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China in
Africa
Joshua C. Gellers, PhD
COAS Scholars Lecture Series
19 January 2022
Photo: Christopher Herwig/Reuters
Roadmap
1) Differences between traditional and
(re)emerging donors
2) Chinese development assistance,
drivers, and impacts
3) Chinese development assistance in
Africa
5) Observations about China’s role in
African development
2
4) Belt and Road Initiative and Digital
Silk Road
Donor Types
Traditional Donors
• DAC countries
• France, Germany, Japan,
Sweden, Switzerland, UK,
United States, etc.
Emerging Donors
• Non-DAC countries
• China, India, Iran, Korea,
Mexico, South Africa,
Thailand, Turkey, Vietnam,
etc.
3
(Re)emerging
Donors?
• Myth: Emerging donors like China and
India represent a new trend in foreign
aid
• Reality: (See timeline below)
4
Concerns of Traditional Donors
• Support rogue regimes, reduce
access to raw materials, shift
economic relationships away from
the West
Undermine
Western
interests abroad
• Esp. in terms of environmental
protection, good governance, and
transparency
Change the
rules of the
development
assistance game
5
A “Beijing”
Consensus?
• Myth: China has established a unique model of
development assistance intended to rival the
West’s Washington Consensus model
• Reality: BC is not a fixed package of development
aid, but a flexible approach to assistance
• Based on 8 principles of foreign aid (Enlai 1964):
– (i) equality and mutual benefit;
– (ii) respect for sovereignty with no conditions
attached;
– (iii) provided through interest‐free or low
interest loans;
– (iv) promotes self‐reliance, not dependency;
– (v) quick results;
– (vi) uses best‐quality equipment of Chinese
manufacture;
– (vii) emphasises technology transfer through
technical assistance;
– (viii) Chinese experts will live at the standard
of local experts.
6
Drivers of Chinese Foreign Assistance
Political: Promote ‘One China’ policy
Economic: Access resources & markets
Strategic: Enhance status, assert
sovereignty
7
Impacts of Chinese Foreign Assistance
Salience, lack of empirical evidence
Progress from the policy banks
The deference problem
8
A bad reputation at home and abroad
China in Africa
9
Source: www.chinaafricaloandata.org
Foreign aid or foreign assistance?
‘Rogue Aid’ to Africa?
Hypothesis Result
H1: Poor environmental credentials Non-linear
H2: Need for foreign assistance No support
H3: Plentiful natural resources No support
H4: Compete with DAC countries No support
H5: Poor institutions No support
10
Source: Gellers and Jeffords (2019)
China’s Belt and Road Initiative
11
Current BRI Footprint
12
Digital Silk Road
13
Source: Dekker et al. (2020)
DSR in Africa
14
Source: Tugendhat and Voo (2021)
DSR
Announced
Digital Silk
Road
Concerns
15
• Crowd out Western business, expand
into foreign markets, transform Chinese
economy
Commercial:
• Counter Western influence in the
developing world, shape global
technology standards, become AI
superpower
Political:
• Expand surveillance, strengthen
authoritarian regimes, control the flow
of information
Security:
China in Africa: Reflections
• A looming debt
crisis?
• Shifting power in
the global economy
• Time for the US to
rethink its strategy
16
Further Reading
17
THANK YOU.
QUESTIONS?
18
Email: josh.gellers@unf.edu
Twitter: @JoshGellers
Website: www.joshgellers.com

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China in Africa

  • 1. China in Africa Joshua C. Gellers, PhD COAS Scholars Lecture Series 19 January 2022 Photo: Christopher Herwig/Reuters
  • 2. Roadmap 1) Differences between traditional and (re)emerging donors 2) Chinese development assistance, drivers, and impacts 3) Chinese development assistance in Africa 5) Observations about China’s role in African development 2 4) Belt and Road Initiative and Digital Silk Road
  • 3. Donor Types Traditional Donors • DAC countries • France, Germany, Japan, Sweden, Switzerland, UK, United States, etc. Emerging Donors • Non-DAC countries • China, India, Iran, Korea, Mexico, South Africa, Thailand, Turkey, Vietnam, etc. 3
  • 4. (Re)emerging Donors? • Myth: Emerging donors like China and India represent a new trend in foreign aid • Reality: (See timeline below) 4
  • 5. Concerns of Traditional Donors • Support rogue regimes, reduce access to raw materials, shift economic relationships away from the West Undermine Western interests abroad • Esp. in terms of environmental protection, good governance, and transparency Change the rules of the development assistance game 5
  • 6. A “Beijing” Consensus? • Myth: China has established a unique model of development assistance intended to rival the West’s Washington Consensus model • Reality: BC is not a fixed package of development aid, but a flexible approach to assistance • Based on 8 principles of foreign aid (Enlai 1964): – (i) equality and mutual benefit; – (ii) respect for sovereignty with no conditions attached; – (iii) provided through interest‐free or low interest loans; – (iv) promotes self‐reliance, not dependency; – (v) quick results; – (vi) uses best‐quality equipment of Chinese manufacture; – (vii) emphasises technology transfer through technical assistance; – (viii) Chinese experts will live at the standard of local experts. 6
  • 7. Drivers of Chinese Foreign Assistance Political: Promote ‘One China’ policy Economic: Access resources & markets Strategic: Enhance status, assert sovereignty 7
  • 8. Impacts of Chinese Foreign Assistance Salience, lack of empirical evidence Progress from the policy banks The deference problem 8 A bad reputation at home and abroad
  • 9. China in Africa 9 Source: www.chinaafricaloandata.org Foreign aid or foreign assistance?
  • 10. ‘Rogue Aid’ to Africa? Hypothesis Result H1: Poor environmental credentials Non-linear H2: Need for foreign assistance No support H3: Plentiful natural resources No support H4: Compete with DAC countries No support H5: Poor institutions No support 10 Source: Gellers and Jeffords (2019)
  • 11. China’s Belt and Road Initiative 11
  • 13. Digital Silk Road 13 Source: Dekker et al. (2020)
  • 14. DSR in Africa 14 Source: Tugendhat and Voo (2021) DSR Announced
  • 15. Digital Silk Road Concerns 15 • Crowd out Western business, expand into foreign markets, transform Chinese economy Commercial: • Counter Western influence in the developing world, shape global technology standards, become AI superpower Political: • Expand surveillance, strengthen authoritarian regimes, control the flow of information Security:
  • 16. China in Africa: Reflections • A looming debt crisis? • Shifting power in the global economy • Time for the US to rethink its strategy 16
  • 18. THANK YOU. QUESTIONS? 18 Email: josh.gellers@unf.edu Twitter: @JoshGellers Website: www.joshgellers.com

Editor's Notes

  1. Adapted from Walz and Ramachandran (2010): https://www.files.ethz.ch/isn/134751/1425691_file_Walz_Ramachandran_Brave_New_World_FINAL.pdf.
  2. Empirical scholarship on the relationship between political factors and aid distribution has demonstrated that China is no more likely than Western donors to steer money toward countries based on their politics, and the Asian giant does not deliberately invest in countries based on their availability of natural resources (Dreher and Fuchs 2015; Gellers 2017). 
  3. Adapted from Gellers and Jeffords (2019), “Environmental Determinants of Chinese Development Finance in Africa,” Journal of Environment and Development, 28(2): 111-141: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1070496518825282.