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Single payer health care

       James G. Kahn, MD, MPH

     Pharmacy Leadership Institute
Kaiser Permanente Development Program
     Debate on Health Care Reform

         13 September 2012
The single payer argument

 When it comes to health care financing, there is a
 free lunch awaiting us – single payer is cheaper &
                       better.

 The evidence base: From the OECD and beyond …
universal coverage, with one comprehensive benefit
 package & truly streamlined administration, leads
 to higher access, greater utilization, better health
            outcomes, and lower costs.
Key features of US Health Care Financing
        17.4% of GDP 2009 and rising, $2.5 T, 8,086 per capita
        Public – 43% (27% federal, 16% state/local)
          • CMS (Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services)
                  Medicare – federal, aged & disabled ($502 B)
                  Medicaid – state/federal, poor & long term care ($374 B)
          • Veteran’s Admin, Military, Indian Health Svc, …
          • State and local safety net
        Private – 34%
          • Employers – 21%
          • Families – premium contribution – 13%
        Families – uninsured services & copays etc – 15%
        Other private – 7%

Martin Health Affairs 2011
U.S. vs Other OECD countries
   Spending per capita ~50% higher
   Generally fewer doctor visits and hospital
    days
   Difference in spending due to:
    • price (cost of doctor, procedure, drugs)
    • Use of high technology
    • Administrative costs (later)
   Health care outcomes same or worse
Number of Uninsured in the US
     Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Surveys


50
     Millions of people
45
                                                         15.8% of
40                                                      population
35

30

25

20
       1976




                   1980




                            1985




                                       1990




                                                 2000




                                                                2006
US standing on health care outcomes
                               Rank of 13 industrialized nations
       Low birth weight %
                                         (U.S. in Red)
           Infant mortality

Years of potential life lost
   Age adjusted mortality

   Life expectancy @ 1 yr

Life expectancy @ 40 yrs

Life expectancy @ 65 yrs

Life expectancy @ 80 yrs

 Average for all indicators

                               Poorest                       Best
Schoen 2005
Billing and Insurance-Related
      Administrative Costs
U.S. Health Care Financing
                   Multi-payer health care financing
        Funds                       Payers                   Providers
                                                           Public & Private
                                  Many "pools"
Employer                      Multiple private payers     Doctors
                              & many benefit plans        Hospitals
Premium contrib.                PPO vs capitated,         Pharmacies
                               many blends/variants       Device vendors
Income taxes                Public: Medicare, Medi-Cal,   Skilled Nursing Fac.
                            S-CHiP, VA, Indian Health,.   Other
Out-of-pocket                ~ 60 safety net programs


                                         Admin costs of insurance 15%
                                           Admin costs overall 30%
$400 billion annually in billing and
insurance-related (BIR) administration
     = $1300 per person per year


        ~60% is at providers


 >$250 billion is “excess” - avoidable
Elements of Provider BIR - 1
   Complexity of the insurance process:
    multiple steps, often detailed &
    demanding:

    Contracting, maintaining benefits
    database, patient insurance
    determination, collection of
    copayments, formulary and prior authorization
    procedures, procedure coding, submitting
    claims, receiving payments, paying subcontracted
    providers, appealing denials and underpayments, negotiating end-
    of-year resolution of unsettled claims, and collecting from patients, …
Allocation of spending for hospital and
physician care paid through private insurers


                              Insurer
                               cMLR
                               19.0%     Hospital
                                           BIR
                                          3.9%

                                        Physician
Medical                                  BIR 5%
  care
 62.0%
                                     Medical
                                    care admin
                                      10.1%
Major types of health reform
   Free market – empower individuals to buy health
    insurance / care, subsidize the poor. Often called
    “consumer driven”. Based on principles of moral
    hazard and “skin in the game”
   Improved mixed system – regulate private insurance,
    expand public insurance (PPACA). “Managed
    competition”
   Single payer / universal – use a public fund to pay for
    privately and publicly delivered care, with everyone
    covered with good benefit package. Common in OECD
    countries.
By What Criteria Should We Judge Reform
       Proposals? The IOM Report: 2004:

    Health care coverage should be universal.
    Health care coverage should be continuous.
    Health care coverage should be affordable to
     individuals and families.
    The health insurance strategy should be
     affordable and sustainable for society.
    Health insurance should enhance health and
     well-being by promoting access to high-quality
     care that is effective, efficient, safe, timely,
     patient-centered, and equitable.
US health care meets NONE of these criteria
Single payer health care financing
         Funds                      Payers                 Providers
                                                          Public & Private

Employer / Employee                                    Doctors
                                Single public pool,    Hospitals
                               one benefit package.    Pharmacies
Income taxes
                              FFS or capitated outpt   Device vendors
                               Facility budgets inpt   Skilled Nursing Fac.
Out-of-pocket (modest)                                 Other


                                       Admin costs of insurance < 5%
                                        Admin costs overall 15-20%
Administrative Savings from
            Single Payer - Principles

   Universal coverage: no eligibility determination,
    marketing, underwriting.

   Single pipe for payment: fully standard benefit
    package & reimbursement rates; single billing
    process - transparent, simple, few errors; single
    fiscal agent per office.

   Single clinical practice rules: formularies,
    referrals, guidelines.

   Not-for-profit: public or private
Drastic Process Simplication
              The 3 Cs
   Culling (e.g., enrollment and eligibility
    determination)

   Consolidation (e.g., benefits, billing,
    formularies)

   Community orientation (i.e., not-for-
    profit payers)
Impact of single payer on administrative costs

100%


80%
                                              Medical care
60%                                           Other admin
                                              Physician BIR
                                              Hospital BIR
40%
                                              Insurer BIR

20%                                         This shift = 12.3%


 0%
          Current          Single payer
Taiwan transformation
                     to single payer
       Taiwan established National Health Insurance (NHI) in
        1995
       NHI covers >98% of population, generally small co-pays.
       Cost = 3.4% of GDP, satisfaction = 77.5%, admin cost
        =1.49%, equitable financial burden
       Deaths from “amenable causes” fell faster with NHI, 5.83%
        per year 1996 - 1999.
       Fewer deaths from circulatory disorders and, for men,
        infections; reversed trend in female cancer deaths.
       Effect highest among the young and old, and lowest for
        working age, consistent with changes in coverage.
       Little change in non-amenable causes (0.64% per year).

Yue-Chune Lee BMC-HSR 2010
Single Payer Health Care

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Single Payer Health Care

  • 1. Single payer health care James G. Kahn, MD, MPH Pharmacy Leadership Institute Kaiser Permanente Development Program Debate on Health Care Reform 13 September 2012
  • 2.
  • 3. The single payer argument When it comes to health care financing, there is a free lunch awaiting us – single payer is cheaper & better. The evidence base: From the OECD and beyond … universal coverage, with one comprehensive benefit package & truly streamlined administration, leads to higher access, greater utilization, better health outcomes, and lower costs.
  • 4. Key features of US Health Care Financing  17.4% of GDP 2009 and rising, $2.5 T, 8,086 per capita  Public – 43% (27% federal, 16% state/local) • CMS (Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services)  Medicare – federal, aged & disabled ($502 B)  Medicaid – state/federal, poor & long term care ($374 B) • Veteran’s Admin, Military, Indian Health Svc, … • State and local safety net  Private – 34% • Employers – 21% • Families – premium contribution – 13%  Families – uninsured services & copays etc – 15%  Other private – 7% Martin Health Affairs 2011
  • 5. U.S. vs Other OECD countries  Spending per capita ~50% higher  Generally fewer doctor visits and hospital days  Difference in spending due to: • price (cost of doctor, procedure, drugs) • Use of high technology • Administrative costs (later)  Health care outcomes same or worse
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  • 8. Number of Uninsured in the US Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Surveys 50 Millions of people 45 15.8% of 40 population 35 30 25 20 1976 1980 1985 1990 2000 2006
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  • 10. US standing on health care outcomes Rank of 13 industrialized nations Low birth weight % (U.S. in Red) Infant mortality Years of potential life lost Age adjusted mortality Life expectancy @ 1 yr Life expectancy @ 40 yrs Life expectancy @ 65 yrs Life expectancy @ 80 yrs Average for all indicators Poorest Best
  • 12. Billing and Insurance-Related Administrative Costs
  • 13. U.S. Health Care Financing Multi-payer health care financing Funds Payers Providers Public & Private Many "pools" Employer Multiple private payers Doctors & many benefit plans Hospitals Premium contrib. PPO vs capitated, Pharmacies many blends/variants Device vendors Income taxes Public: Medicare, Medi-Cal, Skilled Nursing Fac. S-CHiP, VA, Indian Health,. Other Out-of-pocket ~ 60 safety net programs Admin costs of insurance 15% Admin costs overall 30%
  • 14. $400 billion annually in billing and insurance-related (BIR) administration = $1300 per person per year ~60% is at providers >$250 billion is “excess” - avoidable
  • 15. Elements of Provider BIR - 1  Complexity of the insurance process: multiple steps, often detailed & demanding: Contracting, maintaining benefits database, patient insurance determination, collection of copayments, formulary and prior authorization procedures, procedure coding, submitting claims, receiving payments, paying subcontracted providers, appealing denials and underpayments, negotiating end- of-year resolution of unsettled claims, and collecting from patients, …
  • 16. Allocation of spending for hospital and physician care paid through private insurers Insurer cMLR 19.0% Hospital BIR 3.9% Physician Medical BIR 5% care 62.0% Medical care admin 10.1%
  • 17. Major types of health reform  Free market – empower individuals to buy health insurance / care, subsidize the poor. Often called “consumer driven”. Based on principles of moral hazard and “skin in the game”  Improved mixed system – regulate private insurance, expand public insurance (PPACA). “Managed competition”  Single payer / universal – use a public fund to pay for privately and publicly delivered care, with everyone covered with good benefit package. Common in OECD countries.
  • 18. By What Criteria Should We Judge Reform Proposals? The IOM Report: 2004:  Health care coverage should be universal.  Health care coverage should be continuous.  Health care coverage should be affordable to individuals and families.  The health insurance strategy should be affordable and sustainable for society.  Health insurance should enhance health and well-being by promoting access to high-quality care that is effective, efficient, safe, timely, patient-centered, and equitable. US health care meets NONE of these criteria
  • 19. Single payer health care financing Funds Payers Providers Public & Private Employer / Employee Doctors Single public pool, Hospitals one benefit package. Pharmacies Income taxes FFS or capitated outpt Device vendors Facility budgets inpt Skilled Nursing Fac. Out-of-pocket (modest) Other Admin costs of insurance < 5% Admin costs overall 15-20%
  • 20. Administrative Savings from Single Payer - Principles  Universal coverage: no eligibility determination, marketing, underwriting.  Single pipe for payment: fully standard benefit package & reimbursement rates; single billing process - transparent, simple, few errors; single fiscal agent per office.  Single clinical practice rules: formularies, referrals, guidelines.  Not-for-profit: public or private
  • 21. Drastic Process Simplication The 3 Cs  Culling (e.g., enrollment and eligibility determination)  Consolidation (e.g., benefits, billing, formularies)  Community orientation (i.e., not-for- profit payers)
  • 22. Impact of single payer on administrative costs 100% 80% Medical care 60% Other admin Physician BIR Hospital BIR 40% Insurer BIR 20% This shift = 12.3% 0% Current Single payer
  • 23. Taiwan transformation to single payer  Taiwan established National Health Insurance (NHI) in 1995  NHI covers >98% of population, generally small co-pays.  Cost = 3.4% of GDP, satisfaction = 77.5%, admin cost =1.49%, equitable financial burden  Deaths from “amenable causes” fell faster with NHI, 5.83% per year 1996 - 1999.  Fewer deaths from circulatory disorders and, for men, infections; reversed trend in female cancer deaths.  Effect highest among the young and old, and lowest for working age, consistent with changes in coverage.  Little change in non-amenable causes (0.64% per year). Yue-Chune Lee BMC-HSR 2010