 in Vietnam
Businesses adapt by new-normal measures
Resume of postpone project
Export accounts for only 4% share of HT1 capacity
Support package from government
21
IMPLICATIONS FOR 2021
WRIT E SO MET HING HERE
- Diversify supply sources avoid interruption
- Better inventory control
- Protection of Covid-19 for staff
- Shutdown decision
Operations & Supply chain
- Ensure the liquidity for payment if shutdown
happen.
Finance
- Interest rate – Electricity tariff – Tax postpone
Utilize govt’s support package
- Demand forecast
- Strengthen competitive advantages
- Diversify and expand market
Market
22
Cement Market
2021 – 2030 demand still high (6-6.5%) but lower than 2011-
2020 (7.1-7.4%)
Highly competitive due to supply excess
Restrict new manufacturing investment by barriers: quantity
- scale - capital – technology
Limit export
Conclusion
WRIT E SO MET HING HERE Historical brand
Economies of scale
Large distribution network
Ha Tien 1
In good position with competitive advantages
Own largest & quality limestones mine
23
THANK YOU

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Ha Tien Cement_Operations and Performance Analysis.pptx

  • 1. 1 Operations and Performance Analysis HA TIEN CEMENT GROUP FINAL ASSIGNMENT ECON 530: MANAGERIAL ECONOMICS MBA Intake 10 Instructor: Dr. Tran Nguyen Ngoc Anh Thu Group 2: Huynh Huu Quoc Le Ngoc Long Tommy Yance Manawan Hoang Van Tho Le Hoang Minh Trang
  • 2. 2 Objectives & Reasons WRIT E SO MET HING HERE Method & Structure WRIT E SO MET HING HERE Apply Managerial Economics knowledge & tools to the real case Focus to Market structure – Output decision – Investment decision – Profitability - Macroenvironment Ha Tien 1 is the market leader in cement industry – an essential of Vietnam economy Secondary data - Annual Report, Stock Market Analysis) Market analysis - Marginal analysis – Break-even analysis – Financial Ratios – PESTEL Framework Company & Industry Overview 1 Operations & Performance 2 Direction & Policies 3
  • 3. 3 HT1 Kien Luong Plant Binh Phuoc Plant Long An Grinding Station Phu Huu Grinding Station Cam Ranh Grinding Station Establishment 1964 Equity 5.365 bil. VND Major products Cement Clinker Capacity ~8 mil. ton/year Production 7.29 mil. ton Market share 10.2% (Top 1) Net revenue 8.839 bil. VND EBIT 928 bil. VND COMPANY BUSINESS Provinces/Cities 25 Distributors 76 Retail shops 10,000
  • 4. 4 HISTORY Established 1964 2007 1993 2010 Split into HT1 & HT2 . IPO Merged HT1& HT2
  • 5. 5 CEMENT INDUSTRY VALUE CHAIN MARKET & DIRECT IO N Input Production Distribution Market Material 50% Electricity 20% Labour 10% Depreciation 15% Others 5% Cost structure Direct sales Regional distributors Retail shops Constructors - Investors - Exporter Channels Residential Industrial Infrastructure Segment
  • 6. 6 2019 Total 98 mil. ton VIETNAM CEMENT INDUSTRY Consumption Production Export (11.1%) 3 1 4 52% 11% 5% 32% Share by consumption Residential Infrastructure Other Export Global Ranking O VERVIEW
  • 7. 7 VIETNAM CEMENT INDUSTRY MARKET & DIRECT IO N Highly competitive 68 firms North excess supply South shortage supply Domestic excess supply Ave growth rate 2010-2019 7.1 – 7.4% Reduce excess Environment & Resource Protection Restrict Investment Ave growth rate 2020-2030 6.0 - 6.5% Improve profitability. Limit export
  • 8. 8 Specification mostly equivalent (National Standard) Differentiated by branding, advertising Product 68 Firms High competition Number of Firms Concentration Ratio: 35.6% HHI*: 516 (<1000) CEMENT MARKET ANALYSIS IDENTIFICATION High investment capital Investment license restricted Moderate Products Firms Barriers Entry in LR Many Low differentiation HHI: Herfindahl-Hirschmann Index Sources: Cement Industry Report – Sep 2020 (FPT Securities)
  • 9. 9 MARKET STRUCTURE BENCHMARK MAPPING Significant high barriers One firm No close substitute product High barriers Few firms Identical product Few barriers Many firms Identical but differentiated No barriers Infinite firms Homogeneous product Monopoly Oligopoly Monopolistic Competition Perfect Competition
  • 10. 10 Maximizing Profits MR = MC Price Maker Partial control over price Branding, Advertisement Economic Profits Short Run: Yes Long Run: No. CHARACTERISTICS MO NO PO LIST IC CO MPET IT IO N MARKET Firm D Curve Downward sloping
  • 11. 11 BUSINESS PERFORMANCE O VERVIEW Revenue & Net Income 2018, 2019: Steady growth 2020: Slightly drop Assets & Equity Almost un-change
  • 12. 12 RATIO ANALYSIS WRIT E SO MET HING HERE Horizontal Analysis Rise trend 2017 - 2019 Industry Analysis The best among typical players Conclusion Operating efficiency Asset usage efficiency Financial leverage
  • 13. 13 BREAK-EVEN POINT WRIT E SO MET HING HERE Cost Behavior Analysis Total Revenue (TR) = 8,839 bil. VND Total Volume (Q) = 7,29 mil. ton Total Fixed Cost (TFC) = 2,833. bil. VND Total Var. Cost (TVC) = 5,101 bil. VND Unit Price (P) = 1,2 mil. VND/ton Unit Var. Cost (VC) = 0.7 mil. VND/ton Profit = TR – TVC – TCF At break-even, Profit = 0 TR – TVC = TFC (P – VC) x Q = TFC Q = TFC / (P – VC) = 5.67 mil. ton PBE = 1.2 mil. ton QBE = 5.67 mil. ton
  • 14. 14 MAXIMIZE PROFIT Refers to a good or service being offered by a company. Refers to a good or service being offered by a company. +50 +173 6.69 6.82 7.29 MR MC ATC Q P MR = -2.45Q + 17.72 MC = -2.21Q – 14.42 MR = MC ATC = -0.11Q + 1.86 6.88 1.1 Qmaxprofit = 6.88 mil. ton Pmaxprofit = 1.1 mil. VND/ton
  • 15. 15 MAXIMIZE REVENUE DET ERMINANT S MR > 0: Sell more by decreasing P MR < 0: Sell less by increasing P MR = 0: Revenue maximization
  • 16. 16 Differentiate by advertising, branding. Products Pricing align with elasticity orientation. Price Expand north, central market; Export; Locate Grinding close to market; Sales management system Distribution Channel Discount policy for channel partners Promotion MAXIMIZE REVENUE ST RAT EG IES M&A as full capacity Improve productivity ERP implement Operations
  • 17. 17 VIETNAM MACROENVIRONMENT PEST LE ANALYSIS P E S T L E POLITICAL ECONOMIC SOCIOLOGICAL TECHNOLOGICAL LEGAL ENVIRONMENTAL Macroenvironment shows favorable to socio-economic growth Leading to increase in residential – industrial – infrastructure investment
  • 18. 18 Political stability among countries in region Greater openness to global Liberalize economy Political Economic Sociological Strong & consistent economic growth & other figures Attractive market Low labor cost Newly join CPTPP – EVFTA – RCEP Increase in FDI & public investment Working-age population 51% Increase in demand & ability to own house Urbanization trend P E S
  • 19. 19 Environment-friendly Energy-saving & recovery Waste utilization Digital transformation Technical standard ASTM – ISO - TCVN Technology Legal Environmental Higher awareness in environment Include environmental requirements in licensing investment project Control & force businesses for better environmental protection T L E Improvement of legislation Streamline administrative procedure Better business environment
  • 20. 20 Challenges WRIT E SO MET HING HERE Opportunities WRIT E SO MET HING HERE Domestic construction demand slightly drop due to some postpone at earlier outbreak of epidemic Export interruption Risk in internal infection may affect to operations Risk in supply chain interruption Well-control of Covid-19 in Vietnam Businesses adapt by new-normal measures Resume of postpone project Export accounts for only 4% share of HT1 capacity Support package from government
  • 21. 21 IMPLICATIONS FOR 2021 WRIT E SO MET HING HERE - Diversify supply sources avoid interruption - Better inventory control - Protection of Covid-19 for staff - Shutdown decision Operations & Supply chain - Ensure the liquidity for payment if shutdown happen. Finance - Interest rate – Electricity tariff – Tax postpone Utilize govt’s support package - Demand forecast - Strengthen competitive advantages - Diversify and expand market Market
  • 22. 22 Cement Market 2021 – 2030 demand still high (6-6.5%) but lower than 2011- 2020 (7.1-7.4%) Highly competitive due to supply excess Restrict new manufacturing investment by barriers: quantity - scale - capital – technology Limit export Conclusion WRIT E SO MET HING HERE Historical brand Economies of scale Large distribution network Ha Tien 1 In good position with competitive advantages Own largest & quality limestones mine