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1
ECONOMIC BASIC THINKING
INDONESIA’S BROADBAND PLAN
2015 – 2019
By:
Dr. Setyanto P. Santosa
Chairman of MASTEL
Indonesian ICT Society
2
INDONESIA : Networked Readiness Index 2014
Mastel
3
COMPETITIVENESS VS BROADBAND PENETRATION
4
BROADBAND PENETRATION & GNI
IN VARIOUS ECONOMIES
+.8%+.8%
GDP perGDP per
capitacapita
+1.3%+1.3%
GDP perGDP per
capitacapita
Why Connectivity Matters
+10%Impact of an Increase in
Penetration for
Developing
Countries
Source: World Bank Information and Communications for Development 2009: Extending Reach and Increasing Impact
MobileMobile
VoiceVoice InternetInternet
Wireless Broadband Penetration
2010
Source Frost and Sullivan
6
Broadband Penetration 2010
Source Frost and Sullivan 7
ASEAN ICT Vision and Strategic ThrustsASEAN ICT Vision and Strategic Thrusts
“Towards an Empowering and Transformational ICT:
Creating an Inclusive, Vibrant and Integrated ASEAN”
Economic Transformation
People Empowerment
& Engagement Innovation
Infrastructure Development
Human Capital Development
To promote trade, investment and
entrepreneurship in the ICT sector
To build an ICT engine for sector
transformation
To enhance quality of life through
affordable and equitable ICT
To nurture a creative, innovative,
and green ICT sector
To build the infrastructure backbone, and enabling policies and legislation
To develop a skillful ICT workforce and knowledgeable community
1 2 3
4
5
Bridging the Digital Divide
To elevate countries and people through ICT capabilities
6
Selected Sectors Impacted:
Transportation
Agricultural
Manufacturing
Selected Sectors Impacted:
Healthcare
Education
Media & Entertainment
Financial
Services
SME
Selected Sectors Impacted:
ICT
New Media
Content
Research &
Development
Financial
Services
9Mastel
INDONESIA IN ASEAN
Indonesia becomes the largest spender on IT in
South East Asia ranked 19th globally, growth 15%
CAGR to 2014 (Source: IDC)
IT spending $10.9 billion USD in 2011,
Raise 18.3% to $12.9 billion USD for 2012,
May reach $17.8 billion USD by 2016,
mostly on Hardware (80%)
(Source: Global Business Guide Indonesia – 2013)
10
ASEAN ICT SPENDING IN 2015
(SOURCE: IDC)
11
The Virtuous Circle to Broadband :
Connecting the elements
KATA KUNCI
RPI MERUPAKAN SUATU KEHARUSAN UNTUK
INDONESIA
PENYEDIAAN BROADBAND ADALAH SANGAT
KRITIS
DANA SANGAT DIPERLUKAN
HUMAN CAPACITY ?
SEBENARNYA KITA SEDANG DALAM PERJALANAN UNTUK
MENCIPTAKAN MASYARAKAT DIJITAL
DIGITAL SOCIETY & DIGITAL ECONOMI
We are moving into a new digital era, which is set to redefine
•the relationship between the state and the citizens
•the interactions of the people
13
• German - On August 2014 the, German government passed its first "Digital
Agenda“:
– Sets the goal of providing broadband access with at least 50 Mbps to all households until
2018.
– increase the number of newly established IT firms from the current annual rate of 10,000
to 15,000 per year.
– Data security towards better protecting the economy from cyber-attacks
• India - India’s government has signed a MoU with the National Institute of
Electronics and Information Technology (NIELIT) to drive inclusive-growth in the
country as part of the ‘Digital India’ strategy.
– The public-private partnership is part of the government’s ambition to ensure one
member of each household in India is digitally literate to establish a knowledge-economy
in the country. Building on the 3 million citizens reached to date, the NIELIT will deliver
training and assess individuals’ digital literacy capacity.
• UK – “Digital by default” - digital services that are so straightforward and
convenient that all those who can use them will choose to do so whilst those who
can’t are not excluded. Estimation: moving services from offline to digital channels
will save between £1.7 and £1.8 billion a year.
Source: Accenture
Digital Agenda
14
NATIONAL BROADBAND PLANS
& ASSOCIATED MODELS
Adapted -ADL Analysis
1
2
3
4
5 AUSTRALIA
JAPAN, LATVIA, LITHUANIA,
SOUTH KOREA,
MALAYSIA
SINGAPORE, FRANCE, RWANDA,
NEW ZEALAND, POLAND, MEXICO,
THAILAND , BRAZIL, PERU, COLUMBIA
GERMANY, NETHERLANDS, UK
US, KSA, UAE, HK
PUBLICINTERVENTION
KOMPONEN UTAMA DALAM STRATEGI PITA
LEBAR NASIONAL
BACKBONES
BACKHAUL
NETWORK
ACCESS
NETWORK
INTERNATIONAL
CONNECTIVITY
OVERALL
BROADBAND
CONNECTIVITY
Where and
what are the
bottlenecks
?
How should
Governments
intervene/
stimulate?
motivation?
coverage,
competition
or
both?
OPERATOR INDONESIA MENUJU KONVERGENSI TIK
Sumber KRT-BRTI
ISPs
Secure + QoS
IP-networks
All-IP network
+ IMS
PSTN
IP enabled +
Voice network
Secure + QoS
IP-fixed network
Cellular
HSPA +
Voice network
All-IP network
+ IMS
All-IP network
+ IMS
Secure + QoS
IP-mobility
Analog
TV
Cable-TV
mobile-TV
Radio-FM
analog
Radio digital
DAB/others
DVB-H/FLO/DMB/ISDB-H
Data
(internet)
Voice
(telephone)
(+data)
Audio-Video
(+text)
Audio
(+text)
Voice
(+data)
Tahun 2010 Tahun 201x/202x
Free-to-air DVB-T
Digital-TV
(+voice & AV-
streaming)
KomRad & KomSat
Voice
(+data) X?
X?
X?
X?
17
Building the Ecosystem forBuilding the Ecosystem for
ICT Based Creative Industry in IndonesiaICT Based Creative Industry in Indonesia
18
PENUTUP
• BROADBAND : MEWUJUDKAN MASYARAKAT DIJITAL
INDONESIA (Digital Society & Digital Economy)
• FOKUS ke TUGAS UTAMA :
* PEMERINTAH: (Ekonomi, Efisiensi,Produktivitas,
Transparansi, Fairness)
* PUBLIK : Akses ke Broadband, Meningkatkan
Kualitas Hidup, Pendidikan , Nilai Tambah Ekonomi)
19Mastel 19Mastel
TERIMA KASIH
setyanto@pacific.net.id

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Seminar TIK Indosat - 17/12/'14 - Presentasi Mastel - Dr. Setyanto P S

  • 1. 1 ECONOMIC BASIC THINKING INDONESIA’S BROADBAND PLAN 2015 – 2019 By: Dr. Setyanto P. Santosa Chairman of MASTEL Indonesian ICT Society
  • 2. 2 INDONESIA : Networked Readiness Index 2014 Mastel
  • 4. 4 BROADBAND PENETRATION & GNI IN VARIOUS ECONOMIES
  • 5. +.8%+.8% GDP perGDP per capitacapita +1.3%+1.3% GDP perGDP per capitacapita Why Connectivity Matters +10%Impact of an Increase in Penetration for Developing Countries Source: World Bank Information and Communications for Development 2009: Extending Reach and Increasing Impact MobileMobile VoiceVoice InternetInternet
  • 7. Broadband Penetration 2010 Source Frost and Sullivan 7
  • 8. ASEAN ICT Vision and Strategic ThrustsASEAN ICT Vision and Strategic Thrusts “Towards an Empowering and Transformational ICT: Creating an Inclusive, Vibrant and Integrated ASEAN” Economic Transformation People Empowerment & Engagement Innovation Infrastructure Development Human Capital Development To promote trade, investment and entrepreneurship in the ICT sector To build an ICT engine for sector transformation To enhance quality of life through affordable and equitable ICT To nurture a creative, innovative, and green ICT sector To build the infrastructure backbone, and enabling policies and legislation To develop a skillful ICT workforce and knowledgeable community 1 2 3 4 5 Bridging the Digital Divide To elevate countries and people through ICT capabilities 6 Selected Sectors Impacted: Transportation Agricultural Manufacturing Selected Sectors Impacted: Healthcare Education Media & Entertainment Financial Services SME Selected Sectors Impacted: ICT New Media Content Research & Development Financial Services
  • 9. 9Mastel INDONESIA IN ASEAN Indonesia becomes the largest spender on IT in South East Asia ranked 19th globally, growth 15% CAGR to 2014 (Source: IDC) IT spending $10.9 billion USD in 2011, Raise 18.3% to $12.9 billion USD for 2012, May reach $17.8 billion USD by 2016, mostly on Hardware (80%) (Source: Global Business Guide Indonesia – 2013)
  • 10. 10 ASEAN ICT SPENDING IN 2015 (SOURCE: IDC)
  • 11. 11 The Virtuous Circle to Broadband : Connecting the elements
  • 12. KATA KUNCI RPI MERUPAKAN SUATU KEHARUSAN UNTUK INDONESIA PENYEDIAAN BROADBAND ADALAH SANGAT KRITIS DANA SANGAT DIPERLUKAN HUMAN CAPACITY ? SEBENARNYA KITA SEDANG DALAM PERJALANAN UNTUK MENCIPTAKAN MASYARAKAT DIJITAL DIGITAL SOCIETY & DIGITAL ECONOMI We are moving into a new digital era, which is set to redefine •the relationship between the state and the citizens •the interactions of the people
  • 13. 13 • German - On August 2014 the, German government passed its first "Digital Agenda“: – Sets the goal of providing broadband access with at least 50 Mbps to all households until 2018. – increase the number of newly established IT firms from the current annual rate of 10,000 to 15,000 per year. – Data security towards better protecting the economy from cyber-attacks • India - India’s government has signed a MoU with the National Institute of Electronics and Information Technology (NIELIT) to drive inclusive-growth in the country as part of the ‘Digital India’ strategy. – The public-private partnership is part of the government’s ambition to ensure one member of each household in India is digitally literate to establish a knowledge-economy in the country. Building on the 3 million citizens reached to date, the NIELIT will deliver training and assess individuals’ digital literacy capacity. • UK – “Digital by default” - digital services that are so straightforward and convenient that all those who can use them will choose to do so whilst those who can’t are not excluded. Estimation: moving services from offline to digital channels will save between £1.7 and £1.8 billion a year. Source: Accenture Digital Agenda
  • 14. 14 NATIONAL BROADBAND PLANS & ASSOCIATED MODELS Adapted -ADL Analysis 1 2 3 4 5 AUSTRALIA JAPAN, LATVIA, LITHUANIA, SOUTH KOREA, MALAYSIA SINGAPORE, FRANCE, RWANDA, NEW ZEALAND, POLAND, MEXICO, THAILAND , BRAZIL, PERU, COLUMBIA GERMANY, NETHERLANDS, UK US, KSA, UAE, HK PUBLICINTERVENTION
  • 15. KOMPONEN UTAMA DALAM STRATEGI PITA LEBAR NASIONAL BACKBONES BACKHAUL NETWORK ACCESS NETWORK INTERNATIONAL CONNECTIVITY OVERALL BROADBAND CONNECTIVITY Where and what are the bottlenecks ? How should Governments intervene/ stimulate? motivation? coverage, competition or both?
  • 16. OPERATOR INDONESIA MENUJU KONVERGENSI TIK Sumber KRT-BRTI ISPs Secure + QoS IP-networks All-IP network + IMS PSTN IP enabled + Voice network Secure + QoS IP-fixed network Cellular HSPA + Voice network All-IP network + IMS All-IP network + IMS Secure + QoS IP-mobility Analog TV Cable-TV mobile-TV Radio-FM analog Radio digital DAB/others DVB-H/FLO/DMB/ISDB-H Data (internet) Voice (telephone) (+data) Audio-Video (+text) Audio (+text) Voice (+data) Tahun 2010 Tahun 201x/202x Free-to-air DVB-T Digital-TV (+voice & AV- streaming) KomRad & KomSat Voice (+data) X? X? X? X?
  • 17. 17 Building the Ecosystem forBuilding the Ecosystem for ICT Based Creative Industry in IndonesiaICT Based Creative Industry in Indonesia
  • 18. 18 PENUTUP • BROADBAND : MEWUJUDKAN MASYARAKAT DIJITAL INDONESIA (Digital Society & Digital Economy) • FOKUS ke TUGAS UTAMA : * PEMERINTAH: (Ekonomi, Efisiensi,Produktivitas, Transparansi, Fairness) * PUBLIK : Akses ke Broadband, Meningkatkan Kualitas Hidup, Pendidikan , Nilai Tambah Ekonomi)