SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 203
Download to read offline
1
This presentation is BEST seen in
Slide Show Mode…
2
3
The Future of Texas:
The Fastest Growing State in the Union
Developed and presented by:
Prof. Rodney Hill
Presidential Professor for Teaching Excellence, & Professor,
Department of Architecture at Texas A&M University
&
Dr. Jorge Vanegas
Dean, College of Architecture, & Professor,
Department of Architecture at Texas A&M University; and
Research Professor, Texas Engineering Experiment Station at Texas A&M University System
HOWDY!
1
PART
We live in a
world…
…full of
intersections
…and how we handle these
intersections can determine if we can
keep on going…
…or we crash…
So, imagine
that you/we
(or as they
say… y’all)
live in Texas.
What is in
the horizon
for all of us?
Predictions
Prognostications
Forecasts
Guesses
“It is said
that the
present is
pregnant
with the
future.”
Voltaire
… And the present is the
offspring of the past…
We also need to remember that
the Future arrives every second
as today’s reality, and it does not
have “Stop,” “Pause,” “Rewind,”
“Fast Forward,” “Eject,” “Mute,”
or “Reset” buttons….
And when the future
arrives…
It may cause us to…
FREEZE…
Or, it may cause us to want
to…
FLEE…
Or, it may cause us to want
to…
FIGHT…
Regardless, before it
arrives, in facing the
future, we have
choices we can
make…
We may choose to contribute
to make the Future we want
happen, as…
ACTORS…
We may choose to just wait
and see what Future will
happen, as…
SPECTATORS…
Or, when whatever Future
arrives:
We may choose to ask
“what happened?”
as…
CRITICS…
Or worse, when whatever
Future arrives:
We may choose to just say
“huh, something
happened?”
as…
OBLIVIOUS
BYSTANDERS…
And, will the choices we make allow
us to ride the wave of the future as
individuals...?
Or be dragged under by it...?
Will the realities we will face along
the way crush us...?
Or, will we be able to face them
together with others, in teams or in
organizations...?
2
PART
 
	
  
	
  
While	
  the	
  U.S.	
  as	
  a	
  whole	
  won’t	
  
experience	
  the	
  perfect	
  storm	
  that	
  
popula8on	
  growth	
  will	
  bring	
  by	
  
2050	
  like	
  in	
  Asia,	
  Africa,	
  India	
  and	
  
Central	
  and	
  South	
  America,	
  	
  
but	
  Texas	
  will!	
  
The	
  three	
  largest	
  states	
  by	
  popula8on	
  
are	
  California,	
  Texas	
  and	
  New	
  York.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Texas	
  is	
  growing	
  faster	
  than	
  any	
  state	
  
in	
  the	
  union	
  and	
  will	
  capture	
  25%	
  of	
  
US	
  popula8on	
  growth	
  by	
  2050.	
  
	
  
In	
  June	
  of	
  2014,	
  Texas	
  unemployment	
  
rate	
  was	
  5.1%.	
  
Texas	
  has	
  seen	
  a	
  19%	
  GDP	
  compared	
  
to	
  5%	
  for	
  the	
  USA.	
  
From	
  2005-­‐2010,	
  Texas	
  gained	
  
636,639	
  residents	
  from	
  other	
  states	
  
and	
  they	
  brought,	
  on	
  net,	
  $14.4	
  billion	
  
in	
  adjusted	
  gross	
  income.	
  
Texas	
  has	
  a	
  AAA	
  credit	
  ra8ng	
  from	
  
Standard	
  and	
  Poor.	
  
Economics	
  21,	
  ManhaYan	
  Ins8tute	
  Aug.	
  19,	
  2014	
  
 
	
  
	
  
People	
  moving	
  to	
  Texas	
  from	
  
California	
  or	
  New	
  York	
  will	
  
probably	
  take	
  a	
  pay	
  cut	
  but	
  but	
  
nonetheless	
  enjoy	
  a	
  higher	
  
disposable	
  income.	
  
The	
  Economist,	
  Oct.	
  4,	
  2014	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
There	
  are	
  around	
  2000	
  people	
  
moving	
  to	
  Texas	
  every	
  day!	
  	
  
Where	
  are	
  they	
  going?	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Texas	
  will	
  grow	
  from	
  25	
  million	
  to	
  55	
  
million	
  by	
  2050	
  and	
  will	
  increase	
  the	
  
compe88on	
  for	
  water	
  and	
  electricity.	
  
Aljazeera	
  America,	
  July	
  29,	
  2014	
  
	
  
If	
  you're	
  hun8ng	
  for	
  a	
  great	
  city	
  in	
  
which	
  to	
  work	
  -­‐-­‐	
  or	
  a	
  place	
  that's	
  
economically	
  booming	
  in	
  general	
  -­‐-­‐	
  
then	
  we've	
  got	
  a	
  crop	
  for	
  you.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
(Spoiler	
  alert:	
  Texas	
  is	
  the	
  place	
  to	
  go.)	
  
Huffington	
  Post,	
  Jan.	
  13,	
  2015	
  
	
  
 
Texas	
  is	
  has	
  ten	
  cites	
  listed	
  as	
  the	
  most	
  
produc3ve	
  &	
  economically	
  booming	
  ci3es	
  in	
  
America!	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Aus8n	
  and	
  area	
  are	
  #2	
  
Houston	
  area	
  is	
  #7	
  
Ft.	
  Worth/Arlington,	
  TX.	
  Is	
  #8	
  
Dallas,	
  TX.	
  Is	
  #9	
  
San	
  Antonio	
  is	
  #10	
  
	
  
 
	
  
	
  
Fast	
  Company	
  lists	
  the	
  top	
  20	
  ci8es	
  
where	
  crea8ve	
  jobs	
  are.	
  
Aus8n	
  is	
  #1	
  
Houston	
  is	
  #6	
  
Dallas	
  is	
  #14	
  
Fast	
  Company,	
  June	
  25,	
  2015	
  
The	
  top	
  ten	
  list	
  of	
  best	
  ci8es	
  for	
  
Hispanics/La8nos	
  to	
  thrive	
  show	
  
Houston,	
  Dallas-­‐Fort	
  Worth,	
  Aus8n	
  
and	
  San	
  Antonio.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  top	
  ten	
  list	
  of	
  best	
  ci8es	
  for	
  Asian	
  
Americans	
  to	
  thrive	
  show	
  Houston,	
  
Dallas-­‐Ft.	
  Worth,	
  and	
  Aus8n.	
  
Fast	
  Company,	
  June	
  11,	
  2015	
  	
  
 
	
  
Aus8n	
  has	
  set	
  the	
  pace	
  for	
  
popula8on	
  growth	
  in	
  the	
  state.	
  	
  
Its	
  popula8on	
  grew	
  37%	
  in	
  the	
  
decade	
  ending	
  n	
  2010.	
  
Associated	
  Press,	
  March	
  7,	
  2015	
  
Aus8n	
  is	
  number	
  one	
  and	
  Houston	
  is	
  
the	
  number	
  two	
  most	
  overvalued	
  
housing	
  market	
  in	
  the	
  US.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  If	
  the	
  roaring	
  economy	
  slows	
  the	
  real	
  
estate	
  prices	
  will	
  likely	
  just	
  stagnate.	
  
Real	
  Estate	
  Confiden8al,	
  June	
  15,	
  2015	
  	
  
Houston	
  is	
  trying	
  to	
  build	
  a	
  city	
  
that	
  is	
  innova8ve,	
  exci8ng,	
  
entrepreneurial	
  and	
  sustainable.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
As	
  a	
  result	
  its	
  popula8on	
  of	
  young	
  
college	
  graduates	
  grew	
  more	
  
quickly	
  between	
  2000	
  &	
  2010	
  than	
  
any	
  other	
  major	
  metropolis.	
  
Fast	
  Company,	
  July	
  2015	
  
The	
  State	
  of	
  Texas	
  Demographer	
  
says	
  that	
  migrants	
  tend	
  to	
  be	
  
younger,	
  and	
  can	
  help	
  maintain	
  a	
  
high	
  worker	
  to	
  re8ree	
  ra8o.	
  	
  
Associated	
  Press,	
  March	
  7,	
  2015	
  
 
	
  
	
  
35,000	
  people	
  moved	
  to	
  Houston	
  
in	
  2013	
  and	
  is	
  second	
  to	
  only	
  New	
  
York	
  City	
  in	
  total	
  popula8on	
  
growth.	
  
Houston	
  was	
  the	
  first	
  major	
  city	
  to	
  
regain	
  all	
  of	
  their	
  jobs	
  aner	
  the	
  
crash,	
  but	
  as	
  of	
  2013,	
  Houston	
  had	
  
also	
  added	
  two	
  more	
  jobs	
  for	
  every	
  
one	
  lost.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
And	
  in	
  2014,	
  Houston	
  had	
  the	
  
highest	
  job	
  crea8on	
  index	
  score.	
  
 
	
  
	
  
Houston	
  has	
  passed	
  NYC	
  to	
  
become	
  the	
  most	
  ethnically	
  
diverse	
  city	
  in	
  the	
  United	
  States.	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
With	
  21	
  hospitals,	
  eight	
  academic	
  
and	
  research	
  ins8tu8ons,	
  and	
  50	
  
related	
  organiza8ons,	
  Houston	
  has	
  
the	
  largest	
  medical	
  center	
  in	
  the	
  
en8re	
  world.	
  
Houston	
  has	
  more	
  parks	
  and	
  green	
  
space	
  than	
  any	
  other	
  top	
  10	
  
metropolitan	
  area	
  city.	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
Houston,	
  long	
  as	
  a	
  bas8on	
  of	
  the	
  
oil	
  and	
  gas	
  industry,	
  has	
  also	
  
become	
  a	
  green	
  leader,	
  geong	
  
50%	
  of	
  its	
  energy	
  from	
  renewable	
  
sources.	
  
Fast	
  Company,	
  July	
  2015	
  
Forbes	
  said	
  Houston	
  will	
  widely	
  be	
  considered	
  
America’s	
  “next	
  great	
  global	
  city”	
  by	
  2023.	
  
Houston	
  has	
  the	
  most	
  Fortune	
  500	
  companies	
  
outside	
  of	
  NYC.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
In	
  August,	
  more	
  new-­‐home	
  permits	
  were	
  issued	
  
in	
  Houston	
  than	
  in	
  the	
  en8re	
  state	
  of	
  California.	
  
	
  Twice	
  as	
  much	
  office	
  space	
  is	
  being	
  built	
  in	
  
Houston	
  as	
  in	
  New	
  York	
  City.	
  
Bloomberg	
  Businessweek,	
  Dec.	
  22,	
  2014	
  
	
  
At	
  more	
  than	
  $500	
  billion,	
  Houston’s	
  regional	
  economy	
  
is	
  now	
  the	
  fourth-­‐largest	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  Over	
  the	
  past	
  
decade,	
  Houston	
  has	
  added	
  more	
  jobs—628,000—than	
  
exist	
  in	
  all	
  of	
  New	
  Orleans.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
In	
  August,	
  more	
  new-­‐home	
  permits	
  were	
  issued	
  in	
  
Houston	
  than	
  in	
  the	
  en8re	
  state	
  of	
  California.	
  
	
  Twice	
  as	
  much	
  office	
  space	
  is	
  being	
  built	
  in	
  Houston	
  as	
  
in	
  New	
  York	
  City.	
  
Bloomberg	
  Businessweek,	
  Dec.	
  22,	
  2014	
  
Houston	
  won’t	
  stop	
  growing	
  completely	
  due	
  to	
  
the	
  oil	
  prices.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  Patrick	
  Jankowski,	
  the	
  resident	
  research	
  
economist	
  at	
  the	
  Greater	
  Houston	
  Partnership,	
  	
  
says	
  Houston	
  will	
  create	
  62,900	
  jobs	
  in	
  2015	
  
despite	
  losing	
  about	
  9,000	
  energy	
  jobs.	
  
Bloomberg	
  Businessweek,	
  Dec.	
  22,	
  2014	
  
Today	
  energy	
  makes	
  up	
  	
  38	
  percent	
  of	
  
Houston’s	
  economy,	
  says	
  Jankowski.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  Houston’s	
  port	
  is	
  now	
  the	
  biggest	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  	
  
Its	
  Texas	
  Medical	
  Center	
  is	
  the	
  largest	
  medical	
  
complex	
  in	
  the	
  world.	
  	
  
Growth	
  in	
  Houston	
  has	
  been	
  so	
  strong	
  recently	
  
that	
  the	
  supply	
  of	
  homes	
  is	
  s8ll	
  8ght.	
  
Bloomberg	
  Businessweek,	
  Dec.	
  22,	
  2014	
  
 
	
  
	
  
Aner	
  the	
  plunge	
  in	
  oil	
  prices,	
  the	
  
Lone	
  Star	
  State	
  has	
  been	
  able	
  to	
  
muddle	
  through	
  thanks	
  to	
  the	
  s8ll-­‐
booming	
  Dallas-­‐Fort	
  Worth	
  metro	
  
region,	
  The	
  na8on’s	
  fourth	
  largest	
  
with	
  nearly	
  seven	
  million	
  people.	
  
Wall	
  Street	
  Journal,	
  June	
  18,	
  2015	
  
Dallas-­‐Ft.	
  Worth	
  lost	
  more	
  than	
  100,000	
  jobs	
  
during	
  the	
  recession,	
  but	
  it	
  has	
  added	
  nearly	
  
four	
  8mes	
  that	
  number	
  since	
  then.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Thanks	
  to	
  its	
  thriving	
  business-­‐services	
  and	
  tech	
  
sectors,	
  the	
  area	
  has	
  added	
  36,000	
  jobs	
  since	
  
October	
  2014,	
  when	
  oil	
  prices	
  started	
  to	
  
nosedive.	
  
Wall	
  Street	
  Journal,	
  June	
  18,	
  2015	
  
 The	
  migra8on	
  of	
  large	
  financial	
  companies	
  
(	
  State	
  Farm,	
  Liberty	
  Mutual	
  etc.)	
  to	
  DFW	
  
will	
  con8nue	
  &	
  may	
  escalate.	
  
Toyota	
  is	
  moving	
  to	
  Plano,	
  a	
  Dallas	
  suburb.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  DFW	
  will	
  	
  be	
  3rd	
  largest	
  economy	
  	
  
in	
  the	
  USA	
  by	
  2030,	
  behind	
  NYC	
  &	
  LA.	
  
·∙	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
In	
  Texas,	
  oil	
  and	
  gas	
  loom	
  as	
  a	
  defining	
  characteris8c,	
  
but	
  the	
  role	
  they	
  play	
  in	
  the	
  state	
  economy,	
  while	
  
sizable,	
  has	
  diminished	
  in	
  recent	
  years	
  as	
  other	
  
industries,	
  such	
  as	
  health	
  care,	
  biotechnology	
  and	
  
sonware,	
  have	
  grown.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  Oil	
  and	
  gas	
  jobs	
  make	
  up	
  only	
  about	
  3	
  percent	
  of	
  
nonagricultural	
  jobs	
  in	
  Texas,	
  a	
  far	
  lower	
  share	
  than	
  
government	
  (16	
  percent)	
  and	
  educa8on	
  and	
  health	
  
services	
  (13	
  percent).	
  
New	
  York	
  Times,	
  Dec.	
  26,	
  2014	
  
The	
  San	
  Antonio	
  metro	
  area	
  now	
  has	
  a	
  
burgeoning	
  biotech	
  sector	
  and	
  Aus8n	
  has	
  
the	
  lowest	
  unemployment	
  rate	
  among	
  the	
  
na8on’s	
  largest	
  metro	
  areas.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  Because	
  of	
  its	
  economic	
  hen	
  and	
  size,	
  
Dallas	
  will	
  play	
  a	
  bigger	
  role	
  in	
  determining	
  
the	
  rate	
  of	
  Texas’	
  growth.	
  
Wall	
  Street	
  Journal,	
  June	
  18,	
  2015	
  
 	
  	
  	
  
	
  
Oil	
  is	
  only	
  10%	
  of	
  Texas	
  economy	
  today	
  vs.	
  
28%	
  in	
  1980.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  Dallas/Ft.	
  Worth	
  economy	
  will	
  have	
  a	
  net	
  
benefit	
  from	
  lower	
  oil	
  prices.	
  
·∙	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
Texas	
  has	
  added	
  nearly	
  1	
  million	
  workers	
  to	
  payrolls	
  
since	
  the	
  trough	
  of	
  the	
  recession,	
  and	
  its	
  share	
  of	
  U.S.	
  
nonfarm	
  payrolls	
  now	
  stands	
  at	
  8.2%	
  compared	
  with	
  
7.8%	
  in	
  2008.	
  
Texas	
  has	
  gained	
  1	
  Million	
  people	
  from	
  other	
  states	
  
since	
  2000.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Time	
  Magazine,	
  Oct.	
  2013:	
  “More	
  than	
  any	
  other	
  state,	
  
Texas	
  looks	
  like	
  the	
  future.”	
  
Business	
  Insider,	
  Nov.	
  23,	
  2013	
  
“I	
  foresee	
  Texas	
  being	
  the	
  
economic	
  magnet	
  that	
  it	
  is,	
  
con8nuing	
  to	
  grow	
  and	
  diversify	
  its	
  
economy,	
  so	
  that	
  any	
  drop	
  in	
  the	
  
price	
  of	
  oil	
  will	
  be	
  minimized,”	
  said	
  
Greg	
  AbboY,	
  the	
  Governor	
  of	
  
Texas.	
  
New	
  York	
  Times,	
  Dec.	
  26,	
  2014	
  
Texas	
  is	
  paying	
  one	
  million	
  dollars	
  
a	
  year	
  for	
  a	
  New	
  York	
  vault	
  to	
  store	
  
close	
  to	
  one	
  billion	
  worth	
  of	
  gold	
  
bars.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  2015	
  State	
  Legislature	
  voted	
  to	
  
store	
  it	
  in	
  Aus8n.	
  	
  
PBS	
  NEWSHOUR,	
  July	
  5,	
  2015	
  
What could be
innovated today that
will put Texas in
business tomorrow?
Will	
  Texas	
  create	
  the	
  future	
  
or	
  will	
  Texas	
  only	
  react	
  to	
  
immediate	
  cri8cal	
  events	
  
that	
  could	
  have	
  been	
  
avoided	
  through	
  future	
  
forecas8ng?	
  
Can	
  you	
  build	
  a	
  city	
  of	
  750,000	
  every	
  year	
  for	
  
the	
  next	
  35	
  years	
  in	
  Texas?	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  How	
  will	
  you	
  keep	
  expanding	
  present	
  ci3es	
  
and	
  deal	
  with	
  transporta3on,	
  infrastructure,	
  
water,	
  energy	
  and	
  food?	
  
How	
  many	
  power	
  plants	
  will	
  have	
  to	
  be	
  built	
  or	
  
what	
  system(s)	
  will	
  be	
  supplying	
  the	
  energy?	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
In	
  Texas,	
  will	
  we	
  populate	
  the	
  ci3es,	
  
and	
  then	
  plan	
  them?	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
Currently,	
  NO	
  system	
  can	
  
feasibly	
  plan	
  &	
  create	
  the	
  
infrastructure	
  for	
  those	
  ci8es	
  or	
  
a	
  construc8on	
  system	
  to	
  build	
  
ci8es	
  at	
  that	
  speed.	
  
This	
  is	
  an	
  
unprecedented	
  era	
  of	
  
accelera8ng	
  change	
  in	
  
human	
  existence	
  where	
  
the	
  past	
  will	
  no	
  longer	
  
predict	
  the	
  future.	
  
 
Can	
  you	
  double	
  the	
  number	
  of	
  schools,	
  
hospitals	
  and	
  universi8es	
  in	
  35	
  years	
  in	
  
Texas?	
  
	
  
	
  Who	
  will	
  pay	
  for	
  the	
  construc8on?	
  	
  	
  
Can	
  you	
  double	
  the	
  number	
  of	
  
teachers	
  and	
  doctors	
  in	
  35	
  years?	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
Katy,	
  Texas,	
  a	
  suburb	
  of	
  Houston,	
  will	
  
be	
  larger	
  than	
  the	
  city	
  of	
  PiYsburgh	
  
within	
  two	
  years.	
  
The	
  Katy	
  school	
  parking	
  lots	
  are	
  being	
  
turned	
  into	
  classroom	
  space	
  with	
  the	
  
aid	
  of	
  portable	
  buildings.	
  
The	
  Houston	
  Chronicle,	
  Sept.	
  23,	
  2014	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Enrollment	
  in	
  Texas	
  Colleges	
  and	
  Universi8es	
  is	
  
around	
  1.5	
  million	
  students	
  in	
  83	
  ins8tu8ons	
  of	
  
higher	
  educa8on	
  in	
  2014.	
  
	
  The	
  popula8on	
  of	
  Texas	
  will	
  double	
  in	
  35	
  years.	
  
What	
  prepara8ons	
  does	
  Texas	
  need	
  to	
  take	
  now	
  
to	
  house	
  the	
  expected	
  increase?	
  
Texas	
  has	
  around	
  1,030	
  school	
  districts	
  that	
  
serve	
  5,151,925	
  students	
  in	
  K-­‐12.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
With	
  popula8on	
  predicted	
  to	
  double	
  in	
  35	
  years,	
  
what	
  does	
  the	
  State	
  of	
  Texas	
  have	
  to	
  do	
  now	
  to	
  	
  
meet	
  the	
  needs	
  of	
  the	
  ci8zens?	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Texas	
  ranks	
  46th	
  in	
  educa8on	
  
funding	
  per	
  student	
  in	
  the	
  United	
  
States	
  and	
  30th	
  in	
  teacher	
  salaries.	
  
The	
  Texas	
  legislature	
  has	
  already	
  reduced	
  school	
  
funding	
  resul8ng	
  in	
  loss	
  of	
  teachers	
  and	
  won’t	
  fund	
  
new	
  medical	
  school	
  graduates	
  residency	
  programs	
  
resul8ng	
  in	
  many	
  of	
  the	
  graduates	
  going	
  to	
  other	
  
states	
  who	
  will	
  gladly	
  pay	
  for	
  their	
  internships.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
They	
  usually	
  stay	
  in	
  the	
  state	
  that	
  funds	
  them.	
  
	
  
Texas	
  ranks	
  45th	
  na8onally	
  in	
  physician	
  to	
  popula8on	
  
ra8o.	
  
 
	
  
	
  
With	
  the	
  global	
  shortage	
  of	
  
physicians,	
  nurses,	
  therapists	
  and	
  
related	
  healthcare	
  personnel,	
  how	
  
will	
  hospitals	
  	
  change	
  and	
  morph	
  
to	
  insure	
  proper	
  healthcare	
  for	
  an	
  
expanding	
  popula3on?	
  
Texas	
  has	
  about	
  630	
  hospitals	
  with	
  83,000	
  licensed	
  
beds.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
With	
  popula8on	
  doubling	
  in	
  35	
  years,	
  what	
  plans	
  must	
  
Texas	
  take	
  to	
  maintain	
  quality	
  healthcare	
  for	
  the	
  State	
  
of	
  Texas?	
  
Texas	
  leads	
  the	
  na8on	
  in	
  the	
  most	
  
uninsured	
  for	
  health	
  care.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Texas	
  ranks	
  dead	
  last	
  in	
  record	
  
keeping	
  security!	
  
With	
  the	
  growth	
  of	
  Texas	
  and	
  double	
  
the	
  number	
  of	
  cars,	
  will	
  commu8ng	
  be	
  
feasible	
  with	
  forecastable	
  gridlocks?	
  
	
  	
  
Imagine	
  increasing	
  the	
  number	
  of	
  
automobiles	
  by	
  double	
  or	
  more	
  in	
  
Texas	
  ci8es	
  by	
  2040.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
That	
  is	
  25	
  years	
  to	
  build	
  the	
  
infrastructure,	
  roads	
  and/or	
  rapid	
  
transporta8on	
  system	
  to	
  avoid	
  
gridlock!	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Houston,	
  Texas	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Most	
  of	
  the	
  Worst	
  Highways	
  For	
  Traffic	
  in	
  Texas	
  Are	
  in	
  
Houston!	
  	
  
The	
  Texas	
  A&M	
  Transporta8on	
  Ins8tute	
  released	
  its	
  
annual	
  list	
  of	
  the	
  most	
  congested	
  highways	
  in	
  the	
  state	
  
this	
  week.	
  	
  
You	
  can	
  probably	
  guess	
  where	
  they	
  are	
  already	
  if	
  
you've	
  ever	
  driven	
  in	
  Houston,	
  DFW,	
  or	
  Aus8n!	
  
Texas	
  Monthly,	
  Sept	
  11,	
  2014	
  
Dallas,	
  Texas	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
Air	
  pollu8on	
  kills	
  more	
  people	
  each	
  year	
  
than	
  any	
  disease.	
  
	
  4	
  million	
  people	
  is	
  the	
  es8mated	
  total.	
  
	
  
Houston	
  and	
  Dallas/Ft.	
  Worth	
  rank	
  #6	
  &	
  
#8	
  for	
  most	
  polluted	
  ci8es	
  in	
  the	
  US.	
  
The	
  Economist,	
  Sept.	
  22,	
  2014	
  
Aus8n,	
  Texas	
  
Houston	
  and	
  Dallas	
  are	
  Texas’	
  biggest	
  popula8on	
  
centers,	
  but	
  the	
  Lone	
  Star	
  state’s	
  capital	
  city	
  ranked	
  
higher	
  than	
  both	
  of	
  its	
  major	
  metropolitan	
  areas	
  in	
  
the	
  INRIX	
  traffic	
  study.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Aus8n	
  ranked	
  fourth	
  for	
  gridlock	
  in	
  the	
  2014	
  study	
  
and	
  third	
  for	
  the	
  worst	
  ci8es	
  to	
  drive	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  
The	
  Hill,	
  Nov.	
  30,	
  2014	
  
Bullet	
  trains-­‐monorails	
  
Imagine	
  over	
  double	
  the	
  number	
  of	
  
people	
  in	
  Texas	
  by	
  2050	
  and	
  the	
  
infrastructure,	
  water,	
  food	
  and	
  energy	
  
needed	
  to	
  support	
  those	
  numbers.	
  
Urban	
  sprawl	
  could	
  result	
  taking	
  over	
  
farmland	
  and	
  crea8ng	
  more	
  
conges8on.	
  
Think	
  condos	
  and	
  planned	
  urban	
  
centers	
  instead	
  of	
  suburban	
  sprawl.	
  
Ci8es	
  and	
  their	
  inhabitants’	
  consump8on	
  account	
  for	
  about	
  
70%	
  of	
  global	
  emissions.	
  	
  
They	
  are	
  also	
  where	
  almost	
  all	
  the	
  world’s	
  net	
  popula8on	
  
growth	
  will	
  occur	
  in	
  the	
  next	
  20	
  years.	
  
	
  Ci8es	
  must	
  be	
  encouraged	
  to	
  grow	
  dense,	
  not	
  spread	
  out,	
  
with	
  good	
  public	
  transport,	
  not	
  clogged	
  highways.	
  	
  
Sprawl	
  wastes	
  money.	
  	
  
It	
  ends	
  up	
  subsidized	
  through	
  the	
  provision	
  of	
  more	
  extensive	
  
systems	
  of	
  roads,	
  sewers	
  and	
  the	
  like;	
  it	
  reduces	
  the	
  gains	
  in	
  
produc8vity	
  that	
  agglomera8on	
  provides.	
  	
  
The	
  report	
  reckons	
  that	
  sprawl	
  costs	
  America	
  $400	
  billion	
  a	
  
year	
  and	
  quotes	
  research	
  from	
  China	
  that	
  says	
  labor	
  
produc8vity	
  would	
  rise	
  9%	
  if	
  its	
  ci8es	
  were	
  denser.	
  
The	
  Economist,	
  Sept.	
  22,	
  2014	
  
Working	
  from	
  home	
  with	
  high	
  speed	
  
Internet	
  and	
  virtual-­‐reality	
  could	
  ease	
  
the	
  impact.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
AT&T	
  has	
  40%	
  of	
  its	
  workforce	
  
working	
  from	
  home.	
  
Virtual office benefits from home
offices:
Less city infrastructure
Less office buildings required
Less freeways needed
Less cost for gasoline/cars
Once we have full-immersion virtual-
reality environments incorporating all of
the senses which will be feasible by the
late 2020s, there will be no reason to
utilize real offices.
Real estate will become virtual.
Ray Kurzweil
What will that do to migration
 demographic patterns?






What new jobs will that create?
What will VR do to the hospitality
industry when an international board
member or speaker can appear in
person as a hologram instead of in
person? 
What about virtual classrooms?
 	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
By	
  2025-­‐2030	
  over	
  65	
  popula8on	
  will	
  
double	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  and	
  will	
  live	
  longer	
  
than	
  an	
  any	
  previous	
  genera8on.	
  
	
  
U.S.	
  Census	
  Bureau	
  
A	
  graph	
  of	
  global	
  life	
  expectancy	
  over	
  
3me	
  looks	
  like	
  an	
  escalator	
  rising	
  
smoothly.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  With	
  each	
  passing	
  year,	
  the	
  newly	
  
born	
  live	
  about	
  three	
  months	
  longer	
  
than	
  those	
  born	
  the	
  prior	
  year.	
  
The	
  Atlan8c,	
  Oct.	
  2014	
  
There	
  is	
  a	
  Silver	
  Tsunami	
  
sweeping	
  through	
  Texas	
  and	
  the	
  
world.	
  
This	
  means	
  innova8on	
  at	
  the	
  
intersec8on	
  of	
  health	
  care	
  and	
  
technology.	
  
 
	
  
	
  
Texas	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  become	
  both	
  
older	
  and	
  more	
  diverse	
  in	
  the	
  
coming	
  decades,	
  with	
  the	
  elderly	
  
and	
  Hispanics	
  in	
  par8cular	
  taking	
  
up	
  a	
  greater	
  propor8on	
  of	
  the	
  
popula8on.	
  
Texas,	
  which	
  grew	
  20.6	
  percent	
  overall	
  since	
  
2000,	
  had	
  a	
  25.5	
  percent	
  increase	
  among	
  
residents	
  65	
  and	
  older	
  and	
  a	
  28.3	
  percent	
  
increase	
  among	
  people	
  85	
  and	
  older.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Texas'	
  2.6	
  million	
  popula3on	
  of	
  people	
  65	
  and	
  
older	
  accounted	
  for	
  about	
  10	
  percent	
  of	
  the	
  
state's	
  total	
  popula3on.	
  
Statesman,	
  Nov.	
  30,	
  2011	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Nursing	
  homes	
  and	
  re3rement	
  
communi3es	
  will	
  be	
  in	
  high	
  
demand	
  as	
  numbers	
  double.	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
There	
  is	
  NO	
  more	
  fresh	
  water	
  in	
  
the	
  world	
  today	
  than	
  2000	
  years	
  
ago	
  when	
  the	
  popula8on	
  was	
  3%	
  
of	
  the	
  present!	
  
Water	
  will	
  become	
  a	
  more	
  pressing	
  
problem	
  than	
  oil,	
  and	
  the	
  quan3ty,	
  
quality	
  and	
  distribu3on	
  of	
  water	
  
will	
  pose	
  significant	
  scien3fic,	
  
technological	
  and	
  ecological	
  
difficul3es	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  serious	
  
poli3cal	
  and	
  economic	
  challenges.	
  	
  
 
	
  
	
  
By	
  2040,	
  at	
  least	
  3.5	
  billion	
  
people	
  will	
  run	
  short	
  of	
  water.	
  
By	
  2050,	
  fully	
  2/3’s	
  of	
  the	
  world’s	
  
popula8on	
  could	
  be	
  living	
  in	
  
regions	
  with	
  chronic	
  shortages	
  of	
  
water.	
  
Globally	
  there	
  has	
  been	
  a	
  three-­‐fold	
  
popula3on	
  increase	
  in	
  the	
  past	
  
century	
  and	
  a	
  six-­‐fold	
  increase	
  in	
  
water	
  consump3on.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
By	
  2030,	
  there	
  will	
  be	
  40%	
  less	
  water	
  
than	
  is	
  needed	
  due	
  to	
  popula3on	
  and	
  
GDP	
  growth	
  and	
  demand.	
  
Washington	
  Post,	
  Aug.	
  5,	
  2014	
  
The	
  link	
  between	
  water,	
  food	
  
and	
  energy	
  is	
  strong!	
  	
  
The	
  average	
  human	
  drinks	
  4	
  
liters	
  of	
  water	
  per	
  day	
  while	
  500	
  
8mes	
  as	
  much	
  water	
  is	
  required	
  
to	
  produce	
  our	
  daily	
  food	
  totals.	
  
As	
  murky	
  water	
  snakes	
  through	
  a	
  man-­‐made	
  
wetland	
  between	
  Dallas	
  and	
  Houston,	
  its	
  
shallow	
  ponds	
  of	
  lush	
  vegeta3on	
  slowly	
  filter	
  
out	
  phosphorous	
  and	
  nitrates	
  un3l,	
  a	
  week	
  
later,	
  the	
  water	
  runs	
  clear	
  as	
  a	
  creek	
  into	
  the	
  
area	
  drinking	
  supply.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  It	
  is	
  supplying	
  an	
  addi3onal	
  65,000	
  gallons	
  per	
  
day	
  to	
  the	
  Richland-­‐Chambers	
  Reservoir.	
  
Associated	
  Press,	
  Aug.	
  4,	
  2014	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
According	
  to	
  the	
  World	
  Water	
  Council,	
  
recycled	
  sewage	
  will	
  be	
  a	
  source	
  of	
  
drinking	
  water	
  in	
  ci8es	
  around	
  the	
  
world	
  within	
  the	
  next	
  three	
  decades.	
  
Washington	
  Post,	
  Aug.	
  5,	
  2014	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
Wichita	
  Falls,	
  the	
  Texas	
  city	
  of	
  more	
  
than	
  104,000,	
  suffering	
  the	
  worst	
  
drought	
  on	
  record,	
  is	
  about	
  to	
  
become	
  the	
  first	
  place	
  in	
  Texas	
  to	
  
treat	
  sewage	
  and	
  pump	
  it	
  directly	
  
back	
  to	
  residents.	
  
Bloomberg,	
  April	
  28,	
  2014	
  
 
	
  
Big	
  Springs,	
  Texas	
  and	
  El	
  Paso	
  are	
  
also	
  recycling	
  sewage	
  for	
  drinking	
  
water.	
  
In	
  20	
  years,	
  the	
  majority	
  of	
  ci8es	
  in	
  
Texas	
  will	
  be	
  drinking	
  recycled	
  
sewage	
  water.	
  
Freshwater	
  in	
  the	
  Eagle	
  Ford	
  Shale	
  -­‐-­‐	
  a	
  geological	
  
forma8on	
  that	
  encompasses	
  30	
  Texas	
  coun8es,	
  
including	
  Brazos	
  -­‐-­‐	
  is	
  being	
  drawn	
  from	
  the	
  aquifers	
  2.5	
  
8mes	
  faster	
  than	
  the	
  replenish	
  rate,	
  according	
  to	
  key	
  
findings	
  from	
  a	
  Texas	
  AM	
  Bush	
  School	
  of	
  Government	
  
and	
  Public	
  Service	
  study.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
As	
  a	
  result,	
  and	
  as	
  hydraulic	
  fracturing,	
  or	
  fracking,	
  
ac8vity	
  con8nues	
  to	
  grow	
  within	
  the	
  massive	
  shale,	
  
researchers	
  who	
  conducted	
  the	
  study	
  es8mated	
  Texas	
  
could	
  face	
  a	
  2.7-­‐trillion-­‐gallon	
  water	
  shorxall	
  by	
  2060.	
  
The	
  Eagle,	
  Dec.	
  16,	
  2014	
  
Major	
  ci8es	
  are	
  taking	
  water	
  from	
  
agriculture	
  to	
  meet	
  the	
  needs	
  of	
  
growing	
  cites.	
  
	
  
	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
Mexico	
  City,	
  Cairo,	
  Beijing,	
  San	
  
Diego,	
  Los	
  Angeles,	
  Las	
  Vegas,	
  
Denver	
  and	
  El	
  Paso.	
  
Farmers	
  surrounding	
  the	
  major	
  
ci3es	
  have	
  found	
  that	
  the	
  price	
  of	
  
water	
  far	
  exceeds	
  the	
  value	
  of	
  the	
  
crops	
  they	
  can	
  produce.	
  	
  
Ci8es	
  are	
  buying	
  water	
  rights	
  from	
  
farmers	
  and	
  ranchers.	
  
	
  The	
  highly	
  produc3ve	
  land	
  owned	
  
by	
  these	
  farmers	
  will	
  become	
  
wasteland.	
  
The	
  Rio	
  Grande	
  is	
  disappearing.	
  Demand	
  for	
  water	
  is	
  
growing	
  as	
  average	
  temperatures	
  rise	
  faster	
  than	
  they	
  
ever	
  have	
  in	
  the	
  past	
  11,000	
  years.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  water	
  that	
  remains	
  is	
  being	
  fought	
  over	
  by	
  the	
  
countries	
  and	
  states	
  that	
  agreed	
  to	
  share	
  the	
  river.	
  At	
  
the	
  same	
  3me,	
  a	
  border	
  fence	
  is	
  being	
  built	
  along	
  its	
  
banks.	
  
Texas	
  Tribune,	
  Oct.	
  16,	
  2014	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Some3mes	
  the	
  Rio	
  Grande	
  
doesn’t	
  make	
  it	
  to	
  the	
  Gulf	
  of	
  
Mexico.	
  
Aus8n	
  City	
  Council	
  predicts	
  that	
  
Lake	
  Travis	
  will	
  run	
  dry	
  by	
  2016.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Major	
  water	
  restric8ons	
  will	
  be	
  
ordered	
  to	
  slow	
  the	
  demise.	
  
The	
  water	
  level	
  is	
  48%	
  of	
  capacity.	
  
The	
  2000s	
  were	
  the	
  hoYest	
  decade	
  on	
  record	
  
for	
  the	
  US	
  and	
  2012	
  was	
  the	
  hoYest	
  year	
  ever	
  
on	
  record.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  Western	
  drought	
  of	
  recent	
  years	
  represents	
  
the	
  driest	
  condi8ons	
  in	
  800	
  years	
  and	
  cost	
  Texas	
  
and	
  Oklahoma	
  $10	
  billion	
  in	
  agriculture	
  in	
  2011	
  
	
  2012.	
  
Mother	
  Jones,	
  May	
  6,	
  2014	
  
On	
  May	
  14,	
  the	
  Drought	
  Center	
  reported	
  that	
  
“excep8onal	
  drought”	
  had	
  completely	
  
dissipated	
  from	
  Texas	
  and	
  Oklahoma	
  for	
  the	
  first	
  
8me	
  since	
  July	
  2012.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  Union	
  of	
  Concerned	
  Scien8sts	
  noted	
  that	
  
the	
  combina8on	
  of	
  a	
  burgeoning	
  El	
  Niño	
  and	
  
record-­‐breaking	
  ocean	
  surface	
  temperatures	
  in	
  
April	
  likely	
  “revs	
  up	
  the	
  hydrological	
  cycle”	
  in	
  
the	
  region	
  for	
  climate	
  change.	
  
Scien8fic	
  American,	
  May	
  27,	
  2015	
  
In	
  May	
  of	
  2014,	
  71%	
  of	
  Texas	
  was	
  
in	
  severe	
  drought.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  In	
  May	
  of	
  2015,	
  Texas	
  is	
  dealing	
  
with	
  extensive	
  flooding	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  
weYest	
  month	
  in	
  recorded	
  Texas	
  
history.	
  
Wall	
  Street	
  Journal,	
  May29,	
  2015	
  	
  
“We’re	
  not	
  ready	
  to	
  call	
  this	
  drought	
  history,”	
  
said	
  LCRA	
  Execu8ve	
  Vice	
  President	
  of	
  Water.	
  	
  
	
  
“We’re	
  in	
  much	
  beYer	
  shape	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  water	
  
supply	
  than	
  we	
  were	
  just	
  a	
  month	
  ago,	
  but	
  we	
  
don’t	
  want	
  anyone	
  to	
  put	
  their	
  guard	
  down	
  too	
  
soon.	
  	
  
	
  
While	
  we	
  are	
  seeing	
  higher	
  lake	
  levels	
  than	
  we	
  
have	
  seen	
  in	
  some	
  8me,	
  we	
  also	
  know	
  from	
  
history	
  that	
  droughts	
  can	
  persist	
  aner	
  heavy	
  
rains.	
  
KXAN	
  News,	
  July	
  16,	
  2015	
  
 
	
  
	
  
When	
  the	
  atmosphere	
  heats	
  up	
  by	
  1	
  
degrees	
  C,	
  we	
  can	
  expect	
  three	
  to	
  four	
  
8mes	
  as	
  many	
  superstorms.	
  	
  
But	
  if	
  forecasts	
  hold	
  true	
  and	
  
temperatures	
  rise	
  by	
  2	
  degrees	
  C,	
  the	
  
number	
  of	
  superstorms	
  will	
  increase	
  
tenfold	
  by	
  2100.	
  
The	
  Futurist,	
  Jan.	
  2014	
  
	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Last	
  month,	
  2014,	
  was	
  the	
  warmest	
  August	
  
globally	
  since	
  records	
  began	
  being	
  kept	
  in	
  
1880,	
  NASA	
  reported	
  Monday.	
  
	
  The	
  globe	
  just	
  keeps	
  warming.	
  
Climate	
  Progress,	
  Sept.	
  15,	
  2014	
  
Ci8es	
  are	
  heat	
  islands	
  and	
  can	
  be	
  14%	
  higher	
  in	
  
temperature	
  than	
  the	
  surrounding	
  areas.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Buildings,	
  roads,	
  lack	
  of	
  plants	
  that	
  cool	
  the	
  air	
  
by	
  evapora8ng	
  water	
  and	
  heat	
  generated	
  by	
  lots	
  
of	
  human	
  bodies.	
  
Business	
  Insider,	
  Aug.	
  29,	
  2013	
  
Rapidly	
  warming	
  oceans	
  today	
  could	
  destabilize	
  
methane	
  sediments	
  and	
  result	
  in	
  another	
  massive	
  
release	
  of	
  methane	
  that	
  could	
  raise	
  global	
  
temperatures	
  by	
  more	
  than	
  10.8	
  degrees	
  F.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  The	
  ecological	
  effects	
  of	
  such	
  a	
  temperature	
  rise	
  
would	
  be	
  more	
  like	
  dystopian	
  science	
  fic8on	
  than	
  
scien8fic	
  thinking	
  about	
  climate	
  change	
  to	
  date.	
  
The	
  Futurist,	
  Aug.	
  2014	
  
According	
  the	
  U.S.	
  Department	
  of	
  Agriculture,	
  
73	
  million	
  acres	
  of	
  farmland	
  in	
  the	
  United	
  States	
  
were	
  taken	
  out	
  of	
  produc8on	
  between	
  1990	
  and	
  
2012.	
  	
  
Similar	
  trends	
  can	
  be	
  seen	
  worldwide.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  The	
  reasons	
  are	
  many,	
  but	
  three	
  broad	
  
categories	
  are	
  deser8fica8on,	
  rising	
  oceans,	
  and	
  
urbaniza8on.	
  
MIT	
  Technology	
  Review,	
  March	
  2015	
  
	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
We	
  are	
  truly	
  living	
  in	
  a	
  state	
  of	
  denial	
  when	
  the	
  
greater	
  Houston	
  area	
  con3nues	
  to	
  push	
  south	
  
into	
  areas	
  that	
  are	
  highly	
  vulnerable	
  to	
  storm	
  
surge,	
  the	
  Port	
  of	
  Houston	
  at	
  the	
  head	
  of	
  
Galveston	
  Bay	
  con3nues	
  to	
  expand	
  and	
  the	
  City	
  of	
  
Galveston	
  refuses	
  to	
  adopt	
  a	
  setback	
  policy	
  for	
  
new	
  construc3on	
  along	
  the	
  Gulf	
  shoreline.	
  
CITE,	
  winter	
  2014	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
An	
  analysis	
  of	
  52	
  3de	
  gauges	
  in	
  communi3es	
  
stretching	
  from	
  Portland,	
  Maine	
  to	
  Freeport,	
  
Texas	
  shows	
  that	
  most	
  of	
  these	
  communi3es	
  
will	
  experience	
  a	
  steep	
  increase	
  in	
  the	
  number	
  
and	
  severity	
  of	
  3dal	
  flooding	
  events	
  over	
  the	
  
coming	
  decades,	
  with	
  significant	
  implica3ons	
  
for	
  property,	
  infrastructure,	
  and	
  daily	
  life	
  in	
  
affected	
  areas.	
  
Scien8fic	
  American,	
  Oct.	
  8,	
  2014	
  
Global	
  warming	
  is	
  also	
  exacerba3ng	
  extreme	
  
rainfall,	
  because	
  on	
  a	
  warmer	
  planet,	
  the	
  air	
  
can	
  hold	
  more	
  water	
  vapor.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  U.S.	
  has	
  lost	
  coastline	
  over	
  the	
  last	
  century	
  
and	
  over	
  the	
  next	
  century,	
  sea	
  level	
  is	
  
projected	
  to	
  increase	
  by	
  one	
  to	
  four	
  feet.	
  
Mother	
  Jones,	
  May	
  6,	
  2014	
  
 
	
  
In	
  January	
  of	
  2014,	
  the	
  Houston	
  
Chronicle	
  said	
  that	
  scien8sts	
  
predict	
  that	
  Galveston	
  will	
  be	
  two	
  
thirds	
  its	
  size	
  within	
  30	
  years	
  due	
  
to	
  rising	
  waters,	
  eroding	
  beaches	
  
and	
  land	
  subsiding.	
  
 
	
  
	
  
A	
  proposed	
  “Ike	
  Dike”	
  to	
  protect	
  the	
  Galveston/
Houston	
  area	
  from	
  hurricane	
  storm	
  surges	
  
should	
  incorporate	
  ameni8es	
  such	
  as	
  business	
  
parks,	
  public	
  spaces	
  and	
  pedestrian	
  
thoroughfares,	
  elements	
  that	
  could	
  s8mulate	
  
economic	
  and	
  social	
  opportuni8es	
  while	
  
enhancing	
  the	
  earthwork’s	
  visual	
  appeal,	
  
concludes	
  research	
  funded	
  by	
  Texas	
  AM’s	
  
Ins3tute	
  for	
  Sustainable	
  Coastal	
  Communi3es.	
  
Texas	
  AM	
  Today,	
  June	
  18,	
  2015	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Climatologists	
  who	
  have	
  studied	
  both	
  the	
  
history	
  and	
  the	
  computer	
  models	
  on	
  Texas	
  
rainfall	
  have	
  concluded	
  that	
  the	
  state	
  is	
  headed	
  
for	
  a	
  very	
  long	
  period-­‐-­‐possibly	
  marked	
  in	
  
hundreds	
  of	
  years-­‐-­‐wherein	
  rainfall	
  con8nues	
  to	
  
decrease,	
  and	
  more	
  of	
  the	
  state	
  becomes	
  
desert-­‐like,	
  a	
  process	
  known	
  as	
  deser8fica8on.	
  
State	
  of	
  Texas	
  Drought	
  Project,	
  May	
  17,	
  2014	
  
	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
More	
  drought	
  means	
  more	
  wildfires	
  and	
  in	
  
2011,	
  Arizona	
  and	
  New	
  Mexico	
  had	
  the	
  largest	
  
wildfires	
  in	
  recorded	
  history,	
  affec8ng	
  more	
  
than	
  694,000	
  acres.	
  	
  
Texas	
  saw	
  unprecedented	
  wildfires	
  and	
  3.8	
  
million	
  acres	
  consumed	
  in	
  the	
  state.	
  
Mother	
  Jones,	
  May	
  6,	
  2014	
  
Texas	
  is	
  uniquely	
  vulnerable	
  to	
  a	
  changing	
  
climate.	
  
	
  It’s	
  no	
  longer	
  an	
  issue	
  that	
  maYers	
  only	
  to	
  the	
  
polar	
  bear	
  in	
  the	
  Arc8c	
  or	
  to	
  poor	
  people	
  living	
  
on	
  low-­‐lying	
  islands	
  in	
  the	
  South	
  Seas.	
  	
  
We	
  are	
  already	
  in	
  the	
  crosshairs	
  of	
  nearly	
  every	
  
type	
  of	
  weather-­‐	
  and	
  climate-­‐related	
  natural	
  
disaster	
  you	
  can	
  imagine.	
  
	
  Climate	
  change	
  is	
  ratche8ng	
  up	
  our	
  
vulnerabili8es	
  to	
  unprecedented	
  levels.	
  
	
  
Texas	
  Observer,	
  Dec.	
  18,	
  2015	
  
  	
  Texas	
  has	
  enough	
  wind	
  power	
  
	
   	
  and	
  solar	
  energy	
  to	
  power	
  the	
  	
  
	
   	
  na8on.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Texas	
  is	
  the	
  No.	
  1	
  producer	
  of	
  wind	
  energy	
  in	
  the	
  
United	
  States,	
  with	
  nearly	
  13,000	
  megawaYs	
  of	
  
installed	
  power	
  and	
  over	
  1	
  million	
  megawaYs	
  of	
  as-­‐yet-­‐
untapped	
  poten8al.	
  	
  
Last	
  spring,	
  Texas	
  broke	
  record	
  aner	
  record	
  for	
  the	
  
most	
  electricity	
  ever	
  generated	
  by	
  wind	
  energy	
  in	
  the	
  
state	
  	
  
Texas	
  Observer,	
  Dec.	
  18,	
  2015	
  
Texas	
  isn’t	
  a	
  leader	
  in	
  solar	
  energy—yet—but	
  
there	
  are	
  over	
  300	
  companies	
  in	
  the	
  state	
  
working	
  to	
  change	
  that,	
  and	
  Texas	
  is	
  the	
  fastest-­‐
growing	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  new	
  solar	
  energy.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
According	
  to	
  the	
  Solar	
  Energy	
  Industries	
  
Associa3on,	
  Texas	
  is	
  the	
  state	
  to	
  watch,	
  with	
  
enough	
  solar	
  poten3al	
  to	
  power	
  not	
  just	
  the	
  
United	
  States,	
  but	
  the	
  en3re	
  world.	
  
Texas	
  Observer,	
  Dec.	
  18,	
  2015	
  
Texas	
  is	
  already	
  a	
  leader	
  in	
  low-­‐carbon	
  technology.	
  	
  
Texas	
  Tech	
  is	
  home	
  to	
  the	
  Na8onal	
  Wind	
  Ins8tute.	
  	
  
UT-­‐Aus8n	
  is	
  a	
  world	
  leader	
  in	
  carbon	
  capture	
  and	
  advanced	
  
lithium-­‐ion	
  baYeries.	
  
	
  Other	
  Texas	
  universi8es	
  offer	
  exper8se	
  in	
  advanced	
  
biofuels,	
  geothermal	
  energy	
  and	
  advanced	
  materials.	
  	
  
It’s	
  hard	
  to	
  imagine	
  a	
  future	
  for	
  Texas	
  where	
  energy	
  
doesn’t	
  play	
  a	
  central	
  role.	
  	
  
The	
  ques8on	
  is	
  whether	
  we	
  can	
  rise	
  to	
  the	
  challenge	
  of	
  
preparing	
  for	
  a	
  changing	
  climate	
  and	
  a	
  carbon-­‐free	
  
economy.	
  
Texas	
  Observer,	
  Dec.	
  18,	
  2015	
  
Construc3on	
  begins	
  in	
  Texas	
  on	
  world’s	
  largest	
  
carbon	
  capture	
  facility.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  Petra	
  Nova	
  project	
  is	
  located	
  near	
  Houston,	
  
Texas	
  and	
  is	
  a	
  joint	
  venture	
  between	
  the	
  U.S.	
  
DOE,	
  NRG	
  Energy	
  and	
  JX	
  Nippon.	
  With	
  a	
  current	
  
price	
  tag	
  topping	
  $470	
  million,	
  the	
  project	
  is	
  
expected	
  to	
  capture	
  up	
  to	
  90%	
  of	
  emissions	
  
from	
  240	
  MW	
  of	
  electricity	
  genera8on	
  capacity.	
  
Scien8fic	
  American,	
  July	
  18,	
  2014	
  
41	
  percent	
  of	
  all	
  freshwater	
  consumed	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  was	
  
for	
  thermoelectric	
  cooling.	
  
Power	
  plants	
  produce	
  excess	
  heat,	
  requiring	
  cooling	
  
cycles	
  that	
  use	
  water.	
  
	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Only	
  wind	
  and	
  solar	
  voltaic	
  energy	
  produc3on	
  require	
  
minimal	
  water.	
  
The	
  Washington	
  Post,	
  Aug.	
  5,	
  2014	
  
The	
  only	
  reason	
  Texas	
  didn’t	
  experience	
  rolling	
  
blackouts	
  in	
  the	
  summer	
  of	
  2011	
  was	
  wind	
  
turbines	
  producing	
  10-­‐18%	
  of	
  energy	
  needs.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
In	
  March	
  of	
  2014,	
  Texas	
  produced	
  37%	
  of	
  its	
  
electricity	
  by	
  wind	
  thanks	
  to	
  a	
  new	
  
transmission	
  line.	
  
Washington	
  Post,	
  Aug.	
  5,	
  2014	
  
 
	
  
	
  
With	
  the	
  increase	
  of	
  27	
  million	
  
people	
  in	
  35	
  years,	
  will	
  Texas	
  need	
  
to	
  morph	
  to	
  solar	
  and	
  wind	
  energy	
  
to	
  meet	
  the	
  energy	
  needs	
  and	
  cut	
  
down	
  on	
  greenhouse	
  emissions?	
  
December	
  of	
  2014,	
  The	
  Texas	
  
Tribune	
  said	
  in	
  15-­‐20	
  years	
  oil	
  
prices	
  will	
  have	
  not	
  determine	
  the	
  
price	
  of	
  energy	
  in	
  Texas	
  with	
  the	
  
technological	
  improvements	
  and	
  
growth	
  of	
  solar	
  and	
  wind	
  turbines.	
  
 Electricity	
  u8li8es	
  are	
  facing	
  “disrup8ve	
  challenges”	
  
comparable	
  to	
  the	
  way	
  the	
  fixed-­‐line	
  telephone	
  industry	
  was	
  
shaken	
  up	
  by	
  mobile.	
  
	
  
	
  The	
  u3li3es	
  worry	
  that	
  as	
  more	
  businesses	
  and	
  households	
  
use	
  solar,	
  wind	
  and	
  other	
  sources	
  to	
  generate	
  their	
  own	
  
power,	
  they	
  will	
  lose	
  customers	
  and	
  revenues,	
  while	
  s3ll	
  
bearing	
  the	
  costs	
  of	
  running	
  the	
  grid.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  u8li8es	
  would	
  then	
  have	
  to	
  charge	
  higher	
  rates,	
  losing	
  
more	
  customers,	
  worsening	
  their	
  posi8on	
  further.	
  
	
  In	
  the	
  industry,	
  they	
  call	
  it	
  the	
  “death	
  spiral”.	
  
Financial	
  Times,	
  Jan	
  13,	
  2015	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  City	
  of	
  Georgetown	
  and	
  Georgetown	
  
U8li8es	
  Systems	
  announced	
  Wednesday	
  it	
  has	
  
signed	
  an	
  agreement	
  to	
  make	
  it	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  first	
  
communi8es	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  powered	
  exclusively	
  by	
  
solar	
  and	
  wind	
  energy.	
  
The	
  City	
  of	
  Pflugerville	
  is	
  crea8ng	
  a	
  800	
  acre	
  
solar	
  collector	
  farm	
  to	
  provide	
  all	
  of	
  its	
  energy.	
  
March	
  18,	
  2015	
  
Oil	
  	
  gas	
  may	
  not	
  be	
  a	
  death	
  spiral,	
  says	
  
Lyndon	
  Rive,	
  chief	
  execu8ve	
  of	
  SolarCity,	
  a	
  
solar	
  company,	
  but	
  it	
  is	
  a	
  “change	
  spiral”.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  “When	
  you’ve	
  had	
  a	
  monopoly	
  for	
  a	
  
hundred	
  years,	
  and	
  you’ve	
  never	
  seen	
  
change,	
  change	
  may	
  seem	
  like	
  death	
  to	
  
you.”	
  
Financial	
  Times,	
  Jan.	
  13,	
  2015	
  
 
	
  
	
  
Over	
  the	
  past	
  four	
  years,	
  the	
  
numbers	
  have	
  risen	
  threefold	
  for	
  
businesses	
  and	
  fourfold	
  for	
  homes,	
  
as	
  the	
  cost	
  of	
  solar	
  power	
  has	
  
plunged	
  thanks	
  to	
  efficiency	
  
improvements.	
  
Financial	
  Times,	
  Jan.	
  13,	
  2015	
  
IKEA	
  is	
  leading	
  the	
  way	
  in	
  becoming	
  a	
  zero-­‐
energy	
  company	
  by	
  2020.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  IKEA	
  has	
  wind	
  farms	
  that	
  already	
  power	
  38	
  
stores,	
  a	
  factory	
  and	
  service	
  center	
  in	
  the	
  U.S.	
  
and	
  has	
  put	
  aside	
  2	
  billion	
  dollars	
  to	
  go	
  zero-­‐
energy	
  world	
  wide.	
  
Washington	
  Post,	
  April	
  15,	
  2014	
  
Key	
  Findings:	
  
	
  
ü  Cri3cal	
  water	
  supplies	
  are	
  being	
  drawn	
  down	
  faster	
  
than	
  they	
  are	
  being	
  replenished.	
  
ü  Higher	
  concentra8ons	
  of	
  pollutants	
  in	
  aquifers	
  make	
  
drinking	
  water	
  increasingly	
  unsafe.	
  
ü  Aging	
  water	
  pipes	
  and	
  infrastructure	
  are	
  crea3ng	
  a	
  
heightened	
  danger	
  of	
  sinkholes.	
  
ü  Using	
  water	
  for	
  irriga8on	
  and	
  fossil	
  fuel	
  extrac8on	
  is	
  
increasing	
  strains	
  on	
  the	
  water	
  supply,	
  and	
  raising	
  food	
  
and	
  energy	
  prices.	
  
ü  Desaliniza3on	
  —	
  increasingly	
  being	
  used	
  to	
  
supplement	
  fresh	
  water	
  needs	
  —	
  is	
  extremely	
  energy-­‐
intensive	
  and	
  expensive.	
  
A	
  far	
  worse	
  rendi8on	
  of	
  the	
  water	
  crisis	
  will	
  inevitably	
  
unfold	
  across	
  Las	
  Vegas,	
  Southern	
  California,	
  North	
  
Texas	
  and	
  the	
  Arizona	
  ci8es	
  of	
  Phoenix	
  and	
  Tucson.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Aquifers	
  that	
  should	
  have	
  lasted	
  un8l	
  2050	
  are	
  being	
  
pumped	
  dry.	
  
Natural	
  News,	
  Dec.	
  3,	
  2014	
  
Another	
  example	
  of	
  major	
  concern	
  and	
  consequence	
  is	
  deple8on	
  of	
  
the	
  largest	
  and	
  most	
  important	
  underground	
  source	
  of	
  water	
  in	
  the	
  
U.S.,	
  the	
  Ogallala	
  Aquifer	
  under	
  the	
  High	
  Plains	
  stretching	
  from	
  
southern	
  South	
  Dakota	
  through	
  parts	
  of	
  Nebraska,	
  Wyoming,	
  
Colorado,	
  Kansas,	
  Oklahoma,	
  New	
  Mexico,	
  and	
  northern	
  Texas.	
  
The	
  aquifer	
  has	
  been	
  the	
  major	
  source	
  of	
  water	
  for	
  municipal	
  and	
  
industrial	
  development	
  for	
  decades.	
  Most	
  significantly	
  it	
  has	
  been	
  
cri3cal	
  for	
  agriculture	
  in	
  the	
  American	
  heartland	
  oh	
  referred	
  to	
  as	
  
the	
  bread	
  basket	
  not	
  just	
  of	
  the	
  U.S.,	
  but	
  the	
  world.	
  
Unfortunately,	
  the	
  era	
  of	
  blindly	
  assuming	
  the	
  largess	
  of	
  the	
  aquifer	
  
reflects	
  an	
  unlimited	
  source	
  of	
  water	
  is	
  des8ned	
  to	
  come	
  to	
  end.	
  	
  
For	
  decades	
  the	
  Ogallala	
  has	
  tapped	
  at	
  rates	
  thousands	
  of	
  3mes	
  
greater	
  than	
  it	
  is	
  being	
  restored.	
  
Washington	
  Post,	
  March	
  22,	
  2013	
  
The	
  Ogallala	
  Aquifer	
  was	
  formed	
  about	
  10	
  million	
  years	
  
ago	
  when	
  water	
  flowed	
  onto	
  the	
  plains	
  from	
  retrea8ng	
  
glaciers	
  and	
  Rocky	
  Mountain	
  streams.	
  	
  
	
  
For	
  all	
  intents	
  and	
  purposes,	
  it	
  is	
  no	
  longer	
  
being	
  recharged.	
  Once	
  it’s	
  gone,	
  it’s	
  gone,	
  
end	
  of	
  story.	
  
	
  
The	
  current	
  es8mate	
  is	
  that,	
  if	
  irriga8on	
  demands	
  con8nue	
  
to	
  exploit	
  the	
  aquifer	
  at	
  rates	
  comparable	
  on	
  average	
  to	
  
those	
  over	
  the	
  last	
  10	
  years,	
  it	
  will	
  be	
  essen8ally	
  used	
  up	
  in	
  
only	
  25	
  years.	
  
Washington	
  Post,	
  March	
  22,	
  2013	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  present	
  rate	
  of	
  pumping	
  from	
  the	
  
Ogallala	
  Aquifer	
  will	
  deplete	
  the	
  
water	
  source	
  by	
  2040.	
  	
  
If	
  conserva8on	
  methods	
  are	
  put	
  into	
  
place,	
  it	
  will	
  s8ll	
  be	
  gone	
  by	
  2070	
  and	
  
will	
  take	
  6,000	
  years	
  to	
  refill.	
  
Washington	
  Post,	
  Aug.	
  10,	
  2012	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
If	
  the	
  vast	
  aquifers	
  in	
  Saudi	
  or	
  the	
  
arid	
  southwestern	
  U.S.	
  are	
  depleted,	
  
the	
  loss	
  of	
  irriga8on	
  water	
  means	
  
the	
  end	
  of	
  agriculture.	
  
 
A	
  decade	
  ago,	
  prospec3ve	
  water	
  marketers	
  easily	
  secured	
  
the	
  rights	
  to	
  pump	
  more	
  than	
  20	
  billion	
  gallons	
  of	
  water	
  
annually	
  from	
  the	
  Carrizo-­‐Wilcox	
  aquifer	
  in	
  Central	
  Texas’	
  
Burleson	
  County.	
  
	
  
	
  The	
  company	
  now	
  holding	
  those	
  rights,	
  BlueWater,	
  
is	
  nego8a8ng	
  a	
  $3	
  billion	
  deal	
  to	
  send	
  much	
  of	
  that	
  water	
  to	
  
San	
  Antonio.	
  
Texas	
  Tribune,	
  Sept.	
  3,	
  2014	
  
The	
  San	
  Antonio	
  Water	
  System	
  board	
  unanimously	
  
approved	
  a	
  $3.4	
  billion	
  contract	
  to	
  pipe	
  in	
  50,000	
  acre-­‐
feet,	
  or	
  16	
  billion	
  gallons,	
  of	
  water	
  a	
  year	
  from	
  
underneath	
  Central	
  Texas'	
  Burleson	
  County	
  star8ng	
  in	
  
2019.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  contract	
  is	
  with	
  two	
  companies,	
  Aus8n-­‐based	
  
BlueWater	
  and	
  the	
  Spanish	
  company	
  Abengoa,	
  whose	
  
joint	
  venture	
  is	
  called	
  the	
  Vista	
  Ridge	
  pipeline.	
  
Texas	
  Tribune,	
  Sept.	
  30,	
  2014	
  
 Texas,	
  which	
  consumes	
  a	
  few	
  million	
  acre	
  feet	
  of	
  water	
  per	
  
year,	
  has	
  2.7	
  billion	
  acre-­‐feet	
  of	
  brackish	
  water.	
  	
  
Why	
  wait	
  for	
  breakthroughs	
  in	
  materials	
  to	
  make	
  
desalina3on	
  widely	
  affordable?	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Instead,	
  pump	
  that	
  brackish	
  water	
  a	
  rela8vely	
  short	
  distance	
  
to	
  the	
  surface	
  and	
  then	
  desalinate	
  it.	
  
	
  In	
  many	
  places	
  this	
  might	
  slash	
  energy	
  use	
  and	
  make	
  
desalina8on	
  more	
  affordable.	
  
MIT	
  Technology	
  Review,	
  Sept.	
  23,	
  2014	
  
The	
  torren8al	
  storms	
  of	
  May	
  2015	
  brought	
  
trillions	
  of	
  gallons	
  of	
  water	
  of	
  which	
  3	
  trillion	
  
flowed	
  into	
  the	
  Gulf	
  of	
  Mexico	
  created	
  a	
  dead	
  
zone	
  and	
  another	
  2	
  trillion	
  gallons	
  will	
  likely	
  
evaporate	
  from	
  state	
  reservoirs	
  by	
  year’s	
  end.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  lost	
  water	
  would	
  be	
  enough	
  to	
  serve	
  Texas’	
  
booming	
  popula8on	
  for	
  an	
  en8re	
  year.	
  
Associated	
  Press,	
  June	
  15,	
  2015	
  
Widely	
  implemented	
  aquifer	
  storage	
  and	
  
recovery	
  should	
  be	
  among	
  the	
  major	
  addi8ons	
  
to	
  the	
  state’s	
  water	
  infrastructure.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
A	
  major	
  benefit	
  of	
  aquifers	
  is	
  that	
  their	
  water	
  
doesn’t	
  evaporate,	
  which	
  makes	
  them	
  an	
  ideal	
  
water	
  source	
  in	
  warmer	
  climates.	
  Pumping	
  
sta8ons	
  can	
  inject	
  water	
  into	
  aquifers	
  during	
  
wet	
  8mes	
  and	
  withdraw	
  it	
  when	
  needed.	
  
Associated	
  Press,	
  June	
  15,	
  2015	
  
Texas’	
  popula8on	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  grow	
  by	
  82%	
  in	
  
the	
  next	
  half	
  century	
  and	
  its	
  water	
  needs	
  by	
  
more	
  than	
  40%	
  by	
  2060.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  With	
  enough	
  pumping	
  facili8es,	
  the	
  state	
  could	
  
draw	
  on	
  an	
  es8mated	
  storage	
  capacity	
  of	
  about	
  
163	
  trillion	
  gallons-­‐15	
  8mes	
  its	
  current	
  drinking	
  
water	
  reservoir	
  capacity.	
  
Associated	
  Press,	
  June	
  15,	
  2015	
  
 
The	
  water	
  scarcity	
  could	
  also	
  pose	
  huge	
  problems	
  for	
  
the	
  burgeoning	
  domes3c	
  energy	
  industry.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  A	
  recent	
  Ceres	
  research	
  paper	
  found	
  that	
  a	
  lot	
  of	
  
hydraulic	
  fracturing—	
  a	
  process	
  that	
  uses	
  tons	
  of	
  water	
  
—	
  is	
  taking	
  place	
  in	
  water-­‐scarce	
  regions,	
  with	
  nearly	
  
47%	
  of	
  wells	
  located	
  in	
  highly-­‐stressed	
  water	
  basins,	
  
including	
  92%	
  of	
  wells	
  in	
  Colorado	
  and	
  51%	
  of	
  wells	
  in	
  
Texas.	
  	
  
Business	
  Insider,	
  May	
  22,	
  2013	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
Texas	
  is	
  caught	
  in	
  the	
  perfect	
  storm	
  of	
  drought.	
  	
  
Years	
  of	
  unregulated	
  	
  expansion	
  and	
  sprawl,	
  
limitless	
  groundwater	
  pumping,	
  and	
  poor	
  
conserva8on	
  management	
  prac8ces	
  have	
  set	
  up	
  
the	
  state	
  for	
  disaster.	
  
	
  Now	
  come	
  the	
  effects	
  of	
  climate	
  change,	
  with	
  
increased	
  temperatures	
  and	
  evapora3on	
  rates,	
  
and	
  the	
  result	
  is	
  a	
  disaster.	
  
State	
  of	
  Texas	
  Drought	
  Project,	
  May	
  17,	
  2014	
  
You	
  life	
  style	
  will	
  have	
  to	
  be	
  adjusted	
  on	
  lush	
  
lawns	
  and	
  tropical	
  landscapes.	
  
Unless	
  you	
  can	
  pay	
  4X	
  or	
  more	
  for	
  water,	
  your	
  
lawn	
  and	
  landscape	
  will	
  be	
  rocks	
  and	
  na8ve	
  
plants.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Look	
  at	
  Aus8n	
  Green	
  Energy	
  requirements.	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Google	
  Futurist	
  Ray	
  Kurzweil	
  notes	
  that	
  solar	
  
power	
  has	
  been	
  doubling	
  every	
  two	
  years	
  for	
  
the	
  past	
  30	
  years,	
  as	
  costs	
  have	
  been	
  dropping.	
  
He	
  says	
  solar	
  energy	
  is	
  only	
  six	
  doublings	
  —	
  or	
  
less	
  than	
  14	
  years	
  —	
  away	
  from	
  mee8ng	
  100	
  
percent	
  of	
  today’s	
  energy	
  needs.	
  
KurzweilAI,	
  Sept,	
  21,	
  2014	
  
The	
  prices	
  of	
  solar	
  panels	
  have	
  fallen	
  75	
  percent	
  
in	
  the	
  past	
  five	
  years	
  alone	
  and	
  will	
  fall	
  much	
  
further	
  as	
  the	
  technologies	
  to	
  create	
  them	
  
improve	
  and	
  scale	
  of	
  produc8on	
  increases.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  By	
  2020,	
  solar	
  energy	
  will	
  be	
  price-­‐compe88ve	
  
with	
  energy	
  generated	
  from	
  fossil	
  fuels	
  on	
  an	
  
unsubsidized	
  basis	
  in	
  most	
  parts	
  of	
  the	
  world.	
  
The	
  Washington	
  Post,	
  Sept.	
  20,	
  2014	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
In	
  places	
  such	
  as	
  Germany,	
  Spain,	
  Portugal,	
  
Australia,	
  and	
  the	
  Southwest	
  United	
  States,	
  
residen8al-­‐scale	
  solar	
  produc8on	
  has	
  already	
  
reached	
  “grid	
  parity”	
  with	
  average	
  residen8al	
  
electricity	
  prices.	
  
The	
  Washington	
  Post,	
  Sept.	
  20,	
  2014	
  
MIT	
  researchers	
  say	
  they	
  have	
  developed	
  a	
  material	
  
that	
  comes	
  very	
  close	
  to	
  the	
  “ideal”	
  for	
  conver8ng	
  
solar	
  energy	
  to	
  heat	
  (for	
  conversion	
  to	
  electricity).	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
It	
  should	
  absorb	
  virtually	
  all	
  wavelengths	
  of	
  light	
  that	
  
reach	
  Earth’s	
  surface	
  from	
  the	
  sun	
  —	
  but	
  not	
  much	
  of	
  
the	
  rest	
  of	
  the	
  spectrum,	
  since	
  that	
  would	
  increase	
  the	
  
energy	
  that	
  is	
  re-­‐radiated	
  by	
  the	
  material,	
  and	
  thus	
  lost	
  
to	
  the	
  conversion	
  process.	
  
KurzweilAI,	
  Oct.	
  1,	
  2014	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Paving	
  parking	
  lots	
  with	
  solar	
  panels-­‐
are	
  streets	
  and	
  highways	
  next?	
  
Wired,	
  May	
  8,	
  2014	
  
 	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Wind	
  power,	
  for	
  example,	
  has	
  also	
  
come	
  down	
  sharply	
  in	
  price	
  and	
  is	
  now	
  
compe88ve	
  with	
  the	
  cost	
  of	
  new	
  coal-­‐
burning	
  power	
  plants	
  in	
  the	
  United	
  
States.	
  
The	
  Washington	
  Post,	
  Sept.	
  2014	
  
Texas	
  is	
  the	
  na8onal	
  leader	
  in	
  wind	
  
energy-­‐with	
  more	
  installed	
  
capacity,	
  more	
  wind	
  turbines	
  and	
  
more	
  jobs	
  than	
  any	
  other	
  state.	
  
The	
  wind	
  energy	
  industry	
  in	
  Texas	
  
has	
  created	
  thousands	
  of	
  jobs	
  and	
  
provided	
  billions	
  of	
  dollars	
  in	
  
economic	
  benefits.	
  
Genera8ng	
  wind	
  power	
  creates	
  no	
  emissions	
  
and	
  uses	
  virtually	
  no	
  water.	
  
The	
  water	
  consump8on	
  savings	
  from	
  wind	
  
projects	
  in	
  Texas	
  total	
  more	
  than	
  7.8	
  billion	
  
gallons	
  of	
  water	
  a	
  year.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  wind	
  power	
  installed	
  in	
  Texas	
  will	
  avoid	
  
23,103,	
  000	
  million	
  metric	
  tons	
  of	
  carbon	
  
dioxide	
  emissions	
  a	
  year,	
  the	
  equivalent	
  of	
  
taking	
  4,075,000	
  cars	
  off	
  the	
  road.	
  
American	
  Wind	
  Energy	
  Associa8on,	
  Sept.	
  29,	
  2014	
  
 
Eole	
  Water	
  has	
  modified	
  the	
  tradi8onal	
  wind	
  
turbine	
  to	
  create	
  an	
  appliance	
  that	
  can	
  
manufacture	
  water	
  from	
  air.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
They	
  have	
  a	
  prototype	
  in	
  the	
  desert	
  near	
  Abu	
  
Dhabi	
  that	
  produce	
  62	
  liters	
  of	
  water	
  an	
  hour	
  
and	
  generates	
  electricity.	
  	
  
CNN	
  World,	
  April	
  30,	
  2012	
  
If	
  solar	
  power	
  is	
  to	
  become	
  a	
  primary	
  source	
  of	
  
electricity	
  around	
  the	
  world,	
  we’ll	
  need	
  cheap	
  ways	
  to	
  
store	
  energy	
  from	
  the	
  sun	
  when	
  it	
  isn’t	
  shining.	
  
	
  A	
  paper	
  published	
  in	
  the	
  journal	
  Science	
  this	
  week	
  
reports	
  a	
  major	
  step	
  toward	
  such	
  a	
  system.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Researchers	
  have	
  developed	
  a	
  device	
  that	
  cheaply	
  and	
  
efficiently	
  converts	
  the	
  energy	
  in	
  sunlight	
  into	
  
hydrogen,	
  which	
  can	
  be	
  used	
  as	
  a	
  fuel	
  and	
  is	
  easily	
  
stored.	
  
MIT	
  Technology	
  Review,	
  Sept.	
  24,	
  2014	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
Tesla	
  is	
  marke8ng	
  storage	
  baYeries	
  
for	
  commercial	
  and	
  home	
  use	
  for	
  
solar	
  panels	
  and	
  wind	
  generated	
  
electricity.	
  
There	
  will	
  be	
  disrup8on	
  of	
  the	
  en8re	
  fossil-­‐
fuel	
  industry,	
  star8ng	
  with	
  u8lity	
  
companies	
  —	
  which	
  will	
  face	
  declining	
  
demand	
  and	
  then	
  bankruptcy.	
  	
  
	
  Several	
  of	
  them	
  see	
  the	
  wri8ng	
  on	
  the	
  
wall.	
  	
  
	
  The	
  smart	
  ones	
  are	
  embracing	
  solar	
  and	
  
wind	
  power.	
  	
  	
  
Others	
  are	
  lobbying	
  to	
  stop	
  the	
  progress	
  of	
  
solar	
  power	
  —	
  at	
  all	
  costs.	
  
The	
  Washington	
  Post,	
  Sept.	
  20,	
  2014	
  	
  
 	
  	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
We	
  will	
  go	
  from	
  deba8ng	
  incen8ves	
  
for	
  installing	
  clean	
  energies	
  to	
  
deba8ng	
  subsidies	
  for	
  u8lity	
  
companies	
  to	
  keep	
  their	
  opera8ons	
  
going.	
  
The	
  Washington	
  Post,	
  Sept.	
  20,	
  2014	
  
The	
  combina8on	
  of	
  water	
  scarcity,	
  
global	
  warming	
  reducing	
  crop	
  
produc8on	
  and	
  two	
  billion	
  people	
  
added	
  to	
  the	
  earth	
  will	
  result	
  in	
  
global	
  food	
  scarcity.	
  
	
  
Can	
  you	
  live	
  on	
  less	
  food	
  in	
  the	
  
future?	
  
The	
  UN	
  Food	
  and	
  Agriculture	
  Organiza8on	
  
reports	
  that	
  87%	
  of	
  global	
  fish	
  stocks	
  are	
  either	
  
fully	
  exploited	
  or	
  overexploited.	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Oceans	
  absorb	
  about	
  33%	
  of	
  human-­‐generated	
  
CO2,	
  but	
  their	
  ability	
  to	
  con8nue	
  doing	
  this	
  is	
  
being	
  reduced	
  by	
  changing	
  acidity	
  and	
  the	
  die-­‐
offs	
  of	
  coral	
  reefs	
  and	
  other	
  living	
  systems.	
  
The	
  Millennium	
  Project,	
  Sept.	
  2014	
  
Ocean	
  Aquiculture	
  and	
  Agriculture	
  
should	
  be	
  a	
  priority	
  for	
  Texas	
  with	
  
its	
  extensive	
  coastline.	
  
Energy,	
  food	
  and	
  water	
  are	
  
interconnected	
  and	
  an	
  abundance	
  
of	
  one	
  enables	
  an	
  abundance	
  of	
  
the	
  others,	
  a	
  shortage	
  of	
  one	
  can	
  
create	
  a	
  shortage	
  of	
  the	
  others.	
  
Scien8fic	
  American,	
  Jan.	
  2015	
  
 
	
  
	
  
Food	
  prices	
  are	
  at	
  their	
  highest	
  point	
  
in	
  history	
  and	
  are	
  likely	
  to	
  con8nue	
  
increasing	
  over	
  the	
  long	
  term	
  if	
  there	
  
are	
  no	
  major	
  innova8ons	
  in	
  
produc8on	
  and	
  changes	
  in	
  
consump8on.	
  
The	
  Futurist,	
  Dec.	
  2011	
  
The	
  average	
  US	
  household	
  
spends	
  10%	
  of	
  annual	
  income	
  on	
  
food.	
  
The	
  World	
  Bank	
  forecasts	
  the	
  
average	
  U.S.	
  household	
  will	
  
spend	
  25%	
  of	
  annual	
  income	
  on	
  
food	
  within	
  ten	
  years.	
  
When	
  food	
  prices	
  increase	
  by	
  2.5X	
  
by	
  2020,	
  how	
  will	
  Texas	
  feed	
  the	
  
popula8on	
  within	
  the	
  State?	
  
What	
  will	
  it	
  do	
  for	
  energy,	
  water,	
  
food,	
  transporta3on	
  and	
  housing?	
  
Texas	
  is	
  the	
  fastest	
  growing	
  state	
  
in	
  the	
  union.	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Global	
  temperature	
  rise	
  greater	
  than	
  2	
  degrees	
  
Celsius	
  will	
  compromise	
  food	
  supplies	
  globally.	
  
Without	
  more	
  mi8ga8on	
  than	
  is	
  being	
  done	
  
today,	
  the	
  temperature	
  is	
  more	
  likely	
  than	
  not	
  
to	
  rise	
  by	
  4	
  degrees	
  C	
  by	
  2100.	
  
Scien8fic	
  American,	
  UN	
  Report,	
  Nov.	
  6,	
  2014	
  
For	
  every	
  1%	
  rise	
  in	
  temperature	
  
above	
  the	
  norm	
  during	
  the	
  
growing	
  season,	
  farmers	
  can	
  
expect	
  a	
  10%	
  decline	
  in	
  wheat,	
  
rice,	
  and	
  corn	
  yields.	
  
CO2	
  inhibits	
  wheat,	
  barley,	
  rice,	
  maize,	
  potatoes,	
  
peas	
  and	
  soybeans	
  assimila8on	
  of	
  nitrate	
  into	
  
proteins,	
  demonstra8ng	
  the	
  the	
  nutri8onal	
  quality	
  of	
  
food	
  crops	
  is	
  in	
  jeopardy	
  as	
  climate	
  change	
  
intensifies.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  crops	
  will	
  loose	
  8%	
  of	
  their	
  protein	
  in	
  the	
  next	
  
few	
  decades.	
  	
  
Wheat,	
  in	
  par8cular,	
  will	
  be	
  a	
  problem,	
  because	
  it	
  
provides	
  1/5	
  of	
  all	
  protein	
  in	
  the	
  world’s	
  human	
  diet.	
  
	
  The	
  Californian,	
  Fall	
  2014	
  
It	
  is	
  predicted	
  that	
  
temperatures	
  will	
  rise	
  3.6F	
  
this	
  century	
  and	
  that	
  
means	
  a	
  twelve	
  to	
  twenty	
  
percent	
  fall	
  in	
  global	
  food	
  
produc8on.	
  
Tidal	
  	
  Wave	
  Energy	
  promise	
  gives	
  Texas	
  an	
  edge.	
  
	
  
Ocean	
  Aquiculture	
  and	
  Agriculture	
  should	
  be	
  a	
  priority	
  
for	
  Texas	
  with	
  its	
  extensive	
  coastline.	
  
	
  
 
	
  
	
  
The	
  next	
  major	
  food	
  revolu8on	
  will	
  be	
  ver8cal	
  
agriculture,	
  in	
  which	
  we	
  grow	
  food	
  in	
  ver8cal	
  buildings	
  
rather	
  than	
  horizontal	
  land:	
  
	
  	
  
Ver8cal	
  agriculture	
  will	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  recycle	
  all	
  nutrients,	
  
capture	
  all	
  pollutants,	
  and	
  require	
  no	
  use	
  of	
  an8bio8cs	
  
and	
  pes8cides.	
  
	
  Today	
  over	
  one	
  third	
  of	
  usable	
  land	
  is	
  devoted	
  to	
  
agriculture	
  (70%	
  of	
  which	
  is	
  for	
  animals	
  for	
  meat	
  
produc3on).	
  
	
  Ver8cal	
  agriculture	
  will	
  free	
  up	
  almost	
  all	
  of	
  this.	
  
KurzweilAI,	
  Oct.	
  10,	
  2014	
  
We	
  need	
  to	
  build	
  the	
  
infrastructure	
  of	
  the	
  future,	
  not	
  
just	
  patch	
  up	
  that	
  of	
  the	
  past.	
  
Failure	
  to	
  do	
  so	
  will	
  only	
  stall	
  
and	
  hold	
  back	
  recovery.	
  
The	
  Great	
  Reset-­‐Richard	
  Florida	
  
ü Change	
  is	
  challenging.	
  
ü Change	
  is	
  thrilling.	
  
ü Change	
  can	
  usher	
  in	
  great	
  
trepida3on.	
  
ü Change	
  is	
  everywhere.	
  
ü Change	
  is	
  inevitable.	
  
The	
  world’s	
  biggest	
  
problems	
  	
  
will	
  create	
  the	
  	
  
world’s	
  greatest	
  
opportuni3es!	
  
3
PART
In closing…
… we have attempted to
offer you the following
three key learning
takeaways in answering
the following
fundamental question:
What can we do to
face the future…?
(1) We need to be Healthy…
(Adapted from Natrass  Altamore)
Society
Today
Unsustainable Direction
Society
Today
Unsustainable Direction
ACTION
Margin
for
Action
Stabilize
Reverse
(Adapted from Natrass  Altamore)
(2) We need to be Observant...
* Based on the “the boiling frog” analogy…
(3) We need to be Prepared…
Learning/
Teaching
Engagement
(Practice, Outreach,
and Service)
Research/
Creative Work/
ScholarshipResearching what
is taught and how
Transdisciplinarity
Teaching what is
researched
The
FUTURE
The FUTURE
Service
Learning
CARC Students
Other TAMU Students
Other U.S. Students
International Students
Continuing
Education
AEC Professionals
Other Professionals
Government Officials
The Community
K-12
Education
Vocational
and Community
College Education
Traditional Formal
University Education
Disciplinary and
Interdisciplinary
Bachelor, Master, and
Doctoral Levels
The K–Grey life-long learning education pipeline:
Multiple Learner Constituencies
Workforce Learners
(with a high school degree or higher)
Workforce Learners
(without a formal degree at any level)
Pre–K
High School Degree
2 Yr. College Degree
4 Yr. University Degree (Bachelors)
Graduate Degree (Masters)
Doctoral Degree
Grey
High School Non-graduates
College Non-graduates
University Non-graduates
Graduate Studies Non-graduates
Doctoral Studies Non-graduates
Post-Doctoral Work
The FUTURE
203
Thank you!
Prof. Rodney Hill
rhill@arch.tamu.edu

Dr. Jorge Vanegas
jvanegas@tamu.edu

More Related Content

Viewers also liked

Corporate Foresight Model Applicable to SME's as a Tool for Innovation-Orient...
Corporate Foresight Model Applicable to SME's as a Tool for Innovation-Orient...Corporate Foresight Model Applicable to SME's as a Tool for Innovation-Orient...
Corporate Foresight Model Applicable to SME's as a Tool for Innovation-Orient...WorldFuture2015
 
Introduction to Strategic Futurist Thinking
Introduction to Strategic Futurist ThinkingIntroduction to Strategic Futurist Thinking
Introduction to Strategic Futurist ThinkingWorldFuture2015
 
Ways to map brand strategy
Ways to map brand strategyWays to map brand strategy
Ways to map brand strategysimran sakshi
 
PRSA Educator's Academy Presentation (2016)
PRSA Educator's Academy Presentation (2016)PRSA Educator's Academy Presentation (2016)
PRSA Educator's Academy Presentation (2016)Karen Freberg
 
Paggamit ng magagalang na pananalita na angkop sa
Paggamit ng magagalang na pananalita na angkop saPaggamit ng magagalang na pananalita na angkop sa
Paggamit ng magagalang na pananalita na angkop saRazel Rebamba
 
Content Marketing in Australia 2017: Budgets, Benchmarks and Trends
Content Marketing in Australia 2017: Budgets, Benchmarks and TrendsContent Marketing in Australia 2017: Budgets, Benchmarks and Trends
Content Marketing in Australia 2017: Budgets, Benchmarks and TrendsContent Marketing Institute
 

Viewers also liked (12)

Corporate Foresight Model Applicable to SME's as a Tool for Innovation-Orient...
Corporate Foresight Model Applicable to SME's as a Tool for Innovation-Orient...Corporate Foresight Model Applicable to SME's as a Tool for Innovation-Orient...
Corporate Foresight Model Applicable to SME's as a Tool for Innovation-Orient...
 
New Document(2)
New Document(2)New Document(2)
New Document(2)
 
Diseñando la propuesta de valor 1
Diseñando la propuesta de valor 1Diseñando la propuesta de valor 1
Diseñando la propuesta de valor 1
 
SEO RFP
SEO RFPSEO RFP
SEO RFP
 
Introduction to Strategic Futurist Thinking
Introduction to Strategic Futurist ThinkingIntroduction to Strategic Futurist Thinking
Introduction to Strategic Futurist Thinking
 
Ways to map brand strategy
Ways to map brand strategyWays to map brand strategy
Ways to map brand strategy
 
Hootsuite
HootsuiteHootsuite
Hootsuite
 
KAALAMANG BAYAN
KAALAMANG BAYAN KAALAMANG BAYAN
KAALAMANG BAYAN
 
PRSA Educator's Academy Presentation (2016)
PRSA Educator's Academy Presentation (2016)PRSA Educator's Academy Presentation (2016)
PRSA Educator's Academy Presentation (2016)
 
Paggamit ng magagalang na pananalita na angkop sa
Paggamit ng magagalang na pananalita na angkop saPaggamit ng magagalang na pananalita na angkop sa
Paggamit ng magagalang na pananalita na angkop sa
 
Content Marketing in Australia 2017: Budgets, Benchmarks and Trends
Content Marketing in Australia 2017: Budgets, Benchmarks and TrendsContent Marketing in Australia 2017: Budgets, Benchmarks and Trends
Content Marketing in Australia 2017: Budgets, Benchmarks and Trends
 
Geografía humana
Geografía humanaGeografía humana
Geografía humana
 

Similar to Texas is the Fastest Growing State in the Union

2014 Houston Economic Outlook
2014 Houston Economic Outlook2014 Houston Economic Outlook
2014 Houston Economic OutlookCoy Davidson
 
2016 Houston Economic Outlook
2016 Houston Economic Outlook2016 Houston Economic Outlook
2016 Houston Economic OutlookCoy Davidson
 
Essay About Australia. Australian Literature: Letter to A and Australia Day C...
Essay About Australia. Australian Literature: Letter to A and Australia Day C...Essay About Australia. Australian Literature: Letter to A and Australia Day C...
Essay About Australia. Australian Literature: Letter to A and Australia Day C...Kari Wilson
 
Empowering our communities_strengthening_our_leaders[1]
Empowering our communities_strengthening_our_leaders[1]Empowering our communities_strengthening_our_leaders[1]
Empowering our communities_strengthening_our_leaders[1]lappss
 
Top trends in Texas retail 2016
Top trends in Texas retail 2016Top trends in Texas retail 2016
Top trends in Texas retail 2016JLL
 
Top Trends in Texas Retail
Top Trends in Texas RetailTop Trends in Texas Retail
Top Trends in Texas RetailAustin Speni
 
Demographics And Its Impact On Health And Health
Demographics And Its Impact On Health And HealthDemographics And Its Impact On Health And Health
Demographics And Its Impact On Health And HealthLindsey Campbell
 
(#2) UNDOCUMENTED & AFRAID President Donald Trump is taking a h.docx
(#2)   UNDOCUMENTED & AFRAID President Donald Trump is taking a h.docx(#2)   UNDOCUMENTED & AFRAID President Donald Trump is taking a h.docx
(#2) UNDOCUMENTED & AFRAID President Donald Trump is taking a h.docxgertrudebellgrove
 
Houston Facts :: How Many Do You Know?
Houston Facts :: How Many Do You Know?Houston Facts :: How Many Do You Know?
Houston Facts :: How Many Do You Know?Brian Trimble
 
2013 Houston Economic Outlook
2013 Houston Economic Outlook2013 Houston Economic Outlook
2013 Houston Economic OutlookCoy Davidson
 

Similar to Texas is the Fastest Growing State in the Union (12)

2014 Houston Economic Outlook
2014 Houston Economic Outlook2014 Houston Economic Outlook
2014 Houston Economic Outlook
 
2016 Houston Economic Outlook
2016 Houston Economic Outlook2016 Houston Economic Outlook
2016 Houston Economic Outlook
 
Essay About Australia. Australian Literature: Letter to A and Australia Day C...
Essay About Australia. Australian Literature: Letter to A and Australia Day C...Essay About Australia. Australian Literature: Letter to A and Australia Day C...
Essay About Australia. Australian Literature: Letter to A and Australia Day C...
 
Empowering our communities_strengthening_our_leaders[1]
Empowering our communities_strengthening_our_leaders[1]Empowering our communities_strengthening_our_leaders[1]
Empowering our communities_strengthening_our_leaders[1]
 
Top trends in Texas retail 2016
Top trends in Texas retail 2016Top trends in Texas retail 2016
Top trends in Texas retail 2016
 
Top Trends in Texas Retail
Top Trends in Texas RetailTop Trends in Texas Retail
Top Trends in Texas Retail
 
Demographics And Its Impact On Health And Health
Demographics And Its Impact On Health And HealthDemographics And Its Impact On Health And Health
Demographics And Its Impact On Health And Health
 
Toptenmoveto2015
Toptenmoveto2015Toptenmoveto2015
Toptenmoveto2015
 
(#2) UNDOCUMENTED & AFRAID President Donald Trump is taking a h.docx
(#2)   UNDOCUMENTED & AFRAID President Donald Trump is taking a h.docx(#2)   UNDOCUMENTED & AFRAID President Donald Trump is taking a h.docx
(#2) UNDOCUMENTED & AFRAID President Donald Trump is taking a h.docx
 
Houston Facts :: How Many Do You Know?
Houston Facts :: How Many Do You Know?Houston Facts :: How Many Do You Know?
Houston Facts :: How Many Do You Know?
 
2013 Houston Economic Outlook
2013 Houston Economic Outlook2013 Houston Economic Outlook
2013 Houston Economic Outlook
 
2013 Houston Economic Outlook
2013 Houston Economic Outlook2013 Houston Economic Outlook
2013 Houston Economic Outlook
 

More from WorldFuture2015

Digital Design Fiction: Transmedia & Foresight
Digital Design Fiction: Transmedia & ForesightDigital Design Fiction: Transmedia & Foresight
Digital Design Fiction: Transmedia & ForesightWorldFuture2015
 
Quadrennial Strategic Planning Process
Quadrennial Strategic Planning ProcessQuadrennial Strategic Planning Process
Quadrennial Strategic Planning ProcessWorldFuture2015
 
Teaching Foresight in Public Sector Organizations
Teaching Foresight in Public Sector OrganizationsTeaching Foresight in Public Sector Organizations
Teaching Foresight in Public Sector OrganizationsWorldFuture2015
 
Create a Future Education Model - K-Graduate Programs
Create a Future Education Model - K-Graduate ProgramsCreate a Future Education Model - K-Graduate Programs
Create a Future Education Model - K-Graduate ProgramsWorldFuture2015
 
Navigating the Tech Storm
Navigating the Tech StormNavigating the Tech Storm
Navigating the Tech StormWorldFuture2015
 
Backward Design and Effective Brainstorming for Volitional Futurist Thinking
Backward Design and Effective Brainstorming for Volitional Futurist ThinkingBackward Design and Effective Brainstorming for Volitional Futurist Thinking
Backward Design and Effective Brainstorming for Volitional Futurist ThinkingWorldFuture2015
 
Some New Trends in Future Studies
Some New Trends in Future StudiesSome New Trends in Future Studies
Some New Trends in Future StudiesWorldFuture2015
 
Teaching Kids How to Think, Not What to Think
Teaching Kids How to Think, Not What to ThinkTeaching Kids How to Think, Not What to Think
Teaching Kids How to Think, Not What to ThinkWorldFuture2015
 
Thinking Tools - Empowering Students to Get the Job Done
Thinking Tools - Empowering Students to Get the Job DoneThinking Tools - Empowering Students to Get the Job Done
Thinking Tools - Empowering Students to Get the Job DoneWorldFuture2015
 
The Digital Paradox: Finding the Balance
The Digital Paradox: Finding the BalanceThe Digital Paradox: Finding the Balance
The Digital Paradox: Finding the BalanceWorldFuture2015
 
Would You Like to Play a Game?
Would You Like to Play a Game?Would You Like to Play a Game?
Would You Like to Play a Game?WorldFuture2015
 
2x2 Scenario Exploration System
2x2 Scenario Exploration System2x2 Scenario Exploration System
2x2 Scenario Exploration SystemWorldFuture2015
 
Acting on the Future: Practical Foresight Implementation in Canada
Acting on the Future: Practical Foresight Implementation in CanadaActing on the Future: Practical Foresight Implementation in Canada
Acting on the Future: Practical Foresight Implementation in CanadaWorldFuture2015
 
Designing the Future: Cultivating the Learning Ecosystem
Designing the Future: Cultivating the Learning EcosystemDesigning the Future: Cultivating the Learning Ecosystem
Designing the Future: Cultivating the Learning EcosystemWorldFuture2015
 
The Future of Industrial Activity in Space
The Future of Industrial Activity in SpaceThe Future of Industrial Activity in Space
The Future of Industrial Activity in SpaceWorldFuture2015
 
Global Overview of Challenges and Prospects for Our Future
Global Overview of Challenges and Prospects for Our FutureGlobal Overview of Challenges and Prospects for Our Future
Global Overview of Challenges and Prospects for Our FutureWorldFuture2015
 

More from WorldFuture2015 (20)

Lifespan Seminar
Lifespan SeminarLifespan Seminar
Lifespan Seminar
 
Digital Design Fiction: Transmedia & Foresight
Digital Design Fiction: Transmedia & ForesightDigital Design Fiction: Transmedia & Foresight
Digital Design Fiction: Transmedia & Foresight
 
Quadrennial Strategic Planning Process
Quadrennial Strategic Planning ProcessQuadrennial Strategic Planning Process
Quadrennial Strategic Planning Process
 
Experience Design
Experience DesignExperience Design
Experience Design
 
Teaching Foresight in Public Sector Organizations
Teaching Foresight in Public Sector OrganizationsTeaching Foresight in Public Sector Organizations
Teaching Foresight in Public Sector Organizations
 
Create a Future Education Model - K-Graduate Programs
Create a Future Education Model - K-Graduate ProgramsCreate a Future Education Model - K-Graduate Programs
Create a Future Education Model - K-Graduate Programs
 
Navigating the Tech Storm
Navigating the Tech StormNavigating the Tech Storm
Navigating the Tech Storm
 
Backward Design and Effective Brainstorming for Volitional Futurist Thinking
Backward Design and Effective Brainstorming for Volitional Futurist ThinkingBackward Design and Effective Brainstorming for Volitional Futurist Thinking
Backward Design and Effective Brainstorming for Volitional Futurist Thinking
 
Some New Trends in Future Studies
Some New Trends in Future StudiesSome New Trends in Future Studies
Some New Trends in Future Studies
 
Teaching Kids How to Think, Not What to Think
Teaching Kids How to Think, Not What to ThinkTeaching Kids How to Think, Not What to Think
Teaching Kids How to Think, Not What to Think
 
Thinking Tools - Empowering Students to Get the Job Done
Thinking Tools - Empowering Students to Get the Job DoneThinking Tools - Empowering Students to Get the Job Done
Thinking Tools - Empowering Students to Get the Job Done
 
Future Problem Solving
Future Problem SolvingFuture Problem Solving
Future Problem Solving
 
How to Build Utopia
How to Build UtopiaHow to Build Utopia
How to Build Utopia
 
The Digital Paradox: Finding the Balance
The Digital Paradox: Finding the BalanceThe Digital Paradox: Finding the Balance
The Digital Paradox: Finding the Balance
 
Would You Like to Play a Game?
Would You Like to Play a Game?Would You Like to Play a Game?
Would You Like to Play a Game?
 
2x2 Scenario Exploration System
2x2 Scenario Exploration System2x2 Scenario Exploration System
2x2 Scenario Exploration System
 
Acting on the Future: Practical Foresight Implementation in Canada
Acting on the Future: Practical Foresight Implementation in CanadaActing on the Future: Practical Foresight Implementation in Canada
Acting on the Future: Practical Foresight Implementation in Canada
 
Designing the Future: Cultivating the Learning Ecosystem
Designing the Future: Cultivating the Learning EcosystemDesigning the Future: Cultivating the Learning Ecosystem
Designing the Future: Cultivating the Learning Ecosystem
 
The Future of Industrial Activity in Space
The Future of Industrial Activity in SpaceThe Future of Industrial Activity in Space
The Future of Industrial Activity in Space
 
Global Overview of Challenges and Prospects for Our Future
Global Overview of Challenges and Prospects for Our FutureGlobal Overview of Challenges and Prospects for Our Future
Global Overview of Challenges and Prospects for Our Future
 

Recently uploaded

Field Attribute Index Feature in Odoo 17
Field Attribute Index Feature in Odoo 17Field Attribute Index Feature in Odoo 17
Field Attribute Index Feature in Odoo 17Celine George
 
What is Model Inheritance in Odoo 17 ERP
What is Model Inheritance in Odoo 17 ERPWhat is Model Inheritance in Odoo 17 ERP
What is Model Inheritance in Odoo 17 ERPCeline George
 
DATA STRUCTURE AND ALGORITHM for beginners
DATA STRUCTURE AND ALGORITHM for beginnersDATA STRUCTURE AND ALGORITHM for beginners
DATA STRUCTURE AND ALGORITHM for beginnersSabitha Banu
 
Judging the Relevance and worth of ideas part 2.pptx
Judging the Relevance  and worth of ideas part 2.pptxJudging the Relevance  and worth of ideas part 2.pptx
Judging the Relevance and worth of ideas part 2.pptxSherlyMaeNeri
 
Crayon Activity Handout For the Crayon A
Crayon Activity Handout For the Crayon ACrayon Activity Handout For the Crayon A
Crayon Activity Handout For the Crayon AUnboundStockton
 
Gas measurement O2,Co2,& ph) 04/2024.pptx
Gas measurement O2,Co2,& ph) 04/2024.pptxGas measurement O2,Co2,& ph) 04/2024.pptx
Gas measurement O2,Co2,& ph) 04/2024.pptxDr.Ibrahim Hassaan
 
How to do quick user assign in kanban in Odoo 17 ERP
How to do quick user assign in kanban in Odoo 17 ERPHow to do quick user assign in kanban in Odoo 17 ERP
How to do quick user assign in kanban in Odoo 17 ERPCeline George
 
ACC 2024 Chronicles. Cardiology. Exam.pdf
ACC 2024 Chronicles. Cardiology. Exam.pdfACC 2024 Chronicles. Cardiology. Exam.pdf
ACC 2024 Chronicles. Cardiology. Exam.pdfSpandanaRallapalli
 
Solving Puzzles Benefits Everyone (English).pptx
Solving Puzzles Benefits Everyone (English).pptxSolving Puzzles Benefits Everyone (English).pptx
Solving Puzzles Benefits Everyone (English).pptxOH TEIK BIN
 
MULTIDISCIPLINRY NATURE OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES.pptx
MULTIDISCIPLINRY NATURE OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES.pptxMULTIDISCIPLINRY NATURE OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES.pptx
MULTIDISCIPLINRY NATURE OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES.pptxAnupkumar Sharma
 
ECONOMIC CONTEXT - LONG FORM TV DRAMA - PPT
ECONOMIC CONTEXT - LONG FORM TV DRAMA - PPTECONOMIC CONTEXT - LONG FORM TV DRAMA - PPT
ECONOMIC CONTEXT - LONG FORM TV DRAMA - PPTiammrhaywood
 
Roles & Responsibilities in Pharmacovigilance
Roles & Responsibilities in PharmacovigilanceRoles & Responsibilities in Pharmacovigilance
Roles & Responsibilities in PharmacovigilanceSamikshaHamane
 
Planning a health career 4th Quarter.pptx
Planning a health career 4th Quarter.pptxPlanning a health career 4th Quarter.pptx
Planning a health career 4th Quarter.pptxLigayaBacuel1
 
Romantic Opera MUSIC FOR GRADE NINE pptx
Romantic Opera MUSIC FOR GRADE NINE pptxRomantic Opera MUSIC FOR GRADE NINE pptx
Romantic Opera MUSIC FOR GRADE NINE pptxsqpmdrvczh
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Field Attribute Index Feature in Odoo 17
Field Attribute Index Feature in Odoo 17Field Attribute Index Feature in Odoo 17
Field Attribute Index Feature in Odoo 17
 
What is Model Inheritance in Odoo 17 ERP
What is Model Inheritance in Odoo 17 ERPWhat is Model Inheritance in Odoo 17 ERP
What is Model Inheritance in Odoo 17 ERP
 
DATA STRUCTURE AND ALGORITHM for beginners
DATA STRUCTURE AND ALGORITHM for beginnersDATA STRUCTURE AND ALGORITHM for beginners
DATA STRUCTURE AND ALGORITHM for beginners
 
Judging the Relevance and worth of ideas part 2.pptx
Judging the Relevance  and worth of ideas part 2.pptxJudging the Relevance  and worth of ideas part 2.pptx
Judging the Relevance and worth of ideas part 2.pptx
 
Crayon Activity Handout For the Crayon A
Crayon Activity Handout For the Crayon ACrayon Activity Handout For the Crayon A
Crayon Activity Handout For the Crayon A
 
Gas measurement O2,Co2,& ph) 04/2024.pptx
Gas measurement O2,Co2,& ph) 04/2024.pptxGas measurement O2,Co2,& ph) 04/2024.pptx
Gas measurement O2,Co2,& ph) 04/2024.pptx
 
Raw materials used in Herbal Cosmetics.pptx
Raw materials used in Herbal Cosmetics.pptxRaw materials used in Herbal Cosmetics.pptx
Raw materials used in Herbal Cosmetics.pptx
 
Rapple "Scholarly Communications and the Sustainable Development Goals"
Rapple "Scholarly Communications and the Sustainable Development Goals"Rapple "Scholarly Communications and the Sustainable Development Goals"
Rapple "Scholarly Communications and the Sustainable Development Goals"
 
TataKelola dan KamSiber Kecerdasan Buatan v022.pdf
TataKelola dan KamSiber Kecerdasan Buatan v022.pdfTataKelola dan KamSiber Kecerdasan Buatan v022.pdf
TataKelola dan KamSiber Kecerdasan Buatan v022.pdf
 
9953330565 Low Rate Call Girls In Rohini Delhi NCR
9953330565 Low Rate Call Girls In Rohini  Delhi NCR9953330565 Low Rate Call Girls In Rohini  Delhi NCR
9953330565 Low Rate Call Girls In Rohini Delhi NCR
 
How to do quick user assign in kanban in Odoo 17 ERP
How to do quick user assign in kanban in Odoo 17 ERPHow to do quick user assign in kanban in Odoo 17 ERP
How to do quick user assign in kanban in Odoo 17 ERP
 
ACC 2024 Chronicles. Cardiology. Exam.pdf
ACC 2024 Chronicles. Cardiology. Exam.pdfACC 2024 Chronicles. Cardiology. Exam.pdf
ACC 2024 Chronicles. Cardiology. Exam.pdf
 
Solving Puzzles Benefits Everyone (English).pptx
Solving Puzzles Benefits Everyone (English).pptxSolving Puzzles Benefits Everyone (English).pptx
Solving Puzzles Benefits Everyone (English).pptx
 
MULTIDISCIPLINRY NATURE OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES.pptx
MULTIDISCIPLINRY NATURE OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES.pptxMULTIDISCIPLINRY NATURE OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES.pptx
MULTIDISCIPLINRY NATURE OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES.pptx
 
ECONOMIC CONTEXT - LONG FORM TV DRAMA - PPT
ECONOMIC CONTEXT - LONG FORM TV DRAMA - PPTECONOMIC CONTEXT - LONG FORM TV DRAMA - PPT
ECONOMIC CONTEXT - LONG FORM TV DRAMA - PPT
 
OS-operating systems- ch04 (Threads) ...
OS-operating systems- ch04 (Threads) ...OS-operating systems- ch04 (Threads) ...
OS-operating systems- ch04 (Threads) ...
 
Roles & Responsibilities in Pharmacovigilance
Roles & Responsibilities in PharmacovigilanceRoles & Responsibilities in Pharmacovigilance
Roles & Responsibilities in Pharmacovigilance
 
Planning a health career 4th Quarter.pptx
Planning a health career 4th Quarter.pptxPlanning a health career 4th Quarter.pptx
Planning a health career 4th Quarter.pptx
 
Romantic Opera MUSIC FOR GRADE NINE pptx
Romantic Opera MUSIC FOR GRADE NINE pptxRomantic Opera MUSIC FOR GRADE NINE pptx
Romantic Opera MUSIC FOR GRADE NINE pptx
 
Model Call Girl in Tilak Nagar Delhi reach out to us at 🔝9953056974🔝
Model Call Girl in Tilak Nagar Delhi reach out to us at 🔝9953056974🔝Model Call Girl in Tilak Nagar Delhi reach out to us at 🔝9953056974🔝
Model Call Girl in Tilak Nagar Delhi reach out to us at 🔝9953056974🔝
 

Texas is the Fastest Growing State in the Union

  • 1. 1 This presentation is BEST seen in Slide Show Mode…
  • 2. 2
  • 3. 3 The Future of Texas: The Fastest Growing State in the Union Developed and presented by: Prof. Rodney Hill Presidential Professor for Teaching Excellence, & Professor, Department of Architecture at Texas A&M University & Dr. Jorge Vanegas Dean, College of Architecture, & Professor, Department of Architecture at Texas A&M University; and Research Professor, Texas Engineering Experiment Station at Texas A&M University System
  • 6. We live in a world… …full of intersections
  • 7. …and how we handle these intersections can determine if we can keep on going…
  • 9. So, imagine that you/we (or as they say… y’all) live in Texas. What is in the horizon for all of us?
  • 11. “It is said that the present is pregnant with the future.” Voltaire
  • 12. … And the present is the offspring of the past…
  • 13. We also need to remember that the Future arrives every second as today’s reality, and it does not have “Stop,” “Pause,” “Rewind,” “Fast Forward,” “Eject,” “Mute,” or “Reset” buttons….
  • 14. And when the future arrives…
  • 15. It may cause us to… FREEZE…
  • 16. Or, it may cause us to want to… FLEE…
  • 17. Or, it may cause us to want to… FIGHT…
  • 18. Regardless, before it arrives, in facing the future, we have choices we can make…
  • 19. We may choose to contribute to make the Future we want happen, as… ACTORS…
  • 20. We may choose to just wait and see what Future will happen, as… SPECTATORS…
  • 21. Or, when whatever Future arrives: We may choose to ask “what happened?” as… CRITICS…
  • 22. Or worse, when whatever Future arrives: We may choose to just say “huh, something happened?” as… OBLIVIOUS BYSTANDERS…
  • 23. And, will the choices we make allow us to ride the wave of the future as individuals...?
  • 24. Or be dragged under by it...?
  • 25. Will the realities we will face along the way crush us...?
  • 26. Or, will we be able to face them together with others, in teams or in organizations...?
  • 28.       While  the  U.S.  as  a  whole  won’t   experience  the  perfect  storm  that   popula8on  growth  will  bring  by   2050  like  in  Asia,  Africa,  India  and   Central  and  South  America,     but  Texas  will!  
  • 29. The  three  largest  states  by  popula8on   are  California,  Texas  and  New  York.             Texas  is  growing  faster  than  any  state   in  the  union  and  will  capture  25%  of   US  popula8on  growth  by  2050.    
  • 30. In  June  of  2014,  Texas  unemployment   rate  was  5.1%.   Texas  has  seen  a  19%  GDP  compared   to  5%  for  the  USA.   From  2005-­‐2010,  Texas  gained   636,639  residents  from  other  states   and  they  brought,  on  net,  $14.4  billion   in  adjusted  gross  income.   Texas  has  a  AAA  credit  ra8ng  from   Standard  and  Poor.   Economics  21,  ManhaYan  Ins8tute  Aug.  19,  2014  
  • 31.       People  moving  to  Texas  from   California  or  New  York  will   probably  take  a  pay  cut  but  but   nonetheless  enjoy  a  higher   disposable  income.   The  Economist,  Oct.  4,  2014  
  • 32.             There  are  around  2000  people   moving  to  Texas  every  day!     Where  are  they  going?  
  • 33.               Texas  will  grow  from  25  million  to  55   million  by  2050  and  will  increase  the   compe88on  for  water  and  electricity.   Aljazeera  America,  July  29,  2014    
  • 34. If  you're  hun8ng  for  a  great  city  in   which  to  work  -­‐-­‐  or  a  place  that's   economically  booming  in  general  -­‐-­‐   then  we've  got  a  crop  for  you.             (Spoiler  alert:  Texas  is  the  place  to  go.)   Huffington  Post,  Jan.  13,  2015    
  • 35.   Texas  is  has  ten  cites  listed  as  the  most   produc3ve  &  economically  booming  ci3es  in   America!           Aus8n  and  area  are  #2   Houston  area  is  #7   Ft.  Worth/Arlington,  TX.  Is  #8   Dallas,  TX.  Is  #9   San  Antonio  is  #10    
  • 36.       Fast  Company  lists  the  top  20  ci8es   where  crea8ve  jobs  are.   Aus8n  is  #1   Houston  is  #6   Dallas  is  #14   Fast  Company,  June  25,  2015  
  • 37. The  top  ten  list  of  best  ci8es  for   Hispanics/La8nos  to  thrive  show   Houston,  Dallas-­‐Fort  Worth,  Aus8n   and  San  Antonio.         The  top  ten  list  of  best  ci8es  for  Asian   Americans  to  thrive  show  Houston,   Dallas-­‐Ft.  Worth,  and  Aus8n.   Fast  Company,  June  11,  2015    
  • 38.     Aus8n  has  set  the  pace  for   popula8on  growth  in  the  state.     Its  popula8on  grew  37%  in  the   decade  ending  n  2010.   Associated  Press,  March  7,  2015  
  • 39. Aus8n  is  number  one  and  Houston  is   the  number  two  most  overvalued   housing  market  in  the  US.            If  the  roaring  economy  slows  the  real   estate  prices  will  likely  just  stagnate.   Real  Estate  Confiden8al,  June  15,  2015    
  • 40. Houston  is  trying  to  build  a  city   that  is  innova8ve,  exci8ng,   entrepreneurial  and  sustainable.         As  a  result  its  popula8on  of  young   college  graduates  grew  more   quickly  between  2000  &  2010  than   any  other  major  metropolis.   Fast  Company,  July  2015  
  • 41. The  State  of  Texas  Demographer   says  that  migrants  tend  to  be   younger,  and  can  help  maintain  a   high  worker  to  re8ree  ra8o.     Associated  Press,  March  7,  2015  
  • 42.       35,000  people  moved  to  Houston   in  2013  and  is  second  to  only  New   York  City  in  total  popula8on   growth.  
  • 43. Houston  was  the  first  major  city  to   regain  all  of  their  jobs  aner  the   crash,  but  as  of  2013,  Houston  had   also  added  two  more  jobs  for  every   one  lost.         And  in  2014,  Houston  had  the   highest  job  crea8on  index  score.  
  • 44.       Houston  has  passed  NYC  to   become  the  most  ethnically   diverse  city  in  the  United  States.  
  • 45.         With  21  hospitals,  eight  academic   and  research  ins8tu8ons,  and  50   related  organiza8ons,  Houston  has   the  largest  medical  center  in  the   en8re  world.  
  • 46. Houston  has  more  parks  and  green   space  than  any  other  top  10   metropolitan  area  city.  
  • 47.         Houston,  long  as  a  bas8on  of  the   oil  and  gas  industry,  has  also   become  a  green  leader,  geong   50%  of  its  energy  from  renewable   sources.   Fast  Company,  July  2015  
  • 48. Forbes  said  Houston  will  widely  be  considered   America’s  “next  great  global  city”  by  2023.   Houston  has  the  most  Fortune  500  companies   outside  of  NYC.           In  August,  more  new-­‐home  permits  were  issued   in  Houston  than  in  the  en8re  state  of  California.    Twice  as  much  office  space  is  being  built  in   Houston  as  in  New  York  City.   Bloomberg  Businessweek,  Dec.  22,  2014    
  • 49. At  more  than  $500  billion,  Houston’s  regional  economy   is  now  the  fourth-­‐largest  in  the  U.S.  Over  the  past   decade,  Houston  has  added  more  jobs—628,000—than   exist  in  all  of  New  Orleans.                 In  August,  more  new-­‐home  permits  were  issued  in   Houston  than  in  the  en8re  state  of  California.    Twice  as  much  office  space  is  being  built  in  Houston  as   in  New  York  City.   Bloomberg  Businessweek,  Dec.  22,  2014  
  • 50. Houston  won’t  stop  growing  completely  due  to   the  oil  prices.              Patrick  Jankowski,  the  resident  research   economist  at  the  Greater  Houston  Partnership,     says  Houston  will  create  62,900  jobs  in  2015   despite  losing  about  9,000  energy  jobs.   Bloomberg  Businessweek,  Dec.  22,  2014  
  • 51. Today  energy  makes  up    38  percent  of   Houston’s  economy,  says  Jankowski.              Houston’s  port  is  now  the  biggest  in  the  U.S.     Its  Texas  Medical  Center  is  the  largest  medical   complex  in  the  world.     Growth  in  Houston  has  been  so  strong  recently   that  the  supply  of  homes  is  s8ll  8ght.   Bloomberg  Businessweek,  Dec.  22,  2014  
  • 52.       Aner  the  plunge  in  oil  prices,  the   Lone  Star  State  has  been  able  to   muddle  through  thanks  to  the  s8ll-­‐ booming  Dallas-­‐Fort  Worth  metro   region,  The  na8on’s  fourth  largest   with  nearly  seven  million  people.   Wall  Street  Journal,  June  18,  2015  
  • 53. Dallas-­‐Ft.  Worth  lost  more  than  100,000  jobs   during  the  recession,  but  it  has  added  nearly   four  8mes  that  number  since  then.           Thanks  to  its  thriving  business-­‐services  and  tech   sectors,  the  area  has  added  36,000  jobs  since   October  2014,  when  oil  prices  started  to   nosedive.   Wall  Street  Journal,  June  18,  2015  
  • 54.  The  migra8on  of  large  financial  companies   (  State  Farm,  Liberty  Mutual  etc.)  to  DFW   will  con8nue  &  may  escalate.   Toyota  is  moving  to  Plano,  a  Dallas  suburb.                            DFW  will    be  3rd  largest  economy     in  the  USA  by  2030,  behind  NYC  &  LA.   ·∙                    
  • 55. In  Texas,  oil  and  gas  loom  as  a  defining  characteris8c,   but  the  role  they  play  in  the  state  economy,  while   sizable,  has  diminished  in  recent  years  as  other   industries,  such  as  health  care,  biotechnology  and   sonware,  have  grown.            Oil  and  gas  jobs  make  up  only  about  3  percent  of   nonagricultural  jobs  in  Texas,  a  far  lower  share  than   government  (16  percent)  and  educa8on  and  health   services  (13  percent).   New  York  Times,  Dec.  26,  2014  
  • 56. The  San  Antonio  metro  area  now  has  a   burgeoning  biotech  sector  and  Aus8n  has   the  lowest  unemployment  rate  among  the   na8on’s  largest  metro  areas.          Because  of  its  economic  hen  and  size,   Dallas  will  play  a  bigger  role  in  determining   the  rate  of  Texas’  growth.   Wall  Street  Journal,  June  18,  2015  
  • 57.           Oil  is  only  10%  of  Texas  economy  today  vs.   28%  in  1980.            Dallas/Ft.  Worth  economy  will  have  a  net   benefit  from  lower  oil  prices.   ·∙                    
  • 58. Texas  has  added  nearly  1  million  workers  to  payrolls   since  the  trough  of  the  recession,  and  its  share  of  U.S.   nonfarm  payrolls  now  stands  at  8.2%  compared  with   7.8%  in  2008.   Texas  has  gained  1  Million  people  from  other  states   since  2000.             Time  Magazine,  Oct.  2013:  “More  than  any  other  state,   Texas  looks  like  the  future.”   Business  Insider,  Nov.  23,  2013  
  • 59. “I  foresee  Texas  being  the   economic  magnet  that  it  is,   con8nuing  to  grow  and  diversify  its   economy,  so  that  any  drop  in  the   price  of  oil  will  be  minimized,”  said   Greg  AbboY,  the  Governor  of   Texas.   New  York  Times,  Dec.  26,  2014  
  • 60. Texas  is  paying  one  million  dollars   a  year  for  a  New  York  vault  to  store   close  to  one  billion  worth  of  gold   bars.           The  2015  State  Legislature  voted  to   store  it  in  Aus8n.     PBS  NEWSHOUR,  July  5,  2015  
  • 61. What could be innovated today that will put Texas in business tomorrow?
  • 62. Will  Texas  create  the  future   or  will  Texas  only  react  to   immediate  cri8cal  events   that  could  have  been   avoided  through  future   forecas8ng?  
  • 63. Can  you  build  a  city  of  750,000  every  year  for   the  next  35  years  in  Texas?              How  will  you  keep  expanding  present  ci3es   and  deal  with  transporta3on,  infrastructure,   water,  energy  and  food?   How  many  power  plants  will  have  to  be  built  or   what  system(s)  will  be  supplying  the  energy?  
  • 64.                 In  Texas,  will  we  populate  the  ci3es,   and  then  plan  them?  
  • 65.         Currently,  NO  system  can   feasibly  plan  &  create  the   infrastructure  for  those  ci8es  or   a  construc8on  system  to  build   ci8es  at  that  speed.  
  • 66. This  is  an   unprecedented  era  of   accelera8ng  change  in   human  existence  where   the  past  will  no  longer   predict  the  future.  
  • 67.   Can  you  double  the  number  of  schools,   hospitals  and  universi8es  in  35  years  in   Texas?      Who  will  pay  for  the  construc8on?      
  • 68. Can  you  double  the  number  of   teachers  and  doctors  in  35  years?  
  • 69.         Katy,  Texas,  a  suburb  of  Houston,  will   be  larger  than  the  city  of  PiYsburgh   within  two  years.   The  Katy  school  parking  lots  are  being   turned  into  classroom  space  with  the   aid  of  portable  buildings.   The  Houston  Chronicle,  Sept.  23,  2014  
  • 70.             Enrollment  in  Texas  Colleges  and  Universi8es  is   around  1.5  million  students  in  83  ins8tu8ons  of   higher  educa8on  in  2014.    The  popula8on  of  Texas  will  double  in  35  years.   What  prepara8ons  does  Texas  need  to  take  now   to  house  the  expected  increase?  
  • 71. Texas  has  around  1,030  school  districts  that   serve  5,151,925  students  in  K-­‐12.                 With  popula8on  predicted  to  double  in  35  years,   what  does  the  State  of  Texas  have  to  do  now  to     meet  the  needs  of  the  ci8zens?  
  • 72.             Texas  ranks  46th  in  educa8on   funding  per  student  in  the  United   States  and  30th  in  teacher  salaries.  
  • 73. The  Texas  legislature  has  already  reduced  school   funding  resul8ng  in  loss  of  teachers  and  won’t  fund   new  medical  school  graduates  residency  programs   resul8ng  in  many  of  the  graduates  going  to  other   states  who  will  gladly  pay  for  their  internships.             They  usually  stay  in  the  state  that  funds  them.     Texas  ranks  45th  na8onally  in  physician  to  popula8on   ra8o.  
  • 74.       With  the  global  shortage  of   physicians,  nurses,  therapists  and   related  healthcare  personnel,  how   will  hospitals    change  and  morph   to  insure  proper  healthcare  for  an   expanding  popula3on?  
  • 75. Texas  has  about  630  hospitals  with  83,000  licensed   beds.                     With  popula8on  doubling  in  35  years,  what  plans  must   Texas  take  to  maintain  quality  healthcare  for  the  State   of  Texas?  
  • 76. Texas  leads  the  na8on  in  the  most   uninsured  for  health  care.           Texas  ranks  dead  last  in  record   keeping  security!  
  • 77. With  the  growth  of  Texas  and  double   the  number  of  cars,  will  commu8ng  be   feasible  with  forecastable  gridlocks?      
  • 78. Imagine  increasing  the  number  of   automobiles  by  double  or  more  in   Texas  ci8es  by  2040.         That  is  25  years  to  build  the   infrastructure,  roads  and/or  rapid   transporta8on  system  to  avoid   gridlock!  
  • 79.                 Houston,  Texas  
  • 80.           Most  of  the  Worst  Highways  For  Traffic  in  Texas  Are  in   Houston!     The  Texas  A&M  Transporta8on  Ins8tute  released  its   annual  list  of  the  most  congested  highways  in  the  state   this  week.     You  can  probably  guess  where  they  are  already  if   you've  ever  driven  in  Houston,  DFW,  or  Aus8n!   Texas  Monthly,  Sept  11,  2014  
  • 82.         Air  pollu8on  kills  more  people  each  year   than  any  disease.    4  million  people  is  the  es8mated  total.     Houston  and  Dallas/Ft.  Worth  rank  #6  &   #8  for  most  polluted  ci8es  in  the  US.   The  Economist,  Sept.  22,  2014  
  • 84. Houston  and  Dallas  are  Texas’  biggest  popula8on   centers,  but  the  Lone  Star  state’s  capital  city  ranked   higher  than  both  of  its  major  metropolitan  areas  in   the  INRIX  traffic  study.                 Aus8n  ranked  fourth  for  gridlock  in  the  2014  study   and  third  for  the  worst  ci8es  to  drive  in  the  U.S.   The  Hill,  Nov.  30,  2014  
  • 86. Imagine  over  double  the  number  of   people  in  Texas  by  2050  and  the   infrastructure,  water,  food  and  energy   needed  to  support  those  numbers.   Urban  sprawl  could  result  taking  over   farmland  and  crea8ng  more   conges8on.   Think  condos  and  planned  urban   centers  instead  of  suburban  sprawl.  
  • 87. Ci8es  and  their  inhabitants’  consump8on  account  for  about   70%  of  global  emissions.     They  are  also  where  almost  all  the  world’s  net  popula8on   growth  will  occur  in  the  next  20  years.    Ci8es  must  be  encouraged  to  grow  dense,  not  spread  out,   with  good  public  transport,  not  clogged  highways.     Sprawl  wastes  money.     It  ends  up  subsidized  through  the  provision  of  more  extensive   systems  of  roads,  sewers  and  the  like;  it  reduces  the  gains  in   produc8vity  that  agglomera8on  provides.     The  report  reckons  that  sprawl  costs  America  $400  billion  a   year  and  quotes  research  from  China  that  says  labor   produc8vity  would  rise  9%  if  its  ci8es  were  denser.   The  Economist,  Sept.  22,  2014  
  • 88. Working  from  home  with  high  speed   Internet  and  virtual-­‐reality  could  ease   the  impact.               AT&T  has  40%  of  its  workforce   working  from  home.  
  • 89. Virtual office benefits from home offices: Less city infrastructure Less office buildings required Less freeways needed Less cost for gasoline/cars
  • 90. Once we have full-immersion virtual- reality environments incorporating all of the senses which will be feasible by the late 2020s, there will be no reason to utilize real offices. Real estate will become virtual. Ray Kurzweil
  • 91. What will that do to migration demographic patterns? What new jobs will that create?
  • 92. What will VR do to the hospitality industry when an international board member or speaker can appear in person as a hologram instead of in person? What about virtual classrooms?
  • 93.               By  2025-­‐2030  over  65  popula8on  will   double  in  the  U.S.  and  will  live  longer   than  an  any  previous  genera8on.     U.S.  Census  Bureau  
  • 94. A  graph  of  global  life  expectancy  over   3me  looks  like  an  escalator  rising   smoothly.            With  each  passing  year,  the  newly   born  live  about  three  months  longer   than  those  born  the  prior  year.   The  Atlan8c,  Oct.  2014  
  • 95. There  is  a  Silver  Tsunami   sweeping  through  Texas  and  the   world.   This  means  innova8on  at  the   intersec8on  of  health  care  and   technology.  
  • 96.       Texas  is  expected  to  become  both   older  and  more  diverse  in  the   coming  decades,  with  the  elderly   and  Hispanics  in  par8cular  taking   up  a  greater  propor8on  of  the   popula8on.  
  • 97. Texas,  which  grew  20.6  percent  overall  since   2000,  had  a  25.5  percent  increase  among   residents  65  and  older  and  a  28.3  percent   increase  among  people  85  and  older.                 Texas'  2.6  million  popula3on  of  people  65  and   older  accounted  for  about  10  percent  of  the   state's  total  popula3on.   Statesman,  Nov.  30,  2011  
  • 98.           Nursing  homes  and  re3rement   communi3es  will  be  in  high   demand  as  numbers  double.  
  • 99.         There  is  NO  more  fresh  water  in   the  world  today  than  2000  years   ago  when  the  popula8on  was  3%   of  the  present!  
  • 100. Water  will  become  a  more  pressing   problem  than  oil,  and  the  quan3ty,   quality  and  distribu3on  of  water   will  pose  significant  scien3fic,   technological  and  ecological   difficul3es  as  well  as  serious   poli3cal  and  economic  challenges.    
  • 101.       By  2040,  at  least  3.5  billion   people  will  run  short  of  water.   By  2050,  fully  2/3’s  of  the  world’s   popula8on  could  be  living  in   regions  with  chronic  shortages  of   water.  
  • 102. Globally  there  has  been  a  three-­‐fold   popula3on  increase  in  the  past   century  and  a  six-­‐fold  increase  in   water  consump3on.         By  2030,  there  will  be  40%  less  water   than  is  needed  due  to  popula3on  and   GDP  growth  and  demand.   Washington  Post,  Aug.  5,  2014  
  • 103. The  link  between  water,  food   and  energy  is  strong!     The  average  human  drinks  4   liters  of  water  per  day  while  500   8mes  as  much  water  is  required   to  produce  our  daily  food  totals.  
  • 104. As  murky  water  snakes  through  a  man-­‐made   wetland  between  Dallas  and  Houston,  its   shallow  ponds  of  lush  vegeta3on  slowly  filter   out  phosphorous  and  nitrates  un3l,  a  week   later,  the  water  runs  clear  as  a  creek  into  the   area  drinking  supply.              It  is  supplying  an  addi3onal  65,000  gallons  per   day  to  the  Richland-­‐Chambers  Reservoir.   Associated  Press,  Aug.  4,  2014  
  • 105.             According  to  the  World  Water  Council,   recycled  sewage  will  be  a  source  of   drinking  water  in  ci8es  around  the   world  within  the  next  three  decades.   Washington  Post,  Aug.  5,  2014  
  • 106.         Wichita  Falls,  the  Texas  city  of  more   than  104,000,  suffering  the  worst   drought  on  record,  is  about  to   become  the  first  place  in  Texas  to   treat  sewage  and  pump  it  directly   back  to  residents.   Bloomberg,  April  28,  2014  
  • 107.     Big  Springs,  Texas  and  El  Paso  are   also  recycling  sewage  for  drinking   water.   In  20  years,  the  majority  of  ci8es  in   Texas  will  be  drinking  recycled   sewage  water.  
  • 108. Freshwater  in  the  Eagle  Ford  Shale  -­‐-­‐  a  geological   forma8on  that  encompasses  30  Texas  coun8es,   including  Brazos  -­‐-­‐  is  being  drawn  from  the  aquifers  2.5   8mes  faster  than  the  replenish  rate,  according  to  key   findings  from  a  Texas  AM  Bush  School  of  Government   and  Public  Service  study.             As  a  result,  and  as  hydraulic  fracturing,  or  fracking,   ac8vity  con8nues  to  grow  within  the  massive  shale,   researchers  who  conducted  the  study  es8mated  Texas   could  face  a  2.7-­‐trillion-­‐gallon  water  shorxall  by  2060.   The  Eagle,  Dec.  16,  2014  
  • 109. Major  ci8es  are  taking  water  from   agriculture  to  meet  the  needs  of   growing  cites.             Mexico  City,  Cairo,  Beijing,  San   Diego,  Los  Angeles,  Las  Vegas,   Denver  and  El  Paso.  
  • 110. Farmers  surrounding  the  major   ci3es  have  found  that  the  price  of   water  far  exceeds  the  value  of  the   crops  they  can  produce.     Ci8es  are  buying  water  rights  from   farmers  and  ranchers.    The  highly  produc3ve  land  owned   by  these  farmers  will  become   wasteland.  
  • 111. The  Rio  Grande  is  disappearing.  Demand  for  water  is   growing  as  average  temperatures  rise  faster  than  they   ever  have  in  the  past  11,000  years.               The  water  that  remains  is  being  fought  over  by  the   countries  and  states  that  agreed  to  share  the  river.  At   the  same  3me,  a  border  fence  is  being  built  along  its   banks.   Texas  Tribune,  Oct.  16,  2014  
  • 112.             Some3mes  the  Rio  Grande   doesn’t  make  it  to  the  Gulf  of   Mexico.  
  • 113. Aus8n  City  Council  predicts  that   Lake  Travis  will  run  dry  by  2016.             Major  water  restric8ons  will  be   ordered  to  slow  the  demise.   The  water  level  is  48%  of  capacity.  
  • 114. The  2000s  were  the  hoYest  decade  on  record   for  the  US  and  2012  was  the  hoYest  year  ever   on  record.             The  Western  drought  of  recent  years  represents   the  driest  condi8ons  in  800  years  and  cost  Texas   and  Oklahoma  $10  billion  in  agriculture  in  2011    2012.   Mother  Jones,  May  6,  2014  
  • 115. On  May  14,  the  Drought  Center  reported  that   “excep8onal  drought”  had  completely   dissipated  from  Texas  and  Oklahoma  for  the  first   8me  since  July  2012.           The  Union  of  Concerned  Scien8sts  noted  that   the  combina8on  of  a  burgeoning  El  Niño  and   record-­‐breaking  ocean  surface  temperatures  in   April  likely  “revs  up  the  hydrological  cycle”  in   the  region  for  climate  change.   Scien8fic  American,  May  27,  2015  
  • 116. In  May  of  2014,  71%  of  Texas  was   in  severe  drought.          In  May  of  2015,  Texas  is  dealing   with  extensive  flooding  due  to  the   weYest  month  in  recorded  Texas   history.   Wall  Street  Journal,  May29,  2015    
  • 117. “We’re  not  ready  to  call  this  drought  history,”   said  LCRA  Execu8ve  Vice  President  of  Water.       “We’re  in  much  beYer  shape  in  terms  of  water   supply  than  we  were  just  a  month  ago,  but  we   don’t  want  anyone  to  put  their  guard  down  too   soon.       While  we  are  seeing  higher  lake  levels  than  we   have  seen  in  some  8me,  we  also  know  from   history  that  droughts  can  persist  aner  heavy   rains.   KXAN  News,  July  16,  2015  
  • 118.       When  the  atmosphere  heats  up  by  1   degrees  C,  we  can  expect  three  to  four   8mes  as  many  superstorms.     But  if  forecasts  hold  true  and   temperatures  rise  by  2  degrees  C,  the   number  of  superstorms  will  increase   tenfold  by  2100.   The  Futurist,  Jan.  2014    
  • 119.             Last  month,  2014,  was  the  warmest  August   globally  since  records  began  being  kept  in   1880,  NASA  reported  Monday.    The  globe  just  keeps  warming.   Climate  Progress,  Sept.  15,  2014  
  • 120. Ci8es  are  heat  islands  and  can  be  14%  higher  in   temperature  than  the  surrounding  areas.                 Buildings,  roads,  lack  of  plants  that  cool  the  air   by  evapora8ng  water  and  heat  generated  by  lots   of  human  bodies.   Business  Insider,  Aug.  29,  2013  
  • 121. Rapidly  warming  oceans  today  could  destabilize   methane  sediments  and  result  in  another  massive   release  of  methane  that  could  raise  global   temperatures  by  more  than  10.8  degrees  F.                  The  ecological  effects  of  such  a  temperature  rise   would  be  more  like  dystopian  science  fic8on  than   scien8fic  thinking  about  climate  change  to  date.   The  Futurist,  Aug.  2014  
  • 122. According  the  U.S.  Department  of  Agriculture,   73  million  acres  of  farmland  in  the  United  States   were  taken  out  of  produc8on  between  1990  and   2012.     Similar  trends  can  be  seen  worldwide.            The  reasons  are  many,  but  three  broad   categories  are  deser8fica8on,  rising  oceans,  and   urbaniza8on.   MIT  Technology  Review,  March  2015    
  • 123.           We  are  truly  living  in  a  state  of  denial  when  the   greater  Houston  area  con3nues  to  push  south   into  areas  that  are  highly  vulnerable  to  storm   surge,  the  Port  of  Houston  at  the  head  of   Galveston  Bay  con3nues  to  expand  and  the  City  of   Galveston  refuses  to  adopt  a  setback  policy  for   new  construc3on  along  the  Gulf  shoreline.   CITE,  winter  2014  
  • 124.         An  analysis  of  52  3de  gauges  in  communi3es   stretching  from  Portland,  Maine  to  Freeport,   Texas  shows  that  most  of  these  communi3es   will  experience  a  steep  increase  in  the  number   and  severity  of  3dal  flooding  events  over  the   coming  decades,  with  significant  implica3ons   for  property,  infrastructure,  and  daily  life  in   affected  areas.   Scien8fic  American,  Oct.  8,  2014  
  • 125. Global  warming  is  also  exacerba3ng  extreme   rainfall,  because  on  a  warmer  planet,  the  air   can  hold  more  water  vapor.               The  U.S.  has  lost  coastline  over  the  last  century   and  over  the  next  century,  sea  level  is   projected  to  increase  by  one  to  four  feet.   Mother  Jones,  May  6,  2014  
  • 126.     In  January  of  2014,  the  Houston   Chronicle  said  that  scien8sts   predict  that  Galveston  will  be  two   thirds  its  size  within  30  years  due   to  rising  waters,  eroding  beaches   and  land  subsiding.  
  • 127.       A  proposed  “Ike  Dike”  to  protect  the  Galveston/ Houston  area  from  hurricane  storm  surges   should  incorporate  ameni8es  such  as  business   parks,  public  spaces  and  pedestrian   thoroughfares,  elements  that  could  s8mulate   economic  and  social  opportuni8es  while   enhancing  the  earthwork’s  visual  appeal,   concludes  research  funded  by  Texas  AM’s   Ins3tute  for  Sustainable  Coastal  Communi3es.   Texas  AM  Today,  June  18,  2015  
  • 128.             Climatologists  who  have  studied  both  the   history  and  the  computer  models  on  Texas   rainfall  have  concluded  that  the  state  is  headed   for  a  very  long  period-­‐-­‐possibly  marked  in   hundreds  of  years-­‐-­‐wherein  rainfall  con8nues  to   decrease,  and  more  of  the  state  becomes   desert-­‐like,  a  process  known  as  deser8fica8on.   State  of  Texas  Drought  Project,  May  17,  2014    
  • 129.             More  drought  means  more  wildfires  and  in   2011,  Arizona  and  New  Mexico  had  the  largest   wildfires  in  recorded  history,  affec8ng  more   than  694,000  acres.     Texas  saw  unprecedented  wildfires  and  3.8   million  acres  consumed  in  the  state.   Mother  Jones,  May  6,  2014  
  • 130. Texas  is  uniquely  vulnerable  to  a  changing   climate.    It’s  no  longer  an  issue  that  maYers  only  to  the   polar  bear  in  the  Arc8c  or  to  poor  people  living   on  low-­‐lying  islands  in  the  South  Seas.     We  are  already  in  the  crosshairs  of  nearly  every   type  of  weather-­‐  and  climate-­‐related  natural   disaster  you  can  imagine.    Climate  change  is  ratche8ng  up  our   vulnerabili8es  to  unprecedented  levels.     Texas  Observer,  Dec.  18,  2015  
  • 131.    Texas  has  enough  wind  power      and  solar  energy  to  power  the        na8on.             Texas  is  the  No.  1  producer  of  wind  energy  in  the   United  States,  with  nearly  13,000  megawaYs  of   installed  power  and  over  1  million  megawaYs  of  as-­‐yet-­‐ untapped  poten8al.     Last  spring,  Texas  broke  record  aner  record  for  the   most  electricity  ever  generated  by  wind  energy  in  the   state     Texas  Observer,  Dec.  18,  2015  
  • 132. Texas  isn’t  a  leader  in  solar  energy—yet—but   there  are  over  300  companies  in  the  state   working  to  change  that,  and  Texas  is  the  fastest-­‐ growing  in  terms  of  new  solar  energy.             According  to  the  Solar  Energy  Industries   Associa3on,  Texas  is  the  state  to  watch,  with   enough  solar  poten3al  to  power  not  just  the   United  States,  but  the  en3re  world.   Texas  Observer,  Dec.  18,  2015  
  • 133. Texas  is  already  a  leader  in  low-­‐carbon  technology.     Texas  Tech  is  home  to  the  Na8onal  Wind  Ins8tute.     UT-­‐Aus8n  is  a  world  leader  in  carbon  capture  and  advanced   lithium-­‐ion  baYeries.    Other  Texas  universi8es  offer  exper8se  in  advanced   biofuels,  geothermal  energy  and  advanced  materials.     It’s  hard  to  imagine  a  future  for  Texas  where  energy   doesn’t  play  a  central  role.     The  ques8on  is  whether  we  can  rise  to  the  challenge  of   preparing  for  a  changing  climate  and  a  carbon-­‐free   economy.   Texas  Observer,  Dec.  18,  2015  
  • 134. Construc3on  begins  in  Texas  on  world’s  largest   carbon  capture  facility.             The  Petra  Nova  project  is  located  near  Houston,   Texas  and  is  a  joint  venture  between  the  U.S.   DOE,  NRG  Energy  and  JX  Nippon.  With  a  current   price  tag  topping  $470  million,  the  project  is   expected  to  capture  up  to  90%  of  emissions   from  240  MW  of  electricity  genera8on  capacity.   Scien8fic  American,  July  18,  2014  
  • 135. 41  percent  of  all  freshwater  consumed  in  the  U.S.  was   for  thermoelectric  cooling.   Power  plants  produce  excess  heat,  requiring  cooling   cycles  that  use  water.                   Only  wind  and  solar  voltaic  energy  produc3on  require   minimal  water.   The  Washington  Post,  Aug.  5,  2014  
  • 136. The  only  reason  Texas  didn’t  experience  rolling   blackouts  in  the  summer  of  2011  was  wind   turbines  producing  10-­‐18%  of  energy  needs.               In  March  of  2014,  Texas  produced  37%  of  its   electricity  by  wind  thanks  to  a  new   transmission  line.   Washington  Post,  Aug.  5,  2014  
  • 137.       With  the  increase  of  27  million   people  in  35  years,  will  Texas  need   to  morph  to  solar  and  wind  energy   to  meet  the  energy  needs  and  cut   down  on  greenhouse  emissions?  
  • 138. December  of  2014,  The  Texas   Tribune  said  in  15-­‐20  years  oil   prices  will  have  not  determine  the   price  of  energy  in  Texas  with  the   technological  improvements  and   growth  of  solar  and  wind  turbines.  
  • 139.  Electricity  u8li8es  are  facing  “disrup8ve  challenges”   comparable  to  the  way  the  fixed-­‐line  telephone  industry  was   shaken  up  by  mobile.      The  u3li3es  worry  that  as  more  businesses  and  households   use  solar,  wind  and  other  sources  to  generate  their  own   power,  they  will  lose  customers  and  revenues,  while  s3ll   bearing  the  costs  of  running  the  grid.             The  u8li8es  would  then  have  to  charge  higher  rates,  losing   more  customers,  worsening  their  posi8on  further.    In  the  industry,  they  call  it  the  “death  spiral”.   Financial  Times,  Jan  13,  2015  
  • 140.         The  City  of  Georgetown  and  Georgetown   U8li8es  Systems  announced  Wednesday  it  has   signed  an  agreement  to  make  it  one  of  the  first   communi8es  in  the  U.S.  powered  exclusively  by   solar  and  wind  energy.   The  City  of  Pflugerville  is  crea8ng  a  800  acre   solar  collector  farm  to  provide  all  of  its  energy.   March  18,  2015  
  • 141. Oil    gas  may  not  be  a  death  spiral,  says   Lyndon  Rive,  chief  execu8ve  of  SolarCity,  a   solar  company,  but  it  is  a  “change  spiral”.              “When  you’ve  had  a  monopoly  for  a   hundred  years,  and  you’ve  never  seen   change,  change  may  seem  like  death  to   you.”   Financial  Times,  Jan.  13,  2015  
  • 142.       Over  the  past  four  years,  the   numbers  have  risen  threefold  for   businesses  and  fourfold  for  homes,   as  the  cost  of  solar  power  has   plunged  thanks  to  efficiency   improvements.   Financial  Times,  Jan.  13,  2015  
  • 143. IKEA  is  leading  the  way  in  becoming  a  zero-­‐ energy  company  by  2020.                IKEA  has  wind  farms  that  already  power  38   stores,  a  factory  and  service  center  in  the  U.S.   and  has  put  aside  2  billion  dollars  to  go  zero-­‐ energy  world  wide.   Washington  Post,  April  15,  2014  
  • 144. Key  Findings:     ü  Cri3cal  water  supplies  are  being  drawn  down  faster   than  they  are  being  replenished.   ü  Higher  concentra8ons  of  pollutants  in  aquifers  make   drinking  water  increasingly  unsafe.   ü  Aging  water  pipes  and  infrastructure  are  crea3ng  a   heightened  danger  of  sinkholes.   ü  Using  water  for  irriga8on  and  fossil  fuel  extrac8on  is   increasing  strains  on  the  water  supply,  and  raising  food   and  energy  prices.   ü  Desaliniza3on  —  increasingly  being  used  to   supplement  fresh  water  needs  —  is  extremely  energy-­‐ intensive  and  expensive.  
  • 145. A  far  worse  rendi8on  of  the  water  crisis  will  inevitably   unfold  across  Las  Vegas,  Southern  California,  North   Texas  and  the  Arizona  ci8es  of  Phoenix  and  Tucson.                 Aquifers  that  should  have  lasted  un8l  2050  are  being   pumped  dry.   Natural  News,  Dec.  3,  2014  
  • 146. Another  example  of  major  concern  and  consequence  is  deple8on  of   the  largest  and  most  important  underground  source  of  water  in  the   U.S.,  the  Ogallala  Aquifer  under  the  High  Plains  stretching  from   southern  South  Dakota  through  parts  of  Nebraska,  Wyoming,   Colorado,  Kansas,  Oklahoma,  New  Mexico,  and  northern  Texas.   The  aquifer  has  been  the  major  source  of  water  for  municipal  and   industrial  development  for  decades.  Most  significantly  it  has  been   cri3cal  for  agriculture  in  the  American  heartland  oh  referred  to  as   the  bread  basket  not  just  of  the  U.S.,  but  the  world.   Unfortunately,  the  era  of  blindly  assuming  the  largess  of  the  aquifer   reflects  an  unlimited  source  of  water  is  des8ned  to  come  to  end.     For  decades  the  Ogallala  has  tapped  at  rates  thousands  of  3mes   greater  than  it  is  being  restored.   Washington  Post,  March  22,  2013  
  • 147. The  Ogallala  Aquifer  was  formed  about  10  million  years   ago  when  water  flowed  onto  the  plains  from  retrea8ng   glaciers  and  Rocky  Mountain  streams.       For  all  intents  and  purposes,  it  is  no  longer   being  recharged.  Once  it’s  gone,  it’s  gone,   end  of  story.     The  current  es8mate  is  that,  if  irriga8on  demands  con8nue   to  exploit  the  aquifer  at  rates  comparable  on  average  to   those  over  the  last  10  years,  it  will  be  essen8ally  used  up  in   only  25  years.   Washington  Post,  March  22,  2013  
  • 148.         The  present  rate  of  pumping  from  the   Ogallala  Aquifer  will  deplete  the   water  source  by  2040.     If  conserva8on  methods  are  put  into   place,  it  will  s8ll  be  gone  by  2070  and   will  take  6,000  years  to  refill.   Washington  Post,  Aug.  10,  2012  
  • 149.           If  the  vast  aquifers  in  Saudi  or  the   arid  southwestern  U.S.  are  depleted,   the  loss  of  irriga8on  water  means   the  end  of  agriculture.  
  • 150.   A  decade  ago,  prospec3ve  water  marketers  easily  secured   the  rights  to  pump  more  than  20  billion  gallons  of  water   annually  from  the  Carrizo-­‐Wilcox  aquifer  in  Central  Texas’   Burleson  County.      The  company  now  holding  those  rights,  BlueWater,   is  nego8a8ng  a  $3  billion  deal  to  send  much  of  that  water  to   San  Antonio.   Texas  Tribune,  Sept.  3,  2014  
  • 151. The  San  Antonio  Water  System  board  unanimously   approved  a  $3.4  billion  contract  to  pipe  in  50,000  acre-­‐ feet,  or  16  billion  gallons,  of  water  a  year  from   underneath  Central  Texas'  Burleson  County  star8ng  in   2019.                 The  contract  is  with  two  companies,  Aus8n-­‐based   BlueWater  and  the  Spanish  company  Abengoa,  whose   joint  venture  is  called  the  Vista  Ridge  pipeline.   Texas  Tribune,  Sept.  30,  2014  
  • 152.  Texas,  which  consumes  a  few  million  acre  feet  of  water  per   year,  has  2.7  billion  acre-­‐feet  of  brackish  water.     Why  wait  for  breakthroughs  in  materials  to  make   desalina3on  widely  affordable?                 Instead,  pump  that  brackish  water  a  rela8vely  short  distance   to  the  surface  and  then  desalinate  it.    In  many  places  this  might  slash  energy  use  and  make   desalina8on  more  affordable.   MIT  Technology  Review,  Sept.  23,  2014  
  • 153. The  torren8al  storms  of  May  2015  brought   trillions  of  gallons  of  water  of  which  3  trillion   flowed  into  the  Gulf  of  Mexico  created  a  dead   zone  and  another  2  trillion  gallons  will  likely   evaporate  from  state  reservoirs  by  year’s  end.               The  lost  water  would  be  enough  to  serve  Texas’   booming  popula8on  for  an  en8re  year.   Associated  Press,  June  15,  2015  
  • 154. Widely  implemented  aquifer  storage  and   recovery  should  be  among  the  major  addi8ons   to  the  state’s  water  infrastructure.               A  major  benefit  of  aquifers  is  that  their  water   doesn’t  evaporate,  which  makes  them  an  ideal   water  source  in  warmer  climates.  Pumping   sta8ons  can  inject  water  into  aquifers  during   wet  8mes  and  withdraw  it  when  needed.   Associated  Press,  June  15,  2015  
  • 155. Texas’  popula8on  is  expected  to  grow  by  82%  in   the  next  half  century  and  its  water  needs  by   more  than  40%  by  2060.              With  enough  pumping  facili8es,  the  state  could   draw  on  an  es8mated  storage  capacity  of  about   163  trillion  gallons-­‐15  8mes  its  current  drinking   water  reservoir  capacity.   Associated  Press,  June  15,  2015  
  • 156.   The  water  scarcity  could  also  pose  huge  problems  for   the  burgeoning  domes3c  energy  industry.                A  recent  Ceres  research  paper  found  that  a  lot  of   hydraulic  fracturing—  a  process  that  uses  tons  of  water   —  is  taking  place  in  water-­‐scarce  regions,  with  nearly   47%  of  wells  located  in  highly-­‐stressed  water  basins,   including  92%  of  wells  in  Colorado  and  51%  of  wells  in   Texas.     Business  Insider,  May  22,  2013  
  • 157.         Texas  is  caught  in  the  perfect  storm  of  drought.     Years  of  unregulated    expansion  and  sprawl,   limitless  groundwater  pumping,  and  poor   conserva8on  management  prac8ces  have  set  up   the  state  for  disaster.    Now  come  the  effects  of  climate  change,  with   increased  temperatures  and  evapora3on  rates,   and  the  result  is  a  disaster.   State  of  Texas  Drought  Project,  May  17,  2014  
  • 158. You  life  style  will  have  to  be  adjusted  on  lush   lawns  and  tropical  landscapes.   Unless  you  can  pay  4X  or  more  for  water,  your   lawn  and  landscape  will  be  rocks  and  na8ve   plants.               Look  at  Aus8n  Green  Energy  requirements.  
  • 159.           Google  Futurist  Ray  Kurzweil  notes  that  solar   power  has  been  doubling  every  two  years  for   the  past  30  years,  as  costs  have  been  dropping.   He  says  solar  energy  is  only  six  doublings  —  or   less  than  14  years  —  away  from  mee8ng  100   percent  of  today’s  energy  needs.   KurzweilAI,  Sept,  21,  2014  
  • 160. The  prices  of  solar  panels  have  fallen  75  percent   in  the  past  five  years  alone  and  will  fall  much   further  as  the  technologies  to  create  them   improve  and  scale  of  produc8on  increases.                By  2020,  solar  energy  will  be  price-­‐compe88ve   with  energy  generated  from  fossil  fuels  on  an   unsubsidized  basis  in  most  parts  of  the  world.   The  Washington  Post,  Sept.  20,  2014  
  • 161.             In  places  such  as  Germany,  Spain,  Portugal,   Australia,  and  the  Southwest  United  States,   residen8al-­‐scale  solar  produc8on  has  already   reached  “grid  parity”  with  average  residen8al   electricity  prices.   The  Washington  Post,  Sept.  20,  2014  
  • 162. MIT  researchers  say  they  have  developed  a  material   that  comes  very  close  to  the  “ideal”  for  conver8ng   solar  energy  to  heat  (for  conversion  to  electricity).               It  should  absorb  virtually  all  wavelengths  of  light  that   reach  Earth’s  surface  from  the  sun  —  but  not  much  of   the  rest  of  the  spectrum,  since  that  would  increase  the   energy  that  is  re-­‐radiated  by  the  material,  and  thus  lost   to  the  conversion  process.   KurzweilAI,  Oct.  1,  2014  
  • 163.               Paving  parking  lots  with  solar  panels-­‐ are  streets  and  highways  next?   Wired,  May  8,  2014  
  • 164.             Wind  power,  for  example,  has  also   come  down  sharply  in  price  and  is  now   compe88ve  with  the  cost  of  new  coal-­‐ burning  power  plants  in  the  United   States.   The  Washington  Post,  Sept.  2014  
  • 165. Texas  is  the  na8onal  leader  in  wind   energy-­‐with  more  installed   capacity,  more  wind  turbines  and   more  jobs  than  any  other  state.   The  wind  energy  industry  in  Texas   has  created  thousands  of  jobs  and   provided  billions  of  dollars  in   economic  benefits.  
  • 166. Genera8ng  wind  power  creates  no  emissions   and  uses  virtually  no  water.   The  water  consump8on  savings  from  wind   projects  in  Texas  total  more  than  7.8  billion   gallons  of  water  a  year.         The  wind  power  installed  in  Texas  will  avoid   23,103,  000  million  metric  tons  of  carbon   dioxide  emissions  a  year,  the  equivalent  of   taking  4,075,000  cars  off  the  road.   American  Wind  Energy  Associa8on,  Sept.  29,  2014  
  • 167.   Eole  Water  has  modified  the  tradi8onal  wind   turbine  to  create  an  appliance  that  can   manufacture  water  from  air.                 They  have  a  prototype  in  the  desert  near  Abu   Dhabi  that  produce  62  liters  of  water  an  hour   and  generates  electricity.     CNN  World,  April  30,  2012  
  • 168. If  solar  power  is  to  become  a  primary  source  of   electricity  around  the  world,  we’ll  need  cheap  ways  to   store  energy  from  the  sun  when  it  isn’t  shining.    A  paper  published  in  the  journal  Science  this  week   reports  a  major  step  toward  such  a  system.               Researchers  have  developed  a  device  that  cheaply  and   efficiently  converts  the  energy  in  sunlight  into   hydrogen,  which  can  be  used  as  a  fuel  and  is  easily   stored.   MIT  Technology  Review,  Sept.  24,  2014  
  • 169.         Tesla  is  marke8ng  storage  baYeries   for  commercial  and  home  use  for   solar  panels  and  wind  generated   electricity.  
  • 170.
  • 171. There  will  be  disrup8on  of  the  en8re  fossil-­‐ fuel  industry,  star8ng  with  u8lity   companies  —  which  will  face  declining   demand  and  then  bankruptcy.      Several  of  them  see  the  wri8ng  on  the   wall.      The  smart  ones  are  embracing  solar  and   wind  power.       Others  are  lobbying  to  stop  the  progress  of   solar  power  —  at  all  costs.   The  Washington  Post,  Sept.  20,  2014    
  • 172.               We  will  go  from  deba8ng  incen8ves   for  installing  clean  energies  to   deba8ng  subsidies  for  u8lity   companies  to  keep  their  opera8ons   going.   The  Washington  Post,  Sept.  20,  2014  
  • 173. The  combina8on  of  water  scarcity,   global  warming  reducing  crop   produc8on  and  two  billion  people   added  to  the  earth  will  result  in   global  food  scarcity.     Can  you  live  on  less  food  in  the   future?  
  • 174. The  UN  Food  and  Agriculture  Organiza8on   reports  that  87%  of  global  fish  stocks  are  either   fully  exploited  or  overexploited.                 Oceans  absorb  about  33%  of  human-­‐generated   CO2,  but  their  ability  to  con8nue  doing  this  is   being  reduced  by  changing  acidity  and  the  die-­‐ offs  of  coral  reefs  and  other  living  systems.   The  Millennium  Project,  Sept.  2014  
  • 175. Ocean  Aquiculture  and  Agriculture   should  be  a  priority  for  Texas  with   its  extensive  coastline.  
  • 176. Energy,  food  and  water  are   interconnected  and  an  abundance   of  one  enables  an  abundance  of   the  others,  a  shortage  of  one  can   create  a  shortage  of  the  others.   Scien8fic  American,  Jan.  2015  
  • 177.       Food  prices  are  at  their  highest  point   in  history  and  are  likely  to  con8nue   increasing  over  the  long  term  if  there   are  no  major  innova8ons  in   produc8on  and  changes  in   consump8on.   The  Futurist,  Dec.  2011  
  • 178. The  average  US  household   spends  10%  of  annual  income  on   food.   The  World  Bank  forecasts  the   average  U.S.  household  will   spend  25%  of  annual  income  on   food  within  ten  years.  
  • 179. When  food  prices  increase  by  2.5X   by  2020,  how  will  Texas  feed  the   popula8on  within  the  State?   What  will  it  do  for  energy,  water,   food,  transporta3on  and  housing?   Texas  is  the  fastest  growing  state   in  the  union.  
  • 180.           Global  temperature  rise  greater  than  2  degrees   Celsius  will  compromise  food  supplies  globally.   Without  more  mi8ga8on  than  is  being  done   today,  the  temperature  is  more  likely  than  not   to  rise  by  4  degrees  C  by  2100.   Scien8fic  American,  UN  Report,  Nov.  6,  2014  
  • 181. For  every  1%  rise  in  temperature   above  the  norm  during  the   growing  season,  farmers  can   expect  a  10%  decline  in  wheat,   rice,  and  corn  yields.  
  • 182. CO2  inhibits  wheat,  barley,  rice,  maize,  potatoes,   peas  and  soybeans  assimila8on  of  nitrate  into   proteins,  demonstra8ng  the  the  nutri8onal  quality  of   food  crops  is  in  jeopardy  as  climate  change   intensifies.           The  crops  will  loose  8%  of  their  protein  in  the  next   few  decades.     Wheat,  in  par8cular,  will  be  a  problem,  because  it   provides  1/5  of  all  protein  in  the  world’s  human  diet.    The  Californian,  Fall  2014  
  • 183. It  is  predicted  that   temperatures  will  rise  3.6F   this  century  and  that   means  a  twelve  to  twenty   percent  fall  in  global  food   produc8on.  
  • 184. Tidal    Wave  Energy  promise  gives  Texas  an  edge.     Ocean  Aquiculture  and  Agriculture  should  be  a  priority   for  Texas  with  its  extensive  coastline.    
  • 185.       The  next  major  food  revolu8on  will  be  ver8cal   agriculture,  in  which  we  grow  food  in  ver8cal  buildings   rather  than  horizontal  land:       Ver8cal  agriculture  will  be  able  to  recycle  all  nutrients,   capture  all  pollutants,  and  require  no  use  of  an8bio8cs   and  pes8cides.    Today  over  one  third  of  usable  land  is  devoted  to   agriculture  (70%  of  which  is  for  animals  for  meat   produc3on).    Ver8cal  agriculture  will  free  up  almost  all  of  this.   KurzweilAI,  Oct.  10,  2014  
  • 186. We  need  to  build  the   infrastructure  of  the  future,  not   just  patch  up  that  of  the  past.   Failure  to  do  so  will  only  stall   and  hold  back  recovery.   The  Great  Reset-­‐Richard  Florida  
  • 187. ü Change  is  challenging.   ü Change  is  thrilling.   ü Change  can  usher  in  great   trepida3on.   ü Change  is  everywhere.   ü Change  is  inevitable.  
  • 188. The  world’s  biggest   problems     will  create  the     world’s  greatest   opportuni3es!  
  • 189. 3 PART
  • 191. … we have attempted to offer you the following three key learning takeaways in answering the following fundamental question:
  • 192. What can we do to face the future…?
  • 193. (1) We need to be Healthy…
  • 194. (Adapted from Natrass Altamore) Society Today Unsustainable Direction
  • 196. (2) We need to be Observant...
  • 197. * Based on the “the boiling frog” analogy…
  • 198.
  • 199. (3) We need to be Prepared…
  • 200. Learning/ Teaching Engagement (Practice, Outreach, and Service) Research/ Creative Work/ ScholarshipResearching what is taught and how Transdisciplinarity Teaching what is researched The FUTURE
  • 201. The FUTURE Service Learning CARC Students Other TAMU Students Other U.S. Students International Students Continuing Education AEC Professionals Other Professionals Government Officials The Community K-12 Education Vocational and Community College Education Traditional Formal University Education Disciplinary and Interdisciplinary Bachelor, Master, and Doctoral Levels
  • 202. The K–Grey life-long learning education pipeline: Multiple Learner Constituencies Workforce Learners (with a high school degree or higher) Workforce Learners (without a formal degree at any level) Pre–K High School Degree 2 Yr. College Degree 4 Yr. University Degree (Bachelors) Graduate Degree (Masters) Doctoral Degree Grey High School Non-graduates College Non-graduates University Non-graduates Graduate Studies Non-graduates Doctoral Studies Non-graduates Post-Doctoral Work The FUTURE
  • 203. 203 Thank you! Prof. Rodney Hill rhill@arch.tamu.edu Dr. Jorge Vanegas jvanegas@tamu.edu