Louise lloydreductioninfatals

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Louise lloydreductioninfatals

  1. 1. Insert the title of your Apresentation fatal casualties reduction in here Who, why and what does this mean? Presented by Name Here Louise Lloyd Date Job Title -
  2. 2. Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Who: Which road user groups? 3 Why: Vehicle safety influences 4 Why: Temporal and economic influences 5 What does this mean? Page  2
  3. 3. Aim Investigate the causes of the major reduction in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10 Page  3
  4. 4. Aim Investigate the causes of the major reduction in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10 Killed Seriously injured Casualties indexed to 2000 figure 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Page  4
  5. 5. Aim Investigate the causes of the major reduction in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10 Fatalities: A – 7,305 B – 1,901 C – 3,409 Page  5
  6. 6. Aim Investigate the causes of the major reduction in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10 Killed Seriously injured Casualties indexed to 2000 figure 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Page  6
  7. 7. Hypotheses Changes in: Page  7
  8. 8. Hypotheses Changes in: Traffic Financial stability Weather Vehicle safety Page  8
  9. 9. Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Who: Which road user groups? 3 Why: Vehicle safety influences 4 Why: Temporal and economic influences 5 What does this mean? Page  9
  10. 10. Casualty trends by road user type Killed casualty trend by casualty class Fatal casulaties indexed to 2000 figure vehicle occupant pedal cyclist motorcyclist pedestrian 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Page  10
  11. 11. Casualty trends by road user type Killed casualty trend by casualty class Vehicle occupants: A – 50% B – 70% C – 90% Page  11
  12. 12. Casualty trends by road user type Killed casualty trend by casualty class Fatal casulaties indexed to 2000 figure vehicle occupant pedal cyclist motorcyclist pedestrian 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Page  12
  13. 13. Fatal casualties by age group Page  13
  14. 14. Young driver licence holders 100 90 Proportion of population 80 70 60 Male, 17-20 50 Male, all 17+ Female, 17-20 40 Female, all 17+ 30 20 10 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Page  14
  15. 15. Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Who: Which road user groups? 3 Why: Vehicle safety influences 4 Why: Temporal and economic influences 5 What does this mean? Page  15
  16. 16. Exposure data by car class Traffic (billion kilometres) by vehicle type Minis and superminis Large saloons Small saloons Sports cars Medium saloons 4x4, people carriers 160 Traffic (billion kilometres) 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Page  16
  17. 17. Fatality rate by car type Small saloon Medium saloon large/luxury saloon Killed casualty rate Mini & superminis Sports 4X4, people carriers 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 2000 Page  17 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
  18. 18. Exposure data by car age Traffic (billion kilometres) by age of car 0-2 years 3-5 years 6-10 years 11-15 years 16+ years 160 Traffic (billion kilometres) 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Page  18
  19. 19. Exposure data by car age Traffic (billion kilometres) by age of car Severity rate for new and old cars: A – 6% v. 4% B – 6% v. 8% C – 6% v. 12% Page  19
  20. 20. Car registration year Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and seriously injured occupants Year of accident 3-5 years 6-10 years 11-15 years 16+ years 2000 9% 9% 9% 11% 13% 2010 Page  20 0-2 years 6% 7% 8% 8% 10%
  21. 21. Car registration year Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and seriously injured occupants Year of accident 3-5 years 6-10 years 11-15 years 16+ years 2000 9% 9% 9% 11% 13% 2010 Page  21 0-2 years 6% 7% 8% 8% 10%
  22. 22. Car registration year Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and seriously injured occupants Year of accident 3-5 years 6-10 years 11-15 years 16+ years 2000 9% 9% 9% 11% 13% 2010 Page  22 0-2 years 6% 7% 8% 8% 10%
  23. 23. Car secondary safety – drivers Page  23
  24. 24. Page  24 2010-11 2006-07 2002-03 1998-99 1994-95 1990-91 1986-87 1982-83 1978-79 pre-1976 Proportion of all car driver casualties killed Car secondary safety – driver fatalities Car drivers 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
  25. 25. Page  25 2010-11 2006-07 2002-03 1998-99 1994-95 1990-91 1986-87 1982-83 1978-79 pre-1976 Proportion of car driver casualties seriously injured Car secondary safety – drivers seriously injured Car driver SI 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0%
  26. 26. Page  26 2010-11 2006-07 2002-03 1998-99 1994-95 1990-91 1986-87 1982-83 1978-79 pre-1976 Proportion of all car driver casualties killed Car secondary safety – drivers Car drivers 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
  27. 27. Page  27 2010-11 2006-07 2002-03 1998-99 1994-95 1990-91 1986-87 1982-83 1978-79 pre-1976 Proportion of all pedestrian casualties killed Car secondary safety – pedestrian protection Pedestrians 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
  28. 28. Page  28 2010-11 2006-07 2002-03 1998-99 1994-95 1990-91 1986-87 1982-83 1978-79 pre-1976 Proportion of all pedestrian casualties killed Car secondary safety – pedestrian protection Pedestrians 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
  29. 29. Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Who: Which road user groups? 3 Why: Vehicle safety influences 4 Why: Temporal and economic influences 5 What does this mean? Page  29
  30. 30. Quarterly fatality numbers Page  30
  31. 31. Quarterly fatality numbers Page  31
  32. 32. Minimum quarterly temperature Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sep Oct-Dec 12 Minumum average temperature (celsius) 10 8 6 4 2 0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 -2 -4 -6 Page  32 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
  33. 33. Minimum quarterly temperature Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sep Oct-Dec 12 Minumum average temperature (celsius) 10 8 6 4 2 0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 -2 -4 -6 Page  33 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
  34. 34. Agenda 1 Introduction 2 Who: Which road user groups? 3 Why: Vehicle safety influences 4 Why: Temporal and economic influences 5 What does this mean? Page  34
  35. 35. Conclusions Traffic Financial stability Weather Vehicle safety Page  35
  36. 36. Conclusions Traffic General reduction in traffic Reduction in young male drivers Drink driving accidents reduced Small reduction in speeding Page  36
  37. 37. Conclusions Traffic General reduction in traffic Reduction in young male drivers Drink driving accidents reduced Small reduction in speeding Page  37 Financial stability
  38. 38. Conclusions No change to trend in improvements due to secondary safety Vehicle safety Page  38
  39. 39. Conclusions Progressively colder winters Weather Page  39
  40. 40. What does this mean in Surrey? and 2011 and 2012? Page  40
  41. 41. Louise Lloyd Senior Statistician 01344 770145 lklloyd@trl.co.uk Page  41

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