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The Next Wave of
Communications Applications

Dr. Cullen Jennings



                              2
What I’m Going to Tell You
 Where the expenses are in deploying a large VoIP or
  collaboration system
 How the industry has systematically driven some of
  these costs towards zero
 What parts will be driven to zero next
    If you are a vendor, this will be either good news or bad news
    for you
    If you are a user, this will be good news for you




                                                                     3
4
Major Expenses
 Endpoints
    Hardware: LCD, CPU, Memory, Plastics, Power
    Software: SIP, CODECs, OS, Security, GUI & Application

 Service
    Soft Switches, Servers, & Operations
    User Support

 PSTN Connectivity
    Phone Numbers




                                                             5
Major Expenses




 Endpoints
   Hardware: LCD, CPU, Memory, Plastics, Power
   Software: SIP, CODECs, OS, Security, GUI & Application
                                                            6
Major Expenses
 Service
    Soft Switches
    Servers
    Operations
    User Support




                    7
Major Expenses




 PSTN Connectivity
    Phone Numbers


                      8
Commoditization of Support
 Support
   Better software
   Worse support builds better users
   User based support forums




                                       9
Support in 2001




           Credit for slide to Dr. Moshe Yudkowsky
                                                     10
Support in 2009




                  11
Reduced Support via Better Software




                                      12
Commoditization of Hardware
 Hardware
   Moore’s law
   Adjacent market volume




                              13
Commoditization of Software
   pen source
  O
   OS: Linux
   SIP: Vovida.org, resiprocate.org
   Security: openssl, libSRTP
   GUI: Still a bunch of work but spread over
   larger volume
   CODECs:
      Were expensive
      Now more expensive due to wideband audio
      and video



                                                 14
Central Servers & Soft Switches
 Distributed Hash Tables (DHT) allowed construction of
  large robust distributed data bases
    most fundamental advance in data structures in 20 years

 Skype led the way
    Very low operational expense compared to competition

 Simple strategy, move the computing to the edge
    Reduce cost of servers, data centers, and people to run them
      Note this is the opposite of cloud computing
                                                       Alice
 Vendors working on standardized approach                         B

    Happening at IETF P2PSIP working group                         C

                                                       Doug
                                                                       15
Phone Numbers
 Artificial scarcity
 Theory: Public ENUM
    Uses DNS as database so you can point your phone number
    where you want it to go

 Practice: Infrastructure ENUM
    Uses DNS as database so the phone company can point your
    number where they want it to go

 Score: Telcos 1, Internet 0
 Implication: VoIP has all the limitations of the PSTN
 Big Question: How to rescue your phone number from
  being held hostage?
                                                               16
Phone Numbers




 Theory: Public ENUM
   Uses DNS as database so you can point your phone number
   where you want it to go

                                                             17
Phone Numbers




 Practice: Infrastructure ENUM
    Uses DNS as database so the phone company can point your
    number where they want it to go

                                                               18
CODECs & GUIs
 Problem: Free software (think Skype, Webex, or
  Firefox) can’t practically contain CODECs that are not
  royalty free
 Narrowband Audio
   iLBC (RFC 3951) reasonable solution

 Wideband: Nothing both standard and good
    SILK, CELT (Successor to Speex & Ogg Vorbis)

 Video
    Theora

 Royalty Free CODECS will enable media in HTML
    Ease the creation of flexible GUI based on web mashups   19
IETF CODEC BOF
 IETF is considering forming a working group to develop
  CODECs with goal of being royalty free
 Facing significant opposition from current holders of
  CODEC patents
 Significant desire to do it from large users of CODECs
  in internet software clients


 Call to Action:
    Go tell the IETF the internet needs royalty free CODECs and
    the IETF is the right standards development organization to do
    this
    Send email to codec@ietf.org                                     20
IETF CODEC BOF




     Send email to codec@ietf.org




                                    21
The Future
 The internet will move to royalty free CODECs
 People will steal their phone numbers back
 DHT Technology will become increasingly common
 100% of commercial communications products will
  incorporate substantial open source
 Do It Yourself Tech support will get better. All other
  types will get worse




                                                           22
Questions




            23
24

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Cullen Jenning's Presentation at Emerging Communication Conference & Awards 2009 Europe

  • 1. 1
  • 2. The Next Wave of Communications Applications Dr. Cullen Jennings 2
  • 3. What I’m Going to Tell You  Where the expenses are in deploying a large VoIP or collaboration system  How the industry has systematically driven some of these costs towards zero  What parts will be driven to zero next If you are a vendor, this will be either good news or bad news for you If you are a user, this will be good news for you 3
  • 4. 4
  • 5. Major Expenses  Endpoints Hardware: LCD, CPU, Memory, Plastics, Power Software: SIP, CODECs, OS, Security, GUI & Application  Service Soft Switches, Servers, & Operations User Support  PSTN Connectivity   Phone Numbers 5
  • 6. Major Expenses  Endpoints Hardware: LCD, CPU, Memory, Plastics, Power Software: SIP, CODECs, OS, Security, GUI & Application 6
  • 7. Major Expenses  Service Soft Switches Servers Operations User Support 7
  • 8. Major Expenses  PSTN Connectivity   Phone Numbers 8
  • 9. Commoditization of Support  Support Better software Worse support builds better users User based support forums 9
  • 10. Support in 2001 Credit for slide to Dr. Moshe Yudkowsky 10
  • 12. Reduced Support via Better Software 12
  • 13. Commoditization of Hardware  Hardware Moore’s law Adjacent market volume 13
  • 14. Commoditization of Software   pen source O OS: Linux SIP: Vovida.org, resiprocate.org Security: openssl, libSRTP GUI: Still a bunch of work but spread over larger volume CODECs: Were expensive Now more expensive due to wideband audio and video 14
  • 15. Central Servers & Soft Switches  Distributed Hash Tables (DHT) allowed construction of large robust distributed data bases most fundamental advance in data structures in 20 years  Skype led the way Very low operational expense compared to competition  Simple strategy, move the computing to the edge Reduce cost of servers, data centers, and people to run them Note this is the opposite of cloud computing Alice  Vendors working on standardized approach B Happening at IETF P2PSIP working group C Doug 15
  • 16. Phone Numbers  Artificial scarcity  Theory: Public ENUM Uses DNS as database so you can point your phone number where you want it to go  Practice: Infrastructure ENUM Uses DNS as database so the phone company can point your number where they want it to go  Score: Telcos 1, Internet 0  Implication: VoIP has all the limitations of the PSTN  Big Question: How to rescue your phone number from being held hostage? 16
  • 17. Phone Numbers  Theory: Public ENUM Uses DNS as database so you can point your phone number where you want it to go 17
  • 18. Phone Numbers  Practice: Infrastructure ENUM Uses DNS as database so the phone company can point your number where they want it to go 18
  • 19. CODECs & GUIs  Problem: Free software (think Skype, Webex, or Firefox) can’t practically contain CODECs that are not royalty free  Narrowband Audio iLBC (RFC 3951) reasonable solution  Wideband: Nothing both standard and good SILK, CELT (Successor to Speex & Ogg Vorbis)  Video Theora  Royalty Free CODECS will enable media in HTML Ease the creation of flexible GUI based on web mashups 19
  • 20. IETF CODEC BOF  IETF is considering forming a working group to develop CODECs with goal of being royalty free  Facing significant opposition from current holders of CODEC patents  Significant desire to do it from large users of CODECs in internet software clients  Call to Action: Go tell the IETF the internet needs royalty free CODECs and the IETF is the right standards development organization to do this Send email to codec@ietf.org 20
  • 21. IETF CODEC BOF Send email to codec@ietf.org 21
  • 22. The Future  The internet will move to royalty free CODECs  People will steal their phone numbers back  DHT Technology will become increasingly common  100% of commercial communications products will incorporate substantial open source  Do It Yourself Tech support will get better. All other types will get worse 22
  • 23. Questions 23
  • 24. 24