Patricia Sommerville

2.  collaborating and sharing
 why and how we teach foresight to public
sector organizations
 challenges of teaching foresight methods
inside the public sector
 key messages
 methods and tools to teach
 creative ways to message
 crowd-sourcing solutions
 concrete tools

3. Long-term, strategic decision making
 Planning spending
 Setting priorities
Resilience in coping with change
 Socio-economic
 Organizational
 Legislative

4.  Creating a Common Vocabulary
 Teach, Demonstrate, Practice, Confirm
 Engaging the participant
I see and I forget.
I hear and I remember.
I do and I understand.
Confucius

5. Dr Joseph Voros (adapted from Henchey, 1978)

6. Description & ExplanationIntelligence
Policy &
Planning
What is.
What if?
What if?
Reality Space Decision SpaceInformation/Analysis Space
What is
likely.
What is
likely.
Policy
•Possible/Imaginable
•Plausible
•Probable/Predictable
•Past/Present
Policy, Planning, Intelligence,
Foresight
© John Schmidt

7. Foresight
Intelligence/
Research
• Emerging trends
• Scenarios/what-ifs
• Weak signals
• Outliers, Black swans
• Resiliency factors
• Drivers & Signposts
• Current/Operational
• Tactical forecast
• Strategic forecast
• Current trends
• Statistical predictions
• Monitoring/Alerts
Planning
& Policy
Decisions
Actions
Near Far
Range of interest
Requirements
& Tasking
Outcomes:
• Intended
• Unintended
Teaching A Complex, Interactive
System

8. The concept that we
(individuals, organizations, communities)
 are not traveling toward one inevitable
destiny/destination
 can use foresight tools and methods to
see plausible/futures and
 can effect change that will affect the
outcome and choose our future

9. Using training opportunities to hold space
for
 Engagement
 Experiences
 Exercise ‘strategy’ muscles

12.  Teach
 Demonstrate
 Practice
 Confirm
 What to tell
 How to use
 Allow group and
individual practice
 Validate with the
group

13. Introducing the concept of ‘alternative
futures’ using comic books as a teaching
tool

15.  Hal Jordan, Air Force Pilot
"In brightest day, in blackest night,
No evil shall escape my sight.
Let those who worship evil's might
Beware my power--Green Lantern's light!"

17.  Green Lantern Corps
 Red Lantern Corps
 Orange Lantern Corps
 Sinestro Corps
 Blue Lantern Corps
 Indigo Tribe
 Star Sapphire Corps
 Black Lantern Corps
 White Lantern Corps
 Alpha Lantern Corps
 Willpower
 Rage
 Greed/Avarice
 Fear
 Hope
 Compassion
 Love
 Evil
 Good
 Enforcement