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New base special 28 october 2014
1.
Copyright © 2014
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi â Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content . Page 1 NewBase 28 October 2014 Khaled Al Awadi NewBase For discussion or further details on the news below you may contact us on +971504822502 , Dubai , UAE QP gets third jack-up drilling rig from GDI Source GDI Gulf Drilling International (GDI), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Gulf International Services yesterday said Qatar Petroleum (QP) has accepted its new jack-up drilling rig, the third such rig to be pressed into service for the countryâs behemoth oil company. The âDukhanâ has left NKOM Shipyard at Ras Laffan to its first location. It is the ninth offshore jack- up rig in GDIâs fleet and will be joining the jack-up rigs âAl Dohaâ and âAl Zubarahâ, already into service for QP. GDI took delivery of the rig from Keppel Fells Shipyard in Singapore last August and had it dry towed to Qatar last month. While undergoing final commissioning and testing in NKOM Shipyard, various third party equipment was installed and drill pipe loaded onto the rig to achieve QPâs final acceptance. This rig has been customised to meet QPâs requirements and is capable of performing drilling operations anywhere in Qatar. It has a 75â cantilever outreach, 150 men accommodation, high volume centrifuges, high capacity for bulk mud treatment, and the capability of drilling wells up to 30,000ft depth. âI am pleased to see this rig sail out safely to its first well location in Qatar ahead of schedule. This marks the fifth state of the art cyber rig of GDIâs fleet and will serve to further enhance our operational capabilities while lowering the average age of our rigs,â GDI CEO Ibrahim J al-Othman said. He said the inspection and acceptance process went very smooth, allowing drilling services to commence earlier than expected. Al-Othman: Ahead of schedule. Right: The âDukhanâ, which has left NKOM Shipyard at Ras Laffan to its first location.
2.
Copyright © 2014
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi â Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content . Page 2 Saudi Arabia's Wasit gas plant to start early next year Reuters + NewBase State oil giant Saudi Aramco is expected partially start up its new Wasit gas plant in the first quarter of 2015 despite some difficulties linked to construction, three industry sources said. Wasit will be one of the largest gas plants not linked to oil wells ever built by Saudi Aramco. It will process 2.6 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) of non-associated gas from the offshore fields Hasbah and Arabiyah. The plant, north of Jubail on the kingdom's Gulf coast, is expected to supply 1.75 bcfd of sales gas and could potentially produce up to 3.05 bcfd to meet peak summer demand. In 2012, industry sources told Reuters Wasit was expected to be delayed by at least one year because the gas coming from fields offshore had higher sulfur content than expected. The plant was due to be completed this year. "It will be partially in operation in the first quarter of next year, officially the project should be (fully) up and running mid-2015 but I think the more realistic schedule is sometime in 2016," one source familiar with the matter said. Labour, logistics and subcontractor issues have also delayed a natural gas liquids (NGL) project at Shaybah, in the kingdom's southern Empty Quarter, a venture designed to help boost petrochemical feedstock, one source said. "Train one will be in operation year end while the second train in March," the source said. Saudi Aramco declined to comment on when both plants would be operational. Shaybah NGL will process 2.4 bcfd of low-sulphur sweet gas from the Shaybah oilfield, and send on 275,000 barrels-per-day (bpd) of NGLs to a processing plant in Juaymah. Aramco has said that Wasit and another project -- Karan-- that has already been in operation since 2012 will likely boost Saudi Arabian natural gas output by an estimated 40 per cent.
3.
Copyright © 2014
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi â Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content . Page 3 ABB wins DEWA's $55 million order to help integrate solar power into the grid WAM + NewBase ABB, the leading power and automation technology group, has won an order worth around $55 million from Dubai Electricity & Water Authority (DEWA) to build a substation that will integrate power from the Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum solar park. The order was awarded in the third quarter of 2014. The gas-insulated switchgear (GIS) substation will enhance transmission capacity, boost power supplies and strengthen the reliability of the grid. The 100 megawatt (MW) Phase II of the solar power plant in Seih Al Dahal, about 50 kilometers (km) south of Dubai, is scheduled to commence generation in 2017, according to a press release issued by ABB. The solar park is one of the biggest renewable energy projects in the Middle East and North Africa. It is expected to cover an area of more than 40 square kilometers and produce 1,000 MW of clean energy when completed in 2030. It will support the Dubai Integrated Energy Strategy 2030, adopted by the Dubai Supreme Council of Energy to diversify the energy mix, under which natural gas is expected to contribute 71 percent of electricity, followed by nuclear (12 percent), clean coal (12 percent) and solar (5 percent). "The substation will help increase transmission capacity and deliver clean solar power to meet growing demand for electricity in the region," said Claudio Facchin, head of ABBâs Power Systems division. "We are pleased to help the UAE strengthen its power network and increase the use of renewable energy." As part of the turnkey contract, ABB is responsible for the design, installation, commissioning and start-up of the plant. Key products to be supplied include eight bays of 400 kilovolt (kV) and 10 bays of 132 kV GIS, two 132/400 kV power transformers rated at 570 megavolt-ampere (MVA), as well as the protection system, automation and control system, surveillance and communication. The substation will also be IEC 61850 enabled to support open communications automation and protection. "DEWA works to enhance the efficiency of its network and establishes pivotal projects to achieve the highest standards of efficiency and reliability," said Saeed Mohammed Al Tayer, DEWAâs Managing Director and CEO. "This forms the basis of our cooperation with ABB, which has a record of innovation in renewable energy technologies, sustainable transport and energy efficiency. DEWA supports the vision of Vice President, Prime Minister and Ruler of Dubai, His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum to enhance Dubaiâs role as a global hub for trade, finance, tourism and green economy." The global capacity of solar photovoltaic systems is growing fast. According to the International Energy Agency, it rose by 34 percent to 137 gigawatts (GW) in 2013 and is set to expand to 403 GW in 2020. The UAE is leading the deployment of solar power in the Middle East. Solar Impulse 2, a project supported by ABB, announced last month that it will start its attempt to make the first solar- powered flight around the world from the UAE in 2015. ABBâs heritage of technology innovation in renewables, sustainable transportation and energy efficiency makes it an ideal partner for Solar Impulse 2.
4.
Copyright © 2014
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi â Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content . Page 4 Pakistan's Port Qasim to Get First Qatari LNG in January Daily Times + NewBase Pakistan is expected to get its first commercial LNG imports from Qatar by second week of January 2015, according to Pakistani newspaper Daily Times. Sheikh Imranul Haq Chief Executive Officer Elengy terminal of Engro said all the remaining work including jetty of LNG facility from the ships would be completed at Elengy terminal (Engro Vokak terminal) at Port Qasim by December 2014. Total cost of the project, $145 million, was fully funded by the company, the newspaper quoted Imranul as saying. LNG after off loading from the ship at the jetty and floating storage re- gasification unit at Port Qasim would be injected in the pipeline of Sui Southern Gas Company Limited system for onward supply.
5.
Copyright © 2014
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi â Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content . Page 5 South Africa to Process Challenger Energy's Shale Gas Application Challenger Energy + NewBase Australian unconventional gas explorer Challenger Energy on Monday announced that its subsidiary Bundu Gas and Oil Exploration has been advised by the Petroleum Agency South Africa (PASA) that a decision has been taken to proceed with processing Bunduâs application for a shale gas exploration right in South Africaâs Karoo Basin. âSignificant time has elapsed since the application was submitted in 2010, and it is important that the documentation is up to date. PASA has requested that Bundu review and augment its Environmental Management Programme (EMPr) where necessary,â Challenger announced. In accordance with the Mineral and Petroleum Resources Development Act 2002, Bundu is required to notify and consult with affected communities and parties in respect of any such revisions. Bundu has been requested to complete this process by 27th February 2015. Challenger Managing Director Robert Willes said: âThis is very significant and positive news. The applications for shale gas exploration rights have been on hold since 2011, so the decision to proceed with the processing of Bunduâs application represents a major milestone and signals that the South African Government is ready to move forward with the exploration and appraisal of this potentially vital national resource. We are greatly encouraged by this development, and look forward to engaging with local communities and stakeholders.â Bundu Gas & Oil Exploration (Pty) Ltd is subsidiary of Challenger Energy Limited, which is owned 90% by Challenger and 10% by Challengerâs Black Economic Empowerment Partners. Bundu holds 100% of exploration permits and applications covering approximately 3,200 square kilometres of highly prospective acreage in South Africa.
6.
Copyright © 2014
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi â Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content . Page 6 Sino Gas & Energy Reports Significant Gas Flow from China CBM Well Sino Gas & Energy Holdings Limited + NewBase Sino Gas & Energy Holdings Limited (SGE) on Monday announced successful testing of TB-2H, the second horizontal well drilled on the Linxing Production Sharing Contract (PSC) in Shanxi province in China. The test was conducted to demonstrate the horizontal well deliverability of the reservoir in the northern area of the Linxing (West) block and achieved a sustained flow rate of 3.7 million standard cubic feet (MMscf) per day. The well is estimated to be able to deliver a production rate of over 5.1 MMscf/day, the company said. âTB-2H was drilled in the northern area of the Linxing contract area over 25km north of TB-1H. The successful result at TB-2H follows optimisation of the fracture stimulation treatment on vertical and deviated wells, which has seen a significant improvement in single well productivity ahead of pilot pipeline production scheduled to commence as early as November 2014,â the company added. Sino Gas holds a 49% interest in SGE through the strategic partnership with MIE Holdings Corporation. SGE is the operator of the Linxing and Sanjiaobei PSCs in the Ordos Basin, Shanxi province.
7.
Copyright © 2014
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi â Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content . Page 7 US LNG exports will not solve Asian gas problems, says IEAâs head Asian buyers will not see a reduction in gas price caused by the LNG exports coming from North America, according to the executive director of International Energy Agency Maria van der Hoeven. Speaking at an energy conference in Singapore, van der Hoeven said that the US shale gas revolution will not solve Asian gas problems as there is not enough gas to supply the entire region, and it will come at a cost, reports Platts. IEA head also noted that there are ways of lowering the price of natural gas in Asia, namely, to find more and use less. She added that both scenarios are possible as Asia holds 10% of the worldâs potential conventional gas reserves. However, not all gas will be produced, nor will the produced gas be exclusively used in the region, said van der Hoeven. It was also noted that some of the regionâs former gas exporters, such as Malaysia and Indonesia, turned to importing gas and the downside is that Asia will not become self-sufficient in gas.
8.
Copyright © 2014
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi â Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content . Page 8 ExxonMobil, OMV Petrom start Pelican South-1 drilling Press Release ExxonMobil Exploration and Production Romania Limited (EMEPRL) and OMV Petrom S.A. (OMV Petrom) have started drilling the Pelican South-1 exploration well on a new prospect in the Neptun Block. The Ocean Endeavour rig is drilling the Pelican South-1 wildcat well about 155 kilometers offshore in the Romanian sector of the Black Sea. The Pelican South-1 well will test a new geological structure on the Neptun Block. Earlier in October, the Ocean Endeavour rig completed drilling the Domino-2 well and data from the well are being evaluated. âExploration for oil and gas in frontier areas is complex and very detailed, often taking years to complete. A thorough understanding of the geology is essential prior to making the significant investments required to develop such a discovery,â said John Knapp, managing director of ExxonMobilâs affiliate in Romania. âThe Black Sea region plays a central role in our strategy and we allocate significant financial and technical resources to the offshore projects. We are encouraged by the good results so far, in shallow and deep waters. However much of the activity in the Black Sea deepwater area is of a frontier, pioneering nature, involving high investment risks and therefore requiring a stable investment framework,â said Gabriel Selischi, member of OMV Petrom Executive Board responsible for Exploration and Production. ExxonMobil Exploration and Production Romania and OMV Petrom each hold 50 percent of the deepwater sector of the Neptun Block. ExxonMobil Exploration and Production Romania Limited is the operator.
9.
Copyright © 2014
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi â Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content . Page 9 Indiaâs ONGC to raise overseas output Reuters + NewBase Indiaâs Oil and Natural Gas Corp (ONGC) wants to take advantage of falling oil prices to more than double its overseas output to the equivalent of 400,000 barrels per day of oil by 2018, Chairman DK Sarraf told Reuters. Global oil prices sank to a four-year low at below $83 a barrel this month, hitting valuations of energy explorers. The Indian government, which is preparing to float a $3bn stake in ONGC, wants state firms to secure energy assets abroad to reduce the exposure of Asiaâs third-largest economy to supply risks. India is the worldâs fourth-biggest oil consumer, importing four-fifths of its needs as its own output shrinks. âFor meeting the short-term 2018 target we would like to aggressively go for producing assets, because you canât acquire an exploration block and then make it produce in such a short time,â Sarraf said in a telephone interview yesterday. ONGC, the countryâs biggest oil explorer, has often been criticised for stagnant output and the slow pace of exploration and development. Sarraf reaffirmed ONGCâs long-term plans to raise overseas output in two stages to 60mn tonnes of oil plus oil-equivalent gas by 2030 â or 1.2mn barrels per day. The plan envisages investing around $180bn between 2013 and 2030 on a gamut of projects including raising local and overseas oil and gas output, according to the companyâs website. Sarraf, however, added that ONGC was interested at the same time in acquiring overseas exploration assets, which would take longer to enter production, with a view to hitting its 2030 goal. âMore value is created through exploration assets,â he said. âEven for the 2030 target we cannot get out of exploration (to production) if we donât start acting on exploration now.â Prime Minister Narendra Modiâs government has initiated a process to sell a 5% stake in ONGC, which is 69% state controlled. ONGC Videsh Ltd, the overseas investment arm of ONGC, produced about 9mn tonnes of oil and oil equivalent gas (180,000 bpd) in the fiscal year to March 31, 2014, Sarraf said. To achieve its pursuit of acquiring overseas assets ONGC has signed initial cooperation agreements with Mexicoâs national oil company Pemex, PetroVietnam, Ecuador and PdVSA of Venezuela. In the last fiscal year ONGC Videsh bought a 20% stake in a block in Mozambique,
10.
Copyright © 2014
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi â Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content . Page 10 raised its stake in a deepwater block in Brazil and was awarded exploration blocks in Bangladesh and Myanmar. Russiaâs Rosneft has also offered stakes in two Siberian oil fields to ONGC, which is already a partner in the Sakhalin 1 offshore project. ONGC has 13 producing assets in eight countries. It had cash and cash equivalent of Rs108bn on March 31, 2014 and its profitability is set to rise after Modiâs five-month-old government hiked gas prices and scrapped subsidies on diesel. ONGC, along with other explorers, had been giving a discount on crude and products sales to state fuel retailers to partly compensate them for losses on retail sales at cheaper regulated rates for diesel, kerosene and cooking gas. When asked where his firm was targeting oil and gas assets Sarraf said: âThe globe. The target is so big we canât look for one geography and say no to another.â He listed Russia and the former Soviet Commonwealth of Independent States, Africa and the Middle East, adding, âWe are not in the US and Canada, we want to be there as well.â
11.
Copyright © 2014
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi â Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content . Page 11 Chevron Produces First Gas From Bangladesh Bibiyana Project RTT News/dpa-AFX + NewBase Integrated energy company Chevron Corp. (CVX) Tuesday announced that its Bangladesh subsidiary has commenced natural gas production from the Bibiyana Expansion Project in the northeastern part of the country. The project included an expansion of the existing gas plant to process increased natural gas volumes from the Bibiyana Field, additional development wells and an enhanced gas liquids recovery unit. According to the firm, the project would boost Chevron-operated natural gas production capacity in Bangladesh by more than 300 million cubic feet per day to 1.4 billion cubic feet per day. In addition, the project would increase the company-operated natural gas liquids production capacity by 4,000 barrels per day to 9,000 barrels per day. Chevron's Bangladesh subsidiary has a 99 percent working interest in Bibiyana. Jay Johnson, senior vice president, Upstream, Chevron, said, 'The Bibiyana expansion represents Chevron's commitment to developing new resources to meet energy demand in Asia. The expansion is one of a slate of projects across the region that will deliver on Chevron's strategy to grow profitably in core areas.' Chevron shares lost 0.77 percent on Monday, and settled at $115.02.
12.
Copyright © 2014
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi â Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content . Page 12 Increasing ethanol additives in motor gasoline ,reduced its average energy Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Monthly Energy Review EIA has adjusted its estimates of the energy content of retail motor gasoline in the Monthly Energy Review (MER) to reflect its changing composition. Ethanol and other oxygenates, which have lower energy content than petroleum-based gasoline components, have seen their share of total gasoline volumes increase from 2% in 1993 to nearly 10% in 2013. As a result, EIA's estimate of motor gasoline's average energy content per gallon has declined by about 3% over this 20-year period. The adjustment in EIA's estimate of the average energy content per gallon of motor gasoline reflects changes in response to 1990 Clean Air Act (CAA) regulations that split the U.S. gasoline market into three segments: conventional, oxygenated, and reformulated. Oxygenated and reformulated gasoline was required to be blended with compounds that contained oxygen, such as MTBE (methyl tert-butyl ether) or ethanol. While these additives reduced air pollution, they also resulted in lower heating value compared with conventional gasoline, translating to fewer miles per gallon, because they have lower energy density. In response to these regulations, EIA began collecting separate data on the production of conventional, oxygenated, and reformulated gasoline in 1994. The gasoline heating value was estimated based on the relative volumes of conventional, oxygenated, and reformulated gasoline in the total motor gasoline product supplied to the United States. The CAA regulations set minimum percentages of MTBE or ethanol in gasoline. Existing vehicles, however, could use gasoline with more than the minimum oxygenate content, so gasoline blenders could use more than the minimum level of MTBE and ethanol to improve octane and increase volume when it was economical to do so. Also in 1994, EIA began to collect data on the amounts of ethanol, MTBE, and other oxygenates used to produce gasoline. The average energy content can be calculated as the total energy input of ethanol, MTBE (through April 2006, when refiners stopped using MTBE in domestic gasoline), other oxygenates (through the end of 2006, when other oxygenates were phased out), and gasoline blendstocks divided by the number of barrels supplied to the domestic market. The volume of hydrocarbon gasoline blendstocks is obtained by backing out ethanol, MTBE, and other oxygenates as applicable from the total motor gasoline supply to the United States.
13.
Copyright © 2014
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi â Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content . Page 13 Oil prices Drop / Dive â Special Coverage Oil drops below $86 after Goldman cuts forecasts Brent crude oil fell below $86 (Dh312.24) a barrel on Monday after Goldman Sachs slashed its price forecasts, citing abundant supply and lacklustre demand despite a pick-up in global economic growth. The US investment bank said in a research note on Sunday that it had cut its forecast for Brent to $85 a barrel from $100 for the first quarter of 2015 and reduced its projection for US crude to $75 from $90. The bank said Brent could fall to $80 a barrel in the second quarter of 2015, with US crude dipping as low as $70 while rising production in non-Opec countries outside North America outstripped demand. Goldman Sachsâ move makes it the most bearish of major financial institutions that have been cutting estimates in recent weeks. Brent for December fell to a low of $84.75, down $1.38 a barrel, and was trading at around $84.80 by 1250 GMT. US crude for December was down $1.00 at $80.01 a barrel. âGoldman Sachsâ downgrade reinforces the dismal outlook,â said Eugen Weinberg, head of commodities research at Commerzbank in Frankfurt. âBearishness prevails and the market is still in the process of trying to find a new floor.â Deutsche Bank also cut its oil-price forecasts sharply on Monday, reducing its projection for Brent in 2015 to $88.75 a barrel from $103.25 and cutting its US crude oil forecast for 2015 to $80.50 from $96.25. âThe market is worried about further weakness. Doubts beget doubts as there are no indications of a clear sign of recovery in demand, while supplies are no doubt in excess,â said Ken Hasegawa, commodity sales manager at Newedge.
14.
Copyright © 2014
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi â Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content . Page 14 âItâs not at the stage where participants could buy oil wholeheartedly believing itâs a bargain now.â Oversupply has helped build up oil inventories worldwide. In the United States, for the first time since January, crude futures look poised to flip into contango, a structure in which prompt prices are below longer-dated contracts, typically signalling a weaker market. The 12-member Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries meets on November 27 to consider adjusting its output target of 30 million barrels per day for the first half of 2015. So far only a minority of members have called for an output cut. Saudi Arabia has previously sent signals it is comfortable with lower oil prices and willing to maintain high supply levels to compete for market share. Kuwaitâs oil minister has said there is no negative effect on its development plan from lower oil prices, state news agency KUNA reported on Sunday. Global oil supply remains high despite disruption in producers such as Iraq and Libya. Yemen resumed exports from its main oil pipeline on Saturday, a day after an attack by tribesmen temporarily halted flows, industry sources said. âThe oil market needs a reaction from Opec to these lower prices, one way or another,â said Weinberg at Commerzbank. âOpec either needs to say it is no longer going to protect prices and let the market find its own level, or that it will step in and balance the market by cutting production.â Gulf oil producers seen riding out price plunge AFP + NewBase Energy major Saudi Arabia and other wealthy Gulf states are set to resist pressure to tighten the taps significantly to shore up oil prices as the global economy stumbles, analysts say. Oil prices have fallen by a quarter since June as excess supply and weaker demand create a glut on world markets, prompting some other exporters to call for cuts in output. But while curbing production could help to arrest the price decline, it would also leave the Gulf states at risk of losing market share. Fortunately for the six nations of the Gulf Co- operation Council (GCC) â which sits on 40% of the worldâs oil and a quarter of its natural gas â they are flush with cash, analysts said. âThe GCC states are in a strong position to remain steadfast for a few yearsâ if there is a dispute over production, Kuwaiti oil analyst Mussa Maarafi said. âSaudi Arabia and most Gulf states will not be bothered a lot, at least in the short termâ and âwill be able to resist pressure to cut production and lose market shareâ, Maarafi, a former member of Kuwaitâs Supreme Petroleum Council, told AFP. The benchmark US oil price has fallen to levels not seen since mid-2012, while in London Brent North Sea crude is around a four-year low. The price of US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) stood at around $81 a barrel on Friday while Brent was changing hands for about $86.
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Copyright © 2014
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi â Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content . Page 15 Prices had rebounded briefly on Thursday as traders reacted to an unconfirmed report that Saudi Arabia trimmed its crude supplies slightly in September. But the recovery proved short-lived as markets grew sceptical about the report and fretted over sluggish demand. Analysts said the Gulf nations were likely to remain relatively sanguine about market conditions. âI donât think GCC states will be harmed a lot by the drop in oil prices in the short term,â Saudi economist Abdullah el-Kuwaiz told AFP. The Gulf nations have based their budgets on an oil price of $80 a barrel or less, said the former senior GCC economic official. âMost of the GCC states have built a strong fiscal cushion that allows them to bear the consequencesâ of the price fall, Kuwaiz added. Four GCC states â Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates â together produce 16mn barrels a day, accounting for more than half of the total pumped by the Opec oil exporters. The other two, Oman and Bahrain, are not members of Opec. The revenues of the GCC states, mostly from oil, rose from $366bn in 2009 to $729bn last year, according to figures from Kuwaiti investment firm KAMCO investments and the IMF. As a result, the GCC states have built fiscal reserves worth a massive $2.45tn, accumulated from the oil windfall over the past decade, according to the International Institute of Finance (IIF). Saudi Arabia â the worldâs top crude exporter â and other Gulf states have repeatedly cut crude prices for the Asian markets and shrugged off calls to reduce production or to hold an emergency Opec meeting. âStatements coming out from Saudi Arabia do not indicate that the kingdom will give up any part of its output to cool the market,â said Kuwaiz. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), Saudi Arabia actually increased its output in September to 9.73mn barrels a day, despite the market rumours to the contrary. âRiyadh appeared determined to defend its market share,â the IEA said. Analysts at the British bank HSBC estimate that Saudi Arabia has enough financial reserves to fund three full years of public spending at the current price. But while they are better placed than other producers such as Russia and Iran to ride out the storm, even the GCC states face a dimming outlook. Kuwaitâs budget surplus is expected to dive to $3.1bn this fiscal year, from $45bn last year, unless prices rebound, said the head of parliamentâs budgets committee, Adnan Abdulsamad. Kuwaiti Finance Minister Anas al-Saleh called Saturday for economic reforms by the Gulf states to diversify their economies and âreduce dependence on oilâ. Saudi Arabia for its part accounts for 22% of Opec crude reserves, 31% of its output and the bulk of the worldâs spare production capacity, said Ali Aissaoui, senior consultant at Arab Petroleum Investments Corp. Over time, however, warming Iranian relations with the West and a return to stability in Iraq could lead to production gains that âchallenge Saudi Arabiaâs leadershipâ, he added.
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Copyright © 2014
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi â Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content . Page 16 NewBase For discussion or further details on the news below you may contact us on +971504822502 , Dubai , UAE Your partner in Energy Services Khaled Malallah Al Awadi, Energy Consultant MSc. & BSc. Mechanical Engineering (HON), USA ASME member since 1995 Emarat member since 1990 Mobile : +97150-4822502 khdmohd@hawkenergy.net khdmohd@hotmail.com Khaled Al Awadi is a UAE National with a totalKhaled Al Awadi is a UAE National with a totalKhaled Al Awadi is a UAE National with a totalKhaled Al Awadi is a UAE National with a total of 24 yearsof 24 yearsof 24 yearsof 24 years of experience in theof experience in theof experience in theof experience in the Oil & GasOil & GasOil & GasOil & Gas sector. Currently working as Tsector. Currently working as Tsector. Currently working as Tsector. Currently working as Technical Affairs Specialist forechnical Affairs Specialist forechnical Affairs Specialist forechnical Affairs Specialist for Emirates General Petroleum Corp. âEmaratâ with externalEmirates General Petroleum Corp. âEmaratâ with externalEmirates General Petroleum Corp. âEmaratâ with externalEmirates General Petroleum Corp. âEmaratâ with external voluntary Energy consultation for the GCC area via Hawkvoluntary Energy consultation for the GCC area via Hawkvoluntary Energy consultation for the GCC area via Hawkvoluntary Energy consultation for the GCC area via Hawk Energy Service as a UAE operations base , Most of theEnergy Service as a UAE operations base , Most of theEnergy Service as a UAE operations base , Most of theEnergy Service as a UAE operations base , Most of the experience were spent as the Gas Operations Managerexperience were spent as the Gas Operations Managerexperience were spent as the Gas Operations Managerexperience were spent as the Gas Operations Manager inininin Emarat , responsible for Emarat Gas Pipeline Network FacilityEmarat , responsible for Emarat Gas Pipeline Network FacilityEmarat , responsible for Emarat Gas Pipeline Network FacilityEmarat , responsible for Emarat Gas Pipeline Network Facility & gas compressor stations . Through the years , he has& gas compressor stations . Through the years , he has& gas compressor stations . Through the years , he has& gas compressor stations . Through the years , he has developed great experiences in the designing & constructingdeveloped great experiences in the designing & constructingdeveloped great experiences in the designing & constructingdeveloped great experiences in the designing & constructing of gas pipelines, gas metering & regulating stations and in the engineeriof gas pipelines, gas metering & regulating stations and in the engineeriof gas pipelines, gas metering & regulating stations and in the engineeriof gas pipelines, gas metering & regulating stations and in the engineering ofng ofng ofng of supply routes. Many years were spent drafting, & compiling gas transportation , operation & maintenance agreements along withsupply routes. Many years were spent drafting, & compiling gas transportation , operation & maintenance agreements along withsupply routes. Many years were spent drafting, & compiling gas transportation , operation & maintenance agreements along withsupply routes. Many years were spent drafting, & compiling gas transportation , operation & maintenance agreements along with manymanymanymany MOUs for the local authorities. He has become a reference for many of the Oil & Gas Conferences held in the UAE andMOUs for the local authorities. He has become a reference for many of the Oil & Gas Conferences held in the UAE andMOUs for the local authorities. He has become a reference for many of the Oil & Gas Conferences held in the UAE andMOUs for the local authorities. He has become a reference for many of the Oil & Gas Conferences held in the UAE and EEEEnergy programnergy programnergy programnergy program broadcasted internationally , via GCC leading satellite Channels .broadcasted internationally , via GCC leading satellite Channels .broadcasted internationally , via GCC leading satellite Channels .broadcasted internationally , via GCC leading satellite Channels . NewBase : For discussion or further details on the news above you may contact us on +971504822502 , Dubai , UAE NewBase 28 October 2014 K. Al Awadi
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