1. Insert the title of your
Apresentation fatal casualties
reduction in here
Who, why and what does this mean?
Presented by Name Here
Louise Lloyd Date
Job Title -

2. Agenda
1
Introduction
2
Who: Which road user groups?
3
Why: Vehicle safety influences
4
Why: Temporal and economic influences
5
What does this mean?
Page  2

3. Aim
Investigate the causes of the major reduction
in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10
Page  3

4. Aim
Investigate the causes of the major reduction
in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10
Killed
Seriously injured
Casualties indexed to 2000 figure
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Page  4

5. Aim
Investigate the causes of the major reduction
in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10
Fatalities:
A – 7,305
B – 1,901
C – 3,409
Page  5

6. Aim
Investigate the causes of the major reduction
in the number of road accident fatalities in 2007-10
Killed
Seriously injured
Casualties indexed to 2000 figure
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Page  6

7. Hypotheses
Changes in:
Page  7

8. Hypotheses
Changes in:
Traffic
Financial
stability
Weather
Vehicle
safety
Page  8

9. Agenda
1
Introduction
2
Who: Which road user groups?
3
Why: Vehicle safety influences
4
Why: Temporal and economic influences
5
What does this mean?
Page  9

10. Casualty trends by road user type
Killed casualty trend by casualty class
Fatal casulaties indexed to 2000 figure
vehicle occupant
pedal cyclist
motorcyclist
pedestrian
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Page  10

11. Casualty trends by road user type
Killed casualty trend by casualty class
Vehicle occupants:
A – 50%
B – 70%
C – 90%
Page  11

12. Casualty trends by road user type
Killed casualty trend by casualty class
Fatal casulaties indexed to 2000 figure
vehicle occupant
pedal cyclist
motorcyclist
pedestrian
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Page  12

13. Fatal casualties by age group
Page  13

14. Young driver licence holders
100
90
Proportion of population
80
70
60
Male, 17-20
50
Male, all 17+
Female, 17-20
40
Female, all 17+
30
20
10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Page  14

15. Agenda
1
Introduction
2
Who: Which road user groups?
3
Why: Vehicle safety influences
4
Why: Temporal and economic influences
5
What does this mean?
Page  15

16. Exposure data by car class
Traffic (billion kilometres) by vehicle type
Minis and superminis
Large saloons
Small saloons
Sports cars
Medium saloons
4x4, people carriers
160
Traffic (billion kilometres)
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Page  16

17. Fatality rate by car type
Small saloon
Medium saloon
large/luxury saloon
Killed casualty rate
Mini & superminis
Sports
4X4, people carriers
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
2000
Page  17
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

18. Exposure data by car age
Traffic (billion kilometres) by age of car
0-2 years
3-5 years
6-10 years
11-15 years
16+ years
160
Traffic (billion kilometres)
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Page  18

19. Exposure data by car age
Traffic (billion kilometres) by age of car
Severity rate for new and old cars:
A – 6% v. 4%
B – 6% v. 8%
C – 6% v. 12%
Page  19

20. Car registration year
Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and
seriously injured occupants
Year of
accident
3-5
years
6-10
years
11-15
years
16+
years
2000
9%
9%
9%
11%
13%
2010
Page  20
0-2
years
6%
7%
8%
8%
10%

21. Car registration year
Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and
seriously injured occupants
Year of
accident
3-5
years
6-10
years
11-15
years
16+
years
2000
9%
9%
9%
11%
13%
2010
Page  21
0-2
years
6%
7%
8%
8%
10%

22. Car registration year
Proportion of vehicle occupant fatalities for all fatally and
seriously injured occupants
Year of
accident
3-5
years
6-10
years
11-15
years
16+
years
2000
9%
9%
9%
11%
13%
2010
Page  22
0-2
years
6%
7%
8%
8%
10%

23. Car secondary safety – drivers
Page  23

24. Page  24
2010-11
2006-07
2002-03
1998-99
1994-95
1990-91
1986-87
1982-83
1978-79
pre-1976
Proportion of all car driver casualties killed
Car secondary safety – driver fatalities
Car drivers
1.0%
0.8%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%

25. Page  25
2010-11
2006-07
2002-03
1998-99
1994-95
1990-91
1986-87
1982-83
1978-79
pre-1976
Proportion of car driver casualties seriously
injured
Car secondary safety – drivers seriously injured
Car driver SI
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%

26. Page  26
2010-11
2006-07
2002-03
1998-99
1994-95
1990-91
1986-87
1982-83
1978-79
pre-1976
Proportion of all car driver casualties killed
Car secondary safety – drivers
Car drivers
1.0%
0.8%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%

27. Page  27
2010-11
2006-07
2002-03
1998-99
1994-95
1990-91
1986-87
1982-83
1978-79
pre-1976
Proportion of all pedestrian casualties killed
Car secondary safety – pedestrian protection
Pedestrians
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%

28. Page  28
2010-11
2006-07
2002-03
1998-99
1994-95
1990-91
1986-87
1982-83
1978-79
pre-1976
Proportion of all pedestrian casualties killed
Car secondary safety – pedestrian protection
Pedestrians
2.0%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%

29. Agenda
1
Introduction
2
Who: Which road user groups?
3
Why: Vehicle safety influences
4
Why: Temporal and economic influences
5
What does this mean?
Page  29

30. Quarterly fatality numbers
Page  30

31. Quarterly fatality numbers
Page  31

32. Minimum quarterly temperature
Jan-Mar
Apr-Jun
Jul-Sep
Oct-Dec
12
Minumum average temperature (celsius)
10
8
6
4
2
0
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
-2
-4
-6
Page  32
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

33. Minimum quarterly temperature
Jan-Mar
Apr-Jun
Jul-Sep
Oct-Dec
12
Minumum average temperature (celsius)
10
8
6
4
2
0
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
-2
-4
-6
Page  33
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

34. Agenda
1
Introduction
2
Who: Which road user groups?
3
Why: Vehicle safety influences
4
Why: Temporal and economic influences
5
What does this mean?
Page  34

35. Conclusions
Traffic
Financial
stability
Weather
Vehicle
safety
Page  35

36. Conclusions
Traffic
General reduction in traffic
Reduction in young male drivers
Drink driving accidents reduced
Small reduction in speeding
Page  36

37. Conclusions
Traffic
General reduction in traffic
Reduction in young male drivers
Drink driving accidents reduced
Small reduction in speeding
Page  37
Financial
stability

38. Conclusions
No change to trend in improvements due to
secondary safety
Vehicle
safety
Page  38

39. Conclusions
Progressively colder winters
Weather
Page  39

40. What does this mean in Surrey?
and 2011 and 2012?
Page  40

41. Louise Lloyd
Senior Statistician
01344 770145
lklloyd@trl.co.uk
Page  41