Manajemen Proyek P2

3. Informasi pendukung
• Materi tiap pertemuan, download dari: slideshare
• Reference, download melalui : gen.lib.rus.ec
• Jounral atau hasil penelitian, download dari: Google scholar.com

5. References
Main Readings
1. Dennis Lock. 2007. Project Management. Ninth Edition. Gower Publishing Company, USA.
2. R.C. Mishra & Tarun Soota. 2005. Modern Project Management. New Age International (P) Limited,
Publisher.
3. John C. Goodpasture, PMP. 2004. Quantitative Methods In Project Management. J. Ross Publishing,
Inc., USA.
Supporting Readings
4. Harvey Maylor.2003. Project Management. Third Edition. Pearson Education, Ltd Gary R.
5. Heerkens, PMP. 2002. Project Management. MvGrow-Hill, USA.
6. Sidney M. Levi. 2005. Project Management in Construction. Fifth Edition. McGrow-Hill.

7. (1) (2) (3)
(4) (5)
(6)

8. RPS Manajemen Proyek
1. Introduction to project management, factors for project success or
failure, defining the project task
2. Estimating the project cost
3. First steps in planning the timescale
4. Financial appraisal and the business plan (2x)
5. Uncertainty and Risk
6. Project organization
7. Work breakdown structure
8. Detailed Planning
9. Scheduling (2x)
10.Managing project strat-up and commercial
11.Managing procurement, progress, changes, and project costs
12.Earned-value analysis and reporting

9. PROJECT MANAGEMENT

10. ESTIMATING THE PROJECT COST

12. Type of Project
 Type 1 projects: civil engineering, construction, petrochemical, mining
and quarrying
 Type 2 projects: manufacturing
 Type 3 projects: IT projects and projects associated with management
change
 Type 4 projects: projects for pure scientific research

13. ESTIMATING THE PROJECT COST

22. Estimasi Cost dan Revenue
• Analisis cash flow
• Financial projection dan cash flow
• Pendekatan “the time value of money” menilai kelayak proyek
1. Net present value (NPV)  layak: NPV ≥ 0
2. Benefit cost ratio (B/C ratio)  layak: B/C ratio ≥ 1
3. Internal rate of return (IRR)  layak: IRR ≥ cost of capital
4. Modified internal rate of return (MIRR) layak: MIRR ≥ cost of capital
• Discount factor (DF) :
DF=
1
(1+𝑖) 𝑛
dimana: i=discount rate, n=tahun

23. Th Quantitity Price Total Total Cash Cash OutF Net
of sales perunit Revenue B baku TK langs Overhead Total CGS Sales Ex Gen Ex AdmEx Total OpEx Cost Inflow (Int Inv) Cashflow
1 2 3 4=2x3 5 6 7 8=5+6+7 9 10 11 12=9+10+11 13= 8+12 14=4-13 15 16=14-15
0 100,000 -100,000
1 2,100 25 52,500 11,550 5,250 2,100 18,900 6,300 3,780 2,520 12,600 31,500 21,000 21,000
2 2,000 25 50,000 11,000 5,000 2,000 18,000 6,000 3,600 2,400 12,000 30,000 20,000 20,000
3 1,900 25 47,500 10,450 4,750 1,900 17,100 5,700 3,420 2,280 11,400 28,500 19,000 19,000
4 1,800 25 45,000 9,900 4,500 1,800 16,200 5,400 3,240 2,160 10,800 27,000 18,000 18,000
5 1,700 25 42,500 9,350 4,250 1,700 15,300 5,100 3,060 2,040 10,200 25,500 17,000 17,000
6 1,600 25 40,000 8,800 4,000 1,600 14,400 4,800 2,880 1,920 9,600 24,000 16,000 16,000
7 1,500 25 37,500 8,250 3,750 1,500 13,500 4,500 2,700 1,800 9,000 22,500 15,000 15,000
8 1,400 25 35,000 7,700 3,500 1,400 12,600 4,200 2,520 1,680 8,400 21,000 14,000 14,000
9 1,300 25 32,500 7,150 3,250 1,300 11,700 3,900 2,340 1,560 7,800 19,500 13,000 13,000
10 1,200 25 30,000 6,600 3,000 1,200 10,800 3,600 2,160 1,440 7,200 18,000 12,000 12,000
Total 16,500 250 412,500 90,750 41,250 16,500 148,500 49,500 29,700 19,800 99,000 247,500 165,000 100,000 65,000
Catatan:
- Asumsi mempengaruhi nilai cash inflow dan cash outflow
Cost of goods sold Operation expences
ANALISIS CASH FLOW TH 2021-2030 - PROYEK A

24. Th Cash Cash Net DF Present Value Prsent Value Net Present
Inflow Outflow Cash Flow 10% Cash inflow Cash Outflow Value (NPV)
1 2 3 4=2-3 5 6=2x5 7=3x5 8=6-7
0 - 100,000 100,000- 1.000 - 100,000 -100,000
1 21,000 - 21,000 0.909 19,091 - 19,091
2 20,000 - 20,000 0.826 16,529 - 16,529
3 19,000 - 19,000 0.751 14,275 - 14,275
4 18,000 - 18,000 0.683 12,294 - 12,294
5 17,000 - 17,000 0.621 10,556 - 10,556
6 16,000 - 16,000 0.564 9,032 - 9,032
7 15,000 - 15,000 0.513 7,697 - 7,697
8 14,000 - 14,000 0.467 6,531 - 6,531
9 13,000 - 13,000 0.424 5,513 - 5,513
10 12,000 - 12,000 0.386 4,627 - 4,627
Total 165,000 100,000 65,000 7.145 106,145 100,000 6,145
IRR = 11.57% NPV = 6,145 Layak
B/C ratio = 1.06 Layak
ANALISIS CASH FLOW TAHUN2021 - 2030 - PROYEK A

25. Th Quantitity Price Total Total Cash Cash OutF Net
of sales perunit Revenue B baku TK langs Overhead Total CGS Sales Ex Gen Ex AdmEx Total OpEx Cost Inflow (Int Inv) Cashflow
1 2 3 4=2x3 5 6 7 8=5+6+7 9 10 11 12=9+10+11 13= 8+12 14=4-13 15 16=14-15
0 100,000 -100,000
1 1,200 25 30,000 6,600 3,000 1,200 10,800 3,600 2,160 1,440 7,200 18,000 12,000 12,000
2 1,300 25 32,500 7,150 3,250 1,300 11,700 3,900 2,340 1,560 7,800 19,500 13,000 13,000
3 1,400 25 35,000 7,700 3,500 1,400 12,600 4,200 2,520 1,680 8,400 21,000 14,000 14,000
4 1,500 25 37,500 8,250 3,750 1,500 13,500 4,500 2,700 1,800 9,000 22,500 15,000 15,000
5 1,600 25 40,000 8,800 4,000 1,600 14,400 4,800 2,880 1,920 9,600 24,000 16,000 16,000
6 1,700 25 42,500 9,350 4,250 1,700 15,300 5,100 3,060 2,040 10,200 25,500 17,000 17,000
7 1,800 25 45,000 9,900 4,500 1,800 16,200 5,400 3,240 2,160 10,800 27,000 18,000 18,000
8 1,900 25 47,500 10,450 4,750 1,900 17,100 5,700 3,420 2,280 11,400 28,500 19,000 19,000
9 2,000 25 50,000 11,000 5,000 2,000 18,000 6,000 3,600 2,400 12,000 30,000 20,000 20,000
10 2,100 25 52,500 11,550 5,250 2,100 18,900 6,300 3,780 2,520 12,600 31,500 21,000 21,000
Total 16,500 250 412,500 90,750 41,250 16,500 148,500 49,500 29,700 19,800 99,000 247,500 165,000 100,000 65,000
Catatan:
- Asumsi mempengaruhi nilai cash inflow dan cash outflow
Cost of goods sold Operation expences
ANALISIS CASH FLOW TH 2021-2030 - PROYEK B

26. Th Cash Cash Net DF Present Value Prsent Value Net Present
Inflow Outflow Cash Flow 10% Cash inflow Cash Outflow Value (NPV)
1 2 3 4=2-3 5 6=2x5 7=3x5 8=6-7
0 - 100,000 100,000- 1.000 - 100,000 -100,000
1 12,000 - 12,000 0.909 10,909 - 10,909
2 13,000 - 13,000 0.826 10,744 - 10,744
3 14,000 - 14,000 0.751 10,518 - 10,518
4 15,000 - 15,000 0.683 10,245 - 10,245
5 16,000 - 16,000 0.621 9,935 - 9,935
6 17,000 - 17,000 0.564 9,596 - 9,596
7 18,000 - 18,000 0.513 9,237 - 9,237
8 19,000 - 19,000 0.467 8,864 - 8,864
9 20,000 - 20,000 0.424 8,482 - 8,482
10 21,000 - 21,000 0.386 8,096 - 8,096
Total 165,000 100,000 65,000 7.145 96,626 100,000 -3,374
IRR = 9.28% NPV = -3,374 Tidak Layak
B/C ratio = 0.97 Tidak Layak
ANALISIS CASH FLOW TAHUN2021 - 2030 - PROYEK B

27. Th Quantitity Price Total Total Cash Cash OutF Net
of sales perunit Revenue B baku TK langs Overhead Total CGS Sales Ex Gen Ex AdmEx Total OpEx Cost Inflow (Int Inv) Cashflow
1 2 3 4=2x3 5 6 7 8=5+6+7 9 10 11 12=9+10+11 13= 8+12 14=4-13 15 16=14-15
0 100,000 -100,000
1 1,650 25 41,250 9,075 4,125 1,650 14,850 4,950 2,970 1,980 9,900 24,750 16,500 16,500
2 1,650 25 41,250 9,075 4,125 1,650 14,850 4,950 2,970 1,980 9,900 24,750 16,500 16,500
3 1,650 25 41,250 9,075 4,125 1,650 14,850 4,950 2,970 1,980 9,900 24,750 16,500 16,500
4 1,650 25 41,250 9,075 4,125 1,650 14,850 4,950 2,970 1,980 9,900 24,750 16,500 16,500
5 1,650 25 41,250 9,075 4,125 1,650 14,850 4,950 2,970 1,980 9,900 24,750 16,500 16,500
6 1,650 25 41,250 9,075 4,125 1,650 14,850 4,950 2,970 1,980 9,900 24,750 16,500 16,500
7 1,650 25 41,250 9,075 4,125 1,650 14,850 4,950 2,970 1,980 9,900 24,750 16,500 16,500
8 1,650 25 41,250 9,075 4,125 1,650 14,850 4,950 2,970 1,980 9,900 24,750 16,500 16,500
9 1,650 25 41,250 9,075 4,125 1,650 14,850 4,950 2,970 1,980 9,900 24,750 16,500 16,500
10 1,650 25 41,250 9,075 4,125 1,650 14,850 4,950 2,970 1,980 9,900 24,750 16,500 16,500
Total 16,500 250 412,500 90,750 41,250 16,500 148,500 49,500 29,700 19,800 99,000 247,500 165,000 100,000 65,000
Catatan:
- Asumsi mempengaruhi nilai cash inflow dan cash outflow
ANALISIS CASH FLOW TH 2021-2030 - PROYEK C
Cost of goods sold Operation expences

28. Th Cash Cash Net DF Present Value Prsent Value Net Present
Inflow Outflow Cash Flow 10% Cash inflow Cash Outflow Value (NPV)
1 2 3 4=2-3 5 6=2x5 7=3x5 8=6-7
0 - 100,000 100,000- 1.000 - 100,000 -100,000
1 16,500 - 16,500 0.909 15,000 - 15,000
2 16,500 - 16,500 0.826 13,636 - 13,636
3 16,500 - 16,500 0.751 12,397 - 12,397
4 16,500 - 16,500 0.683 11,270 - 11,270
5 16,500 - 16,500 0.621 10,245 - 10,245
6 16,500 - 16,500 0.564 9,314 - 9,314
7 16,500 - 16,500 0.513 8,467 - 8,467
8 16,500 - 16,500 0.467 7,697 - 7,697
9 16,500 - 16,500 0.424 6,998 - 6,998
10 16,500 - 16,500 0.386 6,361 - 6,361
Total 165,000 100,000 65,000 7.145 101,385 100,000 1,385
IRR = 10.32% NPV = 1,385 Layak
B/C ratio = 1.01 Layak
ANALISIS CASH FLOW TAHUN2021 - 2030 - PROYEK C